Professional Documents
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COMPENDIUM
INDIAN INSTITUTE OF FOREIGN TRADE, NEW DELHI
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Index
Accounting Formats:
Corporate Finance
Corporate finance is the division of finance that deals with how corporations deal with funding
sources, capital structuring, and investment decisions
IRR: Internal rate of return is the discount rate often used in capital budgeting that makes
the NPV of all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero. Generally speaking, the
higher a project's internal rate of return, the more desirable it is to undertake the project. As
such, IRR can be used to rank several prospective projects a firm is considering
Pros: Simplicity, percentage return easy to compare with discount rate
Cons: No/multiple IRR problem, Reinvestment rate is inherently assumed to be IRR
1. In the case of mutually exclusive projects that are competing such that acceptance of
either blocks acceptance of the remaining one, NPV and IRR often give contradicting
results
2. The conflict arises due to issues of differences in cash flow timing and patterns of the
project proposals or differences in the expected service period of the proposed projects
3. When faced by difficult situations and a choice must be made between two competing
projects, it is best to choose a project with a larger positive net value by using cutoff rate
or a fitting cost of capital
Profitability Index: Attempts to identify the relationship between the costs and benefits of a
proposed project. It also solves the issue of absolute returns in NPV
Formula: (PV of Future Cash Flows)/ (Initial Investment)
A PI greater than 1.0 indicates that profitability is positive, while a PI of less than 1.0
indicates that the project will lose money. As values on the profitability index increase, so
does the financial attractiveness of the proposed project.
Payback Period and Discounted Payback Period: The amount of time required for a firm to
recover its initial investment in a project, as calculated from its cash flows.
If PBP < Minimum Acceptable PBP, then accept the project
If PBP > Minimum Acceptable PBP, then reject the project
The only difference between PBP and DPBP is that DPBP takes into consideration the
discounted cash flows.
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Why Valuation?
Analyzing and selecting investment opportunities
Evaluating corporate events like M/As, IPOs, spin offs, etc.
Evaluating business strategies
Merger: Two existing companies into one new Acquisition: A company buys most, if not
control
Transaction Characteristics:
Form of Transaction Stock Purchase (Buys Ownership from target)
Asset Purchase (Buys assets from target)
Method of Payment Cash/Securities/Combination (Cash+ Securities)
Considerations: Risk sharing between parties, capital structure of acquirer
Management Attitude Hostile (Against the wish or approval of existing management)
Friendly (Approach, discuss and enter into an agreement)
Outcome Accretive (Increases acquirer’s EPS)
Dilutive (Decreases acquirer’s EPS)
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Poison pills:
Poison pills allow existing shareholders the right to purchase additional shares at a discount,
effectively diluting the ownership interest of a new, hostile party. A flip-in poison pill
strategy involves allowing the shareholders, except for the acquirer, to purchase additional
shares at a discount in the target. On the other hand, a flip-over poison pill is a tactic that
gives existing shareholders of the targeted firm the rights to purchase shares of the
acquiring company at a discounted price.
Poison puts:
Target company issues a bond that investors can redeem before its maturity date
Designed to increase the cost a company will incur in order to acquire a target company
Staggered board of directors:
Staggered board is a board that consists of directors grouped into classes who serve terms of
different lengths. Because of this arrangement, it would take much more time for an
unwelcome party to achieve its goal in taking control of the board
Restricted voting rights:
Shareholders may be restricted from voting on certain issues once their ownership exceeds a
certain percentage. Management might use voting rights plans as a preemptive tactic to
prevent potential acquirers from voting on the acceptance or rejection of a takeover bid
Supermajority voting provisions:
A provision that states that certain corporate actions require much more than a mere
majority – typically 67%-90% – approval from its shareholders to pass
Fair price amendments:
Requires potential acquirers of the company to pay “a fair price” (based on historical share
prices) in order to acquire shares. Intended to make the acquisition more expensive and
discourage the acquirer
Golden parachutes:
Consists of substantial benefits given to top executives if the company is taken over by
another firm, and the executives are terminated as a result of the merger or takeover.
Benefits may include stock options, cash bonuses, and generous severance pay
Post-Offer:
bank debt and subordinated debt. Increasing the debt, and thus a company’s leverage acts
as a shark repellent protection from hostile takeovers by corporate raiders
“Crown jewels” defense:
Last resort defense strategy where target sells its most valuable assets and intentionally
destroy part of its value to reduce its attractiveness to the hostile bidder. These assets might
be sold to a white knight and bought back at a later stage.
“Pac-Man” defense:
The target company tries to take over the hostile acquirer. Very expensive strategy and may
require selling target’s own assets or borrowing substantial funds
Valuation:
Discounted Cash Flow:
DCF tries to work out the intrinsic value of a company today, based on projections of all of the cash
that it could make available to investors in the future
Described as "discounted" because of the principle of "time value of money"
1. Estimate the Discount Rate (Weighted Average Cost of Capital/WACC for Enterprise Value or
Cost of Equity/KE for Equity Value)
2. Estimate future earnings and cash flows (FCFF/FCFE) and growth rate of earnings
3. Estimate terminal growth rate and terminal value (This can be done either through DCF or
using multiples)
4. Discount back the cash flows and add them
5. Discount Rate: WACC = E/(D+E) * KE + D/(D+E) * KD * (1-t)
KE = Cost of Equity
KD = Cost of Debt
E = Market value of the firm's equity
D = Market value of the firm's debt
E/(D+E) = Proportion of equity in capital structure
D/(D+E) = Proportion of debt in capital
t= Corporate tax rate
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The cost of equity is the return a company requires to decide if an investment meets capital return
requirements. There are various ways to calculate KE like:
Cash Flows:
We use Unlevered FCF/FCFF to get to the Enterprise Value using DCF.
