PT.

IKANA
forecast Penjualan Tahun 2005
Produk BEAUTY
( Metode Least Square )

Tahun Y X X2 XY
2000 125,000.00 -2 4 (250,000.00)
2001 120,000.00 -1 1 (120,000.00)
2002 130,000.00 0 0 -
2003 140,000.00 1 1 140,000.00
2004 145,000.00 2 4 290,000.00
∑ 660,000.00 0 10 60,000.00
 PT. IKANA
forecast Penjualan Tahun 2005
Produk WHITE CROSS
( Metode Least Square )
Tahun Y X X2
2000 80,000.00 -2 4
2001 85,000.00 -1 1
2002 85,000.00 0 0
2003 75,000.00 1 1
2004 90,000.00 2 4
415,000.00 0 10
 XY
- 160,000.00
- 85,000.00
-
75,000.00
180,000.00
10,000.00
 PT. IKANA
Produk BEAUTY

( Method Moment )

Tahun Y X X2 XY
2000 125,000.00 0 0 -
2001 120,000.00 1 1 120,000.00
2002 130,000.00 2 4 260,000.00
2003 140,000.00 3 9 420,000.00
2004 145,000.00 4 16 580,000.00
∑ 660,000.00 10 30 1,380,000.00

Y= n.a + bx 660.000 = 5a + 10x> 5a + 10 b (x 3) 15a + 30b

xy= ax + bx2 1.380.000 = 10a + > 10a + 30b (x 1) 10a + 30b

5a
Y = a + b(x) a
a
2000 = 120.000 + 6000(= 120,000
2001 = 120.000 + 6000(= 126,000 5a + 10b
2002 = 120.000 + 6000(= 132,000 10b
2003 = 120.000 + 6000(= 138,000 10b
2004 = 120.000 + 6000(= 144,000 10b
2005 = 120.000 + 6000(= 150,000 10b
b
b
= 1,980,000
= 1,380,000

= 600,000
= 600.000/5
= 120,000

= 660,000
= 660.000 - 5a
= 660.000 - 5(120.000)
= 660.000 - 600.000
= 60,000
= 60.000/10
= 6000
 PT. IKANA
Produk WHITE CROSS

( Metode Moment )
Tahun Y X X2 XY
2000 80,000.00 0 0 -
2001 85,000.00 1 1 85,000.00
2002 85,000.00 2 4 170,000.00
2003 75,000.00 3 9 225,000.00
2004 90,000.00 4 16 360,000.00
415,000.00 10 30 840,000.00

Y= n.a + bx415.000 = 5a + 10 b > 5a + 10b = ( x 3)

xy= ax + bx840.000
2
= 10a + 30b > 10a + 30b ( x 1)

Y = a + b(x)

2000 = 81. = 81,000

2001 = 81. = 82,000
2002 = 81. = 83,000
2003 = 81. = 84,000
2004 = 81. = 85,000
2005 = 81. = 86,000
15a + 30b = 1,245,000
10a + 30b = 840,000

5a = 405,000
a = 405.000/5
a = 81,000

5a + 10b = 415,000
10b = 415.000 -5a
10b = 415.000 - 5( 81.000)
10b = 415.000 - 405.000
10b = 10,000
a = 10.000/ 10
a = 1000
 PT.IKANA
Grafik Penjualan Tahun 2005
BEAUTY

145000 150
140000 144000
138000
132000
130000
125000 126000
120000 120000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20

Penjualanl Forecasting Penjualan

a = ∑Y
=
n
Perhitungan :
∑X = 0 b = ∑ XY
=
∑Y = 660,000.00 ∑ X2
∑ XY = 600,000.00
∑ X2 = 10
n = 5

PT.IKANA
Grafik Penjualan Tahun 2005
WHITE CROSS

90000

86
85000 85000 85000
84000
83000
82000
81000
80000

75000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20

penjualan Forecasting Penjualanr

 75000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20

penjualan Forecasting Penjualanr

a = ∑Y
=
n
Perhitungan :
∑X = 0 b = ∑ XY
=
∑Y = 415,000.00 ∑ X2
∑ XY = 10,000.00
∑ X2 = 10
n = 5
145000 150000
144000

2004 2005

660,000.00 Jadi :
132,000.00
5 Y' = a + bX = Y
2000 120,000.00
600,000.00 2001 126,000.00
60,000.00
10 2002 132,000.00
2003 138,000.00
2004 144,000.00
2005 150,000.00

90000

86000
85000

2004 2005
2004 2005

415,000.00 Jadi :
83000
5 Y' = a + bX = Y
2000 81,000.00
10,000.00 2001 82,000.00
1,000.00
10 2002 83,000.00
2003 84,000.00
2004 85,000.00
2005 86,000.00
 PT. IKANA
ANGGARAN PENJUALAN 2005 Periode Bulanan
BEAUTY WHITE CROSS
Bulan
% Unit Harga/Unit Rp. % Unit Harga /Unit

Jan 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 10 8600 3,250.00

Feb 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 8 6880 3,250.00
Mar 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 8 6880 3,250.00
Apr 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 6 5160 3,250.00
May 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 6 5160 3,250.00
Jun 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 6 5160 3,250.00
Jul 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 6 5160 3,250.00
Aug 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 8 6880 3,250.00
Sep 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 8 6880 3,250.00
Oct 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 10 8600 3,250.00
Nov 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 12 10320 3,250.00
Dec 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 12 10320 3,250.00
Total 8.333333 12500 3,650.00 45625000 100 86000 3,250.00
an
E CROSS
Total RP
Rp.

