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Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599

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Journal of Cleaner Production


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jclepro

Identifying common paths of CO2 and air pollutants emissions in


China
Yu-Sheng Liu a, Ying Cao b, Juan-Juan Hou a, Jiu-Tian Zhang c, Yu-Ou Yang a,
Lan-Cui Liu a, d, *
a
Business School, Beijing Normal University, Haidian District, Beijing, China
b
Strategy and Planning Department, National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Xicheng District, Beijing, China
c
Green Development Institute, Beijing Normal University, Haidian District, Beijing, China
d
Center for Climate and Environmental Policy, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People’s Republic
of China, Chaoyang District, Beijing, China

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: China faces the dual challenge of mitigating climate change and preventing air pollution. The coordi-
Received 29 June 2019 nated control of both problems has become an issue of widespread concern. This study combined
Received in revised form environmentally extended input-output analysis and structural path analysis to analyze the CO2, SO2,
13 February 2020
NOx, black carbon, and PM2.5 emissions embodied in the production supply chain of China in 2012. The
Accepted 14 February 2020
results showed that electricity and heat production, nonmetallic mineral products along with the
Available online 23 February 2020
smelting and pressing of metal were primary sources of environmental emissions from the production
Handling editor: Yutao Wang perspective, and construction contributed 20e38% relevant emissions from the consumption perspec-
tive. Among the 100 largest paths, 22 common critical paths accounted for 16e37% of relevant emissions,
Keywords: meaning that measures focusing on these shared paths will have obvious co-controlling effects. These 22
Structural path analysis critical supply chains were mainly driven by fixed capital formation and exports. The dominant sectors
Supply chains included the construction, electricity and heat production, transportation and storage, and construction-
Co-control materials production (nonmetallic mineral products, smelting and pressing of metal). Therefore, mea-
sures from the production-side and the consumption-side should be given equal attention to effectively
co-control such emissions. Measures to decrease energy intensity, thus reducing end-of-pipe discharge
in these sectors, rather than to remove specific pollutants, represent the most promising production-
related measures. Moreover, slowing construction growth by guiding investments and encouraging
the use or export of products with lower emissions using environmental information labels are essential
consumption-related policies.
© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction pollutions and global warming in China (Ramanathan and


Carmichael, 2008). Several studies have confirmed the co-benefits
In recent years, China has experienced rapid urbanization and of air pollution control and CO2 mitigation for China. Xu and
industrialization. While quality of life has improved for many Masui (2009), Liu et al. (2013b), Nam et al. (2013), Yang et al.
people in China due to economic development, China’s air quality is (2018b), and Muller (2012) presented the positive impacts of con-
deteriorating, and the effects of global warming is becoming more trolling one or more main air pollutants on greenhouse gas
profound. China has become the world’s largest emitter of carbon reduction. Cheng et al. (2015), Rypdal et al. (2007), Dong et al.
dioxide and other air pollutants (Liu et al., 2013a, 2016). Thus, the (2015), Gielen and Chen (2001), Xi et al. (2013), and Mao et al.
co-control of air quality and climate change has become an urgent (2011) showed that better controlling CO2 emissions can greatly
issue. Recently, studies have confirmed a correlation between air reduce air pollutants. The Chinese government is also beginning to
realize the importance of the coordinated control of carbon dioxide
and major air pollutants. In 2018, the Chinese government merged
* Corresponding author. Beijing Normal University, 1626 Room, the Main Building the climate change-related functions of the National Development
19, Xinjiekouwai Street, Haidian District, Beijing, 100875, China.
and Reform Commission and the air-pollution reduction functions
E-mail address: liulancui@163.com (L.-C. Liu).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120599
0959-6526/© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
2 Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599

