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Abstract
The goal of this article is to identify and understand the relationship between the critical success factors (CSFs) of project
manufacturing environments and project performance. This article explores those relationships through the logistic regression
method, using a sample of 182 respondents and quantifying the influence of CSFs on success achievement in four dimensions
(efficiency, impact on consumers, impact on the team, and preparation for the future). The results show that not all CSFs are
significant in explaining project success. Thus, project managers must evaluate the influence of each one and consider it in their
decisions.
Keywords
critical success factors, project manufacturing, engineering to order
overlap between engineering and production activities (McGo- Table 1. Factors Related to Human Resources
vern, Hicks, & Earl, 1999). Moreover, projects developed in this
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environment are subject to various risks and constraints in terms
of time, resources, and levels of quality. Empowerment Iyer and Jha (2005), Jin and Ling (2006), Rezaiea
To Fox et al. (2009), ETO is a complex, dynamic and multi- et al. (2009)
project environment, with several projects executed to achieve Project manager Damodara (2002), Pheng and Chuan (2006),
complicated products with unpredictable specifications and leadership Yang et al. (2011)
Project team Ferriani et al. (2009), Zhang and He (2015)
constant changes of priorities. Thus, the endeavor to achieve integration
success in these enterprises demands knowledge of any ele- Project team Mccomb, Green, and Compton (2007)
ments that may influence it. flexibility
According to Carvalho, Oliveira, and Scavarda (2015), proj- Conflict handling Cheung and Chuah (1999), Laslo and Goldberg
ect manufacturing has become increasingly important among (2008)
production systems, particularly for the delivery of customized Project manager González et al. (2013)
products. However, according to Gosling and Naim (2009), this experience
Team experience Fricke and Shenhar (2000), Lee et al. (2013),
type of manufacturing environment has received less attention
Tishler, Dvir, Shenhar, and Lipovetsky (1996)
from academia than productive systems for high volumes of
standardized products, such as make to stock (MTS).
Accordingly, the literature on project management has a line
manufacturing environment. To facilitate comprehension, the
of study that deals with so-called critical success factors
factors selected were grouped into categories: human
(CSFs), a term that was first used by Rockart (1979) to desig-
resources, technical aspects, project management, organiza-
nate the “vital elements” for the success of any project. Accord-
tional factors, and relationships with stakeholders.
ing to Inayat, Melhem, and Esmaeily (2014), there is consensus
among researchers that much of the success of projects rests on
the presence or absence of CSFs, which according to the Factors Related to Human Resources
authors, should be carefully observed by managers because
In the literature on project management, there are several stud-
of their impact on project performance. However, despite the
ies that indicate a relation between human resources and the
recognized relevance of CSFs, there are few studies aiming to
level of success achieved by projects. Table 1 presents a list of
provide sets of CSFs for specific projects, and even fewer
these factors.
studies that have sought to identify empirically the relation
The first CSF presented in Table 1 is empowerment, which
between these factors and the success of projects (Ika, Diallo,
entails enhancing the decision power of project team members,
& Thullier, 2012). Specifically, in project manufacturing, the
making the work more agile and the team more motivated, and
scientific literature presents a lacuna on the subject, with no
increasing the likelihood of achieving success in the project
works demonstrating the CSFs that can influence the perfor-
(Rezaiea, Ostadib, Tadayoun, & Aghdasi, 2009).
mance of projects carried out in this environment.
According to Yang, Huang, and Wu (2011), team motiva-
Considering this context, the general objective of this work is
tion can also occur through the leadership exercised by the
to provide a framework that makes it possible to determine the
project manager. Motivated teams tend to be more productive,
CSFs that influence the success of project manufacturing envir-
thus having a positive effect on performance and the level
onments. More specifically, the objectives of the article are:
of success.
1. To identify in the literature the CSFs consistent with In addition to the issue of leadership, the literature points to
project manufacturing environments; and the project manager’s experience as another relevant CSF.
2. To analyze the level of influence of CSFs that exert a Regarding this aspect, González, Pulido Casas, and Leal Cor-
statistically significant effect on the chances of achiev- onado (2013) emphasize that to conduct a successful project, a
ing success. project manager should have the required experience and
knowledge in the area in which the project is developed.
This article is structured as follows: The introduction is Regarding the project team, three characteristics can be
followed by a review of the literature on CSFs. The research highlighted as CSFs. The first is its level of flexibility—that
methods employed are then described, before the presentation is, its ability to respond to changes effectively and efficiently,
and analysis of the results. The final section summarizes the which according to Zhang, He, and Zhou (2013), is critical to
considerations of this work and draws conclusions. the success of the project. The second is its level of experi-
ence, which according to Lee, Anderson, Kim, and Ballard
(2013), is extremely relevant for performance in complex and
Literature Review integrated projects. The last characteristic is its integration
This section presents, concisely, the main CSFs identified after capacity, which involves the sharing of tacit knowledge dur-
an extensive search of the scientific literature. The CSFs pre- ing problem solving and improving project performance
sented were considered the most consistent with the project (Zhang & He, 2015).
