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percentiles as well as one outlier. The outlier represents data lead to shortages of material, disrupted schedules, late
points that are faulty, fall more than a specified distance of deliveries, lost sales, low productivity and excess inventory
minimum and maximum percentile. The horizontal solid line of wrong things. From September sales started going up and
inside the box is showing the median, and the dotted lines down because the right material was ordered to meet quarter
represent the mean also known as the average. The whiskers target and year-end sales. October 2012 inventory costs
plot and box are drawn vertically. Figure 3 shows four data continue increasing as more correct stock was received and
sets that are different in terms of the median and standard between January 2012 and March 2012 inventory started
deviation (stdev) shown in detail on table 1. The FY (2010- declining because ABC was consuming more stock to meet
2011) dispersion is the least of all with one outliner followed year-end sales. The annual stock target of R 1.6 billion was
by FY (2011-20120), these two FY are showing a much not met after close of annual sales which is a major concern.
smaller box when compared with the other two FY (2012- If the value of inventories seems indisputable, this is the
2013) and FY (2013-2014).The first two FY (2010-2011), FY dilemma of IM (Pycraft et al., 2000). A primary goal of IM is
(2011-2012) and last FY (2013-2014) are negatively skewed to achieve an optimum balance between inventory carrying
as the distance from the median to the minimum percentile is costs and customer service (Lambert et al., 1998). Due to the
greater than the distance from the median to the maximum rate of increase in procuring raw materials to meet year-end
percentile. The FY (2012-2013) is positively skewed as the sales, there is less cash inflow and high cash outflow.
distance from the median to the maximum percentile is
The inventory on figure 4 and figure 5 are classified as dead
greater than the distance from the median to the minimum
stock or obsolete and active stock as material that is issued
percentile. Small stdev means that the data points on a box
out or used almost on a daily basis also this can be referred to
plot are close to the mean of the data set on average and large
as frequently used material. ABC Engineering classifies
stdev means the data point on box plot are farther away from
items stored in inventory into different groups based on usage
the mean on average. FY (2012-2013) has the largest stdev
and value for inventory control. Arnold et al. and Pycraft
when compared to the other three FY on table 1, which
described the groupings namely; Group A are strategic items
means there is more variation. A focus should be more on FY
that account for about 80% of the total value in the
(2012-2013) to further investigate the cause of high variation.
organization, Group B account for about 10% or 15% of
total value spend and Group C are low value items that
account 5% value spend. The 37% on figure 5 is the result of
inaccurate forecasting and lot sizing inventory. The supply
chain suffer from excessive inventory and this might be a
result of lot sizing inventory as the organization is currently
dealing with multiple suppliers and is experiencing
uncertainties such as long lead times and unknown demand.
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Fig. 5. Inventory classifications identify dead stock or slow moving stock in other planning
businesses. Improvements in supply chain performance are
driven by externally-based targets rather than by internal
3.3 Mismatch of supply and demand (orders exceeding department objectives (Lummus, 1999). This model indicates
demand) a lack of collaboration among supply chain. This shows lack
of coordination within the organization. Lack of coordination
Figure 6 shows the demand is less than the supply from wk increases inventory cost in the supply chain.
13 to wk 52, this simply means there was a mismatch of
supply and demand for FY (2012-2013). Purchase orders 5. DISCUSSION OF RESULTS
exceeding demand are a result of lot sizing inventory. Lot
sizing inventory is created when item purchased or Data analysis results revealed ABC Engineering is
manufactured in quantities is greater than needed (Arnold et experiencing excessive inventory due to lack of guidelines in
al., 2008).When supply is higher than demand, an place for inventory control. There are high demand
organization bears the economic consequences of excess uncertainties which increased inventory at ABC Engineering.
inventory (Hendricks and Singhal, 2009). ABC Engineering The demand is unstable as shown in figure 6. Therefore more
is procuring raw material that exceeds customer demand. The stock was ordered for the safety of demand uncertainties and
occurrence of demand uncertainties has mainly caused historical data is no longer a good predictor of future demand,
difficulty in forecasting accurately because of the high speed meaning data used for forecasting was distorted. ABC
of change in the marketplace meaning historical data is no Engineering does not use S&OP known as integrated
longer a good predictor of future demand at ABC. More business management process and for ABC Engineering
inventories were stored for safety of demand uncertainties, complex operation model, the organization needs an
which proves poor forecasting ability. By linking supply integrated business management process that can assist with
chain objectives to company strategy, decisions can be made the review of customer demand and forecast and the balance
between competing demands on the supply chain (Lummus, of supply and demand on both strategic and item level.
