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Social Contagion of Astrol-ogy in the Social Media amid COVID-19 Pandemic

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INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MULTIDISCIPLINARY: APPLIED
BUSINESS AND EDUCATION RESEARCH
2021, Vol. 2, No. 4, 404 – 418
http://dx.doi.org/10.11594/ijmaber.02.04.08

Research Article

Social Contagion of Astrology in the Social Media amid COVID-19 Pandemic

Kristoffer Romulo B. Lopez1, Natalia P. Gaticales1, Alliyah Vanessa C. Provido1, Samantha


Mae B. Santelices1, Myla M. Arcinas2*
1De La Salle University Integrated School, Manila, Philippines
2Behavioral Sciences Department, De La Salle University, Manila, Philippines

Article history: ABSTRACT


Submission April 2021
Revised April 2021 This cross-sectional study aimed to determine the associations of the
Accepted April 2021 extent of Social Contagion - Conscious Behavioral Response (CBR) to-
wards Astrology on social media among Filipino Post-Millennial uni-
*Corresponding author:
E-mail: versity students aged 18 to 23 years old with their demographics,
myla.arcinas@dlsu.edu.ph Stress Level (SL), and Level of Susceptibility to Barnum effect (LSB)
during the COVID-19 pandemic. The online survey garnered 406 re-
spondents. Data were analyzed using descriptive and nonparametric
inferential statistics. Findings found that respondents have high SL,
moderate CBR level, and high LSB. Female respondents were found to
have significantly higher CBR Factor Scores compared to males (p<
0.000). Thus, females tend to be consumers of Astrology in social me-
dia more. Other variables tested (religion, p=0.128; residence type,
p=0.736; age, p=0.339) showed no significant statistical difference
between the sample’s CBR Factor Scores. A person’s stress level dur-
ing the COVID-19 pandemic (in terms of manageability and uncer-
tainty) revealed a significant statistical association with their suscep-
tibility level to Barnum effect (odds ratio 1.252686, p=0.002). The
more stressed a person is, the higher the consumption of Astrology-
related information in social media (due to high uncertainty and less
situation control, despite high management capacity score). Activities
involved in the Astrology consumption through social media revealed
a positive moderate significant association with their susceptibility
level to the Barnum effect (r=0.603, p<0.000). In this pandemic, fe-
males consumed more Astrology-related information, even when in-
formation may be vague to believe that it applies to all. Overall, the
higher the SL and the higher the CBR, the higher the LSB. Thus, in this
COVID-19 pandemic, females are more susceptible to higher levels of
Barnum Effect as they consume higher levels of Astrology-related in-
formation triggered by higher levels of stress (brought by the high
level of uncertainty and low level of individual’s situation control).

How to cite:
Lopez, K. R. B., Gaticales, N. P., Provido, A. V. C., Santelices, S. M. B., & Arcinas, M. M. (2021). Social Contagion of Astrol-
ogy in the Social Media amid COVID-19 Pandemic. International Journal of Multidisciplinary: Applied Business and
Education Research. 2(4), 404 – 418. doi: 10.11594/ijmaber.02.04.08
Lopez et al., 2021/ Social Contagion of Astrology in the Social Media amid COVID-19 Pandemic

