Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Total Revenue
Growth
Restructuring Charges
Impairment of Goodwill
Asset Writedown
Other Unusual Items
EBT Incl. Unusual Items
Net Income
Growth
NI to Common
Growth
Total Equity
Tangible Equity
% Total Equity
Total Assets
Growth
Return on Equity
Return on Tangible Equity
Sustainable Growth Rate
2020 Trailing P/E
Market Implied Cost of Equity
P/B
P/TB
2015 2016
770,559.0 696,637.0
733.0 2,558.0
771,292.0 699,195.0
312,807.0 278,838.0
312,807.0 278,838.0
458,485.0 420,357.0
-8.32%
2.14%
3,913.0 3,975.0
78.0 -
6,155.0 10,408.0
- -
119,136.0 124,430.0
- -
129,282.0 138,813.0
7.37%
0.71%
587,767.0 559,170.0
-4.87%
92,610.0 89,588.0
-3.26%
0.46%
495,157.0 469,582.0
-5%
91,499.0 92,802.0
2,604.0 2,213.0
33,046.0 29,981.0
31,374.0 29,001.0
(275.0) (69.0)
38,412.0 20,353.0
196,660.0 174,281.0
-11.38%
125.55%
298,497.0 295,301.0
- (45.0)
- -
- (46.0)
- -
298,497.0 295,210.0
69,611.0 62,821.0
23% 21%
228,886.0 232,389.0
(741.0) (929.0)
0.00%
228,145.0 231,460.0
1.45%
- 1,067.0
228,145.0 230,393.0
0.99%
0.91 0.92
250,011.0 250,011.0
0.27 0.28
33.0% 30.1%
1,445,083.00 1,589,654.00
1,394,887.00 1,536,553.00
0.97 0.97
18,349,489.00 20,963,705.00
14%
1,408,127.00 1,549,834.00
1,427,847.00 1,569,575.00
10,722,082.00 11,937,774.00
13.13% 12.98%
13.32% 13.15%
7.78% 7.49%
15.32%
15.85%
10.71%
4.73
15.3332%
2017 2018 2019
4,858.0 - -
- - -
(2,808.0) - -
- 140.0 249.0
135,357.0 172,473.0 168,314.0
- - -
137,407.0 172,613.0 168,563.0
-1.01% 25.62% -2.35%
0.64% 0.76% 0.69%
96,237.0 - -
2,306.0 - -
30,485.0 - -
32,211.0 167,208.0 179,531.0
(161.0) - -
7,766.0 32,181.0 35,623.0
168,844.0 199,389.0 215,154.0
-3.12% 18.09% 7.91%
122.88% 115.51% 127.64%
(37.0) - -
- - -
(1.0) 121.0 (521.0)
- (354.0) (357.0)
299,787.0 308,160.0 326,597.0
989,509.0
-
989,509.0
413,600.0
413,600.0
575,909.0 630,310.18 676,006.67 736,599.19
7.23% 9.45% 7.25% 8.96%
2.15% 2.17% 2.18% 2.22%
-
-
-
895.0
179,054.0
-
179,949.0 201,580.98 215,203.55 230,267.80
6.75% 12.02% 6.76% 7.00%
0.67% 0.69% 0.69% 0.69%
-
-
-
179,308.0
-
49,375.0
228,683.0 262,055.27 279,764.62 299,348.14
6.29% 14.59% 6.76% 7.00%
127.08% 130.00% 130.00% 130.00%
-
-
3,562.0
(630.0)
336,616.0 366,510.03 409,883.98 451,847.92
Total Revenue
Growth
Restructuring Charges
Impairment of Goodwill
Asset Writedown
Other Unusual Items
EBT Incl. Unusual Items
Net Income
Growth
NI to Common
Growth
Total Equity
Tangible Equity
% Total Equity
Total Assets
Growth
Return on Equity
Return on Tangible Equity