Terminal Value
Method 1:
Terminal Value = Last year’s Free Cash Flow * (1 + Growth Rate) / (Discount Rate – Growth
Rate)
Here, Growth rate= Perpetual growth rate (Proxy could be long-term GDP growth rate, the
rate of inflation, or something similarly conservative)
Method 2:
We can apply an exit multiple (Using comparables) to the company’s Year 5 EBITDA, EBIT or
Free Cash Flow (Multiples Method)
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Relative Valuation:
Steps:
o Locate the Necessary Financial Information (Deal Information for Transaction Comps):
SEC/MCA Filings, Company’s Annual Reports, Sources available at public domain, internal
information from the company, M/A databases, etc.
4. For transaction comps, each deal should be carefully scrutinized. A direct competitor
with a similar financial profile is typically more relevant than an older transaction from a
different point in the business or credit cycle, or for a marginal player in the sector
o Determine Valuation
1. Use means and medians of most relevant multiple for sector (e.g., EV/EBITDA or P/E) to
extrapolate range of multiples
2. Focus on two-to-three closest comparables to frame ultimate valuation
3. Period (LTM, 1-year forward. 2-year forward) depends on sector, point in business cycle,
and comfort with estimates
Cons: Potential lack of information, lack of existence of proper comparables, motive of previous
transactions
Option-based valuation
Asset-based valuation
Liquidation Approach
Valuation Summary:
Football Field Analysis:
It is a graph showing the summary of valuation of a company according to different methodologies.
Companies are valued using a combination of multiples and future cash flows, and each of these can
be taken in a best, worst and median case. For example, with a discounted cash flow, you could
assume that the company will have a terminal growth rate of x%, x+1% or x-1% and this would give 3
different final values. Therefore, the discounted cash flow method will give a range of values for the
company. This applies to all valuation methods (you can trade at a high, low or average multiple of
earnings etc.). The best way to show this visually is using a graph, like the one shown below:
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Zee to merge with Sony; Punit Goenka will be CEO & MD of combined entity
Zee Entertainment Enterprises (ZEEL) has found a white knight in rival Sony with the latter agreeing
to merge its India entertainment business with the beleaguered firm, thus creating India’s largest
entertainment network with about $2 billion in revenues and 26 per cent viewership share.
The ZEEL board announced on Wednesday that it had approved a non-binding term sheet with Sony
Pictures Networks India to merge their operations, and that the promoters of Sony would invest
$1.57 billion in the merged entity as growth capital.
According to the indicative initial merger ratio, ZEEL shareholders will own approximately 47 per
cent in the merged entity, while the promoters of Sony India will hold 53 per cent after the infusion
of growth capital, it said in a statement. On the basis of the existing estimated equity values of ZEEL
and Sony India, the indicative merger ratio would have been 61.25 per cent in favour of ZEEL.
However, with the proposed infusion of growth capital, Zee’s stake is pegged at 47 per cent, it
added.
While the promoters of Sony will have the right to appoint the majority of directors to the board,
Punit Goenka, chief executive officer and managing director of ZEEL, will become the CEO and MD of
the combined entity. Goenka’s appointment, however, will be subject to the necessary approvals
from the nomination remuneration committee, the board, and shareholders of the merged
company, the firm said.
Centre signs share purchase agreement with Tata Sons for ₹18,000-cr Air India deal
The Central Government had accepted an offer by Talace Pvt Ltd, a unit of the holding company of
the salt-to-software conglomerate, to pay ₹2,700 crore cash and take over ₹15,300 crore of the
airline's debt.
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Following that, on October 11 a Letter of Intent (LoI) was issued to the Tata Group confirming the
government's willingness to sell its 100 per cent stake in the airline.
Tatas beat the ₹15,100-crore offer by a consortium led by SpiceJet promoter Ajay Singh and the
reserve price of ₹12,906 crore set by the government for the sale of its 100 per cent stake in the
loss-making carrier.
While this will be the first privatisation since 2003-04, Air India will be the third airline brand in the
Tatas' stable -- it holds a majority interest in AirAsia India and Vistara, a joint venture with Singapore
Airlines Ltd.
The loss-making Air India has 43 wide-body planes, including 27 Boeing 787s.
IPO process
An Initial Public Offering (IPO) is the first time that the shares of a private company are offered to the
public. It is a significant stage in the growth of a business. In an IPO, the Issuer obtains the assistance
of an underwriting firm to determine the type of security to be issued, the best offering price, the
number of shares to be issued and the time to bring it to market.
