Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Key Words: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), Efficient Operation, Value Added Efficiency, Relative
Key Words: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), Efficient Operation, Value Added Efficiency, Relative
P. Raman, The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), New Delhi, India
T. Nambirajan, Department of Management Studies, Pondicherry University, Puducherry, India
ABSTRACT
With rapid development of technology and life style, the entire world faces challenge to meet the energy
demand. Increase in fossil fuel price adds to the problem. The present work focuses on alternative
solution to tackle the challenging problems of electrical energy production to meet the total demand. The
existing electric power scenario of India is discussed in detail. Biomass energy contribution to produce
electricity is discussed in detail. India having agricultural activity as a major component, agro residues
(like rice husk, ground nut shell, coconut shell, mustard stalk, cotton stalk etc.) are considered to replace
the fossil fuel used for power generation. State wise electric power demand-supply gap is discussed in
detail. Present work focuses on detailed economics of various options of power generation and the need
for biomass power generation plants. Fossil fuels are available in one place and can be easily collected
and transported, whereas agro residues are available in wide geographical region. That has to be
collected and processed to make them into usable form. A business model is proposed in the paper for
sustainable establishment of biomass power plant using DEA. The purpose of designing the business
model is to manage the demand – supply of electric power.
Key words: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), Efficient operation, Value added efficiency, Relative
efficiency, Efficiency frontier rand Biomass power
1. INTRODUCTION
The entire world is undergoing a transformation change in technology, product and life style. These
changes demand a lot of energy input, which is beyond affordability of an individual, Nation and
Worldwide. With the increase in energy demand, the fossil fuel become highly expensive and its
availability are also limited. At this situation, there is a need to address the problem and work on finding
solutions to it. Electricity is one of the secondary energy sources, which is primarily produced using fossil
fuel like coal, natural gas, diesel etc. In this study, the problem and possible solutions are discussed with
reference to Indian context. According to the Ministry of Power, the total installed capacity of the power
plants in India is 1, 52,148 MW. Under this circumstance, there is a demand-supply gap of 100000MW.
According to Ministry of Power, there is a plan to bridge this gap by 2012. Almost all the states in India
have power shortage problem up to 18%. Ministry of Power, Government of India is taking several
measures to bridge the gap. Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) achieved 14,914 MW of
power generated using renewable energy power plants. However, the available total renewable power
potential is 84,776 MW. Present status of power generation system and biomass power plants are
discussed in the following sections. Economics of various sources of power production is compared with
“Data Envelope Analysis” (DEA). A businessl model is developed for frontier analysis of various types of
plants used for production and distribution of Electricity.
iv. North Eastern region consisting of 7 states and Union Territories with a total power supply of 7713
million units.
As said earlier, the power requirement is increasing with the increase in development activities of the
country. To maintain the growth rate of GDP, it becomes essential to provide power to the industrial and
commercial sector along with their growing need. The demand-supply gap is shown in Table 2. The
power supply has doubled. However the shortage level is always remaining around 12%. This indicates
that there is a need to identify alternative power generation source to meet the growing demand. The
existing combination of resources and their contribution for power generation is given in Table 3. It may
be noted that majority of the power is (about 54.2%) being produced from coal and 27.5% is produced by
hydro. There is a possibility of changing this ratio by focusing on electric power generation using biomass.
The electric power generation using biomass is a future source of energy.
Reduction in fossil fuel consumption and looking for alternative solution becomes essential based on
three major reasons which are given below:
Biomass power plants are considered as a more suitable option for places, where agricultural residues
are available. Wind turbines are site specific to those locations where wind speed is sufficient enough to
generate reasonable electric power. Biomass power plant can be operated at any time to meet the power
requirement but wind mills operate only during the season when sufficient wind flows with reasonable
speed. Thus the capacity utilization of a wind mill will be much lower than the biomass power plants of
equal capacity. To promote RE power plants, power purchase policy exists in the country as per the
Electrical Act 1983. The different power purchase rate provided by Tamil Nadu Government is given in
Figure 1. In Figure 1, Solar PV represents the solar Photo voltaic.
