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Selection of JONSWAP Spectra Parameters during

Water-Depth and Sea-State Transitions


Juan Gabriel Rueda-Bayona, Ph.D.1; Andrés Guzmán, Ph.D., M.ASCE2; and Juan José Cabello Eras, Ph.D.3

Abstract: The design of marine structures requires the simulation of wave parameters that consider sea-state and water-depth transitions.
Proper selection of the model coefficients (e.g., alpha and gamma of the JONSWAP spectra) is then required, because of the wave-
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hydrodynamic nonlinearities during these ocean processes. Therefore, the model coefficient selection should be tested using a nonlinear anal-
ysis to assess the effect of the selected spectra coefficients over the modeled wave parameters. The present study performed a design of
experiment (DOE)-analysis of variance (ANOVA) and probability analysis to assess the effect of alpha and gamma parameters over the sig-
nificant wave height (Hs) and peak period (Tp) during sea-state and water-depth transitions. The DOE-ANOVA demonstrated for the mean
and extreme wave states of the study area that alpha and gamma parameters positively affect the Hs behavior in deep and intermediate waters.
Furthermore, the standardized effects of alpha and gamma over the Tp during extreme wave states suggest quadruplets of wave–wave inter-
actions. The joint and normal probability distributions of alpha and gamma for extreme and normal waves showed a Gaussian distribution,
allowing identification of specific alpha and gamma values for the JONSWAP spectra model. The selected alpha and gamma parameters
were then validated through the comparison of the modeled Hs (JONSWAP) against other local studies. Considering its relevance in design
strategies for offshore structures, this research contributed to the understanding of the nonlinear effects of alpha and gamma parameters over
the Hs and Tp during variations of water depth and wave states, easing the selection of the model coefficients. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)
WW.1943-5460.0000601. © 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: JONSWAP spectra; DOE-ANOVA; Probability; Waves; Numerical modeling.

Introduction modeler may understand the nonlinear effects of model coefficients


over the wave parameters. In addition, a structural design that di-
Scientific and engineering activities dedicated to coastal and off- rectly uses 1D wave models such as JONSWAP spectra may calcu-
shore studies require in situ (measured) or modeled wave data to late suitable structural and geometry parameters if the designer
understand local processes and to facilitate marine structures de- knows the nonlinear interactions of the model parameters.
sign. A well-modeled wave spectrum considers the effects of cli- The JONSWAP spectra model (JONSWAP stands for JOint
mate variability and water-depth reduction along the direction of North Sea WAve Project) is the most frequently used model for re-
wave propagation; these effects may generate nonlinear processes, search and design; it is considered universal for idealized
such as quadruplets or wave shoaling (Holthuijsen 2010). A lack of fetch-limited conditions and because of its applicability to variable
consideration of the nonlinear effects that generate the control pa- wind regimes in deep waters during storms and hurricanes
rameters (e.g., coefficients) of numerical models may lead to over- (Chakrabarti 2005). The advantage of the JONSWAP model is
or underestimation of the behavior of wave parameters, such as sig- that it is a sound representation of the swell spectra, particularly
nificant wave heights (Hs) and peak periods (Tp). As a result, the in the high-frequency range (Lucas and Guedes Soares 2015). Be-
structure’s design or research conclusions may be liable to error, af- cause of these advantages, several consultants and research projects
fecting the formulation of sustainable engineering solutions. use the JONSWAP model (Calini and Schober 2017; Cifuentes and
The generation of 2D–3D wave-modeled data requires a calibra- Kim 2017; Pascoal et al. 2017; Sun and Zhang 2017).
tion and validation process, which can be optimized so that the To consider the nonlinear wave processes, it is necessary to set
specific spectra parameters for the JONSWAP equation (alpha and
1 gamma) where the user may simulate the wave spectra for any site
Professor, Engineering Faculty, Civil Engineering, Water and Energy
(AyE) Research Group, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, Bogotá: and weather conditions. If the user applies the JONSWAP spectra
Carrera 11 No. 101-80, Bogotá 1101111 (corresponding author). ORCID: with constant parameters for a broad study area, they may underes-
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3806-2058. Email: juan.rueda@unimilitar.edu timate or overestimate the peak energy of the wave spectra. Thus,
.co; ruedabayona@gmail.com simulating the spectral shape through models such as JONSWAP
2
Professor, Research Group for Structures and Geotechnics (GIEG), In- must consider such changes on the weather and seafloor.
stitute for Sustainable Development (IDS), Dept. of Civil and Environmen- The shape of the JONSWAP spectra is dependent on parameters
tal Engineering, Universidad del Norte, Km 5 via Puerto Colombia, Bloque such as the alpha coefficient (scale parameter) and the gamma co-
K, 8-33 K, Barranquilla, CO 081007. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003 efficient (peak enhancement factor). The calculus of alpha and
-2472-1390. Email: faguzman@uninorte.edu.co gamma parameters depends on the dimensionless relations of the
3
Professor, Energy Dept., Universidad de la Costa, Calle 58 # 55–66,
peak frequency. However, it is difficult to set accurate values for
Barranquilla, CO 080002. Email: jcabello2@cuc.edu.co
Note. This manuscript was submitted on May 21, 2019; approved on alpha and gamma because of their large dispersion (Holthuijsen
April 28, 2020; published online on July 17, 2020. Discussion period 2010).
open until December 17, 2020; separate discussions must be submitted Several studies suggest consideration of constant values for
for individual papers. This paper is part of the Journal of Waterway, alpha or gamma (Boukhanovsky et al. 2007; Boukhanovsky and
Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering, © ASCE, ISSN 0733-950X. Guedes Soares 2009; Ochi and Hubble 1976; Ortega et al. 2011).

