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140
Cinemas in the UK
More admissions: As COVID-19 restrictions are lifted, pent-up demand is expected to
contribute to a rise in revenue
Krasimir Dinev | August 2021
Contents
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About IBISWorld
IBISWorld specializes in industry research with coverage on thousands of global industries. Our comprehensive
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research on industries in the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Germany, the UK, Ireland, China and Mexico,
as well as industries that are truly global in nature.
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Covid-19
Coronavirus IBISWorld's analysts constantly monitor the industry impacts of current events in
real-time – here is an update of how this industry is likely to be impacted as a result
Impact Update of the global COVID-19 pandemic:
• Industry revenue has been decimated by the pandemic. The closure of industry
establishments during the lockdown periods, combined with a lack of new films and
low consumer confidence, have caused admissions to plummet. Data from the UK
Cinema Association (UKCA) shows that admissions were just 44 million over 2020,
compared with 176.1 million the year before, representing a 75% decline. For more
detail, please see the Current Performance chapter.
• Revenue is expected to surge in the current year as cinemas have been allowed to
reopen from May 2021 and social distancing measures being removed from 19 July
2021. According to the UKCA, admissions reached 7 million in June 2021. A strong
film slate over the current year, including the release of highly anticipated films that
were postponed in 2020-21, is expected to support industry demand. For more
detail, please see the Current Performance chapter.
• The government has introduced the Culture Recovery Fund, worth approximately
£1.6 billion, to aid culture, arts and heritage organisations. This is expected to have
provided some support for operators, although the UK Cinema Association had
called for additional funding for the industry due to the strict measures. By the end
of June 2021 when the final £300 million of funding was announced, CRF had
provided £1.2 billion to over 5,000 organisations across the country, protecting an
estimated 75,000 jobs and supporting close to 100,000 freelancers, according to
the government. For more detail, please see the Industry Assistance chapter.
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Other
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Supply Chain
SIMILAR INDUSTRIES
Motion Picture Production in Film, Video & TV Programme Film, Video & TV Programme Television Programming &
the UK Post-Production in the UK Distribution in the UK Broadcasting in the UK
Movie Theaters in the US Cinemas in Australia Cinemas in China Movie Theatres in Canada
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Industry at a Glance
Key Statistics Key External Drivers % = 2017-2022 Annual Growth
£1.2bn -6.4%
Cinema admissions
-0.9%
Consumer confidence index
Revenue
0.9% -5.7%
Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth Real household disposable income Demand from television programming and
broadcasting
2017-2022 2022-2027 2017-2027
1.6%
Demand from advertising agencies
-6.9% 7.1%
Industry Structure
£36.6m
Profit POSITIVE IMPACT
Annual Growth Annual Growth
Barriers to Entry
2017-2022 2017-2027 High
-25.1%
MIXED IMPACT
NEGATIVE IMPACT
212
Businesses Revenue Volatility Capital Intensity
Very high High
Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth
2017-2022 2022-2027 2017-2027 Concentration Competition
High High
-3.5% 1.5%
16,236
Employment
-2.7% 3.4%
£288.2m
Wages
-0.3% 4.8%
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Key Trends
The COVID-19 pandemic led to a fall in revenue due to
lockdowns leading to a drop in admissions
Over the past five years, rising external competition has
increasingly threatened the industry
Operators have invested in technology such as IMAX over the
past five years in order to attract more customers
Competition from SVOD services means operators are
forecast to invest in technological improvements over the
next five years
Over the next five years, the screening of alternative content
is likely to be a big change in the product offerings of
cinemas
The creation of a Global Screen Fund is expected to offset
funding lost from Creative Europe
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Box office - top 20 films Box office - all other films Food, beverages and Other
merchandise
Cinemas
Source: IBISWorld
STRENGTHS
High & Increasing Barriers to Entry
Medium & Increasing Level of Assistance
Low Imports
Low Customer Class Concentration
WEAKNESSES
High Competition
Very high Volatility
Low Profit vs. Sector Average
High Product/Service Concentration
Low Revenue per Employee
High Capital Requirements
OPPORTUNITIES
High Revenue Growth (2022-2027)
High Performance Drivers
Demand from television programming
and broadcasting
THREATS
Very Low Revenue Growth (2005-2022)
Low Revenue Growth (2017-2022)
Cinema admissions
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Executive The Cinemas industry includes all operators that show films in
Summary designated film-projection facilities.
Most of these facilities are indoors, but some are open-air. The majority of industry
revenue is generated from box office sales, with blockbuster films contributing the
most to this product segment. Food and beverage sales and screen advertising are
also important revenue streams for industry operators. The industry is highly
concentrated, with the top four industry players expected to account for 82.3% of
industry revenue in 2021-22.
High cinema admissions and a strong film slate have supported industry
performance over the majority of the past five years. The release of highly popular
films aided revenue growth over 2017-18 and 2018-19, with admission numbers
reaching 177 million in 2018, according to the UK Cinema Association (UKCA).
However, over the five years through 2021-22, industry revenue is expected to
decline at a compound annual rate of 6.9% to £1.2 billion. This is largely due to
revenue plummeting in 2020-21, as a result of the forced closure of cinemas during
nationwide lockdowns amid the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak, with admissions
falling by 75% over 2020, according to UKCA data. Additionally, a lack of new films
negatively affected demand when restrictions for cinemas were initially eased. As
restrictions are completely lifted, pent-up consumer demand and a strong film slate
are expected to contribute to revenue surging by 281.7% in 2021-22. However,
alternative forms of leisure and entertainment are likely to constrain revenue growth
over the year.
Over the five years through 2026-27, industry revenue is forecast to rise at a
compound annual rate of 7.1% to reach £1.7 billion. A continued recovery from the
pandemic is anticipated to support growing consumer confidence and higher
disposable incomes, benefiting admissions and spending on industry services. The
screening of alternative content could account for a greater share of revenue in the
coming years, and the popularity of IMAX and 4DX screenings is anticipated to
support growth in ticket prices, aiding revenue. However, the industry faces
increasing competition, particularly from subscription video on demand service
providers, as well as the threat of a shorter theatrical window. These are anticipated
to constrain revenue growth over the coming years.
