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Abstract: The design of marine structures requires the simulation of wave parameters that consider sea-state and water-depth transitions.
Proper selection of the model coefficients (e.g., alpha and gamma of the JONSWAP spectra) is then required, because of the wave-
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hydrodynamic nonlinearities during these ocean processes. Therefore, the model coefficient selection should be tested using a nonlinear anal-
ysis to assess the effect of the selected spectra coefficients over the modeled wave parameters. The present study performed a design of
experiment (DOE)-analysis of variance (ANOVA) and probability analysis to assess the effect of alpha and gamma parameters over the sig-
nificant wave height (Hs) and peak period (Tp) during sea-state and water-depth transitions. The DOE-ANOVA demonstrated for the mean
and extreme wave states of the study area that alpha and gamma parameters positively affect the Hs behavior in deep and intermediate waters.
Furthermore, the standardized effects of alpha and gamma over the Tp during extreme wave states suggest quadruplets of wave–wave inter-
actions. The joint and normal probability distributions of alpha and gamma for extreme and normal waves showed a Gaussian distribution,
allowing identification of specific alpha and gamma values for the JONSWAP spectra model. The selected alpha and gamma parameters
were then validated through the comparison of the modeled Hs (JONSWAP) against other local studies. Considering its relevance in design
strategies for offshore structures, this research contributed to the understanding of the nonlinear effects of alpha and gamma parameters over
the Hs and Tp during variations of water depth and wave states, easing the selection of the model coefficients. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)
WW.1943-5460.0000601. © 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: JONSWAP spectra; DOE-ANOVA; Probability; Waves; Numerical modeling.
ied the effect of debris loads in building codes such as FEMA S(ω)JONSWAP = αg 2 ω−5 e−1.25(ω/ωp ) γ δ dω (1)
0
P-646 (FEMA and NOAA 2012) and ASCE 7-16 (ASCE 2017);
Hanley et al. (2014) assessed soft engineering alternatives for where
coastal protection (e.g., sand nourishment); and Fragasso et al.
−((ω−ωp )2 /2σ 2(a,b) ω2p ) σ a=0.07 when, ω ≤ ωp
(2019) validated the coefficient selection of the Yeoh hyperelastic δ=e & σ (a,b) =
σ a=0.09 when, ω > ωp
material model. Furthermore, Young and Scully (2018) evaluated
vessel performance during low and high wave conditions through α = energy scale coefficient; g = Earth’s gravity (9.80665 m/s2);
ANOVA to assess the sheltering effectiveness of three coastal ω = frequency (rad/s); ωp = peak frequency (rad/s); γδ = peak en-
inlet structures. hancement factor; γ = peak enhancement coefficient; δ = describes
The specialized literature established the necessity of testing the the width of the region near the peak; and σ(a,b) = shape parameters.
alpha and gamma ability when considering the nonlinear effects in ∞
−4
the modeled wave spectra during wave-state and water-depth tran- S(ω)JONSWAP = αg 2 ω−5 e−1.25(ω/ωm ) γ δ dω (2)
sitions. The assumptions adopted in the literature—such as a cons- 0
tant gamma parameter of JONSWAP spectra used for the boundary
where
conditions of the numerical models (e.g., SWAN) or related to 1D
wave parameters modeling—could have limited the expected re- ωm = 2π(g/U )(gx/U 2 )−0.33
sults. As a result, it is necessary to assess whether having JONS-
WAP parameters in situ is essential, because the spectra differ at x = fetch length (25 km); and U = wind speed (5 m/s).
every location for the different oscillations of climate variability √
Hs = 4.004 m0 (3)
(hours, days, and months). Furthermore, the energy scale coeffi-
cient (alpha) is a must-have variable during sea conditions because where m0 = zero-order spectral moment.