Detailed steps-
Step 1: Preparation of Registration Statement
To begin an IPO process, the company involved needs to submit a registration statement to the SEBI,
which includes a detailed report of its fiscal health and business plans. SEBI scrutinizes the report
and background check of the company. It must also ensure that registration statement fulfils all the
mandatory requirements and satisfies all rules and regulations.
There are two types of issues: Fixed Price IPO and Book Building IPO:
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Fixed Price IPO – Here the company decides the price of the share issue and the number of
shares being sold. For eg: KS Ltd issues 10 lakh shares of face value ₹10/- each at a premium
of ₹55/- which are available to the public
Book Building IPO – A Book building issue helps the company discover the price of the issue.
The company decides a price band and it gives the investor an option to choose the price at
which they wish to bid for the company shares. For eg: KS Ltd issues 10 lakh shares of face
value ₹10/- each at a price band of ₹60 to ₹70 is available to the public. Here the amount
generated through the issue would depend on the highest amount bid by most investors.
RECENT IPOs
1) One 97 Communications Ltd (PayTm) - IPO - Trade, Thursday, 18 Nov 2021 @ INR
2,150.00 for 183,000.045 Mn INR
One 97 Communications Limited provides payment solutions. The Company provides online
services such as hotel booking, top-ups, data processing, games, mobile content, and bill
payments. One 97 Communications serves customers worldwide.
Company Financials:
Equity
The net proceeds from the IPO will be used for the following purposes:
IPO Details:
Rationale:
One of the possible reasons behind the weak response from big investors could be
the IPO’s valuation, which despite being lower than what was expected earlier, has
not gone down well with many analysts.
Many analysts feel the IPO is overvalued, given the company’s inability to deliver
profit after so many years of staying in business. Though the company has managed
to bring down its losses and diversify its business over the years, it has not yet
delivered a profit. This is something that many analysts have pointed out while
speaking about the valuation.
2) Zomato Limited - IPO - Trade,Friday, 23 Jul 2021 @ INR 76.00 for 93,255.80 Mn INR
The net proceeds from the IPO will be used for the following purposes:
IPO Details:
Rationale:
Zomato’s initial share sale is undoubtedly a big moment for the Gurugram-based
company and the overall Indian tech and startup universe but also a playbook on
how to execute an IPO, despite several roadblocks.
Since the beginning of the year, Zomato shuffled its cap table with multiple funding
rounds to make itself IPO-ready, but perhaps the most significant step in that
direction was when the company managed to execute secondary transactions to
help China’s Ant Group partially dilute
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/startups/how-zomato-executed-its-ipo-
plan/articleshow/84732982.cms?
utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
3) PowerGrid Infrastructure Trust - IPO - Trade, Friday, 14 May 2021 @ INR 100.00 for
77,349.90 Mn INR
IPO Details:
Rationale:
At the higher end of the price band, PowerGrid InvIT is available at a cash flow yield
of 11% and a 1% premium to its NAV value. Closest peer Sterlite Power-sponsored
IndiGrid is trading at a 9% yield with a 9% premium to its NAV value. Hence, the
issue seems to be reasonably valued.
Given the competitive advantage of Powergrid (sponsor), consistent and stable cash
flows over the last three years, strategic business (power transmission), healthy debt
ratios, stable margins and return ratios, we remain positive on the prospects of the
issue.
4) Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Ltd. - On 05/06/2021 Nuvoco Vistas Corp Ltd, which operates
in the Quarrying industry, announced an Initial Public Offering. The offering priced on
08/17/2021 at INR 570 and raised INR 50.00B. The managers of the offering were Axis
Capital Ltd, HSBC Securities & Capital Markets India Priv, ICICI Securities Ltd, JP Morgan
Securities India Pvt Ltd and SBI Capital Markets.
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited provides construction materials. The Company offers
cement, ready mix concrete, and aggregates. Nuvoco Vistas serves customers in India.
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Nuvoco Vistas has reported a tepid rise in topline over the last three years, and negative
bottomline for FY19 and FY21. The company has seen a healthy 25% rise in its EBITDA
over this period, on the back of improvement in cost efficiency.
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Ltd., a part of Nirma Group Company, is the fifth largest cement
company in India and the largest cement company in East India in terms of capacity. Hence, it
enjoys a strong brand value. Nuvoco is currently focussing on increasing its production
capacity. It is the fastest-growing cement company in terms of capacity addition on
percentage terms with installed capacity doubling over the last 5 years.
Nuvoco has lower EBITDA margin and return ratios as compared to its larger listed peers
(20% for Nuvoco in FY21). The peer average is between 24-25%. Further, these larger
powers such as Ultratech Cement, Shree Cement, Ambuja Cement and ACC are also
profitable at the net level.
As the earnings are negative, comparison on the basis of P/E ratio is not possible. At the
higher price band of Rs 570, Nuvoco Vistas Corp reported 18.54 times EV/EBITDA in FY21
on a post-issue basis. This is lower as compared to Shree Cement (25 times) and Ultratech
Cement (19.64 times). Given their better financial profiles, the peers are expected to trade at
higher valuations.
Given the company’s strong brand value, robust growth in capacity addition, good visibility
for cement companies due to focus on infra, reduction in debt, and improvement in margins
and profitability going forward, we remain positive on the prospects of this issue on a long-
term basis.
