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Contents
Articles
T
oday there is much ado about water – as “water wars” elicits 585,000 hits on Google and
there always has been and always will be. 3,400 on Google Scholar. On Amazon.com there
However, until we actually find ways to are over 850 book citations to “water wars.” Clearly,
apply scientifically-based, truly interdisciplinary there is no shortage of scientists and academics
scholarship that embraces sound community dedicating serious study to water conflicts. Other
engagement, crucial knowledge about our most terms reveal similar levels of Google hits: water
valuable resource may continue to be “lost” or crisis (973,000), water solutions (736,000), water
at least ignored, much as water trickles through a sustainability (73,300), water quantity (477,000)
sieve. We need a comprehensive, inclusive approach and water quality (15.4 million). A similar search
to solve the challenges of the water environment. on Google Scholar reveals thousands of titles,
Of course this is not a new argument. Thousands articles and reports outlining the problems facing
of books, articles, papers and technical reports societies around the world.
have been written describing water problems Most of this research aims to improve our
from around the world, outlining fundamental understanding of the water ecosystem; when
causes, and calling for changes in the way we viewed from a resource perspective, this is of
approach problem solving. Yet still we encounter course very much a geographic issue, one that
severe crises – shortages of water for drinking, presents both spatial and temporal challenges to
agriculture and industry, catastrophic floods, society. The water resource manager must ensure
contamination and pollution of water sources, and that the right amount of water, of a suitable quality,
outbreaks of water-related health issues such as reaches the desired place at the appropriate time.
cholera, schistosomiasis, and typhoid. The sieve So the manager’s challenge is to balance supply
that has made such endeavors profitless, it seems, and demand in an ever-changing natural and social
is a human one, a lack of will and commitment on environment, with a constantly-moving target.
many different levels. For all intents and purposes, In this respect, the expertise of hydrologists,
we understand many of the issues involved; we fluvial geomorphologists and geo-hydrologists,
have “merely” failed to implement appropriate is fundamental to any scientific modeling of the
solutions. water world. At the same time, though, we must
Even a cursory look at the literature on water recognize the overwhelming significance of the
reveals a vast scholarship originating from diverse human environment and the powerful social,
disciplines and applying multiple methodologies. economic, and political forces that create and
The term “water wars” is used ubiquitously to ultimately determine the directions of the water
describe the challenges facing many societies crisis. Obviously this is no easy task. We need
around the globe, from the corporate moves scientifically-based studies of both the natural and
towards water privatization and the recent climate social environments to appreciate the complexity
change issues in Bolivia, to the dam and reservoir of water problems and develop predictive and
systems in India, to the controls over water supply explanatory models. Perhaps more importantly,
encountered in the Middle East and China. Indeed, this must involve interdisciplinary initiatives
that cross traditional academic boundaries to inevitably, an event exceeds the design standards
provide innovative solutions. Social scientists are of the project. The 2005 destruction of so many
an essential part of this. In sum, good science is buildings along the shoreline of the Gulf Coast
required in its broadest sense combining traditional of the United States, from Hurricane Katrina,
natural sciences with qualitative and ethnographic attests to this effect. Once again, in New Orleans
assessments of processes that facilitate or hinder it was those most vulnerable members of society,
water understanding. especially the poor, who suffered the greatest. The
While acknowledging the many global water technological fix of mitigation projects, therefore,
problems, however, we should not dwell only on can bring mixed blessings, and many scientists have
doom and gloom. There have been and continue to called for a comprehensive planning approach,
be many innovative ideas and practical initiatives which includes both structural and non-structural
that have essentially “solved” certain water measures for all water projects, to overcome some
problems and enhanced the human experience. of these difficulties.
Since humans first began cultivation, water has Thus “water wars” often stem from such projects
been harnessed to make life possible; the irrigation with their subsequent environmental or societal
projects of Mesopotamia, the grand aqueducts of problems. These “solutions” may intensify unrest
ancient Rome, and the modern protective dykes and bring high costs to many individuals while
of The Netherlands immediately come to mind. In benefiting just a few. One consideration, therefore,
fact, engineering structures such as dams to ensure is how to engender a more positive and inclusive
water supply and levees to control flooding, water response to water challenges that is fair and just. As
treatment plants and sewage control systems, noted, we have a considerable academic knowledge
agricultural irrigation systems and more, have base; it is appropriate implementation and follow-
all brought prosperity to people across time and through that is often missing.
space. Perhaps the real question, then, is how to harness
We also know that some projects have not only the political will to undertake action,
exacerbated problems. The High Aswan Dam in but also the will of the people to get involved.
Egypt, the Three Gorges dam in China, and the The cyber-technology discussed by Smith in the
dams of India, for example, have raised all sorts concluding chapter, may hold one key. Traditional
of questions about environmental degradation and media sources, such as newspapers and television,
social inequalities. Many scholars have justifiably through which many once obtained their views of
argued that these constitute major environmental the world, have now been joined and challenged
catastrophes and have aggravated societal by the “participatory media.” Blogs, “citizen
inequalities. Privatization of water supplies, a journalism,” social networking sites, and the
more recent global trend, has also led to social, capacity to transmit video and information almost
economic, and political pressures that inevitably instantaneously over the Internet, have transformed
fall heavily on the most vulnerable. It is worth the global information environment. One need
noting that, while many nations claim the rights to only think of the vital role of digital technology
the water within their domains, few include access in mobilizing the recent political protests in Iran.
to clean, potable water among the basic rights Indeed, this new media environment has facilitated
of citizens or have such access written into their activism world-wide, focused around fair trade,
constitutions. climate change, and any number of both right- and
Furthermore, completed water projects may left-wing political movements. This technology
generate a false sense of security, creating the could also bring attention to local and global water
perception that the drought, flood, or other water issues, leading to mobilization and the invigoration
crisis has been “solved.” The outcome may be of participatory citizenship. Citizen movements
unwise behavior, such as increased development that insist on change go well beyond the academy
in hazardous areas. In the case of flooding, levees – but it is the duty of academics to make their
may lead to construction on the floodplain, extensive knowledge known, and therefore useful.
which results in catastrophic losses when, almost In conclusion, there is indeed much ado about
water, as there should be. And much is known Author Bio and Contact Information
about all the critical issues around this vital
resource. The challenge is to connect knowledge Graham A. Tobin Ph.D., University of Strathclyde,
with action – action that is socially just, is a Professor in the Department of Geography at the
University of South Florida specializing in natural
environmentally sustainable, and yet cost-effective.
hazards and water resources. He also serves as Associate
Thus, I argue that water issues must be addressed Vice President for Academic Affairs in the Office of
comprehensively through sound interdisciplinary the Provost with responsibility for Strategic Planning,
studies, while the key to effective application may Compact Planning, and Integrated Interdisciplinary
be action-based research promoted through grass- Initiatives. He can be contacted at: Graham A. Tobin,
roots involvement. We need, then, to generate Office of the Provost, 4202 East Fowler Ave (ADM
a genuine political will, as well as citizens’ 226), Tampa FL. 33620 or gtobin@acad.usf.edu. (http://
commitments to implement policies that support www.acad.usf.edu/Office/Strategic-Planning/).
healthy, sustainable communities – otherwise, the
vast array of scientific studies may just seep though
the sieve of political wrangling.
This volume addresses some of these issues,
exploring how geographically-based water research
will evolve over the next 20 years. It is not a
definitive text by any means, but the authors apply
diverse theoretical and methodological approaches
to a range of water concerns. Issues associated
with the natural environment, specifically hydro-
climatology, are examined by Hirschboek; Mackay
and Band look at eco-hydrological research, while
James advocates for an integrated approach to
water quality. Problems of water in agriculture
are examined by Harrington, energy by Wang
and natural hazards by Montz. Lant takes an
ecological economic approach to water resources
and Swyngedouw looks at the political economy.
Decision-making and disciplinary issues are the
focus of work by Rajagopal and Smith respectively,
while Wescoat and Wolf both take international
perspectives. Han provides an overview through
technology, stressing the significance of geo-
graphical information systems. Overall, this is an
eclectic collection of papers on water by experts in
their respective fields. As with all such exercises
in prognosticating, it will be interesting to see how
these forecasts turn out.
End Note
1. With apologies to William Shakespeare: The full
quote comes from Much Ado About Nothing,
Act Five, Scene 1 with Leonato explaining to
Antonio, “I pray thee cease thy counsel, which
falls into mine ears as profitless as water in a
sieve.”
Stationarity is dead (Milly et al. 2008). this record – either in the past or in years to come.
T
his provocative statement issued recently Those who study hydroclimatic processes as they
in Science directly challenges the basic vary over long time periods are quick to point out
assumption underlying the way surface that in the physical world, the means and variances
water resources in much of the developed world of hydroclimatic variables do indeed change over
have been managed for decades. Milly et al. time due to climate variability, geomorphic change,
(2008) claim that anthropogenically-induced land use alterations, and a variety of other factors.
climate change is the reason that stationarity has Hence for such researchers “stationarity has
died and “cannot be revived.” Although they always been dead.” Yet the stationarity assumption
acknowledge that the validity of the assumption has prevailed in water resources research, practical
has been questioned regularly in the past, Milly applications, and engineering design because of
et al. highlight a pressing need to address this its operational utility and the lack of alternative
issue due to a convergence of observations and methods to address the mathematical complexity
research findings that demonstrates the urgency of modeling nonstationary processes. If, as Milly
of the influence of climate change and variability et al. propose, we have come to the end of an era of
on surface water processes. Specifically, they note natural hydroclimatic change and variability that
that projected changes in future runoff “are large is “sufficiently small to allow stationarity-based
enough to push hydroclimate beyond the range of design,” a critical research need in upcoming
historical behaviors” (p 573). With this imperative decades will be to find innovative ways to grapple
in mind, in this essay, after first addressing the call with analyzing, managing, and adapting to the
to move beyond the stationarity assumption, I water resources of a post-stationary world.
present a series of questions and suggestions on how
hydroclimatic research might be integrated into a Post-Stationary Hydroclimatology
future water resources agenda for geographers that and Geographic Research
addresses a “post-stationary” world, especially
The subfield of hydroclimatology has long
with respect to hydrologic extremes.
been an active area of research for water resource
Beyond Stationarity geographers (see Mather 1991, Shelton 2009).
Studies of surface water processes from a climatic,
When a hydroclimatic time series is said to be geomorphic, biogeographic, and cryosphere-based
stationary, its statistical properties (e.g., mean, approach have engaged physical geographers for
variance, skewness, etc.) are all assumed to be decades, as have studies of water resources from the
constant over time. In practice this means that the perspective of policy, risk, and culture. A perusal
probabilities derived from, say, a time series of of recent professional meeting presentations and
annual stream flows or instantaneous flood peaks published work by geographers reveals ongoing
from a gauged record will be reliable estimators efforts that cover a wide array of hydroclimatic
of the variability of those processes outside of and water-related research topics including:
thereby offering an expanded range of • At the watershed scale, how can new,
possible scenarios for future projections? bi-directional, translational science
How can the issue of nonstationarity be approaches be used to move hydroclimatic
addressed when paleo-data are appended research “from the laboratory into the field”
to gauged data to produce long time-series? to address stakeholder and watershed-
How can extreme-value statistics derived based needs, concomitant with moving the
from these long time-series be augmented field experience of water managers “from
with climate information and used in the watershed to the laboratory.”
innovative ways to reduce uncertainties in • At the regional scale, what methods, data
the future? sets, and cross-disciplinary approaches will
• Which global geographic regions are most effectively communicate complex
currently most vulnerable to floods and climate-sensitive issues of concern to water
droughts and will this vulnerability resource decision-makers, emergency
increase or decrease as climate changes? managers, and policy planners (e.g.,
Which additional regions might begin to Jacobs et al. 2005)? What will comprise
experience extreme events more often in functional data sets in various global
response to latitudinally shifting extra- scenarios, and how can they be shared?
tropical or tropical storm tracks? Which • How can an integrated geographic
regions are most at risk or least resilient understanding of the biogeophysical and
to flooding and inundation from rising socio-economic attributes of watersheds
sea level, including small islands where and larger areas be applied toward the
local changes may be harbingers of building of multiple scenarios for assessing
more widespread, global impacts? Will the impacts of future climate and adapting
local communities need to rezone their to it?
floodplains to become more resilient to
• Across all scales, what are the complex
an uncertain hydroclimate and, if so, what
and interacting water-related mechanisms
might the floodplain maps of the future
and processes that result in the emergence,
look like?
sustainability, or collapse of socio-
Integrated Assessments ecological systems (Costanza et al. 2007)?
How can this be integrated into our
• Milly et al. note that “In a nonstationary
models, while recalling that culture itself
world, continuity of observation is
has always been dynamic and implicitly
critical” (p 574). How will lengthy and
nonstationary?
continuous observing networks be
maintained, especially when resources to Research Needs for the Future
do so are limited in many of the world’s
most climatically sensitive regions? To address these questions, realigned priorities,
As advances in remote sensing allow new approaches, and improved tools and data sets
increasingly sophisticated observations will become increasingly important (e.g., Gupta
over broad areas of the globe at multiple 2000, Logan and Helsabeck 2009) and innovative
scales (National Research Council 2008), statistical techniques for modeling nonstationary
how can persons and networks on the behaviors in hydroclimatic processes will be
ground be integrated into data collection required (Griffis and Stedinger 2007, Milly et
to address validation? In particular, al. 2008). Downscaling methods will need to
how might the engagement of “citizen be advanced and the limitations, accuracy, and
scientists” aid in observing and monitoring precision of their results clearly communicated,
the effects of hydroclimate change? (See, especially at the watershed scale (Pulwarty 2003).
for example the USA National Phenology “Scaling up” from local data and the identification
Network http://www.usanpn.org/). of process-based linkages between local stream flow
and regional and global circulation, will become as and demand, dynamic human geographic data
important as scaling down “from globally forced and scenario-driven atmospheric circulations of
regional models” (Pulwarty 2003, Hirschboeck changing climate will provide another important
2003). Innovations will be needed in the quest avenue of research.
to define teleconnections and linkages between Effective cross-disciplinary communication
regional variations in stream flow, snow pack, or about water issues that can capture all of the
drought and indices of large-scale atmospheric contingencies described above will require a
and oceanic circulation patterns (see McCabe and new generation of visualizations for integrated
Dettinger 2002, McCabe et al. 2004, Kingston et assessments, planning, adaptation, and creative
al. 2006, Redmond and Koch 1991). This latter outreach across diverse societies and cultures.
effort is critical for addressing nonstationarity by New maps and other visualizations that can handle
obtaining a better understanding of low-frequency multiple dimensions of complexity – including
variations in hydroclimatic time series. Another nonstationarity and nonlinearity – will also be
more elusive goal, and one of great importance, needed to generate and articulate theories about the
is that of reliable long-term climate forecasts. interacting water-related mechanisms and processes
These would be issued for use in water resource that result in the emergence, sustainability, or
management by a future National Climate Service collapse of geophysical, ecological, and socio-
(see Miles et al. 2006). For any of the approaches economic systems, both regionally and globally.
noted above, developing problem-specific and Water resources geography’s traditional
regionally tailored atmospheric circulation indices strengths in hydroclimatology and surface water
may prove especially useful. processes at the watershed and regional scale have
A new awareness among water managers about already laid an excellent foundation for a vibrant
the impact of climatic change on water supplies research agenda for the next 20 years, but the post-
has highlighted a need for expanded data sets stationary future of hydroclimatology will require
that capture a much wider range of hydroclimatic real innovation in research approaches. It will be
and streamflow variability – and their driving especially important for geographers to continue to
mechanisms – than is available in systematically carve out unique niches and areas of expertise within
gauged records. Such long-period records will be the vast climate-change research arena. Climate-
essential for demand-side analyses, as well as for based initiatives that address water resources in the
future scenario modeling. Researchers are already context of meteorological and climatic hazards and
active in developing these data sets for use in water human-environment interactions such as Weather
management operations and decision-making via and Society – Integrated Studies (WAS*IS), http://
stochastic model runs, compilation of historical www.sip.ucar.edu/wasis/, and the National Oceanic
meteorological and climatic records (e.g., Mock and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA)
2003), reconstructing long records of precipitation, Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessment
drought and stream flow using tree rings (e.g., program (RISA), http://www.climate.noaa.gov/
MacDonald 2007, Woodhouse and Lukas 2006, cpo_pa/risa/, are excellent forums in which to
Woodhouse et al. 2006), and defining paleo-stage foster stakeholder interactions and opportunities
indicators of past extreme floods (see House et for translational science (e.g., Bales et al. 2004).
al. 2002). Paleo-data studies can also address the At the same time, there are many “basic science”
role of extreme events in shaping past human- and theoretical research questions in need of
environmental interactions (e.g., Magilligan and fresh and creative re-thinking, ranging from how
Goldstein 2001, Therrell et al. 2004). to assign probabilities to a nonstationary stream
As more managers recognize the need for a flow time series, to how to model nonlinearities
systematic integration of long-term data into their in hydroclimatic processes, to how to accomplish
water management operations for informing water long-range water resource planning when faced
allocation, the next 20 years should be a fruitful with the specter of abrupt hydroclimatic change
field for both modelers and paleo-researchers. In – or even “climate surprises” (Overpeck 1996).
addition, models that integrate surface hydrology It is particularly important to note that the
House, P. K., R. H. Webb, V. R. Baker and D. Levish Hirsch, Z. W. Kundzewicz, D. P. Lettenmaier and R.
(eds.). 2002. Ancient Floods, Modern Hazards: J.Stouffer. 2008. Stationarity is dead: Whither water
Principles and Applications of Paleoflood Hydrology. management? Science 319:573-574.
American Geophysical Union Water Science and
Application 5. 385 pp. Mock, C. 2003. Tropical Cyclone Reconstructions from
Documentary Records: Examples for South Carolina,
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) United States. Pages 121-148 in R.J. Murnane and
Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). 2007. Climate Kam-biu Liu (eds.) Hurricanes and Typhoons Past,
Change 2007: The Physical Basis. http://ipcc-wg1. Present, and Future. Columbia University Press:
ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html. New York.
Jacobs, K. L., G. M. Garfin and B. J. Morehouse. National Research Council. 2008. Integrating Multiscale
2005. Climate Science and Drought Planning: The Observations of U.S. Waters. National Academies
Arizona Experience, Journal of the American Water Press: Washington D.C.
Resources Association 41: 437-445.
Overpeck, J. T. 1996. Warm Climate Surprises. Science
Kingston, D. G., D. M. Lawler and G. R. McGregor. 271: 1820-1821.
2006. Linkages between atmospheric circulation,
climate and streamflow in the northern North Pulwarty, R. S., Jr. 2003. Climate and water in the west:
Atlantic: research prospects. Progress in Physical science information and decision-making. Journal
Geography 30: 143-174. of Contemporary Water Research and Education,
formerly Water Resources Update 124: 4-12.
Logan, W. S. and L. J. Helsabeck. 2009. Research and
Applications Needs in Flood Hydrology Science, Redmond, K. T. and R. W. Koch. 1991. Surface climate
National Academies Press: Washington D.C. and streamflow variability in the western United
States and their relationship to large-scale circulation
MacDonald, G. M. 2007. Severe and sustained drought in indices. Water Resources Research 27: 2381-2399.
southern California and the West: Present conditions
and insights from the past on causes and impacts. Shelton, M. I. 2009. Hydroclimatology, Perspectives
Quaternary International 173-174: 87-100. and Applications. Cambridge University Press: New
York.
Magilligan, F. J. and P. S. Goldstein. 2001. El Niño floods
and culture change: A late Holocene flood history for Therrell, M. D., D. W. Stahle, R. Acuna Soto. 2004.
the Rio Moquegua, southern Peru. Geology 29: 431- Aztec drought and the curse of One Rabbit. Bulletin
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1272.
Mather, J. R. 1991. A history of hydroclimatology.
Physical Geography 12: 260-273. Trenberth, K. E., A. Dai, R. M. Rasmussen, and D. B.
Parsons. 2003. The changing character of precipitation.
McCabe G. J., M. D. Dettinger. 2002. Primary modes and Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84:
predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in 1205-1217.
the western United States from teleconnections with
Pacific Ocean climate. Journal of Hydrometeorology Woodhouse, C. A. and J. J. Lukas. 2006. Multi-century
3:13–25. tree-ring reconstructions of Colorado streamflow for
water resource planning. Climatic Change 78: 293-
McCabe G. J., M. A. Palecki, J. L. Betancourt. 2004. 315.
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A
20-year agenda for water resources research water resources research focused too narrowly
will need to dedicate substantial attention to on water quantity, took a short-term view, failed
water quality and assimilate water quality to afford adequate consideration of water quality,
into traditional concerns about water availability and tended to treat water quality in isolation. The
and allocation. Water quality is inseparably study called for a holistic view of water resources
linked to the utility of available water and to the research with more consideration of environmental
viability of social and environmental systems. contaminants and their effects on water quality.