this parameter controls the wave frequency and modulates the spec- The Delft3D model utilized in stage (1) of the methodology (hy-
tral shape from the sea-to-swell state. drodynamic modeling) can solve currents and waves through
In order to select the model coefficients of the JONSWAP spec- double-way communication between a hydrodynamic module
tra considering the nonlinear interactions generated during water- and the SWAN wave model (Deltares 2014a); the wave model sol-
depth and sea-state transitions, this study proposes the following ves the action–balance equation (Booij et al. 1999). The two-way
methodology: (1) hydrodynamic modeling, (2) wave climate anal- communication mode of Delft3D considers the interactions be-
ysis, (3) generation of coefficients, (4) DOE–ANOVA and proba- tween waves and currents, decreasing the probability of over- or
bility analysis, and (5) validation. The hydrodynamic modeling underestimation in modeled waves, water levels, and currents
generated wave-time series to feed the GA for the generation of (Elhakeem et al. 2015; Escobar 2011; Garcia et al. 2015; McCombs
the alpha and gamma data sets. The DOE-ANOVA then assessed et al. 2014; Rueda-Bayona et al. 2019). The hydrodynamic module
the effect of gamma and alpha parameters over Hs and Tp. The of Delft3D solves the Navier–Stokes equations by considering
probability analysis generated normal, log-normal, and joint prob- the Boussinesq hypothesis. The model uses a flexible mesh and
ability distributions to select alpha and gamma parameters for spe- applies the finite difference method for solving the RANS
cific sites according to the wave-state and the water-depth (Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes) equations. We selected the
transitions. Finally, the validation compared the calculated Hs turbulence k-ϵ model (Uittenbogaard et al. 1992) and the ADI
Fig. 1. (a) Grid model for the study area; and (b) location of virtual points, wave buoy (DIMAR), and water level station (Casa Pilotos). Projected
coordinates in Magna-Sirgas Bogota Zone; units in meters.
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Table 2. Time period of water level and significant wave-height data for
the model calibration Fig. 2. Information flow scheme between the Delft 3D Flow and
SWAN wave model.
(b)
Fig. 3. Model calibration results: (a) water levels; and (b) significant wave height.
wave heights resulted in a determination coefficient of 0.70 with standardized effects from the minimum to the highest effect and
p-value ≪ 0.05 and 95% confidence [Fig. 3(b)]. plots a vertical line over the horizontal bars to show which effects
The design of experiments (DOE) is a planned strategy of mea- are statistically significant. The main effects plot shows the re-
surements or observations (runs) that evaluates independent vari- sponse of each dependent variable to each factor level (low, middle,
ables (factors) to obtain a response from dependent variables. and high) through a plot line. Hence, the probability analysis allows
The objective of DOE is to optimize processes or analyze the be- identification of the representative value of a population and the re-
havior of variables. For its part, the analysis of variance lation between the wave parameters through probability distribu-
(ANOVA) verifies the hypothesis that the means of two or more tion curves and joint probabilities graphs. The probability
populations are equal; ANOVA sets two hypotheses to test the sig- analysis considers the limited central theorem to adjust the data dis-
nificance of one or more factors; the means of the response variable tribution into a normal distribution.
are compared according to the different levels of the factors. If all The DOE-ANOVA analysis performed in this study targets the un-
the means of the levels of the factors (means of the population) are derstanding of the modeled significant wave heights (Hs) and peak pe-
equal, then the hypothesis is null, while the alternative hypothesis riods (Tp) behavior when varying the two main parameters (alpha and
shows that at least one mean is different. In a two-way ANOVA or gamma) of JONSWAP spectra model. To do so, we must identify rep-
factorial ANOVA, two independent variables are affecting the de- resentative normal and extreme sea states of the study area, to classify
pendent variable. The factors selected comprise two or three levels and group Hs and Tp datasets for the DOE-ANOVA analysis. In the
(low, middle, and high), which can be the minimum, mean, and section Wave Climate Analysis, seven sea states were classified;
maximum values of a dataset of one independent variable. The then, we extracted the modeled Hs and Tp hourly data of each sea
ANOVA then determines the main effect and the interaction effects state (Table 3). Also, to generate alpha and gamma parameters of
of the factors (independent variables) over the responses (depen- the seven classified sea states, we applied a genetic algorithm model
dent variable). Three assumptions must be considered applying seen in the Generation of Coefficients section. As a result, the Hs,
the ANOVA: normality, independence, and homoscedasticity Tp, alpha, and gamma datasets were organized for points A and B
(Montgomery 2017). (Fig. 1, Table 1) to perform the DOE-ANOVA.
