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MINI REVIEW
AACD, in which patients score at least one SD below restric- tive definition, compared with 3% with the most
age and education-based standards (i.e., by reference to liberal
norms for elderly people) on neuropsychological tests
assessing multiple cognitive abilities (memory and
learning, attention and concentration, language and
visuospatial function- ing). The AACD criteria contain
no age restriction, al- though cognitive decline is more
prevalent in old age, and its onset may occur earlier in
life. Hanninen et al. (8) showed a prevalence of 26.6%
and Ritchie et al. (9) found a prevalence of 19.3% in
elderly subjects over 60.
ble, or may even improve in cognitive functioning over MCI to AD (10, 27, 30) vary widely across studies
time (11-21). ranging from
A Finnish study (22) demonstrated that 22% of
subjects with CIND improved after 3 years. Another
study (23) re- ported improvement in 15%, with an
additional 29% remaining stable after 3 years, but it is
not known whether the observed improvement is stable
over time.
In a prospective population-based study, the Kung-
sholmen Project (24), 35% of individuals with CIND
pro- gressed to dementia and 11% remained stable with
an es- timated improvement of 25% between baseline
and the 3- year follow-up. Those who improved within 3
years of fol- low-up did not have a significantly higher
risk of later pro- gressing to dementia than subjects
who had never been classified as cognitively impaired
(relative risk 1.4). It was then found that the absence of
a subjective memory complaint predicts improvement
(odds ratio 5.4), and progression to dementia appeared
to be time-depen- dent, occurring within 3 years. The
relative risk of pro- gressing to dementia was lower at
the 6-year follow-up, and a similar pattern was
described by Johansson and Zarit (25), who reported
rates of progression from MCD to dementia which
were higher over 2 years than over 7 years. Moreover,
the proportions of subjects who im- proved were
similar in severity. The improvement ob- served in the
3-year follow-up is similar to the 22% ob- served by
Schonknecht et al. (26) and slightly higher than the
15% described by Daly et al. (27). In the Kung-
sholmen Project, subjects improved after 3 years, and
re- turned to a cognitively unimpaired state without a
signif- icantly higher risk of dementia with respect to
unim- paired participants.
Longitudinal population studies, using various defini-
tions of MCD adapted to epidemiological studies, have
shown a prevalence in the elderly population between
3 and 19% in adults older 65 years, with an incidence of
8- 58 per 1000 per year, and a risk of developing
demen- tia of 11-33% over 2 years (28). Population-
based stud- ies have shown that up to 44% of patients
with MCI at their first evaluation were estimated to
return to normal a year later (28, 29). Nevertheless,
data shows conflicting conclusions about why not all
individuals identified with MCI appear to progress to
AD, and it has been sug- gested that MCI may represent
early AD which would be revealed with a sufficiently
long period of follow-up (14), or that it represents a
heterogeneous group of individuals within which there
are some at increased risk of demen- tia and others
who have a more non-progressive form of cognitive
impairment which is the reason why improve- ments
are observed.
Data have shown increased rates of progression to
AD in these individuals compared with those with no
cogni- tive impairment (14, 30), which is about 8-10%
per year over 5 years (16). Rates of conversion from