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Unit 7 Preparing A Merchandise Plan: Structure
Unit 7 Preparing A Merchandise Plan: Structure
7.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
● explain the importance of the merchandise plan and its format;
● analyse the planning of the sales for the current year;
● explain the planning of the stocks on the floor;
● describe the methods of reductions such as mark-downs;
● explain the finalisation of the merchandise plan.
7.1 INTRODUCTION
Preparation of the merchandise plan is a key step in a buying and merchandising
operation. It needs to be done very carefully as the overall purchase budgets for the
season are going to be decided based on this plan. The preparation of the plan
necessitates that the concerned merchandiser or buyer has a complete understanding
of the market scenario in which they are to operate. He/she must be aware about the
sales trend for the concerned product categories, understanding of the competitive
scenario, the trends in the related products and substitutes that may affect the sales
of the main categories, etc. It is important to have complete grasp on these issues.
The purpose of the merchandising plan is to finalize the right quantities of the right
value and at the right time. In this unit, you will learn about the importance of the
merchandise planning and the format for preparing it. You will further learn how the
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sales are planned for the current year. You will also learn about various methods for Preparing a
Merchandise Plan
the planning of the stocks and how reductions are done to clear the unsold stocks.
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Buying and ● Revised figures against each parameter (so as to take care of the effect of
Merchandising-II
actual figures—as the season progresses—on the rest of the months due to
change in sales or reduction activities);
● Actual figures against each of the parameters as the season progresses;
● Month-wise percentage break-up of the planned activity for sales and reduction
parameters against the overall plan for the season. This is done to indicate how
the sales and reduction activity was planned across different months or periods
of the given season.
Table 7.1: Format to prepare the merchandise purchase plan
Solution
The increase in sales is of 20% over last year’s sales figure.
Thus, the sales increase = Rs 200000 × 20 % = Rs 200000 × 20 ÷ 100
= Rs 40000
Therefore sales projected for the current season = Rs 200000 + Rs 40000
= Rs 240000
c) Percentage trend: The percentage trend is derived usually from the trend for the
previous year same season.
% trend 10 30 20 20 10 10 100
As we saw earlier, the percentage sales for a month is derived by using the following
working:
Suppose percentage trend for the month of October = Sales value for October ÷ total
sales for the season
= Rs 60000 ÷ Rs 200000 = 30 %
Similarly a percentage sale for each of the months is worked out.
Using the above working, we can now work out the month-wise sales break-up for
the current season as shown below. The percentages for each of the month for
current season are taken from that for the previous season:
Fall Season September October November December January February Total
Current 24000 72000 48000 48000 24000 24000 240000
year sales
% trend 10 30 20 20 10 10 100
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Here the sales break-up for each of the months is done as follows: Preparing a
Merchandise Plan
For example, sales for the month of September = Total sales for the season ×
percentage for the month = Rs 240000 × 10% = Rs 24000
We use the above working to finalize sales figures for each of the months.
The percentage break-up for each of the months can be changed as per the expected
changes during the season. For example, many a times during the festive season,
Dussera and Diwali festivals may fall during different months as compared to the
previous year same season. Sometimes one may have to take into account the
promotion schemes, if any, planned for specific months.
d) Revised plan: The next step against the sales is to determine the revised figures.
This is done on the basis of the sales trend in the previous months for the current
season. Suppose the retailer thinks that there is going to be downward trend in sales
for the coming month by say a certain per cent based on the trend in the previous
month. The retailer or the merchandising team needs to affect the same in the sales
plan as explained in the example below:
Example 7.3. Change in Sales Figure for the Months based on the Sales
Trend
A merchandising team for ladies fashion-wear department finds that the actual sales
figures in the previous months of October and November have been very different
than the projected sales for the concerned months. Hence, it decides to revise the
sales figures for the next two months of December and January by taking the
average reduction percentage in sales for the previous two months as the basis for
sales revision.
Fall Season September October November December January February Total
Current 24000 72000 48000 48000 24000 24000 240000
year sales
Planned % 10 30 20 20 10 10 100
trend
Revised 25000 60000 44000 24000
Sales
Revised %
trend
Actual sales 25000 60000 44000
Let us first of all calculate percentage drop in the sales for the respective months as
compared to the projections for the concerned months.