© ASCE 04020038-1 J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng.

J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


The literature reported the use of constant values to assess the using the selected alpha and gamma coefficients against Hs data re-
JONSWAP spectra: the Donelan and Scott spectra (Sanil Kumar ported by secondary studies.
and Ashok Kumar 2008), the estimation of the wave-crest distribu-
tion of nonlinear waves in shallow waters (Wang 2014), and the
analysis of the bottom slope effect over the nonlinear transforma-
Methodology
tions of irregular waves (Dong et al. 2014). Ji et al. (2018) proposed
an empirical formula to estimate the maximum wave setup through
To analyze the nonlinear effects of JONSWAP parameters, this
a coupled wave-current model. That study set a constant gamma of
study followed the following stages: (1) hydrodynamic modeling,
3.3 for the control parameters of the SWAN model (Deltares
(2) wave climate analysis, (3) generation of coefficients, (4)
2014a). Liu et al. (2007) generated irregular waves via JONSWAP
DOE-ANOVA and probability analysis, and (5) validation. This re-
spectra to estimate the wave-current forces acting on a pile group
search implemented a 3D wave-hydrodynamic model Delft3D
on the base foundation of a bridge; the research reported a constant
(Deltares 2014a, b) to simulate wave parameters, followed by the
value of 2.8 for the gamma parameter.
wave climate characterization and definition of local sea states.
There is evidence in the literature of different gamma values in
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Subsequently, in order to generate the coefficients (alpha and


studies focused on the analysis of the wave spectra (Mackay 2011,
gamma), a genetic algorithm (GA) model was fed with the modeled
2016; Montazeri et al. 2016; Sakhare and Deo 2009; Wijaya and
Hs and Tp by Delft3D to generate the alpha and gamma parameters
Van Groesen 2016; Zanaganeh et al. 2009). For instance, Myrhaug
using the JONSWAP spectra equation [Eq. (1)]. The alpha and
(2018) used distributions to provide probabilistic properties of the
gamma coefficients generated by the GA were then assessed
spectra wave steepness and also varied the gamma parameter of the
through the DOE-ANOVA and probability analysis to determine
JONSWAP spectra to generate the wave data required for the anal-
the representative alpha and gamma parameters for specific places,
ysis. Calini and Schober (2017) characterized the JONSWAP rogue
considering the sea-state and water-depth transitions. Finally, it was
waves through inverse spectra data. The study used a range of validated through the Eq. (2) (Hasselmann et al. 1973) using the se-
0.008 < alpha < 0.02, and 2 < gamma < 8 to generate the random lected alpha and gamma parameters to generate a local 1D wave
wave data. spectra. Accordingly, Eq. (3) (Holthuijsen 2010) was used to calcu-
The literature also reports the utilization of DOE-ANOVA for late the Hs, which is validated against secondary reported wave
nonlinear analysis and its application in diverse research topics. data from other studies:
Using DOE-ANOVA, Power et al. (2019) identified the factors ∞
that generate changes in run-up levels; Derschum et al. (2018) stud- −4

