Professional Documents
Culture Documents
0.35
0.30
Probability
0.25
0.20
0.15
Number of Girls
These are good checks for you to use after you have computed a
discrete probability distribution! The “sums to 1” check will often
find a calculation error!
1 1 1
X P( X ) 0 1 2 1
4 2 4
X P(X )
2 X 2 P(X) 2
2 [ X 2 P( X )] 2
[ X P( X )] 1 2 2
2 1 2 1 2 1 3 1
0 1 2 1 1
4 2 4 2 2
1
0.707 2
2
E(X ) X P(X )
The person will either win or lose. If they win which will happen
with probability 1/1000, they have gained $5000-$10. If they lose,
they have lost $10.
1 999
EX $4990 ($10) $5
1000 1000
E(X) =
B – Binary outcomes
I – Independent outcomes
Examples:
5! = 5*4*3*2*1 = 120
8! =
5! = 5*4=20
3!
25! =
We have a Binomial experiment here since with each guess she will
either be right (success) or wrong (failure). If she does not have ESP,
then the probability of a correct guess is 1/5. Hence, we would like to
know P(X=4) given we have a Binomial distribution with n=8 and p=1/5.
4 8 4
8! 1 4
P( X 4) 0.0459
4!8! 5 5
np
2
npq npq
np 2 npq npq
10 0.25 10 0.25 0.75 1.875
2.5 1.875 1.369