Sustainable Growth Rate
2020 Trailing P/E
Market Implied Cost of Equity
P/B
P/TB
2015 2016
871,779.0 791,480.0
871,779.0 791,480.0
363,912.0 319,634.0
363,912.0 319,634.0
507,867.0 471,846.0
-7.09%
2.04%
4,227.0 6,457.0
848.0 181.0
(1,004.0) 3,854.0
- -
156,337.0 158,756.0
- -
160,408.0 169,248.0
5.51%
0.73%
668,275.0 641,094.0
-4.07%
86,022.0 86,138.0
0.13%
0.37%
582,253.0 554,956.0
-5%
114,173.0 113,354.0
2,295.0 2,059.0
28,114.0 28,414.0
21,219.0 20,388.0
(2,330.0) (2,604.0)
55,710.0 29,574.0
219,181.0 191,185.0
-12.77%
112.96%
363,072.0 363,771.0
0.19%
487.0 -
(324.0) (492.0)
- -
363,235.0 363,279.0
85,515.0 84,173.0
24% 23%
277,720.0 279,106.0
(589.0) (857.0)
0.00%
277,131.0 278,249.0
0.40%
2,331.0 4,450.0
90.91%
274,800.0 273,799.0
-0.36%
0.77 0.77
356,027.0 356,407.0
0.23 0.23
33.7% 31.5%
1,800,519.00 1,981,163.00
1,681,387.00 1,861,632.00
22,209,780.00 24,137,265.00
9%
1,701,495.00 1,874,976.00
1,781,062.00 1,954,770.00
13,216,687.00 14,564,617.00
12.87% 12.87%
13.48% 13.42%
8.02% 8.10%
14.76%
15.76%
10.79%
5.56
14.3973%
2017 2018 2019
- - 8,447.0
1,348.0 - 1,264.0
2,107.0 - (3,682.0)
2,950.0 3,089.0 -
199,367.0 198,182.0 137,756.0
- - -
205,772.0 201,271.0 143,785.0
21.58% -2.19% -28.56%
0.82% 0.75% 0.50%
- - 126,950.0
- - 2,315.0
- - 27,713.0
177,723.0 185,041.0 -
- - (2,520.0)
59,168.0 55,967.0 50,798.0
- (1,226.0) -
236,891.0 239,782.0 205,256.0
23.91% 1.22% -14.40%
115.12% 119.13% 142.75%
- - -
(558.0) (3,088.0) (3,478.0)
1,451.0 - -
364,641.0 372,413.0 391,789.0
1,092,521.0
1,092,521.0
445,756.0
445,756.0
646,765.0 714,334.51 778,624.61 848,700.83
2.30% 10.45% 9.00% 9.00%
2.04% 2.05% 2.05% 2.05%
2,222.0
1,323.0
11,829.0
-
137,936.0
-
153,310.0 156,805.14 170,917.60 186,300.18
6.62% 2.28% 9.00% 9.00%
0.48% 0.45% 0.45% 0.45%
126,572.0
2,607.0
27,960.0
-
(1,304.0)
49,446.0
-
205,281.0 209,960.96 230,738.76 260,820.25
0.01% 2.28% 9.90% 13.04%
133.90% 133.90% 135.00% 140.00%
(359.0)
(3,810.0)
-
392,126.0 441,651.49 490,913.32 546,480.53
Total Revenue
Growth
Restructuring Charges
Impairment of Goodwill
Asset Writedown
Other Unusual Items
EBT Incl. Unusual Items
Net Income
Growth
NI to Common
Growth
Total Equity
Tangible Equity
% Total Equity
Total Assets
Growth
Return on Equity
Return on Tangible Equity
Sustainable Growth Rate
2020 Trailing P/E
Market Implied Cost of Equity
P/B
P/TB
2015 2016
725,793.0 657,190.0
289,653.0 259,086.0
436,140.0 398,104.0
-8.72%
1.96%
8,131.0 4,068.0
82,549.0 90,935.0
779.0 517.0
-15.0 -9.0
-235.0 -239.0
5,181.0 4,844.0
