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Task Details: The task consists of 3 questions, each of which address at least one type of modelling.
Questions 1 and 2 are short answer type questions and Question 3 is a long answer type question.
FORMULA:
1. Maximum Marks: 6
A scientist investigated the migration season of the Bulbul bird from their natural
wetlands to a warmer climate.
He found that during the migration season their population, P could be modelled by
𝑃 = 1350 + 400(1.25)−𝑡 , t ≥ 0, where t is the number of days since the start of the
migration season.
b) Calculate the time taken for the population to decrease below 1400. [2]
c) According to this model, find the smallest possible population of Bulbul birds during
the migration season. [1]
2. Maximum Marks: 6
3. Maximum Marks: 13
a) Using the information from the following table, find the linear model of the given data.
(Consider x as the year and y as its corresponding temperature)
[3]
b) Use your model to predict the Earth’s average temperature in 2018. [2]
It is found that the records from which the 50 year average for 1708 was calculated, are not
reliable. Consequently, a new data table is produced, not including 1708, and replacing the
actual year with a 50 year scale: 1 unit = 50 years after 1758, 2 units = 100 years after 1758
etc.
c) Using the table above write down the constant term, c, of the quadratic model:
𝑦 = 𝑎𝑥² + 𝑏𝑥 + 𝑐 that fits this data. [1]
d) Using the coordinates: (2, 9.12) and (5,9.76) set up two equations to find a quadratic
model for this data. [2]
e) Solve your simultaneous equations to find a quadratic model for this data. [2]
f) Use this quadratic model to predict the Earth’s average temperature in 2018. [1]
g) The Earth’s average temperature in 2018 was 10.1°𝐶.
Work out the percentage difference between:
(i) the actual 2018 temperature and the linear model’s prediction.
(ii) the actual 2018 temperature and the quadratic model’s prediction [2]
FORMULA: