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SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics IMR


Multiple R 0.960923 300
R Square 0.923373 92.3% 200
100

Residuals
Adjusted R 0.896007 89.6%
0
Standard E 144.7007 -100 30 40
Observatio 20 -200
-300
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 5 3532372 706474.3 33.74078 2.489E-07
Residual 14 293136.1 20938.29
Total 19 3825508

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -12536.54 15530.43 -0.807225 0.433038 -45846 20772.9 -45846 20772.9
IMR 43.99144 20.1038 2.188215 0.046107 0.873069 87.10981 0.873069 87.10981
FertRate 482.721 638.6496 0.755846 0.46227 -887.0463 1852.488 -887.0463 1852.488
SxRatio -2.006452 5.498414 -0.364915 0.720629 -13.79938 9.786474 -13.79938 9.786474
Popn 0.000245 0.000256 0.958428 0.354107 -0.000304 0.000794 -0.000304 0.000794
PerCapNSD 0.031733 0.011575 2.741523 0.015908 0.006907 0.056558 0.006907 0.056558

RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Predicted
Observation
Per-Capita Health
Residuals
Expenditure Percentile
Per-Capita Health Expenditure
1 129.516 9.52401 2.5 134.85
2 100.5083 34.34165 7.5 139.04
3 53.23596 90.93404 12.5 144.17
4 33.87196 126.308 17.5 159.15
5 125.4613 50.71871 22.5 160.18
6 144.8315 14.31852 27.5 176.18
7 203.3118 14.62821 32.5 205.9
8 374.4722 -168.5722 37.5 217.94
9 412.3201 -172.3201 42.5 240
10 312.7306 -32.73059 47.5 280
11 227.9664 72.03356 52.5 300
12 522.1576 -202.1576 57.5 320
13 578.0956 -138.0956 62.5 440
14 688.2292 -228.2292 67.5 460
15 601.0818 68.91818 72.5 670
16 707.8155 219.1845 77.5 927
17 899.3477 180.6523 82.5 1080
18 1183.032 -12.03181 87.5 1171
19 1318.756 41.24399 92.5 1360
20 1469.669 31.33138 97.5 1501
IMR Residual Plot
300
200 FertRate Residual Plot
100
Residuals

300
0
-100 30
200
40 50 60
SxRatio Residual Plot
70 80 90 100
100
Residuals

-200 300
-300
0
200 Popn Residual Plot
-100 1.8 1.9 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8
100
Residuals

-200 IMR 300


-300
0
200 PerCapNSDP Residual Plot
-100930 935 940 945 950 955 960 965 970 975
100
Residuals

-200 FertRate 300


-300
0
-100 00
200
0 0 0
Normal Probability Plot
0 0
00SxRatio 000
100 00 00 00
Residuals

-200 0 0 0 0 0 0

Per-Capita Health Ex-


0 00 0 2000 00
60 00 00 00
3-300 38 -100 0 40 1500
2000042 44
40000 6000046 80000 100000
-200 penditure
1000Popn
-300
500
0 PerCapNSDP
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
ot

