Moving
Averages
Moving Average is one of the widely used tools
in technical analysis. It tells us when the price of
a stock goes above and below the average,
calculated over a period of time, which in turn
gives an indication about when to buy or sell
a stock.
It is basically an extension of the normal ‘average’
we all know of.
Se GrowwThere are 2 types of Moving Averages:
« Simple Moving Average
+ Exponential Moving Average
Moving Average
(itt
2 GrowwSimple Moving
Average (SMA)
Assume that we are tracking 5-day Moving
Average. Given below is the data of a stock price
for 6 days.
Closing Price )
Day 1 100.1
Day 2 99.5
Day 3 S983)
Day 4 102.7
Day 5 103.0
Day 6 102.5
a y
g GrowwThe average recorded for day 5 is the average
of closing prices of days 1 to 5 =
(100.1+99.5+99.3+102.7+103)/5
= 504.6/5 = 100.92 (which is also its Moving Average)
While calculating the Moving Average for day 6,
we include the latest data (day 6) and discard the
oldest data (day 1). So the Moving Average for
day 6 is going to be the average of closing prices
of days 2to6 =
(99.54+99.3+102.7+103.0+102.5)/5
= 507/5 = 101.4
Similarly, while calculating the Moving Average
for day 7 we consider days 3 to 7, for
day 8 we consider days 4 to 8 and so on.
g GrowwExponential Moving
Average (EMA)
Unlike in Simple Moving Average, where each day
is given equal weight, Exponential Moving
Average gives more weight to the latest data point.
If we are calculating 5-day EMA, then the highest
weight will be given to day 5, the next highest to
day 4, then day 3, and so on.
g GrowwThe calculation of EMA is a bit complex but you
can directly use the Exponential Moving Average
tool in the Technical Analysis window.
Traders prefer EMA to SMA because it reacts to
the price change quicker.
How to interpret the data?
The time period considered is according to the
trader. Usually, a 50-day EMA is considered.
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If Current market price > 50-day EMA,
you can consider buying the stock and staying
invested till the sell condition is met.
If Current market price < 50-day EMA,
you can consider selling the stock.
g GrowwAs we can see, the price goes above the EMA
line at 540 and crosses back again at 603.
So if we analyze the trade, the buy price would be
540, sell price 603 which would give a profit
of 63 i.e. 11.67%.
gs Groww