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Pre-Feasibility Study
Pick and Drop Service
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Pre-Feasibility Study Pick and Drop Service
Table of Contents
1 DISCLAIMER......................................................................................................................................................... 1
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................................................... 2
3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA ............................................................................................................................ 3
4 INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME ......................................................................................................................... 3
5 PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT....................................................................................................................... 3
6 BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT & PRODUCT ....................................................................................... 5
6.1 Service Process Flow .......................................................................................................................................................................... 6
6.2 Operational Capacities ....................................................................................................................................................................... 6
1 DISCLAIMER
In case the document is intended to be used for loan application under any
specified loan scheme, respective scheme parameters are to be incorporated
accordingly. In doing so, financial results may vary from results shown in this
document.
For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website:
www.smeda.org.pk
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This feasibility study analyzes the market dynamics and financials of Pick and Drop
service, which is proposed for bigger cities across the country. Ideally, Karachi,
Rawalpindi-Islamabad, Faisalabad, Lahore and Peshawar could be some of the
good locations to start this business.
The proposed pick and drop service business will target students and working class,
who travel on daily basis to their work places and schools. The potential markets
include; middleclass and upper-middle class population, who need better substitute
for substandard public transport or an alternative where the public transport is totally
unavailable.
The capital cost involves buying two mini vans and setting up a small office to
manage and deal customers. Each van will cater to one of the two target segments
of customers. The total project cost is Rs. 2,315,321; which includes working capital
of Rs. 64,321; capital cost of Rs. 2,251,000 to buy two mini vans and includes cost
of Rs. 51,000 to set-up a small office with furniture and equipment.
The project has a healthy revenue stream and hence has a high IRR of 40%.
Payback period is calculated to be 3.70 years and NPV is forecasted at Rs.
3,362,145.
Some of the most significant considerations for the success of business are
following:
Good marketing to reach out to people who are seeking such services. For
example, marketing through pamphlets, word of mouth, magazine ads, social
media, display of contact number on vehicles etc.
Be consistently punctual and to build a relationship of trust with the
customers.
Drivers with smooth driving skills, professional and courteous attitude.
Getting feedback from the customers to further improve the service.
Equally important factors:
In cases of some unforeseen vehicle breakdown, there must be prior
arrangement deal with someone with a van to provide emergency service.
Proper maintenance of vehicles to avoid failures and breakdowns.
3 INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA
4 INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME
There is scarcity of proper mass transit in major cities of Pakistan. Also, the people
who have to travel to commercial centers for jobs in city on daily basis from
residential areas have to face difficulties due to poor public transport system. This
situation, apparently being problematic, gives a feasible business opportunity to the
private pick and drop service providers. A primary research was carried out to
investigate the different aspects of the business. It was found that the biggest
consumers for the service are students and the working class people, especially
women who go to offices on daily basis. With increasing urbanization, the pressure
on the public transport is increasing. A vast majority of people do not have personal
transport. Public transport is either unavailable on their route or is too inconvenient.
Thus a lot of people, especially women, prefer pick and drop service instead of using
public transport. Therefore, a number of people have adopted this business for its
sure returns with relatively small investment. Besides the main revenue from regular
customers, the vehicles are used on weekends and at night, for picnics and different
events to generate additional revenues.
A route is fixed with stops to pick people from each place at specific times. The flow
will be from one area to other area depending upon the number of customers from
each area. A plan for the route to be followed and time could be made depending
upon the customers.
The business with two vans will have the capacity to serve around 37 passengers on
a typical workday at the start. The office van will give service to 7 passengers and
the school van will take two shifts of school kids in the morning and a shift for tuitions
in the evening. Assuming 10 kids in van in each shift.
As the business will grow, with the addition of one more van into the fleet from fifth
year each year onward, the operational capacity will be increased.
7 CRITICAL FACTORS
The main critical success factors that contribute towards the successful execution of
business are following:
Good marketing to be known among people who are seeking such service.
For example, marketing through pamphlets, word of mouth, magazine ads,
social media, display of contact number on vehicles etc.
To be punctual and to build a relationship of trust with the customers is
important.