1999). Organizations that have an integrated business management
processes resolve conflicts of supply and demand between
the various supply chain departments. ABC Engineering is
procuring purchase orders that exceed customer demand.
This latter is mainly due to lack of coordination and
collaboration between the supply chains, lack of advanced
replenishment and inventory control. Lack of coordination
increases inventory cost in the supply chain. Two
manufacturing strategies, MTS and MTO results in excessive
inventory as the supporting business units and the business
units that are customer-facing entities are always having
different demand figures. According to Kaminsky and Kaya
(2009) in a supply chain, using a push strategy for some
products or components, and a pull strategy for others, might
Fig. 6. Mismatch of supply and demand (orders exceeding be much more effective than using either system exclusively.
demand) Because of this, firms are beginning to employ a hybrid
approach, a “push–pull” strategy, or combined MTO–MTS
3.4 Operation model of ABC Engineering system, holding inventory of some components, and
producing others to order (Kaminsky & Kaya, 2009). ABC
The ABC Engineering is using the profit centre model which
Engineering is already using the combination of the two
refers to the business units, where each business unit is given
manufacturing strategies. The organization uses ABC
a certain FY budget or sales target to meet and most of this
inventory control that provide valuable information that can
budget are not aligned. Each business unit will have their
be used to determine how each part should be monitored and
own forecast to meet the target. The concern is that MTO and
managed from the perspectives of procurement, warehousing,
MTS are always having different demand figures. Although
and inventory management and MRP that determines how
the MTS supposed to get demand from MTO, that is not the
much to order at one time and when to place an order. These
case. Forecast is provided to MTS but the change it to align
prove that indeed distorted MRP and Forecasting, demand
to their business unit to manufacturing cost, at times yearly
uncertainties, lot sizing, mismatch of supply and demand,
demand is compressed to shorter period to level the
lack of collaboration, coordinated and integrated supply chain
production cost. Once the MTO demand changes, the MTS
result in excessive inventory.
Material Requirement Planning (MRP) is messed up and by
that time the supporting business units may have committed 4. INVENTORY MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK
to a material plan and purchased orders issued to the
suppliers. All demand plans per business unit are not The objective of this section is to present the proposed IMF
synchronised, therefore the MRP of supporting business is that can be used for inventory control and replenishment. The
independent to the business units that are the customer-facing IMF in Figure 8 covers five sections namely; aggregate IM,
entities and revenue generators. These bring challenges to item level IM, S&OP process, Technology, replenishment
strategies for MTO and MTS, as well as inventory polices.
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The Inventory is not only managed at business (strategic or inventory per end items from the MPS are inputs to the MRP.
aggregate) level but also at the item (operational) level The MRP will balance the supply and demand of raw
(Arnold et al., 2008). Most of the organizations in South materials and components, taking into consideration stock on
Africa focus on item IM which is not sufficient without the hand. Perpetual or periodic inventory policy will be
management of aggregate IM. The IMF for ABC Engineering considered to decide which execution phase needs to be
will help manage inventory at aggregate and item level. followed.
S&OP manages inventory at Aggregate level and MRP
manages inventory at item level. Both MRP and S&OP MRP inputs come from Master Production Schedule (MPS).