Per cent drop in the sales for the month of October = (Sales Projected for October –
Actual Sales for October) ÷ Sales Projected for October
= (Rs 72000 – Rs 60000) ÷ Rs 72000
= Rs 12000 ÷ Rs 72000 = 16.67%
Per cent drop in sales for the month of November = (Rs 48000 – Rs 44000) ÷ Rs 48000
= Rs 4000 ÷ Rs 48000 = 8.33%
{The average reduction in sales for the months of October and November as we
would normally do = (16.67% + 8.33%) ÷ 2
= 25% ÷ 2 = 12.5 %}
You should note that the above method of calculating average reduction in sales for
the two months, though looks sound. As per the general method we are used to 115
Buying and calculate average values. It is not the correct method technically because here we
Merchandising-II
have to calculate average percentage reduction for the two months. Hence, we need
to use the following correct method:
The average reduction in sales for the months of October and November =
(Projected Sales for October and November – Actual Sales for the months of
October and November) ÷ Projected Sales for the months of October and November
= [(Rs 72000 + Rs 48000) – ( Rs 60000 + Rs 44000)] ÷ (Rs 72000 + Rs 48000)
= ( Rs 120000 – Rs 104000) ÷ Rs 120000
= Rs 16000 ÷ Rs 120000 = 13.33%
So, we can see the difference in the two methods for the calculation of average
reduction. The same method will become applicable for the calculation of the average
increase in the projected sales as compared to the actual sales.
Now making use of the average reduction percentage for the months of October and
November we shall calculate the percentage reduction in the projected sales for the
months of December and January.
Revised Sales for the month of December =Projected Sales for the month –
(Reduction in Sales Value as per average reduction %)
= Rs 48000 – (Rs 48000 × 13.33%)
= Rs 48000 – Rs 6398 (rounded off)
= Rs 41602~ Rs 41600
Similarly, revised sales for the month of January = Rs 24000 – (Rs 24000 × 13.33%)
= Rs 24000 – 3199 (rounded off)
= Rs 20801 ~ 20800
So, the Table with revised sales figures would look as follows:
In the Table above we have taken the actual sales figures in the revised sales figures’
row for the respective months in order to bring the completeness to the revised sales
figures row. Further, the percentages have been calculated for the revised sales trend
based on the total revised sales figure for the season, which is Rs 215400.
The advantage of revising the sales figures based on the trend is to help the team to
know what changes, if any, are necessary for adjusting the inventory in the store. The
changes can be made by way of reducing or increasing orders for the same in the
coming period or months.
e) Actual sales: At the end of every sales period or month, we have to make
immediate entries in the respective cells for keeping track of the trend. This needs to
be under constant review for taking effect of the same in the revised sales figures, if
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Preparing a
Check Your Progress A Merchandise Plan
1. What are the importance of the merchandise planning in the retail business.
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2. Draw the commonly used format for the preparation of the merchandise plan.
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3. How does last year’s sale help in planning sales for the current year?
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4. Enumerate internal factors that are taken into account while planning of the
sales for the current year.
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5. Enumerate the external factors affecting the sales growth.
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Solution
The average stock value for the six months period Jan. to June = [BOM stock value
for each of the months (Jan. to June) + EOM stock value for June month]÷ 7
= (Rs 250000 + Rs 200000 + Rs 300000 + Rs 250000 + Rs 300000 + Rs 250000 + Rs
200000) ÷ 7
= Rs 1750000 ÷ 7 = Rs 250000
Therefore, stock turnover ratio = Sales for the six month period ÷ Average stock
value for the six month period
= Rs 2400000 ÷ Rs 250000 = 9.6
So, we can see that the turnover ratio being 9.6, the stock gets sold in less than a
month’s time. This means the buyer will have to organize replenishments too in less 119
than a month’s time.
Buying and If we know the stock turnover ratio and the sales turnover for the required period,
Merchandising-II
then we can calculate the average stock value for the given period as shown in the
formula below:
Average Stock Value = Net Sales Value ÷ Stock Turnover Ratio
Similarly if we know the average stock value and stock turnover ratio for a given
period, then the sales turnover can be calculated as follows:
Sales Turnover = Average Stock Value × Stock Turnover Ratio
So we can see that with the determination of the stock turnover or sale to stock ratio,
we are able to decide on certain important parameters for planning stock for a
particular product or category on the floor.
Importance of stock turnover: The merchandising team needs to be very particular
about maintaining the desired stock turnover ratio for generating good or targeted
returns for the department or the store. For items like grocery or daily used items, the
stock turnover is very high, which could even go up to 20, as compared to fashion
wear products. For example, ladies dresses where the buyer needs to keep a
reasonable number of styles/designs in different colours and price ranges which
makes the inventory value high. This leads to stock turnover ratio of about 3 to 4 for a
year. The merchandising team balances the stock turnover with the profit margins
covered on the products. It will be seen that profit margins on the products with fast
or high stock turnover ratio is lower as compared to that on products where stock
turnover ratio is low.
The buyer or merchandising team tries to influence the stock turnover ratio by using
the following tricks:
The team buys in small quantities and replenish more frequently as per the sales trend
for the department or store.
Have an arrangement with the supplier/manufacturer to maintain the inventory at his
own risk or on consignment basis. Thus passing on the complete risk of stock
maintenance/replenishment to the supplier/manufacturer of the products. Though in
such cases, the team has to compromise to certain extent on the profit margin.
