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Chapter 10
Today’s Objectives
¨ Process Capability
¤What is it? How do we measure?
¨ Statistical Process Control
¤Control Charts
nattribute charts : p and c-charts
nvariable charts : x-bar and r-charts
¨ Acceptance Sampling
10- 2
Process Capability
¨ The ability of a process to consistently produce
a good or deliver a service with a low
probability of generating a defect
¨ Specification limits – range of variation that is
considered acceptable by the designer or
customer
¨ Process limits – range of variation that a
process is able to maintain with a high degree
of certainty
10- 3
1
Variation in Processes
10- 4
10- 5
Process Capability
¨ Inorder for the pistons to work perfectly with the
Engine Block, the diameter of the Pistons should be
within certain Tolerance Limits (Specification Limits)
of 94mm to 106mm, ideally being 100mm
¨ That is, Diameter should be 100 +/- 6mm
¤If Piston Diameter less than 94 mm, they are too loose in
Engine Block and won't work (piston defective)
¤If the Pistons Diameter greater than 106 mm, they are
too wide to go in the Engine Block and hence won't work
(piston defective)
10- 6
2
Process Capability
¨ Furthermore, as the diameter moves away from the
Target Specification (Target Value) of 100mm, there is
more chance that the Pistons might create engine
problems in the future, causing warranty issues , or
customer dissatisfaction ( quality costs – Taguchi’s
view)
¨ Hence, the ideal situation is try to constantly produce
Piston's with exactly 100mm diameters, all the time!
¨ But, is this even possible ?
10- 7
Process Capability
¨ Assuming that the above data is a good
representation of your system:
¤What percent of your production is expected to be
within the acceptable tolerance limits?
¨ Assuming that the Diameter Variable follows a
Normal Distribution (if random sampling is done
in a certain way, this can be assumed),
¨ We can easily find the above percentage by
calculating the area under the Normal curve
between the UTL and the LTL
10- 10
3
Finding the Percentage of Products
Being Produced within Tolerance Limits
¨ To find the area under the Normal curve between
LTL and UTL, first z-transform LTL and UTL
From the Z-tables (Appendix E), P(LTL<= Diameter <= UTL) =
find the area as
P(LTL<= Diameter <= UTL) =
P(zLTL<= Z <= zUTL) =
𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧0.- )-𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧-.- ) =
?
=1-0 =1 LTL=94 𝑋 =100 UTL=106 Diameter
Note that, there are no z values zLTL=
-.-)*
= -6 zUTL=
0.-)*
=6
such as 6 or -6! / /
Which says that all our Pistons
should have a diameter within
the tolerance limits! Which is
practically true!
10- 11
10- 13
4
Tighter Tolerance Limits
¨ Tofind the area under the Normal curve between
LTL and UTL, first z-transform LTL and UTL
From the Z-tables (Appendix E), P(LTL<= Diameter <= UTL) =
find the area as
P(zLTL<= Diameter <= zUTL) =
𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧0.- ) - 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧-.- ) = ?
𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 3) - 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ −3) =
0.9987 – 0.0013 = 0.9973 LTL=97 𝑋 =100 UTL=103 Diameter
-.-)* 0.-)*
zLTL= = -3 zUTL= = 3
Which says that 99.73% our / /
Pistons should have a diameter Note that,
within the tolerance limits! That is, LTL = 97 = 𝑋 - 3s = 100-3x1
on average, about 3 out of 1000 UTL =103 = 𝑋 + 3s = 100+3x1
So, the tolerance limits are 3-sigma apart from
Pistons will be defective! the mean!
10- 14
10- 16
5
How can the problem be resolved?
¨ If we can decrease the standard deviation of our
process (which could be possible by replacing our
machinery with more accurate Computer Controlled
Machinery), or by training the workers better,
replacing the tools (such as cutting , weighing, etc..) in
a timely manner, etc….. ), then we can expect more of
our products to fall in the Tolerance limits.
0.9973
Note that,
LTL = 97 = 𝑋 - 3s = 100-3x1
UTL =103 = 𝑋 + 3s = 100+3x1
So, the tolerance limits are 3-sigma apart from the mean!
10- 18
6
New Process with Std Dev. = 0.5
¨ As before, using Excel’s NORMSDIST function, this
probability can be calculated as follows:
P(LTL<= Diameter <= UTL) = P(zLTL<= Z <= zUTL) =
= 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧"#$ ) - 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 𝑧$#$ ) =
So, 𝑃(−6 ≤ 𝑍 ≤ 6) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 6) - 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ −6)
¨ where,
𝑋2 − 𝐿𝑆𝐿 𝑈𝑆𝐿 − 𝑋2
𝐶%& = min ,
3𝜎 3𝜎
10- 21
æ X - LTL UTL - X ö
Meanings of Cpk Measures, C pk = minçç
è 3s
or
3s ø÷
÷
22
Cpk = zero
Cpk = 1
Cpk > 1
7
23
Example
¨ Design Specs:
¤Average 60psi pressure, upper and lower tolerance
limits are: 65 and 55 psi.
¨ Process:
¤After taking a sample you have
nAverage of 61psi and the standard deviation of 2 psi.