96,390.0 100,116.0
3.87%
0.49%
532,530.0 498,220.0
-6.44%
84,094.0 86,043.0
2.32%
0.42%
448,436.0 412,177.0
-8%
110,349.0 111,536.0
19,633.0 19,037.0
58,777.0 43,816.0
188,759.0 174,389.0
-7.61%
174.19%
259,677.00 237,788.00
-8.43%
255.0 285.0
259,932.0 238,073.0
79,158.0 54,013.0
30.5% 22.7%
180,774.0 184,060.0
192.0 119.0
0.00%
180,582.0 183,941.0
1.86%
0.0
180,582.0 183,941.0
1.86%
0.55 0.58
324,794.00 324,794.00
0.17 0.18
32% 31%
1,321,591.0 1,429,397.0
1,211,647.0 1,320,600.0
91.68% 92.39%
19,570,061.0 21,053,382.0
7.58%
1,124,690.0 1,231,030.0
1,204,592.0 1,310,934.0
10,986,302.0 11,856,530.0
10.24% 10.38%
10.96% 11.06%
6.16% 6.23%
13.38%
14.54%
9.23%
5.16
13.339%
2017 2018 2019
930,932.0
385,853.0
545,079.0 580,506.4 624,044.4 670,847.7
8.83% 6.50% 7.50% 7.50%
1.96% 1.96% 1.96% 1.96%
8,319.0
74,545.0
679.0
518.0
-1,722.0
3,386.0
85,725.0 104,772.2 112,630.2 121,077.4
-17.70% 22.22% 7.50% 7.50%
0.31% 0.35% 0.35% 0.35%
123,345.0
19,551.0
53,315.0
1,173.0
270,863.0 297,702.4 326,397.9 361,145.8
Total Revenue
Growth
Net Income
Growth
NI to Common
Growth
Total Equity
Tangible Equity
% Total Equity
Total Assets
Growth
615,056.0 566,139.0
615,056.0 566,139.0
286,406.0 260,091.0
286,406.0 260,091.0
328,650.0 306,048.0
-6.88%
1.75%
9,460.0 8,496.0
2,883.0 29,752.0
5,765.0 12,524.0
126,534.0 127,702.0
- -
144,642.0 178,474.0
23.39%
1.02%
473,292.0 484,522.0
2.37%
58,989.0 89,040.0
50.94%
0.51%
414,303.0 395,482.0
-5%
80,324.0 81,080.0
- -
13,218.0 13,175.0
- 41,565.0
-2,334.0 -897.0
91,859.0 39,249.0
183,067.0 174,172.0
-4.86%
97.59%
231,236.0 221,310.0
-4.29%
335.0 1,102.0
- -
231,571.0 222,412.0
52,154.0 38,361.0
23% 17%
179,417.00 184,051.00
-8,572.00 -19,473.00
-0.11%
170,845.00 164,578.00
-3.67%
5,012 6,718
34.04%
165,833.0 157,860.0
-4.81%
0.56 0.54
293,722.00 294,376.00
0.18 0.17
0.36 0.35
1,357,605.0 1,487,092.0
1,188,929.0 1,294,953.0
88% 87%
16,815,597.0 18,148,889.0
7.93%
1,182,300.0 1,280,841.0
1,285,459.0 1,384,364.0
10,654,081.0 11,269,592.0
11.10% 11.37%
12.07% 12.28%
7.64% 7.63%
11.57%
13.25%
7.5%
4.42
14.75%
2017 2018 2019
760,070.0
760,070.0
344,152.0
344,152.0
415,918.0 455,719.7 489,898.6 526,641.0
6.63% 9.57% 7.50% 7.50%
1.76% 1.80% 1.80% 1.80%
8,055.0
1,596.0
9,547.0
134,036.0
-
153,234.0 169,629.0 182,351.2 196,027.5
-3.91% 10.70% 7.50% 7.50%
0.65% 0.67% 0.67% 0.67%
89,334.0
-
22,871.0
38,944.0
-158.0
51,262.0
202,253.0 212,036.2 227,938.9 245,034.4
2.56% 4.84% 7.50% 7.50%
131.99% 125.00% 125.00% 125.00%
Similar Comps
Bank of China (BOC)
Other Comps