According to Easterling C R et al., following are the advantages and disadvantages of
high stock turnover ratio.
Advantages
i. It limits the investment in stocks, thereby increases the possibility of high return
on investment in stocks.
ii. Reduction of expenses related with maintenance of stocks like insurance,
storage space, interest payment on investment in stocks, manpower for handling
the merchandise.
iii. Helps the team with taking fast decisions on any change in items or styles or
designs, as per the market trend. It facilitates infusion of new items or styles to
bring in freshness to stocks thereby creating excitement and appeal for the
merchandise.
iv. Lower markdowns which are necessary to move the slow moving merchandise
are brought to bare minimum level. It decreases the risk on non-moving
merchandise because of smaller lots of purchase.
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Disadvantages Preparing a
Merchandise Plan
i. The greatest risk of maintaining low stocks is of lost sales due to non-availability
of merchandise of the required type/styles. Also the lower width of range limits
consumer choices and may lead to loss of interest in merchandise.
ii. Another biggest headache is that of frequent placing of orders. This leads to
transportation expenses, handling cost, and maintaining account and warehouse
records.
iii. Loss of rebate or quantity discounts due to lower quantity of purchase.
Solution
The number of weeks supply to be maintained during a given period = Number of
weeks in a given period ÷ stock turnover required for a given period
= 52 ÷ 6 = 8.67 weeks stock/supply ~ 9 weeks supply
Therefore, the average stock value to be maintained = (Sales turnover for the year ÷
52) × 9
= (Rs 2400000 ÷ 52) x 9
= Rs 46154 × 9 = Rs 415386 ~
Rs 415000
So by maintaining a stock value of Rs 415000, i.e. 9 weeks’ supply on hand, we can
reach around 6 stock turnover ratio.
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expected sales for the given period. As we need to monitor stock position with Preparing a
Merchandise Plan
relation to the expected sales for a given period, this ratio takes into account the
beginning of the month or period stock value. From the formula given above, we can
derive the beginning of month stock value if we know the expected sales for the
month and the expected ratio to be attained for the month, as explained here below:
BOM Stock Value = Expected Sales Value for the Month × Expected Stock to
Sales Ratio for the Month
Example 7.7. Calculation of Stock to Sales Ratio and the BOM Stock Value
A departmental store achieved an average sales turnover of Rs 10 lacs per month
with a BOM stock value of Rs 16 lacs during a summer season. Now it wants to
decide the BOM stock value for the summer season in the coming period with an
expected sale per month of Rs 15 lacs. What should be the BOM stock to be
maintained?
Solution
Stock to Sales ratio achieved in the earlier season = BOM stock ÷ Sales for the month
= Rs 16 ÷ Rs 10 = 1.6
Expected BOM stock required for the next season = Expected sales for the month ×
stock to sales ratio for the previous season
= Rs 15 lacs × 1.6 = Rs 24 lacs
Calculate the purchases for the months of September, October and November.
Solution
Months Purchase value = sales + Reduction + EOM stock – Purchase
BOM stock value
September Rs 200000 + Rs 30000 + Rs 450000 – Rs 400000 Rs 280000
October Rs 225000 + Rs 34000 + Rs 350000 – Rs 450000 Rs 159000
November Rs 175000 + Rs 26000 + Rs 500000 – Rs 350000 Rs 351000
The purchase value at retail differs every month as per the planned sales, reduction
value, and the EOM and BOM stock figures.
Planning purchases at the cost value: Now the calculation of purchases at cost
value is basically a conversion of retail value of purchase to cost value. For
converting the retail value to cost value, we need to first determine the initial mark-up
per cent planned for the given season. This is done because for converting the retail
value to the cost value we have to use the following formula as discussed in the
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earlier unit.
Preparing a
Planned Purchases at Cost Value = Planned Purchases at Retail Value × Merchandise Plan
(1 – Initial Mark-Up % Planned)
So if we have to convert the retail purchases in the previous example to cost value,
the working will look as follows:
Suppose the initial mark-up planned for the season is 40 per cent, then the purchase
at the cost value will be as follows:
Thus, with the calculation of purchases at the cost value, we reach the final stage of
the merchandise plan. By knowing the planned cost value of the purchases at retail
value, the team is able to know the investment they will need to make into their
monthly purchases planned.
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Buying and
Merchandising-II 5. Which of the following statements are True or False?
i) Merchandise plan reflects the target objectives of a retail store.
ii) Economic environment is an important internal factor for preparing the
merchandise plan.
iii) The percentage trend is derived from the trend of the previous year in
the same season.
iv) A category doing well has low sales to stock ratio.
v) Basic stock is the quantity that is maintained all the time in the store
irrespective of the level of sales.
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Preparing a
7.8 KEY WORDS Merchandise Plan
Activity
Study the basis of the merchandise plan of a departmental store and analyse how
successful is it?
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