ied the effect of debris loads in building codes such as FEMA S(ω)JONSWAP = αg 2 ω−5 e−1.25(ω/ωp ) γ δ dω (1)
0
P-646 (FEMA and NOAA 2012) and ASCE 7-16 (ASCE 2017);
Hanley et al. (2014) assessed soft engineering alternatives for where
coastal protection (e.g., sand nourishment); and Fragasso et al. 
−((ω−ωp )2 /2σ 2(a,b) ω2p ) σ a=0.07 when, ω ≤ ωp
(2019) validated the coefficient selection of the Yeoh hyperelastic δ=e & σ (a,b) =
σ a=0.09 when, ω > ωp
material model. Furthermore, Young and Scully (2018) evaluated
vessel performance during low and high wave conditions through α = energy scale coefficient; g = Earth’s gravity (9.80665 m/s2);
ANOVA to assess the sheltering effectiveness of three coastal ω = frequency (rad/s); ωp = peak frequency (rad/s); γδ = peak en-
inlet structures. hancement factor; γ = peak enhancement coefficient; δ = describes
The specialized literature established the necessity of testing the the width of the region near the peak; and σ(a,b) = shape parameters.
alpha and gamma ability when considering the nonlinear effects in ∞
−4
the modeled wave spectra during wave-state and water-depth tran- S(ω)JONSWAP = αg 2 ω−5 e−1.25(ω/ωm ) γ δ dω (2)
sitions. The assumptions adopted in the literature—such as a cons- 0
tant gamma parameter of JONSWAP spectra used for the boundary
where
conditions of the numerical models (e.g., SWAN) or related to 1D
wave parameters modeling—could have limited the expected re- ωm = 2π(g/U )(gx/U 2 )−0.33
sults. As a result, it is necessary to assess whether having JONS-
WAP parameters in situ is essential, because the spectra differ at x = fetch length (25 km); and U = wind speed (5 m/s).
every location for the different oscillations of climate variability √
Hs = 4.004 m0 (3)
(hours, days, and months). Furthermore, the energy scale coeffi-
cient (alpha) is a must-have variable during sea conditions because where m0 = zero-order spectral moment.
this parameter controls the wave frequency and modulates the spec- The Delft3D model utilized in stage (1) of the methodology (hy-
tral shape from the sea-to-swell state. drodynamic modeling) can solve currents and waves through
In order to select the model coefficients of the JONSWAP spec- double-way communication between a hydrodynamic module
tra considering the nonlinear interactions generated during water- and the SWAN wave model (Deltares 2014a); the wave model sol-
depth and sea-state transitions, this study proposes the following ves the action–balance equation (Booij et al. 1999). The two-way
methodology: (1) hydrodynamic modeling, (2) wave climate anal- communication mode of Delft3D considers the interactions be-
ysis, (3) generation of coefficients, (4) DOE–ANOVA and proba- tween waves and currents, decreasing the probability of over- or
bility analysis, and (5) validation. The hydrodynamic modeling underestimation in modeled waves, water levels, and currents
generated wave-time series to feed the GA for the generation of (Elhakeem et al. 2015; Escobar 2011; Garcia et al. 2015; McCombs
the alpha and gamma data sets. The DOE-ANOVA then assessed et al. 2014; Rueda-Bayona et al. 2019). The hydrodynamic module
the effect of gamma and alpha parameters over Hs and Tp. The of Delft3D solves the Navier–Stokes equations by considering
probability analysis generated normal, log-normal, and joint prob- the Boussinesq hypothesis. The model uses a flexible mesh and
ability distributions to select alpha and gamma parameters for spe- applies the finite difference method for solving the RANS
cific sites according to the wave-state and the water-depth (Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes) equations. We selected the
transitions. Finally, the validation compared the calculated Hs turbulence k-ϵ model (Uittenbogaard et al. 1992) and the ADI

© ASCE 04020038-2 J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng.

J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


(a) (b)

Fig. 1. (a) Grid model for the study area; and (b) location of virtual points, wave buoy (DIMAR), and water level station (Casa Pilotos). Projected
coordinates in Magna-Sirgas Bogota Zone; units in meters.
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Table 1. Locations of wave buoy and observation points


Latitude Longitude Water depth
ID (N) (W) (m)
DIMAR wave buoy 11.161000 74.681000 150
Water level station (Casa 11.097769 −74.852839 0
pilotos)
Point A 11.167972 74.677314 105
Point B 11.147295 74.691496 28

Table 2. Time period of water level and significant wave-height data for
the model calibration Fig. 2. Information flow scheme between the Delft 3D Flow and
SWAN wave model.

Data Time period (dd-mm-yyyy-hh) Time resolution


Water level 01-01-2012-00 to 02-04-2012-11 1h numerical results of the GRENOBLE model (Le Provost et al.
(Casa Pilotos) 1994).
Hs- (DIMAR buoy) 21-02-2009-05 to 25-03-2009-01 3h
The peak period and significant wave-height data used for the
SWAN model boundary conditions come from the WaveWatch
III model database (NOAA 2018b); the wave data have a spatial
resolution of 0.17° and is at a virtual point of 11.5 N and 74.5
scheme (alternating direction implicit) to solve the temporal W. The wave model has a grid with a cell size of 500 m, with a sim-
components. ilar extension of the external grid cells of the Delft3D model.
Table 1 indicates the locations [Fig. 1(b)] of a buoy that belongs
to the Maritime General Direction (DIMAR, in Spanish) of Colom-
Wave-Hydrodynamic Model Setup
bia that measured wave data, and the location of a water level sta-
The procedure for applying the GA model when in situ wave spec- tion known as Casa Pilotos; the data of these locations will be
tra are not available comprised a calibration of the Delf3D and utilized for the model calibration. The locations Point A and
SWAN models to feed the GA model with Hs and Tp records. Point B represent the monitoring points of the numerical model
As a result, we implemented the hydrodynamic and wave models where the wave data will be numerically generated and required
close to the Magdalena River delta in the north of Colombia. In for the (1) stages, (2) wave climate analysis, (3) generation of co-
the study area (Fig. 1), the available in situ data is scarce because efficients, and (4) DOE-ANOVA and probability analysis. Table 2
the equipment deployment is restricted due to navigation security shows the resolution and time period of the in situ water level and
restrictions (Restrepo et al. 2016). Then, we solved the scarce significant wave height data for the model calibration (Fig. 1,
wave in situ data at the study area by implementing the Delft 3D Table 1).
model to obtain wave-time series at different sea states and water We depicted the information flow scheme among data and
depths. Delft3D and SWAN models in Fig. 2. The interaction between
For this research, the Delft 3D Flow module has sigma coordi- models is in a two-way mode. Deflt3D solves the hydrodynamics
nates (10 layers) with flexible mesh and cell size in a range between and provides currents, wind, tides, and the bed-level evolution to
50 km and 500 m [Fig. 1(a)]; the utilized bathymetry data for the the SWAN model. Thereafter, SWAN solves wave hydrodynamics
hydrodynamic model are from the ETOPO1 database (NOAA and gives wave parameters to the Delft3D model. The two-way
2018a). For the transport boundary conditions of Deflt3D, we communication between the Delft3D and SWAN models allowed
used the met-ocean thermohaline data are from the World Ocean proper simulating of the physical processes.
Atlas, WOA2013 (Locarnini et al. 2013; Zweng et al. 2013) and The calibration of the Delft3D model showed that the correla-
the wind and heat fluxes are from the NCEP–North American Re- tion between in situ data (Casa Pilotos) and modeled water levels
gional Reanalysis: NARR database (NOAA 2016). Also, the water resulted in a determination coefficient of 0.79, with p-value ≪ 0.05
level data for the open boundary conditions were retrieved from the and 95% confidence [Fig. 3(a)]. The calibration of the significant

