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A‐1 Lanes and the Currency Crisis of the East Asian Tigers*
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A-1
E T&P Lanes
and
the
Currency Crisis of the East
Asian Tigers*
Phil E. Stetz
Todd A. Finkle
Larry R. O’Neal
O n July 2, 1997, Rick Baker, the president and founder of A-1 Lanes (a manufac-
turer and an international supplier of wood and synthetic bowling lanes), was having his
morning coffee when he was devastated to learn that Thailand had devalued its currency,
the baht, by 11%. Baker had an uneasy feeling there would be a domino effect across all
countries in Asia because their economies were interrelated. If that happened, Baker
wondered how it would affect the future of his company.
Baker realized that the company faced several critical issues. First, 80% of A-1’s sales
were derived from countries in and around the Asian Pacific Rim. Second, the company
had over $1 million in accounts receivable from this region. Third, in 1996 the company
had taken out a loan for $500,000 on a new manufacturing facility to capitalize on the
popularity and growth of bowling centers in Korea, China, and Taiwan.
The combination of the above issues, in conjunction with the cut-throat competition
within the bowling equipment industry, placed Baker in a position to make a critical
decision about the future of his company. He narrowed his decision to three options: (1)
liquidate his company, (2) sell the company, or (3) stay in business and try to weather the
impending storm.
Company Background
In 1985, Baker and two investors founded A-1 Lanes in a chicken house and barn in
Rusk, Texas. The company’s main products were high-grade wood and technologically
Please send correspondence to: Phil E. Stetz, tel.: (936) 468-4103; e-mail: pstetz@sfasu.edu.
* This case is intended to stimulate class discussion rather than to illustrate the effective or ineffective
handling of a managerial situation. The company, names, events, and financials are all real.
Archeologists discovered when they found pins in a child’s tomb that bowling dates
back to ancient Egypt. The sport expanded in Europe in the early 1900s, but its popularity
in the United States did not thrive until after World War II. In the 1950s, television
embraced bowling and the automatic pin spotter was invented. The game grew dramati-
cally in the United States and eventually peaked in the 1960s. New markets emerged in
Australia and Mexico, as well as in other Latin American countries. By the mid-1970s, the
bowling boom had spread into Japan. Russia followed suit by opening its first bowling
center in 1976. Interest in bowling also grew in China. The bowling boom spread into
Thailand and the Asia Pacific regions during the early 1990s.
By the 1990s, bowling comprised two main industries. One involved the ownership
and operation of bowling centers. The other was the manufacture of bowling equipment
used in bowling centers or by bowlers. These manufactured items included automatic pin
spotters, computerized automatic scoring systems, wood and synthetic bowling lanes, lane
maintenance systems, masking panes, ball returns, seating, bumper bowling systems,
replacement and maintenance parts and operating supplies such as spare parts, pins, lane
oils, bowling balls, bowling shoes, and other bowling accessories.
In 1996, estimates were that more than 100 million people in more than 90 countries
bowled at least one game a year and bowlers in the United States spent approximately $4
Population
Year Centers Lanes Lanes per center Total (000) Per center
billion annually on lane fees, equipment and supplies, uniforms, and food and beverage
purchased within bowling centers.1 More than 53 million Americans patronized the
country’s bowling centers every year, making tenpin bowling the number one indoor
participation sport in the United States.2
1. Pezzano, C. (1996). The push is on for Olympic status. The Record (New Jersey), Sunday Edition, Sports,
January 7, p. S17.
2. AMF Bowling looks to equity markets. Going public. The IPO Reporter, September 1, 1997. Securities
Data Publishing.
3. Stooksbury, C. (1998). Bowling boasts lengthy history as popular pastime. Amusement Business, May,
p. 20.
4. “Bowling Centers.” Encyclopedia of American Industries, 2001, p. 2.
5. King, N. (1997). Bowling must learn by its mistakes. The Ledger (Lakeland, Florida), Sports, July 20,
p. C2.