5) Gland Pharma-
Company Financials:
IPO Details:
Shares Offered:
Gland Pharma IPO is a public issue of 30237879 equity shares. The issue offers 15118939
shares to retail individual investors, 8639394 shares to qualified institutional buyers and
6479546 shares to non-institutional investors.
Rationale:
No doubt, that currently the pharma sector is attracting investors following COVID-19
pandemic and the search of remedies for it globally. This company has posted good
performance for the last three fiscals and spectacular numbers for Q1 of FY
Based on P/BV and P/E parameters, the issue appears fully priced. Considering all
these, though it sounds lucrative to invest for the long term and risk savvy, cash
surplus investors may consider investment at their own risk.
Mindspace Business Parks REIT has a quality office portfolio in Mumbai, Hyderabad, Pune
and Chennai. The business parks in Mumbai are Mindspace Airoli East Business Park,
Mindspace Airoli West Business Park, Paradigm Mindspace Malad and The Square, BKC.
Company Financials:
Under the REIT Regulations, Mindspace REIT has to invest a minimum of 80% of the
value of its assets in completed and rent and/ or income-generating properties. REIT
Regulations also imposes restrictions on certain investments including investments in
vacant land, agricultural land, or mortgages other than mortgage-backed securities and
assets located outside India. As per the REIT Regulations, the portfolio of the
Mindspace REIT is required to be maintained for a period of minimum 3-years from the
date of purchase or completion.
IPO Details:
Rationale:
The first REITs of Embassy Parks have managed to give around 8% distribution
rewards so far. But now this sector is set for a litmus taste as amidst COVID-19
pandemic many companies in the IT and service industry have opted for Work
from Home (WFH) model.
Thus, views on future prospects are divided among masses. Considering Risk
Factors indicated by the company and prevalent uncertainties, cash surplus -
risk savvy investors may consider investment at their own risk.
Company Financials:
IPO Details:
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Rationale:
Account aggregation business of one its subsidiaries, CFISPL may not be viable
as there is currently no certainty of revenue from account aggregation
operations.
Future revenue and profit are largely dependent on the growth, value and
composition of AAUM of the mutual funds, funds managed by the clients,
which may decline is another risk factor.
The issue appears fully priced on the basis of its financial data and P/E, P/BV
parameters. However, with consistent growth in revenue and profit with
attractive return ratios (ROE of 34%), strong cash flow, entry barrier coupled
with dominant market share in industry; all these shall command premium
valuations.
Since, company has no direct listed peers (except CDSL who performs one of
the function similar to CAMS), hence company will get first mover advantage.
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Securities represent the terms of exchange of money between two parties; the buyer and
the seller in this case.
Securities can be issued by borrowers / equity funders to raise money at a reasonable cost
and gives security ownership to investors.
Businesses issue securities to raise money from investor with surplus funds through a
regulated contract and a regulated and monitored mechanism.
While the issuer of the security provides the terms for raising capital, investors have a claim
to the rights represented by the securities.
Securities can be broadly classified into equity (risk participation) or debt (claim on cash
flows).
While debt securities are issued for a specific period, equity securities are perpetual. Debt
securities pay interest while equity pays out dividends, but it is not assured.
AMCs / Portfolio Managers manage a portfolio of securities and offer units that represent
participation in a pool of money. They help investors diversify risk and build wealth.
Investment bankers or lead managers manage IPOs, rights issues, debt raising, raising of
FDs, and placement with institutions, syndication and give corporate advisory services too.
Underwriters guarantee the sale of an IPO and give comfort to issuers by undertaking to
take up shares that don’t get sold. They are paid an underwriting fee for this service.
Brokers are registered trading members of stock exchanges and they execute transactions in
the secondary market. They also market IPOs and also give appropriate advice to clients.
Sub-brokers / Franchisees are affiliated to brokers and help the brokers to reach out to a
larger network of investors in specific geographies.
Clearing members are members of the stock exchange who are responsible for the clearing
and settlement of trades on a daily basis on the stock exchange.
Bankers to an issue are appointed during IPOs, to collect application forms and monies from
investors and coordinate with lead managers and facilitate transfer of funds.
Registrars & Transfer Agents (RTAs) maintain the record of investors on behalf of the issuer.
They manage allotment of IPOs, effect transfer of ownership and execute corporate actions.
Depository Participants (DPs) are the link between the depository (NSDL/CDSL) and the
investors. They hold the shares of investors in custody in electronic form.
Custodians are to institutional investors what the DP is to retail investors. Custodians
manage transactions pertaining to delivery of securities and money after a trade is made
through the broker, and also provides accounting for securities and money.
Trustees are appointed when beneficiaries may not be able to directly supervise if money
invested is being managed properly. Mutual funds and debentures have trustees.
Credit rating agencies rate a debt security based on the ability of the company to service its
interest and principal obligations on time. Ratings are periodically reviewed.
Investment advisers help investors to make an informed choice of securities in a manner
that is in sync with their long term goals.
Securities Include:
The investors in the Indian securities market have a wide choice of financial products to choose from
depending upon their risk appetite and return expectations. Broadly, the financial products can be
categorized as equity, debt and derivative products.
