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1. DISCLAIMER
This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a
general idea and information on the subject. Although, the material included in this
document is based on data / information gathered from various reliable sources;
however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case.
The information has been provided on ‘as is where is’ basis without any warranties
or assertions as to the correctness or soundness thereof. Although, due care and
diligence has been taken to compile this document, the contained information may
vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may
differ substantially from the presented information. SMEDA, its employees or
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memorandum in consequence of undertaking this activity. The contained
information does not preclude any further professional advice. The prospective
user of this memorandum is encouraged to carry out additional diligence and
gather any information which is necessary for making an informed decision;
including taking professional advice from a qualified consultant / technical expert
before taking any decision to act upon the information.
In case the document is intended to be used for loan application under any
specified loan scheme, respective scheme parameters are to be incorporated
accordingly. In doing so, financial results may vary from results shown in this
document.
For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website:
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4. INTRODCUTION TO SCHEME
The loans will be disbursed to SME beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab,
Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, Gilgit Baltistan and Azad Jammu &
Kashmir. The Program aims to provide 25% of the loans to women entrepreneurs.
Loans provided through Kamyab Jawan Program are segregated in two tiers: Tier 1
loans fall in the range of Rs. 100,000 to Rs. 500,000, with Debt: Equity 90:10 and 6%
markup to borrower, and, Tier 2 loans are from Rs. 500,000 to Rs. 5 Million, with
Debt: Equity 80:20 and 8% markup to borrower. Both loans are for a period of up to 8
years with a grace period of 1 year.
Application forms are available both in branches and dedicated websites of National
Bank of Pakistan, Bank of Punjab and Bank of Khyber.
5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
UPS & Stabilizer Assembling Unit business is proposed in all major cities particularly
Lahore, Faisalabad, Multan Gujranwala, Karachi, Hyderabad, Sukkur Peshawar and
Quetta etc.
Products include UPS and Stabilizers of different capacities.
Installed capacity of assembling unit is 24 units of UPS per day and 12 units of
stabilizers per day. Initial capacity utilization will be 50% for year 1.
The total cost of project is Rs. 3.99 million with fixed investment of Rs. 1.96 million and
working capital of Rs. 2.03 million.
Given the cost assumptions, IRR and payback are 55% and 2 years and 5
months, respectively.
UPS & Stabilizer assembling unit business means setting up a workshop where
assembling takes place and setting up an office for carrying out general
administrative and marketing work. The business facility will maintain inventory
consisting of accessories including transformers, transfer switches, printed circuit
boards and housing used to assemble UPS & Stabilizer to meet market
requirement and orders effectively. The company will divide the store into two
parts: one side will be used to store accessories and the other for finished
products.
The power crisis has compelled a significant number of consumers to fulfill their
basic electricity need through some alternative source of power. In Pakistan,
public and private power generation units do not have the capacity to meet the
increasing electricity requirements of the population. This clearly indicates a
strong demand for UPS and stabilizer products in coming years.
Technology: The proposed unit would require tools and equipment for
assembling and quality assurance / testing departments. List of tools and
equipment is given in machinery and equipment section.
Location: Lahore, Faisalabad, Multan Gujranwala, Karachi, Hyderabad,
Sukkur, Peshawar and Quetta etc. In these cities, parts of UPS and stabilizers
can be easily procured and there is huge demand of UPS and stabilizers.
Product: The unit would assemble UPS of size 3x3, 4x4, 5x5 and Stabilizers
of 500 VA and 1,000 VA.
Target Market: There is a large market in all urban centers and semi urban
areas of Pakistan. However, it is recommended to sell the products in the
same city where the assembling unit is being established.
Employment Generation: The proposed project will provide direct
employment to 12 people. Financial analysis shows that the unit will be
profitable from the very first year of operation.
7. CRITICAL FACTORS
Following are the key success factors for the proposed assembling units:
1. Owner or key employees must have technical expertise & experience.
2. Quality and after sales service of the products.
3. Seasonality of demand.
4. Availability of raw material.
5. Credit recovery.
8. INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES
During the first year of operation, the daily capacity utilization of the proposed
UPS and stabilizer unit would be around 12 and 06 units respectively. Initially
operational capacity would be 50% of installed capacity and would be increased
10% annually. The proposed assembling unit will be located in any commercial
area where basic infrastructure and facilities necessary for a UPS and Stabilizer
assembling unit are available.
9. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT
Due to scheduled and unscheduled power outages, the demand of UPS,
stabilizers and batteries increased manifolds during last few years. Both the
urban and rural areas are facing load shedding problems round the year. In
Pakistan, since last few years the demand and supply gap of electricity has
remained an unsolvable problem and people are now seeking alternate power
sources more than ever. This unit can be set up in all major cities across the
country including Karachi, Lahore, Faisalabad, Rawalpindi, Multan, Peshawar,
Quetta etc.
Generators available with different specification and usage criteria are commonly
used in industries where load is comparatively much higher than households.
UPS (stand-by) is the preferred option in industries like healthcare where power
break down in production / operations cannot be afforded. UPS is not only
gaining popularity in urban areas, but developed suburbs are also using this new
power backup. There are many households and offices, all over Pakistan where
UPS is being increasingly used as an alternate source of electricity. The demand
of UPS in urban areas is consistent throughout the year except for during
summer season which shows a remarkable increase in the urban areas of
Pakistan.
10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS/CITIES
UPS and stabilizers market is divided into three main segments in urban and
semi-urban areas particularly in all major cities across the country including
Karachi, Lahore, Faisalabad, Rawalpindi, Multan, Peshawar, Quetta etc.:
The following table shows internal rate of return and payback period for UPS &
stabilizer assembling unit.
Table 1: Project Economics
Description Details
IRR 55%
NPV (Rs.) 9,824,004
Payback Period (Years) 2 Years & 5 Months
Returns on the scheme and its profitability are highly dependent on the efficiency
of the production team, interest of the owner and quality of the products and
fulfilling the seasonal market demands. If there is increase load shedding, then
tough competition will be faced in this business.
Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank
loan;
Table 2: Project Financing
Description Details
Total Equity (20%) 799,380
Total Debt (80%) 3,197,520
Markup to the Borrower (%age / annum) 8%
Tenure of the Loan (Years) 8
Grace Period (Years) 1
Total project cost of the UPS & Stabilizer Assembling business would be Rs.
3.99 million. Out of this, fixed capital cost of the project is Rs. 1.97 million and
remaining will be the working capital.
UPS and Stabilizer assembling is a sophisticated activity that requires fairly good
arrangements and system. This is because; tools and accessories that are
needed to be stored and used in the assembling unit are very sensitive.
Therefore, during site development, proper concealed electrical wiring with extra
arrangement like electric points and switch boards for technical department must
kept in mind.
The area has been calculated on the basis of space requirement for production
area, management section, scrap yard and stores. Although, the units operating
in the industry do not follow any set pattern, it is recommended that the space in
assembly unit is allocated according to the aforementioned categories.
Following table shows calculations for project space requirement.
Land and Building for setting up the proposed UPS & Stabilizer Assembling unit
would be on rental basis which will cost around Rs. 50,000/- per month for a
single storey with an area of 244 sq. yards.
It has been assumed that the premises would be a developed site with basic
infrastructure available. However, for necessary construction, renovation and
customization of the facility Rs. 500,000/- will be required, which has been
assumed to depreciate at 10% per annum using diminishing balance method.
A lump sum provision of Rs. 393,000/- for procurement of office / factory furniture
is assumed. The breakup of Factory Office Furniture & Fixtures is as follows:
Quantity Total
S. No. Item Cost
in Nos. Cost
Office Furniture
1 Tables for Management Staff 4 20,000 80,000
2 Chairs for Management Staff 4 4,000 16,000
3 Chairs for Technical Staff 5 3,000 15,000
4 Chairs for General Staff 6 2,000 12,000
5 Curtains & Interior Decoration 1 100,000 100,000
6 Chairs/ Sofa Set for Waiting Room 1 15,000 15,000
7 Carpets 1 15,000 15,000
Total 253,000
Electrical Work
8 Electrical Fittings & Lights 1 35,000 35,000
Electric Wiring for
9 3 15,000 45,000
Technical Departments
Total 80,000
Wooden Work
Fixed Wooden Wall Board for
10 2 30,000 60,000
Technical Staff
Total 60,000
Grand Total 393,000
There are two major end products of the proposed assembly unit i.e. UPS and
stabilizers of 500 VA and 1000 VA. Following table shows raw material
requirement to assemble one unit of each of the products.
Total 6,115
4 Power Cord 50
7 Power Socket 50
8 Volt Meter 50
Total 2,040
Supervisor 1 25,000
Accountant 1 25,000
Loader 1 17,500
Peon 1 17500
Considering the industry norms, it has been assumed that 40% of the total
sale will be on cash while remaining 60% sales will be on credit to local
distributors. A collection period of 30 days has been assumed.
A provision for bad debts has been assumed equivalent to 2% of the annual
credit sales.