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Industry Performance
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Over the five years through 2021-22, industry revenue is expected to decline at a
compound annual rate of 6.9% to £1.2 billion. This is due to an significant collapse
in 2020-21, where cinemas had to close for long periods of time due to strict
government restrictions aimed at tackling the spread of the COVID-19 (coronavirus)
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outbreak. However, as restrictions ease in the current year and cinemas reopen,
revenue is expected to rise strongly, by 281.7%, albeit to remain below pre-
pandemic levels.
A slow start
Decimated demand
Furthermore, due to the disruption caused by the pandemic, new blockbuster films
that were due to come out over the year were postponed. In turn, revenue suffered
due to the lack of new releases, with some cinemas turning to screening classics to
generate some revenue. Amid the significant negative effect of the pandemic on the
industry, the government has provided some support through the Culture Recovery
Fund, among a range of other supportive measures. For more detail, see the
Industry Assistance chapter. Nevertheless, some cinemas, particularly smaller,
independent ones, are likely to close due to the significant challenges over the year.
In turn, enterprise numbers are expected to fall at a compound annual rate of 3.5%
over the five years through 2021-22.
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Road to recovery
Small-screen competition
Over the past five years, external competition in the form of digital
pay TV (see IBISWorld report SP0.021), Subscription Video on
Demand (SVOD) service providers (see IBISWorld report SP0.017),
plasma and LED screens, and home theatre systems has
increasingly threatened the industry.
These technologies enable consumers to replicate the cinema experience from
their home.
SVOD services that offer a range of film and TV content, such as Netflix, Now TV
and Amazon Prime Video, have grown in popularity over the past five years, making
them a great threat to the industry. The coronavirus pandemic is expected to have
accelerated this trend, due to the closure of cinemas over lockdown and the
government's stay-at-home advice causing demand for SVOD services to surge. The
prices of SVOD services are lower than cinema prices, making them an attractive
prospect to cost-conscious customers. However, SVOD services lag behind
cinemas, in that the most anticipated films are still released first on the big screen
rather than on these providers. Consequently, if customers want to see a film as
soon as it comes out, cinema is still the more attractive option, providing an
important unique selling point.
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ceased production of 3D-capable TVs. This has been beneficial for cinemas, as it
means that 3D technology remains a unique selling point, although its popularity
has been declining.
Over the past five years, major industry players Cineworld and ODEON have
increasingly acquired IMAX cinemas, as these screens show films in better quality
and dispose of the need for film stock, which is costly to work with. Additionally,
there has been an increase in the popularity of 4DX films, whereby films are
screened in rooms fitted with motion chairs and special effects technology that
operate in sync with the film being screened, creating a more unique customer
experience. There has also been growth in the use of assistive technology in order
to make cinema screenings more accessible to disabled cinemagoers, including
those with autism and hearing difficulties. Technology has also been improved in
areas such as ticketing and digital.
Profit performance
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Industry Outlook
Outlook Over the next five years, the industry is anticipated to grow, as
cinemas continue to recover from the plunge caused by the
COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic.
Industry revenue is forecast to grow
at a compound annual rate of 7.1%
over the five years through 2026-27
to reach £1.7 billion. Over the period,
consumer confidence is forecast to
return and disposable incomes are
anticipated to rise, increasing
spending on industry services and
supporting cinema admissions, with
consumers seeking the cinema experience. However, Screen Daily has reported that
some cinema analysts do not expect global box office to completely recover until at
least 2023. The industry is anticipated to also benefit from earlier investment in
technology that improves the customer experience. Despite this, 2D films are
forecast to remain the industry's main product, as 3D films have been losing
popularity since 2010, although they still contribute well to revenue. Upcoming
blockbuster films such as the Avatar sequels and Marvel Cinematic Universe films,
are likely to aid revenue generated from 3D, IMAX and 4DX screenings. In addition,
improved offerings at the cinema are expected to support admissions and aid profit
margins growth.
Technological advancements
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The continued roll-out of IMAX and 4DX cinemas is anticipated to support the
average ticket price, as these types of films have higher selling prices. The first
ScreenX screen – a screen that wraps around the room, with the film expanding
from the main screen to the side walls – was opened in the United Kingdom in
2018. However, not every film may be viewed on ScreenX as they need to be made
with that technology in mind and not many have yet been created. In another push
for innovation, electronics companies such as Samsung and Sony are developing
Direct View Display, high brightness and contrast LED screens that offer improved
picture quality. They also offer a long lifespan that can replace laser projection and
the screens can be easily and quickly repaired, in addition to adding more space for
extra rows. However, a high price tag could be a stumbling block for some cinemas,
in particular smaller operators, and high-profile film directors have criticised this
type of screen, as they are similar to a big TV screen.
Future funding
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The aim of this scheme was to increase European programming in film theatres and
to raise attendance, particularly of European non-national films, as well as to
promote diversity and support the transition to digital projection. A report by the
British Film Institute in 2018 states that the UK screen sector had received £298.4
million in funding from the European Union since 2008. In 2018, Creative Europe's
MEDIA sub-programme investment in film in the United Kingdom totalled £3.5
million. However, the UK's exit from the European Union means that qualifying for
Creative Europe funding is no longer available to operators after 31 December 2020
when the transition period ended. Nevertheless, in the Spending Review from
November 2020, the government has confirmed the creation of a Global Screen
Fund to offset funding lost from Creative Europe, with £7 million of funding
confirmed in the first year. Additionally, under the new trade deal, the United
Kingdom will participate in the EU's Horizon Europe 2021-2027 programme, which
includes a strand supporting culture, creativity and inclusive society.
Industry Life Cycle The life cycle stage of this industry is Mature
New products for cinema viewing, such as 3D films, 4DX screens and motion seating,
continue to evolve
The industry is consolidating as major cinema chains are acquiring smaller operators
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The Cinemas industry is in the mature phase of its economic life cycle. Industry
value added (IVA), a measure of the industry's contribution to the wider economy, is
expected to increase at a compound annual rate of 1.3% over the 10 years through
2026-27. UK GDP is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of 1.1% over the
same period. This suggests the industry is growing at a similar rate to the UK
economy.
