Professional Documents
Culture Documents
E-Mail karger@karger.com
Cheonan, Chungnam, 330–714 (South Korea)
www.karger.com/ene
Downloaded by:
E-Mail ymsong @ medimail.co.kr
tients eligible for the study had focal neurologic deficits with rel- covariates related to dichotomized mRS in the binary logistic re-
evant lesions on diffusion-weighted imaging and were examined gression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve
within 12 h of symptom onset. Among them, we excluded the pa- analysis was conducted to evaluate the usefulness of the TNI2 and
tients who had preexisting neurological deficits (65 patients), those TNI4 for predicting a good outcome. We assessed the discrimina-
who received thrombolytic therapy (57 patients), and those who tion by calculating the area under the ROC curve of sensitivity
did not undergo complete workups (22 patients) or were lost to versus 1 minus the specificity. The sensitivity, specificity, and pos-
follow-up (25 patients). Thus, 410 patients with acute ischemic itive and negative predictive values of the TNI2 and TNI4 were
stroke were finally selected for the analyses. calculated to validate the TNIs in predicting a good outcome at
Demographic data and stroke risk factors were recorded in 3 months.
the registry. Data on risk factors were collected and defined as Statistical significance was established at p < 0.05. Statistical
follows: hypertension was defined as repeated detection of blood analyses were performed using SPSS (version 18.0, Chicago, Ill.,
pressure >140/90 mm Hg before stroke or use of antihypertensive USA) and Medcalc (version 13.3).
medication; diabetes mellitus was defined as repeated detection
of fasting blood glucose level >140 mg/dl before stroke or use of
antidiabetic medication; hypercholesterolemia was defined as re-
peated detection of total cholesterol >220 mg/dl or use of lipid- Results
lowering medication; smoking was defined as current smoking
at the time of stroke; and potential sources of cardioembolism There were 243 men and 167 women, and the mean age
were defined as atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction within was 65.6 ± 11.9 years (range, 26–93 years). The TNI2 was
6 weeks, congestive heart failure, mitral stenosis, and prosthetic day 1 in 95 (23%) patients, day 3 in 131 (32%) patients,
valve.
All of the patients underwent laboratory workups that included day 7 in 92 (22%) patients, day 14 in 36 (9%) patients, and
brain MRI, MR angiography, transthoracic echocardiography, 12- no improvement within 14 days was observed in 56 (14%)
lead ECG, and standard blood tests. Conventional angiography, patients. The TNI4 was day 1 in 28 (7%) patients, day 3 in
transcranial Doppler, transesophageal echocardiography, and 54 (13%) patients, day 7 in 83 (20%) patients, day 14 in 84
Holter monitoring were performed in selected patients as re- (21%) patients, and no improvement in 161 (39%) pa-
quired. An etiologic subtype of ischemic stroke was classified into
large artery disease, cardioembolism, small vessel disease, and un- tients. The clinical characteristics of patients who showed
determined cause according to the Trial of Org 10172 in Acute different TNI2 and TNI4 are listed in tables 1 and 2. The
Stroke Treatment (TOAST) criteria [10]. mean time from symptom onset to study entry was 4.6 ±
The severity of the neurological deficits was assessed using the 3.3 h. The mean initial NIHSS score was 6.9 ± 5.1 (range,
NIHSS. The NIHSS score was serially measured on admission and 1–29; median, 5; interquartile range, 4–9). There was no
at 1, 3, 7, and 14 days after stroke onset. Neurological improvement
(NI4) was defined as a decrease in the NIHSS score by ≥4 points difference in terms of age, sex, vascular risk factors, and
from the baseline NIHSS score or a NIHSS score of 0. We also con- stroke subtype between patients with different TNI2 or
sidered minor neurological improvement (NI2) as a NIHSS score TNI4. The initial neurological deficits measured by the
change by ≥2 points or a NIHSS score of 0. The time of neurolog- NIHSS were the most severe in patients who showed no
ical improvement (TNI4) or the time of minor neurological im- improvement within 14 days of stroke onset (10.7 ± 7.8
provement (TNI2) was classified into day 1, 3, 7, 14, and no im-
provement. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was used to assess the for TNI2, p < 0.01 and 7.6 ± 5.9 for TNI4, p < 0.01).
functional outcome at 3 months [11]. For the purpose of the anal- Patients who showed earlier improvement had a high-
ysis, patients who had an mRS score of 0–2 were considered to have er probability for a good outcome. Most (86% for TNI2
a good outcome. If patients were discharged from the hospital dur- and 92% for TNI4) of the patients who improved within
ing the study period, they were evaluated at the outpatient clinic one day had a good outcome and the rate of good out-
on the scheduled day. If patients could not visit the hospital at
3 months because of severe disability or other causes, the mRS come decreased as the neurological improvement oc-
score was measured by a telephone interview. curred later. Of the patients who did not show improve-
ment within 14 days, 30% (TNI2) and 52% (TNI4) of
Statistical Analysis them achieved a good outcome.
