Actual

Month
Sales Forecast
Jan 24500
Feb 27000
Mar 19950
Apr 26000 23816.67
May 21200 24316.67
Jun 18900 22383.33
Jul 17500 22033.33
Aug 19000 19200
Sep 18466.67
Month Weight Sales
4 0.4 95 38
3 0.3 105 31.5
2 0.2 90 18
1 0.1 100 10
1 97.5

F5 97.5
 Load(Hrs
Month
) Moving Average Weight D*W
May-20 ----
Jun-20 585
Jul-20 610
Aug-20 675
Sep-20 750 0.2 150
Oct-20 860 655 0.3 258
Nov-20 970 741.6666667 0.5 485
(b) 893

(a) Dec-20 773

Week Demand Forecast Error
1 80 80 0
2 95 80 15
3 75 83 -8
4 110 81.4 28.6
5 100 87.12 12.88
6 90 89.696 0.30
7 89.7568
Alpha 0.2 Assumption C
Dt = Ft=80 Assumption 120

100

80

60

40

20

0
1 2

De
 Chart Title

1 2 3 4 5 6

Demand Forecast
 Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Deman
10 18 29 15 30 12 16 8
d
F(.1) 15 14.5 14.85 16.265 16.1385 17.52465 16.97219 16.87497
Error -5 3.5 14.15 -1.265 13.8615 -5.52465 -0.972185 -8.874967
RESULTS Better Same Better Better Better Better
ALPHA 0.1

F(.1)
35

30

25

20

15

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Demand F(.1)
 Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Deman
10 18 29 15 30 12 16 8
d
F(.3) 15 13.5 14.85 19.095 17.8665 21.50655 18.65459 17.85821
Error -5 4.5 14.15 -4.095 12.1335 -9.50655 -2.654585 -9.85821
RESULTS Better
Alpha 0.3

F(.3)
35

30

25

20

15

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Demand F(.3)