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J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


(a)
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(b)

Fig. 3. Model calibration results: (a) water levels; and (b) significant wave height.

wave heights resulted in a determination coefficient of 0.70 with standardized effects from the minimum to the highest effect and
p-value ≪ 0.05 and 95% confidence [Fig. 3(b)]. plots a vertical line over the horizontal bars to show which effects
The design of experiments (DOE) is a planned strategy of mea- are statistically significant. The main effects plot shows the re-
surements or observations (runs) that evaluates independent vari- sponse of each dependent variable to each factor level (low, middle,
ables (factors) to obtain a response from dependent variables. and high) through a plot line. Hence, the probability analysis allows
The objective of DOE is to optimize processes or analyze the be- identification of the representative value of a population and the re-
havior of variables. For its part, the analysis of variance lation between the wave parameters through probability distribu-
(ANOVA) verifies the hypothesis that the means of two or more tion curves and joint probabilities graphs. The probability
populations are equal; ANOVA sets two hypotheses to test the sig- analysis considers the limited central theorem to adjust the data dis-
nificance of one or more factors; the means of the response variable tribution into a normal distribution.
are compared according to the different levels of the factors. If all The DOE-ANOVA analysis performed in this study targets the un-
the means of the levels of the factors (means of the population) are derstanding of the modeled significant wave heights (Hs) and peak pe-
equal, then the hypothesis is null, while the alternative hypothesis riods (Tp) behavior when varying the two main parameters (alpha and
shows that at least one mean is different. In a two-way ANOVA or gamma) of JONSWAP spectra model. To do so, we must identify rep-
factorial ANOVA, two independent variables are affecting the de- resentative normal and extreme sea states of the study area, to classify
pendent variable. The factors selected comprise two or three levels and group Hs and Tp datasets for the DOE-ANOVA analysis. In the
(low, middle, and high), which can be the minimum, mean, and section Wave Climate Analysis, seven sea states were classified;
maximum values of a dataset of one independent variable. The then, we extracted the modeled Hs and Tp hourly data of each sea
ANOVA then determines the main effect and the interaction effects state (Table 3). Also, to generate alpha and gamma parameters of
of the factors (independent variables) over the responses (depen- the seven classified sea states, we applied a genetic algorithm model
dent variable). Three assumptions must be considered applying seen in the Generation of Coefficients section. As a result, the Hs,
the ANOVA: normality, independence, and homoscedasticity Tp, alpha, and gamma datasets were organized for points A and B
(Montgomery 2017). (Fig. 1, Table 1) to perform the DOE-ANOVA.
For the factorial ANOVA or factorial design, the levels of the Considering that the seven Hs and Tp hourly dataset are contin-
factors can be denoted with a negative or positive sign. For in- uous samples for the DOE-ANOVA, and the data (population)
stance, Factor A can have three levels: low (A−), middle (A) and have a different order of magnitude, this study used the maximum
high (A+). The interaction between A with another factor (B) can value technique for normalizing, which involved dividing the sam-
be written as AB. To analyze the effects of the factor over the re- ples of each of the seven datasets by its maximum value. As a re-
sponse, the Pareto chart and the main effects plot allow visualiza- sult, the maximum value technique allows limiting the maximum
tion of the interactions among the independent and dependent range up to 1 and the minimum range to the minimal value of
variables. The Pareto chart represents the absolute values of the each dataset. The normalized datasets enable to set the level factor

© ASCE 04020038-4 J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng.