Pacagnella et al. 3
Table 2. Organizational Factors Table 3. Factors Related to the Relationship With Stakeholders
Project manager Belout and Gauvreau (2004), Might and Fischer Effective Cervone (2014), Fortune and White (2006)
authority (1985) communication
Organizational Creasy and Anantatmula (2013), Laslo and Incentive Bower, Ashby, Gerald, and Smyk (2002), Meng
structure Goldberg (2008) mechanisms and Gallagher (2012)
Change Forsman (2008), Wang, Ju, Jiang, and Klein Disincentive Bubshait (2003), Meng and Gallagher (2012)
management (2008) mechanisms
Top management Ahmed et al. (2016), Cooke-Davies (2002), Integration with Horn et al. (2014), Schoenherr and Swink (2012)
support Rezaiea et al. (2009) suppliers
Project Ko, Park, and Kim (2015), Scott-Young and Selection of Luzon and El-Sayegh (2016)
management Samson (2008) suppliers
office Client Ribeiro et al. (2013)
engagement
Table 4. Factors Related to Project Management parties involved to avoid errors of execution. Moreover, as the
documentation of a project increases in size over the project
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life cycle and is consulted by various stakeholders, it must
Clear objectives Ahmad and Cuenca (2013) therefore be built in a structured and unambiguous way.
Clear documentation Van Der Velde and Van Donk (2002) The project planning process, which consists of structuring
Project planning Iyer and Jha (2005), O’Connor et al. and preparing for the work activities that will be carried out, is
(2016)
also essential for performance. According to O’Connor, Choi,
Management of requirements Karim et al. (2014)
Prevention of multitasking Yeo and Ning (2002) and Winkler (2016), planning has direct influence on project
Analysis of critical resources Zhang and Jin (2014) performance in terms of cost, quality, and safety; therefore, it
Interdependencies between Gustavsson (2016) should be conducted carefully, taking into consideration the
projects project’s environment and characteristics. Specifically, in proj-
Analysis of limiting factors Ash (2009) ect manufacturing environments, which usually comprise mul-
Register of lessons learned Chronéer and Backlund (2015) tiple concurrent projects with high levels of customization,
Risk identification Hwang and Lim (2012)
interrelations, and potential disputes over resources, there is
Risk analysis Yet et al. (2016)
Responses to risks Zhang and Fan (2014) the need for prevention of multitasking, management of
Reserves of time and money Zhang et al. (2015) requirements, analysis of critical resources, interdependencies
Risk control Wang, Lin, and Huang (2010) between projects, and analysis of limiting factors.
Control of baselines Lechler et al. (2012) According to Karim, Demian, Baldwin, and Anumba
(2014), management of requirements enables more accurate
estimates of time and cost, and avoids unnecessary expenses
levels of integration with suppliers are particularly successful resulting from reworking and changes, being a crucial process
in their projects. to ensure client satisfaction and perceived project value.
Thus, because suppliers have a very important role in proj- Another common element in this type of environment is the
ects, another critical factor that should be highlighted is the occurrence of multitasking. This occurs because resources are
process of selecting them, which will have a direct influence used on multiple projects carried out simultaneously, leading to
on the level of success achieved. This process must be con- delays in activities and reducing efficiency in performing the
ducted carefully, considering aspects such as quality, price, work; hence, it is essential to organize the resources in order to
delivery, service level, warranty, technical capacity, productive curb this phenomenon (Tromp & Homan, 2015).
capacity, historical performance, and even geographic location Zhang and Jin (2011) highlight that it is important to analyze
(Luzon & El-Sayegh, 2016). the characteristics of the resources used in projects as some of
In addition to relationships with suppliers, project success is these resources are critical for performance. Such resources can
also highly dependent on the level of client engagement. The be related to technology, such as cutting-edge equipment, or to
higher the clients’ level of participation in a project, the greater human resources, such as high-level professionals. Thus, if
the ease of identifying requirements, establishing quality cri- project execution is conditioned on these elements, it is essen-
teria, and reducing the need for changes, hence improving per- tial to determine their availability and optimize their use among
formance. Thus, the clients’ active participation in projects projects.
must be stimulated from the beginning of the project life cycle A further important aspect to be considered is that projects
(Ribeiro, Paiva, Varajão, & Dominguez, 2013). conducted in this environment are not independent from one
another. The uncertainty, complexity, and risks of projects are
amplified as a result of relations between resources, technical
Factors Related to Project Management similarities, objectives, and other factors, all of which should
Activities related to project management exert great influence be considered in each projects to increase the chances of suc-
on the final success of the project. Table 4 below presents the cess (Gustavsson, 2016).
main CSFs found in the literature in this category. Because of interdependencies, projects often start to com-
The first element to be highlighted in this category is the pete for resources, whether financial, human, or technological,
clear establishment of objectives. According to Ahmad and and those sought most frequently become scarce. Some of these
Cuenca (2013), this is a fundamental practice for guiding the resources are divided among existing projects, becoming fac-
team, avoiding unnecessary work activities and sources of tors that limit project development, leading to delays and
conflict. increased costs. Thus, their identification and appropriate allo-
Another important aspect is the construction of the project cation are key for better performance (Ash, 2009).
documentation. According to Van Der Velde and Van Donk Chronéer and Backlund (2015) highlight another element
(2002), having a good structure for key project documents for- often mentioned in the literature: the register of lessons learned.
malizes important aspects related to crucial moments of the This CSF involves the generation of knowledge through the
timeline. In general, these documents involve technical aspects, project and its subsequent absorption by the organization for
such as size and specifications, and should be available to the later utilization. According to the authors, this knowledge can
Pacagnella et al. 5
be used within the project in which it was generated, and also Table 5. Factors Related to Structure and Technical Aspects
among other projects, preventing the occurrence of known
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issues or accelerating their resolution.