Unfortunately, water quality has received relatively They recommended a broader framework for water
little consideration in water resources research resources research that incorporates water quality
relative to water quantity and has been treated in data acquisition, recognizes legacy pollution, and
isolation of other aspects of water resources. At acknowledges the vulnerability and resilience
the global scale, a water resources research agenda of environmental systems to non-point source
should address the threats that poor water quality pollution loadings.
makes to global water resources and ecological …the legacy of pollution that has already occurred
sustainability and, conversely, the adverse effects must be addressed, in addition to the new sources
that poor environmental management can have on of pollution that are currently going unabated.
water quality. At the local scale, water resources In particular, greater research is required on
research should adopt methods of integrated nonpoint source pollution, which accounts for
watershed management to ensure that water nearly three quarters of the contaminant loading
to surface water and groundwater in the United
quality is included in management and planning.
States… More knowledge is needed about the
At all scales, water resources research must be susceptibility and resilience of terrestrial and
cognizant of the threat that poor water quality aquatic environments to contaminant loadings,
imposes on human health and the quality of life. as the long-term impacts of contaminant
Fundamental changes have taken place in resource accumulation may eventually undermine overall
and environmental management with regards to ecological function. The successful management
global environmental change and sustainability, of water quality in the twenty-first century will
integration of systems and management activities require a more comprehensive understanding of
at the small watershed scale, and the potential for the ways in which the environment processes
ecological damage and threats to public health contaminants, how those processes vary, and
their robustness as contaminant loads grow…
from modern and legacy sources of contamination.
(National Research Council 2001:14-15).
These changes require that water quality be a
central concern incorporated and fully integrated
into a vibrant 20-year water resources research The Context of Global Environmental
agenda. Change and Sustainability
A recent study of water resources research
needed in the U.S. for the coming century (National A 20-year vibrant agenda for water resources
Research Council 2001), concluded that 20th century research should be compatible with rapidly evolving
needs to address global environmental change. be essential to and should adopt a long-term,
Long-range water quality planning should reflect sustainable vision of resources management.
global change initiatives owing to the close ties
between water quality and environmental quality The Context of Integrated Watershed
and ecosystem viability. Rapid population growth Management for Local Water Quality
and the need to increase irrigation to produce
ample food to support this growth, will drive the
Management
need to protect water quality. Projections of global The old adage “think globally but act locally”
agricultural impacts estimate that ~109 hectares of applies to water resources research. At the local
natural ecosystems will be converted to agriculture scale, water quality is controlled by watershed
by 2050 more than doubling eutrophication conditions, so watershed management can be the
of terrestrial, freshwater, and coastal marine first line of defense. A water resources research
ecosystems by nitrogen and phosphorus and similar agenda for the next 20 years should encourage
increases in pesticide use (Tilman et al. 2001). integrated watershed perspectives that consider
Water quality can threaten water supplies systems as integrated and highly inter-dependent
and vice versa. Serious water quality disasters (National Research Council 1999b, U.S.
resulting from poor water management include Environmental Protection Agency 1993, 1996).
the shrinking of the Aral Sea (Micklin 1988), and Similarly, integrated approaches to water resources
mingling of sewage with water supplies beneath management that promote consideration of water
Mexico City (Cisneros-Iturbe and Domínguez- systems as highly inter-related are recommended
Mora 2005, Edmunds et al. 2002, Gonzalez-Moran (United Nations 1992: Section 18.36). No
et al. 1999). The water resources research agenda consensus exists about precise definitions of
should recognize the dangers to water availability integrated watershed management or integrated
imposed by poor water quality and the importance water resources management, but certain goals
of water quantity management to water quality. are implied including interagency coordination,
Sustainability is an essential goal for viable public involvement, consideration of interactions
long-term water-resources planning in general between physical, biological, and social systems,
and is specifically applicable to developing a and spatially distributed methods of characterizing
water quality management agenda for the next 20 these processes. Watershed management does not
years. Sustainability refers to rates and methods necessarily require a centralized watershed program
of resource use that can be maintained for long emphasizing science, planning, a formal public
periods without substantial depletion or damage participatory process, and detailed management
to resources or social and environmental systems. plans. It has been argued that all watersheds are
Sustainable development concepts began to be managed to some degree by a range of governmental
applied globally early in the 1980s as a means and non-governmental agents and that watershed
of protecting life-support systems of the Earth management programs should seek to coordinate
while ensuring human needs (National Research these efforts; that is, watershed management can be
Council 1999a). They were initiated from a social seen as a form of intergovernmental management
and political perspective, gained scientific and (Imperial and Hennessey 2000). Watershed
technological backing as sustainability science management approaches are essential to water
(Clark and Dickson 2003, Kates et al. 2001), quality management because watershed processes
and have now achieved widespread acceptance. – including human and biological interactions
Sustainable development was formally recognized – are translated to the quality of water passing
as a guiding principle for international policy through the watershed by surface and subsurface
formulation at the Rio de Janeiro Earth Summit pathways. The success of watershed approaches,
Conference in 1992. The Rio Declaration includes however, should not be measured solely by overall
27 principles in support of global sustainability environmental outcomes owing to other factors
principles (Quarrie 1995). Water-quality elements controlling environmental change (Born and
of the water resources research agenda will Genskow 2000).
Linkages between watershed management 1993). The Safe Drinking Water Act established
and water quality underlie the rationale for much maximum contaminant loads and other standards for
spatially distributed water quality modeling that drinking water supplies, and the 1986 amendments
simulates pollution-reduction, crop management, (PL 99-339) added three ground water protection
or ecological enhancement to reduce damages programs. As pressure mounts on ground water
associated with sedimentation and contaminant supplies, the 20-year water resources research
releases (Zhang et al. 2009). Moreover, watershed- agenda should include vigilant maintenance of the
based management has been institutionalized by U. S. viability and enforceability of such laws and support
regulatory procedures. The U. S. Environmental the introduction of additional legislation to keep
Protection Agency (EPA) spent approximately apace of new pollutants and pollutant pathways.
$204 million in fiscal year 2006 alone on Section Ground water protections plans should be an
319, Clean Water Act, grants to reduce nonpoint- essential element of watershed management.
source pollution, and much of this effort focused on
watershed-based plans (Hardy and Koontz 2008). Contaminants in Sediments, Soils,
An example of watershed management aimed and Aquifers
primarily at domestic water quality protection is
provided by the Croton watershed, which serves Water quality is driven by exchanges between
water supplies for New York City (National water and its surrounding media. Thus, more needs
Research Council 2000). to be known about the potential toxicity of biologic
Legal justifications for incorporating water and geologic materials in the beds and banks of
quality protection in a U.S. agenda arise from lakes and rivers and in ground water aquifers. Vast
federal legislation. Water quality is directly linked repositories of legacy sediment contain high levels
to congressional acts such as the Clean Water Act of hazardous or toxic materials that may be subject
and Safe Drinking Water Act as well as to broader to remobilization. In the U.S., contamination from
environmental legislation such as the National legacy materials is an important concern; the
Environmental Policy Act and Endangered Species need to remediate hazardous waste sites led to the
Act. The Clean Water Act requires protection of creation of EPA Superfund program (Daley and
the chemical, physical, and biological integrity Layton 2004). Unfortunately, the geochemistry
of the nation’s waters by the EPA. Among other of sediment varies greatly at the local scale with
provisions, the Clean Water Act requires states geology, biology, climate, topography, land-use
to identify problem watersheds and to estimate history, and point-source discharges, so extensive
the maximum sum of point and nonpoint-source sampling, laboratory analyses, and data cataloguing
loadings that these sites can assimilate as total are needed to locate and characterize areas of
maximum daily loads (TMDLs). Technical manuals concern. The EPA established Sediment Quality
to assist with TMDL procedures for nutrients, Guidelines to measure the extent of contamination
sediment, and pathogens review monitoring and and to limit additional contamination (McCauley et
assessment procedures (USEPA 1999a, 1999b, al. 2000). The Guidelines provide a comprehensive
2001). The TMDL program has greatly encouraged catalogue and analysis of sediment geochemistry
watershed planning for protecting water quality in and related biological data in the U.S. (EPA 1998
the U.S. a, b, c). They describe where contaminants reach
Management of ground water quality in the U.S. potentially harmful levels in river, lake, ocean, and
differs from surface water because planning units estuary sediments and the potential for adverse
are not defined by watersheds. Sources of ground effects on human and aquatic life. Volume 1 (EPA
water pollution include landfills, buried tanks, salt 1998a) describes the likelihood of adverse effects
water intrusion, and pesticide applications. In of contaminated sediment on human or ecological
addition to dissolved solids and pathogens, dense systems, Volume 2 (EPA 1998b) provides maps
and light non-aqueous phase liquids (DNAPLs of sampling stations and chemical and biological
and LNAPLs) and pharmaceuticals have been of data summaries for watersheds containing Areas
growing concern to ground water quality (Fetter of Probable Concern, and Volume 3 (EPA 1998c)
identifies likely point-source sediment pollutant consideration of water quality over broad scales of
contributions. The agenda should advocate the time and space and the interactions with ground
maintenance and extension of this database and its water aquifers, legacy river and lake sediment, and
integration with policy. biologic systems. The water quality aspects of the
At all scales, a standardized assessment and agenda must be sustainable and should include
synthesis of sediment quality data is needed to consideration of maintaining and developing a
identify problem areas and allow study of process viable legal system of regulations and incentive
linkages such as aquatic responses and resilience. programs.
This assessment should employ standardized
methods to provide comparable data between Author Bio and Contact Information
studies. It should also include methods that will
L. Allan James, professor of Geography, joined the
reflect the reactivity of substances in sediment
University of South Carolina Geography Department in
with water and aquatic biota. Total digest methods 1988. He earned a Ph.D. in Geography and Geology
can be useful to water quality studies, but future (held jointly, 1988), and masters degrees in Geography
research on contaminant uptake will need to shift (1983) and Water-Resources Management (1981) from
emphasis from total elemental concentrations the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and a BA in
to the solubility and bioavailability of toxic Geography at U.C. Berkeley (1978). His research focuses
substances. The bulk composition of sediments, on fluvial geomorphology, historical sedimentation,
soils, and aquifer materials is usually dominated by flood hydrology, and water resources management. He
elements locked up inside mineral grains and not has published more than 30 refereed journals articles
readily available for uptake. From a water quality and three books and serves on editorial boards of
Geomorphology, the Southeastern Geographer, and
perspective, the toxicity of thin outer coatings on
Royale Geographic Society, Advancing Geography
mineral grains that are actively exchanged with and Geographical Learning book series. He can be
surrounding fluids and micro-organisms may have contacted at Geography Department, USC, Columbia,
greater relevance than total sediment chemistry. SC 29208; E-mail: AJames@sc.edu; Web: http://people.
Concentrations in coatings can be measured by cas.sc.edu/ajames/.
weak acid extractions (Loring and Rantala 1992).
The position of sediment also plays an important References
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T
he purpose of this paper is to offer our view models to deal with such spatial dynamics,
of where ecohydrologic research will be acquiring and managing the data needed to support
going in the next 20 years and suggest how these models, improving geo-visualization of
enabling technologies from hydro-informatics will spatial predictions and errors, and quantifying
support this research. Two decades ago Klemeš uncertainty associated with model structure and
(1986) suggested that the hydrologist’s “efforts parameterization. Another interdisciplinary sub-
expended on the fitting of flood and drought field of hydrology, hydroinformatics, emphasizes
frequency curves would be better spent in acquiring the development of information technology to help
deeper knowledge of climatology, meteorology, meet these challenges.
geology, and ecology.” Klemeš was of course Newman et al. (2006) identified a number of
calling for interdisciplinary hydrology. Recently, a research challenges for ecohydrologic research in
number of community reports have proposed a more semi-arid regions, including dealing with spatial
interdisciplinary approach to hydrology, including and temporal heterogeneity, scaling up to regional
the development of community infrastructure and global extent, improving understanding of
such as large scale hydrologic observatories with subsurface processes, and addressing long-term
integrated, multi-scale monitoring and advanced processes. They argue for a greater emphasis on
informatics tools to enable this research (Band et place-based research where long-term data sets
al. 2002, Gupta et al. 1999, Hornberger et al. 2000, are being compiled. Efforts aimed at addressing
Maidment 2008). Specific calls were included these problems are underway, albeit with a
to integrate the more physically or statistically focus on vegetation in semi-arid environments,
oriented approaches in hydrology with ecosystem equilibrium models with stochastic inputs, and
sciences including biogeochemical cycling and knowledge obtained in traditional plots or stands.
population ecology. We suggest that for ecohydrologic research to
The emergence of ecohydrologic research is one be globally relevant it must embrace the full
example of how hydrologic science has begun to spectrum of environments, including non-water
move in this direction. Ecohydrologic research limited regions and wetland-rich regions. Over
seeks to understand how hydrological processes the next two decades, ecohydrologic research will
affect biological communities, and in turn how such explore more deeply the nature of transient system
communities affect water cycling (Newman et al. evolution and elucidate characteristic timescales
2006, Rodriguez-Iturbe 2000). With this marriage of processes, such as those associated with
of ecology and hydrology new avenues of research ecosystem aggradation and degradation. It will
are opening up, and with these come new scientific move toward developing predictive capability that
and technical challenges. Some of the scientific builds from an understanding of processes along
challenges relate to the long-term memory in spatial gradients, including adaptations of nutrient
biological and geomorphic systems, complex cycling and plant hydraulics at wetland-upland
feedbacks on water cycling, and the continuum of transitions. Moreover, as cyber-infrastructure
such interactions across space. Technical challenges improves these activities will transcend individual
include building more sophisticated simulation study sites by utilizing combinations of data sets
Canopy Transpiration or
ground-based measurements, multiple process
models, phenology networks, and remotely sensed
Photosynthesis
information. We elaborate on these ideas below
and offer suggestions for how advances in hydro-
informatics will help sustain these activities over
the next 20 years. To help focus the discussion
we use a running example, canopy transpiration,
which is a process that straddles the ecological and
hydrological divide. Low
Scarce Excessive
Challenge: Ecohydrology Beyond Available Soil Water
Water Scarce Environments
Figure 1. Conceptual response of vegetation processes
The emergence of ecohydrologic research
to available soil water. Both water scarcity and excess
is for hydrology the recognition that biological water represent limiting conditions for plants. The
processes play a large role in the cycling of water solid line represents equilibrium responses based on
(Eagleson 1982, 2002, Newman et al. 2006). short-term processes, while the gray zone represents a
The soil-vegetation-atmosphere continuum in range of responses reflecting long-term transients and
turn is an important component in climate. By memory.
tapping into sub-surface water sources, plant
drainage systems provide dramatically altered
roots help to maintain a flow of water from the
ecohydrologic gradients in limiting resources,
soil to the atmosphere well after surface soil
tending to alleviate water limitations in drier
moisture levels have drained or dried to the point
climates and potentially introduce water limitations
that they are too low to sustain evaporation. The
in more humid environments.
global relevance of such processes is clear. In
Vegetative responses to available soil water
humid regions, evapotranspiration (ET) typically
are conceptualized in Figure 1. Plants adapt to
consumes half the annual precipitation; this
conditions of water scarcity by growing deeper
proportion is much higher in semi-arid regions.
roots (e.g., Jackson et al. 1996), supporting lower
Plant canopy transpiration (EC) amounts to about
leaf areas (e.g., Grier and Running 1977), and
half of annual ET, but generally represents a much
reducing the vulnerability of their water conducting
higher proportion during periods when plants are
xylem to damage caused by air entry (e.g., Sperry
most active, during dry inter-storm periods, or in
et al. 1998). While these patterns are more easily
water-scarce environments. Thus, future research
observed under water stressed conditions, the
on land surface water-energy interactions and
mechanisms responsible for these adaptations give
hydroclimatic research will continue to depend on
plants competitive advantages in all environments.
insights into vegetative responses to environmental
For instance, excessive soil water requires that
drivers. However, such insights will not come
plants adapt shallow and sometimes above ground
from a focus on just water scarce environments,
roots for aeration, and nitrogen fixation for obtaining
since plants are adapted to and exert influence on
sufficient nitrogen in anaerobic environments. The
environments across a full spectrum of available
implication for obligate wetland species of a drop
soil water. For instance, feedbacks between
in the water table is a reduced ability to acquire
ecosystem and hydrological processes in wetland-
sufficient water to maintain EC (Ewers et al. 2007).
rich environments are poorly represented in current
Stomatal closure, in particular, occurs at mid-day
climate models, which lack specific mechanisms for
even in high levels of soil water because of limits
ground water dynamics and anaerobic processes.
in hydraulic transport from roots to leaves (Sperry
In urban and other human managed ecosystems,
et al. 1998, Tyree and Sperry 1989). Moreover,
significant subsidy of water and nutrients, and built
evidence of coordination between photosynthetic
drivers. Figure 2 illustrates the increase in spatial Author Bios and Contact Information
heterogeneity as transpiration increases, a response D. Scott Mackay is an Associate Professor of Geography
attributable to spatial variability in biological at the State University of New York at Buffalo
responses. Such feedbacks between plants and (dsmackay@buffalo.edu or 716-645-0477). He received
water flux rates suggest non-linearities that are lost his Ph.D. in 1997 from the University of Toronto. His
in the homogenization that occurs with traditional research concerns ecohydrological processes involving
center-of-stand methodology. water, energy, carbon, sediment, and nutrient fluxes in
The patch-based approaches to ecohydrologic forests, agricultural watersheds, and semi-arid shrub
systems. Funding for his work has been from NSF,
systems also do not allow the investigation of
NASA, EPA, and DOE, and other sources.
spatial dependency in the form of soil-vegetation
catenae along hydrologic flow paths. In more Lawrence E. Band is the Voit Gilmore Distinguished
humid environments, where lateral redistribution of Professor of Geography and the Director of the Institute
soil and ground water are significant, the behavior for the Environment at the University of North Carolina,
of hill slope and catchment ecosystems may not Chapel Hill (lband@email.unc.edu). He received his
be generalized as the sum of discrete ecosystem Ph.D. in 1983 from UCLA and has published more than
patch behavior because one-dimensional mass 100 papers in the areas of hydrology, geomorphology,
balance approaches cannot capture emergent urban and forest ecosystems. His work is currently
patterns in ecosystem form and function, or in centered in the Baltimore and Coweeta Long Term
Ecological Research sites, and has been supported by
runoff production. Lateral redistribution of soil
NSF, EPA, NOAA, USDA-Forest Service and other
water creates heterogeneity in biogeochemical agencies.
and soil water effects on canopy physiology, and
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F
or the next twenty years, water availability, will be the prime test constraint. Inorganic
water quality, and, thus, water conservation suspended sediment concentration is another water
are arguably among the primary challenges quality indicator where remote sensing technology
that every country in the world will face. can be applied.
Monitoring water quality and identifying the Several satellite sensing systems were specifically
location and magnitude of existing and potential designed for monitoring water quality chlorophyll
pollution sources and impacts will continue to a in ocean water, such as Coastal Zone Color
be the important activities to ensure an adequate Scanner (1978-1986) and the Sea-viewing Wide
supply of earth’s most precious natural resource. Field of View Sensor (SeaWiFS). They are mostly
Geographic information techniques, such as remote useful for Case I waters (deep ocean). Although
sensing and Geographic Information Systems the spectral resolution is not ideal, Landsat TM/
(GIS), will continue to be some of the effective ETM+ data have proven to be adequately useful
tools for collecting and analyzing the data for water for assessing estuarine systems because they are
quality and quantity. economical, routinely available, and archived. For
Documented water-related attributes that can example, chlorophyll a concentration, an indicator
be remotely measured include surface area, water of the abundance of algae in water was mapped
quality, bathymetry, surface temperature, snow and over Pensacola Bay, Florida using Landsat 7 ETM+
ice mapping, snow and ice to water calculation, imagery (Figure 1).
cloud cover, precipitation and water vapor (Jensen In 2005 NASA was instructed to acquire a single
2007). In measuring these parameters, remote Landsat data continuity mission in the form of a
sensing will continue to be one of most appealing free-flyer spacecraft to insure that Landsat TM/
fields of study and instrumentation to resource ETM+ data will be the available for the near future.
managers because it provides the simultaneous Currently, NASA’s Earth Observing System (EOS)
overview for a large region, which is unmatched program is in operation, which consists of a series
by in situ measurement. The spatial component is of satellites that observe our planet earth.
always inherent in remote sensing processes. In While multispectral sensing systems may still be
addition, the pace and ease of data collection through available over the next twenty years, hyperspectral
remote sensing has become nearly a prerequisite sensors will become more and more important
to compiling the multitemporal datasets required sources for remote sensing data. With more than
for multi-scale and multidimensional biophysical one hundred spectral bands, it is expected that
change detection. hyperspectral sensors will establish some sort of
Remote sensing will continue to be useful in “spectral fingerprint” for certain types of organic
monitoring water quality. While the optically and inorganic substances in the water. Therefore,
active water constituents are measurable with detecting fine physical and biochemical changes
remote sensing, other water parameters may still be in water quality may become formulaic. Another
indirectly detected. Chlorophyll a, due to its unique trend in remote sensing technology development
absorption characteristics in the visible spectrum, may be worth noting. Bathymetric information
• Drought assessment;
• Flood assessment;
• Ground and surface water potential zoning;
• Ground water pollution potential;
• Ground water resource exploration and
management and rooftop;
• Identification and management of drinking
water potentials;
• Modeling nutrients and sediment loadings
(TMDL assessment);
• Network analysis of surface water;
• Non-point source assessment and prediction;
Kilometers
• Watershed management and irrigation
0.93 - 3.36
3.37 - 5.90 network planning.