10- 23
24
æ X - LTL UTL - X ö
C pk = minçç ÷
What does Cpk mean? è 3s
or
3s ÷ø
¨ If Cpk <-1 than you should also decrease the standard deviation of your system.
System is not capable of producing the parts in desired tolerance limits.
¨ If Cpk is zero, which happens when Xbar=LTL or Xbar=UTL, then the average
production from this process does not fit in your design limits (tolerance limits).
Approximately 50% of your production is out of limits. See second graph above.
You should decrease Xbar of your process, or increase in case Xbar=LTL. System
is not capable of producing the parts in desired tolerance limits. 10- 24
25
æ X - LTL UTL - X ö
What does Cpk mean? C pk = minçç
è 3s
or
3s ø÷
÷
¨ If Cpk = between 0 and 1, that means either Xbar is not at the center of the
two tolerance limits, or the standard deviation is too high, or both
¤ If Xbar is in the center but Std.Dev > (UTL-LTL)/6, then the deviation in the
process should be decreased, in this case the system is not capable of
producing the product in the design limits.
¤ If Xbar is not in the center and Std.Dev > (UTL-LTL)/6, then the deviation in
the process should be decreased, in this case the system is not capable of
producing the product in the design limits. The deviation of the process has
to be not only decreased but also its average should be centered again.
10- 25
8
26
æ X - LTL UTL - X ö
C pk = minçç ÷
What does Cpk mean? è 3s
or
3s ø÷
¨ If Cpk = 1, then Xbar is at the center, and the std.dev is equal to (UTL-
LTL)/6. Process is barely capable of producing in the design limits.
¨ If Cpk > 1, then the std.dev is low (which is a desired situation), but
depending on which tolerance limit Xbar is close to, there might be a
shift or not in Xbar.
10- 26
Today’s Objectives
¨ Process Capability
¤ What is it? How do we measure; Cpk?
¨ Statistical Process Control
¤ Control Charts
n attribute charts : p and c-charts
n variable charts : x-bar and r-charts
¨ Acceptance Sampling
10- 27
10- 28
9
Process Control Chart
Out of control
Upper
control
limit
Process
average
Lower
control
limit
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sample number
10- 29
10- 30
Control Limits
¨ We, generally, establish the Upper Control Limits (UCL) and
the Lower Control Limits (LCL) with plus or minus z = 3
standard deviations from some x-bar or mean value. Based
on this we can expect 99.74% of the products fall within
these limits
99.74%
x
LCL=X-3σ x UCL= X+3σ
¨ Or, the Upper Control Limits (UCL) and the Lower Control
Limits (LCL) can be established with plus or minus z=2.58
standard deviations from some x-bar or mean value. Based
on this we can expect 99% of the products fall within these
limits
10- 31
10
Process Control Charts - Interpretation
10- 32
Quality Measures:
Attributes and Variables
¨ Variable (Continuous)
¤ Usually measured by the mean and the standard deviation.
¤a product characteristic that is continuous and can be measured
¤ E.g. weight, length, etc..
¤ X-bar and R chart applications
10- 33
Control Charts
10- 34
11
p-Chart
10- 35
p-Chart
10- 36
𝐿𝐶𝐿 = 𝑝 − 𝑧𝑠:
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝐷𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 10- 37
𝑝=
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑂𝑏𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠
12
Creating p Charts
10- 38
Example
The operations manager of the booking services
department of a bank is concerned about the number
of wrong customer account numbers recorded by the
bank personnel. Each week a random sample of 2,500
deposits is taken, and the number of incorrect account
numbers is recorded. The results for the past 12 weeks
are shown in the next slide. Is the booking process out of
statistical control? Draw a P-chart. Use three-sigma
control limits.
10- 39
Sample Wrong
Number Account Number
1 15
2 12
3 19 n = 2500
4 2
5 19
6 4 Total defectives
7 24
8 7
p= Total observations
9 10
10 17
11 15
12 3
Total 147
10- 40
13
Control Charts for Attributes
Sample Wrong
Number Account Number
1 15
2 12 n = 2500
3 19
4 2
5 19
147
6 4 p=
7 24 12(2500)
8 7
9 10
p = 0.0049
10 17
11 15
12 3
Total 147
10- 41
Total 147
10- 42
n = 2500 p = 0.0049
9(:;9) >.>>@A(:;>.>>@A)
𝑆9 = =
= BC>>
= 0.0014
10- 43
14
p-Chart
Wrong Account Numbers
p-Chart
Wrong Account Numbers
10- 46
15
Variable Measurement Process Control
Charts : X-bar and R-Charts
q Variables sampling involves measuring a quantifiable attribute
such as weight, length, diameter, etc.