J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


of the DOE-ANOVA, where the lowest factor is the minimal nor- strategy. First, we implemented the wave-hydrodynamic model to
malized sample value, and the highest factor is the maximum nor- generate Hs and Tp time series. Second, we defined the sea states
malized sample value equal to 1. of the study area through a wave climate analysis using cumulative
probability curves. We then applied the GA model to generate
the alpha and gamma parameters. Finally, we performed the
Results DOE-ANOVA and joint probability analysis to define the specific
alpha and gamma values for the study area.
The methodology applied to analyze the nonlinear effects of the
JONSWAP spectra parameters over the modeled significant wave
heights (Hs) and peak periods (Tp) followed the recommended Wave Climate Analysis
The study used the fourth quartile of probability (95%) of the wave
Table 3. Wave event classification for the DOE-ANOVA analysis data to select the wave states for the DOE-ANOVA analysis. This
wave data comes from the WaveWatch III virtual point previously
Start date End date Max Tp
mentioned (11.5 N and 74.5 W) to graph the cumulative probability
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(dd/mm/yyyy (dd/mm/yyyy Hs associated


Sea state hh:mm) hh:mm) (m) (s) curve for extreme waves (Rueda Bayona 2015, 2017). After that,
the wave height of 95% of the cumulative probability of extreme
Event 1 25/01/2001 0:00 03/03/2001 19:00 2.73 6.49 waves was considered by applying the peak over threshold
(extreme)
(POT) technique (Holthuijsen 2010), which allows the extraction
Event 2 11/03/2001 20:00 19/03/2001 15:00 2.17 6.28
(extreme) of extreme wave records in time series. In order to identify the
Event 3 17/06/2001 23:00 02/07/2001 14:00 2.27 6.63 joint distribution of wave heights and directions, we did a wave
(extreme) rose—a frequency analysis of wave vectors with an oceanographic
Event 4 09/09/2001 20:00 15/09/2001 12:00 1.28 6.14 convention where north is equal to 0° derived from a 90° rotation of
(normal) the Cartesian coordinates.
Event 5 12/10/2001 23:00 20/10/2001 15:00 1.22 6.02 The mean and extreme wave conditions identified by the cumu-
(normal) lative probability of significant wave height (Hs) [Fig. 4(a)] indi-
Event 6 07/11/2001 9:00 15/11/2001 12:00 1.52 5.95 cated a value of 1.78 and 2.87 m for the second and fourth
(normal)
quartiles. We selected the fourth quartile (95%) of Hs (2.87 m) as
Event 7 10/12/2001 20:00 17/12/2001 14:00 1.46 5.59
(normal)
the base for the extreme or maximum wave heights. Then, we ex-
tracted all the Hs records over the 2.87 m considered extremes to

(a) (b)

(c) (d)

Fig. 4. Wave climate analysis of the virtual buoy at 11.5 N and 74.5 W of the WaveWatch III database: (a) cumulative probability curve; (b) extreme
cumulative probability curve; (c) wave rise; and (d) POT applied to WaveWatch III virtual point for 30-year three-hourly records.

© ASCE 04020038-5 J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng.

J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


generate a new cumulative probability curve [Fig. 4(b)]. We then We then evaluated the GA model efficiency and effectiveness
selected the value of 3.59 m as the base (black line) for the POT for this study through a performance test for determining the min-
(Holthuijsen 2010) [Fig. 4(d)] for the fourth black quartile of the imum number of chromosomes for solving the cost function and
new probability curve [Fig. 4(b)]. The subsequent wave direction the minimum time for the calculations. According to the test results
statistics showed waves from 45° (northeast) [Fig. 4(c)]. (Fig. 6), 100 chromosomes reached a correlation of 0.9923 between
The POT of the WaveWatch III virtual point identified that, the target and artificial Hs result; after 100 chromosomes, the cor-
from the 30 years of wave data at the study area, 2001 was the relation increased.
year with the highest Hs (4.68 m) [Fig. 4(d)]. We then did a POT Furthermore, the test for Ep and Hs indicated that the correlation
for each virtual point of 2001 depicted in Fig. 1(b); the results remained at about 0.80. The computational time for 100 chromo-
showed that three wave events exceeded the threshold of 2.12 m somes was 24.96 s, 53.88 s for 200 chromosomes, and 735.05 s
of wave height (Fig. 5). for 400 chromosomes. According to the results, this research
The wave time series of 2001 showed wave growth and dissipa- used 100 chromosomes to solve the cost function efficiently; the
tion, evidencing a sea-state development during extreme and nor- population-size test was evidence of the efficiency of the GA to
mal conditions (Fig. 5). Consequently, we identified and find a robust solution inside a feasible region with manageable
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analyzed seven wave events through the DOE-ANOVA (Table 3). computational time. With 100 chromosomes, the GA found the
alpha and gamma values for the time series (2001) of the Points
A and B. Fig. 7 shows the numerical solution for Point A, where
Generation of Coefficients the residuals remain near to 0.05 m; some peaks were close to
This research generated alpha and gamma data sets through a val- 0.4 m did not significantly affect the total correlation coefficient
idated GA model (Rueda Bayona 2017; Rueda-Bayona et al. 2020) of 0.9923. Given the scatter of the alpha and gamma, it was neces-
fed with modeled Hs and Tp time series generated by the calibrated sary to apply a probabilistic analysis.
Delft3D model (Deltares 2014a, b). The GA model generates, mu- Fig. 7(a) depicts the comparison of the targeted Hs (in situ) gen-
tates, and crosses populations of alpha and gamma datasets (chro- erated by the Delft3D model and the modeled Hs (artificial) by the
mosomes), solves the JONSWAP spectra, and calculates Hs GA model. In Fig. 7(b) is evidenced that the GA model solves the
through the zero-order moment till the targeted hourly Hs value JONSWAP spectra and selects successfully the calculated Hs using
is reached. The GA model selects the optimal hourly alpha and the zero-order moment for each hourly time interval, considering
gamma, considering the minimum difference between the calcu- the minimum difference (residual) between the in situ and artificial
lated Hs through JONSWAP spectra and the targeted Hs generated Hs. Figs. 7(c and d) show the utilized alpha and gamma values by
by the Delft3D model. More details of the functioning and structure the GA model for each hourly time interval. Then, it is observed
of the GA model may be found in Rueda Bayona (2017) and that alpha and gamma did not depict a defined behavior along the
Rueda-Bayona et al. (2020). time [Figs. 7(c and d)], evidencing that these two parameters

