Executive Summary

The present report presents the reliability to assessment for no repairable devices where a
computer component life test of four randomly selected modems had failure times of 1.2, 2.7,
3.4, and 5.1 years. The objective of the first part of the experiment is to predict when 25% of the
population will fail and the results indicated that the devices would fail in 1.729 years. On the
other hand, thirty paperclip samples were tested at a bend of an angle of 45 degrees until
failure, and the purpose of the analysis was to define the accelerated Life Testing where the
probability plot showed that the points fit well for 180 degrees and 90 degrees, thus the
distributions are appropriate. Furthermore, the test concluded that 50 % of the clips will break
at 45 degrees from 8215 cycles, and we used 50% for MTTF as appropriate. The data were
recorded and provided through e-Conestoga.

Part A - Non-repairable Devices – Reliability Assessment

1. Create a Weibull probability plot:

2. Determine when 25% of the population will fail:

25% of the modems will fail at 1.729 years.

 3. Determine the shape and scale parameters of the distribution:

The shape and scale parameters are 1.67 and 3.64, respectively.

4. State the most likely failure mode (i.e., early-life, intrinsic, or wear-out) and explain
your reasoning:

The Weibull shape parameter is greater than 1, so the failure mode is wear-out, which
means that the failure rate increases with the time.

Part B - Accelerated Life Testing

 provide table of data, tables of results (discussion), relationship graph (discussion)

and PDF with stress transformations (discussion)

From the Regression Table we can estimate the model which is log=18.74-2.53
(degrees)+(1/4.35) εp
From the Probability Plot we can conclude that the points fit well the lines for 180 degrees and
for 90 degrees. This is an indication that the distributions are appropriate.

The AD Table shows that 90 degrees fits better the model because its value is significantly
greater than the 180 degrees.

From the Table of percentiles, we can say that 50 percentage of the clips will break at 45
degrees from 8215 cycles, and we used 50% for MTTF as appropriate.
The Relation Plot above shows the relationship of number of cycles and the degrees set. We
can conclude that the number of failures decrease as the angle increases.
 Look back to Assignment #2 – did the accelerated life testing correctly predict the
MTTF at a use cycle of a 45º bend?

In our previous assignment, the mean time to failure was at 4301 cycles at 45 degrees
and the MTTF in this assignment is 8215 cycles. So, the accelerated life testing did not
predict the mean of time to failure correctly.

In real life we can’t If we are testing a clip over a period, we do not know when exactly
or if the motor will fail. The time that each clip will break is a variable and it will change
for each different clip, and we can’t predict or calculate when that specific clip will fail