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SPE 98796
This paper was selected for presentation by an SPE Program Committee following
review of information contained in an abstract submitted by the author(s). Contents The proposed paper will present details of how to
of the paper, as presented, have not been reviewed by the Society of Petroleum
Engineers and are subject to correction by the author(s). The material, as develop a deliverability model for gas wells from very
presented, does not necessarily reflect any position of the Society of Petroleum
Engineers, its officers, or members. Papers presented at SPE meetings are subject
basic data. The forecast from this model will be
to publication review by Editorial Committees of the Society of Petroleum Engineers. compared with a 3-D numerical simulation result. The
Electronic reproduction, distribution, or storage of any part of this paper for
commercial purposes without the written consent of the Society of Petroleum results from this method are close to those obtained
Engineers is prohibited. Permission to reproduce in print is restricted to an abstract
of not more than 300 words; illustrations may not be copied. The abstract must from 3-D numerical simulation.
contain conspicuous acknowledgement of where and by whom the paper was
presented. Write Librarian, SPE, P.O. Box 833836, Richardson, TX 75083-3836,
U.S.A., fax 01-972-952-9435.
Introduction
Demand for natural gas is expected to grow faster than
Abstract any other fuel. Numerous LNG projects are being
planned to meet the ever rising energy needs.
Developing a reservoir depletion plan is the first step in
The Petroleum industry has recognized the value of any gas development project.
monetizing gas resources. The Nigerian Government
has stated its desire to grow the gas business. Gas reservoirs, with the exception of low permeability
Numerous gas projects are either being planned or in reservoirs, deplete in a volumetric manner because the
the execution phase. The objective of this paper is to gas voidage is much higher than the water influx.
present a simple screening tool for evaluating gas well Arthur et al1 and Corbett2 presented methods for
performance. forecasting gas well performance. These methods
require more data than is usually available to the
Numerical simulation is expensive and time consuming. Reservoir Engineer. During the appraisal stage of a
Analytical approach to predicting gas performance is reservoir, the available data is usually limited to basic
needed as a screening tool. The three components to petrophysical properties obtained from wireline logs.
performance prediction are: Initial rate estimate,
prediction of rate decline as reservoir pressure The objective of this paper is to present a method of
depletes, and prediction of reservoir pressure decline forecasting gas well deliverability from readily
due to production. available data. The method presented assumes
volumetric depletion and negligible water production.
This work will show how to develop generalized tubing
This paper shows that the decline in gas rate for
performance relationships from nodal analysis. In
various tubing sizes (3 ½”, 4 ½”, 5-1/2”, and 7”) on a
combination with the material balance equation, a
dimensionless or normalized scale is similar. The
method for forecasting gas well performance will be
resulting relationship combined with the material
presented. In addition, a method for forecasting
balance equation for depletion drive reservoirs gives a
condensate production will also be presented.
method of predicting performance of gas wells. This
2 A Simple Approach to Modelling Gas Well Deliverability SPE 98796
STEP 3 Initial Gas Rate Versus Formation Permeability for 3 1/2" TBG
STEP 4
20
Take successive pressure decrements and calculate Q = 40 *[1 - Exp(-0.0428 * Perm)]
Gp = Gi [ 1 - (Zi/Pi)/(Z/Pr)] (2) 0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Figure 1 Formation Permeability (MD)
STEP 5 Initial Gas Rate Versus Formation Permeability for 4 1/2" TBG
40
20
Estimate initial condensate yield from a correlation.
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Estimate condensate yield at current reservoir pressure Figure 2 Formation Permeability (MD)
from a relationship between relative yield and relative Initial Gas Rate Versus Formation Permeability for 5 1/2" TBG
60
30
The initial gas rate estimate can be done via any Nodal
analysis program. The first step is to define a type well 0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Figure 3
with properties that cover a good range in the reservoirs Formation Permeability (MD)
of interest. The type well should be adequate to model Initial Gas Rate Versus Formation Permeability for 7" TBG
200
Gas Rate as a function of reservoir pressure Normalized Gas Rate Versus Normalized Reservoir Pressure
Well at 8000 ft TVD with 50 - 500 MD Permeability
(500 psig Well Head Pressure Constraint)
1.00
The gas rate declines as reservoir pressure depletes.
The effect of reservoir pressure decline on gas rate of 0.80
pressure for the four tubing sizes. The gas rate decline
is linear with reservoir pressure. 0.40
tubing size and formation permeability. The only factor Normalized Gas Rate Versus Normalized Reservoir Pressure
that affects the normalized gas rate is the back pressure Well at 8000 ft TVD with 50 - 500 MD Permeability
(750 psig Well Head Pressure Constraint)
imposed on the system. The importance of this finding 1.00
0.40
Table 2: Normalized Gas rate versus reservoir pressure (Q/Qi) = 1.28 (P/Pi) - 0.28
0.20
500 (Q/Qi) = 1.20 (Pr/Pi) - 0.20 Normalized Gas Rate Versus Normalized Reservoir Pressure
Well at 8000 ft TVD with 50 - 500 MD Permeability
750 (Q/Qi) = 1.28 (Pr/Pi) - 0.28 (1000 psig Well Head Pressure Constraint)
1.00
3 1/1" TBG 4 1/2" TBG
1000 (Q/Qi) = 1.46 (Pr/Pi) - 0.46 5 1/2" TBG 7" TBG
0.80
Dimensionless Gas rate (Q/Qi)
0.60
Gas Rate Versus reservoir Pressure
(Well Head Pressure =500 psig)
250 0.40
3 -1/2" TBG 4 1/2" TBG
(Q/Qi) = 1.46 (P/Pi) - 0.46
5 1/2" TBG 7" TBG
200 0.20
Gas rate (MMSCFD)
150 0.00
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00
Figure 8 Dimensionless Reservoir Pressure (P/Pi)
100
50 Production Time
0 The incremental time (∆t) to produce an incremental
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
Figure 5 Reservoir Pressure (psig) gas volume ( ∆Gp) is given by:
Condensate rate forecast Relative Condensate Yield Versus Relative Pressure for typical
Gas Condensate Reservoirs
1
9).