Equity Shares:
Equity shares represent the form of fractional ownership in a business venture. Equity shareholders
collectively own the company. They bear the risk and enjoy the rewards of ownership.
o Issued by: Companies
o Investors: Institutional and Individual (Retail and HNI)
o Medium: Direct issuance by companies and Stock Exchange
o Regulator: SEBI, Regulators under the Companies Act
Debentures/Bonds/Notes:
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Debentures/Bonds/Notes are instruments for raising long term debt. Debentures are either
unsecured or secured (backed by collateral support) in nature. There are variety of debentures
/bonds such as fully convertible, non-convertible and partly convertible debentures.
o Issued by: Companies, Government, Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs)
o Investors: Institutional and Individual
o Medium: Direct issuance by issuers and Stock Exchange
o Regulator: RBI, SEBI, Regulators under the Companies Act
P/E ratio It is the ratio of the stock price to EPS. The P/E is assigned to a stock
by the market based on factors like growth, ROE, brand value etc. It
is the value that market assigns for every rupee earned.
P/BV ratio It is the ratio of the stock price to the book value per share. This is
more useful as a ratio in case of loss making companies (where P/E is
not applicable) and in case of the banking sector
Dividend Yield It is the dividend paid per share divided by the stock price. Dividend
yield above 5% is attractive and normally acts as a support for the
stock price
Face Value It is value on the face of the debt security and is normally Rs.100 or
Rrs.1000. Interest is paid on face value
Coupon Interest It is the fixed rate of interest payable on the bond. 9% bond of face
value Rs.1000 will pay Rs.90 interest per year
Maturity The time period to redemption. A 5 year bond will be repayable at
the end of 5 years
Coupon Yield It is the interest on the bond divided by the price of the bond. If a
Rs.1000 bond of 9% is trading in the market at Rs.960, then the
coupon yield is Rs.90/960 = 9.375%
Yield to maturity Yield to maturity or YTM is the most important concept in debt
instruments. It is the IRR of the bond after considering time value.
Future cash flows are discounted to the present at the current
market yield
Zero Coupon These bonds don’t pay intermediate interest but issue at a discount
Bonds and redeem at par value. Interest accrues in this case
Callable Bonds In these bonds, the issuer has the option to call back the bonds if the
interest rates come down
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Call markets The short term money markets where institutions can lend and
borrow short term money
Gilts They are short for government securities. They are considered to be
high on safety as it is issued by the government
Yield Curve It is the relationship between term-to-maturity and yields. The yield
curve is normally upward sloping
Forward Commitments
Forward contracts, futures contracts, and swaps are forward commitment derivatives that
create the obligation to transact in the future.
Forward Contracts
A forward contract is a commitment in the form of an OTC derivative contract in which the
buyer agrees to purchase an underlying asset from the seller at a later date at a fixed price
agreed at the time of the contract inception. If one party reneges on their commitment, it is
considered a default, and legal proceedings can be instituted to force performance. The
amount owed is always the net value between the two parties.
When we consider the payoff profile of a forward contract, we denote the payoff profiles as
follows:
Payoff for the buyer=ST–F0(T)
Payoff for the seller=−[ST–F0(T)]
Where:
ST = the price of the underlying asset at the contract expiration (time T)
F0(T) = the price that the buyer agrees to buy the asset for (or the seller agrees to sell the
asset for) at the inception of the contract (at time T=0)
For the buyer of the contract, if the price of the underlying asset at contract expiry (S T) is
greater than the price that they agreed to pay at contract inception F0(T), then clearly they
can purchase the asset for less than the prevailing price and thus they have profited. The
mirror image is true for the seller. If ST is greater than F0(T), then the seller has an equal but
opposite loss on the transaction. The buyer and seller are the counterparties in a zero-sum
game outside of the transaction costs incurred. If one party loses USD 100,000 on a forward
contract, the counterparty gains USD 100,000.
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Options, credit derivatives, and asset-backed securities are all types of contingent claims,
meaning one of the parties has the right, but not the obligation, to transact at a
predetermined price at expiration.
Options
The right to buy is referred to as a call option, while the right to sell is a put option. An
option contract may also be exercised before the contract expiry date. Early exercise
options are American-style, while European-style options can only be exercised at expiry.
However, it is important to note that both types of options trade in all geographies. The
fixed price at which the underlying asset can be bought or sold at expiry is the exercise price
or strike price.
The purchaser of an option contract pays the writer of the option contract an option
premium. The premium represents the value of the option in a well-functioning market. As
the buyer has no obligation beyond the premium, only the seller of the option can trigger a
default if the buyer exercises the option and the seller does not deliver the underlying.
We will learn more about the value at expiration and profit for call and put options in the
next learning objective.
Credit Derivatives
A credit derivative provides credit protection for the buyer in the event of loss from a credit
event. There are several types of credit derivatives.
Total return swap
In a total return swap, the underlying is typically a loan or a bond. The credit protection
buyer pays the credit protection seller the total return on the bond (interest plus capital) in
return for a fixed or floating rate of interest. If the bond defaults, the credit protection seller
must continue to pay the interest while receiving no (or very little) return from the buyer.