Among the studies that address success in projects, many Communications infrastructure Whyte et al. (2016)
factors related to risk management can be found, the first of Information systems for projects Pandit and Zhu (2007)
which to be highlighted is the identification process. This con- Technical performance control Pinto and Slevin (1987)
sists of mapping potential threats to or opportunities for the Proper execution of commissioning O’Connor et al. (2016)
Use of previous technologies Li et al. (2011)
project with the objective of aiding in the employment of stra-
tegies. According to Hwang and Lim (2012), risk identification
is important because it significantly reduces uncertainty, mak-
ing the project team more aware of events that can occur, enables the organization to maintain data integrity and consis-
enabling them to create better specifications, providing better tency is required, transmitting and storing such data in order to
knowledge to analyze technical proposals, improving project facilitate the processing of change requests, control mechan-
communications, and establishing better contractual practices. isms, lessons learned, and configuration management.
The second CSF related to this theme is risk analysis, which As with the previous CSF, Pandit and Zhu (2007) emphasize
involves the assessment of the likelihood of occurrence and the the use of information systems as an important factor in project
impact caused by adverse events. According to Yet et al. manufacturing environments. According to the authors, the use
(2016), project success requires careful management of uncer- of these systems assists in determining lead times and delivery
tainty and risk, and the use of analytical tools is crucial in dates, improves information exchange among stakeholders,
conducting a proper assessment of the potential impacts of and reduces rework, thus making the projects more efficient.
certain events on costs and scheduling. Another CSF in this category is control of technical perfor-
Another element connected to risk management mentioned mance, which involves actions to assess and correct noncon-
in the literature is the response to risks. Zhang and Fan (2013) formities in relation to the work being done on the project, and
state that this consists of the identification, evaluation, selec- especially at the level of performance of the resulting product,
tion, and implementation of actions aiming to reduce the prob- which must usually meet the specifications established by rules
ability of occurrence of risks or to reduce their negative and by clients. Thus, the level of project success will depend
impacts. According to the authors, project managers must focus not only on the assessment of costs, scheduling, and other
their efforts on this activity to improve project performance and managerial criteria, but also on sustaining an acceptable level
their likelihood of achieving success. of technical performance (Pinto & Slevin, 1987).
Wang et al. (2010) highlight risk control as essential for In projects entailing the use of large customized equipment,
project performance, stating that this is the stage in which typical of project manufacturing environments, a step known as
previously identified risks are monitored and additional risks commissioning is common; in this step, the product is installed
are identified. It is also an especially useful activity for mon- at the client’s plant and its operation is monitored until it
itoring project performance during execution. reaches the expected performance. This step is critical to proj-
With regard to project risks, depending on their severity, ect success, and must be conducted with appropriate engineer-
Lechler, Edington, and Gao (2012) argue that time and money ing support and with the direct involvement of the clients
reserves can be employed to mitigate their effects and protect (O’Connor et al., 2016).
the work activities, which can thus be completed within the Finally, there is the utilization of technologies generated in
planned baselines. Zhang, Jia, and Diaz (2015) point out that previous projects—that is, applied knowledge, such as engi-
this is an important strategy because generally the project plan neering solutions, specifications, and prototypes, which comes
is full of uncertainties arising from the unpredictability of
from successful and unsuccessful experiments generating orga-
external elements and changes requested by clients.
nizational learning. The use of such knowledge (drawings,
assembly instructions, manufacturing processes, and experi-
ences from decisions made) accelerates the schedule of projects
Factors Related to Structure and Technical Aspects and prevents previous errors from being committed again,
This category comprises the factors highlighted in the literature reducing costs and boosting the success rate of projects (Li,
that involve both the structural elements of support for projects Xie, & Xu, 2011).
and the technical aspects related to the type of projects consid-
ered in this work. Table 5 presents a summary of these factors
and references.
In Table 5, the first CSF presented is communication infra-
Research Methods
structure, which refers to the elements that serve to support This work can be considered descriptive and explanatory in
communications in a project. According to Whyte, Stasis, and nature. It follows a quantitative approach, being implemented
Lindkvist (2016), especially in complex projects in which a through the survey method. Details of the implementation of
large volume of information must be managed, a system that the research are presented in the following subsections.
6 Project Management Journal 50(2)
Relationship with
Stakeholders (RS) Technical Aspects (TA)
• Effective communication • Communications infrastructure
• Incentive mechanisms • Communication systems
• Disincentive mechanisms • Technical performance control
• Integration with suppliers • Commissioning
• Selection of suppliers • Previous technologies
• Client engagement
Table 6. Sample Description As can be seen from Table 6, the sample predominantly
comprised respondents from companies of between 100 and
Enterprise size (number of employees)
499 employees (61.54%), considered of medium size; however,
< 100 100–499 > 499 it should also be noted that among the large companies
11.54% 61.54% 26.92% (26.92%), the majority had more than 5,000 employees and a
turnover of more than US$1 billion. In terms of the field of
Formation
operations, most of the respondents were engineers (85.07%).