Keywords: Astrology, Barnum effect, COVID-19, Social Media, Social


Contagion Effect

Introduction time of uncertainty, such as the current COVID-


Astrology, though amusing, can pose a 19 pandemic. Even before this crisis, numerous
sense of doubt with its debatable claims and past pandemics have made their marks on his-
statements. Despite such concerns, individuals tory (Roos, 2020). However, the current
still rely on astrology as it gives them the infor- COVID-19 pandemic created significant nega-
mation and validation they desire (Glick, tive impacts in almost all aspects of human
Gottesman, & Jolton, 1989). Astrology patrons lives. Fear about the possible course of life in
have a high external locus of control (Glick et the future imposes feelings of stress and anxi-
al., 1989) — the degree to which people believe ety on people, which emotionally drains them
that they, as opposed to external forces (be- as these uncertainties trap them from the end-
yond their influence), have control over the less probabilities or worst-case scenarios of the
outcome of events in their lives (Rotter, 1966) future (Robinson & Smith, 2020). Pandemics
— making them accept self-descriptions from significantly affect the mental state of the peo-
external sources (Glick et al., 1989). They are ple, and their lives in general, on account of the
likely to discern generalized personality state- uncertainties they bring. Psychological distress
ments as accurate reflections of themselves, is prevalent during these times. This distress
disregarding whether the descriptions are as- may involve acute stress reactions, and Post-
cribed to Astrology (Glick et al., 1989). Astrol- Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), which sig-
ogy patrons also tend to have a “theory-driven” nificantly heightens as an increasing number of
approach in perceiving people, making them people experiences chronic fear, illness, social
distort and interpret information to fit their isolation, economic hardship, livelihood issues,
personalities. Their external loci compel them or death of a peer (Rosen et al., 2020).
to resist belief changes even when pieces of ev- Astrology serves as a coping mechanism for
idence are disconfirming (Glick et al., 1989). individuals during times of uncertainty, where
Belief in Astrology persists, despite the lack anxiety and stress are endemic, and acts as a
of credibility, because of such and the Barnum defense mechanism against doubt by providing
effect. In this psychological phenomenon, peo- some clarity with the expression of their self-
ple accept vague or trivial descriptions of their concept (Biswas, 2020). Kim Witte’s Extended
personality and prospects once they realize Parallel Process Model predicts that fear and
that the information is from a systematic helplessness are the reasons for a person to
method tailored to them (Allum, 2010). Bar- bury a problem by ignoring it (Dunwoody,
num statements are constructed in a socially 2020). Isolation, fear, and stress imposed on
desirable manner, which conduces these de- people can lead them to seek escapism during
scriptions' embracement despite being general the pandemic. Considering that maintaining
characteristics (Dickson & Kelly, 1985). Being physical distance is a golden rule for a healthy
presented as unique to the subjects makes it social life, it would not be easy to continue
relevant in their perspective (Snyder, Shenkel, usual routines involving close contact. Further,
& Lowery, 1977). More so, since people are rec- reduced social contact shifted social ventures
ognized to be egoists. Psychological egoism is a to rather home-centric activities (De Vos,
human psychology theory that claims that all 2020).
human actions are motivated by their self-in- Astrology's prominence is the result of eco-
terest, implying that humans are egoists nomic decline, political panic, and none adher-
(Chung, 2016). They are motivated by their in- ence to organized religions. In 1930, a British
terest in finding an encapsulated description of tabloid published the newspaper's first astrol-
their personality, an all-encompassing aspect ogy column during the aftermath of the stock
of personhood. market crash. This crisis time led to the
Astrology serves as escapism for many in a column's popularity, making it a permanent

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feature on the tabloid (Smallwood, 2019). Pan- ogy demonstrates social media's role in pro-
demics were also considered as times of crisis moting beliefs, concepts, and ideas by offering
where State dilemmas, such as economic de- readings to influence people across the globe
cline, arise (Smallwood, 2019). These times (McKoy, 2019).
brought uncertainty and ambiguity since there Acknowledging the premises behind the
exists a sense of perplexity on the current people's belief in Astrology owing to the Bar-
events and on the future in which uncertainty num effect, the study infers that individual con-
strongly influences (Beck, 2018). scious behavioral responses (e.g., online shar-
Social media's prominence granted people ing and spreading of astrology-related content)
a modern form of distraction that detracts contribute to social contagion since the com-
them from the macabre reality, which also mitted acts are innately influential. Given the
paved the way for Astrology to expand its sub- implicit relationship of their conscious behav-
scribers by using hyper-personalized content ioral responses (CBR) to propagating the ideol-
to interest them (Namaste, 2019). People are ogy, the researchers aim to dig deeper into
becoming discontented with strict religious these subjects to determine the association of
and cultural frameworks in society. They often the Barnum effect and Social Contagion.
seek hope, individuality, and pleasure, which The study also aimed to contribute to the
they found in Astrology, for it served as a means low amount of Astrology literature in the Phil-
of therapy and in-depth exploration of them- ippines as the prominence of horoscopes in the
selves without restrictions from society or reli- country's context urges more studies. It insti-
gion (McKoy, 2019). gates an incoherence in studying the Filipino
Younger generations appeal to Astrology in culture of social media use and their unique ad-
social media because of certain factors: (a) aptation of cultures espoused from the West.
most platforms are free and accessible, (b) as- Furthermore, consumption as a process alone
trological memes and threads not only enter- necessitates scrutinization since media content
tain them but also allow the easy propagation is prone to propagating information disorgani-
of information globally, and (c) social media al- zation (i.e., misinformation, disinformation,
lows users to subscribe to other astrologers in- and misinformation). Conforming to how the
triguing their interests (McKoy, 2019). Despite study values information consumer behavior, it
having the quality of relationships as an essen- should serve as a basis regarding the relation-
tial factor in the proliferation of Astrology ship between Astrology and its patrons, provid-
through Social Contagion, the contagion may ing a reasonable premise to measure the level
vary when it comes to social media. Social me- of susceptibility of people to the Barnum effect.
dia interactions occur with open access and in-
terdependent networks, which provide the Methods
ubiquity of influence and social contagion
Research design
(McFarland & Ployhart, 2015). Tiryakian
This study employed a quantitative correla-
(1972) also discovered that Post-Millennials'
tional, non-experimental research design. Us-
usage of social media is driven by (a) environ-
ing a cross-sectional self-administered online
mental factors such as political, economic, tech-
survey, the study determined the association of
nological, cultural, and legal; and (b) personal
the Filipino Post-Millennial university stu-
factors such as socioeconomic class, morals,
dents' extent of Social contagion - Conscious
choices, age/maturity, and culture/subculture.
Behavioral Response (CBR) to Astrology on so-
With this, Tiryakian inferred a higher level of
cial media with their demographics, Stress
proliferation of astrological concepts among
Level (SL), and Level of Susceptibility to Bar-
Post-Millennials who were able to attain higher
num effect (LSB) during the COVID-19 pan-
education levels, e.g., college and university
demic.
level, than those who have not yet attained or
are still in high school level (Tiryakian, 1972).
Sampling and ethical considerations
Overall, this increasing recognition of Astrol-
The researchers used a purposive non-