Fig. 5. Peak over threshold for 2001 at Points A and B.

Fig. 6. Population-size test for determining the efficient number of chromosomes. According to the GA, the variables analyzed are peak energy (Ep),
Hs objective (Hs-obj), and artificial (Hs art). (Data from Rueda Bayona 2017.)

© ASCE 04020038-6 J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng.

J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


(a)

(b)

(c)
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(d)

Fig. 7. Numerical results of the GA for Point A with hourly time resolution: (a) Hs target versus artificial; (b) residual ΔHs; (c) alpha coefficients; and
(d) gamma coefficients.

distributed nonlinearly, which makes it challenging to select a rep- Table 4. Standardized effects of alpha and gamma (factors) over Hs and Tp
resentative alpha and gamma value for the seven sea states. (responses) behavior
Sea state Experiment 1 (Point A) Experiment 2 (Point B)
DOE-ANOVA and Probability Analysis Event 1 No standardized effect. Gamma = Hs (+)
(extreme)
The results of the previous section showed that JONSWAP spectra Event 2 No standardized effect. Gamma = Hs (+)
parameters defined a scattered distribution along the time, which (extreme)
makes it difficult to select proper and specific alpha and gamma val- Event 3 Alpha = Tp (−), Gamma = Hs (+)
ues for the study area. Accordingly, we applied the DOE-ANOVA (extreme) Hs-Tp (−)
to analyze nonlinear effects and transformation of the waves, using Event 4 Alpha = Hs (+) Gamma = Hs (+), Tp (+)/Alpha
the alpha and gamma parameters generated by the GA model, and (normal) = Hs-Hs (+), Tp-Tp (−)
the Hs and Tp created by the Delft3D model. Event 5 Alpha = Hs (+) Alpha = Tp-Tp (−), Hs-Hs
Then, this research designed two experiments according to the (normal) (+)/Gamma = Tp (+), Hs (+)
seven sea states classified earlier for Point A and for Point B, re- Event 6 Alpha = Hs (+) Gamma = Hs (+)
(normal)
spectively, where Experiment 1 gathers seven datasets of Point
Event 7 Alpha = Hs (+)/Gamma Alpha = Tp-Tp (+),
A, and Experiment 2 comprises seven datasets related to the sea (normal) = Hs-Hs (−)
states defined in Table 4. Before the DOE-ANOVA analysis, we
verified that the 14 datasets satisfied the principles of normality, in- Note: Signs (+) and (−) show a positive and negative standardized effect.
dependence, and homoscedasticity. Each dataset was analyzed in- Hs-Hs and Tp-Tp represent the second-order interaction of factors.
dependently in order to prevent statistical time dependence
among the 14 datasets. an effect that could be related to the high nonlinearity of the
The identified factors in Table 4 presented p-value ≪ 0.05 of wave process; the horizontal axes of Figs. 9(b and d) indicated
significance with 95% probability confidence. As a result, the the factor levels values which were 0.39 (low) and 1 (high) for
DOE-ANOVA showed that alpha positively dominates the Hs be- Hs for Tp in both cases.
havior at Point A (Table 4), and gamma dominates the Hs behavior Phillips (1960) and Hasselmann (1962, 1963a, b) produced pi-
at Point B. During extreme events, there was no statistical evidence oneering evidence of the nonlinear interactions between waves.
that alpha or gamma control the variance of Hs and Tp at They explained that, during nonlinear interactions, wave compo-
Point A. Contrary to Point A, the gamma parameter at Point B nents were in resonance, allowing energy exchange and driving
showed a significant effect over Hs variance. Considering the the wave spectra to redistribute the energy along the frequency do-
DOE-ANOVA results in Table 4, we used the three maximum ex- main. During quadruplet wave–wave interactions, there is an en-
treme events (Fig. 5) to generate the Pareto charts and main effects ergy transfer from the peak of wave spectra to the low-frequency
plots (Figs. 8 and 9). Fig. 8 revealed that, during extreme events, region, which represents the spectra evolution. From the peak of
alpha and gamma coefficients are directly proportional to Hs and the spectra to the region of higher frequencies, energy is transferred
inversely proportional to Tp at both points (A and B). In normal and dissipated because of white-capping (Holthuijsen 2010).
conditions, alpha positively affects Hs behavior at Point A. At It is possible to observe that, during the extreme wave events for
Point B, gamma positively affected the Hs for three of four normal deep waters (Table 4, Events 1, 2 and 3, Point A), the absence of a
events; the horizontal axes of Figs. 8(b and d) showed the experi- standardized effect indicated high nonlinear wave interactions that
mental factor levels for Hs and Tp. could be generated by quadruplet wave–wave interactions. Thus,
During normal conditions (Fig. 9), alpha and gamma are di- because of the high-order interactions previously mentioned,
rectly proportional to Hs at Points A and B. However, standardized there was no statistical evidence that alpha or gamma parameters
effects for Tp revealed a higher-order effect of alpha and gamma may dominate or control the wave spectra. Event 3 for Point A
through BB interaction [Fig. 9(a)] and AB interaction [Fig. 9(c)], showed a Tp (−) and Hs-Tp (−) standardized effect for the alpha