China Merchants Bank (CMB)
Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC)
Ping An Bank Co (PAB)
Bank of Communications (BoCom)
China CITIC Bank Corporation (CCBC)
China Minsheng Banking Corporation (CMBC)
China Everbright Bank Company Limited (CEBC)
Main Comps
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC)
Agricultural Bank of China (ABC)
Similar Comps
Bank of China (BOC)
Other Comps
China Merchants Bank (CMB)
Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC)
Ping An Bank Co (PAB)
Bank of Communications (BoCom)
China CITIC Bank Corporation (CCBC)
China Minsheng Banking Corporation (CMBC)
China Everbright Bank Company Limited (CEBC)
Similar Comps
Bank of China (BOC)
Other Comps
China Merchants Bank (CMB)
Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC)
Ping An Bank Co (PAB)
Bank of Communications (BoCom)
China CITIC Bank Corporation (CCBC)
China Minsheng Banking Corporation (CMBC)
China Everbright Bank Company Limited (CEBC)
Main Comps
Average
Median
Maximum
Minimum
Current Price
Total Average
Total Median
Total Maximum
Total Minimum
Current Price
Total Average
Total Median
Total Maximum
Total Minimum
Current Price
Total Average
Total Median
Total Maximum
Total Minimum
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC)
Agricultural Bank of China (ABC)
Bank of China (BOC)
China Construction Bank (CCB)
Main Comps
Main & Similar Comps
Main, Similar & Other Comps Ex CMB & PAB
Main Comps
Max Min
Market Capitalization Credit Rating & Outlook (S&P)
1,766,131.6 A / Stable
1,115,751.9 A / Stable
907,526.0 A / Stable
1,293,947.8 A / Stable
4.1 2,692,003.00
2.54 2210746
2.59 1976696
55.47 617,707.0
4.27 544,879.0
23.82 312,983.0
4.23 800,912.0
3.49 532,524.0
4.69 530,829.0
3.86 386,054.0
5.11 2,235,127.00
4.42 0.42
14.28 1.92
7.26 0.69
15.98 1.27
4.29 0.39
4.66 0.41
5.55 0.36
5.11 0.43
4.73 0.54
5.36 55%
5.36 55%
5.56 61%
5.16 49%
1,465,747.35 1,312,297.39
1,465,747.35 1,312,297.39
1,520,929.59 1,450,383.26
1,410,565.11 1,174,211.53
1,293,947.80
1,366,748.07 Undervalued
1,366,748.07 Undervalued
1,482,887.07 Undervalued
1,250,609.07 Overvalued
5.05 51%
5.16 49%
5.56 61%
4.42 42%
1,380,683.34 1,209,055.62
1,410,565.11 1,174,211.53
1,520,929.59 1,450,383.26
1,210,555.33 1,002,572.07
1,293,947.80
1,280,435.35 Overvalued
1,250,609.07 Overvalued
1,482,887.07 Undervalued
1,107,809.92 Overvalued
7.23 70%
5.35 46%
15.98 192%
4.29 36%
1,977,268.32 1,668,587.12
1,464,922.95 1,095,614.57
4,371,599.11 4,576,879.32
1,172,416.84 860,540.20