There have been some changes in industry products in recent years. The
development of technology, including digital screens, 3D films, and 4DX and
ScreenX screens has contributed to industry growth over the past five years. These
new product segments have resulted in increased patronage and new revenue
streams. The industry has benefited from the popularity of 3D films, which cinemas
can charge higher viewing fees for and increase income from hiring or selling 3D
glasses. Other new technologies are also evolving in the industry, such as IMAX and
4DX screening rooms, as well as the newer ScreenX. Alternative content is likely to
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appear more widely in the coming years. However, the introduction of new products
has not fundamentally changed the revenue streams of cinema operators.
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2nd Tier
Sawmilling & Wood Planing in the UK
Iron & Steel Manufacturing in the UK
Soft Drink Production in the UK
Bottled Water Production in the UK
Fruit Drink & Functional Beverage
Production in the UK
Chocolate & Confectionery Production in
the UK
Bread & Bakery Goods Production in the
UK
Film, Video & TV Programme Post-
Production in the UK
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Products and
Services
Box office
Box office sales account for the main source of industry revenue.
The amount of revenue generated from box office sales each year depends on the
total number of admissions and the average price of tickets purchased. The
schedule of film releases helps determine both the number of admissions, as the
spread of big film releases over the year influences attendance, and the average
price, as 3D film releases command higher ticket prices. Overall, box office sales
are expected to have increased over the past five years, to account for 76.4% of
industry revenue in 2021-22, most of which is expected to be from the top 20 box
office films.
The biggest contributors in this segment are blockbuster films, with the top 20
highest grossing films accounting for the majority of box office sales. In 2020-21,
many high-profile films that were supposed to be released were postponed, due to
the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and the temporary closure of industry
establishments, including Warner Bro's Dune and the new James Bond film, No
Time To Die. This has constrained the share of revenue generated by new
blockbuster films over the year and contributed to the significant industry revenue
decline. Nevertheless over 2020, some high-profile films include 1917, Sonic The
Hedgehog, Tenet, Bad Boys For Life and Dolittle. These were the top five UK films in
terms of box office revenue over 2020, generating £104.9 million, according to the
UK Cinema Association (UKCA). This compares with £310.8 million generated by
the top five films in 2019. However, the top film, 1917, was released in December
2019, which was before the effects of the pandemic were felt and it is a reason why
it had generated more than double the revenue to the second film in the list. Tenet
can claim the top spot for the film that has generated the highest revenue of films
released during the pandemic, in August 2020, at £16.2 million, as per UKCA data.
In the current year, the release of highly anticipated blockbuster films, including No
Time To Die, The Matrix 4, Fast and Furious 9 and A Quiet Place 2, is expected to
boost box office revenue.
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The remaining box office sales come from screening smaller independent and
specialist films, as well as other non-film content. Mainstream cinema chains derive
a much higher proportion of their revenue from blockbuster films than single or
small chain operators. However, once cinemas were allowed to reopen following
the initial nationwide lockdown, there was a lack of new blockbuster films on show
for audiences and cinemas turned to screening smaller independent and specialist
films and classic films to generate revenue. For example, major player Cineworld
screened films such as Goodfellas, Back To The Future and The Shawshank
Redemption. At the same time, Showcase Cinemas offered admission for just £5 to
lure patrons.
Over the past five years, revenue generated from box office sales has grown. Prior
to the coronavirus outbreak, the number of cinema admissions had increased,
although the average price of tickets had decreased slightly. In 2019, admissions
reached 176.1 million, compared with 171.5 million in 2015. UK box office revenue
exceeded £1.2 billion for the fifth consecutive year in 2019, although it fell by 1.9%
compared with 2018, according to the UKCA. However, UKCA data also shows that
the average ticket price was £7.11 in 2019, compared with £7.21 in 2015, due to it
falling over 2018 and 2019, which were the only declines in the average ticket price
since 2001. The average ticket price rise at the start of the period was partially due
to inflationary pressures over the period, but predominantly due to the expansion of
premium offerings, including the rise in the number of IMAX and 3D screenings. The
performance of 3D films can fluctuate significantly depending on the film slate over
the year. However, the box office revenue generated from 3D film screening has
decreased over the past few years, with less 3D films being released, partly
contributing to the fall in the average ticket price. According to the British Film
Institute (BFI), box office revenue generated from 3D film screening was 3% of total
box office revenue in 2018, a decline from 6% in 2017. In 2018, only 39 3D films
were released, generating £43 million; this revenue is less than half of the total
achieved in 2017.
Ticket prices fell further in 2020, to £6.75, with admissions plummeting to just 44
million, as a result of the pandemic and cinema closures. However, other segments
in the industry are expected to have fallen at a faster rate during the pandemic.
Over the five years through 2021-22, revenue from retail sales of
food, beverages and other merchandise is expected to increase as
real household disposable incomes have grown, leading to a higher
average spend per visit in the cinema.
In 2019, the BFI reported that the average spending on refreshments per individual
visit fell from £3.15 in 2017 to £3.10 in 2018. However, many industry operators
have invested heavily in expanding their retail offerings over the past five years, due
to the increasing demand for a more diverse offering in terms of range of products
as well as premium offerings for customers to choose from. As a result, total
refreshment sales in 2018 were £549 million, an increase of 2% on 2017, according
to the BFI.
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retail revenue in 2018 as a result of its broader range of retail offerings, including
Starbucks products; and its VIP system, which provides an exclusive private lounge
with luxury seats and a gourmet buffet, including alcoholic drinks, on offer before
the film starts. However, the financial stress caused by the pandemic, including
falling disposable incomes and low consumer confidence, have constrained
spending on this segment, with food and beverages sold at cinemas already
commanding high prices. For example, the largest industry operator, Cineworld,
states in its latest annual report that retail revenue has fallen at a slightly higher
rate than box office revenue over 2020. As cinemas reopen and economic
conditions improve, retail sales are expected to pick up; however, some consumers
may avoid spending high amounts on retail offerings as they still recover from the
effects of the pandemic. During 2021-22, retail sales are expected to account for
approximately 16.7% of industry revenue.