of the Ministry of Environmental Protection under the Ministry of 2. Methodology and data sources
Ecology and Environment. Because China is pursuing the precise
control of environmental emissions, it is necessary to precisely 2.1. Environmentally extended input-output model
trace the “source” of emissions in supply chains (identifying critical
drivers and sectors) and to identify shared supply chains that drive In this study, EEIOA was used to link sectoral air pollutant
embodied emissions. A better understanding of these embodied emissions to final demands for goods and services (Costello et al.,
emissions holds important policy implications for the control of air 2011; Erickson et al., 2012). As EEIOA can address the direct and
pollutants and carbon emissions. indirect relationship between industrial production and final de-
Structural path analysis (SPA) is an effective tool to consider mand, many studies have used it to analyze direct and indirect
both consumption and production process and can reveal how effects between the sectors of an economic system and the final
embodied environmental emissions are driven by demand flow demand, and this approach has been extensively employed in the
along production supply chains (Yang et al., 2018a). SPA de- fields of water resources, carbon emissions, energy, and environ-
composes the total amount of environmental emissions driven by mental studies (Hawkins et al., 2015; Feng and Hubacek, 2016;
economic activities into the production supply chains of the whole Chen et al., 2017; Wu and Chen, 2017). The standard expression of
society, allowing the determination of supply chains contributing the input-output table (IOT) among n sectors (Leontief, 1970) is
the highest emissions and critical emissions “sources.” SPA has expressed as:
been widely applied in environmental emissions research (Zhang
et al., 2018; Yang et al., 2015, 2018a; Llop and Ponce-Alifonso,
2015; Peters and Hertwich, 2006). For example, Yang et al. X ¼ ðI  AÞ1 Y ¼ LY; (1)
(2018a) investigated dynamic variations in the SO2 emissions
embodied in the supply chains of 28 Chinese economic sectors where Xðn 1Þ is the matrix of total output; Aðn nÞ is the direct
during 2002e2012. Liang et al. (2014) identified the primary requirement coefficient matrix representing the ratios of sector
supply chain contributing to atmospheric mercury emissions in 30 inputs to sectoral outputs, and element a ij of A represents inputs
sectors in 30 Chinese regions. Yang et al. (2015) analyzed the from sector i necessary to satisfy the unit output in sector j; Yðn 1Þ
embodied CO2 emissions in the supply chains in 56 sectors in is the final demand vector including rural and urban household
2007. Nagashima (2018) identified structural paths that induced consumption, government consumption, fixed capital formation,
higher residential PM2.5 emissions in 30 sectors in 30 Chinese exports, and others; and L ¼ ðI  AÞ1 is the Leontief inverse
regions. matrix.
However, the above studies generally only focus on emissions The above framework is for noncompetitive, single-region IOTs.
of a single pollutant, and few of them analyze the multiple envi- Thus, its intermediate use and final use can be divided into two
ronmental emissions inherent in supply chains. Thus, they cannot partsdtotal local outputs and imports. The Chinese 2012 IOT was
provide sufficient information for the co-control of CO2 emissions used in our study. Because it is a competitive IOT with an import
and main air pollutants. Moreover, due to differences in their di- column, adjustments had to be made to exclude the interference of
vision of sectors and data sources, it is impossible for us to identify imports. As in a previous study by Ou et al. (2017), each economic
the “source of emissions” and determine the common paths of sector and the final demand category were assumed to have used
main air pollutants and CO2 emissions. In addition, these litera- sectoral imports in the same proportions, and the following equa-
tures are also inconsistent in their treatment of imported prod- tions were used to adjust the direct requirement matrix, A, and the
ucts. Therefore, a knowledge gap remains concerning common final demand, Y:
emission supply chains, the sources of different environmental
emissions, and what measures should be implemented to co-
fimportðiÞ
control these emissions. To address this, this study considered Si ¼ ; (2)
multiple emissionsdSO2, NOx, black carbon (BC), PM2.5 and the xi þ fimportðiÞ
major greenhouse gas, CO2dthrough the combination of an
environmentally extended input-output analysis (EEIOA) and SPA
to investigate both the shared and distinct paths of higher emis- Ad ¼ ðI  b
SÞ  A; (3)
sions and the dominant sectors and drivers of these paths to
provide detailed quantitative sectoral information for policy-
making regarding environmental emissions. The primary pur-
Yd ¼ ðI  b
SÞ  Y; (4)
poses of this paper are: (a) to reveal the key sectors contributing to
SO2, NOx, BC, and PM2.5, and CO2 emissions in China, from the
where xi and fimportðiÞ are the total output and imports of sector i,
perspectives of both production and consumption; (b) to identify
respectively; b
S is the diagonal matrix of Si ðn  1); and Ad and Yd are
common paths with higher CO2 emissions and air pollutants in
the adjusted values of A and Y, respectively.
China; and (c) to suggest policy measures to co-control SO2, NOx,
The EEIOA method introduces a direct emission intensity
BC, PM2.5 and CO2 emissions. The results will help further our
matrix: Fð1 nÞ (direct emissions per unit of output) to convert IO
understanding of the relationship between economic structures
output matrix into the environmental IO matrix E ðn  n), which is
and different environmental emissions and allow the sector-
calculated as:
specific policies to be developed and refined.
The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. In Section 2,
the EEIOA and SPA methods are introduced. In Section 3, the pro-
E¼b c
F ðI  Ad Þ1 Yd (5)
duction- and consumption-based emissions of CO2 and main air
pollutants are compared. Common and unique paths among the top Thus, the emissions were calculated in this way. The element e ij
100 are identified, along with dominant sectors and drivers. Section of E represents the emissions in sector i to satisfy the unit of output
4 discusses the role of fixed capital formation, exports, and other in sector j (Yang et al., 2018a). The final emissions from the pro-
considerations. Finally, conclusions and policy implications are duction and consumption activities of a sector can then be derived
presented in Section 5. from the environmental IO matrix, E, as:
Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599 3