Credit spread option
In a credit spread option, the underlying is the yield spread between the yield on a bond and
the yield of a benchmark default-free bond. This yield spread, or credit spread, is a
reflection of investors’ perception of credit risk. The credit protection buyer selects the
strike spread and pays an option premium to the seller. At expiration, the spread is
compared with the strike spread, and if the option is in-the-money, the seller pays the buyer
the determined payoff.
Credit-linked note
In a credit-linked note, the credit protection buyer usually holds a bond that may be subject
to default and, to offset that risk, issues a credit-linked note with the condition that if the
bond defaults, the principal payoff is reduced accordingly. Thus, the buyer of the credit-
linked note takes on the credit risk of the underlying bond.
Credit default swap (CDS)
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In a CDS, the credit protection buyer makes a series of regularly scheduled payments to the
credit protection seller. The seller makes no payments until a credit event occurs. A credit
event could be a declaration of bankruptcy, a failure to make a scheduled payment, or a
restructuring. The CDS contract will explicitly define what constitutes a credit event. A CDS is
essentially a form of insurance and provides loss coverage in return for the premium paid by
the buyer to the seller.
Asset-backed Securities
Asset-backed securities (ABS) alter the payment stream of the underlying asset. They
typically divide payments into tranches (slices) in which the priority of the claims changes
from all being equivalent to some tranches taking preference on the payments. The
differential nature of these claims becomes relevant when prepayments or defaults occur.
When a mortgage asset portfolio is assembled into an ABS, the resulting instrument is called
a collateralized mortgage obligation (CMO). When homeowners pay off their mortgages
early (prepayment), the mortgage holders suffer, and an expected stream of returns has
been terminated early. The funds now have to be reinvested at a typically lower rate. CMOs
typically partition the mortgages into A, B, and C classes, and class C will bear the first wave
of prepayment risk, followed by class B and class A. As the risk on the tranches is not equal
(class C bears the most prepayment risk), the expected returns on the classes vary to
compensate investors for the varying risk.
When bonds or loans are assembled into an ABS, they are referred to as collateralized bond
obligations (CBO) or collateralized loan obligations (CLO) which collectively are collateralized
debt obligations (CDO). A CDO does not have much prepayment risk but does have credit
risk. A CDO allocates this risk to different tranches, senior, mezzanine, or junior tranches.
When a default occurs, the junior tranche bears the risk first, followed by the mezzanine
and then the senior tranche. Therefore, senior tranches have the lowest risk but also the
lowest expected return.
Indian derivative markets are a mix of cash settled and delivery settled. Exchange
traded currency futures are by default cash settled. Commodity futures are settled
either in cash or by actual delivery. Most equity derivatives are cash settled.
Buying and selling futures entails payment of initial margins and MTM margins if
price movement is unfavourable. Option sellers are margined just like futures.
Options are contracts on specific strike prices fixed at regular intervals. Contracts are
standardized and options can only be bought or sold at specified strike prices.
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Futures and options lot sizes are defined in number of shares of a stock or index. The
lot value is kept at Rs.7.50 lakhs to Rs.10 lakhs and trades can only be multiples of lot
size.
Apart from monthly options, the Indian exchanges also offer weekly options on the
Nifty and the Bank Nifty. These weekly options are settled on every Thursday.
NSE has one of the highest volumes of stock futures in the world. Futures are similar
to the erstwhile Badla (carry forward) on the BSE which makes traders comfortable.
There is a wide range of derivatives options in India. Equity derivatives offer index
futures, index options, stock futures and stock options. In addition, one can also
trade VIX futures. Commodity derivatives offer futures on precious metals, industrial
metals, hydrocarbons and agricultural products.
Trend Overview:
A host of regulatory changes are now being introduced globally to bring about greater
transparency in the capital & the security markets industry. These changes are forcing
financial markets to innovate and undertake initiatives to ensure cost-effective and efficient
compliance. Whether it be derivatives market consistency or transitioning from LIBOR, the
firms are moving to data-driven compliance to ensure standards in the use, distribution and
protection of valuable customer data. Quantamental investing approaches and digital
security tokens are going to have an impact on the broader audience.
Customer engagement and satisfaction have been a burning issue for the industry for quite
some time. Firms are under pressure to improve customer service, especially within today’s
competitive landscape. Therefore, capital market participants are adopting Artificial
Intelligence to drive intelligent solutions to streamline and optimize current operational
processes. RPA solutions are being leveraged for simplifying client on boarding, while Block
chain technology is helping firms to improve transparency, manage risks, and enable greater
operational efficiency.
Further References:
1. https://www.capgemini.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Capital_Market_Trends_2020.pdf
2. https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/banking-capital-markets/capital-markets-2020/assets/capital-
markets-2020.pdf
3. https://www.exchangeconnect.in/blog/emerging-trends-in-capital-markets/
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Commodity Market:
Commodity market facilitates an exchange of physical goods among residents in a country.
Individuals aiming to diversify their portfolio can undertake investments in both perishable and non-
perishable products, thereby not only mitigating the risk factor, but also providing a hedge against
inflation rates in an economy.
Commodities are split into two types: hard and soft commodities. Hard commodities are typically
natural resources that must be mined or extracted—such as gold, rubber, and oil, whereas soft
commodities are agricultural products or livestock—such as corn, wheat, coffee, sugar, soybeans,
and pork.