A comparison of the baseline characteristics and outcome pro- Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that
files among patients with different time of neurological improve-
ment was performed by the ANOVA test for continuous variables the outcome was associated with age, NIHSS score, atrial
and by the χ2 test for dichotomized variables. Binary logistic and fibrillation, stroke subtype, TNI2, and TNI4 (table 3).
ordinal regression analyses were used to assess the effects of TNIs Among these variables, age, NIHSS score, atrial fibrilla-
on clinical outcome adjusted for variables showing a p < 0.2 in tion, and TNI2 or TNI4 were selected in the final model
univariate analysis. In binary logistic models, mRS was dichoto- (table 4). TNI2 (OR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.73–2.87; p < 0.01)
mized (mRS ≤2 vs. mRS >2) and a backward stepwise strategy was
used to select the variables remaining in the final model. We con- and TNI4 (OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.71–3.10; p < 0.01) were
structed ordinal regression models to verify that the results were independently associated with an outcome at 90 days in
consistent across the levels of the mRS adjusted for factors and the adjusted binary regression model. Ordinal regression
130.241.16.16 - 11/15/2017 8:33:38 PM
Patients, n 95 131 92 36 56
Age, years (mean ± SD) 66.1±12.4 64.5±11.4 64.6±11.5 63.8±12.8 69.9±12.0 0.39
Males, n (%) 61 (64) 75 (57) 58 (63) 21 (58) 28 (50) 0.44
Time from onset to entry, h (mean ± SD) 3.9±3.2 5.3±3.6 6.0±3.8 3.9±2.2 3.5±2.2 <0.01
Initial NIHSS score (mean ± SD) 6.5±4.2 6.3±4.2 6.0±3.6 6.4±4.6 10.7±7.8 <0.01
Median (interquartile range) 5 (3–9) 5 (3.25–8) 5 (4–7.5) 5 (3.75–7.25) 9.5 (4.25–17.75)
Risk factors, n (%)
Hypertension 61 (64) 80 (61) 61 (66) 21 (58) 39 (70) 0.74
Diabetes mellitus 19 (20) 37 (28) 26 (28) 10 (28) 19 (34) 0.42
Hyperlipidemia 24 (25) 23 (18) 25 (27) 11 (31) 8 (14) 0.14
Smoking 24 (25) 43 (33) 34 (37) 13 (36) 18 (32) 0.51
Atrial fibrillation 26 (27) 18 (14) 17 (19) 7 (19) 17 (30) 0.04
Previous stroke 18 (19) 22 (17) 10 (11) 9 (25) 9 (16) 0.35
Stroke subtypes, n (%) 0.06
Large artery disease 27 (28) 41 (31) 24 (26) 10 (28) 17 (30)
Cardioembolism 23 (24) 19 (15) 15 (16) 6 (17) 20 (36)
Small vessel disease 31 (33) 50 (38) 39 (42) 16 (44) 9 (16)
Undetermined 14 (15) 21 (16) 14 (15) 4 (11) 10 (18)
mRS at 3 months (mean ± SD) 1.3±1.1 1.6±1.3 1.8±1.3 2.3±1.4 3.8±1.8 <0.01
Good outcome*, n (%) 82 (86) 102 (78) 67 (73) 21 (59) 17 (30) <0.01
Table 2. Clinical characteristics of patients with different time of neurological improvement (TNI4)
Patients, n 28 54 83 84 161
Age, years (mean ± SD) 63.1±14.7 65.5±10.3 66.0±11.7 65.5±11.0 65.8±12.6 0.85
Males, n (%) 21 (75) 31 (57) 49 (59) 47 (56) 95 (59) 0.50
Time from onset to entry, h (mean ± SD) 2.7±2.9 3.8±3.5 4.7±3.0 5.9±3.3 4.5±3.4 0.02
Initial NIHSS score (mean ± SD) 6.7±4.4 6.6±4.3 6.0±4.5 6.5±4.3 7.6±5.9 0.15
Median (interquartile range) 6 (2.75–9.25) 5 (4–10) 5 (3–8) 5 (4–8) 6 (4–10)
Risk factors, n (%)
Hypertension 16 (57) 37 (69) 51 (61) 52 (62) 109 (68) 0.67
Diabetes mellitus 5 (18) 11 (20) 27 (33) 25 (30) 43 (27) 0.41
Hyperlipidemia 5 (18) 16 (30) 23 (28) 20 (24) 27 (17) 0.17
Smoking 9 (32) 19 (35) 35 (42) 30 (36) 51 (32) 0.60
Atrial fibrillation 10 (36) 9 (17) 16 (19) 13 (16) 37 (23) 0.17
Previous stroke 4 (14) 7 (13) 17 (21) 13 (16) 27 (17) 0.81
Stroke subtypes, n (%) 0.43
Large artery disease 7 (25) 15 (28) 27 (33) 27 (32) 43 (27)
Cardioembolism 10 (36) 9 (17) 14 (17) 12 (14) 38 (24)
Small vessel disease 8 (29) 19 (35) 26 (31) 31 (37) 61 (38)
Undetermined 3 (11) 11 (20) 16 (19) 14 (17) 19 (12)
mRS at 3 months (mean ± SD) 0.7±1.1 1.4±1.2 1.6±1.3 1.7±1.5 2.8±1.8 <0.01
Good outcome*, n (%) 26 (92) 44 (82) 63 (76) 65 (74) 84 (52) <0.01
Day 1 21.3 (16.7–26.5) 9.92 (6.5–14.4) 91.9 (85.7–96.1) 98.3 (93.9–99.8) 85.9 (75.6–93.0) 92.3 (74.9–99.1) 33.6 (28.6–38.9) 34.3 (29.2–39.7)
Day 3 62.9 (57.1–68.5) 26.9 (21.4–32.9) 65.3 (56.3–73.6) 90.5 (83.7–95.2) 80.7 (74.9–85.7) 85.5 (75.6–92.5) 43.3 (36.1–50.7) 37.2 (31.6–43.2)