of the direct emissions from urban and rural residents (1.48 Mt).
X
n
The total combined emissions from these activities were 20.86 Mt,
Pi ¼ eij ; (6)
j¼1
which is consistent with the total emissions from 2012 published
by Environmental Bulletin (21.18 Mt) and is also consistent with
those reported by Yang et al. (2018a). Based on NOx emissions
X
n
Ci ¼ eji ; (7) factors from Tian et al. (2001), the estimated emissions from the
j¼1 construction, transportation, and service industries were 7.56 Mt in
2012, which is between the amounts reported by Ding et al. (2017)
where Pi and Ci are the production-based and consumption-based and in Multi-resolution Emission Inventory for China (MEIC) data.
emissions of sector i, respectively, and n is the number of sectors. This paper only considers the BC emissions of economic pro-
duction activities, excluding residents’ biomass combustion and
natural emissions. According to Zhang and Wang (2011) and Zhi
2.2. Structural path analysis (SPA)
et al. (2009), BC emissions caused by economic production activ-
ities account for about 40% of total emissions, including biomass
SPA can map the pollutant emissions from final consumption to
burning. Based on this, the emissions from economic production
production at each production tier of a supply chain. In SPA, the
activities estimated by Fu et al. (2018) in 2012 were 0.76 Mt, while
Leontief inverse can be expanded using the Taylor series approxi-
this study’s estimate was 0.64 Mt. Thus, this study’s results were
mation to trace and extract key supply chains in the emissions
basically consistent with those of Fu et al. (2018).
network:
The estimated total direct PM2.5 emissions in 2012 were 8.08 Mt.
Because various sources of open-air dust and the open combustion
L ¼ ðI  AÞ1 ¼ I þ A þ A2 þ A3 þ A4 þ … þ At ; lim At ¼ 0
t/∞ of biomass were not included, our estimate is lower than that re-
(8) flected in the MEIC data (11.86 Mt). PM2.5 emissions from various
open-air dust sources and the open combustion of biomass greatly
contribute to total direct PM2.5 emissions, which are also among the
E ¼ F  ðI  Ad Þ1 Yd ¼ FIYd þ FAd Yd þ FA2d Yd þ FA3d Yd þ …
key targets of air pollution prevention in China. With these con-
þ FAtd Yd siderations, the PM2.5 emissions estimated by this study are com-
(9) parable with existing data.
To match the environmental emissions data of 42 sectors with
On the right-hand side of Eq. (9), each element in the expansion the input-output data, this study merged both types of data into 30
denotes a different production tier. FAtd Yd represents the contri- sectors, as presented in Table A1.
bution of emissions from the t th production tier. For example,
assuming the case where Yd is the demand for a car, then FIYd is the 3. Results
direct pollution caused by the manufacturing of the car. To produce
this car, input Ad Yd from other industries is required, and those 3.1. Production-based and consumption-based emissions
industries generate FAd Yd units of pollutants. In turn, these in-
dustries require inputs of A2d Yd and emit FA2d Yd units of pollutants In 2012, the total emissions of CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC were
and so on; the infinite expansion of the power series continues. 8.77 Bt, 19.40 Mt, 25.22 Mt, 8.08 Mt, and 641,100 tons, respectively.
Thus, emissions of pollutants in the zeroth tier represent the However, the levels of production-based and consumption-based
emissions during the car assembly phase. Emissions in the first tier emissions are quite different, as shown in Fig. 1.
are associated with producing the parts required by the car From the perspective of consumption, construction (S27) was
manufacturer, such as steel, rubber, and glass, etc. Emissions in the the dominant contributor to all five kinds of environmental emis-
higher tiers are those caused by the production of the inputs for the sions, accounting for 33.96%, 30.85%, 29.07%, 37.17%, and 29.21% of
components in the supply chain. Ultimately, a complete picture of CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions, respectively. While the
the pollution generated by the production of a car and its relevant amount of direct emissions in S27 are small, large amounts of
production paths can be obtained as a data tree. In general, the total emissions are embodied in their intermediate material inputs
emissions contributed by given tier rapidly decrease as the tier including steel, cement, glass, and electrical and heat power (Liang
number increases (Nagashima, 2018). However, it is impossible to et al., 2014). In recent years, China has witnessed rapid urbanization
evaluate the infinite number of nodes in the tree. For this study, and a surge in its urban population (Guan et al., 2018; Wang and
therefore, only the top 100 paths were considered. A detailed Zhao, 2018), and the demand for urban housing and supporting
illustration of the SPA process is given in Lenzen (2007) and Meng infrastructure is growing rapidly. From 2002 to 2012, the area
et al. (2015). involved in building construction quadrupled with an average
annual growth rate of more than 16%, and the output of related
2.3. Data preparation materials, such as cement, steel, and flat glass, also maintained a
high growth rate of more than 10% (National Bureau of Statistics of
Two types of data were required in this study: Chinese input- China, 2017). Consequently, environmental emissions driven by
output data, and sectoral environmental emissions (SO2, NOx, BC, construction are soaring (Jiao et al., 2017; Mi et al., 2016).
PM2.5 and CO2) for 2012. Inputeoutput data are from Chinese input- From the perspective of production, electricity and heat pro-
output table 2012, obtained from the National Bureau of Statistics duction (S24) was the dominant contributor to CO2, SO2, and NOx
of China (2015). Table 1 shows the sectoral environmental emis- emissions, accounting for 44.15%, 41.27%, and 40.59% respectively,
sions source. because coal is the dominant energy source for electricity and heat
The CO2 emissions reported in the China Emission Accounts and generation in China (Liu et al., 2015). More importantly, this sector
Datasets (CEADs) are widely recognized and have been used in provides indispensable energy inputs for almost all final demands
many studies, such as Mi et al. (2017) and Zheng et al. (2018). The and industries. In recent years, the development of information
total estimated SO2 emissions caused by economic production ac- technologies, smart devices, and electric bicycles and vehicles are
tivities in 2012 in this paper were 19.38 Mt, without consideration greatly increasing national demand for electrical energy; thus,
4 Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599