The cost of the utilities including electricity, fuel for motor cycle, telephone,
and water is estimated to be around Rs. 51,000/- per month.
For the purpose of this pre-feasibility, it has been assumed that the UPS &
Stabilizer assembling unit will be engaged in local sales for which demand
can be created through retailers and directly selling to distributor. As print
advertising would be difficult for a new setup as advertising draws substantial
funds. Therefore, it has been assumed that relationship building will be
followed by the business in order to create consistent demand for the
product. For this purpose, an amount equivalent to 5% of the annual sales
has been assumed. This amount will be utilized for schemes for distributors,
whole sellers and retailers.
It has been assumed that long-term financing for 8 years will be obtained in
order to finance the project investment cost. The installments are assumed to
be paid at the end of every month.
Miscellaneous expenses of running the business are assumed to be Rs.
20,000 per month. These expenses include various items like office
stationery, daily consumables etc. and are assumed to increase at a nominal
rate of 5% per annum.
The business is assumed to be run as a sole proprietorship; therefore, tax
rates applicable on the income of a non salaried individual taxpayer are used
for income tax calculation of the business.
The cost of capital is explained in the following table:
Projected Income Statement (Rs.) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Revenue 35,131,200 39,101,026 43,519,441 48,437,138 53,910,535 60,002,425 66,782,700 74,329,145 82,728,338 92,076,640
Beginning Inventory - 265,025 292,190 322,140 355,159 391,563 431,698 475,947 524,731 578,516
Ending Inventory 265,025 292,190 322,140 355,159 391,563 431,698 475,947 524,731 578,516 637,814
Gross Revenue 34,866,175 39,073,861 43,489,492 48,404,119 53,874,131 59,962,290 66,738,451 74,280,360 82,674,553 92,017,342
Sales on Credit 20,919,705 23,444,316 26,093,695 29,042,471 32,324,479 35,977,374 40,043,070 44,568,216 49,604,732 55,210,405
Sales on Cash 13,946,470 15,629,544 17,395,797 19,361,648 21,549,652 23,984,916 26,695,380 29,712,144 33,069,821 36,806,937
Bed Debt Expenses 418,394 468,886 521,874 580,849 646,490 719,547 800,861 891,364 992,095 1,104,208
Net (Adjusted Sales) 34,447,781 38,604,974 42,967,618 47,823,270 53,227,642 59,242,743 65,937,589 73,388,996 81,682,458 90,913,134
Cost of Sales 29,245,440 32,206,168 35,468,283 39,062,551 43,022,879 47,386,642 52,195,036 57,493,466 63,331,983 69,765,751
85% 83% 83% 82% 81% 80% 79% 78% 78% 77%
Raw Material Cost 26,713,440 29,451,568 32,470,353 35,798,564 39,467,917 43,513,379 47,973,500 52,890,784 58,312,089 64,289,079
Labor (Production Staff) 1,920,000 2,112,000 2,323,200 2,555,520 2,811,072 3,092,179 3,401,397 3,741,537 4,115,691 4,527,260
Other Utilities 612,000 642,600 674,730 708,467 743,890 781,084 820,139 861,145 904,203 949,413
Gross Profit 5,202,341 6,398,807 7,499,335 8,760,719 10,204,762 11,856,100 13,742,553 15,895,529 18,350,476 21,147,383
Gross Profit Margin 15% 17% 17% 18% 19% 20% 21% 22% 22% 23%
Subtotal 4,137,940 4,547,123 4,989,646 5,481,900 6,028,915 6,538,786 7,212,482 7,959,684 8,788,058 9,706,107
Operating Income 1,064,401 1,851,684 2,509,689 3,278,819 4,175,848 5,317,314 6,530,071 7,935,845 9,562,418 11,441,276
Financial Charges 255,802 242,970 213,498 181,581 147,014 109,579 69,036 25,129
Earnings Before Taxes 808,599 1,608,714 2,296,191 3,097,238 4,028,833 5,207,735 6,461,035 7,910,716 9,562,418 11,441,276
Tax 161,720 321,743 459,238 619,448 805,767 1,041,547 1,292,207 1,582,143 1,912,484 2,288,255
Net Profit 646,879 1,286,972 1,836,953 2,477,790 3,223,067 4,166,188 5,168,828 6,328,573 7,649,934 9,153,021
Monthly Profit After Tax 53,907 107,248 153,079 206,483 268,589 347,182 430,736 527,381 637,495 762,752