Day 7 86.7 (82.2–90.4) 47.5 (41.1–54.0) 45.2 (36.2–54.3) 76.7 (68.0–84.1) 78.5 (73.5–82.9) 81.0 (73.6–87.1) 59.6 (49.0–69.6) 41.2 (34.6–48.1)
Day 14 93.7 (90.2–96.2) 68.2 (61.9–74.0) 33.9 (25.6–42.9) 61.2 (51.7–70.1) 76.6 (71.8–80.9) 78.6 (72.4–83.9) 70.0 (56.8–81.2) 48.0 (39.7–56.3)
The association may depend on the NIHSS score or oth- cated as the baseline characteristics of thrombolysis-
er factors. treated patients were specific and distinct from those of
This study has some limitations. As we recruited acute patients who were not treated with thrombolysis. The
ischemic stroke patients within 12 h after onset, the pa- clinical implication may also differ between spontaneous
tients who had already improved prior to hospital arrival improvement and improvement associated with throm-
may have not been considered having neurological im- bolytic treatment. Further studies, however, including
provement. The frequency of patients with a certain pe- thrombolysis-treated patients and adjusting these factors
riod of TNI, especially a TNI of day 1, may vary depend- will provide more valuable information.
ing on the time elapsed from stroke onset to admission. In conclusion, our data suggest that TNI after acute
Nevertheless, the data are clinically valuable because ischemic stroke is independently associated with func-
some delay from stroke onset to hospital arrival is also tional outcome at 90 days. In addition to initial NIHSS
present in clinical setting. score and age, the TNI can be a valid predictor of the
We did not exclude patients who improved to no def- stroke outcome. TNI2 may be more useful than TNI4 for
icit at day 1 (transient ischemic attack, TIA) if they had early prediction of outcome in patients who did not re-
neurological deficits on admission and had a relevant le- ceive thrombolytic therapy.
sion on DWI. According to the tissue-based definition of
TIA, only traditional TIA without evidence of acute in-
farction on brain imaging is classified as TIA [21]. Thus, Disclosure Statement
we classified these patients as stroke patients. Although
None.
this classification is controversial, such patients were
small in number (8 patients) and may have not affected
the overall results.
Funding
We excluded patients treated with thrombolysis, be-
cause our study focused on the natural course of stroke, The present research was conducted by the research fund of
and statistical analyses and interpretation were compli- Dankook University in 2013.
References
1 Brott T, Adams HP Jr, Olinger CP, Marler JR, 4 Henon H, Godefroy O, Leys D, Mounier-Ve- 6 Weimar C, Konig IR, Kraywinkel K, Ziegler
Barsan WG, Biller J, Spilker J, Holleran R, Eb- hier F, Lucas C, Rondepierre P, Duhamel A, A, Diener HC; German Stroke Study Collabo-
erle R, Hertzberg V: Measurements of acute Pruvo JP: Early predictors of death and dis- ration: Age and National Institutes of Health
cerebral infarction: a clinical examination ability after acute cerebral ischemic event. Stroke Scale Score within 6 hours after onset
scale. Stroke 1989;20:864–870. Stroke 1995;26:392–398. are accurate predictors of outcome after cere-
2 Kotila M, Waltimo O, Niemi ML, Laaksonen 5 Adams HP Jr, Davis PH, Leira EC, Chang KC, bral ischemia: development and external vali-
R, Lempinen M: The profile of recovery from Bendixen BH, Clarke WR, Woolson RF, Han- dation of prognostic models. Stroke 2004; 35:
stroke and factors influencing outcome. sen MD: Baseline NIH Stroke Scale score 158–162.
Stroke 1984;15:1039–1044. strongly predicts outcome after stroke: a re- 7 Muir KW, Weir CJ, Murray GD, Povey C,
3 Wade DT, Wood VA, Hewer RL: Recovery af- port of the Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Lees KR: Comparison of neurological scales
ter stroke – the first 3 months. J Neurol Neu- Treatment (TOAST). Neurology 1999; 53: and scoring systems for acute stroke progno-
rosurg Psychiatry 1985;48:7–13. 126–131. sis. Stroke 1996;27:1817–1820.
130.241.16.16 - 11/15/2017 8:33:38 PM