Biomass fuel is geographically scattered. It is available only on a particular season depending upon the
harvesting time of the crop. Agricultural residues available in India are given in Table 5. The biomass
available is initially harvested, and then transported to fuel processing factories, which is situated near
biomass power plants. The processed biomass is stored in warehouse and supplied to the biomass
power plants at the right quality, at the right quantity and at the right time (David Simichi-Levi, 2008).
Supply chain components of biomass power plant are shown in Figure 2.
where `s’ represents the individual state selected for estimation of biomass potential
(Here ‘s’ varies from 1 to 35)
`A’ represents the total area of cultivation of a crop residue (in the State‘s’)
`r’ represents the type of the crop residue and `i’ represents the area of cultivation of that
particular crop. Here ‘i’ and ‘r’ varies from 1 to 7.
`Nj’ represents number of crop cultivated each year, corresponding to the crop ‘Cr’. Here j
varies from 1 to 4 depending upon the type of crop.
Case (ii)
In case of crop yields of the State/UT is known, then the biomass potential BP can be estimated using the
Equation 2.
where `Ci’ represents the yield of the crop `i’ and `Wr’ represents the weight ratio of crop residue to crop
yield for a given crop `i’.
`Nj’ represents number of crop cultivated each year (as in Equation 1)
As agriculture is one of the major growing industrial sectors in India, there is a large scope to convert the
agricultural residues (Biomass) available into electrical power to meet our growing electricity demand.
Different crops and biomass availability is shown in Table 5. Those residues suitable for power production
are considered as potential sources (Pallav Prohit, 2006). Residues like saw dust from Wood is not
considered for avoiding deforestation and baggase from sugar cane is not considered because it is
already in used in the sugar factory.
Different crops are cultivated in different seasons. To operate the biomass power plant round the year, it
is important to harvest and store the biomass available in different seasons. A suitable warehouse needs
to be designed and constructed to store the biomass and also to protect the biomass from wind and rain.
Area required for the warehouse of a given location can be written as:
Where `R’ is the weight of the crop residues (in tones), for a given type of crop ‘i’, `ρ’ is the bulk density of
the crop residue (in tones/m3).
` ’ is the height of the biomass storage (in meter). Here ‘h’ can vary from 4 to 6 meter
depending upon the equipment used for raw material (biomass) handling.
1.5 kg of biomass will be used as raw material to generate one unit of electricity (one kilo watt hour, i.e. 1
kWh). Considering this biomass to electricity conversion ratio, the potential for electricity generation can
be written as:
About 8000Biomass Power Plants (BPP) are necessary in order to convert the available biomass residue
which is shown in Table 5. The capacity of the biomass power plants will be of 1 Mega Watt (1MW) each.
The model shown in Figure 2 will be used to produce7.2 Million units of Electricity (per year) from 10800
tonnes of biomass. This electric power generated will be subsequently distributed to the respective user
sector as shown in Figure 2. A detailed business model is worked out for establishment of each Biomass
Power Plant.
Fixed cost involved for establishing a Biomass Power Plant can be written as a function of costs involved
as shown below:
FC f ( Ei , C j )
(6)
Where ‘FC’ represents fixed cost
‘Ei’ represents type of equipments, where ‘i’ varies from 1 to n, here n represents different types of
equipments. In this case,
‘E1’ represents cost of equipment for collection & processing of biomass
‘E2’ represents cost of equipments for production of Syngas
‘E3’ represents cost of equipment for production of electricity and
‘E4’ represents cost of equipment for distribution of Electricity
‘Cj’ represents cost of civil works where ‘j’ varies from 1 to m, where m represents total number of
civil works. In this case,
‘C1’ represents Biomass processing shed
‘C2’ represents Biomass storage shed
‘C3’ represents Syngas production building
‘C4’ represents Biomass Power Plant shed
‘C5’ represents buildings for Electricity distribution equipments
VC f ( Ri , M j , Pk , Lm )
(8)
The above relations of four variables shown in Equation 8 can be written as follows in order to compute
the total variable cost incurred in one Syngas production and bottling unit.
