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Managers of all kinds and types, including the
engineer manager, are primarily tasked to
provide leadership in quest for the attainment of
organization’s objectives.
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DECISION MAKING
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DECISION MAKING
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DECISION MAKING PROCESS
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DECISION MAKING PROCESS
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COMPONENT OF THE ENVIRONMENT
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DECISION MAKING PROCESS
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DECISION MAKING PROCESS
A Good Decision Maker always review the decision they make whether it resulted
in Good or Bad Outcome because this is where one may learn and improve,
therefore manager should use Control and Feedback mechanism.
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DECISION MAKING PROCESS
Feedback
Process which requires checking at each stage of the process to assure that the
Control
alternatives generated, and the solution selected for implementation are in keeping with
Action made to ensure that activities performed match the desired activities or
the goals and objectives
goals.
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APPROACHES IN SOLVING PROBLEM
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APPROACHES IN SOLVING PROBLEM
Qualitative Evaluation
Times When
It refers to an evaluation Managers Tend
of alternatives usingtointuition
Use Qualitative
and Evaluation (Stevenson)
subjective judgment. • The problem is fairly simple
• The problem is familiar
• The costs involve are not great (only low cost)
• Immediate decisions are needed
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APPROCHES IN SOLVING PROBLEM (EXAMPLE)
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APPROACHES IN SOLVING PROBLEM
Quantitative Evaluation
It refers to an evaluation of alternatives using any techniques in a group classifies as
rational and analytical.
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Figure 2.3 Feedback as a Control Mechanism in the Decision-Making Process
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
• Inventory Models
Consist of several types all designed to help in making
1. Economic Order Quantity Model
decisions regarding inventory.
2. Production Order Quantity Model
3. Back Order Quantity Model
4. Quantity Discount Model
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
Queuing Theory
It describes how to determine the number of service units that will
minimize the cost of service, as well as the customer waiting time.
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
• Network
The twoModels
most prominent models:
1. The
The large complex
Program tasks Review
Evaluation are broken into smaller
Technique (PERT)segments that can
be managed- independently.
By employing three time estimates for each activity
2. The Critical Path Method (CPM)
- Uses one time factor per activity.
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
• Forecasting
It can be defined as “the collection of past and
• Regression
current information to make predictions
Analysis about the
future.” A forecasting method that examines the association
between two or more variables. It uses data from previous
periods to predict the future events.
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
Simulation
- It is constructed to represent reality and conclusions about real-life problems can be
used.
- The decision maker develops a mathematical model of the system under
consideration.
- It can evaluate the alternatives fed into the process by the decision-maker.
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
• Linear Programming
• Sampling
It is used to produced an optimum
Theory solution within
the bounds imposed by constraints uponthe
Samples decision. are statistically determined to be
of populatios
used for a number of processes like quality control and
marketing research.
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR DECISION MAKING
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