Business administration Engineering Economics Regarding the level of experience related to project manufac-
turing environments, the largest proportion (43.28%) had
11.94% 85.07% 2.99%
between 6 and 10 years, but more than one quarter of the
Project experience of respondents (years) sample (26.92%) had more than 20 years’ experience.
0–5 6–10 10–15 15–20 > 20
14.93% 43.28% 20.90% 8.96% 26.92%
Data Analysis Technique
The technique employed in data analysis was logistic regres-
However, the analysis also showed several factors to be associated sion that aims to discriminate between two groups of observa-
with different types of project, such as construction, software devel- tions in a sample, which differs from linear regression due to
opment, and others (e.g., top management support), and thus the the use of a dichotomous or binary dependent variable, which
choice was based on those most frequently cited. in this study is related to success in the projects or lack of it in
terms of each of the dimensions presented above. According to
Data Collection Hosmer and Lemeshow (2001), logistic regression has become
a standard method in regression analysis for binary variables,
Data collection began with a pilot test, in the form of a “test– being widely used in situations in which data analysis involves
retest,” which involved in situ application of the survey instru- predicting the value of a categorical outcome variable. Hair,
ment with 30 professionals representing companies operating Anderson, Tatham, and Black (2005) note that the name of this
in project manufacturing environments. The instrument com- technique is derived from the logistic transformation used with
prised a structured questionnaire with statements concerning the dependent variable, which enables direct calculation of the
the presence of the 38 factors identified from the literature, probability of the phenomenon analyzed occurring. Drawing
measured on a five-point Likert-type scale (ranging from on Johnson and Wichern (1998), the logistic regression model
“strongly disagree” to “totally agree”). In addition, the ques- is based on the logistic function:
tionnaire contained four items regarding success dimensions
with only two response options: successful or unsuccessful. 1
f ðzÞ ¼ ð1Þ
The feedback from the professionals enabled minor changes 1 þ eðzÞ
to be made to the questionnaire. The improved survey instru-
p
ment was subsequently submitted (this time electronically) to z ¼ ln ¼ a þ b1 X1 þ b2 X2 þ . . . þ b3 X3 ð2Þ
1p
the same respondents, and its internal reliability was then
checked in the program Statistical Package for the Social where:
Sciences (SPSS), yielding a Cronbach’s alpha of 0.874, suffi- p ¼ probability of response for the ith factor (or covariant)
cient to ensure its consistency. At the end of data collection, a ¼ constant
Cronbach’s alpha was calculated again and the value obtained bi ¼ coefficients of the independent variables
was 0.892. Xi ¼ independent variables
After the pilot test, the survey was conducted by two means: It is important to highlight that logistic regression requires
(1) new in situ applications, with visits to companies, and (2) that certain conditions are met, such as the dependent variable
electronic submission after profile analysis and prior contact being dichotomous, the inclusion of all relevant variables in the
with candidates identified through project management forums model, the exclusion of all irrelevant variables from the model,
on the social network LinkedIn (www.linkedin.com). In both and ensuring the absence of multicollinearity and the proper fit
cases, the curriculum vitae of the candidates were analyzed, of the model. To apply the technique, the conceptual model in
and only those who had training and previous experience in Figure 1 generated submodels in which the variables (or CSFs)
project management in the environment of interest in this study that did not contribute to explanatory power were removed,
were considered fit to answer the questionnaire. thus generating customizations of the initial model for each
In total, 78 responses were obtained from the questionnaires of the success dimensions. This procedure was performed in
applied within companies and 104 responses from those sent the IBM SPSS program using the backwards logistic regression
electronically, resulting in 182 valid questionnaires out of a procedure.
total of 823, a response rate of 22.11%. The profile of the It is important to highlight that during the data preparation to
respondents is shown in Table 6. the logistic regression, the independent variables were recoded
8 Project Management Journal 50(2)
to improve the interpretation of the results. Thus, all the Table 7. Budget and Duration of the Sample Projects
responses about the presence of a CSF in the neutral or rejec-
Budget (million dollars) (%) Duration (months) (%)
tion zones of Likert scale (answers “1,” “2,” and “3”) were
recoded to “0” and the CSF was considered non-present in the <1 21.4 1–5 14.8
project. In the same way, all the responses in the acceptance 1–10 32.4 6–10 19.2
zone (answers “4” and “5”) were recoded to “1.” This trans- 11–50 25.8 11–15 18.6
formation allows a discussion about the effect of every CSF 51–100 7.1 16–20 16.4
101–500 8.2 21–25 14.3
considered significant on the project success. >500 4.9 26–30 6.6
> 30 9.9
Multicollinearity and Adjustment Analysis
Multicollinearity can be defined as interdependencies between Lifting and transport (10.44%): cranes, conveyors,
the dependent variables in a regression model (Farrar & Glau- “jack-up” systems, subway trains, ship loaders, agricul-
ber, 1967). This is a major threat, reducing the model’s expla- tural carriers, ore conveyors, grain cleaners, wagon flip-
natory power and comprehension of the phenomenon under pers (roundabouts), and gantry cranes
analysis. To establish the presence or absence of multicolli- Power distribution and transmission (10.99%): towers,
nearity, Garson (2008) suggests using the variance inflation processing plants, and distribution networks
factor (VIF), which evaluates the increase in variance due to Turnkey systems (10.99%): plants for cellulose pulp
the presence of multicollinearity. The VIF threshold value processing, energy cogeneration, biodiesel production,
determining that there is no multicollinearity is 4. In this study, waste treatment, gas treatment, nitrocellulose, process-
the value obtained for the VIF was 2.979, indicating the ing, on-shore oil extraction wells and storage terminals,
absence of multicollinearity. natural gas compression stations, small hydroelectric
Evaluation of model fit aims to assess validity. This was plants (SHPs)
performed through the Hosmer–Lemeshow (HL) test, which Automation systems (11.54%): systems for boiler con-
evaluates the null hypothesis that there are no significant dif- trol, milling automation, water treatment automation,
ferences between the predicted and observed classifications, supervision and control of oil and gas, painting robots,
and this can be accepted at a significance level of 5%, indicat- welding robots, sugar batch vacuum pan automation,
ing that the model is capable of producing reliable estimates and offshore oil pump automation systems
and classifications. According to Hosmer and Lemeshow Thermal machines (13.74%): steam generators, gas tur-
(2001), for proper fit there must be a value at least greater than bines, heat exchangers, evaporation towers, distillation
0.5, and in this work the results obtained exceeded this value systems, and high furnaces
(see the Results and Discussion section), which shows that the
models have good fit for the use of logistic regression. Table 7 shows the composition of the sample projects
according to their duration and budget.