Table 1
Environmental emissions sources.

Gases emissions Sources Literature

CO2 emissions China Emission Accounts and Datasets (CEADs) CEADs (2019)

SO2 Industrial and Chinese Environment Statistical Yearbook National Bureau of Statistics of China (2013a)
emissions agricultural
and NOx emissions
emissions Other Emissions from construction and tertiary industries were estimated Sectoral energy consumption data are from China Energy Statistical
emissions based on sectoral energy consumption and relevant emissions Yearbook (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2013b). Emission
factors. factors are from Shi et al. (2014).
PM2.5 emissions Direct emissions from agriculture, industry, construction, and other Sectoral energy consumption are from China Energy Statistical
industries are calculated based on sectoral energy consumption Yearbook (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2013b).
and relevant emission factors. Emission factors are from Technical Guidelines for the Preparation of
PM2.5 emissions from transport were derived from the Multi- Atmospheric Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Source Emission Inventory
resolution Emission Inventory for China (MEIC). (Trial) (Ministry of Environmental Protection, 2014) and MEIC (2019).
BC emissions Direct emissions from eight types of energy consumption are Sectoral energy consumption data are from China Energy Statistical
calculated based on sectoral energy consumption and relevant Yearbook (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2013b).
emissions factors. Emission factors are from Li et al. (2016).

Fig. 1. Sectoral production- and consumption-based emissions of China in 2012.


Note: The horizontal axis shows sector codes, which are specified in Appendix A1, and the vertical axis indicates various air pollutants.