Other
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restrictions, amid the fast roll-out of the UK vaccine programme, allowing cinemas
to reopen from May 2021.
Technological change also plays a part in generating demand for cinema. The rate
of technological change has quickened recently, and resulted in a proliferation in
the number of alternatives to the cinema. High-definition and 3D films may easily be
viewed at home, through HDTVs and Blu-ray Discs, and films can now easily be
downloaded onto Smart TVs. Moreover, Subscription Video on Demand (SVOD)
service providers such as Netflix and Amazon Prime are increasing in popularity
and are substitutes to the cinema, offering the chance to watch many films and
videos by paying a monthly price. Nevertheless, demand for cinemas is driven by
the uniqueness of the film-going experience, and as a result, the implementation of
IMAX and 4DX cinema has ensured that the experience of going to the cinema
cannot be fully replaced at home, maintaining demand. However, government-
imposed restrictions during the coronavirus pandemic have increased the time
consumers spend at home, resulting in demand for SVOD service providers
booming.
Industry demand also depends on the quality of the available films for screening
and appeal of these films to customers. The release of highly anticipated films
drives cinema attendance, as people prefer to see them in cinemas, where the
experience is expected to be better. In order to generate revenue, some cinemas
have decided to screen classics. Although film quality is dictated by the upstream
Motion Picture Production industry (IBISWorld report J59.111), effective advertising
can boost the level of cinema admissions.
Additionally, industry operators have expanded their retail offerings over the past
five years, providing healthier options in food and drink alongside traditional
offerings. This gives customers more choice and a better experience when visiting
the cinema, aiding cinema attendance. However, good weather and demand for
other popular events, such as concerts or sport events, can negatively affect
industry demand.
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Major Markets
The major markets for the Cinemas industry can be segmented according to age
group. While cinema attendance is fairly evenly spread across different age groups,
each group has slightly different characteristics. Attendance by age group varies
year-to-year depending on the types of films released over the period. All films are
age rated by the British Board of Film Classification; some films are not appropriate
for certain age groups.
People aged between 7 and 14 years are estimated to account for 13.8% of total UK
cinemagoers in 2021-22. The majority of viewers in this market are young teens.
These consumers enjoy a fairly large amount of leisure time compared with other
age groups, which outweighs their far lower spending capacity. Family films and
animations appeal the most to this age group. Over the past five years, this
segment has marginally decreased, due to the success of films aimed at older
people.
People between 15 and 24 years of age are expected to be the largest market for
UK cinemas in 2021-22, accounting for an estimated 27.5% of cinemagoers.
Viewers in this segment have higher levels of disposable income than younger
cinemagoers but less leisure time. Substitute forms of entertainment are a key
threat to demand from this market and have resulted in a small, but steady,
downward trend in the proportion of cinemagoers from this age group over the past
five years. However, films at the cinema offer people in this age group a chance to
spend some social time together.
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People aged between 25 and 34 years are the second largest market for UK
cinemas, accounting for approximately 18.9% of the market in 2021-22, a share that
has marginally increased over the past five years. Consumers in this segment have
fairly high spending power, but are more likely to opt for alternative forms of
entertainment. Many people start families in their late twenties and early thirties,
which increases the range of films people in this market view at the cinema, but
that also reduces the leisure time they have available.
The third largest market segment is audiences aged between 35 and 44 years, with
an estimated 18.2% of cinemagoers in 2021-22 being in this age group. This
segment has the highest average income. Consumers aged between 35 and 44 visit
cinemas both on their own and with their children. This segment contains a high
proportion of parents and carers who tend to have fairly high levels of disposable
income. This market's share of revenue has increased over the past five years, as
more films targeted at this age group have been produced.
People aged between 45 and 54 years are expected to account for 10.4% of
cinemagoers in 2021-22. Along with the oldest age group, the number of people
attending the cinema in this age group has been increasing in recent years.
People aged 55 and over are a small but growing market for UK cinemas,
accounting for an estimated 11.2% of cinemagoers in 2021-22. People in this
market tend to view fewer mainstream films. Instead, they watch more films
outside the top 20 titles, including art-house and alternative films. Consumers aged
55 years and over can sometimes benefit from price discounts for pensioners.
People in this group also have more time available to view films. Additionally, the
growth of accessible and ‘silver' screenings has contributed to demand from this
market.
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were co-produced with firms in other countries, accounted for 46.1% of box office
revenue. Films from countries outside the United Kingdom and United States
accounted for only 2.6% of the box office in 2017, according to the BFI.
Business
Locations Business Concentration in United Kingdom
SCT
NE
NIR
NW
YKS
EMD
WMD
WAL UKH
LDN
SE
SW
Percentage of Establishments (%)
0 12 24 36
Cinemas in the UK
Source: IBISWorld
London
London, the South East and the South West have the highest proportions of industry
establishments. London is estimated to be home to 19.3% of industry
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establishments and a higher share of total industry revenue, because average ticket
prices in London are approximately 20% higher than the UK average, according to
the BFI in 2018.
The South East contains the highest proportion of the population, and disposable
incomes in the region are also high on average, second only to London. As a result,
the region is home to approximately 14.7% of all industry establishments.
The South West is estimated to contain 10% of industry establishments. The region
also has a high population and fairly high disposable incomes. Therefore, the
number of establishments is high.
Other regions
The distribution of cinemas across the rest of the United Kingdom approximately
follows the distribution of the population. The distribution of total screens across
other regions is more evenly spread. Regions with lower establishment numbers,
especially the North East and Northern Ireland, tend to have a higher proportion of
multiplex establishments. The lowest shares of establishments are in regions with
particularly low average disposable income levels and low population.
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Competitive Landscape
Market Share Concentration in this industry is High
Concentration
The industry is dominated by four large
cinema chains, which together are
expected to account for 82.3% of industry
revenue in 2021-22. As a result, the
industry is considered to have a high level
of market concentration. Over the next five
years, these companies are expected to
maintain the size of their market shares
through the acquisition of existing
cinemas and the continued opening of
cinemas in both new regions and existing
markets. These larger companies tend to
have more screens per site and can show
a greater range of films and other content.