6. A-1 Lanes Company Literature.
Number of
Operator bowling centers Percent of total
Source: AMF Bowling Worldwide Inc. (1997). Annual Report: 10-K, Period ending 12–31. Accession #: 0000916641-
98-000297.
early 1990s.7 Their strategy was to market to families with children and teenagers by
offering childcare, video games, laser lights, lightweight neon-glowing bowling balls, and
fog machines. They also devised bumper bowling, in which gutters are filled with plastic
tubes to keep the balls on the lane. This strategy proved to be profitable and operators were
able to restore their revenues to the levels of the 1960s.8
Many analysts thought operators had created a “double-edged sword” by pampering
one market segment and alienating another. The upgraded facilities with flashy, loud, and
modern atmospheres were the opposite of the dark, quiet, smoky lanes to which league
bowlers were accustomed. Evidence indicated that league bowlers, a steady source of
revenue for bowling centers, further dwindled due to these changes.9 A league bowler
commented, “The centers have all of these great gimmicks and are giving financial breaks
to families and people that really do not bowl that much. Meanwhile, they’re raising the
prices for league bowlers, the true loyal customers, and driving them away.”10
The U.S. bowling center industry (see Table 2) was highly fragmented. The top eight
operators, including AMF, accounted for less than 10% of U.S. bowling centers. The two
largest, AMF and Brunswick Corporation (“Brunswick”) owned approximately 340 and
111 U.S. bowling centers, respectively.11 Four medium-sized chains together accounted
for 70 bowling centers. Over 5,300 bowling centers were owned by single-center and
small-chain operators, which typically owned four or fewer centers.
By 1997, the U.S. bowling center industry was considered mature and was charac-
terized by a continual contraction in the number of bowling centers. Nevertheless, the
Estimated sales
Company name Product line Total employees ($million) Headquarters
†
Equipment include bowling lanes, automatic pinsetters, ball returns, computerized scoring equipment, business systems,
and other industrial equipment and supplies sold to bowling centers in addition to resale products, such as bowling balls,
bags, shoes, and other bowlers’ aids, sold primarily through pro shops.
Source: A-1 Lanes 1997 Company estimates.
decreasing lineage (games per lane per day) was offset by an increasing average price per
game and by revenue from ancillary sources. Bowling centers derived their revenues from
bowling (60.2%), food and beverage (25.4%),12 and other sources such as rentals, amuse-
ment games, billiards, and pro shops (14.4%).13
According to the 1997 Economic Census, 619 establishments existed with 17,109
employees in the hardwood dimension and flooring mills classification (NAICS
321912).14 However, there were few companies in the bowling lane and equipment supply
business (see Table 3).15 Some of the competitors manufactured a broad range of products;
others produced only a specific line of equipment. All competitors were active in both the
domestic and the international markets.
Foreign-based competition in the bowling lane manufacturing industry was almost
nonexistent due to the lack of key raw materials. For example, lane construction required
the use of specific types and grades of maple and pine. The necessary maple is found only
in the United States, while the preferred southern yellow pine is found only in the
southeastern region of the United States. Furthermore, Asian bowling operators showed
little interest in purchasing bowling lanes or other bowling products and accessories
manufactured outside the United States. They considered bowling an American sport and
the equipment had to be manufactured in the United States.
Bowling in Asia
In the late 1980s, because of the saturation of bowling lane markets in the United
States and Europe, Brunswick and AMF began to expand into the Asian Pacific Rim by
12. Food and Beverage includes bar sales. On average, bar sales would account for 55% of these sales.
13. Ibid. Murphy, 1997.
14. 1997 Economic census: Bridge between NAICS and SIC manufacturing. U.S. Census Bureau. Available
at http://www.census.gov/epcd/ec97brdg/E97B1321.HTM#321918, accessed August 25, 2004.
15. From A-1 Lanes 1997 Company estimates.
Population
Country Centers Lanes Lanes per center Total (000) Per lane
The population per lane is an industry statistic that enables a bowling lane distributor to get an idea of how many customers
per lane there is per city or area. This is a better statistic than “bowling centers” because it gives an idea of literally how
many people can actually bowl and a good indication of a saturation point for bowling centers in a given area.
Source: A-1 Lanes Company Literature.
developing bowling centers throughout the region. The pivotal event that triggered Asian
interest was the inclusion of bowling as a trial event in the 1988 Olympics in Seoul, South
Korea.16 After the Olympics, a bowling boom began in East Asia.
U.S. bowling exports increased by 27% from 1988 to 1993, and sales to China
accounted for almost one-third. It was estimated that there were approximately 15,000
lanes in China and most industry analysts expected this demand to blossom into a
100,000+ lane market. With a population of 1.3 billion, 100,000 lanes would amount to
approximately one lane per 13,000 people, much lower than the U.S. rate of one lane per
1,800 people. Table 4 estimates the population per lane for selected international markets
in 1997.17
Asian Cultures
Asian cultures reflected numerous influences. Their business practices differed in
many ways from those in the United States. Conducting business in Asia required a
long-term perspective through the formulation of strong bonds and ties with potential
business partners. Patience was important and connections were crucial. Asia, particularly
China, was a gift-giving culture and the giving of gifts was a means to solidify personal
ties.18
Many social and cultural demographics helped to explain the popularity of bowling in
Asia. Half of the Asian population was younger than 25 years, an optimal age range for
introducing the sport to new bowlers. A bowling enthusiast and Asian market analyst,
Mort Luby Jr., explained the popularity of bowling:19
Bowling is popular in the Asian market because many young urban people complain
there isn’t much to do with their leisure time (and increased disposable income). Disco