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(a) (b)
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(c) (d)

Fig. 8. DOE-ANOVA analysis: (a) pareto chart of standardized effects for alpha at Point A during State 3 (extreme); (b) main effects plot for alpha at
Point A during State 3 (extreme); (c) pareto chart of standardized effects for gamma at Point B during State 1 (extreme); and (d) main effects plot for
gamma at Point B during State 1 (extreme).

(a) (b)

(c) (d)

Fig. 9. DOE-ANOVA analysis: (a) pareto chart of standardized effects for alpha at Point A during State 6 (normal); (b) main effects plots for alpha at
Point A during State 6 (normal); (c) pareto chart of standardized effects for gamma at Point B during State 6 (normal); and (d) main effects plots for
gamma at Point B during State 6 (normal).

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(a) (b)

(c) (d)

Fig. 10. Joint probability: (a) Hs-Tp at Point A; (b) Hs-Tp at Point B; (c) alpha-gamma at Point A; and (d) alpha-gamma at Point B.

parameter, which shows that alpha has a dominant inverse effect before the breaking zone. The control volume variation of the
over the wave period. Furthermore, the standardized effects suggest water column drives waves to propagate obliquely to the coast to
that frequencies redistribute along the spectra because of spectra retain mass conservation. This change in wave direction associates
evolution and white-capping dissipation. a phase-speed increment and a wave-frequency redistribution
We developed joint probabilities for wave and spectra pa- [Fig. 10(b)].
rameters [Figs. 10(a and b)] to verify whether the water depth We selected Events 1 and 6 as extreme and normal wave events,
could affect the Hs and Tp distribution. For the Hs-Tp joint respectively (Fig. 11), in order to estimate the alpha and gamma
probability, Point A showed two cores that represent waves probabilities through a probability distribution. Fig. 11 shows the
with high (Hs = 1.4 m, Tp = 1.4 s) and low (Hs = 0.7 m, Tp = behavior of spectra parameters in the probability domain where
4.5 s) frequencies. In addition, one of the two probability normal distributions have symmetric and asymptotic tails, indicat-
cores seen at Point A vanished at Point B. The previous behav- ing a proper distribution of data according to the central limit the-
ior of joint probabilities displayed wave shoaling because of the orem; to apply the ANOVA, the dataset modeled by the GA must
water-depth reduction from 102 m at Point A to 28 m at Point satisfy the assumptions of normality, homoscedasticity, and inde-
B. When a wave propagates to shallow water, the frequency dis- pendence (Montgomery 2017). The normal distribution is then ev-
persion decreases and phase speed approaches the group veloc- idence that the samples generated by the GA have a short statistical
ity. As a result, the phase speed becomes less dependent on distance between mean and median for their population. The stat-
frequency. Wave shoaling limits the linear wave theory applica- istical closeness of central values in normal distributions indicates
tion because the phase speed and group velocity approach zero that the second quartile (50%) may represent the population of data.
at the waterline, resulting in a wave amplitude that tends to in- We generated the probability distributions of the alpha and
finity (Holthuijsen 2010). gamma coefficients (Fig. 11) and selected the second quartile of
The wave shoaling effect is evident in Figs. 10(b and c) because probability (50%) because it represents the statistical median of
the probability density of alpha is higher at Point B than Point the data; the second quartile implies that most of the alpha and
A. Therefore, an alpha coefficient of 0.01 and a gamma coefficient gamma values are close to the central value. As a result, Table 5
of 1 is suggested. Considering the joint probabilities in Fig. 10, it is shows the representative values of alpha and gamma for the
possible to argue that water-depth reduction generated a probability study area.
core concentration for Hs-Tp and alpha-gamma; thus, wave shoal- The second quartiles showed that the JONSWAP spectra pa-
ing reduced the spectra energy spreading. The propagation of rameters vary during extreme and normal conditions. For Point
waves straight to the coast is associated with refraction at the A (100 m)—classified as deep water according to the water-depth
study area; thus, the waves from Point A (deep-water) to Point B wavelength ratio—the alpha parameter remains constant with re-
(shallow water) change in direction and reduce the wave height spect to Point B at intermediate depth (28 m). In addition, the

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J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


(a) (b) (c)
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(d) (e) (f)

(g) (h)

Fig. 11. Probability distribution for alpha and gamma coefficients (dots) in normal and extreme wave events, modeled by GA: (a) gamma for Point A
(extreme); (b) gamma for Point B (extreme); (c) alpha for Point A (extreme); (d) alpha for Point B (extreme); (e) gamma for Point A (normal); (f)
gamma for Point B (normal); (g) alpha for Point A (normal); and (h) alpha for Point B (normal).