q Size of samples
q Preferable to keep small (usually 4 or 5 units)
q Number of samples
q Once chart set up, each sample compared to chart
q Use about 25 samples to set up chart
q Frequency of samples
q Tradeoff between cost of sampling and benefit of adjusting the system
q Control limits
q Generally use z = 3 (99.7% of samples are expected to fall within
control limits)
10- 47
10- 48
16
Example: Control Charts for Variables, 𝜎 not known
10- 50
10- 51
17
Control Charts: Special Metal Screw: R-Charts
10- 53
10- 54
R = 0.0021 D 4 = 2.28
D3 = 0
UCLR = D 4R
LCLR = D 3R
10- 55
18
Range Chart - Special Metal Screw
R = 0.0021
x= = 0.5027
UCLx = =x + A 2R
LCLx = =
x - A 2R
10- 57
10- 58
19
Control Charts – Special Metal Screw: X-Charts
R = 0.0021 A2 = 0.7300
x= = 0.5027
UCLx = x= + A 2R
LCLx = x= – A 2R
10- 59
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 Samples
6 over
UC time
L
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 Samples
6 over
UC time
L
LCL
1 2 3 4 5 Samples
6 over
time 10- 61
20
62
10- 62
Value of ‘z’
qSet the control limits so that the there is a 2.5 percent chance that a
sample result falls below the LCL and a 2.5 percent chance that a
sample result falls above the UCL, from 1 – 0.0250 = 0.9750
qLook this number in the body of the z-table for corresponding z-value
qIf this exact number is not available, then pick the closest one. In this
case you will find 0.9750
qGo backward in the same row where 0.9750 is and you will find 1.9
qGo upward of the column where 0.9750 is and you will find 0.06
qAdd both 1.9 + 0.06 = 1.96. This is your z value which you replace
in the formula, z = 1.96
10- 64
21
Control Charts for Variables:
process standard deviation is known
10- 66
Example
¨ A company produces slip-ring bearings, which look like
flat doughnuts . They fit around shafts, such as drive
shafts in machinery. At an early stage in the production
process for a particular slip-ring bearing, the outside
diameter of the bearing is measured. Employees have
taken 10 samples (during 10-day period) of 5 slip-ring
bearings and measured as the next slide.
(1) Develop an x-bar chart with 3-sigma limit .
(2) Develop a R-chart with 3-sigma limit.
10- 67
22
x-bar Chart Example:
Standard Deviation Unknown
10- 68
10- 69
10- 70
23
X-bar Chart Example:
Standard Deviation Unknown (cont.)
= = 5.01 5.02 –
𝑘 10
UCL = 𝑋B + A2 𝑅 = 5.01 + (0.58)(0.115) = 5.08 5.00 –
4.94 –
4.92 – | | | | | | | | | |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sample number
10- 71
0.28 –
UCL = D4R 0.24 –
UCL = 0.243
= 2.11(0.115) 0.20 –
= 0.243 0.16 –
Range
R = 0.115
0.12 –
LCL = D3R
= 0(0.115) 0.08 –
=0 0.04 –
LCL = 0
0– | | | | | | | | | |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sample number
10- 72
Today’s Objectives
¨ Process Capability
¤What is it? How do we measure; Cpk?
¨ Statistical Process Control
¤Control Charts
nattribute charts : p and c-charts
nvariable charts : x-bar and r-charts
¨ Acceptance Sampling
10- 73
24
Acceptance Sampling
¨ Performed on goods that already exist to determine what
percentage of the products conform to specifications
¨ Executed through a sampling plan
¨ Results include accept, reject, or retest
Purpose:
¨ Determine quality level
10- 74
Acceptance Sampling
Disadvantages Advantages
10- 75
Acceptance Sampling –
Designing a Sampling Plan
¨ Determine (1) how many units, n, to sample from a
lot, and (2) the maximum number of defective
items, c, that can be found in the sample before
the lot is rejected
Acceptable quality level Lot tolerance percent
(AQL) defective (LTPD)
• Maximum on average • Maximum percent of
acceptable percentage of defectives (the poorest
defectives found satisfactory quality) in an individual lot
by both the producer and the that the consumer needs to
consumer accept
10- 76
25
Example: Acceptance Sampling Problem
Example: Step 1.
What is given and what is not?
10- 78
Then find the value for “c” by selecting the smallest value in the Exhibit
10.16 (for alfa=0.05, and beta=0.10) “LTPD/AQL” column that is equal to
or just greater than the ratio above.
10- 79
26
Example: Step 3.
Determine Sample Size
¨
Now given the information below, compute the sample
size in units to generate your sampling plan
c = 6, from Table
n (AQL) = 3.286, from Table 10.16
AQL = .01, given in problem
n(AQL)/AQL = 3.286/.01 = 328.6, or 329 (always round up)
Sampling Plan:
Take a random sample of 329 units from a lot.
Reject the lot if more than 6 units are defective.
10- 80
10- 81
Then find the largest “c” value such that “LTPD/AQL” column in the
Exhibit 10.16 (This exhibit is specifically for alfa=0.05, and beta=0.10) is
greater than or equal to the ratio above.
Exhibit 10.16 So, c = 4.
10- 82
27
Example 2: Determine Sample Size
c = 4, from Table
n (AQL) = 1.970, from Table 10.16
AQL = .02, given in problem
n(AQL/AQL) = 1.970/.02 = 98.5, or 99 (always round up)
Sampling Plan:
Take a random sample of 99 units from a lot.
Reject the lot if more than 4 units are defective.
10- 83
Things to do
84
28