16. Cooper, M. (1998). On the shining paths of tenpin. The Nation, August 10, p. 35.
17. From A-1 Lanes Company Literature.
18. Luby, M., Jr. (1998). Asia’s malaise is only temporary. Bowlers Journal International, January, p. 12.
19. Ibid. Luby, 1998.
Asian Economies
Following the rapid growth in the 1980s of Taiwan, Korea, Singapore, and Hong
Kong, the so-called Four Tigers, a new wave of economic growth swept across Asia. This
wave was driven primarily by the newly industrializing economies of Malaysia, Thailand,
Indonesia, and others. Thailand’s growth was especially noticeable. The Nation,
Bangkok’s independent newspaper, predicted that Thailand would become known as the
“Fifth Tiger” during the 1990s. The Asian Development Bank predicted that Asia’s
economy would grow at a pace twice as fast as other world regions. Some suggested that
the new millennium would begin with the “Asian Century.”20
The early 1990s also marked the globalization of financial markets. With slow growth
and competitive home markets, private capital flows turned to these emerging markets,
which offered higher interest rates and robust economic growth.21 From 1990 to 1997,
capital flows to developing countries rose to more than fivefold. While world trade grew
by about 5% annually, private capital flows grew annually by 30%. The most mobile forms
of flow, commercial bank debt and portfolio investments, set the pace,22 with East Asia
absorbing nearly 60% of all short-term capital.23
Thailand attempted to “become the regional financial hub” for neighboring econo-
mies. The government enacted policies in 1993 that allowed some foreign and local banks
to make loans in U.S. dollars and other currencies through what was called the Bangkok
International Banking Facilities.25 However, with the Thai government continuing to
20. Wave of growth sweeping across Asia. (1990). Jiji Press Ticjer Sercie, Jiji Press Ltd., June 7, LexisNexis
Academic, accessed 7 January 2008.
21. Baily, M.N., Farrel, D., & Lund, S. (2000). The color of hot money. Foreign Affairs, 79(2), 99–110.
22. World Bank. (1998). East Asia: The road to recovery, p. 4. Washington, DC: World Bank.
23. WEO (World Economic Outlook) cited in World Bank. (1998). East Asia: The road to recovery, p. 6.
Washington, DC: World Bank.
24. World Bank. (2002). World Development Indicators 2002 (CD-ROM): World Bank.
25. Einhorn, B. & Corben, R. (1997). One tired tiger. Business Week (Int’l Ed.), March 24, LexisNexis
Academic, accessed 7 January 2008.
26. Thailand finally lets its currency float. Wall Street Journal, July 3, 1997, LexisNexis Academic.
27. Sapsford, J. (1997). Asia’s financial shock: How it began, and what comes next. Wall Street Journal,
November 26, LexisNexis Academic.
28. Ibid. World Bank, 1998.
29. Ibid. Baily et al., 2000.
30. Lebourgre, C. (1997). Thailand: Tis an ill wind that blows nobody any good. Banque Paribas Conjoncture,
May. Available at http://economic-research.bnpparibas.com/applis/www/RechEco.nsf/navigation/Frame
MainInter?OpenDocument&Lang=EN&Mode=28, accessed 7 January 2008.
31. Thailand infoplease. Available at http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0108034.html, accessed 7 January
2008.
32. Ibid. Lebourgre, 1997.
33. Asia-Pacific to grow at slower pace in ‘97 and ‘98. Japan Economic News Wire. Kyodo News Service,
April 17, 1997, LexisNexis Academic, accessed 7 January 2008.
34. Sender, H. (1997). Get a grip: Can Thailand’s Central Bank handle the baht crisis? Far Eastern Economic
Review, 160 (13), March 27.
35. Several European bourses float at lofty levels: Tokyo shares rise following pause for holiday. Wall Street
Journal, January 17, 1997, p. 13.
36. Ibid. Sender, 1997.
Following the 1988 Olympics, A-1 began shipping lanes to Taiwan. From 1990 to
1992, the company concentrated on developing contacts through Dacos’ Asian networks.