Drivers with smooth driving skills and professional and courteous attitude.
Listening to customer’s feedback to improve the service further.
In cases of some unforeseen vehicle breakdown, there must be some prior
arrangement deal with someone with a van to provide the service undisrupted.
Proper maintenance of vehicles to avoid failures and breakdowns.
The service is well suited for populations not residing in top posh areas in cities, as
most of such people use their own vehicles. Whereas, relatively middle-income
population residing in cities like Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi-Islamabad, Peshawar
and Faisalabad make use of pick and drop service and thus these are suitable
locations to start such a business.
The target market for this service would be divided into following categories:
A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of
this project. Various costs and revenue related assumptions along with results of the
analysis are outlined in this section.
All the figures in this financial model have been calculated for estimated sales of
Rs.1,638,000 in the year one. The revenue stream is expected to increase by 10%
each year in subsequent years.
The following table shows internal rate of return, payback period and net present
value of the proposed venture:
Description Details
Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank loan.
Following fixed and working capital requirements have been identified for operations
of the proposed business:
The requirement for the proposed pick and drop service is not space intensive. A
small front office will be required:
The small shop or counter with a monthly rent of Rs. 7,000 will serve as
management/sales office to deal customers.
Details of the furniture, fixture and equipment required for the project are given
below:
The only equipment requirement for the business is a telephone line at office to
contact and manage customers.
In order to run operations of pick and drop service smoothly, details of number of
employees and monthly salary are recommended as under:
The salaries will be increased at 10% annually. Moreover, in the fifth year and
onwards, additional drivers will be employed for new vans.
Utilities for the business include electricity, telephone and fuel for vans. Rs. 2,000 will
electricity bill per month and Rs. 1,500 will be telephone/mobile/internet bill per
month.
The most significant cost in business operations is the cost of fuel for vans. We are
not assuming usage of CNG in vehicles as it has been banned for commercial
vehicles. For locally assembled mini vans, average fuel consumption is calculated
at 8.5 km/liter on full load. The cost of fuel for both vans in first year is projected to
be Rs. 473,111. A year over year price increase of 10% is projected in oil prices.
An essential cost is the maintenance cost of vans. The spending ensures
undisrupted service which is about Rs. 10,000 per month. In addition to this,
promotional expenses are assumed to be 2% of net sales every year.
Based on full capacity utilization, Rs. 1,638,000 will be earned in first year. The
revenue will increase at 10% yearly because of the increased charges.
12 ANNEXURES
Projected Income Statement (Rs.) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Revenue 1,638,000 1,976,700 2,185,260 2,403,786 3,707,101 5,817,162 7,685,032 10,558,149 11,613,964 12,775,361
Net Sales 1,638,000 1,976,700 2,185,260 2,403,786 3,707,101 5,817,162 7,685,032 10,558,149 11,613,964 12,775,361
Fuel Cost 473,111 515,691 562,103 612,692 1,001,751 1,455,879 1,983,635 2,594,594 2,828,107 3,082,637
Salaries 480,000 523,200 570,288 621,614 1,016,339 1,477,079 2,012,520 2,632,376 3,347,505 4,170,035