27950000 73575000
22360000 67985000
22360000 67985000
16770000 62395000
16770000 62395000
16770000 62395000
16770000 62395000
22360000 67985000
22360000 67985000
27950000 73575000
33540000 79165000
33540000 79165000
279500000 827000000
 PT. IKANA
ANGGARAN PENJUALAN 2005 Berdasarkan Daerah Pe

DIY JAW
BEAUTY WHITE CROOS BEAUTY
Bulan
Unit Rp Unit Rp Unit

Jan 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 3440 Rp 11,180,000.00 8,750.00

Feb 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2752 Rp 8,944,000.00 8,750.00
Mar 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2752 Rp 8,944,000.00 8,750.00
Apr 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2064 Rp 6,708,000.00 8,750.00
May 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2064 Rp 6,708,000.00 8,750.00
Jun 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2064 Rp 6,708,000.00 8,750.00
Jul 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2064 Rp 6,708,000.00 8,750.00
Aug 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2752 Rp 8,944,000.00 8,750.00
Sep 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 2752 Rp 8,944,000.00 8,750.00
Oct 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 3440 Rp 11,180,000.00 8,750.00
Nov 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 4128 Rp 13,416,000.00 8,750.00
Dec 3750.00 Rp 13,687,500.00 4128 Rp 13,416,000.00 8,750.00
Total 45000.00 Rp 164,250,000.00 34400 Rp 111,800,000.00 105000
 PT. IKANA
AN 2005 Berdasarkan Daerah Penjualan

JAWA TENGAH
BEAUTY WHITE CROOS
Total RP
Rp Unit Rp

Rp 31,937,500.00 5160 Rp 16,770,000.00 Rp 73,575,000.00

Rp 31,937,500.00 4128 Rp 13,416,000.00 Rp 67,985,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 4128 Rp 13,416,000.00 Rp 67,985,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 3096 Rp 10,062,000.00 Rp 62,395,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 3096 Rp 10,062,000.00 Rp 62,395,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 3096 Rp 10,062,000.00 Rp 62,395,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 3096 Rp 10,062,000.00 Rp 62,395,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 4128 Rp 13,416,000.00 Rp 67,985,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 4128 Rp 13,416,000.00 Rp 67,985,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 5160 Rp 16,770,000.00 Rp 73,575,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 6192 Rp 20,124,000.00 Rp 79,165,000.00
Rp 31,937,500.00 6192 Rp 20,124,000.00 Rp 79,165,000.00
Rp 383,250,000.00 51600 Rp 167,700,000.00 Rp 827,000,000.00
 PT. IKANA
ANGGARAN PRODUKSI 2005
PRODUK : BEAUTY

Persediaan
Bulan Penjualan Tersedia
Akhir Awal
Untuk Dijual
Jan 12500 1400 13900 2500
Feb 12500 1300 13800 1400
Mar 12500 1800 14300 1300
Apr 12500 1900 14400 1800
May 12500 1800 14300 1900
Jun 12500 1700 14200 1800
Jul 12500 1800 14300 1700
Aug 12500 2100 14600 1800
Sep 12500 2000 14500 2100
Oct 12500 1900 14400 2000
Nov 12500 2400 14900 1900
Dec 12500 2500 15000 2400
150000 22,600 172600 22600
 Jumlah
Diproduksi

11400
12400
13000
12600
12400
12400
12600
12800
12400
12400
13000
12600
150000
 PT. IKANA
ANGGARAN PRODUKSI 2005
PRODUK : WHITE CROSS

Persediaan
Bulan Penjualan Tersedia
Akhir Awal
Untuk Dijual
Jan 8600 1700 10300 1500
Feb 6880 1700 8580 1700
Mar 6880 1780 8660 1700
Apr 5160 1820 6980 1780
May 5160 1860 7020 1820
Jun 5160 1740 6900 1860
Jul 5160 1620 6780 1740
Aug 6880 1620 8500 1620
Sep 6880 1540 8420 1620
Oct 8600 1420 10020 1540
Nov 10320 1500 11820 1420
Dec 10320 1500 11820 1500
86000 19800 105800 19800
 Jumlah
Diproduksi

8800
6880
6960
5200
5200
5040
5040
6880
6800
8480
10400
10320
86000
 PT. IKANA
ANGGARAN KEBUTUHAN MATERIAL 2005

BEAUTY WHITE CROOS

Bulan SISAL KAPAS MENTAH SISAL
Produksi Produksi
SUR*) Kebutuhan SUR Kebutuhan SUR*)
Jan 11400 0.06 684 0.015 171 0 0.05
Feb 12400 0.06 744 0.015 186 6880 0.05
Mar 13000 0.06 780 0.015 195 6960 0.05
Apr 12600 0.06 756 0.015 189 5200 0.05
May 12400 0.06 744 0.015 186 5200 0.05
Jun 12400 0.06 744 0.015 186 5040 0.05
Jul 12600 0.06 756 0.015 189 5040 0.05
Aug 12800 0.06 768 0.015 192 6880 0.05
Sep 12400 0.06 744 0.015 186 6800 0.05
Oct 12400 0.06 744 0.015 186 8480 0.05
Nov 13000 0.06 780 0.015 195 10400 0.05
Dec 12600 0.06 756 0.015 189 10320 0.05
Total 150000 1 9000 0 2250 77200 1
A
MATERIAL 2005

WHITE CROOS TOTAL KEBUTUHAN

SISAL KAPAS MENTAH Kapas
Sisal
Kebutuhan SUR Kebutuhan Mentah
0 0.0125 0 684 171
344 0.0125 86 1088 272
348 0.0125 87 1128 282
260 0.0125 65 1016 254
260 0.0125 65 1004 251
252 0.0125 63 996 249
252 0.0125 63 1008 252
344 0.0125 86 1112 278
340 0.0125 85 1084 271
424 0.0125 106 1168 292
520 0.0125 130 1300 325
516 0.0125 129 1272 318
3860 0 965 12860 3215