Increasing sales to Korea and Taiwan more than offset A-1’s declining sales to Europe,
where the market was saturated. Baker saw a distinctive Asian business mindset: “They
were much more aggressive than we are in the West,” he said, “They would actually build
a bowling alley next to an existing one to drive out a local competitor.”
By the end of 1992, Taiwan and South Korea were also reaching a saturation point for
new wood bowling lanes; however, China had a growing interest in bowling. AMF and
Brunswick had already developed centers in China. A-1 was able to penetrate this market
in 1993 and 1994, mainly through its partnership with Dacos. A-1 had developed a
synthetic lane called UltraLane, a growingly popular substitute for wood flooring. As
a result of this innovation, A-1 Lanes was one of only three companies in the world to
37. Kandiah, P. (1996 September 30). IMF: Southeast Asia risks overheating. Malaysia warned over possi-
bility of Mexico-style crash. The Nikkei Weekly. Available at http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document,
accessed 23 April, 2003.
38. Kohli, S. (1996 November 21). Bankers fear Asian “Mexico” crisis. South China Morning Post (Hong
Kong). Business section, p. 1. Available at http://web.lexis-nexis.com/universe/document, accessed 10 April
2003.
39. Ibid. Baily et al., 2000.
40. Wong, R.Y.C. (1999). Lessons from the Asian financial crisis. Cato Journal, 18(3), 391–398.
41. Brummer, A. (1996). East Asian tigers are endangered. The Guardian (London), October 16, p. 20.
LexisNexis Academic, accessed 1 April 2003.
A-1’s Situation
As Rick Baker contemplated the changes in the international market, he could not
help but think about his own firm’s viability. A-1’s domestic sales were primarily of
synthetic overlay systems. He wondered how A-1 could survive an Asian crash and
continue to make a profit, or at the very least, generate a positive cash flow. To understand
his company’s financial health, he began to assess its activities, assets, and capabilities.
A-1 Lanes had become an important player in the international bowling industry
within 10 years of its chicken-house origin. In Baker’s view, his company strived to
provide competitively priced, premium quality bowling lanes and related equipment to the
domestic and international markets and had earned a very favorable industry reputation.
Over 30 capital equipment distributors used A-1 as a source for bowling lanes.
Manufacturing Facilities
A-1 was operating at about 60% of the capacity of its state-of-the-art plant. The
company could expand production quickly to meet the demand in Singapore and
Malaysia. More than 160 companies supplied the materials A-1 used to produce its
bowling lanes and complementary components and accessories, such as gutters, capping,
and return tracks. Rusk, Texas, was an ideal location because of its proximity to southern
yellow pine. In Baker’s mind, this gave A-1 a distinct advantage over rivals in the northern
states due to low inbound costs of lumber and easy access to the mills.
New Const.
Overlay Lanes
Systmes 36%
36%
Wood lanes and various derivatives accounted for 58% of A-1’s revenues in 1996.
Each wood lane costs $6,250 including accessories. A breakdown of revenue from the
company’s various products is shown in Figure 1.
To address some of the shortcomings associated with wood lanes, such as marring and
gouging (deep etching), synthetic lanes were introduced during the 1980s. However, A-1
did not introduce its first synthetic flooring, UltraLane, until 1992. Baker was especially
proud that this innovation was developed within the company and that the resin could be
used not only for the construction of new lanes, but also for refurbishing existing wood
lanes (overlay system). He elaborated:
The advantage of UltraLane is its improvement to the approach surface. Our com-
petitors’ synthetic flooring used the same product on the approach and the lane. The
lane material was not slick enough for the approach. Bowlers’ shoes stubbed on
the material, and some lawsuits have been filed over injuries. UltraLane’s approach
has an orange peel texture that is very slick to the bowling shoe and allows it to slide
properly.
By 1996, synthetic sales accounted for 42% of A-1 Lanes’ total revenue, up from 25%
of total sales in 1994. New synthetic lanes sold by the company were typically shipped in
sections, installed on site, and cost $7,000 per lane. Figure 1 shows the breakdown of
revenue from various synthetic lane products sold by A-1 Lanes.
In addition to UltraLane, Baker and his team continuously developed innovative
products to complement or improve their existing products. For instance, A-1 developed
a unique “snap on” ball return capping system and engineered changes in lane com-
ponents that made the system less costly to manufacture. The capping system, made of
high-impact plastic, covers (caps) the gutter dividers (A) and ball returns (B) that are
positioned alternately between lanes.
Marketing
“We need to do little advertising because the coverage of our company in trade
publications is very positive due to our quality of products and reputation,” Baker said.