5.91 - 8.99
9.00 - 12.83
In particular, GIS will continue to show its
12.84 - 17.99 usefulness and effectiveness in storing, managing,
18.00 - 24.92 and analyzing water resource data. GIS can be
used to delineate, illustrate, and analyze hydrologic
Figure 1. Chlorophyll a concentration map of Pensa- systems, and researchers will be able to evaluate
cola Bay, FL (May 2002) (after Han and Jordan 2005) spatial and temporal responses of hydrologic
systems to natural and anthropogenic impacts
will be accurately derived using LIDAR (Light using GIS. GIS will become the platform for many
Detection and Ranging), a remote sensor that more hydrological models including analytical
sends a laser beam out and measures the time and hydrologic models, process-based spatial analysis
intensity of the returned laser light (Jenson 2007). models, and others. Most of the water quality models
Finally, inland water and sea surface temperatures will be the ones that integrate remote sensing and
may mostly come from thermal remote sensing GIS. The current nonpoint-source water quality
techniques. models (e.g., AGNPS and SWAT) have already
In the next twenty years, remote sensing data, utilized the land use and land cover information
such as satellite imagery, will become more that is derived from the latest remote sensing data.
accessible to the public through such venues as The complete and seamless integration of real-
wireless internet for hand-helds, Personal Digital time georeferenced sensors and earth-observation
Assistants (PDAs), and laptops. Eventually, the technology will become available via Wi-Fi and
real-time water quality information for a given internet technologies. Virtual 3-D and 4-D water
location may be available, and such changes should quality information systems, a special type of GIS,
spur diverse research opportunities, especially in may be available for citizens, giving more minds
modeling global environmental change. the opportunities to contemplate more creative
As a spatial analysis tool, GIS has been research veins and applications.As water resource
successfully applied in almost all areas where will arguably be one of the deciding factors for the
spatial information has been collected (Longley world’s economy, monitoring and managing water
at al. 2005). Water availability, water quality, and will be a major task for resource researchers and
water conservation have been studied and managed managers. It is imperative to use the available
with GIS over the past two decades and will be geographic information techniques including
more focused during the next twenty years. GIS remote sensing and GIS as they are advancing at
will be widely applied for: an unprecedented pace with regard to functionality
• Catchment collection for rainwater harvesting; and interoperability.
References
Han, L. and K. Jordan. 2005. Measuring algal
chlorophyll concentration in Pensacola Bay, Florida
using Landsat ETM+ data. International Journal of
Remote Sensing 26(23): 5245-5254.
..... A society that has great skills in fact-gathering To understand such questions of diversity in
may possess only a weak ability to make sense attributes and uncertainty of measurements, global,
of the larger patterns of meanings where parts fit federal, state and local governments have invested
into wholes. Description, anecdotal knowledge, billions of dollars for the collection, storage,
and batteries of statistics are no substitute for and maintenance of water quantity and quality,
synthesis (Goulet 1991).
A
exposure, toxicity, and public perception data on
s consumers, citizens, and professionals, an on-going basis. Information derived from such
we are constantly faced with questions data influences regulatory and policy decisions that
such as: How much water is available cost taxpayers further tens of billions of dollars
in different parts of the country under shifting annually for water-related decisions (Carlin et
demographic and land use conditions? What al. 1992, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
pollutants are found in the nation’s waters? Where 2009, U.S. Geological Survey 2009). Despite
in the nation are these different pollutants found, these enormous investments, the integrated use
and at what concentrations? How many people are of data in research and the policy‑making process
exposed to these pollutants? What are the costs has been limited. Recognizing the importance of
and benefits of different control technologies and this subject, the United Nations Statistics Division
corrective actions? How should one incorporate (Vardon and Martinez 2009) hosted a session on
such factors in the process of resource allocation? “Data Integration and Dissemination: From Data to
What do the experts say? What are some of the Information” at the recent 5th World Water Forum,
social and political ramifications of deferring or held in March 2009, in Istanbul, Turkey.
not deferring to expert judgments on these issues A comprehensive review of water resources
in a democratic society? These are perennial literature, laws, budgets, and analyses of selected
questions and will no doubt play an important role data sets reveal the central role played by the twin
in anyone’s list of water resource decision-making factors of diversity of attributes and uncertainty
and research priorities over the next two decades. in measurements in our understanding of many
Attributes of water such as rainfall, runoff, storage water issues (Brands and Rajagopal 2008 a, b,
levels, contaminants, health effects, voting records, c, Rajagopal et al. 1992b). The key findings of
funding levels, and public outrage are diverse many recent water resources research analyses
in the context of physical, chemical biological, can be summed up as managing diversity in a
economic, perceptual, and other characteristics world of uncertainty. Enabling our institutions to
and are measured in different units at various develop a research infrastructure to manage water
scales. Such measurements of diverse attributes laws, science, and technology so as to effectively
also vary over space and time. The instruments that utilize and combine the diversity of attributes and
are used to measure such attributes are also subject uncertainty in their measurements at different
to variation and uncertainty. So, the process of scales for the protection and management of water
integration and synthesis of diverse water-related resources will be a major challenge in the next two
attributes and their uncertain measurements to decades (Colaceci et al. 2008, Kumar and Singh
meet end-objectives is quite complicated. 2005, Loucks et al. 2006, Rejman 2007, Vardon
clearly demonstrated that under the present system private organizations. Such reports should
of governance with many independent federal and be based on all the data relevant to the topic
state agencies and a myriad of laws, such a capability of concern, available to the Commission.
doesn’t exist. The proposed Commission will not It should provide analyses of spatial and
spring into existence by itself. Over the next two temporal patterns, statistical tabulations,
decades, the Commission must be consciously interpretations, potential population expo-
designed, developed, nurtured, evaluated, and sures, plausible hypotheses, and a section
modified – with the full participation of state and describing the limitations based on the
federal elected representatives, agency officials, quality of available data. Almost every major
academics, non‑profit organizations, public office of the federal and state government
citizens, and private sector participants. can benefit by seeking custom‑made briefing
The Commission should have the following reports on a topic of their current concern.
responsibilities: In short, this service can be viewed as the
1. Actively promote the development of provision of fresh water intelligence based on
institutional capabilities. In particular, the synthetic processing and interpretation of
it should enable regulatory, research, existing data.
management, and academic communities to 5. Acquire data on water from a variety of
rapidly access, process, analyze, and use data public and private sources and maintain a
from multiple sources for the study, analysis, data library. It should be able to prepare
and protection of fresh water. customized data‑products (extractions from
2. Produce a biannual report describing the the available library) for a variety of users.
quality of fresh water in the U.S. with specific Many researchers of government and
action plans for protecting and enhancing state‑sponsored projects, contractors, public
the quality of fresh water resources. The interest organizations, and foundations
Commission should not duplicate similar can benefit immensely from this activity.
reports on the nation’s water quantity and Such a service will lead to enormous dollar
selected water quality parameters that are savings by utilizing existing data, avoiding
routinely produced by the U. S. Geological the collection of data that already exist, and
Survey, and the U. S. Environmental providing user-friendly integration services
Protection Agency. Such reports will serve to water professionals. This service alone
a useful role by keeping the nation’s citizens would be of enormous value to the nation.
and elected officials informed about the status Based on available data sets and inquiries
of water quality conditions in their districts, for custom‑made tapes and briefing reports,
regions, states, and the nation. the Commission will be able to identify
gaps in existing data gathering efforts of
3. Develop and disseminate a variety of templates
agencies. It will be able to identify areas of
and case studies (recipes) of carefully
potential linkages for the combined use of
planned, quality assured, and integrated data
water quality and quantity, socioeconomic,
from diverse sources for use in managerial,
land‑use, population, public health, and
planning, regulatory, and administrative
perception data.
reforms. Templates that already exist for
regional and national assessments, forecasting, 6. The Commission should promote the
site planning, impact assessments, resource development of management information
allocation and research designs should be processing and synthesizing capability at
adapted, developed, and disseminated within the state level through regularly organized
the water resources community. workshops describing the capabilities and
services available at the Commission.
4. Prepare custom‑made briefing reports on a
variety of topics of current concern to the 7. The Commission should have a funding
public, elected officials, interest groups, and of about $ 20 million per year with a staff
water act, part III: performance evaluation of place- Northeast Midwest Institute. 2008. http://www.nemw.org/
based monitoring strategies. Environ Monit Assess water.htm.
143:103–120.
Patel, N. and I. Sethi. 2007. Multimedia data Mining:
Carlin, A., Scodari, P. F. and D. H. Garner. 1992. An Overview. Chapter 2. In: Petrushin, Valery A.;
Environmental Investments: The Cost of Cleaning Up. Khan, Latifur (Eds.). Multimedia Data Mining and
Environment 34(2): 12-44. Knowledge Discovery. Springer.
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waterconnect.ca/view_resource.php?id=79 Resources 90 (Winter): 12-15.
Colaceci, F., C. Lombardo, R. Minciardi, and R. Sacile. Rajagopal, R. 1987. Integrated and Multiple Use of
2008. Filling
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the Information Gap Between Water Environmental Data. (Unpublished, Internal Report).
Systems and Decision Makers in the Sustainable Environmental Monitoring Systems Laboratory. US
Development of a Territory. In; P. Meire et al. EPA, Las Vegas, NV.
(eds.), Integrated Water Management: Practical
Experiences and Case Studies 11-21. Springer Rajagopal, R. and L. R. Williams. 1989. Economics
Netherlands. of Sample Compositing as a Screening Tool in
Ground-Water Quality Monitoring. Ground Water
Emerson, C. and R. Rajagopal. 2003. Measuring Monitoring Review 9(1): 186-192.
Toxic Emissions from Landfills Using Sequential
Screening, Computers, Environment, and Urban Rajagopal, R. 1990. Economics of screening in the
Systems 28(2004): 265-284. detection of organics in ground water. Chemometrics
and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 9: 261-272.
Goulet, D. 1991. Interdisciplinary Knowledge and the
Quest for Wisdom. Research and Exploration 7(2): Rajagopal R. and P. C. Li. 1991. Comparison of Two
131‑132. Screening Methods for the Detection of VOCs in
Ground Water. Journal of Chemometrics 5(3): 321-
Kuchibhatla, R. and R. Rajagopal. 1995. A Comparative 331.
Analysis of Water Quality Sampling Decisions in
Aquifers. The Environmental Professional. 17(4): Rajagopal, R., U. Natarajan, and J. Wacker. 1992a.
316-330. Information Integration for Environmental Monitoring
and Assessment: An Annotated Bibliography. The
Kumar, D. and O. P. Singh. 2005. Virtual Water in Global Environmental Professional 14(2): 151-177.
Food and Water Policy Making: Is There a Need
for Rethinking? Water Resources Management. 19: Rajagopal, R., D. Osterberg, F. L. Ogden, U. Natarajan,
759–789. C. Emerson, and W. Krajewski. 1992b. Water
Resources of the United States: Problems, Risk
Loucks, O., H. Stone, and B. Kahn. 2006. Scaling Perceptions, and Priorities. A Report Submitted to
and Uncertainty in Region-wide Water Quality the National Geographic Society. 254 pp.
Decision-Making. Chapter 17, In: Wu et al. Scaling
and Uncertainty Analysis in Ecology. Springer Rejman, W. 2007. EU Water Framework Directive
Netherlands. Natarajan, U. and R. Rajagopal. 1994. versus Real Needs of Groundwater Management.
Economics of Screening for Pesticides in Ground Water Resour Manage 21: 1363–1372.
Water. Water Resources Bulletin. 30(4):579-588. Sophocleous, M. 2004. Global and Regional Water
National Research Council (U. S.). 2005. Flash flood Availability and Demand: Prospects for the Future.
forecasting over complex terrain: with an assessment Natural Resources Research 13 (2): 61-74.
of the Sulphur Mountain NEXRAD in Southern Statistics Canada. 2008. http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-
California. Committee to Assess NEXRAD Flash 526-x/2007001/5100137-eng.htm.
Flood Forecasting Capabilities at Sulphur Mountain,
California. Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Texas State Soil and Water Conservation Board. 2009.
Climate. Published by National Academies Press, http://www.tsswcb.state.tx.us/en/quality.
191 pages.
USDA. 2009. http://www.usawaterquality.org/themes/
National Water Quality Monitoring Council. 2009. http:// watershed/research/monitoring.html.
acwi.gov/monitoring/.
US Environmental Protection Agency. 1988. (Principal
I
n writing about the future of humanity on that research designs “should explicitly reflect the
Earth, E. O. Wilson (2002) used the metaphor four themes of interdisciplinarity, broad systems
of a “bottleneck” to characterize the current context, uncertainty, and adaptation” (Vaux, Jr. et
and forthcoming period of tremendous human al. 2004: 6).
demand on planetary resources. The combination Recognizing that humans are greatly modifying
of continuing growth in global population, the the global water system the Global Environmental
associated demand for food and fiber, and a Change Programmes established an international
relatively fixed water resource base results in a effort that 1) informs policy but is driven by
number of grand challenges that will be part of science, 2) is global in scope, 3) is interdisciplinary
the hydro-social research landscape for the next and integrative, and 4) addresses multiple time
20 years (Graedel et al. 2001, Myers et al. 2007, scales (Vörösmarty et al. 2004). The three framing
Robertson and Swinton 2005). Complexity of these questions regarding the global water system
coupled human-environment problems (Liu et al. address the relative size of both anthropogenic and
2007) and uncertainty in human understanding and environmental changes, linkages and feedbacks
responses to our transition into and through the that materialize due to changes in the global
bottleneck provide many opportunities for scholars water system, and resilience and adaptability of
to contribute relevant information on our adapting management strategies. An ecosystem services
journey toward planetary sustainability (Frieman approach to address fresh water resource issues
et al. 1999). provided a perspective for suggesting twelve
Research questions from earth system science, priorities for updating water policies for the 21st
human-environment, and spatial perspectives Century (Postel 2005). In addition, Wilbanks and
that address uncertainties regarding future water Kates (1998) have indicated that investigation of
availability, water quality, and how we will make the local expressions of global change is a key
use of water resources, are needed to help the world contribution that geographers can make. This
community find a way to support our growing paper provides an articulation of research priorities
planetary population. In the 2001 Envisioning that address water and agriculture for the next two
report, the Water Science and Technology Board decades, based primarily on a perspective that
of the National Academies of Sciences identified is informed by aspects of human dimensions of
43 research issues (Table 1) among the three broad global change and geographic thought.
categories of water availability, water use, and
water institutions, with some issues specific to Water for Agriculture on a Changing
the agricultural enterprise (Vaux, Jr. et al. 2001). Planet
A subsequent National Academies of Sciences Agriculture is by far the largest category of human
assessment, discussing the role of research in use of available water resources. The 3,500 cubic
addressing national water problems, indicated kilometers of fresh water flows used by agriculture
Table 1. Research issues identified in the 2001 ‘Envisioning’ report from the US National Academies of Science
(Vaux, Jr. et al. 2001).
Water Availability
• Develop new and innovative supply-enhancing technologies
• Improve existing supply-enhancing technologies such as wastewater treatment, desalting, and groundwater banking
• Increase safety of wastewater treated for reuse as drinking water
• Develop innovative techniques for preventing pollution
• Understand physical, chemical, and microbial contaminant fate and transport
• Control nonpoint source pollution
• Understand impact of land-use changes and best management practices on pollutant loading to waters
• Understand impact of contaminants on ecosystem services, biotic indices, and higher organisms
• Understand assimilation capacity of the environment and time course of recovery following contamination
• Improve integrity of drinking water distribution systems
• Improve scientific bases for risk assessment and risk management with regard to water quality
• Understand national hydrologic measurement needs and develop a program that will provide these measurements
• Develop new techniques for measuring water flows and water quality, including remote sensing and in situ
techniques
• Develop data collection and distribution in near real time for improved forecasting and water resources operations
• Improve forecasting the hydrologic cycle over a range of time scales and on a regional basis
• Understand and predict the frequency and cause of severe weather (floods and droughts)
• Understand recent increases in damage from floods and droughts
• Understand global change and its hydrologic impacts
Water Use
• Understand determinants of water use in the agricultural, domestic, commercial, public, and industrial sectors
• Understand relationship of agricultural water use to climate, crop type, and water application rates
• Develop improved crops for more efficient water use and optimize the economic return for the water used
• Develop improved crop varieties for use in dryland agriculture
• Understand water-related aspects of the sustainability of irrigated agriculture
• Understand behavior of aquatic ecosystems in a broad, systematic context, including their water requirements
• Enhance and restore species diversity in aquatic ecosystems
• Improve manipulation of water-quality parameters to maintain and enhance aquatic habitats
• Understand interrelationship between aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems to support watershed management.
Water Institutions
• Develop legal regimes that promote ground water management and conjunctive use of surface and ground water
• Understand issues related to the governance of water where it has common pool and public good attributes
• Understand uncertainties attending to Native American water rights and other federal reserved rights
• Improve equity in existing water management laws
• Conduct comparative studies of water laws and institutions
• Develop adaptive management
• Develop new methods for estimating the value of non-marketed attributes of water resources
• Understand use of economic institutions to protect common pool and pure public good values related to
water resources
• Develop efficient markets and market-like arrangements for water
• Understand role of prices, pricing structures, and the price elasticity of water demand
• Understand role of the private sector in achieving efficient provision of water and waste water services
• Understand key factors that affect water-related risk communication and decision processes
• Understand user-organized institutions for water distribution, such as cooperatives, special districts, and
mutual companies
• Develop different processes for obtaining stakeholder input in forming water policies and plans
• Understand cultural and ethical factors associated with water use
• Conduct ex post research to evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of past water policies and projects
represent 70 percent of global water withdrawals for there are likely to be eight billion human residents
human use each year (Holdren 2008). According sometime in the third decade of this century. This
to Postel and Vickers (2004), withdrawals of fresh increase in global population is forecast to occur
water flows for agriculture can reach 90 percent mostly in the less-wealthy countries with fewer
in many developing countries. Agriculture is by financial and/or natural resources. It has been
far the largest consumer of available fresh water; suggested that we have “progressed” into a no
it is estimated that water consumed in agricultural analog world (Mily et al. 2008); a world that has
activities exceeds 90 percent globally (Food and never experienced the types, rates, magnitudes,
Agricultural Organization 2002). Unfortunately, and scales of environmental change that the planet
temporal and spatial variations in the climatically- is currently experiencing.
driven delivery of water and the current status of There is considerable concern about water
the human response to these characteristics of the scarcity and water and food security issues.
hydrologic cycle have 2.4 billion people living in Rosegrant et al. (2003) identify a formidable
“highly water-stressed areas” (Oki and Kanae 2006: challenge in meeting the demand for the world’s
1069). According to Jury and Vaux, Jr. (2005: increasingly scarce water supply and suggest that
15715), agricultural water use is not sustainable rainfed agriculture is key to meeting future needs
in many areas, “production may soon be limited for sustainable development of water and food.
by water availability,” and market forces will Postel (2000) noted that we are entering an era of
likely result in a reallocation of water away from water scarcity and proposed an effort to double
agricultural uses. productivity from water resources and reserve water
Humans now dominate Earth system functioning for ecosystems; she suggested that accomplishing
and global change. We have entered a new geologic these goals will be “one of the most difficult and
epoch, the Anthropocene (Crutzen and Stoermer important challenges of the 21st century” (Postel
2000, Zalasiewicz et al. 2008). And Steffan et 2000: 946). According to Tilman et al. (2001:
al. (2004) suggest that we have domesticated the 284), “If global population stabilizes at 8.5 to 10
planet. Human domination of Earth ecosystems billion people, the next 50 years may be the final
(Vitousek et al. 1997) is driven by the need for episode of rapid global agricultural expansion.”
land to produce the food and fiber consumed by By extending the linear trends from the second half
6.7 billion inhabitants. “Together, cropland and of the 20th Century, these authors noted that global
pastures have become one of the largest terrestrial irrigated area, an indicator of agricultural water
biomes on the planet, rivaling forest cover in extent demand, is forecast to be 1.3 times the current
and occupying ~ 40% of the land surface” (Foley irrigated area in 2020, and 1.9 times as extensive
et al. 2005). Human population grew rapidly in 2050 (Tilman et al. 2001). Although there are
during the 2nd half of the 20th Century and a Green methods to increase water use efficiency, such as
Revolution in food provision, which resulted from drip irrigation, crop breeding, and improving soil
agricultural intensification, meant that the volume structure with manure additions, applications of
of food available was able to keep pace with such approaches vary. Tilman et al. (2002) noted
growing human demand. Increased production per that investment in technologies to improve water
hectare was a result of a mix of activities, including use efficiencies “is best facilitated when water is
new crop varieties, irrigation, synthetic fertilizer, valued and price appropriately” (p. 674).
herbicides and pesticides, increased mechanization,
and new and better use of information. Accumulating Wealth and Changing
As our global population and food demand Diets
– both total and, potentially, per capita – continue
to grow during the next two decades, there will be Social drivers of change in food demand from
a significant need for additional food provision. agriculture include not only the number of humans
That need for more calories and protein will (future population growth) but also changes in
require both more water and improved efficiency diet. Recent trends in protein sources for rapidly
in agricultural water use. While forecasts vary, developing economies suggest that as humans
Table 2. Research questions in water for agriculture for the next twenty years.