100 120
Foreign direct
Mobile cellular External debt investment, net
subscriptions (per stocks, total (DOD, inflows (BoP,
Series Name GDP (current US$) 100 people) current US$) current US$)
1996 [YR1996 392897054348.07 0.03 93966076365.70 2426057021.91
1997 [YR1997 415867753863.88 0.09 94059291709.00 3577330042.35
1998 [YR1998 421351477504.74 0.12 98333648294.50 2634651657.77
1999 [YR1999 458820417337.81 0.18 99779510346.30 2168591054.38
2000 [YR2000 468394937262.37 0.34 101131491179.60 3584217307.19
2001 [YR2001 485441014538.64 0.61 99500093585.50 5128093561.63
2002 [YR2002 514937948870.08 1.19 105741601402.00 5208967106.28
2003 [YR2003 607699285433.87 3.03 118884622369.50 3681984671.43
2004 [YR2004 709148514804.66 4.62 123644485822.10 5429250989.86
2005 [YR2005 820381595512.90 7.85 121195478444.50 7269407225.61
2006 [YR2006 940259888792.14 14.25 159525518911.40 20029119267.14
2007 [YR2007 1216735441524.86 19.74 204057539299.50 25227740886.68
2008 [YR2008 1198895582137.51 28.89 227111768434.60 43406277075.81
2009 [YR2009 1341886602798.69 43.12 256312241333.40 35581372929.66
2010 [YR2010 1675615335600.56 60.94 290427544563.20 27396885033.78
2011 [YR2011 1823049927771.46 71.49 334399298473.10 36498654597.86
2012 [YR2012 1827637859135.70 68.32 392576047064.30 23995685014.21
2013 [YR2013 1856722121394.53 69.20 427245080644.80 28153031270.32
2014 [YR2014 2039127446298.55 72.86 457507409077.40 34576643694.14
2015 [YR2015 2103587813812.75 76.41 478825585025.10 44009492129.53
2016 [YR2016 2294797980509.01 85.15 455502090498.90 44458571545.80
2017 [YR2017 2651472946374.91 87.32 511472593373.60 39966091358.74
2018 [YR2018 2701111782775.03 86.94 521030395277.30 42117450737.26
2019 [YR2019 2870504096717.77 84.27 560870595482.50 50610647353.59
2020 [YR2020 2660245248867.63 83.60 564179014212.40 64362364994.38
Gross Exports Imports Final
domestic of goods of goods consump Gross
Inward Outward Net FDI product and and tion capital
FDI India FDI India Inflow (In (GDP) (In services services expenditu formation
(In US$ (In US$ US$ US$ (In US$ (In US$ re (In US$ (In US$
YEAR Million) Million) Million) Million) Million) Million) Total TradeMillion) Million)
1980 451.75 78.07079 373.6792 184760.49 11487.909 17351.56 28839.47 160591.8 42585.8
1981 543.67 80.07079 463.5992 197078 11850.066 17163.05 29013.12 167920.2 51582.38
1982 615.75 81.07079 534.6792 201227.93 12234.592 16700.88 28935.47 170906.2 49915.02
1983 621.39 86.07079 535.3192 219555.46 13015.92 17562.97 30578.89 187808.5 51029.69
1984 640.63 90.07079 550.5592 217466.91 13951.765 17207.34 31159.1 185566.7 50763.01
1985 746.72 93.07079 653.6492 226460.26 12092.915 17649.24 29742.15 188938.7 60363.31
1986 864.45 92.07079 772.3792 248120.21 13123.723 17791.85 30915.58 209715.4 63363.85
1987 1076.77 97.07079 979.6992 274577.5 15653.832 19555.7 35209.54 230373.3 67989.86
1988 1168.02 108.0708 1059.949 303753.8 18627.563 23080.76 41708.32 248240.5 81526.79
1989 1420.12 118.0708 1302.049 300719.7 21339.17 24869.68 46208.85 239230.3 79925.58
1990 1656.81 124.0708 1532.739 326795.49 23225.332 27918.93 51144.26 253959.3 90872.49
1991 1731.81 113.0708 1618.739 289681.42 24745.888 24819.35 49565.24 224996.8 72480.97
1992 1983.81 293.8931 1689.917 290914.44 25982.216 28263.93 54246.15 222544 77035.04
1993 2515.81 294.2438 2221.566 283985.41 28251.132 28202.6 56453.73 216865.2 66586.68
1994 3489.81 376.2438 3113.566 325342.24 32386 33375.04 65761.04 242654.3 83913.48
1995 5640.81 495.2438 5145.566 369240.2 40316 44701.22 85017.22 271806.6 108067.5
1996 8165.81 735.2438 7430.566 389168.81 40880.9 45443.86 86324.75 291600.5 93465.37
1997 10630.1 617.29 10012.81 422572.38 45493.818 50761.86 96255.68 313562.9 105238.5
1998 14065.36 705.78 13359.58 425273.62 47329.861 54471.27 101801.1 324053.1 100302.1
1999 15051.81 1665.9 13385.9 453377.29 52884.621 61711.61 114596.2 349871.6 118340
2000 16338.95 1733.476 14605.48 467787.93 61886.085 66202.13 128088.2 356988.1 113037.6
2001 19675.92 2531.754 17144.17 482967.94 61618.795 65919.4 127538.2 370653.7 116779.9
2002 25826.28 4070.579 21755.7 504946.43 73144.14 78168.79 151312.9 379002.4 127299.5
2003 32549.19 6073.154 26476.04 591332.37 89608.324 93784.29 183392.6 431438.5 158473.3
2004 38060.24 7734.425 30325.82 715459.35 125572.68 138127.5 263700.2 501368.7 232196.3
2005 43201.58 9741.303 33460.27 837499.07 161471.07 184459.5 345930.6 579211.4 287091.6
2006 70870.28 27035.64 43834.65 947912.05 199720.09 229663.1 429383.2 644523.7 340032
2007 105790.5 44080.35 61710.14 1206110 246419.14 294837.3 541256.4 811092.4 458734.3
2008 125211.7 63337.82 61873.83 1294113 305426.82 370999.5 676426.3 888311.9 459738.9
2009 171217.9 80839.25 90378.65 1334018 268572.84 340239 608811.9 926016.6 481844.3
2010 205580.2 96900.6 108679.6 1678297 382169.26 451823.6 833992.8 1147954 601233.5
MEASURE US Dollars at current prices and current exchange rates in millions
Net
Debt Debt transfers INR/US$
outstandi Disbursm service, on debt, Nominal Migrants'
ng, total ents, total total total annual remittanc Nominal
long-term long-term long-term long-term average es, annual GNI (In
(In US$ (In US$ (In US$ (In US$ exchange (In US$ US$
Million) Million) Million) Million) rates Million) Million)
18333.12 2449.96 1258.87 1191.09 7.863 2756.971 185459.9
19454.13 2687.18 1307.68 1379.5 8.659 2301.42 197372.9
21587.2 3455.45 1671.1 1784.35 9.455 2617.674 200761.5
23943.33 3732.09 2000.52 1731.57 10.099 2660.08 218829.3
25683.64 4273.29 2065.71 2207.58 11.363 2294.746 216397.6
31760.51 5003.01 2580.86 2422.15 12.369 2469.205 225506.8
38410.13 6487.65 3952.19 2535.46 12.611 2239.904 246898.6
45826.78 7269.01 3878.92 3390.09 12.962 2665.41 272758.6
51545.72 10330.22 4064.43 6265.79 13.917 2315.294 300677.3
66339.8 7249.41 5192.97 2056.44 16.226 2613.847 297317
72461.74 6589.9 6428.92 160.98 17.504 2383.744 322592.7
74900.71 7204.35 6371.81 832.54 22.742 3289.111 285303.7
79125.7 7358.5 6693.02 665.48 25.918 2897.428 286406.7
85675.98 8420.87 7572.17 848.7 30.493 3522.783 280010.3
93906.81 7551.8 9236.61 -1684.81 31.374 5856.69 321159.6
86958.44 7134.51 11264.2 -4129.69 32.427 6222.997 365072.2
85427.51 6682.34 10653.36 -3971.02 35.433 8765.69 385472
88606.34 7619.11 11401.57 -3782.46 36.313 10331.01 418933.7
93020.67 10729.63 11342.54 -612.91 41.259 9479.296 421643.8
94354.36 5619.26 9628.31 -4009.05 43.055 11124.29 449793.4
96780.89 10556.06 10417.76 138.3053 44.942 12883.51 462729.6
95901.04 6252.985 11638.65 -5385.665 47.186 14273.06 478715
100722.5 8098.943 15279.33 -7180.384 48.610 15735.69 501513
111545.4 18690.47 25683.18 -6992.708 46.583 20999.19 586887
115722.6 16414.14 17288 -873.8683 45.316 18750.33 710521.9
111405.9 19380.28 23579.31 -4199.031 44.100 22125.04 831577.1
133403.8 32443.32 16935.71 15507.61 45.307 28333.65 940576.8
166835.6 64496.23 37584.71 26911.53 41.349 37216.8 1201150
182171 38689.95 29400.75 9289.198 43.505 49977.25 1286546
203390.1 26630.78 15924.33 10706.45 48.405 49468.32 1326189
233834 43419.85 19380.21 24039.64 45.726 54034.71 1661042
Per-Capita
PerCapNS
Year CBR CDR IMR FertRate SxRatio Popn
DP
Health
Expenditure