Table 5. Probability results for the second quartile (50%) of alpha and
gamma distributions
Alpha Gamma

Sea state Point A Point B Point A Point B


Extreme 0.02 0.02 7.00 5.48
Normal 0.01 0.01 5.00 5.45

gamma parameter for Point A was higher than gamma for


Point B. Therefore, the gamma coefficient must increase to simu-
late high waves during extreme events. We suggest identifying the
wave states to apply the probability analysis for individual data
sets. Hence, the alpha and gamma values selection will be correct.
During normal wave conditions, the alpha parameter remains
constant for Points A and B but lower in respect to the extreme
sea state; during normal conditions, the gamma coefficient of Point Fig. 12. JONSWAP spectra for Points A and B during normal and ex-
treme wave states.
B was higher in respect to Point A (Fig. 12). The alpha parameter

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J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


reduction in normal conditions related to extreme conditions is due to JONSWAP spectra [Eq. (2)] using the values for Point A during nor-
water-depth reduction (Table 5). When waves propagate to the coast, mal and extreme sea states (Table 5). Fig. 12 shows the wave spectra
the wave spectra concentrate the energy frequency distribution, re- and the calculated Hs [Eq. (3)] for the normal and extreme condi-
sulting in uniform waves before they arrive at the breaking zone. Fur- tions. Because in the study area there is not sufficient in situ informa-
thermore, the gamma coefficient increased at Point B because of the tion to validate the selected alpha and gamma values shown
decrease of spectra spreading, leading to an increment of the gamma previously (Table 5 and Fig. 12), we had to analyze the wave data
value at Point B. As a result, Table 5 shows the alpha and gamma reported in the literature and open databases.
values in the study area, which considers the water-depth and the The calculated Hs for normal and extreme sea states seen in
wave-event transitions. To validate the selected alpha and gamma Fig. 12 were similar to the reported Hs values in the literature.
parameters after the probability analysis, we calculated the Devis-Morales et al. (2017) plotted the monthly maximum signif-
icant wave height values in the Caribbean Sea calculated from
January 1979 to December 2014 by ERA-Interim reanalysis.
Fig. 6 of that study showed the maximum monthly Hs values at
point A and point B were between 3.5 and 4 m. In addition,
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Mesa García (2010) developed a methodology to correct modeled


wave time series for regions with scarce in situ data, utilizing da-
tabases such as WaveWatch III, TOPEX/POSEIDON, and
JASON-1. That research generated cumulative probability curves
for the Caribbean Sea at several locations near the Point A and
Point B of this study. The reported Hs values of that study indi-
cated for 50% of probability values (mean value) about 1.91 m
and values of 4.25 m related to the 99% of probability
(extreme value).
To complement the validation of the selected alpha and gamma
values (Table 5) for the study area, this study extracted three-hourly
wave reanalysis data for the 2001 year (Fig. 13). As seen in Fig. 13,
the pixel encloses to Point A and Point B; then, we performed a
wave climate analysis to the extracted data pixel to validate the cal-
Fig. 13. Data pixel (dash-line polygon) of the WaveWatch III database
culated Hs of Point A and B, shown in Fig. 12.
nearest to Point A (triangle symbol) and Point B (circle symbol)
Fig. 14 presents the wave climate analysis to the extracted data
(Table 5).
pixel (Fig. 13), where Fig. 14(a) depicts three-hourly Hs values of

(a)

(b) (c)

Fig. 14. Wave climate analysis of the data pixel of the WaveWatch III database nearby to Point A and Point B (Fig. 13): (a) POT applied for three-
hourly records of the 2001 year; (b) cumulative probability curve; and (c) extreme cumulative probability curve.

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J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 2020, 146(6): 04020038


the 2001 year. The black horizontal line in Fig. 14(a) represents the Acknowledgments
POT applied to the 2001 year, which denoted the maximum Hs as-
sociated with the fourth quartile (95%) of the extreme cumulative Authors thank Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, Universidad
probability curve in Fig. 14(c). del Norte, and Universidad de la Costa for the financial support
The cumulative probability curve in Fig. 14(b) showed a Hs of through the research project INV-ING-2985.
2.06 m, which represents a normal sea-state condition for the 2001
year. In addition, the maximum Hs of the extreme cumulative prob-
ability curve was associated with the extreme sea-state conditions
for the location, with a value of 4.48 m. As a result, the 1D wave References
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