Projected Balance Sheet (Rs.) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Assets
Current Assets
Cash & Bank Balance 2,029,200 58,316 941,944 2,317,550 4,259,921 6,843,789 10,214,097 14,496,469 19,841,099 27,022,303 35,619,139
Raw Material Inventory 0 856,200 899,010 943,961 991,159 1,040,716 1,092,752 1,147,390 1,204,759 1,264,997 1,328,247
Finished Goods Inventory 0 265,025 292,190 322,140 355,159 391,563 431,698 475,947 524,731 578,516 637,814
Accounts Receivable 0 1,743,309 1,953,693 2,174,475 2,420,206 2,693,707 2,998,115 3,336,923 3,714,018 4,133,728 4,600,867
Total Current Assets 2,029,200 2,922,849 4,086,837 5,758,125 8,026,444 10,969,774 14,736,661 19,456,728 25,284,608 32,999,545 42,186,068
Fixed Assets
Plant Machinery & Facility 292,700 263,430 237,087 213,378 192,040 172,836 155,553 139,998 125,998 113,398 102,058
Factory Construction 500,000 450,000 405,000 364,500 328,050 320,245 288,221 259,398 233,459 210,113 214,101
Furniture & Fixtures 393,000 353,700 318,330 286,497 257,847 232,063 208,856 187,971 169,174 152,256 137,031
Vehicle 282,000 253,800 228,420 205,578 185,020 166,518 149,866 134,880 121,392 109,253 98,327
Total Fixed Assets 1,467,700 1,320,930 1,188,837 1,069,953 962,958 891,662 802,496 722,246 650,022 585,020 551,518
Intangible Assets
Preliminary Expenses 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 - - - - - -
Total Assets 3,996,900 4,643,779 5,575,674 7,028,078 9,089,402 11,861,437 15,539,157 20,178,975 25,934,630 33,584,564 42,737,585
Owner's Equity 799,380 1,446,259 2,733,231 4,570,184 7,047,974 10,271,040 14,437,229 19,606,057 25,934,630 33,584,564 42,737,585
Long Term Liability 3,197,520 3,197,520 2,842,443 2,457,894 2,041,428 1,590,396 1,101,928 572,918 0 0
Total Equity & Liabilities 3,996,900 4,643,779 5,575,674 7,028,078 9,089,402 11,861,437 15,539,157 20,178,975 25,934,630 33,584,564 42,737,585
Projected Statement of Cash Flows (Rs.) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Net Profit 0 646,879 1,286,972 1,836,953 2,477,790 3,223,067 4,166,188 5,168,828 6,328,573 7,649,934 9,153,021
Add: Depreciation Expense 0 146,770 132,093 118,884 106,995 96,296 89,166 80,250 72,225 65,002 58,502
Amortization Expense 0 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 - - - - -
(Increase) / decrease in Receivables 0 (1,743,309) (210,384) (220,782) (245,731) (273,501) (304,408) (338,808) (377,095) (419,710) (467,139)
(Increase) / decrease in Raw Material Inventory 0 (856,200) (42,810) (44,951) (47,198) (49,558) (52,036) (54,638) (57,369) (60,238) (63,250)
(Increase) / decrease in Finished Goods Inventory 0 (265,025) (27,165) (29,949) (33,019) (36,404) (40,135) (44,249) (48,785) (53,785) (59,298)
Net Cash Flow From Operations 0 (1,970,884) 1,238,705 1,760,155 2,358,837 3,059,900 3,858,776 4,811,383 5,917,548 7,181,204 8,621,836
Net Cash Flow From Financing Activities 3,996,900 0 (355,077) (384,549) (416,466) (451,032) (488,468) (529,010) (572,918) 0 0
NET CASH FLOW 2,029,200 (1,970,884) 883,628 1,375,606 1,942,371 2,583,868 3,370,308 4,282,373 5,344,630 7,181,204 8,596,836
Cash at the Beginning of the Period 0 2,029,200 58,316 941,944 2,317,550 4,259,921 6,843,789 10,214,097 14,496,469 19,841,099 27,022,303
Cash at the End of the Period 2,029,200 58,316 941,944 2,317,550 4,259,921 6,843,789 10,214,097 14,496,469 19,841,099 27,022,303 35,619,139
Item Assumption(s)
Sales Volume Increase Per Annum 10 %
Sales Price Increase Per Annum 6%
Increase in Cost of Sales 10 %
Increase in Staff Salaries 10 % per year
Increase in Utilities 20 % per year
Increase in Rent 10 % per year
Increase in Office Expenses 10 % per year
Depreciation: Premises Renovation 10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)
Furniture 10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)
Loan Period 8 Years
Grace Period 1 Year
Loan Installments Monthly
Financial Charges 8 % per annum
Bad Debts 2% of Credit Sales