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probability sampling method wherein partici- 10, 15, 17, 21}.


pants were chosen based on the following cri- Pre-testing of the survey questionnaire was
teria: (a) Post-Millennial (between 18 to 23 also conducted beforehand to ensure the ques-
years old in the year 2020), (b) Senior High tions' reliability, which was determined with
School or College student, and (c) a digital as- Cronbach's Alpha Reliability Test. For the SL
trology consumer. A total of 406 Filipino Post- section of the questionnaire, its reliability
Millennials took part in the online survey con- measure was α = .859 for 12 items, implying
ducted through Google Forms from 12 Novem- that the questions were "Good" based on
ber 2020 to 07 December 2020. The form asked Cronbach's scale. The CBR section's reliability
for the participants' demographics, their SL as measure was α = .899 for ten items, which im-
measured by Cohen, Kamarck, & Mermelstein's plies that the questions are also "Good" based
Perceived Stress Scale or PSS (1994), their CBR, on Cronbach's scale. Lastly, the LSB section's
and their LSB: Personal Accuracy Ratings reliability measure was α = .939 for 21 items,
(PAR), Interpretation Favorability Ratings implying that the questions were "Excellent"
(IFR), and Interpretation Exclusivity Ratings based on Cronbach's scale.
(IER).
Proper ethical decorum was also observed Data analysis
during the data gathering process. The re- The study used descriptive (frequencies,
spondents were informed of the criteria as stip- percentages, and median) and inferential sta-
ulated in the publication materials and on the tistics (Spearman's rho, Kruskal-Wallis H,
actual survey form. It was also made clear in Mann-Whitney U, Ordinal Logistic Regression,
the online survey’s informed consent form sec- and Factor Analysis). The data analysis covered
tion that their participation was voluntary, and correlation tests that examined relationships
that data submitted will be treated with utmost between the variables such as CBR, De-
confidentiality (confirmation of consent was mographics, SL, and LSB. Spearman's rho was
done by checking a confirm box before pro- used for the correlation analyses of the rela-
ceeding to the questionnaire’s next sections). tionship of SL and CBR, likewise with CBR and
Respondents were also given the option to LSB's relationship. Kruskal-Wallis H was used
withdraw from the study and discontinue an- to test k-independent groups' means on the
swering the survey anytime if they wish. comparisons of CBR and LSB according to age.
Mann-Whitney U, meanwhile, was used to test
Survey questionnaire the means of 2 independent groups on the com-
A self-administered online survey A self-ad- parisons of CBR and LSB in terms of sex (male
ministered online survey questionnaire was vs. female), religion (Catholics vs. Non-Catho-
used to gather the data. It consisted of closed- lics), and place of residence (Urban vs. Rural).
ended questions and divided into four sections. Lastly, the Ordinal Logistic Regression was
The first section focused on the respondents’ used for the regression analysis of the effects of
demographics. The second part measured their the determinants (SL and Demographics to
stress level, which was categorized into: uncer- CBR), the effects of CBR to LSB, and then LSB to
tainty (items 1-4), control (items 5-8), and SL.
management of tasks under the situation To fully describe and understand the re-
(items 9-12). Part 3 determined their CBR, di- sults of Tables 2-4, the following guides were
vided into two sets according to phases: (a) In- used, respectively: (a) Level of stress — 1: Very
take Phase, represented by items 1-5, and (b) Rarely (means Very Low); 2: Rarely (Low); 3:
Output Phase, represented by items 6-10. Sometimes (Moderate); 4: Often (High); 5: Very
Lastly, the LSB consisted of 7 items for each do- Often (Very High), (b) Extent of social conta-
main, namely PAR, IFR, and IER. Accordingly, gion - Conscious Behavioral Response — 1:
the items will be arranged by random order all Never (means Very Low); 2: Seldom (Low); 3:
the while domains PAR will be represented by Sometimes (Moderate); 4: Frequently (High);
statements {1, 4, 7, 11, 13, 16, 20}, IFR will be 5: Very Frequently (Very High), and (c) Level of
{2, 6, 9 12, 14, 18, 19}, and IER will be {3, 5, 8, susceptibility to Barnum effect — 1: Strongly
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Disagree (means Very Low); 2: Disagree (Low); Table 1. Profile/Demographics of Filipino Post-
3: Agree (High); 4: Strongly Agree (Very High). Millennial University Students (n = 406)