Table 7 shows that the sample projects have sizable budgets,
Sample Description with projects ranging from a few thousand dollars to some that
The data analyzed in this work concern 182 projects, of which are close to a billion dollars: The most common category is
the products are capital goods produced in project manufactur- US$1–10 million dollars (32.4%), followed by US$11–50 mil-
ing environments. The composition of the projects (% of sam- lion dollars (25.8%), and less than US$1 million (21.4%).
ple) is as follows: In terms of schedule, the sample shows considerable
homogeneity, ranging from one month to projects longer
Power generation (3.3%): wind turbines, water turbines, than 30 months; the most frequent category is 6–10 months
and large generators (19.2%), followed by 11–15 months (18.6%) and 16–20
Motion transmission (4.9%): reducers for metallurgy, months (16.4%).
reducers for mining, reducers for ships, mixers, and
presses
Mining equipment (5.49%): crushers, dust extractors, Results and Discussion
vibrating feeders, and mineral separation systems The results found by the survey are presented in this section in
Chemical product processing (6.59%): propylene pro- four tables, one for each success dimension, with the CSFs that
cessing columns and industrial reactors are statistically significant at 1% (***), 5% (**), and 10% (*).
Metallurgy equipment (6.59%): pelletizers, cooling The items presented include the odds ratio (OR; calculated as
towers, feeding systems, and slag handling systems the exponentiation of the B coefficient [exp(B)]), which repre-
Storage systems (6.59%): pressure vessels, soy and corn sents the variation in chances of achieving project success in
silos, acid tanks, vinasse tanks, and fuel tanks projects with a CSF compared to projects that have none.
Food processing (9.34%): fillers, separators, pulpers, The presented results are based on the perception about the
washers, and sterilization machines presence or not of the CSFs on the project by the respondents;
Pacagnella et al. 9
Table 8. Classification for the Efficiency Dimensiona common to lose focus, so it is very important to establish clear
objectives to reduce this effect.
Predicted
Another statistically significant CSF is the register of les-
Efficiency sons learned. Table 9 shows that projects in which the knowl-
edge obtained is stored in an explicit form have a 1.840 greater
Observed No success Success Percentage correct
chance of success than projects in which this register is not
Step 1 EF No success 30 32 48.4 implemented. Accordingly, lessons learned during a project
Success 17 103 85.8 serve as a repository to which the team can refer when needed,
Overall 73.1 preventing new problems in the several projects of project
percentage manufacturing and consequently improving performance.
a
Cutoff value ¼ 0.500 According to the results in Table 8, use of previous technol-
ogies also increases the likelihood of success. Projects that
employ this practice have a 6.905 greater chance of success
Table 9. Results for the Efficiency Dimension than projects that do not, the greatest effect caused by a CSF
analyzed in this study. This environment sometimes requires
CSF B SE Wald Sig. OR
complex engineering solutions to achieve the specifications
Team integration (HR) 1.064 .519 4.199 0.04** 2.898 and requirements of the clients, so this result can be explained
Establishing clear objectives 1.195 .520 5.278 0.022** 3.302 by the fact that when it is possible to use technologies devel-
(PM) oped previously instead of starting from zero, there is a natural
Lessons learned (PM) .610 .326 3.506 0.061* 1.840 economy of time and resources that greatly affects the perfor-
Use of previous technologies 1.932 .699 7.637 0.006*** 6.905
(TA)
mance of the project.