7 2 3 4
VC j k l Pl Lm (9)
j 1 k 1 l 1 m 1
where, ‘VC’ represents the variable cost incurred
‘j’ varies from 1 to m (in this case ‘j’ varies from 1 to 7)
‘j’ represents the cost of biomass corresponding to ‘j’
‘βk’ represents cost of manpower corresponding to ‘k’
‘Pl’ represents electric power consumed for particular process in production of Electricity, where ‘l’
varies from 1 to 3 as shown in Figure.5
‘l’ represents different process of Electricity production and distribution
l represents cost of electricity consumed corresponding to Pl
The following are the deferent process involved in electricity production using Biomass Power Plant:
(i) Raw material processing is represented by (l=1)
(ii) Syngas production is represented by (l=2)
(iii) Electricity production is represented by (l=3)
‘γ’ represents the cost of electricity per unit
The following are the different activities of Electricity production using Biomass Power Plant:
(i) Transportation of biomass, from collection center to warehouse located, near Biomass
Power Plant (m=1)
(ii) Biomass Storage activity in the warehouse located in the Syngas production unit (m=2)
(iii) Electricity generation activity in the Biomass Power Plant near the warehouse (m=3) and
(iv) Electricity distribution from Biomass Power Plant to the user sectors as shown in Figure2
(m=4)
PC2
PC1
BC1 BC2
Figure 3 Profile of the Electricity generation cost versus the biomass cost
The sensitivity ratio of the biomass cost to the Electricity generation cost can be computed using the
following equation:
PC PC1 BC2 BC1
SR 2 (16)
PC1 BC1
Where, ‘SR’ is the sensitivity ratio of the biomass cost per Kg to the Electricity generation cost ($ per unit)
‘PC2’ is the Electricity generation cost per unit when the biomass (Raw material) cost is
‘BC2’ ($ per kilo gram)
‘PC1’ is the Electricity generation cost ($ per unit) when the biomass (Raw material) cost is
‘BC1’ ($per kilo gram)
From Table 6, it would be noted that the biomass power plant needs about $.800. per kilowatt of
installation capacity. That is $ 800000 per Mega Watt of installed capacity. To minimize the transportation
cost, it is advisable to install smaller plant at different places in line with “Decentralized and Distributed
power Generation” (DDG) concept. One MW power plant can generate 7.2 Million units of electric power
per year.Biomass cost as $ .04 per Kg (which includes cost of raw material harvesting, transportation,
cost of processing and cost of storage). Various cost components are shown in Table 6. Power
generation cost per unit of electricity from biomass power plant works out to be $ .06, with the selling
price of .09 $ per unit; one MW biomass power plant can make a profit of .23 million $ per year. Thus the
payback period for capital investment works out to be about 4 years. “Profit to Cost Ratio” in case of
“Biomass Power Plant” is 0.72.
DEA, is a methodology based upon an interesting application of linear programming. DEA is originally
developed for assessing the relative performance of a set of firms (decision making units – DMU) that use
a variety of identical inputs to produce a variety of identical outputs. In DEA, instead of arriving at the
value added efficiency, a second level efficiency of Relative efficiency is calculated having the best
performing plant as base line. That is the best performing power plant have a relative efficiency of 100%.
The best performing plant which is having the assigned value of 100% Relative efficiency is also used to
arrive at several operating decision acts as Decision Making Unit (DMU) (Ramanathan R, 2009). Various
equations worked out for electrical power production and distribution units are given below:
8.1 Value added efficiency in power production plant can be written as:
(18)
where Ev represents value added efficiency,
Mu represents electrical power generated in Million units per annum
TC represents total cost ( FC+ VC)
Sp is selling cost of power in $ per unit
Some of plants operated at loss for deferent reasons (for example Diesel, Solar thermal and photovoltaic
power plants are operated at high cost of power generation to meet several requirements which is varying
from place to place). In such a situation, a weighted efficiency is calculated to eliminate negative factors.