For the factorial ANOVA or factorial design, the levels of the Considering that the seven Hs and Tp hourly dataset are contin-
factors can be denoted with a negative or positive sign. For in- uous samples for the DOE-ANOVA, and the data (population)
stance, Factor A can have three levels: low (A−), middle (A) and have a different order of magnitude, this study used the maximum
high (A+). The interaction between A with another factor (B) can value technique for normalizing, which involved dividing the sam-
be written as AB. To analyze the effects of the factor over the re- ples of each of the seven datasets by its maximum value. As a re-
sponse, the Pareto chart and the main effects plot allow visualiza- sult, the maximum value technique allows limiting the maximum
tion of the interactions among the independent and dependent range up to 1 and the minimum range to the minimal value of
variables. The Pareto chart represents the absolute values of the each dataset. The normalized datasets enable to set the level factor
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
Fig. 4. Wave climate analysis of the virtual buoy at 11.5 N and 74.5 W of the WaveWatch III database: (a) cumulative probability curve; (b) extreme
cumulative probability curve; (c) wave rise; and (d) POT applied to WaveWatch III virtual point for 30-year three-hourly records.
analyzed seven wave events through the DOE-ANOVA (Table 3). computational time. With 100 chromosomes, the GA found the
alpha and gamma values for the time series (2001) of the Points
A and B. Fig. 7 shows the numerical solution for Point A, where
Generation of Coefficients the residuals remain near to 0.05 m; some peaks were close to
This research generated alpha and gamma data sets through a val- 0.4 m did not significantly affect the total correlation coefficient
idated GA model (Rueda Bayona 2017; Rueda-Bayona et al. 2020) of 0.9923. Given the scatter of the alpha and gamma, it was neces-
fed with modeled Hs and Tp time series generated by the calibrated sary to apply a probabilistic analysis.
Delft3D model (Deltares 2014a, b). The GA model generates, mu- Fig. 7(a) depicts the comparison of the targeted Hs (in situ) gen-
tates, and crosses populations of alpha and gamma datasets (chro- erated by the Delft3D model and the modeled Hs (artificial) by the
mosomes), solves the JONSWAP spectra, and calculates Hs GA model. In Fig. 7(b) is evidenced that the GA model solves the
through the zero-order moment till the targeted hourly Hs value JONSWAP spectra and selects successfully the calculated Hs using
is reached. The GA model selects the optimal hourly alpha and the zero-order moment for each hourly time interval, considering
gamma, considering the minimum difference between the calcu- the minimum difference (residual) between the in situ and artificial
lated Hs through JONSWAP spectra and the targeted Hs generated Hs. Figs. 7(c and d) show the utilized alpha and gamma values by
by the Delft3D model. More details of the functioning and structure the GA model for each hourly time interval. Then, it is observed
of the GA model may be found in Rueda Bayona (2017) and that alpha and gamma did not depict a defined behavior along the
Rueda-Bayona et al. (2020). time [Figs. 7(c and d)], evidencing that these two parameters
Fig. 6. Population-size test for determining the efficient number of chromosomes. According to the GA, the variables analyzed are peak energy (Ep),
Hs objective (Hs-obj), and artificial (Hs art). (Data from Rueda Bayona 2017.)
(b)
(c)
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(d)
Fig. 7. Numerical results of the GA for Point A with hourly time resolution: (a) Hs target versus artificial; (b) residual ΔHs; (c) alpha coefficients; and
(d) gamma coefficients.
distributed nonlinearly, which makes it challenging to select a rep- Table 4. Standardized effects of alpha and gamma (factors) over Hs and Tp
resentative alpha and gamma value for the seven sea states. (responses) behavior
Sea state Experiment 1 (Point A) Experiment 2 (Point B)
DOE-ANOVA and Probability Analysis Event 1 No standardized effect. Gamma = Hs (+)
(extreme)
The results of the previous section showed that JONSWAP spectra Event 2 No standardized effect. Gamma = Hs (+)
parameters defined a scattered distribution along the time, which (extreme)
makes it difficult to select proper and specific alpha and gamma val- Event 3 Alpha = Tp (−), Gamma = Hs (+)
ues for the study area. Accordingly, we applied the DOE-ANOVA (extreme) Hs-Tp (−)
to analyze nonlinear effects and transformation of the waves, using Event 4 Alpha = Hs (+) Gamma = Hs (+), Tp (+)/Alpha
the alpha and gamma parameters generated by the GA model, and (normal) = Hs-Hs (+), Tp-Tp (−)
the Hs and Tp created by the Delft3D model. Event 5 Alpha = Hs (+) Alpha = Tp-Tp (−), Hs-Hs
Then, this research designed two experiments according to the (normal) (+)/Gamma = Tp (+), Hs (+)
seven sea states classified earlier for Point A and for Point B, re- Event 6 Alpha = Hs (+) Gamma = Hs (+)
(normal)
spectively, where Experiment 1 gathers seven datasets of Point
Event 7 Alpha = Hs (+)/Gamma Alpha = Tp-Tp (+),
A, and Experiment 2 comprises seven datasets related to the sea (normal) = Hs-Hs (−)
states defined in Table 4. Before the DOE-ANOVA analysis, we
verified that the 14 datasets satisfied the principles of normality, in- Note: Signs (+) and (−) show a positive and negative standardized effect.