Time and money reserves (PM) .697 .396 3.102 0.078* 2.008 Regarding the inclusion of time and money reserves, the
Risk identification (PM) 1.051 .622 2.853 0.091* 2.861 results show that this CSF increases the chances of success
by 2.008 times compared with projects in which this CSF is
* ¼ Significant at 10%, ** ¼ Significant at 5% and *** ¼ Significant at 1.
not present. This is a fairly common practice in projects to
compensate for uncertainties during planning, especially in
thus, the values of OR indicate the influence of these elements project manufacturing due to the high level of uncertainty,
on the chances of success when they are present on the project. enabling any cost or schedule variations to be supported by
The first relevant aspect to be discussed here is the result of buffers, and consequently keeping the project within its
0.671 obtained for the HL test, indicating that the model has baselines.
adequate fit for application of logistic regression. Another rel- The last CSF of this success dimension is risk identification,
evant point is highlighted in Table 8, which presents a com- the use of which increases the chances of success by 2.861. As
parison between the values predicted by the regression model mentioned previously, in this environment there is a high level
and the observed values. of uncertainty in the projects, and with higher levels of uncer-
As can be observed in Table 8 for the efficiency dimension, tainty come greater levels of risks, so this CSF allows managers
the model was able to correctly classify 73.1% of the cases to create measures to protect the project from external events
considered in this study. that may have a negative influence in terms of scheduling,
Table 9 presents the results obtained for the efficiency scope, and budget, which tends to improve project performance
dimension based on a model with six CSFs that are statistically and efficiency.
significant in explaining the success of a project. The next dimension to be analyzed is the impact on the
Examining the OR values, it can be observed that projects in team, and the first point to note is that the HL test also showed
which the team is considered to be integrated have a 2.898 greater a good fit, with a value of 0.521. The results for the classifica-
chance of achieving project success than otherwise. This result tion of the model are presented in Table 10.
may indicate that the team’s ability to share tacit knowledge For this dimension, the model presented a sensitivity (prob-
increases the agility of the project, especially in troubleshooting, ability of correct classification of the event) somewhat lower
which is frequent in project manufacturing environments due to when compared with the efficiency dimension, being able to
the level of uncertainty and complexity of the projects, tending to classify correctly 85.7% of the observed cases, which can be
bring it closer to its goals concerning deadlines and costs. considered a very good result. The other results for this dimen-
In addition, projects in which the objectives are clearly sion are presented in Table 11.
established have a 3.302 higher chance of success than projects The OR results show that projects in which the team is
in which they are not. Thus, it is possible that by understanding considered to be experienced have a 1.507 greater chance of
more clearly what is sought with the project, the team can focus success than projects in which the team is inexperienced. This
efforts on activities that add value and bring the project closer result probably indicates that more experienced teams are more
to its target. Because project manufacturing environments usu- capable of producing knowledge for the organization, either by
ally have multiple projects occurring simultaneously, it is socialization among members, or by the solutions employed,
10 Project Management Journal 50(2)
Table 10. Classification for the Impact on the Team Dimensiona Table 12. Classification for the Impact on Consumers Dimensiona
Predicted Predicted
Observed No success Success Percentage correct Observed No success Success Percentage correct
Table 11. Results for the Impact on the Team Dimension The chance of success in this dimension is also increased
with the implementation of critical resource analysis, with an
CSF B SE Wald Sig. OR OR of 1.669. This result is probably due to the effort under-
Team experience (HR) .410 .229 2.696 .09* 1.507 taken by the team in analyzing the resources (human, financial,
Team integration (HR) .748 .288 6.765 .009*** 2.112 and technological) that are critical to carrying out the project,
Conflict handling (HR) .541 .245 4.890 .027** 1.718 which tends to generate knowledge for the organization. The
Project management office (OF) .355 .170 4.345 .037** 1.427 same reasoning can be applied to the analysis of limiting fac-
Effective communication (OF) .329 .192 2.925 .087* 1.389 tors—that is, elements that can slow the progress of a project or
Analysis of critical resources (PM) .512 .198 6.674 .010*** 1.669
Analysis of limiting factors (PM) .422 .220 3.678 .055* 1.525 lead to cost increases. This CSF increases the chances of suc-
Risk identification (PM) .985 .215 20.914 .000*** 2.678 cess by 1.525 times.
Risk monitoring (PM) .377 .229 2.696 .085* 1.457 These two CSFs (critical resource analysis and analysis of
limiting factors) are particularly important in project manufac-
* ¼ Significant at 10%, ** ¼ Significant at 5% and *** ¼ Significant at 1.
turing because it is an environment with multiple projects
occurring at the same time, leading to a scarcity of resources
especially to attend complex specifications and constant and demanding assertiveness in resource management.
changes that occur in project manufacturing. The last statistically significant CSFs in this dimension are
Another significant CSF is team integration. Projects that related to risk identification and monitoring. Both are very
have integrated teams have a 2.112 greater chance of achieving important in the project manufacturing environment due to its
success than projects with teams that lack this characteristic. level of uncertainty (and consequently the level of risks).
The complexity and the existing pressure make this environ- The identification process increases the chances of success
ment very fertile for conflicts and disputes; however, integrated by 2.678, while the monitoring process increases these chances
teams tend to have better relationships, which leads to less by 1.457. These results are possibly connected to the learning
conflict, and therefore can generate more satisfaction with generated by the team’s effort in trying to determine the poten-
working on the project. tial threats and opportunities that can affect project perfor-
In the same way, conflict handling in this environment also mance, which occurs both in the risk identification process
has a positive influence on success in the impact on the team and in the risk monitoring process.
dimension, increasing the chances of success by 1.718 times. Regarding the impact on the consumer dimension, the result
This result can be explained by the team’s learning when con- of the HL test was 0.611, indicating a good fit. Table 12 pre-
flicts that arise in a project are properly handled and resolved. sents the classification results obtained by the model.
