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Presentation for Macquarie Group
London Beijing
Paris
New York Munich
San Francisco Washington DC Tokyo
Milan
Zurich Seoul
Houston
New Delhi
Hong Kong
250 Singapore
BNEF professionals in
17 locations*
São Paulo
Sydney
* Part of the Bloomberg LP network of
19,000 employees in 176 locations.
The logos listed do not represent a full client list. They are illustrative of the organizations BNEF has worked with in the past.
Germany
$53
U.K.
$48
U.S. Japan
$37 $78
GW GWh 10.8
Rest of the World
Latin America
5.5
7.7 India
6.8 SE Asia
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BloombergNEF
GW GWh 10.8
Rest of the World
Latin America
5.5
7.7 India
6.8 SE Asia
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BloombergNEF
GW GWh 10.8
5.5
7.7
6.8
Other
3.5 3.5
Residential
Commercial
3.2
1.8 Utility-scale
1.2 2.1
1.6
0.8
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BloombergNEF
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BloombergNEF
6 Fluence
5 Powin
4 Sungrow
3 BYD
2 Wartsila
1 FlexGen
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e
Source: BloombergNEF, Energy Storage Database Note: We estimated Tesla’s capacity based on quarterly deployments disclosed in company filings minus
residential Powerwall deployments.
Lithium-ion
1%
9% 4% 3%
17%
China China
2019 2020 Korea
39% Korea
Japan Japan
35% Europe
69%
Source: BloombergNEF Note: This is based on the 2020 Energy Storage System Cost Survey.
% of responses
LG Chem 100%
Panasonic 100%
Samsung SDI 100%
Tesla 91% 9%
CATL 90% 10%
BYD 80% 10% 10% Yes
Toshiba 73% 18% 9%
SK Innovation 70% 30% No
GS Yuasa 44% 56%
Guoxuan High-Tech 20% 10% 70%
Eve Energy 20% 80% Never heard
Optimum Battery 11% 89%
Wanxiang 33% 67%
Envision Energy 100%
Microvast 100%
Guangzhou Great Power 100%
Source: BloombergNEF Note: This is based on the 2020 Energy Storage System Cost Survey.
924
a
726
668
592
384 13%
295
221 181 157 137
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BloombergNEF Note: This is based on the 2020 Battery Price Survey.
359
329
193 Pack
186
177
126 56
105
26 Cell
16
143 152
100 121
89
E-bus & commercial BEV Stationary storage E-bus & commercial PHEV
(China) (ex. China)
Source: BloombergNEF Note: This is based on the 2020 Battery Price Survey.
1,000
Observed
800 prices
600
0
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Source: BloombergNEF Note: This is based on the 2020 Battery Price Survey.
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Source: BloombergNEF. Note: Excludes warranty costs and do not explicitly include any taxes, although due to a lack of transparency in the market, some may be
included and excludes grid connection costs. We consider a large project to be over 100MWh. Excludes warranty costs, which are often paid annually rather than as
part of the initial capital expenditure. Includes a 5% EPC margin. 2019 figures adjusted for inflation to convert to real 2020 $.
Source: BloombergNEF.
Massachusetts
set a 1GWh
target by 2025
Oregon
Connecticut
10MWh
For map 0.0 15.0 20.0 approved 1GW
target
colouring 0 0 0 target by 2030
California set
Virginia approved New Jersey
1.8GW target
3.1GW target by approved 2GW
by 2024
2035 target by 2030
Source: BloombergNEF.
GW 5.6 GW 5.6
U.K.
2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Source: BloombergNEF.
Downing 50
Others
TRIG 20
Source: BloombergNEF, Various. Note: Assumes GIG's projects are 1 hour duration. Under construction figures also includes fully acquired or committed projects that
BNEF expects to be commissioned within the next 18 months. Some capacity for Gore Street's and Downing's projects are co-funded or co-owned by other investors.
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: BloombergNEF.
GW 11.0 GW 11.0
10.3 10.3
Other
8.7 8.7
South Korea Other
6.9 6.9
India
Residential
SE Asia
4.5 4.5
Japan
3.0 3.0 Commercial
2.3 Australia 2.3
1.7 1.7
0.9 China 0.9 Utility-scale
2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Source: BloombergNEF.
Source: BloombergNEF.
Stationary storage
3,000
Electric two-and three-
2,000 wheelers
Commercial EVs
1,000
Passenger EVs
0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
Source: BloombergNEF
Source: BloombergNEF, Bloomberg Terminal, The Climate Group, company sustainability reports Note: Certificate purchases are assumed to step down 10% each
year. Onsite generation and contracted wind and solar purchases remain flat through 2030. Regional breakdown of shortfall estimated based on each company’s
share of revenue by region. Electricity demand and renewable electricity demand don’t intersect in 2030, as some companies have targets extending out past 2030.
EU
Email :
Allen Tom Abraham – aabraham65@bloomberg.net
Mark Wehling – mwehling1@bloomberg.net
Learn more:
about.bnef.com | @BloombergNEF