electricity and heat production will contribute a larger share of the production capacity in both sectors since 2012. Coal-dominated
total emissions in the future, and the other sectors will be energy structures have changed little over the last decade, and
responsible for a shrinking share. Undoubtably, a series of mitiga- the production activities of the above-mentioned sectors require
tion policies, such as the adjustment of power generation structures considerable coal consumption. Both sectors are still defined as
to increase the use of renewable energy sources, decrease the use of “high emission” sectors by the Comprehensive List of Environ-
coal, and phase out high-emission power plants, should be adopted. mental Protection (Ministry of Environmental Protection, 2018).
Importantly, all five kinds of environmental emissions must be Optimizing industrial structure by minimizing their environ-
reduced, not merely SO2, NOx, and dust through the deployment of mental burden in the current period of economic transformation
ultra-low emissions technology. would significantly reduce emissions in both sectors. Addition-
Sectors S14 and S13 (smelting and pressing of metal and ally, decreasing energy intensity and encouraging downstream
nonmetal mineral products) also played an important role in sector (construction) to use the products involving lower emis-
production-based emissions, as their main products were iron & sions will also be helpful.
steel and cement. These two sectors alone accounted for 34.15%, In addition, in 2012, more than one third of total NOx emissions
28.68%, 15.68%, 42.71%, and 33.78% of the total CO2, SO2, NOx, occurred in sector S29 (transport and storage) from the production-
PM2.5, and BC emissions, respectively. China has long been the based perspective. The main reason is the growth in freight and
world’s largest producer of cement and steel (Cao et al., 2016), passenger transport within the context of regional specialization.
meeting nearly half of the world’s cement demand (Van Oss, For instance, Hebei province contributes almost 50% of the total
2015). According to data from the World Steel Association iron and steel production in China, and Shandong province is an
(2018), China accounted for 46.43% (736.8 million tons) of important vegetable production base. Due to national restrictions
global steel production in 2017. These two sectors not only have on diesel engines to improve air quality that encourage the use of
overcapacity but also have a large amount of backward capacity, electric engines, emissions will transfer from the transport sector to
leading to considerable energy consumption and emissions. To the electricity and heat production sector, although the demand for
improve air quality, the Chinese government has made fruitful transportation demand is rigid.
efforts to reduce backward production capacity and excess
Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599 5

3.2. CO2 and air pollutant emissions in main supply chains 21.54% to the total CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions,
respectively.
3.2.1. Emissions-path distribution of CO2 and main air pollutants In the context of China’s rapid industrialization, the continuous
This study employed SPA to identify the primary consumption- expansion of manufacturing has led China to be known as the
based supply chains of CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions. To “world’s factory,” and exports have become important drivers of
identify those paths embodied higher emissions, we ranked the China’s economic growth. With the development of an export-
proportion of emissions contributed by the first 100 paths for each oriented economy, emissions of main pollutants have also been
kind of emissions, as shown in Fig. 2. The cumulative contributions on the rise. The main pollutant emission paths driven by exporting
of the top 100 paths to total emissions were 39.43%, 37.92% 42.34%, accounted for 3.23%, 3.07%, 4.43%, 5.16%, and 7.58% of CO2, SO2, NOx,
47.10%, and 62.11% for CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions, PM2.5, and BC emissions, respectively, due to the product export of
respectively. The emissions along the main emission paths differed sectors S13, S14, S12, S28, and S29. Hence, changing the export
markedly among the different kinds of air pollutants and CO2. The structure of Chinese products and reducing the proportion of