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Key Success IBISWorld identifies 250 Key Success Factors for a business. The most important for this
Factors industry are:
Economies of scale: Cinemas that operate a large and increasing number of venues
across the United Kingdom can benefit from economies of scale and lower marginal costs
per customer.
Ability to raise revenue from additional sources: Cinemas that are able to increase
revenue per customer through concession stand sales and advertising can boost their
overall revenue and profitability.
Ensuring pricing policy is appropriate: Pricing decisions are a key factor in increasing
attendance and need to be tailored to different markets.
Ability to quickly adopt new technology: Technology has a significant influence on the
quality of service that cinemas offer, so investment in latest technology is important. Digital
and 3D screens improve the variety of films cinemas can offer and increase the prices
cinemas can charge.
Having a loyal customer base: Cinemas rely on frequent cinemagoers for a large share
of their revenue. Increasing loyalty and the frequency with which customers return is
important.
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Cost Structure
Benchmarks
Profit
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Wages
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Purchases
Depreciation
Marketing
Rent
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Utilities
Other Costs
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Internal competition
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External competition
Internet film piracy has become a major external threat to industry operators.
According to statistics published by the government, 25% of internet users
accessed illegal film content in 2016. Furthermore, the highest level of infringement
recorded was found for music, TV programmes and films. In order to tackle this,
internet service providers have begun sending letters to customers who have been
using their internet connection to access media illegally, notifying them that their
broadband has been used to share copyrighted material, and encouraging them to
use legal alternatives. Sky and Virgin Media have announced that internet users will
be given a 20-day warning to stop illegally downloading content, although they have
not announced what will happen after the 20-day period if illegal downloading
continues. Cinemas are also vulnerable to piracy on their sites, with some people
recording during film screening, particularly high-profile titles, which is then likely to
be uploaded on the internet for illegal use, reducing cinema admission numbers.
Cinema admissions are affected by the film slate, so it is important for cinema
operators that film producers and distributors can bring popular and anticipated
films that appeal to customers. If for example, Hollywood performs poorly, it will
affect cinema admissions negatively. However, larger industry operators can
mitigate that risk by having operations elsewhere, for example in Europe, where
stronger local and non-Hollywood film demand helps hedge their exposure to the
US market and film reliance.
Barriers to Entry Barriers to entry in this industry are High and Increasing
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Cinema operators also need to develop strong relationships with film distributors to
secure a good and varied selection of films for public viewing. While this is not
usually a major problem due to distributors looking to get films shown in as many
locations as possible, new cinemas may face a pricing disadvantage until they
become more established.
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US-based National Amusements Inc operates 1,500 screens across the United
States, the United Kingdom and Latin America. Vue Entertainment operates
cinemas in nine countries, including Germany, Italy, Poland, Taiwan, and
Netherlands, operating 225 cinema sites. In June 2013, Vue Cinemas was bought
by Canadian investors for £935 million. Cineworld also followed its competitors and
began a European expansion in January 2014, currently having a presence in 8
European countries and in Israel. Furthermore, in 2018, Cineworld completed the
acquisition of larger US rival Regal Entertainment, giving Cineworld considerable
strength in the region. At the same time, there are many smaller operators that
operate only in the United Kingdom. As a result, the industry has a moderate and
rising level of globalisation.
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Major Companies
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Stock Exchange on May 2007 and has since expanded into even more new markets
and complexes. The group operates the Cineworld and Picturehouse cinemas in the
United Kingdom.
In 2016, eight sites were opened, four of which were in the United Kingdom and the
Republic of Ireland. In 2017, nine new sites were opened, with four of these in the
United Kingdom and Ireland. In 2018, six sites were opened and four were
refurbished in the United Kingdom. In 2019, the group opened five new sites in the
United Kingdom and completed eight refurbishments. This brought the total
number of cinemas in the United Kingdom and Ireland to 128, 127 of which are in
the United Kingdom, and 1,180 screens. Across its cinema chain, the company
exhibits a range of specialist screenings including Bollywood, Polish and other
alternative content. Online booking is becoming increasingly popular among the
firm's customers, and as a result the firm developed a mobile app in 2016 to provide
greater visibility of the cinema line-up, and increase the ease of bookings. In 2017,
Cineworld recorded that 20% of online bookings were made on a mobile app.
The coronavirus pandemic has devastated Cineworld's performance over 2020. The
company closed all its UK cinemas from 23 March 2020 as a result of the initial
nationwide lockdown. All but six of Cineworld's UK cinemas reopened on 31 July,
with establishments screening classic films, including Goodfellas, The Shawshank
Redemption and Back To The Future, due to the lack of new films released. After
many anticipated films, including the new James Bond film, No Time To Die, had
their release date postponed, the company announced at the start of October that it
was temporarily suspending operations at all of its 127 Cineworld and Picturehouse
cinemas in the United Kingdom from 8 October 2020, as well as at all of its 536
Regal cinemas in the United States, affecting 45,000 workers, over 5,000 of which
are in the United Kingdom. On 23 November 2020, Cineworld announced a US$750
million (£562 million) package that includes an agreement from its banks to waive
covenants until June 2022, an extension of a US$111 million (£83 million) revolving
credit facility from December 2020 to May 2024, and US$450 million (£337 million)
of new debt. In June 2020, Cineworld decided to pull out of a US$2.1 billion (£1.6
billion) deal to acquire the Canadian cinema chain Cineplex. Due to the pandemic,
Cineworld closed one site in the United Kingdom over 2020, although it also
refurbished another four. As restrictions eased in the United Kingdom over the
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current year amid the fast rollout of the vaccination programme in the United
Kingdom, Cineworld reopened its cinemas from 19 May 2021.
Cineworld stated in March 2021 that it had signed a multi-year agreement with
Warner Bros. Pictures Group to an exclusive theatrical window of 45 days in the
United States and just 31 days in the United Kingdom before it goes to premium
video on-demand. There will be an extended window of 45 days for films that open
to an agreed upon box-office threshold.
