Year (t) Sales(y)

1 36
40
2 32
3 36 35
4 31 f(x) = − 0.448484848484848 x + 34.4666666666667
30
5 30
6 28 25
7 31 20
8 35
9 34 15
10 27 10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Sales(y) Linear (Sales(y)) Linear (Sales(y))

b=nƩty-ƩtƩy/nƩt2- (Ʃt)2

a= Ʃy - bƩt /n 40

a = 34.467 35
Y = a+bx b = -0.4485 30

25
y = -0.4485x+34.467
20
29.53
15

10

0
1 2
 9 10

near (Sales(y))

Chart Title
40

35

30

25

20

15

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Year (t) Sales(y)

Year (t) Sales(y) ty t^2
1 36 36 1
2 32 64 4
3 36 108 9
4 31 124 16
5 30 150 25
6 28 168 36 Sales(y)
7 40 31 217 49
8 35 35 280 64
9 30
34 306 81
10 27 270 100 y=34.4.667+(-0.44848)x
25
55 320 1723 385 y=34.4.667-0.44848x
20
15 29.53333
10
b=nƩty-ƩtƩy/nƩt
5
2
- (Ʃt)2 -0.448485
0
a= Ʃy - bƩt
1 /n 2 34.46667
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Sales(y) Moving average (Sales(y))

Year (t) Sales(y)
1 36 #N/A
2 32 36 Exponential Smoothing
3 36 35.2 40
4 31 35.36 30 f(x) = − 0.462963370666666 x + 36.6694122951111
Actual Exponential (Actual)
5 30 34.488 20 Forecast Exponential

Value
6 28 33.5904 10 (Forecast)
7 31 32.47232 0 Linear (Forecast)
8 35 32.17786 1 6
9 34 32.74228 Data Point
10 27 32.99383

F11=0.2*27=0.8*32.99
moothing
94122951111
ponential (Actual)
ponential
recast)