Mid Term Paper Assignment

Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

Q1. A pair of dice is rolled on every play and the player wins at once if the
total for the first throw is 6 or 10, loses at once if 2,3, or 12 are rolled. Any
other throw is called a "carry-over." If the first throw is a carry-over, then
the player throws the dice repeatedly until he wins by throwing the same
carry-over again, or loses by throwing 6. What is the probability of winning
the game? The two dice are slightly loaded in such a manner so that the
faces 1, 2 and 3 appear with unbiased probability plus ε and faces 4, 5 and 6
1

appear with unbiased probability plus ε for each dice. Calculate for ε =¿0.1
2 1

and ε =¿0.05.
2

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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

Q2a. We have four boxes. Box 1 contains 2500 components of which 5%

are defective. Box 2 contains 600 components of which 40% are defective.
Boxes 3 and 4 contain 800 each with 10% defective. We select at random
one of the boxes and we remove at random a single component. (a) What is
the probability that the selected component is defective?
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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

Q2b. A box contains red and blue balls. When two balls are drawn without
replacement, suppose the probability that both are red is 1/5. (a) Find the
smallest number of balls in the box. (b) How small can the total number of
balls be if black balls are even in number?
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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

Q2c. A standard pack of cards has 52 cards, 13 in each of 4 suits. Suppose 4

players are dealt 13 cards each from well shuffled pack. What is the
Probability of dealing a perfect hand (13 of anyone suit?)
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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

Q3a. Explain the following w.r.t Probability:

a) Field and σ −Field
b) Axioms of Probability
c) Cartesian Product Space
d) Prove the Bernoulli Theorem for Repeated Trials
e) Stock market follows a randomly phenomenon. After entering into the
market, at what time of the day one can get out with success?
Ans. a) Field :
A collection of subsets of a nonempty set Ω forms a field F if
(i) Ω ∈F
(ii) If A ∈ F then Α ∈ F
'

(iii) If A ∈ F∧B ∈ F then( A ∪ B) ∈ F

σ −Field :

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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

Ans b). Axioms of Probability:

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Ans c). Cartesian Product Space:
Given two sets S1 and S2 with elements ξ 1 and ξ 2 respectively, we form all
ordered pairs ξ 1ξ 2 where ξ 1 is any element of S1 and ξ 2 is any element of
S2. The Cartesian product of the sets S1 and S2 is a set S whose elements
are all such pairs. This set is written in the form S=S 1 × S 2.
Ans d). Bernoulli Theorem for Repeated Trials:
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 Mid Term Paper Assignment
Haseeb Ur Rehman 2015 – EE – 306 Section A

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Ans. e)
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