0.2
Initial Yield =55 BBL/MMSCFD
2
40
Step 4
Calculate cumulative gas produced from equation (2)
Cumulative gas produced, Gp = 11.66 BSCF
Step 5
Calculate average gas rate over period Qavg
Qavg = 0.5*(80+75.7) = 77.8 MMSCF/D
5 A Simple Approach to Modelling Gas Well Deliverability SPE 98796
RF=79%
80 320.00
30 120
Gas rate (MMSCFD)
RF=64%
60 240.00 20 80
40 160.00 10 40
Simple Model
Well Head Press =1000 psig 3D Simulation
Well Head Press = 500 psig 0 0
20 80.00 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
Figure 13 DAYS
80 160 0 0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
Days
40 80 Figure 14
0 0
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
Figure 12 Time (Days)
Total
Reservoir Max Gas Condensate No of Target Total gas Cum Prod Incremental Total
Z Prod.
Pressure Rate/Well Yield Wells rate/Well Rate Gas Prod. Time Cond. rate
Time
(psia) (MMSCF/D) (bbl/MMSCF) (MMSCF/D) (MMSCF/D) (BSCF) (Days) (Days) (BCPD)
4500 80.0 15.6 1 80 80 0.9650 0.0 0 0 1,247
4300 75.7 14.86 1 80 76 0.9498 11.7 150 150 1,125
4100 71.5 14.2 1 80 71 0.9362 24.3 172 322 1,011
3900 67.2 13.5 1 80 67 0.9242 38.0 197 520 906
3700 62.9 12.9 1 80 63 0.9138 52.7 225 745 809
3500 58.7 12.3 1 80 59 0.9050 68.3 256 1,001 719
3300 54.4 11.7 1 80 54 0.8978 84.7 291 1,292 636
3100 50.1 11.2 1 80 50 0.8922 102.0 330 1,622 560
2900 45.9 10.7 1 80 46 0.8882 119.9 374 1,997 490
2700 41.6 10.2 1 80 42 0.8858 138.5 426 2,422 425
2500 37.3 9.8 1 80 37 0.8850 157.7 485 2,907 366
2300 33.1 9.4 1 80 33 0.8858 177.3 557 3,464 311
2100 28.8 9.1 1 80 29 0.8882 197.2 644 4,108 261
1900 24.5 8.7 1 80 25 0.8922 217.3 755 4,863 215
1700 20.3 8.5 1 80 20 0.8978 237.6 904 5,767 172
1500 16.0 8.2 1 80 16 0.9050 257.8 1117 6,884 131
1300 11.7 8.0 1 80 12 0.9138 278.0 1453 8,337 94
1100 7.5 7.8 1 80 7 0.9242 297.9 2077 10,414 58
900 3.2 7.7 1 80 3 0.9362 317.5 3682 14,096 25
Total
Reservoir Max Gas Condensate No of Target Cum Prod Incremental Total Cond.
Total gas Rate Z Prod.
Pressure Rate/Well Yield Wells rate/Well Gas Prod. Time rate
Time
(psia) (MMSCF/D) (bbl/MMSCF) (MMSCF/D) (MMSCF/D) (BSCF) (Days) (Days) (BCPD)
4500 80.0 15.6 1 80 80 0.9650 0.00 0 0 1,247
4300 74.8 14.86 1 80 75 0.9498 11.66 151 151 1,111
4100 69.6 14.2 1 80 70 0.9362 24.34 176 326 985
3900 64.4 13.5 1 80 64 0.9242 38.03 204 531 869
3700 59.2 12.9 1 80 59 0.9138 52.68 237 768 761
3500 54.0 12.3 1 80 54 0.9050 68.26 275 1,043 663
3300 48.8 11.7 1 80 49 0.8978 84.71 320 1,362 571
3100 43.7 11.2 1 80 44 0.8922 101.96 373 1,735 488
2900 38.5 10.7 1 80 38 0.8882 119.93 438 2,173 411
2700 33.3 10.2 1 80 33 0.8858 138.54 519 2,692 340
2500 28.1 9.8 1 80 28 0.8850 157.69 624 3,316 275
2300 22.9 9.4 1 80 23 0.8858 177.28 768 4,084 216
2100 17.7 9.1 1 80 18 0.8882 197.19 981 5,066 160
1900 12.5 8.7 1 80 13 0.8922 217.33 1333 6,398 109
1700 7.3 8.5 1 80 7 0.8978 237.58 2041 8,440 62
1500 2.1 8.2 1 80 2 0.9050 257.83 4283 12,722 18
8 A Simple Approach to Modelling Gas Well Deliverability SPE 98796
Table 6: Two Wells Development Scenario constrained to 80 MMSCF/D for sample problem
(500 psig Wellhead Pressure Constraint)
Reservoir Max Gas Condensate No of Target Cum Prod Incremental Total Prod. Total
Total gas Rate Z
Pressure Rate/Well Yield Wells rate/Well Gas Prod. Time Time Cond. rate