balance Supply and demand which reduces excessive MPS is an extremely important planning tool and forms the
inventory. The S&OP is an essential part of ERP and may be basis for communication between the sales and
the most important element of all (Wallace & Kremzar, manufacturing departments (Arnold et al., 2008). Before the
2001). A properly implemented Integrated Business Planning MPS priority plan for manufacturing is determined, there
(Advanced S&OP) process routinely reviews the current and should be an S&OP planning meeting which is held on a
projected business performance starting with a review of monthly basis by Management team from Finance,
strategy, updated product portfolio changes, updated Marketing, Production/Operation, Engineering and Supply
customer demand, required supply resources, and resulting Chain to align the plans with the organization’s Strategic
financial effects. It helps the management team to understand Business Plan. The output of S&OP is the signed off
how the company achieved its current level of performance production plan. The signed off production plan should be the
but is primarily focused on future actions and anticipated one that is loaded into the ERP system for MRP. As
results. It is the right balance between supply and demand described by Arnold et al. (2008) MPS breaks down the
plans to create a single achievable plan as showed in figure 8 production plan into the requirements for individual end item,
which is about the production plan that delivers business in each family, date and quantity. Therefore the total of items
goals. Companies without S&OP have frequent in MPS should not be different from the total of the signed
disconnections between the Business Plan and the Master off production plan (Arnold et al., 2008). The end items are
Schedule. That is why some companies frequently get inputs to MRP which are calculated automatically by the
unpleasant “surprises” late in the fiscal year (Wallace & computer in the ERP system. By following this process, there
Kremzar, 2001). According to Wallace & Kremzar (2001) an will be a balance of supply and demand which will result in
immutable law of nature states that garbage in garbage out. It zero excessive inventories. Inventory policies included in an
is essential to build a solid foundation of highly accurate IMF are described in the following sections.
numbers before demand management, master scheduling, and 4.1 MTS inventory control (Push)
the other planning and scheduling tools within ERP system
can be implemented successfully, accurate numbers before, Vendor Management Inventory (VMI) has been described by
not during or after. Irungu and Wanjau (2011) as an inventory and supply chain
management tool in which the supplier has taken the
In order for IMF to be efficient, inventory data should be responsibility for making decisions on the timing and
accurate. The new technology used to manage inventory data amounts of inventory replenishment. The VMI initiative has
and do inventory analysis is a Radio frequency identification the goal of accomplishing deeper integration and
(RFID). If there is inaccurate inventory records results in collaboration between the members of the supply chain in
shortages of material, disrupted schedules, late deliveries, lost order to cope with the ever decreasing time windows for
sales, low productivity and excess inventory of wrong things. product and service fulfilment, and the requirements for the
To manage accuracy of data, an RFID should be included in improvement of operational efficiency. Benefits cited as a
the proposed IMF. Arnold et. al. (2008) described these result of adoption of VMI systems include lowered inventory
technology applications as similar to bar codes, but rather levels; faster inventory turns, reduced ordering and
than light they use reflected radio waves from a small device administrative costs, better cash flow management, zero
or tag to receive their information. The RFID devices do not obsolescence, increased sales, and reduced out-of-stock costs
require a line of sight between the label and the reader and among others (Angulo et al. 2004 in Irungu & Wanjau,
can accurately identify products that are within containers 2011). ABC engineering should continue using the ROP and
otherwise hidden from view. This feature makes RFID suited using ABC inventory control.
for use as a security device or under conditions where labels
are hard to read or access. 4.2 MTO inventory control (Pull)
The purpose of the S&OP meeting is to balance the supply Consignment stock in this study should be used for MTO as
and demand. This S&OP meeting should occur on a monthly the customer demand is known and it will reduce the longer
basis to review whether there are changes, or if the plan is lead times. With consignment stock, the supplier keeps and
still working to achieve business goals. The output of a manages the stock at the customer’s premises, only when it is
meeting is the production plan which consists of inventory consumed by the customer will it be owned by the customer.
levels and aggregate plan by product group. The production With these inventory policies, inventory control, WMS and
plan is an input to the Master Production Scheduling (MPS), an integrated business plan known as S&OP implemented in
which will be broken down into detailed plan per end items. an organization as shown on figure 6, there will be a balanced
Then Rough-Cut Capacity Plan will validate the detailed plan supply and demand which results in zero excessive inventory
comparing it with the production plan. The end items and cost.
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Wireless waves
Purchasing PAC
for lot, consignment and vendor inventory management.
Central Database
MTS demand plans per business unit will be synchronised to
WMS: RFID Item IM: ERP process found in a typical ES:
the MTO customer demand. Lot for lot is described by
Arnold et al., (2008) as exactly what is needed. Therefore the
MRP of supporting business is depended to the business units
Fig. 8. Inventory Management framework that are the customer-facing entities and revenue generators
therefore VMI and ROP will be used.
6. CONCLUSIONS
These factors that lead to excessive inventory are a REFERENCES
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