1,293,947.80
1,797,075.65 Undervalued
1,239,437.50 Overvalued
4,571,965.77 Undervalued
977,647.24 Overvalued
5.25 47%
5.13 42%
7.26 69%
4.29 36%
1,436,740.76 1,134,476.08
1,404,180.73 1,009,794.84
1,986,272.95 1,658,055.75
1,172,416.84 860,540.20
1,293,947.80
1,253,512.61 Overvalued
1,181,125.48 Overvalued
1,786,503.48 Undervalued
977,647.24 Overvalued
Required Rate of Return Sustainable Growth Rate
14.40% 8.30%
13.34% 6.42%
14.75% 6.52%
15.33% 8.07%
Min Max
1.25 1.48
1.11 1.48
0.98 1.79
Max Min
Mainland China Loan Book (%)
91%
94%
81%
97%
100%
100%
94%
95%
97%
100%
90%
2,909,515.00
2270396
2162837
730,354.0
672,930.0
364,131.0
878,628.0
560,038.0
541,248.0
454,998.0
2,389,353.00
0.49
2.09
0.75
1.39
0.42
0.46
0.39
0.50
0.57
58%
58%
65%
51%
1,322,199.47
1,322,199.47
1,477,348.36
1,167,050.57
55%
51%
65%
49%
1,251,567.10
1,167,050.57
1,477,348.36
1,110,302.37
76%
51%
209%
39%
1,745,371.51
1,157,774.98
4,767,418.87
899,984.69
52%
49%
75%
39%
1,189,320.97
1,129,400.88
1,715,181.75
899,984.69
DPO
0.313203
0.335148
0.341929
0.317801
Commercial & Retail Banking Revenues
88.80%
85.20%
81.80%
95.60%
84.20%
94%
92.60%
83.80%
94.10%
83.10%
85.50%
2,530,358.0
2,100,015.0
1,668,859.0
557,569.0
493,938.0
281,101.0
729,637.0
478,618.0
484,065.0
317,061.0
2,114,572.00
9.91%
14.53%
10.56%
8.54%
9.48%
9.07%
6.55%
9.01%
11.83%
11%
11%
11%
10%
10%
10%
11%
10%
10%
10%
15%
7%
9%
10%
11%
7%
ROE
11.34%
9.66%
9.91%
11.83%
Tier 1 Capital Ratio Stable Funding Ratio
13.70% 131.70%
12.92% 135.60%
13.19% 116.10%
12% 115.70%
11.50% 151.60%
11.40% 103.10%
12.90% 120.60%
10.30% 101.40%
9.50% 94.90%
10.40% 107%
14.22% 126.20%
2,729,535.0 317,685.0
2,182,863.0 216,400.0
1,866,235.0 205,096.0
670,020.0 97,959.0
621,623.0 64,318.0
332,758.0 28,928.0
817,647.0 79,570.0
505,291.0 49,532.0
494,539.0 35,102.0
385,013.0 37,905.0
2,283,224.00 273,579.0
11.60% 7.61%
15.96% 2.25%
11.53% 4.92%
9.42% 0.76%
10.29% 7.57%
10.07% 7.16%
7.17% 4.48%
10.80% 5.44%
12.44% 6.38%
11% 7%
11% 7%
12% 7%
10% 6%
11% 7%
12% 7%
12% 8%
10% 6%
11% 5%
11% 6%
16% 8%
7% 1%
10% 6%
11% 7%
12% 8%
7% 4%
Dividends per Share
0.27
0.19
0.20
1.25
0.21
0.18
0.32
0.25
0.21
0.21
0.326
2020
ROE
2020
CCB Book Value 2,389,353.00
Objective P/B 0.58
Expected Market Cap 1,376,009.92
Actual Market Cap 1,293,947.80
2020 2021
ROTE P/B P/TB ROE ROTE P/B P/TB
80%
2021 2022 2023
2,587,805.32 2,809,898.94 3,053,559.48 70%
0.56 0.59 0.58
60%
1,452,629.12 1,668,701.41 1,786,299.82
f(x)
P/B
1,293,947.80 1,293,947.80 1,293,947.80 R² =
50%
40% CMBC
30%
6.0% 7.