dependence, and homoscedasticity. Each dataset was analyzed in- Hs-Hs and Tp-Tp represent the second-order interaction of factors.
dependently in order to prevent statistical time dependence
among the 14 datasets. an effect that could be related to the high nonlinearity of the
The identified factors in Table 4 presented p-value ≪ 0.05 of wave process; the horizontal axes of Figs. 9(b and d) indicated
significance with 95% probability confidence. As a result, the the factor levels values which were 0.39 (low) and 1 (high) for
DOE-ANOVA showed that alpha positively dominates the Hs be- Hs for Tp in both cases.
havior at Point A (Table 4), and gamma dominates the Hs behavior Phillips (1960) and Hasselmann (1962, 1963a, b) produced pi-
at Point B. During extreme events, there was no statistical evidence oneering evidence of the nonlinear interactions between waves.
that alpha or gamma control the variance of Hs and Tp at They explained that, during nonlinear interactions, wave compo-
Point A. Contrary to Point A, the gamma parameter at Point B nents were in resonance, allowing energy exchange and driving
showed a significant effect over Hs variance. Considering the the wave spectra to redistribute the energy along the frequency do-
DOE-ANOVA results in Table 4, we used the three maximum ex- main. During quadruplet wave–wave interactions, there is an en-
treme events (Fig. 5) to generate the Pareto charts and main effects ergy transfer from the peak of wave spectra to the low-frequency
plots (Figs. 8 and 9). Fig. 8 revealed that, during extreme events, region, which represents the spectra evolution. From the peak of
alpha and gamma coefficients are directly proportional to Hs and the spectra to the region of higher frequencies, energy is transferred
inversely proportional to Tp at both points (A and B). In normal and dissipated because of white-capping (Holthuijsen 2010).
conditions, alpha positively affects Hs behavior at Point A. At It is possible to observe that, during the extreme wave events for
Point B, gamma positively affected the Hs for three of four normal deep waters (Table 4, Events 1, 2 and 3, Point A), the absence of a
events; the horizontal axes of Figs. 8(b and d) showed the experi- standardized effect indicated high nonlinear wave interactions that
mental factor levels for Hs and Tp. could be generated by quadruplet wave–wave interactions. Thus,
During normal conditions (Fig. 9), alpha and gamma are di- because of the high-order interactions previously mentioned,
rectly proportional to Hs at Points A and B. However, standardized there was no statistical evidence that alpha or gamma parameters
effects for Tp revealed a higher-order effect of alpha and gamma may dominate or control the wave spectra. Event 3 for Point A
through BB interaction [Fig. 9(a)] and AB interaction [Fig. 9(c)], showed a Tp (−) and Hs-Tp (−) standardized effect for the alpha
(c) (d)
Fig. 8. DOE-ANOVA analysis: (a) pareto chart of standardized effects for alpha at Point A during State 3 (extreme); (b) main effects plot for alpha at
Point A during State 3 (extreme); (c) pareto chart of standardized effects for gamma at Point B during State 1 (extreme); and (d) main effects plot for
gamma at Point B during State 1 (extreme).
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
Fig. 9. DOE-ANOVA analysis: (a) pareto chart of standardized effects for alpha at Point A during State 6 (normal); (b) main effects plots for alpha at
Point A during State 6 (normal); (c) pareto chart of standardized effects for gamma at Point B during State 6 (normal); and (d) main effects plots for
gamma at Point B during State 6 (normal).