All activities of such nationwide exchanges come under the regulation of Commodity Derivatives
Market Regulation (CDMRD) of Securities and Exchange Board of India, which merged with Forward
Market Commission in 2015.
Commodity Trading:
Investors can practice investing in commodity markets through a Futures or Options contract. While
a futures contract dictates individuals to sign a deed stipulating delivery of a product at a later date
with respect to a fixed price, an options contract acts as an agreement but not a liability of the same.
1. Choose your market – Choose the commodity, such as Crude Oil Brent, Gold or Natural Gas,
that you want to spread bet or trade CFDs on.
2. Decide to buy or sell – Buy (go long) if you think prices will rise, or sell (go short) if you think
prices will go down.
3. Enter a trade size – Decide on the amount per point movement (spread betting) or how
many units (CFDs) you want to trade. When trading CFDs the value of one unit can vary
depending on the instrument you’ve chosen to trade.
4. Manage your risk – Select from a range of stop-loss orders including guaranteed stop-loss
orders (GSLOs). GSLOs work exactly the same as regular stop-loss orders, except that for a
premium, they guarantee to close you out of a trade at the price you specify regardless of
market volatility or gapping. The premium is refunded in full if the GSLO is not triggered.
5. Monitor your position – After placing your trade, monitor your open positions (including any
stop orders or take profit orders) to follow your real-time profit or loss. Please remember
that losses can exceed your deposits.
6. Close your position – If your trade is not automatically closed out as a result of a stop or
take profit order being triggered, close your trade when you are ready.
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India Outlook:
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all sectors and
economies, with the most severe impact felt in sectors, such as
travel, tourism and hospitality because they have been hard hit
by travel restrictions imposed by countries as well as a fall in
discretionary spending
Businesses are facing workforce issues, disrupted supply
chains, concerns with weak demand levels and liquidity
challenges India Q1 21 Sector GDP Growth
Least hit sectors: Pharma, IT, financial services, and
consumer
The RBI launched several focused initiatives as part of the
Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan, which included an overall package
of INR 20 lakh crore (about 10% of the GDP), with a focus on land,
labour, liquidity, and laws
Sectoral Outlook:
o Agriculture Sector:
o The horticulture production during 2020-21 was 331.05 MMT, the highest ever and food
grains production during 2019-20 was 296.65 MMT.
o The agriculture sector in India is the primary source of livelihood for about 58% of India’s
population.
o The Indian Agriculture Export Policy, 2018 was approved by the Government of India in
December 2018. The new policy aimed to increase India’s agricultural export to $60 bn by
2022 and $100 bn in the next few years with a stable trade policy regime.
o In 2019, India was the 9th largest exporter of agricultural products and the total value of
exported agricultural products stood at $37.4 bn. India exported agri-machinery worth
$1,024 mn during 2019-20. Of this, 76.4% was exported to the UK, North America, Eastern
Europe, EU, Africa, ASEAN, and SAARC.
o The export of rice increased from $1.9 bn in April-June 2020 to $2.3 bn in April-June 2021.
o The export of Agri and allied commodities during April 2020 - February 2021 were INR 2.74
lakh crore as compared to INR 2.31 crore in the same period last year indicating an increase
of 18.49%. During April-December 2020, the export of Basmati Rice was $2,947 mn against
$2,936 mn reported during same period in the previous year. Major destination for the
Basmati rice exports from India is to the countries including Iran, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, United
Arab Emirates, Kuwait, European Countries etc.
o The volume of tea exported during April - January 2021 amounted to 172.46 million kg, with
CIS being the top exported Indian tea at 42.64 mkg. UAE was the top importer of India tea
during the same period at 10.92 mkg of imports.
o Large population and rising urban and rural income have added to growth in demand for
agriculture products. As per the Union Budget of India 2020-21, allocation of $40.06 bn was
made to the Ministry of Agriculture.
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o India ranks first in the number of organic farmers and ninth in terms of area under organic
farming.
o India’s agriculture technology can grow to $24.1 bn in 5 years. The current market size of
agri tech, including AI-based agri innovation start-ups in India, is nearly worth $204 mn.
o The Bamboo Industry has the potential to be worth $4.29bn.
o Export of Rice was valued at $715.24 bn in August 2021 with a positive growth of 6.58% over
exports of $671.08 bn in August 2020.
o IT Sector:
o The Indian IT industry, which accounts for 8% of India’s GDP, has been acutely impacted by
the lockdowns in key global as well as domestic markets
o They are expected to cut discretionary IT and ITeS spend, renegotiate pricing of services and
in some cases, resort to deferring or cancelling contract commitments
o Transactions and deal activity is expected to increase in the areas of digital captives, data
analytics and cloud services
o In Union Budget 2021, the allocation for IT and telecom sector stood at Rs. 53,108 crore
(US$ 7.31 billion).
o In FY22, the top three Indian IT companies, TCS, Wipro and Infosys, are expected to offer ~
1.05 lakh opportunities, due to the increasing skill demand for talent and skill.