Financial performance
In 2016, the Group acquired five Empire cinemas from Cinema Holdings Ltd, which
operate in the United Kingdom. The results of their performance have been included
since mid-August 2016, when they were acquired. Revenue growth was then
boosted through 2017, as it was the first full year in which its financial performance
was included in group revenue. Also aiding growth in 2017 was the strong film slate
released in the year, which allowed the company to record cinema admissions
levels, with over 100 million people watching a movie with Cineworld.
A good film portfolio for 2018, including Solo: A Star Wars Story, Avengers: Infinity
War, Deadpool 2 and Black Panther, generated significant revenue for the firm. In
2019, the film slate was strong, with the release of blockbuster films such as
Avengers: Endgame, Aladdin, Toy Story 4, Spider-Man: Far from Home, The Lion
King and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker. However, the group's UK and Ireland
admissions numbers fell by 6.6% to 48.2 million in 2019 compared with the
previous year. Moreover, box office revenue and retail revenue declined by 10.5%
and 6.4% respectively over the year. As a result, UK revenue is expected to have
fallen to £504.2 million in 2019. The company reported a 76.3% decline in revenue
in the United Kingdom and Ireland in 2020, with admissions also falling by 76.3% to
11.4 million. The closure of venues and the poor film slate, due to film releases
being postponed, decimated demand. In 2021, revenue is expected to grow as
restrictions in the United Kingdom are removed and some highly anticipated films
are released. Pent-up demand from consumers for out-of-home leisure is expected
to support admissions and spending on industry services. However, the nationwide
lockdown restrictions from January 2021, which kept cinemas closed until May
2021, are expected to constrain revenue recovery over the year, with revenue
remaining below pre-pandemic levels.
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As at 30 November 2020, Vue International Bidco plc operated 225 cinemas with a
combined total of 1,997 screens in nine countries. Of those sites, 87 were in the
United Kingdom and three in Ireland. Prior to the pandemic, there were 91 cinemas
in the United Kingdom and Ireland, with over 870 screens, including 271 3D screens,
11 Extreme screens, and three IMAX screens. Vue owns two of the top three
highest grossing cinemas in the United Kingdom, at the Westfield shopping centres
in Shepherd's Bush and Stratford in London.
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that was cleared in 2020 subject to the condition that the cinema operators divest
cinemas to other operators at six different locations before implementing the
merger.
Financial performance
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ODEON Cinemas Group is one of the largest UK cinema chains, with approximately
112 cinemas across the United Kingdom, with 904 screens at the end of 2019, and
a further 11 cinemas in Ireland. It accounts for an estimated one-quarter of all
cinema tickets sold in the United Kingdom. The first ODEON cinema was opened in
1930 in Birmingham. At the end of December 2015, the company operated 868
screens in the United Kingdom, of which over 100 were 3D format. ODEON Cinemas
Group operates in a number of European countries, having over 340 cinemas
throughout Europe with 2,700 screens, welcoming over 100 million visitors each
year, stating it is Europe's largest cinema operator. It has strong positions in Spain,
Italy and Germany.
In 2012, the group acquired the BFI Southbank in London and the AMC cinema in
Birmingham, helping to consolidate the UK cinema market. ODEON operates the
first Dolby Cinema in the United Kingdom, which is a premium cinema technology
for greater audio and visual experience. The company also completed its roll-out of
digital projectors, becoming the largest fully digital chain in the world in 2012.
Odeon formerly had the UK's biggest cinema loyalty scheme, called ODEON
Premiere Club, which had over two million members, but this was closed on 6 May
2020. The company launched trial 4D experiences in two UK cinemas and
introduced Costa Coffee shops in its UK cinemas. Costa franchises are currently in
operation in 62 ODEON cinemas across the United Kingdom.
During the coronavirus pandemic, once cinemas were allowed to reopen following
the initial lockdown, ODEON offered some deals to lure customers. These include a
Saver and SuperSaver Tickets, which offered tickets from £5, and 50% off tickets
for Cineworld Unlimited members when Cineworld cinemas shut in October. At the
start of October, the company stated that a quarter of its 120 cinemas would shut
from Monday to Thursday due to low admissions and a lack of new films. All
ODEON cinemas were closed during the subsequent nationwide lockdowns,
decimating demand.
Financial performance
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Structural changes and high admission figures are likely to have supported revenue
growth over 2017. Over 2018, the company invested £62.4 million in existing sites,
other revenue-generating projects and capital maintenance of the estate. Over
2020, the measures introduced to limit the spread of the coronavirus are expected
to have weighed heavily on the company's performance, in line with the wider
industry. Its parent company, AMC Entertainment, reported a 77.3% decline in total
revenue in 2020, highlighting the significant implications brought on by the
pandemic. As restrictions ease and cinemas reopen, ODEON's revenue is expected
to rise in the current year, albeit remain below pre-pandemic levels, due to strict
restrictions at the start of the year.
As expected with the wider industry, the company has stated that the coronavirus
pandemic has caused business disruption through the mandated closure of all of
its cinemas. In turn, it implemented many cost saving measures during lockdown,
including furloughing most of its employees, temporarily reducing salaries for non-
furloughed essential staff, and working with landlords to delay or reduce lease
payments during the closure period. Additionally, the company suspended all non-
essential capital expenditure in order to preserve cash. Natl Amusements resumed
operations under reduced capacity restrictions on 4 July. However, there were no
new film products released to cinemas until the end of the third quarter of 2020,
negatively affecting demand. As a result, Showcase Cinemas screened modern
classics for £5 per ticket, as there were no new blockbuster films coming out.
Moreover, the company reported uncertainty in consumer demand once the
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business began to reopen, before being forced to close again due to a resurgence in
cases.
Financial performance
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The company operated 35 venues with 117 screens as of December 2020, up from
33 venues and 110 screens as of March 2020. The company has a growing number
of staff, employing 889 people as at 31 December 2020. Everyman is the fifth
largest UK cinema as defined by gross box office revenue, according to ComScore.