largest 10 emission paths accounted for approximately 30% of the products with high energy consumption and emissions are the
total PM2.5 and BC emissions, 20% of the total CO2 and NOx emis- most effective co-control emission measures.
sions, and 17.43% for SO2 emissions. Emission paths driven by household consumption (including
rural and urban household consumption) were associated with
3.2.2. Common paths of CO2 and main air pollutant emissions sectors S29, S6, and S30, which indicate that eco-friendly trans-
In this study, 22 of the top 100 emission paths of CO2 and main air portation and energy-saving lifestyles should be encouraged to
pollutants were found to be common to all emissions, as shown in achieve co-controlled emission targets.
Fig. 3 and Table A2. These 22 paths accounted for 20.10%, 18.63%,
16.91%, 32.60%, and 37.56% of the total CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC 3.3. Individual emission path analysis for different environmental
emissions, respectively. This indicates that the emissions of air pol- emissions
lutants and CO2 are homologous in these supply chains. Therefore,
these 22 paths are ideal foci for measures aiming for co-control. The emission of air pollutants and CO2 has common character-
Eight ranking paths were driven by fixed capital formation. CO2, istics in some paths but still retain unique characteristics. To ach-
SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions in these paths accounted for ieve effective air pollutant control and greenhouse gas emission
78.78%, 64.84%, 50.03%, 71.07%, and 51.81% of the emissions of the reduction in China, specific emission reduction policies should also
shared 22 paths respectively, far exceeding the emissions driven by be formulated based on the main emission paths of different pol-
urban residents and exports. Moreover, these shared critical supply lutants, as shown in Fig. 4. This section presents an analysis of the
chains caused by fixed capital formation are mainly related to 100 largest emission paths beyond the 22 common paths.
construction activities and construction materials (metals and
nonmetallic mineral products), reflecting the dominance of large- 3.3.1. Main emission paths of CO2 and SO2
scale infrastructure construction within China’s economy. Fixed
capital formation (F4) in the construction (S27) (F4/S27) led to China’s largest driver of CO2 and SO2 emissions in 2012 was
boosted production activities in upstream sectors (S13 and S14). fixed capital formation (F4), followed by urban household con-
The path with the highest pollutant emissions was P2 sumption (F2) and exports (F6), which accounted for 9.06%, 4.63%,
(F4/S27/S13), which accounted for 7.54%, 5.45%, 5.76%, 15.15%, and 3.62% of total CO2 emissions and 8.51%, 4.67%, and 4.09% of total
and 10.14% of total CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions, SO2 emissions, respectively. The main emission paths driven by
respectively. Path P3 (F4/S27/S14) was also a significant emis- fixed capital formation and export were associated with the de-
sion path and contributed 3.38%, 3.13%, 3.93%, 0.81%, and 2.39% of mand for manufactured products (S12, S15, S16, S17, S18, S19, and
total CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions, respectively. As the S20), electricity (S24), and metal products (S14). The emission path
downstream sector embodying the highest emissions, the devel- F2/S24 contributed the largest share, 1.99% of CO2 emissions and
opment of construction is difficult to separate from its upstream 1.86% of SO2 emissions, due to the great electricity demand of urban
sectors (S13 and S14). Consequently, both S13 and S14 were also residents, followed by F4/S27/S24 contributing of 1.50% and
dominant sectors, contributing 16.93%, 13.62%, 9.40%, 25.24%, and 1.41% respectively. Urban resident-driven pollutant emissions
mainly come from two activitiesddirect consumption of electricity
(F2/S24) and indirect emissions driven by the electrical demands
of services (F2/S30/S24). Among the top critical paths, most CO2
and SO2 emission paths can be traced to the upstream S24 sector,
suggesting that electrification levels in China have improved
significantly. As the SO2 and NOx emissions involved the electricity
and heat production have reached the national standards, reducing
CO2 emissions and realize the coordinated control of these emis-
sions is an important next step.

