AUSTRALIA POSITIVE CASE OF COVID-19 DAILY

The data used in this analysis consists of the daily of COVID-19 and the number of
socializations for Australia. The data was obtained by worldmeter from 1st may – 5th may
2020 [1]. The value of variable X and Y is on the table below:
Variable 1 2 3 4 5
X: Number of socialization 70 80 60 90 70
Y: Number of positive patients 923 890 885 857 787

A. REGRESSION ANALYSIS
Regression models are statistical sets of processes that are used to estimate or predict
the target or dependent variable on the basis of independent variables. Linear regression is a
simple model that is used to find the relation between a dependent and an independent
variable.
X Y X.Y X2 Y2
70 923 64610 4900 851929
80 890 71200 6400 792100
60 885 53100 3600 783225
90 857 77130 8100 734449
70 787 55090 4900 619369
TOTAL 2790
370 4342 321130 0 3781072
SQRT 136900 18852964

74
868

1
So the fitted model for Australian positive case of covid-19 is,

The value of the intercept is 893.731 people, this means if the value of all variable is zero then
number of positive patients is 893.731. The relationship between number of socialization and
number of positive patients in Australia is negative. If number of socialization increased by
one people then number of positive patients will be decreased by 0.342 given that other
variables are constant.

B. CORRELATION COEFFICIENT AND DETEMINATION COEFFICIENT

X Y X.Y X2 Y2
70 923 64610 4900 851929
80 890 71200 6400 792100
60 885 53100 3600 783225
90 857 77130 8100 734449
70 787 55090 4900 619369
TOTAL 2790
370 4342 321130 0 3781072
SQRT 136900 18852964

74

2
 868

 Correlation

So the correlation between number of socialization and number of positive patients in

Australia have a weak negative correlation (r = - 0.076). When one variable increases,
the other variable tends to decrease, but in a weak or unreliable manner.
 Detemination Coefficient
Detemination coefficient (R2) is a statistical measure that represents the proportion of
the variance for a dependent variable that's explained by an independent variable or
variables in a regression model [2]. 

X Y
70 923 869.769 2833.515 2981.160
80 890 866.346 559.504 466.560
60 885 873.192 139.422 275.560
90 857 862.923 35.083 129.960
70 787 869.769 6850.746 6625.960

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 37
Total 0 4342 4342.000 10418.269 10479.200

So the detemination coefficient (R2) value of 0.58% indicates that the ability of the
predictor variable in explaining the number of positive patients in Australia is bad, it
can be seen from the low R2 value of 0.58% where the value less than 50%.

C. HYPOTHESIS TESTING FOR 2 SAMPLES

There is a statement that say there are no difference in number of escalations of
Positively infected Patient and Number of Deceased Patient.
Positive Infected Patient Number of Deceased Patient
923 93
890 93
885 95
857 95
787 96
TOTAL 4342 472

= 868 = 94

Hypotheses:

H0 :

H1 :
Level of significance : α = 0.05
Reject H0 if Z ≥Zα/2 or Z ≤ - Zα/2
Test statistic:

4
 n1 =5

n2 =5

= 868

= 94
S1 = 15
S2 = 10

Decision :

96.002

Hypothesis is rejected because Z value is more than 1.64. So it can be concluded that there is
difference in number of escalations of Positively infected Patient and Number of Deceased
Patient at Australia.

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 GREECE POSITIVE CASE OF COVID-19 DAILY

The data used in this analysis consists of the daily of COVID-19 and the number of
socializations for Grace. The data was obtained by worldmeter from 1st may – 5th may 2020
[3]. The value of variable X and Y is on the table below:
Variable 1 2 3 4 5
X: Number of socialization 70 80 60 90 70
Y: Number of positive patients 358 353 206 208 160