(a) (b)
(c) (d)
Fig. 10. Joint probability: (a) Hs-Tp at Point A; (b) Hs-Tp at Point B; (c) alpha-gamma at Point A; and (d) alpha-gamma at Point B.
parameter, which shows that alpha has a dominant inverse effect before the breaking zone. The control volume variation of the
over the wave period. Furthermore, the standardized effects suggest water column drives waves to propagate obliquely to the coast to
that frequencies redistribute along the spectra because of spectra retain mass conservation. This change in wave direction associates
evolution and white-capping dissipation. a phase-speed increment and a wave-frequency redistribution
We developed joint probabilities for wave and spectra pa- [Fig. 10(b)].
rameters [Figs. 10(a and b)] to verify whether the water depth We selected Events 1 and 6 as extreme and normal wave events,
could affect the Hs and Tp distribution. For the Hs-Tp joint respectively (Fig. 11), in order to estimate the alpha and gamma
probability, Point A showed two cores that represent waves probabilities through a probability distribution. Fig. 11 shows the
with high (Hs = 1.4 m, Tp = 1.4 s) and low (Hs = 0.7 m, Tp = behavior of spectra parameters in the probability domain where
4.5 s) frequencies. In addition, one of the two probability normal distributions have symmetric and asymptotic tails, indicat-
cores seen at Point A vanished at Point B. The previous behav- ing a proper distribution of data according to the central limit the-
ior of joint probabilities displayed wave shoaling because of the orem; to apply the ANOVA, the dataset modeled by the GA must
water-depth reduction from 102 m at Point A to 28 m at Point satisfy the assumptions of normality, homoscedasticity, and inde-
B. When a wave propagates to shallow water, the frequency dis- pendence (Montgomery 2017). The normal distribution is then ev-
persion decreases and phase speed approaches the group veloc- idence that the samples generated by the GA have a short statistical
ity. As a result, the phase speed becomes less dependent on distance between mean and median for their population. The stat-
frequency. Wave shoaling limits the linear wave theory applica- istical closeness of central values in normal distributions indicates
tion because the phase speed and group velocity approach zero that the second quartile (50%) may represent the population of data.
at the waterline, resulting in a wave amplitude that tends to in- We generated the probability distributions of the alpha and
finity (Holthuijsen 2010). gamma coefficients (Fig. 11) and selected the second quartile of
The wave shoaling effect is evident in Figs. 10(b and c) because probability (50%) because it represents the statistical median of
the probability density of alpha is higher at Point B than Point the data; the second quartile implies that most of the alpha and
A. Therefore, an alpha coefficient of 0.01 and a gamma coefficient gamma values are close to the central value. As a result, Table 5
of 1 is suggested. Considering the joint probabilities in Fig. 10, it is shows the representative values of alpha and gamma for the
possible to argue that water-depth reduction generated a probability study area.
core concentration for Hs-Tp and alpha-gamma; thus, wave shoal- The second quartiles showed that the JONSWAP spectra pa-
ing reduced the spectra energy spreading. The propagation of rameters vary during extreme and normal conditions. For Point
waves straight to the coast is associated with refraction at the A (100 m)—classified as deep water according to the water-depth
study area; thus, the waves from Point A (deep-water) to Point B wavelength ratio—the alpha parameter remains constant with re-
(shallow water) change in direction and reduce the wave height spect to Point B at intermediate depth (28 m). In addition, the
(g) (h)
Fig. 11. Probability distribution for alpha and gamma coefficients (dots) in normal and extreme wave events, modeled by GA: (a) gamma for Point A
(extreme); (b) gamma for Point B (extreme); (c) alpha for Point A (extreme); (d) alpha for Point B (extreme); (e) gamma for Point A (normal); (f)
gamma for Point B (normal); (g) alpha for Point A (normal); and (h) alpha for Point B (normal).
Table 5. Probability results for the second quartile (50%) of alpha and
gamma distributions
Alpha Gamma
(a)
(b) (c)
Fig. 14. Wave climate analysis of the data pixel of the WaveWatch III database nearby to Point A and Point B (Fig. 13): (a) POT applied for three-
hourly records of the 2001 year; (b) cumulative probability curve; and (c) extreme cumulative probability curve.
.1029/98JC02622.
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Conclusions
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