2001 23.4 10.2 91 2.6 972 36805000 10453 139.04


2002 23.2 9.8 87 2.6 962 37244000 11059 134.85
2003 23 9.7 83 2.6 960 37671000 11688 144.17
2004 22.7 9.6 77 2.7 952 38085000 14169 160.18
2005 22.3 9.5 75 2.6 943 38490000 17650 176.18
2006 21.9 9.3 73 2.5 933 38888000 18846 159.15
2007 21.5 9.2 71 2.4 937 39276000 22237 217.94
2008 21.4 9 69 2.4 941 39654000 27735 205.9
2009 21 8.8 65 2.4 938 40025000 31416 240
2010 20.5 8.6 61 2.3 946 40390000 33029 280
2011 20.1 8.5 57 2.2 946 40750000 34642 300
2012 19.9 8.5 53 2.1 948 41104000 48370 320
2013 19.6 8.4 51 2.1 956 41453000 50714 440
2014 19.4 7.9 49 2.1 953 41797000 54109 460
2015 19.2 7.6 46 2 950 42139000 54210 670
2016 18.6 7.8 44 2 948 42479000 57592 927
2017 18.3 7.4 41 1.9 938 42808000 66133 1080
2018 18.4 7.2 43 1.9 933 43132000 69480 1171
2019 18.3 7.4 41 1.9 937 43450000 74325 1360
2020 18.2 7.3 40 1.9 938 43762000 78119 1501
Predicted
Per-
Capita
Health
Expenditu
re Residuals Perccapita health Exp = f(CBR, CDR, FertRate…..)
151.1585 -12.11854 -12.11854
139.9602 -5.110175
32.97628 111.1937 SUMMARY OUTPUT
53.29775 106.8823
117.4799 58.70014 Regression Statistics
130.6802 28.46977 Multiple R 0.967304 Explained
171.1381 46.80195 R Square 0.935676 93.6%
334.3743 -128.4743 Adjusted R Square 0.898154 89.8% -3.8%
439.2821 -199.2821 Standard Error 143.1987
358.6621 -78.66209 Observations 20
225.353 74.64705
413.251 -93.25101 ANOVA
505.7255 -65.72548 df SS MS
727.2204 -267.2204 Regression 7 3579437 511348.2
585.3243 84.67569 Residual 12 246070.3 20505.85
758.3348 168.6652 Total 19 3825508
990.3768 89.62319
1252.177 -81.17695 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
1280.485 79.51529 a Intercept 4140.203 19179.06 0.215871
1419.153 81.84688 b1 CBR -373.5911 342.1637 -1.091849
X2 b2 CDR -279.8324 243.8743 -1.147445
X3 b3 IMR 58.71342 23.98142 2.448287
X4 b4 FertRate 1325.942 928.7816 1.427614
X5 b5 SxRatio -1.581411 5.448698 -0.290237
X6 b6 Popn -3.92E-07 0.000302 -0.001298
X7 b7 PerCapNSDP 0.035251 0.011928 2.955362