Results and Discussion


Demographics
Table 1 shows the respondents’ (Post-Mil-
lennials university students) demographics.
There were 283 female respondents (69.7%)
than 123 male respondents (30.3%).
Most of the respondents were Catholics
(82.0%) than non-Catholics (18.0%), most of
the participants live in urban areas (86.7%) as
opposed to rural areas (13.3%), and 68.2% of
the total respondents belong to the 18-year-old
age group.
Variables used in the study were carefully Stress level
based on polls and studies. For variable sex, a Table 2 shows the respondents' stress lev-
2005 Gallup Poll revealed that 28% of women els in the last month before answering the sur-
said they believe in Astrology and the place- vey. On average, results show a high level of
ment of stars affecting their future, compared stress among the sample in terms of uncer-
to only 23% of men (Lyons, 2005). In terms of tainty and manageability of their lives under
religion, a stark juxtaposition between those the status quo (median scores of 4.00) as they
who 'never doubt the existence of God' and often experience the provided representative
those who have subscribed to Astrology was statements. The results also indicate that the
observed as the percentage of people aged 18- sample sometimes experiences a moderate
29 years old who never doubted the existence stress level related to their sense of control
of God (in the United States) fell from 81% to (median score of 3.00).
67% in 2012, while the psychic services indus- Echoing the study of Rosen, Glassman, &
try experienced growth by about 2%, and is Morland (Rosen et al., 2020), the researchers'
now worth $2 billion. On the respondents' data further strengthens the claim about the
place of residence, it is essential to note that prevalence of psychological distress, i.e., PTSD,
factors such as jobs, housing availability, and during pandemics. The study expounds on the
way of life differ significantly between urban subject, underlining that experienced stress
and rural areas. Tiryakian (1972) expounded during health-related crises sometimes causes:
on this by conducting a study in France, which (a) fear and worry about health, financial situ-
concluded that people from urban areas, espe- ation, or loss of support services, (b) changes in
cially white-collar workers, are consuming sleep or eating patterns, (c) difficulty sleeping
more Astrology than those who reside in the or concentrating, (d) worsening of chronic
countryside rural areas. Noting from these ref- health problems, (e) worsening of mental
erences, the demographics of the study's sam- health conditions, and (f) increased use of to-
ple only strengthen previous claims regarding bacco, or alcohol and other substances (Foster,
the characteristics of the majority who con- 2020).
sume astrology online: that the niche is mostly
popular among post-millennial female Catho- Conscious Behavioral Response
lics residing in urban settings (however, not Table 3 shows the respondents' extent of
denying other nuances and variations). Social Contagion - CBR to Astrology from social
media.

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For the Intake Phase of social contagion spreads information relating to a subject, e.g.,
(the process wherein people absorb infor- Astrology), the sample only had an average
mation related to a particular subject, e.g., As- score. Not too often nor too rarely, the respond-
trology; the first step to social contagion), the ents only post content related to astrology
sample scored high. The sample is frequently sometimes. Additionally, it is noticeable that
encountered, viewed, and interacted with As- the sample prefers: (a) reposting/reblogging
trology posts through their preferred social already-made content about it as opposed to
networking sites. The results imply that there making original ones, and (b) more private con-
is indeed a considerably broad reach of online tent-sharing: sending related posts through
Astrology related content on people that share private messaging than publishing posts in
similar demographic characteristics. public signified by the difference in the median
For the Output Phase of social contagion score (3.00 for private distribution of content
(wherein the sample actively distributes and and 2.00 for public posting).