The pharmaceutical industry in India offers 60,000 generic brands across 60 therapeutic categories. The
API industry is the third world's largest, and it has 57% of APIs on the WHO.
o Incentives worth INR 21,940 Crore ($3 Mn) are approved for the Indian pharmaceuticals
market.
o Expected to reach $65 bn by 2024, and ~$120-130 bn by 2030
o Pharmaceutical industry growth rate 10-12%
o Cost of manufacturing ~ 33% lower than western markets
o 18.7% year on year export growth
o India exports $ 40 K worth of pharmaceuticals every minute
o 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the pharmaceutical sector is allowed under the
automatic route for greenfield pharmaceuticals.
o 100% FDI in the pharmaceutical sector is allowed in brownfield pharmaceuticals; wherein
74% is allowed under the automatic route and thereafter through the government approval
route.
o Banking Sector:
o Respective breakdowns for PSUs ($1.53 Tn), Private Sector ($0.81 Tn) and Foreign Banks
($0.18 Tn) Assets of PSUs were nearly 60% of total banking assets.
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o Historically Indian banking has benefited from high savings rates and growth in savings as
well as disposable income growth
o The Banking industry in India has historically been one of the most stable systems globally,
despite global upheavals. The government has consistently strived to promote financial
inclusion through various initiatives targeted to bring the country’s underbanked population
under the banking gamut.
o As a part of the Digital India initiative, the Govt. mandated an open API policy, known as
India Stack, giving third-party providers access to the proprietary software for five key
programs: Aadhaar (the Government’s biometric identity database), e–KYC, e–signing,
privacy-protected data sharing and the UPI.
o While Payments and Alternative Finance segments constituted more than 90 percent of the
sector’s investment flows in 2015, there has been a major shift towards a more equitable
distribution of investment across sectors since. In 2020, Financial technologies in India such
as FinTech SaaS and InsurTechs saw total investments of $145 Mn and $215 Mn respectively,
representing a 4-5X growth over their 2015 funding flow.
o Amongst India’s 50+ FinTechs with more than $100 Mn valuation, there are 4 Wealth and
Broking FinTechs, 5 InsurTechs and 8 SaaS FinTechs.
o UPI is expected to grow significantly with the participation of domestic and international
players (Paytm, Walmart and Google) continuing to dominate the Indian financial industry,
with a heavy focus on the development of the payments infrastructure through investments.
o Neo-banks in India are emerging as a key segment for growth in the space – with over 15
Neo-banks currently in India, several of them under development or in beta stages. The
Financial sector in India has been growing steadily, with several private banks partnering
with these Fintechs to explore synergies and better means of service delivery.
o Insurance Sector:
o The total insurance penetration in India was at 3.76% in 2019 (life insurance 2.82% and non-
life 0.94%) and the total insurance density in India was at $78 in 2019-20 (life insurance
density: $58, non-life insurance: $19).
o In terms of the size of insurance industry in India, the share of life insurance in total
premium in India is 74.94% and the share of non-life premium is 25.06% (2019-20)
o Life insurers recorded new business premium of INR 2.78 tn ($38 bn) in FY21 growing at
7.49% over the last year with private life insurers growing at 16.29%. Private Life Insurers
account for 33.8% of the industry’s new business premium (FY21) with the rest being
accounted for by the Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC).
o The Life Insurance Industry in India recorded a total premium of INR 5.73 tn ($81.3 bn) in
FY20 witnessing a growth of 12.75% over the previous year and the private insurers
accounted for 33.7% of total premium underwritten by the industry. New business premium
contributed 45.25% of the total premium and witnessed a strong growth of 20.59% over
FY19. 60% of the new business premium was derived from single premium with remaining
40% accounted for by first year premiums
o During the period 2016 – 2020 in top 8 cities, there has been an excess demand for the
Housing across all the income groups. The demand supply gap is substantial in the Lower
Income Group (LIG).
Income Group Supply (‘000 units) Demand (‘000 units) Excess Demand
(‘000 units)
Lower Income Group 25 1982 1957
Middle Income Group 647 1457 810
High Income Group 351 717 366
o In July 2021, the Securities and Exchange Board of India lowered the minimum application
value for Real Estate Investment Trusts from Rs. 50,000 to Rs. 10,000 – 15,000 to make the
market more accessible to small and retail investors.
o -The real estate segment attracted private equity investments worth Rs. 23,946 crore (USD
3241 million) across 19 deals in Q4 FY21.
o In the first-half of 2021, India registered investments worth US$ 2.4 billion into real estate
assets, a growth of 52% YoY.
o FDI in the sector (including construction development & activities) stood at US$ 51.5 billion
between April 2000 and June 2021.
o Auto Sector:
o The focus in auto sector is shifting to electric vehicles to reduce emissions. The electric
vehicles industry is likely to create five crore jobs by 2030.
o The automobile sector received cumulative FDI inflow of about US $ 25.85 billion between
April 2000 and March 2021.
o The Government of India expects automobile sector to attract US$ 8-10 billion in local and
foreign investments by 2023.
o The Government of India also announced the vehicle scrappage policy to phase out old and
unfit vehicles.
o Automotive Mission Plan 2021-26 is a mutual initiative by the Government of India and
Indian Automotive Industry to lay down the roadmap for development of the industry.