The weighted value added efficiency is written as given below:
(19)
(20)
Value added by capital investment with respect to “Relative Efficiency” is obtained by using the following
formula:
Ecap=Er/FC (21)
and
Value added by Electric power production cost with respect to “Relative Efficiency” is obtained using the
following formula:
In this case, TVARE for Coal, Natural gas and Wind mill are higher than TVARE corresponding to other
Electric power production plants (Biomass, Micro turbine, Diesel power, Fuel cell, PV and Solar Thermal).
To obtain the “Efficiency Frontier line”, authors join points B and C corresponding to Coal, Natural gas
and Windmill in the Data Envelopment Analysis diagram (DEA). Authors draw horizontal line from the
point B(referring Coal and Natural Gas) upto Y-axis. Similarly a vertical line is drawn from the point C
(referring Wind mill) upto X- axis. These points are named as A and D. The line ABCD is the “Efficiency
Frontier” line. Any point closer to ABCD can be considered as high performing “Efficient Production
Plant”.
Solar thermal power plant has the lowest value of Ecap when compared to other power production plants.
Solar thermal power plant can be identified by the point Q and the origin of (0, 0) as P. P and Q are joined
and the line PQ is extended upto Efficiency Frontier line (ABCD). The intersection point of the extended
line PQ with line CD is named as R. Since PQR is the bottom most line in the DEA diagram, Solar
Thermal power plant is comparatively less in “Performance Efficiency”.
To obtain the region of Data Envelopment for analysis of performance level, authors draw a parallel line
to X-axis starting from Q and draw another parallel line to Y-axis starting from Q upto the Efficiency
Frontier line (ABCD). The intersection points of these lines on ABCD can be named as F and E. QEBCF
represents the Data Envelopment for Analysis (DEA).
Figure 4 DEA- Diagram showing the Efficiency Frontiers and Efficient operating zone
Ap= Ct x U x 8760 (24)
Where, Ap is the total electrical power produced in unite of kWh per year.
Ct represents the installed capacity of the plant in kW
U represents the Capacity utility factor of the plant over the period of one year (that is 8760 hours) is
computed using the above model developed for Electric power production and distribution plants. The
installed capacity per kWh and its annual production based on Capital utility factor were calculated.
Results of eight types of power plants are given in Table 7.
Till date, the shortage of electricity power demand is not met in india. It is found that there is always a gap
of 11 % to 18% of power demand-supply level. To meet the demand of power, Biomass is the major
promising source of energy. The production cost of Biomass power and its selling cost indicates a
brighter future for Biomass power plants. Detailed Economical analysis model was worked out using DEA
concept to analyze the performance of several plants with reference to the decision making unit DMU. It
may be noted that Fossil and wind power comes on the boundary of the “Efficiency Frontier”. “Bio mass
power plant” is closer to the efficiency frontier line.
REFERENCES:
Pallav Prohit et.al. “Energetic of coal substitution by briquettes of agricultural residues”. Energy, 31 (2006)
1321-1331.
Ramanathan, R. “Data Envelopment Analysis and an Application of
for Environmental Policy in the UK”. Paper presented in XIII Annual Conference of the Society of
Operations Management – OM13 (ACSOM2009 – OM13)” IIT Chennai, India, 2009
A report “Cumulative achievements as on 31.07.09” By Ministry of New and Renewable Energy
Government of India- 2009
David Simichi- Levi, et al., Designing and Managing the Supply Chain, TATA McGraw- Hill Publishing
Company Limited, 2008
http://www.cea.nic.in/power_sec_reports/executive_summary/2008_04/25-26.pdf
http://www.powermin.nic.in/JSP_SERVLETS/internal.jsp. As on August 31,2009.
Statistical information, www.Indiastat.com
AUTHOR PFILES:
P. Raman, is working as fellow in The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), New Delhi, India.
His is pursuing Doctoral program in Pondicherry University, India. His interests area of research are New
product design, Supply Chain Management and Green Technology.
Dr. T. Nambirajan earned his Ph.D at Pondicherry University in 2001, He is currenly Reader in
Operations & Systems at Department of Management Studies, School of Management, Pondicherry
University, India. His research areas are Production & Operations Management, Supply Chain
Management, Quality Management and Management Information Systems. He has published several
research articles in National and Intrernational Journals to his credits.