Table 2. Stress Levels of Respondents in the Last Month (October 2020) (n=406)

Legend: 5 - Very High; 4 - High; 3 - Moderate; 2 - Low; 1 - Very Low

Level of Susceptibility to Barnum Effect descriptions, and zodiac signs, increased


Table 4 shows the respondents’ level of sus- Astrology interest due to the statements' accu-
ceptibility to Barnum: PAR, IFR, and IER. racy, and Astrology's correct prediction on
The Personal Accuracy Ratings (PAR) their reactions to certain situations. This me-
tackle astrological statements' accuracy, in dian score suggests that the respondents agree
general, based on the respondents' personal- about online astrological statements being ac-
ized perceptions of their characteristics and be- curate based on their personalities and traits.
haviors. A median of 3.00 (High) was observed The accuracy and uniqueness of astrological
in the PAR questions, which covers dimensions statements increase the people's acceptance
that tackle the accuracy of astrology statements that they and their sources are valid (Forer,
based on sample's personality traits, self- 1949), hence developing an illusion of

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credibility and correctness while forming a ones (Snyder et al.,1977).


connection through this validity: essential The Interpretation Exclusivity Ratings
properties of the pseudosciences to sustain tackle the 'uniqueness' of the presented astro-
themselves. logical concept to the subject. In a broader
The Interpretation Favorability Ratings en- sense, the IER can be connected to the Barnum
capsulate the validation or amount of approval Effect, the phenomenon wherein one thinks
the respondents perceive with regards to As- that a description is individualized and/or
trology. A median of 3.00 (High) was observed crafted meets a person's expected personality
in the IFR questions collection, which tackles descriptions (Gearon, 2018). In the survey, a
Astrology's ability to echo moods, reaffirm in- median of 3.00 (High) was observed in all IER
ner self-perceptions, voice out interests, and questions such as the connection of the subject
validate the positive and unique qualities of the to the concept, association of the self to the as-
respondents. This median score interprets that trological interpretation regardless of it being
the respondents agree that astrological state- positive or negative, and having the concept of
ments are aligned with their interests. All the individualized interpretations. This median
while, acceptance of Barnum profiles (such that score is equivalent to an interpretation that
they are presented depending on sun zodiac succinctly describes the respondents' LSB; that
signs of a person) rises when they are relatively is, they agree that astrological statements feel
favorable since the subject (reader) is inclined exclusively made for them (hinting at a sense of
to confirm the credibility of the unfavorable uniqueness on their end).

Table 3. Respondents’ Extent of Social Contagion – Conscious Behavioral Respones (CBR) to


Astrology from Social Media (n=406)

Legend:5 – Very High; 4 – High; 3 – Moderate; 2 – Low; 1 – Very Low

Demographics and CBR tor Scores than males (p-value 0.000). There-
Table 5 shows CBR Factor Scores, which are fore, females are more likely to involve
unequal in terms of sex. Using the Mann-Whit- themselves with astrology-related content
ney U Test (Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test), the ob- online and participate in its social contagion
servation from the data concludes at a p<.05 than males.
that females have significantly higher CBR Fac- For variables of religion, type of residence,
and age, results show no sufficient evidence to
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conclude a significant difference between the the sample's Age and CBR, which concludes to
sample's CBR Factor Scores in correspondence no statistically significant association regard-
with their respective p-values: 0.128, 0.736, ing the monotonic relationship between the
and 0.339. two (p-value 0.360) at p<.05.
Additionally, the researchers have also per-
formed Spearman's Rank-Order Correlation on

Table 4. Respondents’ Level of Susceptibility (LSB) to Barnum Effect (n = 406)

Legend: 4 - Very High; 3 - High; 2 - Low; 1 - Very Low

CBR and SL It found that Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder


Quarantine, like other situations, brings a (PTSD) and Depression became prevalent
sense of uncertainty, e.g., pandemics, often during the time. The study also found that both
yield higher levels of psychological distress affected the persons exposed to the SARS dis-
among people (Rosen et al., 2020). In 2003, a ease patient. Moreover, the fear about life pos-
study of 129 quarantined people during the sibilities in the future brought by the COVID-19
SARS epidemic was conducted (Hawryluck, pandemic causes stress and anxiety to people
Gold, Robinson, Pogorski, Galea, & Styra, 2004). (Robinson & Smith, 2020). These feelings pave

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the way for Astrology to widen its reach as rect weak but significant monotonic relation-
more individuals consider it as their cop- ship between CBR Factor Scores and SL Factor
ing/defense mechanism against doubt, for it Scores on Management was observed (p-values
provides them clarity through its descriptions <0.000). On the other hand, between CBR Fac-
(Biswas, 2020). With people being instructed tor Scores and Stress Level Factor Scores on
to stay home during this time, their usage of so- Control, no significant monotonic relationship
cial media becomes prevalent, for it also acts as was found (p-value 0.025).
a form of distraction from the pandemic's grim It is also noteworthy that the following sig-
reality, which also propagates Astrology to nificant relationships within the Stress Level
more subscribers (Namaste, 2019). Factors were observed: (a) Inverse moderate
In line with this, Table 6 shows a direct relationship between Uncertainty and Control,
weak but significant monotonic relationship (b) Direct moderate relationship between Un-
between CBR Factor Scores and SL Factor certainty and Management, and (c) Inverse
Scores about Uncertainty. Likewise, another di- moderate relationship between Control and
Management.