3.3.2. Major pollution emission paths of NOx and PM2.5

Beyond S24, S29 also involved primary NOx emission paths,


because vehicular emissions were China’s largest source of NOx
emissions (Li and Li, 2013). The paths associated with S29
accounted for 12.92% of NOx emissions.
PM2.5 is the main constituent of haze, and, in recent years, it has
Fig. 2. Proportion distribution of emission paths of CO2 and main air pollutants.
become one of the most studied air pollutants. Fixed capital for-
Note: The rings represent CO2, SO2, BC, NOx, and PM2.5 from the inner to the outer mation, exports, and urban household consumption drove the key
rings. PM2.5 emission paths, which triggered 5.77%, 4.29%, and 2.80% of
6 Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599

Fig. 3. Proportion of the key co-control paths of main pollutants.


Note: The horizontal axis shows sector codes, which are defined in the Appendix in Table A2.

total emissions, respectively. In addition to sectors S13 and S14, S12 goods, such as steel, cement, and glass, through “high emissions”
is also an important contributor to NOx emissions. labels could further reduce emission. Exporting is the second-
largest driver, and structural changes to decrease the export of
3.3.3. Major BC pollution emission routes goods with high embodied emissions could help mitigate CO2, SO2,
Fixed capital formation, exports, and urban and rural household NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions. However, making such changes will
consumption drove BC emissions, accounting for 10.63%, 4.53%, and be a long-term process, requiring changes in international trade
7.03% of total emissions, respectively. Unlike air pollutants and CO2 patterns and the transformation of domestic production capacity.
emissions, production-based BC emissions are mainly from the From the production perspective, the Chinese government has
wholesale, retail trade, and catering services sector (S28), ac- mandated the end-of-pipe removal of SO2 and NOx through
counting for 20.17% of total emissions. Consequently, the BC emis- running desulfurization and denitrification facilities, although this
sions stemming from urban household consumption were traced to has contributed to greater emissions due to energy penalty. How-
S1 (agriculture) and S28. The larger polluting paths F4/S28 and ever, measures emphasizing the changes in the mix of energy
F1/S28, accounted for 1.22% and 1.20% of total BC emissions, consumed through economic restructuring and technological
respectively. advancement, such as the closing down enterprises using outdated
technology and mandating cleaner steel and cement production
offer some confirmed co-benefits (Mao et al., 2011). Given the dual
4. Discussion
challenge of dealing with climate change and preventing air
pollution, the Chinese government should coordinate air pollution
The 22 common supply chains identified by the SPA trace the
and carbon dioxide emission control and design co-control mea-
transfer of CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions from underlying
sures through the integrated consideration of production and
drivers to direct emitters, suggesting that we can trace not only the
consumption factors.
effects of both consumption-side and production-side measures,
but also the effects of upstream sectors and downstream sectors on
the co-control of various emissions. Such an analysis allows us to 5. Conclusions
consider both supply-side and demand-side effects.
Fixed capital formation is the largest driver force of shared China, along with many other developing countries, could more
emission paths. As an emerging economy, China is actively devel- effectively address climate change and air pollution by considering
oping its infrastructure and increasing urban housing construction both problems simultaneously. Unlike previous studies that have
to meet the demands of rapid urbanization and growing incomes, focused only on single pollutants, this study identified the emission
making CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions driven by fixed sources that could be targeted for the co-control of CO2 and
capital formation challenging to reduce. However, some of China’s important air pollutants and discerned their critical common paths.
current investments focus on the low-level repetitive construction The main conclusions are summarized as follows:
of buildings and infrastructure, and the value of short-lived build-
ings and vacant houses are debated due to their energy consump- (1) From the consumption perspective, construction contributed
tion and pollutions. Cai et al. (2015) showed that if building the most to China’s CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions,
lifespans were extended to 23e50 years, the energy consumption accounting for more than 30% of total emissions. From the
that could have been avoided in 2011 is nearly equal to Mexico’s perspective of production, electricity and heat production
national energy consumption. In the future, rational investment dominated CO2, SO2, NOx, PM2.5, and BC emissions emission
considering long-term environmental goals may slow current because coal is the dominant energy source for electricity
emissions. At the same time, policies promoting the recycling of and heat generation in China.
Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599 7

Fig. 4. Sankey diagram of embodied air pollutant emission flows for Chinese economic sectors in 2012. The widths of the indicated flows represent the magnitude of emissions. The
right-hand side of the map shows the final demand. From right to left, each tier’s emission of production is represented in turn (i.e. tier 0, tier 1, tier 2).

(2) There are 22 shared supply chains among the first 100 demand sides. Policies addressing only production-based consid-
emission paths. Fixed capital formation was the biggest erations will be insufficient to ensure continuous emissions
driver, with eight ranking paths accounting for 73.78%, reduction if the construction activities still keeps growing. On one
64.84%, 50.03%, 71.07%, and 51.81% of emission from the hand, emission reduction policies targeting upstream production
common 22 paths respectively, far exceeding the emissions sectors could be implemented, such as (a) reducing overcapacity in
driven by urban residential consumption and exports. the steel and cement industries; (b) strengthening end-of-pipe
(3) Nonmetallic mineral products and the smelting and pressing emission controls; and (c) decreasing energy intensity through
of metal dominated 9 paths among the 22 common supply technological advancement. On the other hand, consumption-side
chains, contributing 84.23%, 73.11%, 55.59%, 77.42%, and factors should also be given greater consideration. Policies
57.3% of emissions. addressing consumption should focus on the following aspects: (a)
providing detailed information about CO2 emissions and air pol-
The common supply chains identified in this study can help lutants through environmental information labeling of products
policymakers target measures to effectively mitigate production- produced in sectors S13 and S14; (b) setting emissions standards;
and consumption-side emissions by co-controlling CO2, SO2, NOx, and (c) encouraging the use of products with lower embodied
BC and PM2.5 emissions. To realize the co-control of air pollutants emissions through subsidies. Further, the use of coal in electricity
and CO2, comprehensive policies should be enacted to address the and heat production should be replaced by cleaner energy sources
supply chain of pollutant emissions from both the supply and to coordinate control of all five environmental emissions.
8 Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599

