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utsav

Presents

DIWALI
MUHURAT
TECHNICAL PICKS
#TarikeHamareTarakkiApki
#TarikeHamareTarakkiApki
With record-smashing vaccination, dropped COVID19 cases, businesses resuming back,
India is all set to unlock and ride the wave of economic growth. India has emerged as the
fastest-growing major economies in the world and is expected to be one of the top three
economies in the world over the next 10-15 years.

What does this mean for investors like you? utsav


These developments bring in an opportunity for you to celebrate Nivesh Utsav by investing
in India’s growth story to earn potential handsome returns.

#TarikeHamare
We have selected few stocks for buying this Diwali 2021 comprising stocks which have seen
Breakout/good accumulation in the short to medium term time frame. The selection list
consist of Large cap/Mid cap stocks, which has performed in line with market over last one
year and are trading above their breakout levels or near their major support levels.

We advice to buy the stocks in the recommended "Accumulation Range" which would cover
the downside risk of correction in market over near term or short term.

#TarakkiApki
Customers who invested in our research-backed Diwali Muhurat Picks of last year have
generated 54%* absolute returns from it.

Continue reading the report for long term investing ideas and celebrate this Nivesh Utsav.

*Returns as of 28th October 2021


Diwali Muhurat Technical Picks: Underlying Strategy
SAMVAT 2077 started off with a robust bull run led by outperformance in the broader market. While benchmark
Nifty has delivered a stellar return of more than 40% since the last Diwali till 24th October, Mid and Small Cap
Indices, too, have reported excellent performance and are up 66% and 79% respectively for the same period. The
broader market has outperformed the large cap universe in the last one year after a muted performance seen in
the calendar year 2018 and 2019. SAMVAT 2077 returns were broad-based primarily on account of better
participation witnessed across stock categories as well as sectors which was relatively narrow in the pre-
pandemic years.

Using technical charts, we have identified few stocks for you that can outperform the markets. These stocks are
selected from different sectors & from fundamentally sound companies which may help you to diversify your
investments.
Short Term Stock Picks
(Up to 1 year)

KEC Int. Ltd United Spirits Ltd Kolte - Patil Developers Ltd

CMP Target Upside CMP Target Upside CMP Target Upside


₹473 ₹535-565 27% ₹893 ₹970-1,050 25% ₹303 ₹340-365 32%
INVEST NOW INVEST NOW INVEST NOW

State Bank of India Ashok Leyland Ltd Minda Corporation Ltd

CMP Target Upside CMP Target Upside CMP Target Upside


₹503 ₹570-600 26% ₹141 ₹165-170 30% ₹147 ₹170-185 37%
INVEST NOW INVEST NOW INVEST NOW

CMP as on 28th Oct 2021


Short Term Stock Picks
(Up to 1 year)

Bharti Airtel Ltd ACC Ltd TCS Ltd

CMP Target Upside CMP Target Upside CMP Target Upside


₹691 ₹775-810 25% ₹2,289 ₹2,490-2,580 19% ₹3,424 ₹3,750-3,985 21%
INVEST NOW INVEST NOW INVEST NOW

SBI Cards Ltd Grasim Industries Ltd

CMP Target Upside CMP Target Upside


₹1,125 ₹1,275-1,330 24% ₹1,702 ₹1,885-1,950 21%
INVEST NOW INVEST NOW

CMP as on 28th Oct 2021


We suggest buying and accumulating the stocks for SAMVAT 2078 in mentioned range for potential upside of 20% - 30%.