75%
65%
55%
P/B
45%
35%
25%
6.0% 7
2022 2023
ROE ROTE P/B P/TB ROE ROTE P/B P/TB
2020 Main, Similar & Other Comps Ex CMB, PAB 2021 Main, Si
80% 80%
70% 70%
PSBC
ICBC
60% 60%
f(x) = 4.39897112094046 x^0.952559635005625
P/B
P/B
ABC f(x) = 4
50% R² = 0.552801640375937 CCB 50% R² = 0.3
CEBC
BOC CMBC
BoCom
40% CMBC 40%
CCBC
30% 30%
6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0
ROE
2022 Main, Similar & Other Comps Ex CMB, PAB 2023 Main, Similar
75% 75%
65% 65%
PSBC ICBC
ABC
55% f(x) = 6.02882307436991 x − 0.158411216017282 55% f(x)
CCB
R² = 0.612157374165427 R² =
P/B
P/B
CEBC
45% 45%
CMBC BOC CMBC
35% BoCom CCBC 35%
25% 25%
6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0%
ROE
2021 Main, Similar & Other Comps Ex CMB, PAB
PSBC
CEBC
ICBC
ABC
f(x) = 4.22346750752779 x + 0.0513726396530937
R² = 0.367121158607982 CCB
CMBC
BoCom BOC
CCBC
ICBC
ABC CCB
PSBC
f(x) = 5.90308417543835 x − 0.160667335122446
R² = 0.505647388140836 CEBC
CMBC BOC
BoCom
CCBC
200%
150%
f(x) =
R² =
100%
50%
0%
5.0% 7.0%
Main Comps + Similar + Other Ex
250%
200%
150%
f(x) = 14.7656704918154 x − 0.799017914699413
R² = 0.396377124280453
100%
50%
0%
5.0% 7.0% 9.0% 11.0% 13.0% 15.0% 17.0%
2020
ROE
2020
CCB Book Value 2,389,353.00
Objective P/B 1.10
Actual Market Cap 1,293,947.80
Expected Market Cap 2,619,007.22
2020 2021 2022
P/B ROE P/B ROE P/B
0%
0% 2% 4% 6%
160%
140%
f(x) = 10.537409982881 x − 0.07453208
120%
R² = 0.666362787242066
100% UBS
Intesa ING
80%
HSBC
ABN City
60%
DB BNP
Santander
40%
SG
20%
0%
120%
R² = 0.666362787242066
100% UBS
Intesa ING
80%
HSBC
ABN City
60%
DB BNP
Santander
40%
SG
20%
0%
3% 5% 7% 9%
2023
ROE P/B
13% 60%
7% 57%
5% 31%
4% 36%
8% 70%
6% 50%
8% 67%
8% 53%
9% 79%
7% 60%
10% 117%
9% 67%
14% 159%
13% 128%
12% 111%
2020 CCB & European - American 2021 CCB & European - American
200%
JPM 180%
MS 160% MS
140% BoA
f(x) = 8.0005000479947 x + 0.196590006748863
GS
BoA R² = 0.669617854226986
606331793 x + 0.310927097186301 120%
7592392824
100% UBS
Citi
Intesa UBS 80% Intesa
HSBC CCB HSBC
BNP ING City CCB
60% ABN
ING BNP
Santander
40% Santander
DB
20% SG
0%
4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
2022 CCB & European - American 2023 CCB & European - American
180%
JPM
160%
MS
140%
BoA GS
10.537409982881 x − 0.0745320815398627 BoA
.666362787242066 120% f(x) = 10.5090651948651 x − 0.16283063761687
R² = 0.702064437373197 G
UBS 100%
Intesa ING ING Intesa UBS
80%
HSBC HSBC C
City CCB
BN 60% ABN
City
BNP
Santander DB BNP Santander
40%
20% SG
0%
120% f(x) = 10.5090651948651 x − 0.16283063761687
.666362787242066
R² = 0.702064437373197 G
UBS 100%
Intesa ING ING Intesa UBS
80%
HSBC HSBC C
City CCB
BN 60% ABN City
BNP
Santander DB BNP Santander
40%
20% SG
0%
% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
- American
JPM
MS
BoA
96590006748863
GS
City CCB
merican
JPM
MS
BoA
− 0.16283063761687
GS
UBS
a
CCB
City
nder
− 0.16283063761687
GS
UBS
a
CCB
City
nder
200%
150%
f(x) =
R² =
100%
50%
0%
5.0% 7.0%
Main Comps + Similar + Other Ex
250%
200%
150%
f(x) = 14.7656704918154 x − 0.799017914699413
R² = 0.396377124280453
100%
50%
0%
5.0% 7.0% 9.0% 11.0% 13.0% 15.0% 17.0%