1. As we enter ‘the bottleneck’ with more people and fixed resources, how will we manage water to meet the
global demand for food and fiber?
2. Will there be an expansion of rain-fed cropland?
3. Can we expand agriculture activities without loss of habitats, ecosystem services, and biodiversity?
4. Is the nature of local agriculture intensification a result of expanded irrigation and/or increased efficiency?
5. Are engineered systems changing from leaky to looped?
6. Are there impacts on the local hydrologic cycle?
7. Are local diets changing and, if so, what is the impact on water use efficiency?
8. Are inequities in local water availability resulting in fewer calories per person, less meat consumption, etc.?
9. Will global cooperation be able to provide a second “Green Revolution” and avoid major famine?
10. How are the changes in agricultural water use impacting water quality?
11. Has a sustainable pathway been found or is the local resource base being degraded?
12. Is soil quality being maintained or improved?
13. Are finite (fossil) ground water reserves being depleted?
14. How well are soft-path approaches to water resource management working?
15. Are local actions sustainable and do they assist with a global solution?
16. What pathway to change are we on? And, is that pathway adaptable?
accumulate financial resources, they tend to change agriculture and water that are forecast for the next
their diets to include sources of protein that require two decades (Table 2) inspires a number of research
more water to produce (Myers and Kent 2003). questions that address the multiple and complex
Meat-based diets require much larger volumes factors that comprise the human dimensions of
of water per available calorie. Given limits on global change. Land change science concerns
available cropland, agricultural yield growth is a suggest the importance of topics related to changes
very important need if we are to meet food and in the location and amount of land allocated for
fiber demands without major investments in new specific uses and how changing social drivers
agricultural lands. While an increase of 14 percent will impact local decisions regarding land used
in global cropland is forecast by 2050 (Balmford for agricultural production. Another factor will
et al. 2005), concerns exist regarding both where be whether or not ideas from industrial ecology
these new lands will be found and the loss of prime will help us with improving water use efficiency,
agricultural land around rapidly expanding urban especially in regards to irrigated agriculture. Ideas
areas. It will be important to monitor and quantify from the ongoing dialog in sustainability science
these changes at varying spatial scales during the and ecosystem services can inform questions that
next two decades. Agricultural intensification, address how our demand for water will impact
whether through increasing the number of crops the resource base, the character of local solutions,
grown per year (double or triple cropping) or how cultures identify with and address the need to
through increased Green Revolution technology, move toward protein sources that require less water
will be very important in efforts to avoid famine (or to reduce protein intake from what currently
(Turner II and Ali 1996). In western Kansas, appears to be desired levels), and whether or not
the use of increasingly more efficient irrigation sustainable and adaptable pathways are being
technology exemplified the Green Revolution followed. Contemporary dialogs that include
and has delayed the transition toward a return to local food networks, organic agriculture, political
an economy based on grazing large herbivores ecology, and social inequity provide alternative
(or the so-called “Buffalo Commons” (Popper lenses with which to view the ongoing changes
and Popper 1987)), but there are local issues with in water and agriculture that will occur during
irrigation return flows and declines in water quality the next twenty years. A spatial perspective will
(Harrington and Harrington 2005). allow researchers to address how all of these issues
arrange themselves in a complex configuration of
Research Questions
places, cultures, and resource availability.
Thinking about the challenges and changes for This essay has attempted to bring together much
of what has been written about the subject of water Foley, J. A., R. DeFries, G. P. Asner, C. Barford, G.
and agriculture futures and issues for the coming Bonan, S. R. Carpenter, F. S. Chapin, M. T. Coe, G.
decades. Water availability for agriculture presents C. Daily, H. K. Gibbs, J. H. Helkowski, T. Holloway,
considerable challenges and provides numerous E. A. Howard, C. J. Kucharik, C. Monfreda, J.A.
Patz, I. C. Prentice, N. Ramankutty, and P. K. Snyder.
areas for questioning that can be addressed by
2005. Global Consequences of Land Use. Science
scholars from many different perspectives. Given 309: 570-574.
the complexities of our coupled human-environment
system and the uncertainties in how humans and Food and Agricultural Organization. 2002. Crops and
their institutions will react to the concerns that have Drops: Making the best use of water for agriculture.
been identified, Table 2 identifies a sample of the Food and Agricultural Organization, Rome, 23 pp.
types of questions about water and agriculture that Frieman, E. A., R.W. Kates, L. Arizpe, J. Bongaarts,
can be addressed as our global community passes R. J. Cicerone, W. C. Clark, R. A. Frosch, M.
into the bottleneck. Gillis, R. R. Harwood, P. J. Landrigan, K. N. Lee,
J. D. Mahlman, R. J. Mahoney, P. A. Matson, W.
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Kansas State helped provided inspiration for me Development, National Research Council, National
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F
loods and droughts present significant over the medium to longer terms. In the face of
challenges to societies throughout the world. climate change, we need additional information,
We grapple with ways to manage the events refined models, and improved dissemination of
and our use of the land that is affected by both the knowledge.
events and the management methods. Even as we We require data collection and analysis by
have gained more knowledge, losses continue to physical scientists addressing such issues as hydro-
escalate (Weichselgartner and Obersteiner 2002, climatology and impacts of intensified events on
White et al. 2001). Indeed the impacts of disasters physical systems. Such analyses will enhance
continue to increase worldwide, with more people detection of trends at various spatial scales and
affected by floods and droughts than any other development of relevant databases to foster
category of natural hazard events (International monitoring, understanding, and communication.
Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies This research is critical to social scientists and
2007). With a global annual average of 162 floods policy makers who need information on where
and 32 droughts between 2000 and 2005, more changes and their related impacts are likely to
than 100 million people worldwide were affected be felt and how much change can be anticipated.
by these events, with droughts having a wider Indeed, one of the difficulties in fostering policy
reach with respect to numbers whose lives were and behavioral changes to address climate change
adversely impacted (Center for Research on the is communicating the nature and magnitude of
Epidemiology of Disasters 2006). If we are going its potential impacts at a location while at the
to reduce losses, the future research agenda of water same time acknowledging inherent uncertainties
resources geographers must address the issues that (Moser and Dilling 2007). Even if we can refine
will influence both the occurrence of and response models of climate change to provide more
to such events. These are discussed below. reliable predictions both spatially and temporally,
mitigation, adaptation, or other changes do not
Climate Change necessarily follow unless the political will exists
The most important concern is global climate to do something. Having information does not
change. There is little doubt among most scientists necessarily lead to policy decisions or behavior
that climate change is real and that it will influence changes. Thus, an area ripe for interdisciplinary
the characteristics of weather-related events research is development of a framework in which
(Hoppe and Pielke 2006), including their location, those who make decisions can use the information
frequency, duration, and intensity. Despite this provided by the scientific community.
convergence of agreement, it remains difficult to Vulnerability
attribute changes in events, however measured,
to climate change, which, in turn, complicates It has been well recognized that losses to floods
prediction, warning, and preparedness. We know and droughts, as well as other natural hazards,
where floods and droughts occur now, even if we cannot be attributed solely or even principally to
have difficulty predicting exact timing and intensity the geo-physical events themselves. People live at
risk, many because they have little or no choice at large, with an eye to influencing policy. While
(Wisner et al. 2004). Indeed, in many places, those research has shown rather clearly why people live
with the fewest resources are relegated to the most at risk, the complexities and scope of flood and
hazardous areas – the floodplains, low-lying areas, drought management, which reflect the complexities
and marginal agricultural lands. As a result, any and scope of water resources management, have
large geo-physical event is going to affect them made addressing the issue from a societal, rather
significantly, and they are usually least able to than a hydrologic, perspective very difficult. Yet,
recover from a disaster. With increasing population, we need to get better at addressing both.
particularly in less developed regions, the demand These complexities are confounded further by
for land is also increasing, thus exacerbating the climate change. As climate changes, so will risk
hazardous situation for those who are already zones – placing some people perhaps at less risk, but
marginalized in a society. Further, the socio- many will be at greater risk. Significant attention
economic and racial and ethnic characteristics of is required to address these issues. The literature
people can lead to a situation of marginalization, is ripe with works pointing out the differential
whether they live in a less developed or more effects of disasters, which have been important
developed place. No matter what the location, to fostering greater understanding of these inter-
marginalization exacerbates vulnerability. Many related concerns. Now is the time to turn our
of these vulnerability issues have been examined focus to developing mechanisms that address the
(Cutter et al. 2003, Downing and Bakker 2000, systemic processes that generate such conditions.
Montz and Tobin 2003, Wisner et al. 2004), but Of course, we need to continue to examine who
there has been a distinct failure to incorporate is vulnerable and to what, but we must also move
findings into mitigation practices. This is neither ahead and devote more resources to developing
easily nor readily accomplished because it requires comprehensive strategies for mitigating hazard
working with practitioners to develop approaches problems in the social, economic and political
that can translate the needs found through research contexts in which they occur; one size does not fit all.
into practices that can be implemented at the local
or regional level. However, non-governmental Technology as Friend and Foe
organizations and others have worked on such As our understanding of hazardousness
approaches, and analyses of their success and and vulnerability has emerged, so too have
failures may well provide a foundation upon which technologies such as remote sensing and
progress can be made (see Jackson 1997 and Twigg geographical information systems (GIS) that allow
2004 for examples). us to understand better the interaction between
At the same time, in other places, some people attributes of the physical environment and those of
choose to live in hazardous areas because of the human environment (Tobin and Montz 2004).
the amenities they offer. Indeed, water-based It is through the use of such technologies that the
locations, whether riverine, creekside, or coastal, tracking of physical systems that generate extreme
are frequently popular choices. Many times, events has improved, and predictions and warnings
the residents have the resources to cope with a have become more accurate. Improvements in these
disastrous event, but that is not universal. While technologies have facilitated more sophisticated
they may have financial resources, other aspects of analyses at finer resolutions and precipitated more
their situations, including their age, their mobility, complex modeling of large, dynamic systems, and,
and their social networks, can contribute in major at the same time, have fostered communication of
ways to their vulnerability (see Montz and Tobin this information to those who need it in a timely
2005 for an example). manner (Ryan 2003, Mileti and Peek 2002). In
Addressing the factors that either force or addition, some improvements have been aimed
allow people to put themselves at risk is critical at fostering greater access to both the technology
to any research agenda on water-based hazards. and the data, thus leading to more widespread use
This includes an analysis of the benefits and costs (Changnon 2004). We can expect that technologies
(monetary and otherwise) to individuals and society and their applications will continue to advance on
all fronts. Particularly promising are applications situation presents a precarious situation, but also
of geo-visualization techniques and the related offers an opportunity to rethink our approach to flood
ability to use scenarios as a means of modeling management, providing three options: (i) replacing
anticipated outcomes under different conditions or repairing structures in kind; (ii) building them
of uncertainty. It is incumbent upon geographers better than ever by raising design standards; or (iii)
to be at the forefront of the development and implementing a comprehensive approach to flood
application of these technologies by testing management that takes a watershed scale vision to
different approaches and drawing on what has been mitigation (Montz and Tobin 2008). The short and
learned in other fields such as communications and long term impacts, both direct and indirect, of each
computer modeling. of these options require careful analysis so we do
Even while technology is helping us to not repeat problems of the past. Our past responses
understand and respond to natural events, it also to drought merit the same consideration.
continues to provide a false sense of security
(Tobin 1995). In the United States and elsewhere, Summary
there is a long history of relying on engineering Natural hazards research is steeped in uncertainty,
solutions to mitigate disasters. Certainly for floods, with respect to both the physical and human
dams, levees, floodwalls, and other structures have environments. Whether addressing too much or
been remarkably successful in protecting flood too little water, we are challenged with developing
prone areas from flood waters, up to their design politically palatable means of encouraging
standards. We also have numerous examples comprehensive management strategies that
of technological advances overcoming water incorporate the benefits of available technologies
shortages. In both cases, however, the technology with practices and policies that address the risk
may be effective in addressing the immediate that remains due to the design characteristics of the
problem under current conditions, but conditions technology and because of uncertainties regarding
will change over time. Further, with floods, when changing climatic and watershed conditions. As the
the design level of the structure is surpassed or temporal and spatial variability of global climate
when the integrity of the structure is compromised, change plays out, we need to direct available
disastrous floods can and do occur. The Mississippi and emerging technologies to developing a more
River floods in 1993 and 2008 and the experiences complete understanding of the physical processes
in New Orleans during Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and human conditions involved and to address
are good examples. Yet, even after these events, those physical and socio-political factors that lead
reliance on structures continues. In part this may to increased vulnerability.
be due to the fact that technology helps us to avoid
behavioral approaches, which are generally more Author Bio and Contact Information
difficult to employ. Nevertheless, accumulating
evidence, since the work of White (1945) has clearly Burrell Montz is Professor and Chair of Geography
at East Carolina University. She received her Ph.D.
demonstrated the necessity of comprehensive
from the University of Colorado in Boulder. Dr. Montz
planning that incorporates both structural and non- has more than 25 years of experience with research
structural adjustments if mitigation strategies are to in natural hazards. Her interests center on the social
be fully successful. Future research, then, should science aspects of response and policy development. She
center on post-audits of events to determine the has evaluated the effects and effectiveness of various
underlying causes and direct and indirect impacts mitigation measures for flooding, including floodplain
of losses, on the impacts of mitigation measures on designation, and more recently has focused on warning
land use and disaster losses, and on success stories, systems and the flow and use of information by various
as well as failures, that can foster understanding of levels of users. She can be contacted at montzb@ecu.
the interactions at play. edu.
An additional issue is that many flood control
structures built in the U.S. are reaching the end of
their economic and/or engineering lives. Such a
W
e are faced with chronic water and to be an integrated one that exploits the synergies
energy vulnerabilities. Some argue between the energy and water sectors. Synergic
that we will face two crises in the 21st benefits derived from water and energy integration
century: a water crisis and an energy crisis (Brown are especially significant during droughts, which
1998, 2003, Flavin 1999, Feffer 2008). Water will are expected to intensify from global warming,
become increasingly scarce as water tables drop which is, in turn, primarily the result of fossil fuel
due to over-consumption and water quality will consumption.
continue to deteriorate as a result of excessive The main challenge that these integrated policies
contamination. Further, the present energy regime’s will have to address is to provide sufficient clean
dependence on non-renewable sources has added fresh water while maintaining adequate energy
considerable stress to the environment, including supplies to sustain healthy and secure societies
the prospect of climate change (Intergovernmental and ecosystems. Following the U.S. Energy
Panel on Climate Change 2007). We are amidst Policy Act of 2005, the Department of Energy’s
a situation where we could be easily blamed for national laboratories and the Electric Power
compromising the ability of future generations to Research Institute initiated a multi-year water-
meet their needs. energy program, expected to cost $30 million
This paper first briefly describes a need for annually until 20091, encompassing research and
understanding the integrated considerations of development and outreach.
water and energy in resource planning, especially Although the inter-and intra-sectoral interaction
during droughts. After introducing a conceptual between water and energy is much more
framework of the water-energy integration, this complicated, Figure 1 presents the linkages in
paper reviews the results of a national survey of a simplified version. It is shown that water use
energy and water departments to see how these affects primarily the generation and consumptive
synergic benefits are explored at the state level. aspects of the energy sector, whereas, energy
Lessons learned from our case studies serve as utilization impacts all aspects of the water
useful guidelines for state water-energy planning sector. In California, around 19 percent of all
and program development. Finally, as an example energy consumed is attributable to the collection,
case of the water-energy nexus, the concept of extraction, conveyance, distribution, use, and
desalination is introduced with its implication on treatment of water (House 2007). The production
energy demand. of energy from fossil fuels and nuclear power is
inextricably linked to the availability of adequate
Energy-Water Nexus: An E4 Framework and sustainable supplies of water for cooling. In
Given the present context, there is a need for the U.S., thermoelectric power generation is one
a greater understanding of energy-water linkages of the biggest users of water, accounting for 39
in order to develop more effective policies to percent (135 billion gallons per day) of total water
address their mutual vulnerabilities. I envision withdrawals in 2001 (U.S. Department of Energy
that the approach to resolving the issue will have 2006).2 As a result of these linkages there is the
potential for benefits to be accrued if an integrated
Equity
Energy/
Water
Economy Environment
use of water will also benefit the environment as they not have any integrated energy-water programs,
will reduce the need for withdrawal from surface and the remaining states did not respond, but a
and ground water supplies, thereby increasing the rigorous search of the literature and state websites
availability of surface and ground water supplies suggested that there were no integrated energy-
for ecological functions and restricting salt water water programs in those states. Here resides a
intrusion into coastal areas (Center for Energy and fertile place for future academic exploration.
Environmental Policy 2001, U.S. Environmental Integration of water and energy is demonstrated
Protection Agency 1999) (Environment). In the to enhance E4 aspects, but synergic benefits of the
U.S., approximately 4 percent of all electricity integration are not fully explored at the state level
consumed is used to deliver water and treat waste even with federal initiation. An important question
water (House 2007). In California, water-related would be why they are not fully explored and
energy use, including water pumping for irrigation, implemented. The three cases of California, New
consumes 19 percent of the state’s electricity, 30 York, and Wisconsin provide some answers to the
percent of its natural gas, and 88 billion gallons question in the three areas of information, planning
of diesel fuel annually (House 2007). When and institutional coordination, and funding.
users adopt water-efficient appliances, energy Impacts of efficiency improvements and
consumption is reduced in two ways: directly, by alternative technological developments in both
the appliances themselves and indirectly as water water and energy production on the synergic
utilities use less energy for surface and ground benefits need to be fully understood, especially in
water withdrawal and waste water treatment and regards to drought events. This becomes all the
discharge (Cohen et al. 2004, U.S. Environmental more important considering that the six hottest
Protection Agency 1998). years on record have occurred in the last ten
Conservation at the tailpipe end stage eliminates years (Goddard Institute for Space Studies 2007),
all of the “upstream” energy required to bring the thus making us more prone to a vicious cycle of
water to the point of end use, as well as all of the droughts or other natural calamities. The federal
“downstream” energy that would otherwise be water-energy initiation needs to be tailored to meet
spent to treat and dispose of this water (Cohen et the specific needs of state.
al. 2004) (Energy). Conserving water and energy Coordination within the state includes
increases their availability, which makes it easier engagement between energy utilities and
to optimize their allocation between competing water providers directed by the public service
users (Wang et al. 2006), especially during commission, statewide public-private partnerships,
droughts. Successful conservation efforts will and the combining of water and energy audits.
reduce conflicts over in-stream flow rights and Water-energy integrated programs can be funded
competing uses of water, including down stream by public benefit charges. These are ancillary charges
power generation sectors that are occurring with levied by an energy or water utility on its customers.
increasing frequency (Vickers 2000) (Equity). Further examples of program specifics include:
1. Information dissemination is a key tool for
National Survey and Lessons Learned
initiating integrated water-energy planning.
A survey conducted by the Center for Energy By sponsoring workshops, undertaking
and Environmental Policy (2007) across all the research, and developing websites, the state
U.S. states’ energy and water departments found could begin the process of building public
that only three states (California, New York, and interest in water-energy conservation.
Wisconsin) had some kind of integrated water- Education of K-12 and college students
energy programs (Wang et al. 2007). Nine states about integrated conservation of energy and
had limited programs or were part of a regional water opportunities could be specifically
initiative focusing on the issue of water and energy developed.
interactions (Alaska, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, 2. A pilot program in California has been used
Maine, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, Texas and to evaluate the energy impacts of water
Virginia). Eleven states responded that they did resources. It also analyzed water-energy
savings in the commercial, institutional, and energy nexus is the desalination of brackish and
industrial sectors, and evaluated the impact seawater sources. Desalination efforts are fueled
of a Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) on by growing concerns over increasingly expensive,
water resources. States could also undertake unavailable, or controversial traditional sources
research to evaluate the impact on water of water supply. The high cost, environmental
resources in achieving their mandatory RPS impacts, and energy requirements of desalination
target. are main concerns. The cost issue is no longer the
3. Water-energy conservation partnerships primary barrier because of significant technological
have been formed in the case study states advancement and reductions in production costs
to address water and energy issues. The (National Research Council 2008), but the energy
partnerships offer services to a range of requirement is still a major issue. Even though
sectors including agriculture, commercial, efficiency improvements in membrane technologies
industrial, schools, and local government. reduce the energy needed to desalinate water,
Members of the partnerships include it is essential to look for energy-efficient ways
private and public energy and water utilities to produce desalted water (Darwish et al. 2009).