BUY BUY Target Target


STOCK CMP Upside
First Second First Second

KEC Int. Ltd 455 435 473 535 565 27%

United Spirits Ltd 870 820 893 970 1050 25%

Kolte - Patil Developers Ltd 290 265 303 340 365 32%

State Bank of India 485 465 503 570 600 26%

Ashok Leyland Ltd 135 128 141 165 170 30%

Minda Corporation Ltd 140 130 147 170 185 37%

Bharti Airtel Ltd 665 630 691 775 810 25%

ACC Ltd 2210 2130 2289 2490 2580 19%

TCS Ltd 3350 3260 3424 3750 3985 21%

SBI Cards Ltd 1100 1050 1125 1275 1330 24%

Grasim Industries Ltd 1670 1650 1702 1885 1950 21%

CMP as on 28th Oct 2021


Last Year Returns of Diwali Technical Picks Nifty Returns
60
54.00%
50
40.00%
40

30 25.00%
20 18.00%
12.00%
10 8.30%

0
Muhurat Picks 2018 Muhurat Picks 2019 Muhurat Picks 2020

Our recommended Portfolio of stocks for Diwali in previous year s have given returns of 25% in 2018-19,
18% in 2019-20 and 54% in 2020-21 Whereas, Nifty has given returns of 8.3% in 2018-19, 12% in 2019-20 and 40% in 2020-21.
Technical stocks recommended last Diwali (Samvat 2077) – AMARAJABAT, MCX, IGL, JSWSTEEL, BHARTIARTL, ULTRACEMCO, KAJARIACER,
APLLTED, DABUR, HDFCBANK and BLUEDART all the stocks reached to the mentioned target prices and delivered 54% return.
KEC Int. Ltd
• Since 2013, the stock is in strong
uptrend forming a series of higher tops CMP: Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
and higher bottom 473 455-435 440-410 20%-27%

• With current close, the stock has


decisively broken out monthly “Multiple
Resistance Zone” of 470-480 levels
which reconfirms resumption of major
up trend

• On the yearly chart, the stock has


surpassed its past four years
consolidation range

• Volumes have been rising and were


above average in the initial uptrend

• The monthly and quarterly RSI has


given a bullish crossover indicating that
the momentum has turned positive

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 535-565*
United Spirits Ltd (MCDOWELL)
• Since past eight years the stock was
consolidating in a broad range (820- Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 893
400) representing strong accumulation 870-820 800-730 18%-28%

• This consolidation breakout is


confirmed on a Sept.21 quarterly
closing basis which signal resumption
of uptrend

• Stock is well placed above its 50-day,


100-day and 200-day SMAs’ which
reconfirms the strong up trend

• The monthly and quarterly Bollinger


Band buy signal indicates increased
momentum

• The monthly RSI is trending higher


indicating that the bullish momentum is
intact.

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 970-1050*.
Kolte - Patil Developers Ltd
• On the monthly chart, the stock has
witnessed an inverse Head & Shoulder Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 303
- reversal pattern breakout at 285 levels 290-265 255-220 23%-32%
on a closing basis

• This breakout is accompanied with


huge volume breakout which indicates
increased participation

• Stock is well placed above its 50-day,


100-day and 200-day SMAs’ which
reconfirms the strong up trend

• In addition to this , the monthly


Bollinger Band buy signals reconfirm
bullish sentiments ahead

• The monthly RSI has given a bullish


crossover at lower levels indicating
change of momentum to the upside.

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 340-365*.
State Bank of India
• After a steep correction, stock has
found support near the 61.80% Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 504
retracement levels indicating that the 485-465 450-425 20%-26%
bulls have entered into the stock.

• On the yearly chart, stock has given a


multi year resistance breakout at 300
levels whereas on the monthly
timeframe stock has bounced after
forming a big doji candle formation
indicating change of trend to the upside

• Volumes were strong when the stock


found support at lower levels indicating
accumulation at lower levels

• Momentum is expected to turn more


bullish as soon as the RSI gives a
bullish crossover.