However, to stay in continual contact with its customers, A-1 bought display space at trade
shows and at regional and international meetings of national bowling associations.
A-1’s ongoing relationship with Dacos was a “win–win situation,” he thought. It
allowed Dacos to offer a complete bowling center package that included pinsetters and
bowling lanes supplied by A-1. By 1996, 50% of A-1’s sales were channeled through this
partnership. Dacos was formulating plans for developing bowling centers in Malaysia and
Singapore, thereby enabling A-1 to be at the forefront of the continuing growth of bowling
in Asia.
Asian customers his business card and introduced himself as the president of A-1 Lanes,
they would respond as if he were the president of AMF. When Baker traveled to Asia, he
was treated “like royalty.”
Performance Metrics
According to Baker, “It is amazing how a small firm in a rural community could sell
millions of dollars of product to customers halfway around the world.” Even so, Baker felt
helpless in the currency crisis. Feeling a sense of urgency in his company’s financial
situation, Baker thought, “I wonder what story the financial statements might tell me?”
(See Tables 5–7.)
A-1 Lanes’ net profit reached an all-time high in 1995. Baker was sure that his
decision to cut prices had hurt the bottom line, but he surmised that everyone in the
industry was experiencing the slimmer margins. The real question, he figured, was how
long AMF would pursue its price-cutting policy.
Another troublesome aspect of the financials was the increase in operating expenses
as a percent of sales. Baker knew that these expenditures were needed to modernize A-1’s
facilities and enable the firm to meet the expected increase in sales. In fact, A-1 had
increased production to bring its finished inventory to 25% of projected sales. Baker
reasoned that if A-1 were unable to meet demand, customers could easily go elsewhere.
The outlay of $554,000 to modernize the plant was financed by a 10% note payable over
10 years.
Table 7
1996‡ Sales
1996 1995 1994 1996 1995 1994 $10–25 M
1. Firm Liquidity
Current Ratio 3.15 2.26 1.41 1.80 1.70 1.70 1.8
A/R Av.collection Pd 62.05 55.44 44.57 NA NA NA NA
2. Operating profitability
Operating Income return on Investment 15.39% 36.19% 35.53% 7.20% 11.10% 9.30% 10.00%
Operating Profit Margin 6.40% 16.52% 12.90% 3.60% 4.63% 4.43% 5.56%
Total asset TO 2.41 2.19 2.76 2.00 2.40 2.10 1.8
A/R Turnover 5.88 6.58 8.19 13.00 12.50 12.20 12.9
Inventory TO 4.82 2.67 3.84 5.10 6.30 5.90 7.00
Fixed assets turnover 19.78 34.97 38.15 7.20 6.60 6.50 6.80
3. Financing Decisions
Debt ratio 25.09% 12.86% 2.58% 20.10 20.30% 20.80% 15.6%
Times interest Earned 7.10 34.14 14.27 3.10 4.50 6.00 14.6
4. Return on Equity
Return on Equity§ 32.73% 79.34% 112.26% 17.31% 25.06% 23.13% 18.28%
†
Adapted from RMA, 1996″ NAICS = 321918 Manufacturing; SIC = 2426.
‡
This information is reported for the current year (1996) of firms with sales of 10–25 million.
§
RMA (Robert Morris Associates) does not report Net Income (after taxes) nor stockholders equity. Therefore, a derivative
was used—profit before taxes/net worth as an indicant for return on equity.
NA, not applicable.
A-1’s Future
Although Baker knew he did not fully understand the story within A-1’s financials,
he was growing uncomfortable with how the crash in Asian currency markets could
affect his company. Should he have monitored the Asian economic environment more
closely? Should he have expanded manufacturing operations in 1996? Should he have
extended credit to his selected foreign customers? How could he have protected his
company?
Baker recalled that his old management professor in college once told him that there
is a story behind each set of financial statements—especially when you compare your
company with the industry averages. Now Baker visited the library and collected the ratios
pertaining to his industry. Then, he laid them on a table next to A-1’s financial statements
(see Table 8). He grabbed an ice cream bar from the freezer and sat down to ponder his
next move.
Phil E. Stetz is the Lavoy Moore Entrepreneurship Professor in the Department of Management, Marketing,
and International Business at the Stephen F. Austin State University, Nelson Rusche College of Business,
Nacogdoches, Texas.
Larry R. O’Neal is Associate Professor of Marketing of the Department of Management, Marketing, and
International Business at the Stephen F. Austin State University, Nelson Rusche College of Business, Nacog-
doches, Texas.