(including wastewater utilities), customer- Thermally driven desalting systems from fuel-fired
based organizations, environmental groups, boilers are the most inefficient practice in terms of
consultants, universities and various state environment, energy, and economic perspectives.
agencies. Desalination offers a great potential to the people
4. Technical and financial incentives, tax living in coastal areas, serving around 7 percent
incentives, rebates, and system benefits of the world’s coastal population. This energy-
charges have been used in the case study intensive technology mostly mushrooms, especially
states to support integrated water-energy in the water-poor but energy-rich nations of the
planning. These and other financial Persian Gulf. The technology is now taking off
mechanisms could be used to promote and in the European Union including Spain (Meerganz
attain benefits associated with integrated von Medeazza et al. 2007). If fossil fuel prices
water-energy conservation. increase as predicted by pessimistic scenarios and
the carbon tax is enforced, the cost advantage for
5. In the case study states, no legislation has nuclear desalination will be pronounced (Methnani
been enacted to promote water-energy 2007).
integration except for regulations on The favorable economics of nuclear desalination
thermal discharges of water by power may not be sufficient enough to overcome
plants. However, green building standards, technological risks and the socio-political
which generally focus on measures to resistance against nuclear power and disposal
reduce energy use, can also address water of its wastes. The desalination of seawater using
use, including water conservation. renewable energies is an alternative option, but
6. Combining energy and water audits for the conversion of renewable energies requires
large customers, including industrial high investment cost and the technology is not
process units, has proven effective in the yet mature enough to accommodate large-scale
case study states. Metrics for quantifying applications (Mathioulakis et al. 2007). In recent
energy savings from water conservation years, technological innovation in solar energy
and efficiency in water utility supply and and a concurrent improvement in solar economics
conveyance, treatment, distribution, end offer promise in the field of desalination by
use, and waste water treatment have been renewable energies, especially with solar energy
carefully defined in California, Wisconsin applications.
and New York. A fundamental shift either in energy prices or
in membrane technology could bring costs down
Desalination
substantially. Development of membranes that
One area which clearly reveals the water- operate effectively at lower pressures could lead
to 5 to 10 percent of process cost reductions due to fossil fuel, and renewable energies can be used
a 15 percent decrease in energy demand (National as input fuels in the process of desalination, but
Research Council 2008). If either happened to each energy source has its own issues in terms
the extent that the marginal cost allowed for of E4 perspectives. Nuclear faces socio-political
agricultural irrigation with sea water (around resistance, fossil fuels emit air pollutants, and
US$.08/m3 on average), some portion of the world’s renewables are constrained by the high initial
water supplies would shift from rivers and shallow cost.
aquifers to the sea. Besides the fundamental The perception that desalination could meet
economic changes which would result, geopolitical ever-growing fresh water demands should be
thinking about water systems would also need to shifted. Efforts to conserve water, use water more
shift. Many which are currently dependent on efficiently and recycle waste water are all the more
upstream neighbors for their water supply, would, important, and the extent of desalination should be
by virtue of their coastlines, suddenly find these restricted to the many semi-arid and arid coastal
roles reversed. regions in the world suffering from structural
water shortages. These and other issues related to
Conclusion water-energy integration will be one of the vibrant
Water and energy resources are essential research agendas for the next couple of decades.
to human survival. A general conclusion of End Notes
the analysis of the energy-water conservation
programs examined in this paper is that a wide 1. For instance, Sandia National Laboratory leads
range of knowledge, receptivity, and applications the National Energy-Water Roadmap Program.
of practices and programs can alleviate stresses on Regional workshops have been held to identify
both the water and energy sectors. Additionally, specific regional issues and needs associated
with the energy and water nexus.
the assessment of these programs reveals that
integrating energy and water planning has the 2. It is important to note that although water
withdrawal for thermoelectric generation is
potential to save money, reduce waste, protect the
very high, it consumes only about 3.3 percent
environment, improve equity, and strengthen the of the water, the remaining being returned to the
economy. source albeit with environmental impacts as a
States could utilize elements of programs and result of changes to the water temperature. This
planning approaches similar to those discussed does become critical in areas where the aquatic
in the case study states and use such approaches environment is highly sensitive to temperature
as models to assist in the construction of new changes especially during dry hot weather.
frameworks for the integration of water and energy
conservation. The need for this integration seems Author Bio and Contact Information
all the more important in light of the recent droughts, Young-Doo Wang, Ph.D., is Associate Director of the
the potential for more extreme weather due to Center for Energy and Environmental Policy at the
climate change, and the demonstrated economic, University of Delaware. He is Professor and Director
environmental, equity, and energy benefits of such of the Energy and Environmental Policy Graduate
an integration. Program, and Professor in the School of Urban Affairs
Intense desalination activity has been witnessed and Public Policy. Dr. Wang is also Co-executive
Director of the Joint Institute for a Sustainable Energy
in the coastal areas of the world, including the
and Environmental Future, an innovative institution
Arabian Gulf, the Mediterranean Sea, the Red
promoting peaceful and sustainable energy policy
Sea, or the coastal waters of California, China, options in Northeast Asia. He has published over
and Australia. Despite the many benefits the 120 articles in the areas of energy, environment, and
technology could offer, concerns have arisen over sustainable development policy. His recent books
the substantial energy demanded by the desalination include Energy Revolution: Toward an Energy-Efficient
process, along with potential negative impacts on Future for South Korea (with John Byrne et al.) and
the environment from returning the concentrated Water Conservation-Oriented Rates: Strategies to
brine back to sea (Lattemann et al. 2008). Nuclear, Extend Supply, Promote Equity, and Meet Minimum
Flow Levels (with William Smith et al.). He can be National Research Council. 2008. Desalination: A
contacted at youngdoo@udel.edu. National Perspective. Washington, D.C.: The
National Academies Press.
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Goddard Institute for Space Studies. 2007. Global and J. Song. 2006. Freshwater Management in
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giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.Txt. Conservation. In Velma Grover (ed.). Water: Global
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impact and impact assessment of seawater
desalination. Desalination 220: 1-15.
Mathioulakis, E., V. Belessiotis, and E. Delyannis. 2007.
Desalination by using alternative energy: Review
and state-of-the-art. Desalination 203: 346-365.
Meerganz von Medeazza, G. and V. Moreau. 2007.
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The legal status of ecosystem services is that they of Ecological Economics 2007) lends evidence
have none (Ruhl et al. 2007: 85). that scholars from other corners of academe
T
also recognize the importance of the ecological-
he multifaceted, applied nature of economic perspective. This begs the question: does
water resources makes it a classic an ecological economic approach provide a vibrant
interdisciplinary field of research. Civil research agenda for water resources geography in
engineering and hydrology were long the leaders the coming decades?
among water-related disciplines, while water law Neoclassical economics views the environment
and neoclassical economics focused on decision- as a subset of the economy; natural resources
making rules for water resources development such as water are an input to production and ‘the
and allocation. In fact, cost-benefit analysis was environment’ adsorbs its waste (Daly and Farley
invented by American economists as a means to 2004). Ecological economics, in contrast, views
evaluate public investment options in the mid-20th the human economy as a growing subset of the
century era of rapid water resources development biosphere. The enormously valuable and versatile
(Tietenberg 2003). When dealing with water asset of natural capital consists of both the stock of
resources, one bridge from geography has landed raw materials and energy sources available to the
in natural resource and environmental economics, economy and the fund of ecosystems tied to named
but the traffic crossing that bridge has never been places that provide essential services to society.
very brisk. Ecosystem services, a flexible and powerful concept
defined by the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
Economic Approaches to Water (2003) as the benefits that people derive directly
Resources: Ecological vs. Neoclassical and indirectly from ecosystems, is where water
resources geography and ecological economics
Since the 1980s, a new school of economic find fertile common ground.
thought – ecological economics – has emerged Economists, of course, have a predeliction for
that promises to greatly increase this traffic flow placing dollar values on things and ecosystem
and therefore require a broader and renewed services is no exception. Costanza’s et al. (1997)
bridge. From the point of view of many seminal paper valued ecosystem services at $33
neoclassical economists, ecological economics is trillion per year (about $5,000 per capita) compared
a renegade; Daly and Farley’s (2004) intriguing to a global economic product at the time of $25
textbook Ecological Economics: Principles and trillion, bringing to bear the notion that humans
Applications reads as an argument with many depend for their survival and quality of life equally
of the foundations of neoclassical economics. as much on a second, non-market, geographically
For geographers, though, ecological economic variable and specific, ecosystem services economy
arguments seem not just sound, but obvious and, as on the goods and services of the market economy.
perhaps, represent economics finally starting to get For example, we could describe agricultural and
it right. The exponential growth of papers published fishing economies at the periphery of the global
in Ecological Economics (International Society capitalist system as ecosystem service-intensive,
just as we could describe automobile manufacturing that accompanies ownership, cannot gain revenue
as capital-intensive. Ecosystems at the interface of from beneficiaries by providing ecosystem services
land and water – wetlands, floodplains, rivers and because they are non-excludable (once provided
lake margins as well as estuaries, seagrass beds, they accrue to the entire geographic area affected)
coral reefs, mangroves, and tidal marshes along the thereby inducing free ridership (Randall 1983). To
coasts – are the multipurpose ecosystem service those who have private rights in land and water,
factories of the planet providing over half of global ecosystem services are positive externalities and
service values from less than three percent of the are often provided only incidentally – carbon is
Earth surface (Table 1). Water is, therefore, the not deliberately sequestered, wetlands are not
most critical component of this second economy. deliberately restored. Ecosystem services are,
But how does the quantity of water, the quality of therefore, under-provided relative to their value
water, the location of water, and the timing of these, to society. Secondly, no one has a legal right to
provide ecosystem services? What ecosystem ecosystem services provided on neighboring or
services does it provide and for whom? These upstream land; if other townships build levees and
are questions with lengthy but important answers drain the wetlands landward of them, unprotected
that geographers would do well to pursue – even areas elsewhere on the same floodplain lose the
without asking the economist’s question of how flood control and other services those wetlands
many dollars they are worth. had provided (Ruhl et al. 2007). Yet they have no
The provision and allocation of ecosystem recourse because they never had any legal rights
services is central to ecological economics in those services in the first place (Bromley 1991,
(Daily 1997). Most geographers are familiar Tarlock 2000). In fact common law in the U.S.
with Hardin’s (1968) “tragedy of the commons” has built a wall, preventing owners of land and
thesis that describes one form of market failure water from having to consider the consequences
that occurs when the benefits of using an open on ecosystem services of their land and water use
access resource, such as ground water in the decisions. “The legal status of ecosystem services
Ogallala, cod in the North Atlantic, the capacity is that they have none” (Ruhl et al. 2007: 85).
of the atmosphere to process carbon emissions, or Most essentially, ecosystem services are a
the capacity of watersheds to process nitrogen in geographic phenomenon, though the geographic
fertilizer runoff, accrue privately to the user while analysis of ecosystem service flows from natural
the consequent reductions in resource availability capital sources to human beneficiaries is in its infancy
or ecosystem services are suffered broadly as (see Eade et al. 1996, Guo et al 2001, Konarska
negative externalities. The “tragedy of ecosystem et al. 2002, Sutton and Costanza 2002, Troy and
services” (Lant et al. 2008), however, occurs Wilson 2006). Empirical ecological economic
because, first, those who control land and water, studies, to the extent that they incorporate space
usually by possessing the limited bundle of rights at all, often utilize a benefit transfer approach that
Table 1. Ecosystem types ranked by the annual value of services provided per hectare. (Source: Costanza et al. 1997).
Ecosystem Total Global Cumulative
Global Cumulative
services Flow Value % of total
Rank Ecosystem Type Area (million % of total
(1994 $US (millions $US global ecosystem
hectares) global area
per hectare) per year) service value
1 Estuaries 22,832 180 4,110 0.35 12.35
2 Swamps/floodplains 19,580 165 3,231 0.67 21.76
3 Seagrass/algae beds 19,004 200 3,801 0.86 33.49
4 Wetlands 14,785 330 4,879 1.69 48.16
5 Tidal marsh/mangroves 9,990 165 1,648 2.21 53.11
6 Lakes/rivers 8,498 200 1,700 2.59 58.22
7 Coral reefs 6,075 82 375 2.75 59.35
(1) finds the ecosystem service value per hectare of value of specific properties. But each residence
various land use or ecological categories from pre- also receives a unique constellation of ecosystem
existing literature (often from Table 2 published in services and natural hazards that is constantly
Costanza et al. (1997)), (2) employ remote sensing changing due to the interaction between natural
to measure the area of these land uses or ecological fluctuations and human activities.
types, (3) multiply the former by the later, and (4) At larger spatial scales, regions partly control
add them up. The limitations of this approach their ecosystem service packages through the
raise a number of interesting questions that form economic activities that build their niche in the
a research agenda for geographers. How do the global economy. By importing energy, food, and
scale and spatial configuration of ecosystem types other raw materials from other regions, some core
affect the ecosystem services they provide? In economic regions (e.g., New England, Japan) are
particular, high-value ecosystems such as wetlands, able to preserve local natural capital funds such
rivers, seagrass beds and so forth are often, in as wetlands and forests and thereby maintain
landscape ecology terms, patches and corridors relatively bountiful ecosystem service flows. Other
rather than the landscape matrix. But are there natural resource-exporting regions (e.g. Indonesia,
also diminishing marginal ecological economic the Persian Gulf) depreciate their natural capital
returns? For example, are wetlands more valuable funds, thus suffering diminishment in ecosystem
on the margin when they cover five percent of a service provision to their populations (Dauvergne
watershed than fifty percent? 1997). This ecologically unequal exchange
Even more essential from a human geographic (Hornberg 1998) is of great interest in water
perspective is the spatial relationship between resource geography – witness the nearly universal
ecosystems, as the natural capital funds that opposition to projects that export water, even from
provide services, and human settlement patterns the most water-abundant regions and nations (Quinn
and the service beneficiaries they contain. Carbon 2007). Yet, through the “virtual water” required to
sequestration may be the only ecosystem service produce crops and the livestock that eat them, vast
for which location is not critical. Flood control quantities of water are traded internationally. The
benefits, in contrast, accrue to specific beneficiaries U.S. for example is the world’s greatest virtual
downstream along the floodplain or in coastal water exporter at 131 billion gallons per day –
areas prone to hurricane-induced storm surges roughly the flow of the Ohio River (Chapagain and
(e.g., Hurricane Katrina in 2005) or tsunamis Hoeskstra 2004). Valuable geographic research
(e.g. the December 26, 2004 disaster in the Indian lies in documenting and quantifying not only the
Ocean). Water purification benefits may follow flow of natural capital in the form of resource
similar geographical patterns, but crop pollination products among regions, but the less obvious
by bees more likely accrues from bee habitats changes these flows cause for ecosystem service
to neighboring orchards following an unknown provision, especially in exporting regions that can
distance decay function. Here we see a research suffer from problems of both water quality and
agenda in determining the geographic relationships water supply. To what extend does this mean that
between spatial configurations of ecosystems as the favorable ecosystem service packages of Japan,
suppliers of services and the locations where the New England, and some other affluent regions are
potential beneficiaries of these services live and indirect imports from the regions that provide their
work. food, energy and industrial raw materials?
Ecosystem services can also be analyzed from The geographic analysis of ecosystem services
the point of view of specific geographical locations, thus constitutes a vibrant research agenda for
such as a residence or a region. The meaning behind water resources geography for the next 20 years,
the real estate mantra ‘location, location, location’ one that will enrich both geography and ecological
has long implied that accessibility to social services economics by making more specific and tangible,
and amenities, and the impact of social risks such and therefore more applicable with a stronger legal
as crime, varies tremendously from point to point, standing, our growing understanding of ecosystem
especially within cities, and is capitalized into the services’ essential role in human well-being.
We are witnessing something unprecedented: transformation in the way in which water policies
Water no longer flows downhill. It flows towards are thought about, formulated, and implemented.
money (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.). In what follows, an outline is provided of some of
G
eographers have been engaged in research the vital issues and socio-natural properties of the
into access to safe drinking water for years. hydro-social cycle and charts the terrain for future
In fact, Abel Wolman helped chlorinate research.
the world’s water. Over the past few years and in
the wake of the resurgence of the environmental
Metabolizing the Global/Local
question on the political agenda, a growing body Hydro-Social Cycle: The Connection
of work has emerged on the political-economy and to Struggles for Power
political-ecology of water and water circulation
Changes in the use, management, and socio-
(Gandy 1997, Loftus 2005, Kaika 2005, Castro
political organization of the water cycle and
2006). This is re-defining the contours of water
social changes co-determine each other (Norgaard
resources research and opening up an exciting and
1994). Combined with the transformation of
vitally important research agenda for the years to
water’s terrestrial and atmospheric circulation,
come.
they produce distinct forms of hydro-social
Political-ecological perspectives on water
circulation and new relationships between local
suggest a close correlation between the transfor-
water circulations to global hydrological circuits.
mations of, and in, the hydrological cycle at
In other words, hydraulic environments are
local, regional and global levels on the one hand
socio-physical constructions that are actively
and relations of social, political, economic, and
and historically produced, both in terms of social
cultural power on the other (Swyngedouw 2004).
content and physical-environmental qualities.
In a sustained attempt to transcend the modernist
There is, therefore, nothing apriori unnatural about
nature – society binaries, hydro-social research
constructed environments such as dams, irrigation
envisions the circulation of water as a combined
systems, hydraulic infrastructures, and so forth
physical and social process, as a hybridized socio-
(Harvey 1996).
natural flow that fuses together nature and society
Produced environments are specific historical
in inseparable manners (Swyngedouw 2006a).
results of socio-biophysical processes. Most social
It calls for revisiting traditional fragmented and
processes and socio-ecological conditions (cities,
interdisciplinary approaches to the study of water
agricultural or industrial production systems and
by insisting on the inseparability of the social and
the like) are invariably sustained by and organized
the physical in the production of particular hydro-
through a combination of social processes on the
social configurations (Bakker 2003, Heynen et al.
one hand (such as capital/labor relations and forms
2005).
of organization of labor) and metabolic-ecological
Such a perspective opens all manner of new
processes (that is the biological, chemical or
and key research issues and urges considering a
physical transformation of ‘natural’ resources,
usually organized through a series of interlinked social transformations are imbedded in and infused
technologies) on the other (Heynen et al. 2005). by class, gender, ethnic or other power struggles.
These metabolisms (for example, the production These struggles will undoubtedly intensify in the
of potable water, agricultural products or computer near future as environmental change accelerates
chips) produce a series of both enabling and and this requires urgent scholarly attention.
disabling social and environmental conditions.
While environmental (both social and physical) Water Scarcities or Water Surpluses?
qualities may be enhanced in some places and for One of the pivotal terrains of environmental
some people, this often leads to a deterioration social struggle unfolds over access to, control
of social and physical conditions elsewhere (Peet over, and distribution of parts of the hydro-social
and Watts 1996, Keil 2000). Processes of socio- cycle. Powerful arguments have been mobilized in
environmental change are, therefore, never socially recent years that frame water as a fundamentally
or ecologically neutral. This results in conditions scarce resource in some places on the one hand,
under which particular trajectories of socio- and as posing immanent or real dangers due
environmental change undermine the stability or to overabundance in areas prone to flooding,
coherence of some social groups or environments, hurricanes, and the like on the other (Bakker
while the sustainability of others elsewhere might 2000, Kaika 2003). This area requires immediate
be enhanced. Consider, for example, how the and urgent attention, especially given impacts
provision of water to large cities often implies of climate change. Forms of relative scarcity in
carrying water over long distances from other relation to existing socio-physical conditions can
places or regions. The mobilization of water for be observed in particular historical-geographical
different uses in different places is a conflict- contexts. And, water power can wreck considerable
ridden process and each techno-social system for socio-climatologic havoc (e.g., in New Orleans in
organizing the flow and transformation of water 2005 or in the UK in 2007). Just as importantly,
(through dams, canals, pipes, and the like) shows the positive and negative socio-environmental
how social power is distributed in a given society consequences of such conditions are socially highly
(Swyngedouw 1999). For example, access to unevenly distributed, and are generated through the
potable water in the megacities of the Global South particular political and institutional organization of
is precarious for a large number of people despite the hydro-social cycle. While hegemonic neoliberal
the fact that the rich and powerful generally have arguments claim that the market offers the optimal
more than enough water available for necessary mechanism for the allocation of presumably
and luxury use. In sum, the political-ecological scarce water resources, and the literature on water-
examination of the hydro-social process reveals related hazards charts the uneven distribution
the inherently conflict-ridden nature of the process of the social effects engendered by such water
of socio-environmental change and teases out the crises, a political-ecological perspective insists
inevitable conflicts (or the displacements thereof) on, and traces, the fundamentally socially
that infuse socio-environmental change. Particular produced character of such inequitable hydro-
attention, therefore, needs to be paid to social social configurations (Swyngedouw 2006b, 2007).
power relations (whether material, economic, There is an urgent need, therefore, to theorize and
political, or cultural) through which hydro-social empirically substantiate the processes through
transformations take place. This would also include which particular socio-hydrological configurations
the analysis of the discourses and arguments that become produced that generate inequitable socio-
are mobilized to defend or legitimate particular hydrological conditions. Put simply, interventions
strategies. It is these power geometries and the in the organization of the hydrological cycle are
social actors carrying them that ultimately decide always political in character and therefore contested
who will have access to or control over, and who and contestable. This intrinsically social character
will be excluded from access to or control over, of water resources management and organization
resources or other components of the environment. needs to be teased out and clarified.