Y = b3X3 + b7X7
Y = a + b1X1 + b2X2 +…...+ b7X7
RESIDUAL OUTPUT Actual Y - Calc Y

Predicted
Per-
Capita
Health
Expenditu
Observation re Residuals
1 151.1585 -12.11854
2 139.9602 -5.110175
3 32.97628 111.1937
4 53.29775 106.8823
5 117.4799 58.70014
6 130.6802 28.46977
7 171.1381 46.80195
8 334.3743 -128.4743
9 439.2821 -199.2821
10 358.6621 -78.66209
11 225.353 74.64705
12 413.251 -93.25101
13 505.7255 -65.72548
14 727.2204 -267.2204
15 585.3243 84.67569
16 758.3348 168.6652
17 990.3768 89.62319
18 1252.177 -81.17695
19 1280.485 79.51529
20 1419.153 81.84688
CBR Residual Plot
Unexplained 200
6.4% 100 CDR Residual Plot

Residuals
0 200
-100 17 18
100 19 20 IMR
21 Residual
22 23 24Plo

Residuals
-200 0 200
-300 -100 7 7.5
100 8 8.5 FertRate
9 9.5 Res
10

Residuals
-200 0 CBR 200
F Significance F -300 -100 30 40
100 50 60 SxRati
70
24.93669 3.065E-06

Residuals
-200 0 CDR 200
-300 -100 1.8 1.91002 2.1 2.2

Residuals
-200 0 IMR
-300 -100930 935 9
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0% -200 Fer
0.832714 -37647.38 45927.78 -37647.38 45927.78 -300
0.296336 -1119.102 371.9196 -1119.102 371.9196
0.27356 -811.1889 251.524 -811.1889 251.524
0.030689 6.462386 110.9645 6.462386 110.9645
0.178906 -697.6995 3349.583 -697.6995 3349.583
0.77659 -13.4531 10.29028 -13.4531 10.29028
0.998986 -0.000659 0.000658 -0.000659 0.000658
0.012024 0.009263 0.06124 0.009263 0.06124

PROBABILITY OUTPUT

Per-
Capita
Health
Expenditu
Percentile re
2.5 134.85
7.5 139.04
12.5 144.17
17.5 159.15
22.5 160.18
27.5 176.18
32.5 205.9
37.5 217.94
42.5 240
47.5 280
52.5 300
57.5 320
62.5 440
67.5 460
72.5 670
77.5 927
82.5 1080
87.5 1171
92.5 1360
97.5 1501
al Plot
Residual Plot
IMR
21 Residual
22 23 24Plot

8 8.5 FertRate
9 9.5 Residual
10 10.5 Plot
R 200
40
100 50 60 SxRatio
70 80 Residual
90 100 Plot
Residuals

0 CDR 200
-100 1.8 1.91002 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 Popn Residual Plot PerCapNSDP Residual Plo
Residuals

-200 0 IMR 200 200


-300 -100930 935
100940 945 950 955 960 965 970 975 100
Residuals

Residuals

-200 FertRate
0 0
-300 -100 00 00 00 00 00 00 -100 0 20000 40000 60000 80000
00 00
0 00 00
0
00
0
00
0
00
-200 0 SxRatio
0 00 0 0 0 -200
3 6 38 4 42 44 46
-300 -300
Popn PerCapNSDP

Normal Probability Plot


2000
Per-Capita Health Ex-

1500
penditure

1000
500
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Sample Percentile
NSDP Residual Plot

00 40000 60000 80000 100000

PerCapNSDP

00 120

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