In addition, projects carried out by companies that have a As can be observed from Table 12, the model was able to
PMO have a 1.427 higher chance of success than projects in classify correctly 84.1% of the observed cases, which was the
companies that do not. The PMO contributes in various ways to best result for the phenomenon studied. Table 13 shows the
the project manufacturing environment, including acting as a other results for the impact on the consumer’s dimension.
facilitator in the creation and storage of knowledge in projects; The first statistically significant CSF in this dimension is
thus, its presence is beneficial in terms of impact on the team. team flexibility, which increases the chances of success by
Projects with effective communication processes also have a 1.756 when it is considered present in the project. This result
higher chance of success, as the results show an increase of may be related to a flexible team’s greater capacity for adapta-
1.389 compared with projects in which this CSF is absent. tion, as consumers or clients make new demands during a
Indeed, good communication can prevent potential errors and project (very common in project manufacturing) that can be
conflicts, leading to improvements in the project manufactur- met more easily by teams that have this characteristic.
ing environment and to the consequent satisfaction of those The chances of success in the impact on the consumers
involved. dimension are also increased by 1.499 through the use of time
Pacagnella et al. 11
Table 13. Results for the Impact on the Consumer’s Dimension Table 14. Classification for the Preparation for the Future
Dimensiona
CSF B SE Wald Sig. OR
Predicted
Team flexibility (HR) .563 .174 10.420 .001*** 1.756
Time and money reserves (PM) .405 .162 6.272 .012** 1.499 Preparation for the
Client engagement (RS) .366 .168 4.735 .030** 1.441 future
Disincentive mechanisms (RS) .368 .155 5.650 .017** .692
Risk identification (PM) .390 .151 6.669 .010** 1.477 Observed No success Success Percentage correct
The results in Table 15 also show that the register of lessons introduction, the project manufacturing environment is highly
learned increases the chances of success by 1.442. In this case, complex and challenging; thus, the search for elements that can
it is possible that in making an effort to employ the knowledge influence the success of projects has paramount importance.
generated empirically during the project (as adaptations and The first relevant aspect to be considered by project man-
problem solutions that are common in this environment), the agers in this environment is that although several CSFs are
team identifies opportunities that can be exploited by the orga- known, very few of them showed to be statistically significant
nization—whether related to technology, management, or mar- in influencing project success (in each dimension), so it is
keting—that may bring positive results in the future. necessary to focus effort and prioritize them depending which
Table 15 also shows that analysis of the interdependence success dimensions want to be achieved. Thus, Tables 9, 11,
between projects increases the chances of success in this 13, and 15 provide a list to support managers in allocating time,
dimension by 1.535. Assessing the connections between mul- human, and financial resources in the CSFs that have a higher
tiple projects, typical in project manufacturing, is an effort impact on project success, tending to improve the changes of
carried out many times during portfolio management, which their occurrence.
is usually conducted in a strategic framework. This analysis Moreover, the results show some CSFs that reduce the
also identifies projects that will compete for scarce resources, chances of project success, so project managers need to under-
which enables their sequence of use to be established to reduce stand that putting effort in technical performance control, for
or eliminate conflicts, potentially generating better results for instance, should reduce the chances of success in preparing for
the set of managed projects. the future dimension, or that focusing efforts in disincentive
As in the impact on the consumer dimension, this success mechanisms might reduce the chances of success in impacting
dimension presents an unexpected result, as Pinto and Slevin the consumers dimension.
(1987) in their classic study pointed to “technical tasks” as a In this way, the results found allow managers to establish a
CSF in projects. However, the results found show that the “strategy” to conduct their projects, because they can prioritize
control of technical performance reduces the chances of suc- the most appropriate CSFs in each situation, considering the
cess by 0.53, which can be explained by the fact that this is a expectations of success of the company and other stakeholders.
dimension in which success involves aspects that are strategic In addition, companies themselves can use these results in their
for the organization. Thus, the effort undertaken in this envi- investment policies to foster the occurrence of the selected
ronment to ensure that the project’s technical performance CSFs in their project manufacturing environments.
meets the specifications is possibly too operational and diverts
the team’s focus from project-related opportunities that may be
advantageous to the organization. Moreover, according to
Conclusions, Limitations, and Future
Springer (2016), this CSF may be associated with the need to
control the goods and services delivered by suppliers to the Research
project, demanding an even greater effort on the part of the The first aspect to be pointed out in this section is that the
team to attend to certain external stakeholders. scientific literature in this area features a significant number
Preparation for the future requires a set of “soft” (beha- of CSFs in several studies conducted in recent decades; thus, to
vioral) skills and attitudes, as can be seen in the other statisti- implement this study, a conceptual model was built using the
cally significant CSFs presented in Table 11; it also involves CSFs that seemed more consistent with the projects conducted
“hard” (technically focused) activities that compete for in the type of environment under analysis. For analytical pur-
resources, influencing performance in this dimension. poses, the CSFs selected were grouped into categories: human
Another statistically significant CSF in this dimension is the resources, technical aspects, project management, organiza-
use of previous technologies generated in project manufactur- tional factors, and relationships with stakeholders.
ing environment, which raises the chances of success by 1.742. The first conclusion that can be reached based on the results
This result is highly consistent with what might be expected for is that although the CSFs mentioned in the scientific literature
this dimension as the objective is to take advantage of techno- are numerous, few of them exhibit statistical significance (at
logical opportunities, using applied knowledge developed in 1%, 5%, or 10%) in explaining each of the success dimensions
previous projects; therefore, in projects in which this is imple- analyzed in this study. Therefore, many of the CSFs, although
mented, the trend for success is greater. well-argued from the theoretical point of view, do not stand up
The last statistically significant CSF in this dimension is the to the assessment of the actors who effectively execute and
presence of a PMO, which increases the chances of success by manage projects in companies.