Table 5. Association of Respondents’ Demographics & CBR (n = 406)

Table 6. Correlation Matrix of CBR & SL Variables (n = 406)

Legend: *p<.05, **p<.01, ***p<.001


Where: CBR denotes CBR Factor Scores, SL Unc denotes Stress Level Factor (SL) Scores pertaining
to domain Uncertainty, SL Con denotes SL Factor Scores pertaining to Control, SL Man denotes SL
Factor Scores pertaining to Management, Correlation coefficients marked with an asterisk (*) are
significant at 5% level.
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CBR vs. Demographics and SL Factor Point Score are 1.34, 1.30, and 1.25
Analyzing the ordinal response variable us- times, respectively, than obtaining a 4. It also
ing the ordered logit model yielded to final four follows the same odds of obtaining a 4 versus 3,
significant predictors. Table 7 denotes the fol- 3 versus 2, and 2 versus 1, and (4) This implies
lowing: (1) If the sex is male, the odds of obtain- that the higher the SL Factor Scores, the higher
ing a 5 in CBR Factor Point Score is 0.37 times the CBR Factor Point Score will be.
(likelihood is reduced to nearly one-third) than Consequently, the more stressed a person is
obtaining a 4, holding other variables constant. based on stress level assessment, the more that
It also follows the same odds of obtaining a 4 he/she will engage in accessing, consuming,
versus 3, 3 versus 2, and 2 versus 1, (2) This and sharing astrology content. This poses a sig-
also implies that females tend to have a larger nificant connection with Dunwoody’s explana-
CBR Factor Point Score than males. Females tion in Kim Witte’s Extended Parallel Process
tend to access, consume, and share astrology- Model (Dunwoody, 2020): that stress can lead
related media more than males, (3) For various to seeking escapism during pandemics. In this
SL Factor Scores for Uncertainty, Control, and case, engrossing in Astrology shows a way of
Management, the odds of obtaining a 5 in CBR escapism.

Table 7. Ordinal Logistic Regression Analysis of CBR vs. Demographics & Stress Levels (n = 406)

Legend: *p<.05, **p<.01, ***p<.001

Table 8. Association between CBR and LSB (n=406)

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CBR and LSB tagion Theory's role, which speaks of dissemi-


Spearman's Rank-Order Correlation, Table nating ideas through conscious behavioral re-
8 results show that there is a monotonic rela- sponses (Marsden, 1998). Relating this with
tionship between CBR Factor Scores and LSB people's bias towards popular culture and the
Factor Scores (p-value 0.000). CBR Factor influence of the Barnum Effect on an individu-
Scores and LSB Factor Scores are moderately al's behavioral response, the study's findings
correlated. This implies that activities involved infer that social contagion may influence the
in the process of social contagion of Astrology way people perceive the concept of a subject,
in social media have an association with the i.e., Astrology (be it foreign to them or not). In
sample's level of susceptibility to the Barnum short, CBR and LSB are associated with each
effect. other in the sense that one's level of suscepti-
As Sutherland proposed (Marsden, 1998), bility to the Barnum Effect is attributed to their
such a process describes the phenomenon of increased engagement (extent of social conta-
spreading social media content regarding As- gion) with Astrology-related content and vice
trology. This proposition reaffirms Social Con- versa.

Table 9. Ordinal Logistic Regression Analysis of CBR vs. LSB (n = 406)

CBR vs. LSB are more likely to consume and interact with
To see the influence of CBR towards LSB, astrology-related content due to their external
the calculated LSB Factor Point Score, as shown locus of control, making them perceive gener-
in Table 9, is regressed against CBR Factor alized personality statements (i.e., astrological
Score using an ordered logit model. The initial statements) as accurate self-descriptions (Glick
model is also the final model since there is only et al., 1989). Their tendency to have "theory-
one predictor: the CBR Factor Score. driven" approaches in people's perception that
Per unit increase in CBR Factor Score, the make them distort perceived information to fit
odds of obtaining a 5 in LSB Factor Point Score their personalities may also be a factor (Glick et
is multiplied by 3.83 times versus obtaining a 4. al., 1989). Their egoistic nature (which makes
The same odds also hold for obtaining a 4 ver- them choose self-interested actions/thoughts)
sus 3, 3 versus 2, and 2 versus 1 (lowest). (Chung, 2016) can also be considered a rele-
This implies that the higher the CBR Factor vant perspective.
Score, the higher the LSB Factor Point Score is. The prominence of social media, especially
Those who access, consume, and share astrol- at this time, broadened the social contagion
ogy-related content tend to have a higher level (McFarland & Ployhart, 2015) of Astrology.
of susceptibility to the Barnum effect. People

