Data Management Test 3 Name:

Date:

Time allowed: 2 hours

Part I: Knowledge and Understanding

1. [K2]Two standard dice, one is green and one is blue. What is the probability that the blue die shows an odd
number and the green die shows a number that is a perfect square?

2. [K4]

a) 2B-3C
b) A2

3. [K3]I flip a fair coin 7 times. What is the probability that I end up with more heads than tails?

4. [K2] A die is thrown twice. What is the probability that the sum of the rolls is less than 4 given that
a) one of the rolls is a 1?
b) the first roll is 1?

5. [K2] In a class of 27, what is the probability that at least two of the students have the same initial for their last
name?

6. [K5] If all of the letters of DENSITY are arranged at random in a line, find the probability that the
arrangment will:
a)not spell the word DENSITY
b)have the vowels together
c)start with N and end with E
d)start with a vowel or end with a consonant

7. [K4] A 5-card hand is dealt from a standard deck of 52 cards. Find the probabilty that a 5-card hand contains:
a) only spade cards
b) no face cards
c) more red cards than black cards

Part II: Application

8. [A3] I have 120 blocks. Each block is one of 2 different materals, 3 different colours, 4 different sizes, and 5
different shapes. No two blocks have exactly the same of all four properties. I take two blocks at random. What
is the probability the two blocks have exactly two of these four properties the same?

9. [A6] The Orange team is playing against the Apple team. If Orange team wins their confidence increase then
they will have a 75% chance of winning the next game. Apple team had a special training for mentality about
winning/losing, whether they win or lose, the chance of winning next game is 50%. If it was calculated that
Orange team has a 55% chance winning the first game, find:
a) the initial vector S(0)
b) the transition matrix P
c) the chance of Orange team winning the second game

10. [A3] This round of the Lucky Walnut lottery requires picking 6 out of 49 numbers for a jackpot that wins 2
million dollars. If you choose 5 out of the six numbers correctly, you can win $10000, and if you choose 4 out of
the six numbers correctly, you can win $3000. If you buy one ticket, what is the probability that you win
$10000?

11. [A2] The odds against a day raining at this city in April is 7:5, the probability of a day being cloudy is 0.25.
If it is cloudy on a day, there is a 80% chance that it will rain on that day. What is the probability of day is rainy
and cloudy?

12. [A3] To test if this certain vaccine works for a person, the person has to do two tests. The first test has a
92% probability of giving accurate results, while the second test is accurate 88% of the time. For a person who
is not infected, what is the probability that a person doesn't get an accurate final conclusion?

13. [A3] There are 23 people in this party, 13 of them are females. Two people will go on the stage to play a
game, so they each write their names on a little piece of paper and put them into a bag. Then two names will be
randomly drawn from the bag. What is the probability that the two people playing the game will be same
gender?

Part III: Communication

14. [C5] In Ms. Pine's class, the probability of a student has a religion is 0.4, the probability of a student wears
glasses is 0.6, the probability a student is religious and wears glasses is 0.2. Steven says the event of a student
being religious and the event of a student wears glasses are independent, Venice argues these two events are
dependent. Do you agree or disagree with either one of them, or both of them? Explain.

Part IV: Thinking, Inquiry and Problem Solving

15. [T4] The Lucky Pine lottery choose 6 different numbers between 1 and 40 inclusive. The order of the first 5
numbers is not important. The 6th number is a bonus number. To win the first prize, all 5 regular numbers and
the bonus number must match, respectively. For the second prize, you must match the bonus number plus four
of the regular numbers. What is the probability of
a) winning the first prize?
b) winning the second prize?

16. [9T] Five friends agree to meet at Walnut's Cafe in GTA. However, there are 5 different Walnut's
Cafe locations in GTA, and the friends forgot to confirm which location to meet at, so they each choose
one at random. What is the probability that
a) they all went to the same Walnut's Cafe?
b) they all went to different Walnut's Cafe?
c) Stephen and Venice went to the same location but other 3 friends went to other 3 locations?