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 570-600*.
Ashok Leyland Ltd
• With current close, stock has decisively
broken out its past ten months Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 141
“Consolidation Range” (140-100) at 140 135-128 125-115 26%-30%
levels indicating strong come back by
bulls

• On the yearly chart, the stock has


confirmed “Hammer” – trend reversal
pattern which signal increased
participation at lower levels

• Stock is well placed above its 50-day,


100-day and 200-day SMAs’ which
reconfirms the strong up trend

• The monthly and quarterly RSI is


trending higher indicating that the
momentum is quite strong even after
the breakout

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 165-170*.
Minda Corporation Ltd
• On the yearly chart, the stock is
consolidating within 60-220 levels but Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 148
recently the stock has rebounded 140-127 120-110 26%-37%
sharply from lower end support zone

• On the monthly chart, the stock has


observed shift of trend forming a series
of higher Tops and higher Bottoms

• With May’2021 close, the stock has


decisively broken out its earlier
resistance of 115 along with huge
volumes

• The stock recaptured its 50 and 100


day SMA which signal strength

• The monthly and quarterly strength


indicator RSI is in bullish mode and
quoting above 50 mark indicating rising
strength on larger time frame.

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 170-185 *.
Bharti Airtel Ltd
• Since the start of 2007, the stock was
consolidating with 560-220 levels Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 691
however with Sep.2021 close the 665-630 610-580 20%-25%
breakout was confirmed

• On the quarterly and yearly chart, the


stock is trending up forming a series of
higher Tops and Bottoms

• Rising volumes in past couple of years


signifies increased participation on
yearly breakout

• The monthly and quarterly Bollinger


Band buy reconfirm upside momentum

• The monthly and quarterly RSI is in


bullish mode and above 50 mark
indicating further strength

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 775-810*.
ACC Ltd
• On the monthly / yearly chart, stock has
decisively broken out its “Multiple Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 2289
Resistance” of 1900 levels on a closing 2210-2130 2070-1990 15%-20%
basis and sustaining above the same

• The stock has recaptured its 50 and


100 day SMA and sustaining above the
same

• On the daily and weekly time frame the


stock is in corrective mode which
remains as buying and accumulation
opportunity

• Strong support from 200 day SMA


(2033) signals sustained strength

• The monthly and quarterly RSI is in


bullish mode and above 50 mark
indicating further strength

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 2490-2580 levels.
TCS Ltd
• The stock is trending up on the long
term charts forming a series of higher CMP: Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
Tops and Bottoms signalling strong up 3424 3350-3260 3200-3120 13%-20%
trend

• With past 3-4 weeks corrective move,


the stock is approaching towards its
previous breakout zone of 3400 levels
which remains a crucial support zone

• The stock is hovering around its 100-


day SMA (3496) which remains an
important support zone

• It is also well placed above 200-day


SMA (3312) representing bullish
sentiments on long term charts

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 3750-3985*.
SBI Cards Ltd
• Since Jan.2021, the stock is under
strong accumulation in an “Ascending Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
CMP: 1138
Triangle” formation and the expected 1100-1050 1000-940 19%-24%
breakout range is around 1160 levels

• Currently the stock is trading near its


apex point and on the verge of
breakout

• As on the weekly and monthly time


frame the stock is trending higher
forming a series of rising bottoms
which signals rising participation on
dips

• The stock is well placed above its 20,


50, 100 and 200 day SMA which
supports bullish sentiments ahead

• The weekly RSI and Stochastic both


are in bullish mode which supports
upside momentum.

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 1275-1330*.
Grasim Industries Ltd
• The stock is in strong up trend across
all the time frames forming a series of CMP: Buy Range: Support zone: Upside:
higher Tops and Bottoms indicating 1702 1670-1650 1570-1500 17%-21%
sustained up trend

• On the quarterly chart, the stock has


witnessed “V” shape breakout at 1300
levels on a closing basis and is
currently moving in an upward sloping
channel on the weekly timeframe

• The stock is well placed above its 50,


100 and 200 day SMA which supports
bullish sentiments ahead

• The monthly and quarterly RSI both


are in bullish mode which supports
upside momentum.

• The above analysis indicate an upside


of 1885-1950*.
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Sr. No Name Designation E-mail

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2 Vaishnavi Jagtap Technical Analyst vaishnavi.jagtap@axissecurities.in
3 Raunaq Murarka Technical Analyst raunaq.murarka@axissecurities.in
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