In its latest annual report for the 12 months through December 2020, Everyman
reported revenue of £24.2 million, a 62.7% decrease on the previous year. This is
due to the coronavirus pandemic, which resulted in the closure of all venues for five
full months over the year, as well as capacity on operations once establishments
were allowed to open. Admissions over the year were down 63%, as a result of the
restrictions and the reduced film slate. Nevertheless, the company reported a 5%
rise year-on-year in the average ticket price to £11.90, largely due to the temporary
reduction in the VAT rate. Additionally, food and beverage spend in 2020 increased
by 11% to £7.89, mainly as a result of takeaway sales from a number of venues
during periods of closure. Over 2020, the company reported an operating loss of
£19.3 million, down from an operating profit of £4.7 million in 2019. Profit has been
heavily affected by the pandemic, including a £5.6 million charge for impairment of
goodwill, right-of-use assets and property, plant and equipment. Everyman Cinemas
has attempted to reduce capital expenditure and operating costs to a minimum
over the year to mitigate the effect of the pandemic as much as possible. This
included salary cuts and placing most of the staff on furlough.
The company has stated that it expects admissions to rise strongly once cinemas
are allowed to reopen and could even be above pre-pandemic levels over time. Prior
to the pandemic, the company has benefited from rising demand for independent
films and niche operations by providing a more personalised, high-end experience
that customers are increasingly looking for, which is expected to boost the
company's performance over the coming years as well. IBISWorld expects
Everyman Media Group to generate revenue of just £57.7 million in 2021, supported
by the reopening of venues and pent-up consumer demand. However, the lockdown
restrictions over the first few months of 2021 are expected to constrain revenue
recovery in the current year.
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Operating Conditions
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Using depreciation as a proxy for capital and total wages as a proxy for labour, the
industry is estimated to have a capital-to-labour ratio of 1:2.32 in 2021-22. This
means that for every £1.00 invested in capital, the average operator is expected to
spends £2.32 on labour, indicating that the industry has a high level of capital
intensity.
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Both the rate of new innovation and the concentration are in line with the average
across all industries.
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More screens are being converted to be able show 3D films, allowing cinemas to
charge higher prices to consumers. Although upgrading screens to allow 3D films
does entail significant expense, this is expected to have a fairly short pay-back
period, making it an attractive prospect for operators. Additionally, an increasing
number of cinemas are investing in IMAX with laser and 4DX technology. The result
is a premium audio and visual experience that cinemagoers pay higher ticket prices
for. 4DX is a more recent technological development, first opened by Cineworld in
London in 2018, and 4DX screening rooms are fitted with motion chairs that are
programmed to move in harmony with the action of the film.
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Note: Revenue growth and decline reflective of 5-year annualized trend. Y-axis is in
logarithmic scale. Y-axis crosses at long-run GDP. X-axis crosses at high volatility
threshold.
Demand for cinema viewing experiences has been tempered by high competition
from other leisure and entertainment substitutes, such as the internet, digital TV
and digital pay TV (see IBISWorld report SP0.021). Online subscription platforms
including Netflix and Amazon Prime (see IBISWorld report SP0.017) are expected to
have affected the industry, with some preferring to watch films at the comfort of
their own home. However, the developments made by the Cinemas industry in order
to improve customer experiences, including the buying of the ticket, the increased
range of food and beverages offered, and improved audio and visuals, has helped
maintain demand. Additionally, over the years prior to the pandemic, attendance
numbers have been supported by a series of blockbuster films, such as Star Wars:
The Rise of Skywalker and Marvel's Avengers: Endgame. According to the UK
Cinema Association (UKCA), admissions reached 176.1 million in 2019, up from
171.5 million in 2015.
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The government provides funding for the creative sector, but the
vast majority of this is directed towards production rather than
exhibition activities, with the largest sources of funding coming
from the UK film tax relief and the National Lottery.
Activities involving the distribution and exhibition of films benefit from the second
largest share of public spending. Public spending on distribution and exhibition has
been growing sharply over the past few years, from approximately £18.6 million in
2014-15, to £67.1 million in 2018-19, according to data published by the British Film
Institute's (BFI) Statistical Yearbook 2020.
The industry has benefited from Creative Europe funding, through the Europa
Cinemas scheme. The aim of this scheme is to increase European programming in
film theatres and to raise attendance, particularly of European non-national films, as
well as to promote diversity and support the transition to digital projection. Between
2007 and 2013, funding provided by this scheme averaged to over €103,000
(£87,000) per cinema involved in the scheme. In 2018, Creative Europe's MEDIA
sub-programme investment in film in the United Kingdom totalled £3.5 million, £2.5
million of which for Distribution and just £100,000 for Exhibition. Exiting the
European Union means that qualifying for Creative Europe funding is no longer
available to operators after 31 December 2020 when the transition period ended. In
the Spending Review from November 2020, the government has confirmed the
creation of a Global Screen Fund to offset funding lost from Creative Europe, with
£7 million of funding confirmed in the first year. Additionally, under the new trade
deal, the United Kingdom will participate in the EU's Horizon Europe 2021-2027
programme, which includes a strand supporting culture, creativity and inclusive
society.
The industry has also benefited from a wide set of measures introduced by the
government to support businesses and employees across the economy. These
include deferred VAT payments, business rates holiday for 2020-21, the Bounce
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Back Loan Scheme and the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme, which has been
extended to run through September 2021. At the start of July 2020, the Chancellor
unveiled a hospitality VAT cut from 20% to 5% from 15 July 2020 and has been
extended until 30 September 2021, then rising to 12.5% until 31 March 2022.