In sum, it will be vital to examine how hydro-
and equitable, also play a major role in determining Imagining Different Hydro-Social
access to safe water in less-wealthy settings (Smith, Metabolisms
Jr. 2008), the consideration and implementation of
these choices is a decidedly political process and To summarize, there are intricate and
should be analyzed as such. multidimensional relationships between the socio-
technical organization of the hydro-social cycle,
Governing Hydro-Social Configurations the associated power geometries that choreograph
Hydro-social configurations, of course, generally access to and exclusion from water, as well as the
reflect hegemonic political, social, and cultural uneven political power relations that affect flows
preferences. Ever since Karl Wittfogel’s seminal of water. There is an urgent need to explore the
work on the relationship between autocratic power various ways in which social power in its different
and hydrological systems, it has become clear economic, cultural, and political expressions
that social power becomes articulated through fuse together with water management principles,
socio-technical systems (Wittfogel 1957). This is choice of technological systems, and structures
as true for the Three Gorges Dam in China as for of supply, delivery, and evacuation of water. To
the management of the Upper and Lower Colorado the extent that there is indeed a close relationship
River, or irrigation of vineyards in California. between hydro-social ordering and political-
There is an urgent need, therefore, to explore the economic configurations or, in other words,
intricate relationship between political systems, between the “nature of society” and the “nature
and the use, management, and distribution of of its water flows,” every hydro-social project
water and organization of the hydro-social system. reflects a particular type of socio-environmental
In particular, questions arise as to the relationship organization. Imagining different, more inclusive,
between democratic governance on the one hand sustainable and equitable forms of hydro-social
and water management on the other. It is now organization implies imagining different and more
commonly recognized that many large hydro- effective, assumingly democratic, forms of social
social systems are associated with autocratic organization. This challenge is probably the most
political and institutional organizations (Worster pressing one, and one that requires a sustained
1985, Swyngedouw 2006b). The present debate intellectual endeavor and the mobilization of
over water resources often sacrifices democratic significant creative energies of all those who make
governance on the altar of technological or water their terrain of scholarly work.
economic efficiency, while safeguarding existing
power relations. Exploring the relationship between
Author Bio and Contact Information
democracy, water governance and social power is a Erik Swyngedouw is Professor of Geography at the
vitally important research question. There are also School of Environment and Development of Manchester
quality questions to be asked regarding the capacity University. He previously taught at Oxford University
of democratic and other systems to deal with crises and was Fellow of St. Peter’s College. He is the author
that can be associated with drought, floods, and of, among others, Social Power and the Urbanization
disease. This is particularly acute as water-related of Water (Oxford University Press 2004) and co-editor
of In the Nature of Cities (Routledge 2006). He has
crises are bound to increase both in number and
written extensively on the political ecology and the
in scale. There is an urgent need, therefore, to political economy of water. He can be contacted at erik.
consider democratic modes of water governance swyngedouw@manchester.ac.uk.
on a variety of interrelated geographical scales.
This is particularly acute in regions with strongly References
competing water demands (e.g., urban vs. rural
demand regarding scarce water) on the one hand, Bakker, K. 2000. Privatizing Water: Producing
or where significant socio-political tensions propel Scarcity: The Yorkshire Drought of 1995. Economic
Geography 76 (1): 4-27.
water to be used as a formidable geo-political
weapon (e.g., in the recent threat by Israel to cut Bakker, K. 2003. An Uncooperative Commodity -
off Gaza’s water supply). Privatizing Water in England and Wales. Oxford:
T
he early decades of the 21st century will Centre for Science and Environment on rainwater
witness increased efforts to learn from water harvesting; and the International Rivers Network on
experiences and experiments in distant basin development). Other sections of this journal
places and times. Water problems in different issue include many examples of international
regions are increasingly linked through processes research, so this section focuses on theoretical,
of globalization that drive the international methodological, and organizational trends – and
diffusion of water technologies, policies, and water vibrant research opportunities – for comparative
use patterns, as well as global climate change that research. The first section documents the implicit
has regional manifestations and teleconnections use of comparison in contemporary water research.
that cascade through regional hydrologic systems. The second section argues for a shift to explicit
Information technologies and international comparative research on critical water problems.
organizations will also facilitate comparative The third and fourth sections show how long-
international water inquiry. But many areas, term historical research and analogical methods
including wealthy countries such as the U.S., have contribute to that goal. The final section outlines
been slow to draw upon international experience how future research along these lines can inform
(Wescoat, Theobald, and Headington 2008). The water resource management adjustment, planning,
U.S. National Research Council’s (2004) report and design.
on Confronting the Nation’s Water Problems: The
Role of Research did not document significant Implicit Comparisons in Water
federal support of international water research Research
over the past 25 years, although there have been a
variety of U.S. Aid for International Development, Much water research is comparative insofar as it
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and U.S. cites previous research, involves multiple cases, and
Army Corps of Engineers international research examines multiple methods or working hypotheses.
programs. Close examination of these implicit comparisons
A century earlier, U.S. water scientists traveled has relevance for more formal comparative
around the world searching for ways to address research on distant places and different periods
issues such as development of the Central Valley of time, which one observes in research on scale
of California (Wescoat 2000). The problem is and scaling in hydrology and water management
extensive – there are few comparisons of major (Wescoat 2003). Table 1 offers a typology of
flood hazards problems and programs underway on implicit and explicit comparisons observed in The
mainland rivers such as the Ganges-Brahmaputra, Earth as Transformed by Human Action: Global
Indus, Mekong, Huang Ho, and Yangtze, not to and Regional Changes in the Biosphere over the
mention the unprecedented Bangladesh Flood Past 300 Years (Turner et al. 1990).
Action Plan. Yet there is growing evidence of Global change research will continue to be a
informal, non-governmental, and historical lines driving force for comparative international inquiry,
of comparative research that offer promising though it will need to be increasingly critical of
directions (e.g., Duryog Nivaram on hazards, the uneven, sometimes useless, international datasets
Table 1. Outline of Comparative Approaches in Turner et al. (1990) (with selected chapter citation and
notes) (Source: Wescoat 1994).
1 GLOBAL: GLOBAL
• Compare Present Conditions with Baseline
• Compare Natural and Anthropogenic Sources
• Geographic Units-19 Components (Part II)
• Time Scale-Eons to Centuries
2 COMPONENTS: COMPONENT
• Scale Varies-19 Components (Part II)
• Compare Magnitudes (Quantities, Deviations from Normals)
• Compare Trajectories (Shape of Curves)
• Compare Scale-Control-Response Relations (Chapter 9)
3 GLOBAL AVERAGE: REGIONAL VARIATIONS
• Geographic Units – Continents; Countries; Physiographic and Ecological Regions; Localities
• Compare Uses (e.g., Types of Water Use, Chapters 14 and 15)
• Compare Magnitudes (e.g., Population data, Chapter 3)
• Compare Regional Patterns (e.g., population, Chapter 2)
• Comparison or Analogy? (Part: Whole)
4 GLOBAL COMPONENTS: REGIONAL CASES
• Twelve Regions (Part III)
• Regional Consequences of Global Climate Change (Chapter 34)
• Global Consequences of Regional Land-Use Change (Chapter 30)
• Integrate Global History and Regional Cases (Chapters 10 and 11)
5 REGION: REGION
• Approach: “Varieties of Environmental Transformation”
• General Issues: Defining the Region; Regional Change; Historical Geographic Framework
• Research Design Issues: Case Study Protocol; Case Study Selection; Case Study Grouping
• Two-Region Comparisons
• Cross-Cutting Comparisons
6 REGION: ITSELF
• Numerous (All Chapters, especially Chapter 42)
• Historical Change (“One Region” Comparisons)
• Subregion Comparisons
7 PERSPECTIVE: PERSPECTIVE
• Varieties of Understanding: Meaning of Change; Explanation of Change (Parts I and IV)
• Small Sample: Variables > Chapters
• Comparison or Juxtaposition?
8 NORMATIVE COMPARISON
• Retrospective: “What Ought to be the Human Use of the Earth?”
• Limited Coverage (Editorial Introductions; Chapters 8, 40, and 41)
• Potential Extensions of the Varieties of….” Genre
(e.g., national-scale access to safe water and proceed through a chain of water resources impacts
sanitation data) (Gleick 2009, Satterthwaite 2003). using different models and data that propagate
Global change research also employs scenario uncertainties to levels that, at present, offer a
methods that begin with climate variability and powerful impression of potential impacts but only
a limited basis for rigorous comparison of water and water rights reform. Two opportunities for
policy alternatives. future research include developing effective
Thus, one opportunity for future research in communication among comparable yet different
the next twenty years will be to demonstrate how research approaches, and developing credible
reanalysis of previous research and data can, international peer review processes that draw upon
and cannot, inform comparative water policy. A comparative international cases (e.g., as pursued
second challenge will be to redesign data collection by the World Commission on Dams).
strategies to enable meaningful comparisons Intergovernmental organizations such as the
(e.g., of city-specific provision of safe water and World Water Forum and World Water Council
sanitation rather than aggregate national figures). have become inter-annual venues for moving from
A third opportunity lies in determining the daily struggles to international change, though
combinations of rigorous comparative methods they often display the activists’ impatience with
that best apply to different water problems. long-term research, which is understandable, but
mistaken, for reasons indicated below.
Comparing Critical Water Problems
International Water Histories
Future comparative research will emerge
from concern about critical water problems; that As new water organizations make history, they
is, pressing issues that may be aggravated under will also be well-advised to draw upon the rich body
future conditions. Current examples include water of historical research on water problems. Historical
conflict worldwide, water scarcity, participatory research sheds light on how problems emerge
watershed management, water poverty, ground across different geographic conditions and time
water governance, water and gender-equity, water- scales. Archaeological research also sheds light on
related hazards, dams and development, human the long-term sustainability of pre-modern water
rights to water, water privatization and pricing, and experiments (e.g., irrigation, storage, and water
so forth (Moench et al. 2001-3, Swyngedouw 2004, lifting systems). Comparative inquiry exploded in
Thompson 2001, Wolf 2009, World Commission on the mid-20th century with Karl Wittfogel’s (1964)
Dams www.dams.org, to offer a few examples). Oriental Despotism: A Comparative Study of Total
International research organizations will play Terror (Figure 2), whose notoriety stimulated
new roles in expanding the scope and application intense international irrigation research (Wescoat
of international comparison. For example, the 2000). Notably absent are comparisons of colonial
Pacific Institute has published biennial reviews water regimes, post-colonial basin development,
in The World’s Water and other reports on and internationally networked non-governmental
critical international water issues (Gleick 2009, water movements. Establishment of the
www.pacinst.org). The Institute for Social and International Water History Association (IWHA)
Environmental Transition (http://www.i-s-e- promises to greatly expand research on long-term
t.org) is a virtual research group that undertakes change in water systems (www.iwha.org). IWHA
comparative ground water and water hazards has published A History of Water (Jakobsson
research in the U.S., Nepal, India, and Pakistan. 2004) in three volumes that, along with work by
At larger scales, international organizations from the American Society for Environmental History,
the International Water Management Institute to the Institute for Environmental Historians, and
the Self-Employed Women’s Association, both related agricultural, technological, archaeological,
in South Asia, have developed around some of and public history organizations helps support and
the critical water problems listed above. They disseminate historical research on international
challenge bi-lateral and multi-lateral organizations water policy.
such as U.S. Aid for International Development and Other organizations will shed light on long-term
the World Bank that dominated the field in the 20th change in water law and policy (e.g., the UNESCO
century, in part by mobilizing critical international Centre for Water Law, Policy and Science at Dundee
policy reviews of large dams, participatory Scotland (http://www.dundee.ac.uk/water/); and
watershed management, sanitation programs, the UN FAO Legislative Branch (http://www.fao.
paving, microirrigation, constructed wetlands and basin scales. Professor Wescoat publishes on the water-
much more around the world. Rainwater harvesting conserving design of Indo-Islamic gardens and cities.
and oral rehydration therapies travel from South He has conducted policy research in the Colorado, Indus,
Asia to the U.S., while ecological stormwater Ganges, and Great Lakes basins. In 2003 he published
Water for Life: Water Management and Environmental
management practices flow in the reverse direction
Policy with geographer Gilbert F. White; and in 2007 he
(France 2002). Urban Long-Term Ecological co-edited Political Economies of Landscape Change:
Research projects in Baltimore and Phoenix Places of Integrative Power. He can be contacted at
subject these design innovations to monitoring and wescoat@mit.edu.
evaluation, which will ideally bring comparative
water resource geography and design much closer References
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earlier approaches overlooked or aggravated. It National Research Council, Washington.
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W
ater management is, by definition, involved. Add international boundaries, and the
conflict management. Postel (1999) chances decrease yet again.
describes the roots of the problem: Surface and ground water that cross international
Water, unlike other scarce, consumable resources, boundaries present increased challenges to regional
is used to fuel all facets of society, from biologies stability because hydrologic needs can often be
to economies to aesthetics and spiritual practice. overwhelmed by political considerations. While
Moreover, it fluctuates wildly in space and time, its the potential for paralyzing disputes is especially
management is usually fragmented, and it is often high in these basins, history shows that water can
subject to vague, arcane, and/or contradictory legal catalyze dialogue and cooperation, even between
principles. There is no such thing as managing water especially contentious riparians. There are 263
for a single purpose – all water management is rivers around the world that cross the boundaries
multi-objective and based on navigating competing of two or more nations, and an untold number of
interests. Within a nation, these interests include international ground water aquifers. The catchment
domestic users, agriculturalists, hydropower areas that contribute to these rivers comprise
generators, those seeking recreation, and approximately 47 percent of the land surface of the
environmentalists – any two of which are regularly earth, include 40 percent of the world’s population,
at odds – and the chances of finding mutually and contribute almost 80 percent of fresh water
acceptable solutions drop as more stakeholders are flow (Figure 1) (Wolf et al. 1999).
environmentalists, for example, often see water found conclusions that were counter-intuitive.
as tied to their very way of life, increasingly Arid climates harbored no more conflicts than
threatened by newer uses for cities and hydropower. humid climates, for instance, and international
Numerous violent incidents have occurred at cooperation actually increased during droughts.
the sub-national level, generally between tribes, In fact, when we ran the numbers, none of the
water-use sectors, or states/provinces. In fact, “obvious” variables proved decisive: Democracies
our recent research at Oregon State suggests that engaged in water conflict as often as autocracies,
as the level at which the dispute occurs descends rich countries as often poor countries, densely
towards the locality, the likelihood and intensity of populated countries as often sparsely populated
violence goes up (Giordano et al. 2002). The many ones, and large countries as often as small ones.
examples of internal water conflicts range from A more central variable, it turned out, was the
interstate violence and death along the Cauvery strength of institutions for dealing with shared
River in India, to California farmers blowing up a water resources. If naturally arid countries
pipeline meant for Los Angeles, to �������������������
clashes between tended to be more cooperative, it was due to the
Chinese farmers and police in Shandong in 2000 in institutional strategies necessary for adapting to
response to government plans to divert irrigation water-scarce environments. Once we began to
water to cities and industries. focus on institutions – whether defined by formal
As water quality degrades or quantity diminishes treaties, informal working groups, or generally
over time, the effect on the stability of a region can warm relations – we began to get a clearer picture
be unsettling. For example, for the thirty years of the settings most conducive to solving political
that the Gaza Strip was under Israeli occupation, tensions over international waters, and those that
water quality deteriorated steadily. Salt water are less favorable.
intrusion degraded local wells, and water-related We found that the likelihood of conflict increases
diseases took a rising toll on the people living significantly whenever two factors come into play.
there. In 1987, the Palestinian uprising known The first is any large or rapid change that occurs
as the Intifada broke out in the Gaza Strip, and either in the basin’s physical setting (typically the
quickly spread throughout the West Bank. While it construction of a dam, river diversion, or irrigation
would be simplistic to claim that water quality was scheme), or in its political setting (especially the
a direct cause of the conflict, it was undoubtedly an breakup of a nation that results in new international
irritant exacerbating an already tenuous situation. rivers). The second factor is the inability of existing
Two-thirds or more of the world’s water use institutions to absorb and effectively manage that
is dedicated to agriculture, so when access to change. This is typically the case when there is
irrigation water is threatened, one result can be neither any treaty spelling out each nation’s rights
mass migrations of out-of-work, disgruntled men and responsibilities with regard to the shared
from the countryside to the cities – invariably a river, nor any implicit agreements or cooperative
recipe for political instability. In pioneering work, arrangements. Even the existence of technical
Sandra Postel identified those countries that rely working groups can provide some capability to
heavily on irrigation and whose agricultural water manage contentious issues, as they have in the
supplies are threatened either by a decline in quality Middle East.
or quantity. The list includes many of the world’s The overarching lesson of our study is that
current security concerns, including India, China, unilateral actions to construct a dam or river
Pakistan, Iran, Uzbekistan, Bangladesh, Iraq, and diversion in the absence of a treaty or other
Egypt. protective international mechanism is highly
A common assumption holds that scarcity of a destabilizing to a region, often spurring decades
critical resource drives people to conflict. It feels of hostility before cooperation is pursued. In
intuitive: The less there is of something, especially other words, the red flag for water-related tension
something as important as water, the more dear it between countries is not water stress per se, but
is held and the more likely people are to fight over rather the unilateral exercise of domination of an
it. Once again, though, our study at Oregon State international river, usually by a regional power.
Why Might the Future Look Nothing political conflict and cooperation (see www.
Like the Past? transboundarywaters.orst.edu) goes back to
1948. In some ways, water management is very
Some aspects of the future will probably look similar now as it was then (or, for that matter, as
very similar to the present, especially the potential it was 5,000 years ago). But some fundamental
for the global wealthy to be able to adapt to change, aspects are profoundly different. Institutions are
while the poor will not. Consider for example, the getting better and more resilient, management and
problem of flooding in the Netherlands versus in understanding are improving, and these issues
Bangladesh. Both are low lying countries with are increasingly on the radar screen of global and
little topography, and both are subject to the local decision-makers. But most importantly, the
hazards of flooding potentially exacerbated by 21st century has access to new technology which
rising sea levels. Multi-million dollar sea-walls are could not be dreamed of in 1948, and which adds
built to protect the Netherlands, with the result that substantially to the ability both to negotiate and to
flood-related deaths and damage are negligible, manage transboundary waters more effectively:
while every year thousands die amid wide-spread • Major advances are being made regularly
devastation in Bangladesh. Similarly, few suffer in water technologies designed either to
from the effects of water shortage in the more- increase supply – e.g., desalination, waste
wealthy world, while 2.2 to 5 million people die water reclamation – or decrease demand –
every year in the developing world from water- e.g., drip irrigation, plant genetics, low-flow
related causes (Gleick 1996). While there are gains utilities. As a country’s economy grows, its
to access to drinking water and sanitation, in the per capita water use initially grows as well, but
less-wealthy world, people will continue to suffer eventually can drop in water stressed regions,
and die at unprecedented rates, and ecosystem as has been the case in Israel and California;
degradation will continue at alarming rates.
Yet, the entire basis of the Oregon State study • Modular modeling systems such as STELLA,
rests on the not unassailable assumption that we Waterware, and Riverware can now be used
can tell something about the future by looking at for comprehensive modeling of hydrologic
the past. It is worth stopping at this point, then, and and human systems. Because of their modular
challenging the very foundation of that assumption: design, they can also act as a facilitation
Why might the future look nothing at all like the tool by allowing managers/negotiators to
past? What new approaches or technologies are cooperatively build the model, increasing the
on the horizon to change or ameliorate the risk to joint knowledge base and communications.
the basins we have identified, or even to the whole Graphical User Interfaces allow for each
approach to basins at risk? component to be brought together into an
By definition, a discussion of the future can not have intuitive, user-friendly setting;
the same empirical backing as a historical study – the • Geographic Information Systems (GIS) allow
data just are not there yet. Yet there are cutting edge several spatial data layers, encompassing
developments and recent trends that, if one examined biophysical, socioeconomic and geopolitical
them within the context of this study, might suggest parameters, to be viewed and analyzed
some possible changes in store for transboundary graphically, while advances in remote sensing
waters in the near future. What follows, then, are allow for flow data to be collected from
several possibly fundamental changes in the way we ungauged basins, simultaneously reducing
approach transboundary waters, and implications the options for holding data secret; and,
for how the research agenda may both shape and be • Real time monitoring tools, such as radio-
shaped by these developments. controlled gauging stations, add new options
for real time management, and allocations
New Technologies for Negotiation based on existing hydrologic settings rather
and Management than fixed quantities.
