ENGR 132

Your Name Courtney Berry Name Purdue Login

Your Purdue Login berry79 Contributor 1
Team-ID 013-21 Contributor 2
Assignment PS 04, Problem 1 Contributor 3

I/We have not used material obtained from any other unauthorized source, either modified
or unmodified. Neither have I/we provided access to my/our work to another.
The solution I/we am/are submitting is my/our own original work.

Problem Description

Input Section: Calculation Section: Output

Chart TitleSection:
Year Temperature Anomaly (deg C) predicted sse sst
1980 0.27 0.75 0.2304 0.0266389 0.8
a= 0.01275862
1981 0.33 0.763 0.187489 0.1089 b= -24.992069
0.7
1982 0.13 0.776 0.417316 0.0169 y=0.013x-24.99
1983 0.3 0.789 0.239121 0.09 SSE= 0.6 0.2752375
1984 0.15 0.802 0.425104 0.0225 SST= 1.96552129
0.5
1986 0.19 0.828 0.407044 0.0361 r^2= 0.85996717
1987 0.33 0.841 0.261121 0.1089 0.4
1988 0.41 0.854 0.197136 0.1681 0.3
1989 0.28 0.867 0.344569 0.0784
1990 0.44 0.88 0.1936 0.1936 0.2
1991 0.43 0.893 0.214369 0.1849 0.1
1992 0.23 0.906 0.456976 0.0529
1993 0.24 0.919 0.461041 0.0576 0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
1994 0.32 0.932 0.374544 0.1024
1996 0.35 0.958 0.369664 0.1225
1997 0.48 0.971 0.241081 0.2304
1998 0.64 0.984 0.118336 0.4096
1999 0.42 0.997 0.332929 0.1764
2001 0.55 1.023 0.223729 0.3025
2002 0.63 1.036 0.164836 0.3969
2003 0.62 1.049 0.184041 0.3844
2004 0.55 1.062 0.262144 0.3025
2005 0.69 1.075 0.148225 0.4761
2007 0.66 1.101 0.194481 0.4356
2008 0.54 1.114 0.329476 0.2916
2009 0.64 1.127 0.237169 0.4096
2010 0.71 1.14 0.1849 0.5041
2011 0.6 1.153 0.305809 0.36
0.433214285714286 0.2752375 1.96552129
ENGR 132
Your Name Name
Your Purdue Login login Contributor 1
Team-ID ###-## Contributor 2
Assignment PS ##, Problem # Contributor 3

I/We have not used material obtained from any other unauthorized source, either modif
or unmodified. Neither have I/we provided access to my/our work to another.
The solution I/we am/are submitting is my/our own original work.

Problem Description

Input Section: prediction sse sst Calculation Section:

Year Temperature Anomaly (deg C) a= 0.0173
1980 0.27 0.16 0.0121 0.04436289 b= -34.094
1981 0.33 0.1773 0.02331729 0.1089 sst= 0.27421447
1982 0.13 0.1946 0.00417316 0.0169 sse= 0.00896513
1983 0.3 0.2119 0.00776161 0.09 r^2= 0.96730613
1984 0.15 0.2292 0.00627264 0.0225
1986 0.19 0.2638 0.00544644 0.0361
1987 0.33 0.2811 0.00239121 0.1089
1988 0.41 0.2984 0.01245456 0.1681
1989 0.28 0.3157 0.00127449 0.0784
1990 0.44 0.333 0.011449 0.1936
1991 0.43 0.3503 0.00635209 0.1849
1992 0.23 0.3676 0.01893376 0.0529
1993 0.24 0.3849 0.02099601 0.0576
1994 0.32 0.4022 0.00675684 0.1024
1996 0.35 0.4368 0.00753424 0.1225
1997 0.48 0.4541 0.00067081 0.2304
1998 0.64 0.4714 0.02842596 0.4096
1999 0.42 0.4887 0.00471969 0.1764
2001 0.55 0.5233 0.00071289 0.3025
2002 0.63 0.5406 0.00799236 0.3969
2003 0.62 0.5579 0.00385641 0.3844
2004 0.55 0.5752 0.00063504 0.3025
2005 0.69 0.5925 0.00950625 0.4761
2007 0.66 0.6271 0.00108241 0.4356
2008 0.54 0.6444 0.01089936 0.2916
2009 0.64 0.6617 0.00047089 0.4096
2010 0.71 0.679 0.000961 0.5041
2011 0.6 0.6963 0.00927369 0.36
2013 0.65 0.7309 0.00654481 0.4225
2014 0.74 0.7482 6.724E-05 0.5476
2015 0.87 0.7655 0.01092025 0.7569
2016 0.99 0.7828 0.04293184 0.9801
0.480625 0.00896513 0.27421447
 Name Purdue Login
ontributor 1
ontributor 2
ontributor 3

urce, either modified

another.

Output Section:

Input Section:
1.2

0.8
f(x) = 0.01730657127716 x − 34.0935777689453
R² = 0.800898904778224
0.6

0.4

0.2

0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Problem 1: Regression in Excel
Q1: Report your linear model. Use professional formatting
Equation: Temperature Anomaly = 0.013(year)-24.99
SSE: 0.275
SST: 1.970
r^2: 0.860

Q2: Explain how well your model represents the relationship between the data. Justify your answer.
This model is relatively accurate because the r^2 value is pretty close to 1.000. The value is only .24 away so its
around 76% accurate.

Q3: Use your model to predict the temperature anomaly for 1995.

1995 0.945

Q4: What is the meaning of the slope of your model

It tells us roughly how many degrees celcius that the temperature anomaly increases per year.

Q5: Report the manual least squares linear model (in form y = mx + b), SSE, SST, and r2 for the model
Equation: Temperature Anomaly = 0.0173(year)-34.094
SSE: 0.009
SST: 0.274
r^2: 0.967

Q6: Use your manual least squares model to predict the temperature anomaly for 1995 and 2020. Justify each
prediction using your knowledge of the original data set and your linear model

1995 0.419499999999999

2020
0.851999999999997

Q7: Compare the two point method model to the least squares model. Which model provides the best fitting trend line?
Justify your answer using r2.
The least squares model is much more accurate than the two point model because the r^2 value is much higher for
least squares. The least squares model has the best fitting trendline which is shown through the higher r^2 value.
er.
.24 away so its

model

. Justify each

best fitting trend line?

is much higher for
higher r^2 value.