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Key Statistics
Industry Data
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic
Demand
(£m) (£m) (Units) (Units) (Units) (£m) (£m) (£m) (£m)
2013–14 1,525 449 747 222 17,933 N/A N/A 232 N/A
2014–15 1,596 486 743 223 18,293 N/A N/A 255 N/A
2015–16 1,829 598 771 248 18,534 N/A N/A 262 N/A
2016–17 1,738 602 788 253 18,601 N/A N/A 292 N/A
2017–18 1,787 630 801 273 18,916 N/A N/A 297 N/A
2018–19 1,890 662 811 271 19,129 N/A N/A 316 N/A
2019–20 1,798 628 840 262 19,199 N/A N/A 329 N/A
2020–21 319 -14.5 843 243 11,769 N/A N/A 131 N/A
2021–22 1,219 450 816 212 16,236 N/A N/A 288 N/A
2022–23 1,546 581 852 222 17,764 N/A N/A 328 N/A
2023–24 1,651 627 868 225 18,433 N/A N/A 347 N/A
2024–25 1,698 662 881 226 18,818 N/A N/A 355 N/A
2025–26 1,739 687 894 228 19,188 N/A N/A 363 N/A
2026–27 1,717 687 901 228 19,224 N/A N/A 364 N/A
Annual Change
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic
Demand
(%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
2013–14 -3.70 -6.03 -0 5 -2 N/A N/A -5.11 N/A
2014–15 4.71 8.30 -1 0 2 N/A N/A 9.59 N/A
2015–16 14.6 23.1 4 11 1 N/A N/A 2.78 N/A
2016–17 -5.00 0.58 2 2 0 N/A N/A 11.7 N/A
2017–18 2.83 4.63 2 8 2 N/A N/A 1.67 N/A
2018–19 5.73 5.14 1 -1 1 N/A N/A 6.42 N/A
2019–20 -4.87 -5.16 4 -3 0 N/A N/A 4.10 N/A
2020–21 -82.3 N/A 0 -7 -39 N/A N/A -60.4 N/A
2021–22 282 N/A -3 -13 38 N/A N/A 121 N/A
2022–23 26.9 29.0 4 5 9 N/A N/A 13.9 N/A
2023–24 6.81 8.06 2 1 4 N/A N/A 5.60 N/A
2024–25 2.81 5.57 1 0 2 N/A N/A 2.50 N/A
2025–26 2.44 3.72 1 1 2 N/A N/A 2.25 N/A
2026–27 -1.30 0.05 1 0 0 N/A N/A 0.19 N/A
Key Ratios
Year IVA/Revenue Imports/Demand Exports/Revenue Revenue per Wages/Revenue Employees per Average Wage
Employee estab.
(%) (%) (%) (£'000) (%)
2013–14 29.4 N/A N/A 85.0 15.2 24.0 12,959
2014–15 30.5 N/A N/A 87.3 16.0 24.6 13,923
2015–16 32.7 N/A N/A 98.7 14.3 24.0 14,125
2016–17 34.6 N/A N/A 93.4 16.8 23.6 15,720
2017–18 35.2 N/A N/A 94.5 16.6 23.6 15,717
2018–19 35.0 N/A N/A 98.8 16.7 23.6 16,540
2019–20 34.9 N/A N/A 93.6 18.3 22.9 17,157
2020–21 -4.54 N/A N/A 27.1 40.9 14.0 11,088
2021–22 36.9 N/A N/A 75.1 23.7 19.9 17,751
2022–23 37.6 N/A N/A 87.0 21.2 20.8 18,481
2023–24 38.0 N/A N/A 89.6 21.0 21.2 18,809
2024–25 39.0 N/A N/A 90.2 20.9 21.4 18,886
2025–26 39.5 N/A N/A 90.6 20.9 21.5 18,939
2026–27 40.0 N/A N/A 89.3 21.2 21.3 18,940
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Additional Resources
Additional British Board of Film Classification
Resources http://www.bbfc.co.uk
Screen Daily
http://www.screendaily.com
UK Cinema Association
http://www.cinemauk.org.uk
IMAX
A screening technique that produces an image approximately 10 times larger than that from
standard 35 millimetre film
MULTIPLEX CINEMAS
Cinema sites that have five or more screens.
SLATE
The list of films scheduled to be released over a certain period.
CAPITAL INTENSITY
Compares the amount of money spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with
that spent on labour. IBISWorld uses the ratio of depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital
intensity. High capital intensity is more than £0.333 of capital to £1 of labour; medium is
£0.125 to £0.333 of capital to £1 of labour; low is less than £0.125 of capital for every £1 of
labour.
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CONSTANT PRICES
The pound figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation
using the current year (i.e. year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of
changes in the purchasing power of the pound, leaving only the 'real' growth or decline in
industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using the Office
for National Statistics' implicit GDP price deflator.
DOMESTIC DEMAND
Spending on industry goods and services within the UK, regardless of their country of origin.
It is derived by adding imports to industry revenue, and then subtracting exports.
EMPLOYMENT
The number of permanent, part-time, temporary and casual employees, working proprietors,
partners, managers and executives within the industry.
ENTERPRISE
A division that is separately managed and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise
consists of one or more establishments that are under common ownership or control.
ESTABLISHMENT
The smallest type of accounting unit within an enterprise, an establishment is a single
physical location where business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are
performed. Multiple establishments under common control make up an enterprise.
EXPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services sold by UK companies to customers abroad.
IMPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services brought in from foreign countries to be sold in
the UK.
INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION
An indicator of the dominance of the top four players in an industry. Concentration is
considered high if the top players account for more than 70% of industry revenue. Medium
is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less than 40%.
INDUSTRY REVENUE
The total sales of industry goods and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies
on production; all other operating income from outside the firm (such as commission
income, repair and service income, and rent, leasing and hiring income); and capital work
done by rental or lease. Receipts from interest royalties, dividends and the sale of fixed
tangible assets are excluded.
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INTERNATIONAL TRADE
The level of international trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and imports to
domestic demand. For exports/revenue: low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 20%; and high
is more than 20%. Imports/domestic demand: low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 35%;
and high is more than 35%.
LIFE CYCLE
All industries go through periods of growth, maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an
industry's life cycle by considering its growth rate (measured by IVA) compared with GDP;
the growth rate of the number of establishments; the amount of change the industry's
products are undergoing; the rate of technological change; and the level of customer
acceptance of industry products and services.
NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENT
Businesses with no paid employment or payroll, also known as nonemployers. These are
mostly set up by self-employed individuals.
PROFIT
IBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) as an indicator of a company’s
profitability. It is calculated as revenue minus expenses, excluding interest and tax.
VOLATILITY
The level of volatility is determined by averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of
the past five years. Volatility levels: very high is more than ±20%; high volatility is ±10% to
±20%; moderate volatility is ±3% to ±10%; and low volatility is less than ±3%.
WAGES
The gross total wages and salaries of all employees in the industry. The cost of benefits is
also included in this figure
61 IBISWorld.com
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