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Lopez et al., 2021/ Social Contagion of Astrology in the Social Media amid COVID-19 Pandemic

Thus, making it easier for people to access con- same odds of obtaining a 4 versus 3, 3 versus 2,
tent related to such. Altogether, the features and 2 versus 1.
mentioned above influence people to become This implies that the higher the SL Factor
more invested in consuming astrological con- Scores, the higher the LSB Factor Point Score
tent while simultaneously manifesting their will be. The more stressed a person is based on
susceptibility to the Barnum effect of the pseu- stress level assessment, the more susceptible
dosciences such as Astrology in the process of to the Barnum effect. Psychological distress be-
social contagion. comes prevalent during pandemics; people are
likely prone to stress, isolation, and fear
Demographics and SL vs. LSB (Rosen, Glassman, & Morland, 2020). Such fac-
Analyzing the ordinal response variable us- tors can lead them to seek escapism through
ing the ordered logit model, as shown in Table fixation on other 'unaccounted' aspects of their
10, resulted in the final three significant predic- lives (Dunwoody, 2020). Consumption of pseu-
tors, which is similar to the previous result dosciences such as Astrology becomes a coping
when CBR Factor Score is regressed to LSB Fac- mechanism since: (a) this brings benefit to peo-
tor Point Score: (1) If the sex is male, the odds ple's lack of control over the situation, and (b)
of obtaining a 5 in LSB Factor Point Score is it serves as a way to deal with their doubt by
0.37 times (likelihood is reduced to nearly one- providing 'clarity' with their self-concept ex-
third) than obtaining a 4, holding other varia- pression (Biswas, 2020).
bles constant. It also follows the same odds of Delving more into related trends, Small-
obtaining a 4 versus 3, 3 versus 2, and 2 versus wood (2019) took an assertion with astrology's
1, (2). This also implies that females tend to prominence in times of uncertainty. They
have a larger LSB Factor Point Score than claimed that this is mainly due to economic de-
males. Since Sex is a binary variable, the con- cline and political panic brought by pandemics.
verse of the baseline is true for the other out- Hence, it can be denoted that stress causes peo-
come. Females tend to access, consume, and ple to have an impaired sense of external loci,
share astrology-related media more than urging them to rely on content that may pro-
males, (3) On SL Factor Scores for Control and vide them comfort and tranquility, especially at
Management, the odds of obtaining a 5 in LSB times of uncertainty.
Factor Point Score are 1.25, and 1.44 times, re-
spectively, than obtaining a 4. It also follows the

Table 10. Ordinal Logistic Regression Analysis of Demographics and SL vs. LSB (n = 406)

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Lopez et al., 2021/ Social Contagion of Astrology in the Social Media amid COVID-19 Pandemic