The Oregon State University data set of While new technologies and data cannot replace
the political good will necessary for creative is related in part to the rate of change within a
solutions, nor are they widely available outside basin. It is also clear from most climate studies that
the developed world, they can, if appropriately it is precisely the rate of change of the global and
deployed, allow for more robust negotiations and regional hydrologic cycles that are most likely to
greater flexibility in joint management. be exacerbated by global climate change (Michael
Historically, data has been a tool incorporated in and Pandya 2009, Svendsen and Künkel 2009).
power relations between riparians where, generally, While some areas will become wetter and some
the relatively greater access to information by the drier, the variability of extreme events will likely
regional hegemon has influenced process; Egypt increase throughout much of the world. Since
on the Nile, India on the Ganges, and Israel on the violence becomes likely when change exceeds the
Jordan have all been cited as examples (Zeitoun rate of institutional capacity to absorb the change,
and Mirumachi 2008). increased variability will put greater stress on the
Today there are numerous signs of how specific hydro-political system. For example, the entire
technologies are subtly transforming conflict water rights and distribution network of many parts
resolution, negotiations, and decision dynamics in of the world rely on the natural storage of water
water conflicts. For example, software and visual resources in the snow packs of mountain ranges,
displays facilitate the joint creation of models snow packs projected to decrease dramatically in
of water resources by political and technical coming years in much of the world. With more water
stakeholders (United States Army Corps of flowing earlier in the year, water allocations in the
Engineers 2006). They also raise the real potential dry months will become increasingly threatened,
for expanding options for political negotiators and at the same time as devastation during wet months
decision makers. And as negotiation theory tells will increase, combining to put dangerous stresses
us, the ability to expand options is often the key to on agriculture, industry, and generally on regional
successful negotiations. natural and human resources (Dinar et al. 2009).
Remote sensing technology, while not replacing Climate change is already front and center of
the need for “ground truthing,” gives countries and the vibrant research agenda and its implications
jurisdictions the ability to build a fairly accurate threaten to become overstated. In absolute terms,
picture of water flow in other jurisdictions, the bulk of the water crisis falls to ancient causes
regardless of the level of data sharing. This – population and poverty – yet the increase in
technological capability is and will continue variability and uncertainty cannot be ignored.
to transform the relationships and negotiations
among jurisdictions. Trying to keep it all secret or Globalization: Private Capital,
giving misleading data just won’t work like it used WTO, and Circumvented Ethics
to; more people have more access to data. And all
of this technology is disseminating, democratizing, Very little of the recent attention on globalization
faster than anyone predicted. and the rise of the World Trade Organization (WTO)
Virtually all of the world’s viable river basin has centered on water resources, but there is a
organizations evolved, usually over a period of definite water component to these processes. One
several decades, in response to extreme hydrologic of the most profound is the shift of development
events. The achievement of shared data and trusted funds from global and regional development banks
technical expertise has been central to their success. such as the World Bank and the Asia Development
The interplay between the political and technical Bank to private multinationals, such as Bechtel,
in achieving this state is complicated. But river Vivendi and Ondeo (formerly Lyonnaise des Eaux)
basin organization viability, often demanded by (see for example, Anderson and Snyder 1997,
the populations served, has ultimately depended in Finger and Allouche 2002). Development banks
great part on such trusted technical agents. have, over the years, been susceptible to public
pressures and ethics and, as such, have developed
Global Climate Change procedures for evaluating social and environmental
impacts of projects, and incorporating them in
It is clear that the likelihood of political tension
decision making. On international waters, each stage at both the 2000 and 2003 World Water Forums
development bank has guidelines that generally for an unresolved show-down against those who
prohibit development unless all riparians agree to would define water as a human or ecosystem right
the project, which in and of itself has promoted (Gleick 2005). The debate looms large over the
successful negotiations in the past. Current research future of water resources: if water is a commodity,
on the viability of a potential canal between the Red and if the World Trade Organization rules disallow
and Dead Seas, for example, required extensive obstacles to the trade of commodities, will nations
negotiations that resulted in first-ever political be forced to sell their water? While far-fetched
recognition of Israel, Jordan, and Palestine as legal now (even as a California company is challenging
riparians to the Jordan River (Fischhendler 2008). British Columbia over precisely such an issue under
Private enterprises have no such restrictions, and North American Free Trade Agreement rules), the
nations eager to develop controversial projects globalization debate between market forces and
have been increasingly turning to private capital to social forces continue to play out in microcosm in
circumvent public ethics. The most controversial the world of water resources.
projects of the day – Turkey’s Greater Anatolia
Project, India’s Narmada River project, and China’s The Geopolitics of Desalination
Three Gorges Dam – are all proceeding through Twice in the last 50 years – during the 1960s
the studied avoidance of development banks and nuclear energy fervor, and in the late 1980s, with
their mores (Finger and Allouche 2002). “discoveries” in cold fusion – much of the world
There is a more subtle effect of globalization, briefly thought it was on the verge of having access
though, which has to do with the World Trade to close-to-free energy supplies. “Too cheap to
Organization and its emphasis on privatization meter” was the phrase during the Atoms for Peace
and full cost recovery of investments. Local and Conference. While neither the economics nor the
national governments, which have traditionally technology finally supported these claims, it is not
implemented and subsidized water development far fetched to picture changes that could profoundly
systems to keep water prices down, are under alter the economics of desalination.
increasing pressure from the forces of globalization The marginal cost of desalinated water (between
to develop these systems through private companies. US$0.55 and US$0.80/m3) makes it currently cost-
These large multinational water companies in turn effective only in the developed world, where (1)
manage for profit and, if they use development the water will be used for drinking water; (2) the
capital, are pushed to recover the full cost of population to whom the water will be delivered
their investment. This can translate not only into lives along a coast and at low elevations; and (3)
immediate and substantial rises in the cost of there are no alternatives. The only places not so
water, disproportionately affecting the poor, but restricted are where energy costs are especially
also to greater eradication of local and indigenous low, notably the Arabian Peninsula. A fundamental
management systems and cultures. If there is to shift either in energy prices or in membrane
be water-related violence in the future, it is much technology could bring costs down substantially.
more likely to be of the “water riots” variety If either happened to the extent that the marginal
against a Bechtel development in Bolivia in 1999 cost allowed for agricultural irrigation with ocean
than “water wars” across national boundaries. water (around US$.08/m3 on average), a large
As World Trade Organization rules are elaborated proportion of the world’s water supplies would
and negotiated, real questions remain as to how shift from rivers and shallow aquifers to the ocean
much of this process will be required of nations (an unlikely, but plausible, scenario). And the price
in the future, simply to retain membership in the of desalinization is dropping, dramatically. The
organization. The “commodification” of water as bid prices for a project in Tampa Bay, Florida, are
a result of these forces is a case in point. Over less than half of what were considered the lowest
the last twenty years, global water policy meetings cubic meter prices for desalinated water less than
have passed resolutions that, among other issues, 10 years ago. This change in price is important
defined water as an “economic good,” setting the because the trend for desalinization, in many ways,
makes it look more competitive with other sources. major ways: (1) acquire, analyze, and coordinate
And we should remember that most of the world’s the primary data necessary for good empirical
population lives close to the coast. work; (2) identify indicators of future water
Besides the fundamental economic changes that disputes and/or insecurity in regions most at risk;
would result, geopolitical thinking about water and (3) train tomorrow’s water managers in an
systems would also need to shift. Currently, there integrated fashion.
is inherent political power in being an upstream The internet’s initial mandate is still one of the
riparian, and thus controlling the headwaters. In best: to allow communication between researchers
the scenario for cheap desalination, that spatial around the world to exchange information and
position of power would shift from mountains to enhance collaboration. The surplus of primary
the valleys and from the headwaters to the coast. data currently threatens an information overload
Many nations, such as Israel, Egypt, and Iraq, in the developed world, while the most basic
that currently dependent on upstream neighbors information is often lacking in the developing
for their water supply would, by virtue of their world. Data availability not only allows for greater
coastlines, suddenly find roles reversed – again, understanding of the physical world but, by adding
unlikely, but plausible. information and knowledge from the social,
economic, and political realms, indicators showing
The Changing Sources of Water and regions at risk can be identified.
the Changing Nature of Conflict Moreover, universities are best suited to train
those who will resolve tomorrow’s water disputes,
Both the worlds of water and of conflict are and programs at, for example, UNESCO/IHE-
undergoing slow but steady changes that may Delft, the University of Dundee, Linkopping
obviate much of the thinking in this paper. University, Tufts University, and Oregon State
As surface water supplies and easy-to-access University are allowing students to focus both
ground water sources are increasingly exploited on conflict transformation and in the science
throughout the world, two major changes result: 1) and policy of water resources. UNESCO, the
Quality is steadily becoming a more serious issue World Bank, and the Universities Partnership for
to many than quantity; and 2) Water use is shifting Transboundary Waters have been developing and
to less traditional sources (see, for example, Smith compiling curricula and skills-building manuals to
and Wang 2007). Many of these sources – such help train the water champions of tomorrow.
as deep fossil aquifers, waste water reclamation, In addition, much useful research needs to be
and interbasin transfers – are not restricted by the done in areas such as the following:
confines of watershed boundaries, our fundamental 1. Studies of international water resource
unit of analysis in this study. Moreover, agreements that analyze how agreements
population and income-driven food demand will develop and what the internal and external
grow exponentially in coming years, putting conditions are for their success;
unprecedented pressures on water demand.
2. Studies of the actual operations of dispute
Conflict, too, is becoming less traditional,
clauses and assisted negotiations under
increasingly being driven by internal or local
current water resources agreements and river
pressures, or more subtle issues of poverty and
basin organizations;
stability. The combination of changes, in water
resources and in conflict, suggest that tomorrow’s 3. Studies of the reasons for past successes
water disputes may look very different from and failures of international water resources
today’s. dispute management;
4. Research that relates methods of managing
Implications for Tomorrow’s Research conflicts to the types of water resources
decisions we are likely to take. For examples,
Universities and research agencies can best how do regulatory versus planning versus
contribute to alleviation of the water crisis in three free market versus assisted negotiation
approaches affect water resources decisions research community of the next 20 years.
such as design, implementation, construction,
operations, and maintenance? Who is End Notes
involved at what levels in these decisions? 1. This paper draws from: “A Long Term View of
How successful have we been in looking at Water and Security: International Waters, National
the social utility functions of each? What does Issues, and Regional Tensions,” presented at
each approach tell us about equity, efficiency, a NATO Advanced Research Workshop on
and fairness? How does each approach Transboundary Natural Resources Governance in
generate options and trade-offs? Regions of Extreme Conditions, Ein Gedi, Israel,
19-21 November 2007.
5. Studies that integrate theories from a variety
of disciplines, such as community building, 2. Excluded are events where water is incidental
to a dispute, such as those concerning fishing
international negotiations, alternative dispute
rights, access to ports, transportation, or river
resolution, and multiple objective planning in boundaries. Also excluded are events where water
water resource management; is not the driver, such as those where water is a
6. Studies that examine the role of current tool, target, or victim of armed conflict. Zeitoun
international lender and donor institutions. and Mirumchi (2008) argue further that events are
To what degree may they become more not either conflictive or cooperative, but rather
facilitators of agreement as opposed to usually have elements of both.
evaluators and/or designers of solutions? In Acknowledgments
what ways can those institutions that deal
with water improve their behavior so as to I am tremendously grateful to Bill Smith, of the
help prevent conflicts? University of Nevada, Las Vegas, for initiating and
7. Research that discerns how our water fostering this collection, as I am to Chris Lant for
resources experiences – namely, whether we bringing it all together.
live in humid or arid areas – in turn affect
our perceptions, and how such perceptions,
Author Bio and Contact Information
in turn, affect both our own policies and those Aaron T. Wolf is a professor of geography in the
policies we may recommend for others; Department of Geosciences at Oregon State University.
8. Research to assess and describe where and His research and teaching focus is on the interaction
between water science and water policy, particularly
how intra- and international-state water issues
as related to conflict prevention and resolution. He
could threaten political and social security; is co-author of Managing and Transforming Water
9. Examination of whether increased integration Conflicts (Cambridge University Press 2009), Core
of infrastructure between hostile neighbors and Periphery: A Comprehensive Approach to Middle
increases or decreases likelihood of conflict; Eastern Water (Oxford University Press 1997), and
10. Study of what is minimum data necessary for editor of Conflict Prevention and Resolution in Water
informed policy decisions; and, Systems (Elgar 2002). A trained mediator/facilitator,
Wolf directs the Program in Water Conflict Management
11. Studies of the impacts of globalization, and Transformation, through which he has offered
privatization, and commodification of water workshops, facilitations, and mediation in basins
resources. throughout the world (www.transboundarywaters.orst.
The history of sharing waters is a rich one, edu). He can be contacted at wolfa@geo.oregonstate.
filled with nuanced collaborations and practical edu.
applications. Yet the resources are threatened by References
dangers old – population and poverty chief among
them – and new – climate change and commodi- Anderson, T. L. and Snyder, P. 1997. Water Markets:
fication, for example. Avoiding crises and violence Priming the Invisible Pump. Washington, DC: Cato
in the future will require heroic effort and political Institute.
will, and will rely heavily on the work of the vibrant Dinar, S., O. Odom, A. McNally, and B. Blankespoor.
2009. Climate Change and State Grievances: The
T
he major human-environment issue in wishes to withdraw water from fragile ecosystems
America’s arid and semi-arid Southwest that ranchers have traditionally used. This is in
region is urban growth. Arid region growth order to feed the growth in water demand in Las
is a phenomena that extends beyond the U.S., but Vegas and surrounding areas. Deacon et al. (2007)
the American case is interesting, in that it is an provide a sobering article on the past extinctions
extreme scenario, and the politics regarding water of springs in Southern Nevada due to over-
are notably multi-scale, multi-state, multi-agency, development. He also challenges the development
and vitriolic in the region. In fact, Las Vegas is of rural water, primarily on the basis of impacts on
the most rapidly growing metropolitan area in fragile desert ecosystems. Deacon is best known
the nation, and the Lower Colorado River Basin for his ground-breaking work on the desert pup
includes two other areas that are also in the top ten fish, a highly endangered relic species of fish living
in terms of growth rate – the Phoenix, and the San in the top of aquifers in the region.
Bernardino-Riverside areas. Furthermore, the U.S. The extreme climatic conditions of such desert
Census Bureau projects that the states of Nevada cities provides remarkable challenges to planning
and Arizona will lead the nation in terms of rates of for development and resource management that
population growth between 2005 and 2010, while sustains people and ecological systems over
California, with southern parts of the state receiving generations (i.e. sustainability). This region has
Lower Colorado River Basin water, will lead the never been capable of supporting permanent high-
U.S. in total population increase. “Drought” has density populations in the past, and only the birth
been omnipresent in the hydropolitics of the region of specialized high-technology has the ability to
in recent years, but when persons see boat slips shift this paradigm. In this region, like much of
hanging in the air over where Lake Mead used the industrialized and wealthy world, the main
to be, and the lake is below 50 percent capacity, water concerns focus on water quantity, especially
the question now often raised by locals, scientists, during drought, whereas in less-wealthy parts of
and reporters traveling internationally to cover the the world the focus is on quality (Smith Jr. 2009,
issue is, “is this drought or climate change?” 2008a, 2008b, 2006).
Notably, the top 21 U.S. cities with the highest that is created when millions of people rapidly move
average July temperatures are in Nevada and to deserts without the local water supply normally
Arizona. Moreover, current global climate model necessary to support them. I speculate based on
simulations for the 21st century are unanimous in the play for water that the Southern Nevada Water
projecting increased temperatures in the region in Authority is making on rural water supplies, that
the coming decades, driving increased evaporation in such a case the economic imperative spells
rates. The ensemble-mean projection of the models trouble for the politically and economically weak.
also indicates stable to modestly decreasing The sociopolitical dimensions of this scenario beg
precipitation rates (Dettinger 2005). These attention as much as do the strictly biophysical.
increases in evaporation and potentially small The unusual, even odd, range of possibilities
decreases in precipitation portend an ominous tilt being uploaded to the public sphere to bring
in the rapidly-growing region’s hydrologic balance water to Southern Nevada underscores the bind
toward drier conditions.1 This is compounded by that the region is in. More tame ideas to come
an increasing awareness that the Lower Colorado to the forefront have included no placement of
River Basin is over-allocated (Piechota et al. 2004). grass lawns when new homes are built, and heavy
Nevertheless, preliminary research indicates that promotion of xeriscape principles (i.e. use of plants
residential conservation of water is, at best, uneven with extremely low water demand). Due to Nevada
in the basin and, in many cases, water rates are not receiving return flow credits, outdoor conservation
even oriented toward conservation (i.e. inclining is inherently of greater importance than indoor
blocks as in Figure 1). There is a traditional over- conservation, since water treated and returned to
reliance on supply-side approaches indicative of the Colorado River results in credit.
the national and international condition, and cross- The more radical supply-side approaches
state, or basin-based, collection of demand-side suggested by the Southern Nevada Water Authority
data and drought policy information is lacking. include drawing water from the Mississippi
With such burgeoning development in arid River, desalinization of ocean water from either
lands over the next decades, it will be of prime Mexico or California, and cloud seeding in an
importance to investigate the impact that the already arid basin (already happening in Wyoming
presence or dearth of conservation rates and in an attempt to gain Nevada credits for more
technologies will have on meeting future water water). Such approaches are attractive because
demand, regional capacity to cope with drought, they allow Southern Nevada to have limitless
and to balance the needs of human and ecological development “cake” and eat it too. However,
systems. All this will occur in the political milieu cloud seeding ignores the fact that that water was
Water Rate Conceptual Model on its way to another ecosystem, and introduces
yet even more uncertainty in an era of what is
Inclining block rates
already worrisome climate change. Water from
the Mississippi, like that from the Pacific Ocean,
Pyramid rates
would require navigation of a labyrinth of physical
and legal barriers, and possibly introduce invasive
Declining block rates species. And piping water from far away would
Price
require notable energy production which results in
greenhouse gas production. There are also serious
Uniform rates
terrorism concerns with such great exposure. And,
given the current economic downturn, gathering
capital for financing such endeavors may be
Free - no meter challenging. Furthermore, it seems unlikely that
Quantity California would want to swap its Colorado River
water rights for local desalinated water paid by
Figure 1. Conceptual model of the major types of
water rates that encourage or discourage waste through
Nevada, and building facilities on the coast would
market signals or the lack thereof. be a political nightmare (thus, the Mexico option).
However, the main point here is that all these ideas all of this, as when millions of people move to an
are intended to erase barriers to limitless growth in area that has 125° F temperatures for a significant
the desert – as if any other possibility is sacrilege. time of the year, many of those persons are likely
But as long as this remains a local government to have their air conditioning on 24 hours a day
issue, all actors are likely to push for these types of for months. This is the antithesis of “designing
“solutions” due to their vested interest in growth, with nature.” This kind of industrial-scale energy
not sustainability per se. The public sometimes consumption is what brought us to the climate
seems to think that the role of purveyors such as the change conundrum, and which is going to make
Southern Nevada Water Authority is sustainability, future water demand more difficult to meet!
but the core objective is actually to get more water, Clearly, traditional approaches to water resources
and seemingly, control enough of the public sphere analysis will not suffice in such a dynamic setting.
to prevent backlash. Organizations such as this can From a researcher’s perspective, this should
accrue so much clout, money, and leverage that they provide fascinating and socially and ecologically
can actually seem like they are the government, and significant opportunities to investigate possible
it is easy to assume a balanced agenda which may future scenarios in multidisciplinary teams.
not exist. Moreover, it has not been shown that Figure 2 illustrates dynamic connections among
non-monetary values and environmental justice for what might first appear to be discrete systems
rural communities could be integrated into market- (and disciplines) in the Lower Colorado River
based systems. Basin at various temporal and spatial scales. The
The conundrum of increasing demand and model foci represent real world elements of a
development in an environment that is becoming complex, coupled and inadequately understood
more arid, and the plight of rural citizens as they set of processes impacting the health of human
attempt to maintain traditional access to water in and natural systems in a manner that can only be
the face of urban physical demand and economic understood through an interdisciplinary approach.
and political might is not specific only to Nevada. Climate models that can be scaled to the size of the
For example, it is well known that near Beijing, basin generally agree with each other for the next
China farmers are struggling as the water table 20-30 years, which happens to match the temporal
drops below their level of accessibility, and there span of this manuscript. Thus, I set the modeling
is even speculation on the potential need to move time frame to examine scenarios up to 20 years
the capital. It is also known that the South-North from now.