Fig. 4. (continued).
Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599 9

To reduce NOx emissions, attention should be paid to the CRediT authorship contribution statement
transportation industry (S29). Specific emission reduction mea-
sures include (a) improving vehicle fuel technology and emission Yu-Sheng Liu: Formal analysis, Conceptualization, Methodol-
standards, included the enforced removal of vehicles that do not ogy, Software, Writing - original draft. Ying Cao: Data curation,
meet the emission standards and (b) continuing to support and Writing - review & editing. Juan-Juan Hou: Visualization, Writing -
encourage the use of vehicles using alternative energy sources. original draft. Jiu-Tian Zhang: Data curation, Writing - original
The analyses employed in this study have elucidated common draft. Yu-Ou Yang: Methodology, Writing - original draft. Lan-Cui
emissions sources among the shared supply chains, providing Liu: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Supervision,
essential information for the coordinated control of CO2 emissions Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing.
and air pollution in China. Further, our analyses have allowed us to
provide relatively refined policy recommendations addressing both Acknowledgements
production and consumption factors. However, as many aspects of
emissions control are carried out at the provincial level, we The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support by
intended to further refine our suggestions in the future. Rather than “The Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities”
considering China as a single entity, a future multi-regional study (2017EYT17) the National Natural Science Foundation of China
considering China’s individual provinces, municipalities, and (71622012, 71373099).
autonomous regions could help provide more detailed and specif-
ically targeted policy suggestions.
Appendix

Table A1
Economic sector classification in this study.

Sector Sector Sector code in this Aggregated sector


code study

S1 Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, Fishery and Water Conservancy S1 Agriculture

S2 Mining and Washing of Coal S2 Coal Mining

S3 Extraction of Petroleum and Natural Gas S3 Petroleum and Natural Gas Extraction

S4 Mining and Processing of Ferrous Metal Ores S4 Metals Mining

S5 Mining and Processing of Non-Ferrous Metal Ores

S6 Mining and Processing of Nonmetal Ores S5 Other Minerals Mining

S7 Support Activities for Mining

S8 Mining of Other Ores

S9 Processing of Food from Agricultural Products S6 Food Processing

S10 Manufacture of Foods

S11 Manufacture of Liquor, Beverages and Refined Tea

S12 Manufacture of Tobacco

S13 Manufacture of Textile S7 Textile

S14 Manufacture of Textile, Wearing Apparel and Accessories S8 Garments

S15 Manufacture of Leather, Fur, Feather and Related Products and Footwear

S16 Processing of Timber, Manufacture of Wood, Bamboo, Rattan, Palm, and Straw Products S9 Timber Processing

S17 Manufacture of Furniture

S18 Manufacture of Paper and Paper Products S10 Paper Products

S19 Printing and Reproduction of Recording Media

S20 Manufacture of Articles for Culture, Education, Arts and Crafts, Sport and Entertainment
Activities

S21 Processing of Petroleum, Coking and Processing of Nuclear Fuel S11 Petroleum Processing

S22 Manufacture of Raw Chemical Materials and Chemical Products S12 Chemical Products

S23 Manufacture of Medicines

S24 Manufacture of Chemical Fibers

S25 Manufacture of Rubber and Plastics Products

S26 Manufacture of Non-metallic Mineral Products S13 Nonmetal Mineral Products

S27 Smelting and Pressing of Ferrous Metals S14 Smelting and Pressing of Metal

S28 Smelting and Pressing of Non-ferrous Metals

S29 Manufacture of Metal Products S15 Metal Products

(continued on next page)


10 Y.-S. Liu et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 256 (2020) 120599

Table A1 (continued )

Sector Sector Sector code in this Aggregated sector


code study

S30 Manufacture of General Purpose Machinery S16 Ordinary Machinery

S31 Manufacture of Special Purpose Machinery S17 Equipment for Special Purposes

S32 Manufacture of Automobiles S18 Transportation Equipment

S33 Manufacture of Railway, Ship, Aerospace and Other Transport Equipments

S34 Manufacture of Electrical Machinery and Apparatus S19 Electric Equipment

S35 Manufacture of Computers, Communication and Other Electronic Equipment S20 Telecommunications Equipment

S36 Manufacture of Measuring Instruments and Machinery S21 Office Machinery

S37 Other Manufacture S22 Other Manufacturing Industry

S38 Utilization of Waste Resources S23 Waste

S39 Repair Service of Metal Products, Machinery and Equipment S30 Others

S40 Production and Supply of Electric Power and Heat Power S24 Electric Power

S41 Production and Supply of Gas S25 Gas Production and Supply

S42 Production and Supply of Water S26 Water Production and Supply

S43 Construction S27 Construction

S44 Wholesale, Retail Trade and Hotel, Restaurants S28 Wholesale, Retail Trade and Catering
Services

S45 Transport, Storage and Post S29 Transport and Storage

S46 Others S30 Others

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