Cost of Sales 953,111 1,038,891 1,132,391 1,234,306 2,018,090 2,932,958 3,996,155 5,226,970 6,175,613 7,252,672
Gross Profit 684,889 937,809 1,052,869 1,169,480 1,689,011 2,884,205 3,688,877 5,331,179 5,438,351 5,522,688
Gross Profit Margin 42% 47% 48% 49% 46% 50% 48% 50% 47% 43%
General Administrative & Selling Expenses
Utilities (Electricity and Phone Bill) 42,000 45,780 49,900 54,391 59,286 64,622 70,438 76,778 83,688 91,220
Rent Expense 84,000 91,560 99,800 108,782 118,573 129,244 140,876 153,555 167,375 182,439
Promotional Expense 32,760 39,534 43,705 48,076 74,142 116,343 153,701 211,163 232,279 255,507
Maintenance Expense 120,000 130,800 142,572 155,403 254,085 369,270 503,130 658,094 717,323 781,882
Major Overhaul 440,000
Depreciation Expense 230,200 230,200 230,200 230,200 230,200 381,626 540,020 696,538 900,141 1,120,031
Subtotal 508,960 537,874 566,178 596,853 1,176,286 1,061,106 1,408,165 1,796,128 2,100,805 2,431,079
Operating Income 175,929 399,935 486,692 572,627 512,725 1,823,099 2,280,712 3,535,051 3,337,546 3,091,610
Financial Charges 148,181 140,747 123,675 105,186 85,162 63,477 39,991 14,557 0 0
Earnings Before Taxes 27,749 259,188 363,016 467,441 427,563 1,759,622 2,240,721 3,520,494 3,337,546 3,091,610
Tax 0 0 0 0 0 65,962 114,072 354,099 317,509 268,322
Net Profit 27,749 259,188 363,016 467,441 427,563 1,693,660 2,126,649 3,166,395 3,020,037 2,823,288
Net Profit Margin 2% 13% 17% 19% 12% 29% 28% 30% 26% 22%
Monthly Profit After Tax 2,312 21,599 30,251 38,953 35,630 141,138 177,221 263,866 251,670 235,274
Projected Balance Sheet (Rs.) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Assets
Current Assets
Cash & Bank Balance 64,321 322,270 605,969 976,425 1,432,816 213,044 259,809 734,826 2,229,857 3,951,129 5,519,631
Total Current Assets 64,321 322,270 605,969 976,425 1,432,816 213,044 259,809 734,826 2,229,857 3,951,129 5,519,631
Fixed Assets
Suzuki Bolan Vehicles 2,200,000 1,980,000 1,760,000 1,540,000 1,320,000 2,716,261 4,080,197 5,425,384 6,764,868 8,063,633 9,318,419
Furniture and Equipment 51,000 40,800 30,600 20,400 10,200 - - - - - -
Total Fixed Assets 2,251,000 2,020,800 1,790,600 1,560,400 1,330,200 2,716,261 4,080,197 5,425,384 6,764,868 8,063,633 9,318,419
Total Assets 2,315,321 2,343,070 2,396,569 2,536,825 2,763,016 2,929,305 4,340,006 6,160,210 8,994,725 12,014,762 14,838,050
Owner's Equity 463,064 490,813 750,001 1,113,018 1,580,459 2,008,022 3,701,681 5,828,330 8,994,725 12,014,762 14,838,050
Long Term Liability 1,852,257 1,852,257 1,646,568 1,423,807 1,182,557 921,283 638,324 331,879 0 - -
Total Equity & Liabilities 2,315,321 2,343,070 2,396,569 2,536,825 2,763,016 2,929,305 4,340,006 6,160,210 8,994,725 12,014,762 14,838,050
Projected Statement of Cash Flows (Rs.) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Net Cash Flow From Operations 0 257,949 489,388 593,216 697,641 657,763 2,075,286 2,666,668 3,862,934 3,920,178 3,943,319
Net Cash Flow From Financing Activities 2,315,321 0 (205,689) (222,761) (241,250) (261,274) (282,959) (306,445) (331,879) 0 0
Net Cash Flow From Investing Activities (2,251,000) 0 0 0 0 (1,616,261) (1,745,562) (1,885,207) (2,036,023) (2,198,905) (2,374,817)
NET CASH FLOW 64,321 257,949 283,699 370,455 456,391 (1,219,772) 46,765 475,017 1,495,031 1,721,272 1,568,502
Cash at the Beginning of the Period 0 64,321 322,270 605,969 976,425 1,432,816 213,044 259,809 734,826 2,229,857 3,951,129
Cash at the End of the Period 64,321 322,270 605,969 976,425 1,432,816 213,044 259,809 734,826 2,229,857 3,951,129 5,519,631
13 KEY ASSUMPTIONS
Description Details
Description Details
Description Details
Description Details
Total Equity (20%) 463,064
Total Debt (80%) 1,852,257
Markup to the Borrower (%age / annum) 8%
Tenure of the Loan (Years) 8
Grace Period (Years) 1