Conlusion Overall, the higher the SL and the higher the


The study found that female Filipino post- CBR, the higher the LSB. Hence, in this period of
millennial university students have signifi- the pandemic, females are more susceptible to
cantly higher CBR Factor Scores than male higher levels of Barnum Effect as they consume
ones. Whereas for variables of religion, type of higher levels of Astrology-related information
residence, and age, results showed no statisti- triggered by higher levels of stress due to high
cally significant difference with the sample's level of uncertainty and low level of control to
extent of social contagion - Conscious Behav- the current situation.
ioral Responses (CBR).
The researchers observed a direct positive Acknowledgments
weak but significant monotonic relationship With immense gratitude, the researchers
between the sample's CBR Factor Scores and would like to thank the following for their con-
Stress Level Factor Scores on Uncertainty for tinuous support and guidance throughout the
correlation between variables CBR and Stress making of this research. Without them, the re-
level. Likewise, a direct positive weak but sig- searchers would not have adequately executed
nificant monotonic relationship between CBR their plans and aspirations for the study.
Factor Scores and Stress Level Factor Scores Firstly, to the Divine God for granting them
about Management was found. However, no strength, energy, wisdom, and intelligence
significant monotonic relationship was found throughout the making of this study. Despite
between CBR Factor Scores and Stress Level the challenges, the researchers were able to
Factor Scores pertaining to Control. surpass them because of Him.
With the Ordinal Logistic Regression Anal- Deepest thanks shall be given to their fami-
ysis of CBR vs. Demographics & Stress Levels, lies and friends as well, who had been their
results imply that the higher the SL Factor fount of strength and forbearance. Without
Scores, the higher the CBR Factor Point Score their effort, faith, and support, this would not
will be. Thus, the more stressed a person is have been seamless and convenient.
based on stress level assessment, the more that To Dr. Myla Arcinas, the researchers' dear-
they will engage in accessing, consuming, and est adviser, her expertise and proficiency in the
sharing astrology content. behavioral sciences enabled the researchers to
Using Spearman's Rank-Order Correlation, coagulate their interests and ideas into a formal
results noted a monotonic relationship be- inquiry. Without her efforts to go the extra mile
tween CBR Factor Scores and LSB Factor Scores in attending to the researchers' concerns and
as they observed moderate correlation. This doubts, the paper's fundamentals and weak-
suggests that activities involved in the process nesses would not have been made clear. Her
of social contagion of Astrology in social media endless support and guidance paved the way
have an association with the sample's level of for the research paper’s full potential and pub-
susceptibility to the Barnum Effect. lication.
Meanwhile, the Ordinal Logistic Regression Gratitude must also be given to Mr. Jon Karl
Analysis of CBR vs. LSB inferred that the higher Estanislao, a statistician and a friend of a re-
the CBR Factor Score, the higher the LSB Factor searcher, who contributed and guided the
Point Score is. Those who tend to access, con- members with the correct methods of data han-
sume, and share astrology-related content tend dling and analysis.
to have a higher level of susceptibility to the The researchers are also greatly indebted
Barnum effect. to Mr. Christian Gopez, the Humanities and So-
Lastly, for the association between SL and cial Sciences strand's research coordinator, for
LSB, the Ordinal Logistic Regression Analysis of providing never-ending support and guidance
Demographics and SL vs. LSB indicated that the as well as all necessary materials, forms, library
higher the SL Factor Scores, the higher the LSB research training, means in acquiring research
Factor Point Score will be. The more stressed a funds, and the like.
person is based on stress level assessment, the To Mr. Jose Ma. Arcadio Malbarosa, their
more susceptible to the Barnum effect. Practical Research 2 mentor, for illustrating
IJMABER 416 Volume 2 | Number 4 | April | 2021
Lopez et al., 2021/ Social Contagion of Astrology in the Social Media amid COVID-19 Pandemic

key concepts and foundations of an inquiry. Forer, B. R. (1949). The fallacy of personal validation: a
Such knowledge helped them research with a classroom demonstration of gullibility. The Journal
of Abnormal and Social Psychology, 44(1), 118–
strong background. To Mr. Lambert Yancy Gar- 123. doi:10.1037/h0059240
ganta, their homeroom adviser, for contrib- Foster, C. (2020). FOSTER: Quarantine may lead to wider
uting to their research processes. He extended social media addiction. The Daily Targum.
his support and assistance by forwarding the https://www.dailytargum.com/arti-
cle/2020/04/foster-quarantine-may-lead-to-
researchers’ concerns to their respective re- wider-social-media-addiction
search coordinator, and mentor. Gearon, M. (2018). Cognitive Biases — The Barnum Effect.
Lastly, but never the least, the group wishes Medium. https://me-
to thank every member of De La Salle Univer- dium.com/@michaelgearon/cognitive-biases-the-
barnum-effect-b051e7b8e029
sity-Integrated School Manila's academic com- Glick, P., Gottesman, D., & Jolton, J. (1989). The Fault is not
munity in upholding a conducive and healthy in the Stars. Personality and Social Psychology Bul-
learning environment for the students, provid- letin, 15(4), 572–583.
ing access to multiple academic journals, doi:10.1177/0146167289154010
Hawryluck, L., Gold, W. L., Robinson, S., Pogorski, S., Galea,
providing funds to be used for research en- S., & Styra, R. (2004). SARS control and psychologi-
deavors, and guiding the researchers through- cal effects of quarantine, Toronto, Canada. Emerg-
out the making of this study. Because of them, ing infectious diseases, 10(7), 1206–1212.
the proponents were able to secure the safety https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1007.030703
Lyons, L. (2005). Paranormal beliefs come (super)natu-
and formality of their research while retaining
rally to some. Gallup. https://news.gal-
qualities of ethicality, organization, scholarli- lup.com/poll/19558/paranormal-beliefs-come-su-
ness, and relevance. pernaturally-some.aspx
Marsden, P. (1998). Memetics & Social Contagion: Two
Sides of the Same Coin? The Journal of Memetics:
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