1.942. This is another very consistent result, as part of the Another important conclusion is that in analyzing the
functions of a PMO is to support and guide project teams in achievement of project success multidimensionally, each suc-
aligning their decisions with the organization’s strategic cess dimension is explained by a different subgroup of CSFs. In
objectives. addition, the extent of their influence on the chances of achiev-
To end this section, it is important to highlight the practical ing success varies greatly between those considered statisti-
implication of the findings. As discussed previously in the cally significant and those that have a surprising negative
Pacagnella et al. 13
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Author Biographies
while implementing a Project Management Information System
(PMIS) in a complex multiproject R&D environment. Procedia- Antônio Carlos Pacagnella, Jr., holds a doctorate in produc-
Social and Behavioral Sciences, 194(7), 211–220. tion engineering from Federal University of São Carlos (UFS-
Van Der Velde, R. R., & Van Donk, D. P. (2002). Understanding bi- CAR), a master’s degree from the University of São Paulo
project management: Engineering complex industrial construction (USP), and a degree in mechanical engineering from the State
projects. International Journal of Project Management, 20(7), University of Campinas (UNICAMP). He is a professor and
525–533. researcher in the Production and Manufacturing Master Pro-
Wang, E. T., Ju, P. H., Jiang, J. J., & Klein, G. (2008). The effects of gram and also in the Business Management Post Graduation
change control and management review on software flexibility and Program at the School of Applied Sciences of the State Uni-
project performance. Information & Management, 45(7), 438–443. versity of Campinas. His experience and major fields of inter-
Wang, J., Lin, W., & Huang, Y. H. (2010). A performance-oriented ests are project management and operations management. He
risk management framework for innovative R&D projects. Tech- can be contacted at antonio.junior@fca.unicamp.br
novation, 30(11), 601–611.
Sérgio Luis da Silva holds a degree in materials engineering
Wei, H. H., Liu, M., Skibniewski, M. J., & Balali, V. (2016). Conflict
from the Federal University of São Carlos, a master’s degree in
and consensus in stakeholder attitudes toward sustainable transport
production engineering from the Federal University of São
projects in China: An empirical investigation. Habitat Interna-
Carlos, and a PhD in mechanical engineering from São Paulo
tional, 53(1), 473–484.
University. He is currently an associate professor at the Federal
Whyte, J., Stasis, A., & Lindkvist, C. (2016). Managing change in the
University of São Carlos UFSCAR, where he has been teaching
delivery of complex projects: Configuration management, asset
since 1995. He has experience in production engineering and
information and “big data.” International Journal of Project Man-
information sciences with emphases on the product develop-
agement, 34(2), 339–351.
ment process and knowledge management. He has been an
Yang, L. R. (2013). Key practices, manufacturing capability and
advisor in the Post-Graduation Program in Production Engi-
attainment of manufacturing goals: The perspective of project/
neering at UFSCar since 2003. He can be contacted at ser
engineer-to-order manufacturing. International Journal of Project
giol@ufscar.br
Management, 31(1), 109–125.
Yang, L. R., Huang, C. F., & Wu, K. S. (2011). The association Ornella Pacı́fico is a professor and academic coordinator at
among project manager’s leadership style, teamwork and project Estácio de Sá University and holds a doctorate in business
success. International Journal of Project Management, 29(3), administration from the University of São Paulo at the Faculty
258–267. of Economics, Administration and Accountability. Her major
16 Project Management Journal 50(2)
fields of experience include project management, finance man- supply chain management, productivity, management, quality
agement, and business education. She can be contacted at ornel and performance measurement, and system modeling. He can
lapac@gmail.com be contacted at paulo.ignacio@fca.unicamp.br
Paulo Sergio de Arruda Ignacio holds a doctorate in civil Alessandro Lucas da Silva holds a degree in mechanical engi-
engineering from LALT/DGT/FEC/UNICAMP (2010), in the neering from the University of São Paulo (2001), a master’s in
area of transport engineering. He holds a degree in mechanical production engineering from the University of São Paulo
engineering from the Methodist University of Piracicaba (2004), and a PhD in production engineering from the Univer-
(1985) and a master’s degree in quality management from sity of São Paulo. He worked as a process development engi-
IMECC (2001). He is a PhD professor at the Faculty of Applied neer at Embraer. He was an assistant professor at the
Sciences (FCA), State University of Campinas (UNICAMP) Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) from 2010 to 2012.
and ad hoc arbitrator in newspapers. He has published articles He is currently an assistant professor at the University of Cam-
in magazines and congresses. He has academic and consulting pinas (UNICAMP) in the Production Engineering course. He
experience in operations and services management, logistics, can be contacted at alessandro.silva@fca.unicamp.br