A. REGRESSION ANALYSIS
Regression models are statistical sets of processes that are used to estimate or predict
the target or dependent variable on the basis of independent variables. Linear regression is a
simple model that is used to find the relation between a dependent and an independent
variable.
X Y X.Y X2 Y2
70 358 25060 4900 128164
80 353 28240 6400 124609
60 206 12360 3600 42436
90 208 18720 8100 43264
70 160 11200 4900 25600
TOTAL 370 1285 95580 27900 364073
SQRT 13690
0 1651225

74
257

6
So the fitted model for Australian positive case of covid-19 is,

The value of the intercept is 187.269 people, this means if the value of all variable is zero then
number of positive patients is 187.269. The relationship between number of socialization and
number of positive patients in Greece is positive. If number of socialization increased by one
people then number of positive patients will be increased by 0.942 given that other variables
are constant.

B. CORRELATION COEFFICIENT AND DETEMINATION COEFFICIENT

X Y X.Y X2 Y2
70 358 25060 4900 128164
80 353 28240 6400 124609
60 206 12360 3600 42436
90 208 18720 8100 43264
70 160 11200 4900 25600
TOTAL 370 1285 95580 27900 364073
SQRT 13690
0 1651225

74
257

7
 Correlation

So the correlation between number of socialization and number of positive patients in

Greece have a weak positive correlation (r = 0.117). When variable number of
socialization increases, variable number of positive patients is increase, but in a weak or
unreliable manner.
 Detemination Coefficient
Detemination coefficient (R2) is a statistical measure that represents the proportion of
the variance for a dependent variable that's explained by an independent variable or
variables in a regression model [2]. 

X Y
70 358 253.231 10976.592 10201
80 353 262.654 8162.428 9216
60 206 243.808 1429.422 2601
90 208 272.077 4105.852 2401
70 160 253.231 8691.976 9409
Tota 370 1285 1285 33366.269 33828

8
 l

So the detemination coefficient (R2) value of 1.36% indicates that the ability of the
predictor variable in explaining the number of positive patients in Greec is bad, it can be
seen from the low R2 value of 1.36% where the value less than 50%.

C. HYPOTHESIS TESTING FOR 2 SAMPLES

There is a statement that say there are no difference in number of escalations of
Positively infected Patient and Number of Deceased Patient in Greece
 Positive Infected Patient
Positive Infected Patient Number of Deceased Patient
358 140
353 143
206 144
208 146
160 147
TOTAL 1285 720

= 257 = 144

Hypotheses:

H0 :

H1 :
Level of significance : α = 0.05
Reject H0 if Z ≥Zα/2 or Z ≤ - Zα/2
Test statistic:

9
 n1 =5

n2 =5

= 257

= 144
S1 = 15
S2 = 10

Decision :

14.016

Hypothesis is rejected because Z value is more than 1.64. So it can be concluded that there is
difference in number of escalations of Positively infected Patient and Number of Deceased
Patient at Greece.

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 CONCLUSION
1. Australia
The relationship between number of socialization and number of positive patients in
Australia is negative. If number of socialization increased by one people then number of
positive patients will be decreased by 0.342 given that other variables are constant. The
correlation between number of socialization and number of positive patients in Australia
have a weak negative correlation. The ability of the predictor variable in explaining the
number of positive patients in Australia is bad. And there is difference in number of
escalations of Positively infected Patient and Number of Deceased Patient at Australia.
2. Greece
The relationship between number of socialization and number of positive patients in
Greece is negative. If number of socialization increased by one people then number of
positive patients will be decreased by 0.342 given that other variables are constant. the
correlation between number of socialization and number of positive patients in Australia
have a weak positive correlation. The ability of the predictor variable in explaining the
number of positive patients in Greec is bad.And there is difference in number of
escalations of Positively infected Patient and Number of Deceased Patient at Greece.

REFERENCE

[1] Australia COVID: Coronavirus Cases. (2022, February). Worldometer - real time world
statistics. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/
[2] What is R-Squared?. (2022, February). Investopedia.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/r-squared
[3] Greece COVID: Coronavirus Cases. (2022, February). Worldometer - real time world
statistics. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/greece/

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