Water Transfer Project is focusing on reversing the From left-to-right in Figure 2, there is an
flow of water draining south to feed the demands expected link between climate and flow in the
of the north. Lower Colorado River Basin and river flow is
also a source of atmospheric moisture (its impact
Feedback Loops and debatable). Flow impacts the amount of water
Multidisciplinary Opportunities available for residential demand, and demand,
of course, impacts the amount of flow at specific
Focusing again on the American Southwest, points in the system. Residential demand has the
in such scenarios, the ability to make, revisit, additional impact of altering the flow available
and abide by agreements, and to avoid conflicts, for ecological systems and, if such policies as
is strained by the highly dynamic nature of minimum flow standards or flows regulated by the
populations, climate change, and the capacity of Endangered Species Act are in place, then eco-
high technology to serve economic agendas. In logical systems, in turn, can impact the amount of
such scenarios it is easy to see how voices for both water humans can draw from the physical system.
rural, and especially, ecosystem water needs, are The water made available to both people and nature
not often expressed in this fragile environment, has direct impacts for economic sustainability,
despite, or to take a cynical perspective, because as many economic activities, such as the silicon
of, burgeoning urban water demand.2 industry being wooed by Las Vegas, require water.
Ironically, there is a sort of cyclical nature to Working down and back to the left in the figure, it
“NORMAL” NATURE/
ATMPR/CLM ECOL SYS
FACTORS
Figure 2. Dynamic interplay of human and biophysical factors regarding water and
climate change in the Lower Colorado River Basin and its subsystems.
is true that limits to water availability can impact human systems to occur in the rapidly evolving
growth potential (perhaps providing grounds for Lower Colorado River Basin over the next 20
massive cross-basin transfers of water) and, at years. In addition to the balance between these
the same time, urban growth impacts demand. elements and the magnitude of their relationships
Demographic change in the next 20 years, both in with one another, it is fertile ground to investigate
terms of total numbers of people and composition the gestalt effect of these changes on the continued
(elasticity of demand varies by income level and viability of regional development as a whole, and
other factors), will in return, drive both residential the appropriate level and character of governance
water demand and changes in land use and land from the local to federal scales. Many related
cover. In addition, people move to, and build in, questions, such as how effective local regulation
places in part due to their perceptions of climate can be when it seems everyone in places such as
and resource availability. Those perceptions may Las Vegas has a vested interest in the continuation
be plastic, but the extent to which people’s related of massive growth, go beyond water per se, but
preferences and perceptions change over time in deserve intellectual treatment beyond the local
extremely arid environments is poorly understood. public sphere which is highly biased.
Nonetheless, climate regimes impact development. A concern is that vulnerability in the
Conversely, alterations on the surface of the Lower aforementioned complex set of interacting
Colorado River Basin that will occur with large human and natural systems will be enhanced by
demographic shifts can be modeled using a GIS an imbalance caused by extreme development.
and thus provide inputs to atmospheric models Imbalance, for example, can be framed in terms
to examine potential impacts on local climate of growth, or as change in level of water use by a
– bringing the reader back to the starting point in human or ecological system that leaves inadequate
the figure. water for the sustenance of the other system(s).
Discovering ways to make the dynamic Or, an alternative perspective on vulnerability is
relationship between these elements clear will that there are as of yet unknown “tipping points”
advance characterization of the flows of dynamic for the elements in Figure 2, beyond which the
and multidimensional changes in physical and system cannot supply water resources to people
and ecosystems without significant changes in harmony between the systems manifest in Figure
behavior. 2, providing an opportunity for sustainability and
avoidance of damaging feedbacks for humans
Scenario Models to Evaluate and nature in extreme conditions for present and
Sustainability future generations. And, in the process of pursuing
such knowledge, it is important to inquire as to
Behavior could be changed to an as-of-now how certain we can be of our findings, and what
untested degree during periods of extreme water information would decrease uncertainty and risk.
scarcity through regional application of drought These aforementioned questions will require
demand rates, though the question of what is integration of our knowledge across the disciplines
drought, and what is climate change, matters, as – and require us to extend beyond our comfort
it seems as if the impact of drought demand rates level for true collaboration and synthesis beyond
is not infinite, given that water is essential and still the traditional water resources scope.
relatively cheap. What would be worthwhile would
be to project population growth, water demand, Promoting Problems and Teams
and potential for implementation of drought Over Disciplines
demand rates for the next 20 years under several
plausible scenarios of climate, recharge, elasticity, Finally, this leads me to consider the role of
growth, and allocations, and include to the degree geographers, as well as those in environmental
feasible scenarios of conservation technology and studies, and others who claim that their strength is
landscapes (e.g. xeriscaping, land retirement, turf in their multidisciplinary grounding, team approach
removal). Then use the results of these analyses to and breadth of their skill-sets. The next 20 years in
answer, better yet, visualize, perhaps geovisualize, arid lands such as the Lower Colorado River Basin
questions that include the following: will provide an ample platform for them to prove
1. Under what conditions and when might their worth in this highly dynamic area requiring
the system become incapable of delivering greater multidisciplinary treatment.
adequate water? Advancing this argument further, if researchers
are willing to concentrate on problem-centered
2. To what extent might growth impact water
approaches to delineating and attacking research
availability and sustainability through both
questions and problems, rather than staying
demand and climate change?
within and defending encroachment on their
3. What role can water conservation-oriented disciplinary silos, then multidisciplinary teams
rates, conservation landscaping and can be configured to advance praxis in scenarios
technology implementation play in buoying such as that detailed above. A problem-centered
the systems through times of predicted approach is the best hope for allowing researchers
greatest water scarcity…and what is the to be strong in their area, and to avoid inefficient
reasonable limit as to how far this might turf battles by allowing persons to focus on their
stretch viability given that growth has no cap own specialty areas, while allowing the blend of
in the U.S.? contributions to produce an effective gestalt-effect
It is tradition that industrialized societies where there is shared intellectual ground.
recognize maximization of capture and use (not University administration, however, must
necessarily wise-use) of resources, and increase produce internal systems that reward this type of
in scale of physical development on a landscape, “behavior,” and the resulting collaborative grant
as indicators of progress (“conquering” nature). writing and publications that may fall out of the
But is there a more healthy way to frame arid scope of traditional approaches. Systems that
and semi-arid urban development in terms of the only reward single or first author publishing in a
aforementioned relationships? A reexamination of narrow scope of journals will retard advancement
these relationships seems wise, and the purpose of the type of multidimensional research framed in
of any such reexamination should be to seek Figure 2. In this case, advancements in knowledge
will happen in a highly uneven manner between in the Western Pacific Islands and the Philippines. He
subareas, with significant data hoarding, and sub- can be contacted at bill.smith@unlv.edu.
boundaries between applications (i.e. studies of
References
recharge that do not connect to demand to evaluate
overall water sustainability). The internal rules Briggs, M. K. and Cornelius, S. 1998. Opportunities for
to the academic game must be set to allow the ecological improvement along the lower Colorado
creative energies of researchers, and synergies River and delta. Wetlands 18 (4): 513-529.
between them, to rise to meet the complexity of Deacon, J., A. E. Williams, C. Deacon Williams, J. E.
the highly dynamic settings of places such as the Williams. 2007. Fueling Population Growth in Las
Lower Colorado River Basin. In that sense, the Vegas: How Large-scale Groundwater Withdrawal
barriers to advancing water resources through a Could Burn Regional Biodiversity. BioScience
sustainability framework may be as much internal Magazine 57 (8): 688–698.
as external – with mitigating internal challenges
Dettinger, M. 2005. From climate-change spaghetti
to forming multidisciplinary teams arguably being
to climate-change distributions for 21st Century
a prerequisite to a “vibrant research agenda” in California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed
places such as the Lower Colorado River Basin. Science 3 (1): 4.
This seems to be especially true if researchers also
endeavor for their pursuit of emerging research Piechota, T. C., Hidalgo, H., Timilsena, J., and G.
agendas to make a positive impact on the ground, Tootle. 2004. Western U.S. drought: How bad is it?
EOS Transactions 85 (32): 301-308.
as well as in the literature.
Rowell, K., Flessa, K. W. and Dettman, D. L. 2005. The
End Notes importance of Colorado River flow to nursery habitats
of the Gulf Corvina (Cynoscion othonopterus).
1. This is presently being monitored, modeled and Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
“stepped-down” to be run in hydrologic and other 62: 2874-2885.
models by the team working on the 5-year NSF-
funded project titled “Nevada Infrastructure Smith Jr., W. J. (Forthcoming) 2009. Improving access
for Climate Change Science, Education, and to safe drinking water in rural, remote, and least-
Outreach” – of which the author is the policy wealthy small islands: Non-traditional methods
and outreach component lead). in Chuuk State, Federated States of Micronesia.
International Journal of Environmental Technology
2. For models balancing human demand, supply,
and Management. Accepted for publication in
ecological demand, equity for low income
volume 10.
customers, revenue neutrality, and efficiency
during drought using demand-side methods, Smith Jr., W. J. 2008a. The place of rural, remote and
please see Smith Jr. and Wang 2007, and for least wealthy small islands in international water
step-by-step detail see Wang et al. 2005. development: The nexus of geography-technology-
sustainability in Chuuk State, Federated States of
Author Bio and Contact Information Micronesia. The Geographical Journal 174 (3):
William J. Smith, Jr. focuses his research and teaching at 251-268.
the nexus of technology-environment-society relations. Smith Jr., W. J. 2008b. Focus section on “Linkages
He has an interdisciplinary background, with particular between water conservation and human rights” and
expertise regarding management of watersheds and edited 2 sections in Manual on the Right to Water and
“sustainability” praxis. His work incorporates a variety Sanitation. Centre on Housing Rights and Evictions,
of modeling techniques, and investigation of underlying Right to Water Programme, American Association
causes of changes in relations between humans and their for Advancement of Science – Science and Human
environment utilizing political economy and political Rights Programme, Swiss Agency for Development
ecology lenses. His other areas of interest include and Cooperation, United Nations Human Settlements
linking biodiversity and cultural preservation, climate Programme (UN-HABITAT Water, Sanitation and
change, conservation, environmental governance and Infrastructure Branch). http://www.cohre.org/store/
justice, neoliberalism, hazards, less-wealthy countries, attachments/RWP-Manual-water.pdf.
and small islands. His applied international research is
as we become more aware of dynamic coupling. It we need “boots on the ground” and partnerships
seems nearly universal among the authors that the that are ongoing so that we can collect long-term
translation of different types of data and information data and information and learn from each other as
into forms that lend themselves to integration is a we make advances – not just short-term field trips
major challenge moving forward. to parachute in to collect data and take it away, or
If we are to wrap our minds around what I would satellite images. Mackay and Band hope for global
argue is an over-developed planet, socioeconomic coverage across biomes, but this is impractical
and biophysical data must find a way to connect, without partnerships. Anything akin to the Long-
moving past historical and disciplinary boundaries, Term Ecological Research projects in America is
but without losing their “meat” in the translation. only possible if healthy partnerships with people
Hirschboeck notes that the issue of vulnerability of all types across the globe are fostered. This
and how to adapt to climate change may provide point brings me to Wolf’s work, noting that his
momentum for this endeavor. Mackay and Band data show that water can often be more of a force
point out that ecohydrologic research has also for collaboration than conflict. For researchers to
built-up momentum for synthesis of diverse data. play a role, however, they need to be able to find
But then there is a need that several of our authors support – a mere few weeks of travel money is
point out for the technological capacity to support hardly the institutional commitment necessary in
complex modeling and geo-visualize outputs, and a globalizing world. This type of commitment is
thus, hydroinfomatics focuses explicitly on the essential to social and biophysical scientists, but
evolution of information technologies. does not always fit the definition of cutting-edge
Allan James notes that water data needs to be science. Researchers need funding institutions to
integrated with global environmental change fields think outside of this box to free up creative energies
of inquiry. He refers to the old adage of thinking for collaboration.
globally but acting locally, especially by watershed, Another important (though untreated by our
noting that it still represents an effective way contributors) factor in collecting global data
forward when it comes to theoretical integration and information for synthesis through cyber-
and on-the-ground improvements in water quality. infrastructure is technology transfer. If global
Mackay and Band consider issues of scaling up climate change is the threat that our contributors
and down data, and make the point that investment assume it to be, and if global environmental
in cyber-infrastructure will move research beyond change data requires inputs from around the earth,
case studies by integrating combinations of data sets. then the building of appropriate infrastructure has
However, even a cursory overview of technologies to go far beyond academia to the different biomes
they suggest, such as flux towers and phenology of the world. This again means partnering for
networks, highlights the issue of cost. Thus, it capacity building technology transfer to least-
occurs to me that the present focus of the National wealthy countries, including working with poor
Science Foundation on cyber-infrastructure is in non-scientists (Smith, Jr. 2009, 2008a, b). It also
line with what many of our authors believe is vital means spending resources on the aforementioned
for moving the field of water resources forward. social and biophysical data synthesis, but doing so
What I believe complicates this movement across cultures and time.
towards integrating global data sets is as follows. As As Rajagopal notes, rescuing old data, doing
Wescoat points out, at least from a U.S. perspective, quality control on it, finding ways to convert it so
little comparative international work is done. This that the subareas of data “speak to each other,” and
may be a result of what is valued in classrooms, or finding ways to communicate data and information
because this work is difficult to fund, or because to positively influence policy, is a major endeavor
technology may push us down a narrower path; it is – never mind across cultures. Nevertheless, what
difficult to say. However, the point is that if we are could be more efficient than partnering for this
to study global environmental change, with all due mission? However, this will be challenge, since
respect to Luoheng Han and the other authors that many funding agencies reward only new data
referred to the potential of remote sensing and GIS, being collected – so there must be clever ways
around this barrier. In fact, several authors pointed the problem, it seems to me, is that there is just as
out the value of paleo research, but in an era of vibrant a research agenda to be had pursuing the
anthropogenically-fueled rapid planetary change, political ecology and political economy, as well
would it not be madness to ignore decades or more as historical lines of inquiry that Swyngedouw,
of data and general knowledge around the globe Wescoat and myself point to, but this research
and also not establish on the ground networks of is simply different than what many institutions
people – not just sensors? fund as neutral and primarily quantitative water
resources research. If Lant was right to point out
Research Funding that economists have a predilection for putting a
This brings me to the point of discussing what price or value on everything, and if scientists focus
research will be funded and which research will on quantification, then this highlights the potential
not. Speaking only for myself, science can be for this important qualitative knowledge to keep
a bit of a shell game. On one hand, science is slipping through most people’s grasps – and for
often portrayed as a neutral knowledge seeking mistakes to keep on being repeated in areas such as
endeavor – what are the properties of water, etc. water, sanitation, and appropriate technology. The
On the other hand, when institutions such as the linkages to global and local environmental justice
National Science Foundation shift major funding concerns are obvious.
for upcoming research to fields such as climate Ethics and Science
change, the momentum comes from the perception
of a crisis facing society that researchers must step- If, having read this volume and the ubiquitous
up to face – and of course, some will follow the references to climate change, pollutant loads,
money as much as their sincere research needs, due coupled systems, alterations in land use and land
to the various reward systems in different academic cover, etc., the reader did not comprehend the
institutions. (All this is funded with public money vital importance in tracing and potentially having
in the first place.) When it is convenient, the an impact on the political, historic, cultural, and
ethical card is played, when it seems prestigious to economic drivers of changes in the atmosphere,
do so, science is above it all. For someone who is a surface and ground water, then I would be at a loss.
newly minted Ph.D., and who must take the baton Political economic and technological drivers and
to some extent over the next 20 years, this can be power relations are the root causes of the major
maddening. Some of the most fruitful research issues we will struggle with for the next 20 years.
will be that which is properly funded, but knowing In fact, many of those exciting research areas, like
the priorities of major funding institutions is not climate change and predicting when people will be
always straight-forward, and those missions change flooded off of their islands, are actually problems
in subtle ways that can help along or kill proposals. for us and future generations, not neutral objects
So, “action science,” and “translational science,” to be admired at a academic distance. To put it in
etc. sound good on paper at certain periods, but medical terms, the earth has been made ill, and
what matters is actually the panel of reviewer’s these water resources problems are symptoms of an
comments and the assumptions they make. overall condition. Interdisciplinary collaboration
Of course, in a perfect national funding world is the primary way forward through issues this
one can make a cutting-edge contribution to science complex.
and as a by-product, do the world some good while Again, the majority of our authors point to a need
cranking out high profile refereed publications. For to synthesize data across the social and biophysical
example, Wang, Harrington, Jr. and Montz all offer realms, and to build cyber-infrastructure and other
content in this volume that can satisfy both needs in technologies to support this effort. That sounds
interesting ways. And the frame that Christopher nice. But, if funding goes only into specialized
Lant offers through ecological economics speaks pockets of research, then that reward system will
to human needs through “nature’s services,” but drive much research that way for many years to
also has the potential for the type of conventional come. If research is too narrow, distanced from
scientific rigor that gets good work funded. But real person’s problems, and infrastructure and
with, in combination with cyber-infrastructure be no substitute for thinking about linkages – this
capacity building, which can be self-sustaining if is where the action will be. And, without a doubt,
it also meets local priorities. But another exciting this will require those studying water resources to
part of the puzzle might be exploring the potential connect with others outside of the water resources
of social networking and new media. If deep social realm to maximize their impact.
and biophysical data sets and information are what
is needed from across the globe and by region, then Acknowledgements
bringing in civil society and the layperson into the We wish to acknowledge with special thanks
data collection process might be one way to be light the patience and effort of Chris Lant in bringing
on one’s feet and increase the number of human and this volume together. Thanks also to the Water
biophysical “sensors” around the globe. Imagine Resources Specialty Group for supporting the
Twitter being used to send data, phones equipped panels that brought this special volume to fruition.
with global positioning systems, webcam networks, On a personal note, I would like to acknowledge
citizen scientists, especially NGOs getting modest my wife Sarah, and William James Smith, Sr.,
support to do what they want to do anyway, such William III, and our newborn baby James. No one
as monitor the health of their reefs, all streaming in enjoys water more wholeheartedly than children.
new data and information. This is not a replacement
for all traditional ways of studying water, but it Author Bio and Contact Information
could be that social networking may have matured William J. Smith, Jr. focuses his research and teaching at
to the point in the next 20 years that the volume of the nexus of technology-environment-society relations.
human and data networks could significantly add He has an interdisciplinary background, with particular
to the data arsenal available to those interested in expertise regarding management of watersheds and
water resources issues, especially as they pertain to “sustainability” praxis. His work incorporates a variety
global environmental change. of modeling techniques, and investigation of underlying
Second, there is a strong need to translate data causes of changes in relations between humans and their
and information and communicate it well so as environment utilizing political economy and political
to potentially impact the local and international ecology lenses. His other areas of interest include
linking biodiversity and cultural preservation, climate
policies and individual choices that are driving the
change, conservation, environmental governance and
problems on the research agenda in the first place. justice, neoliberalism, hazards, less-wealthy countries,
Linkages to behavior and governance must be and small islands. His applied international research is
elucidated to move the research agenda forward – in the Western Pacific Islands and the Philippines. He
and this requires regional knowledge beyond water, can be contacted at bill.smith@unlv.edu.
such as knowing the local culture. Here there is so
much to select from in terms of exciting research References
questions related to ground and surface water,
Dryzek, J. S. and D. Schlosberg. 2004. The American
plants, infrastructure, consumption (demand-side),
Political Economy II: The Non-Politics of Laissez
economics synergies between types of resource Faire, In Debating the Earth: The Environmental
uses, law, the right to water for different purposes, Politics Reader 2nd ed. W. P. Ophuls and A. S. Boyan
appropriate technology, sociology, class, gender, Jr. pp. 191-206.
cyber-infrastructure methodology, and so forth.
When examined from this perspective, the options Ellul, Jacques. 1964. The Technological Society. New
York: Vintage Books.
are so vast as to be almost overwhelming.
Smith, W. J. Jr. 2009. Improving access to safe drinking
Conclusion water in rural, remote, and least-wealthy small islands:
Data, information and technology are necessary Non-traditional methods in Chuuk State, Federated
States of Micronesia. International Journal of
for the study of water resources, and so they have
Environmental Technology and Management 10 (2):
been the focus of much of this discussion. However, 167-189.
in considering paths forward in pursuing a vibrant
Smith, W. J. Jr. 2008a. A Geographic Analysis of
future water resources research agenda there will
PRESIDENT-ELECT
Lynette de Silva
Paula L. Sturdevant Rees Program in Water Conflict Management & Gary Woodard
Mass WRRC, Blaisdell House Transformation SAHRA
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