Lcci l3 Certificate in Business Statistics Sam

L3
Pearson
LCCI Level 3 Certificate in
Business Statistics
(ASE20109)
SAMPLE ASSESSMENT MATERIALS

First teaching from September 2019
Edexcel, BTEC and LCCI qualifications
Edexcel, BTEC and LCCI qualifications are awarded by Pearson, the UK’s largest awarding body
offering academic and vocational qualifications that are globally recognised and benchmarked.
For further information, please visit our qualifications website at qualifications.pearson.com.

Alternatively, you can get in touch with us using the details on our contact us page at
qualifications.pearson.com/contactus
About Pearson
Pearson is the world's leading learning company, with 35,000 employees in more than 70 countries
working to help people of all ages to make measurable progress in their lives through learning.
We put the learner at the centre of everything we do, because wherever learning flourishes, so do
people. Find out more about how we can help you and your learners at qualifications.pearson.com
Acknowledgements
This specification has been produced by Pearson on the basis of consultation with teachers,
examiners, consultants and other interested parties. Pearson would like to thank all those who
contributed their time and expertise to the specification’s development.
References to third-party material made in this specification are made in good faith. We do not endorse, approve or accept
responsibility for the content of materials, which may be subject to change, or any opinions expressed therein. (Material
may include textbooks, journals, magazines and other publications and websites.)
Contents
LCCI Level 3 Cert in Business Statistics 1

Mark Scheme L3 Bus Stats Final 29
Pearson LCCI
Sample assessment material for first teaching September 2019
Time: 3 hours Paper Reference ASE20109
Certificate in Business Statistics

Level 3
Please check the examination details above before entering your candidate information
Candidate name
Centre Code Candidate Number
Candidate ID Number
Total Marks
You do not need any other materials.
Instructions
• Use black ink or ball-point pen.
• Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name, candidate number,
centre code and your candidate ID number.
• Answer all questions.
• Answer the questions in the spaces provided
– there may be more space than you need.
Information
• The total mark for this paper is 100.
• The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
• Try to answer every question.
• Check your answers if you have time at the end.
Turn over
*S63930A0127*
S63930A
©2019 Pearson Education Ltd.
1/1/1
Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics 1

Sample Assessment Materials – Issue 1- September 2019 © Pearson Education Limited 2019
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson LCCIPearson
Level
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson LCCI
LCCI
3 LCCI
LCCI Level
Level
Certificate
Pearson
LCCILCCI
Level
LCCI
LCCI Level
Level
Level 3Certificate
33in
Level
Level 33 3Certificate
Certificate
3Business
Certificate
3 Certificatein
in
Certificate
Certificate in
in
in
in Business
Business
Statistics
Certificate in
Business
Business
inBusiness
Business
Business Statistics
Statistics
formulae
Business sheet
Statistics
Statistics
Statistics
Statistics
Statistics
Statistics formulae
formulae
formulae
formulae
formulae
formulae sheet
sheet
sheet
sheet
sheet
formulae
formulae sheet
sheet
sheet
ccccc
ccmm ccmmmmn((nnnn(nnF
Median
Median
Median
Median
Median
Median
Median
Median
Median for
for
forfor
for for
for
forfor grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped data
data data
data
data
data
data
datadata llm
lmllm
mml+llm
+m
+m++++f+mm
f(
fmfmfm
fffmm
(
m
m
( ( 22nFmmFFmFmFmFm1m1m1((111(11((11((
2222222F
m
Where
Where
Where
Where
Where
Where
Where
Where
Where lmllm
llm lm
lm
m
m m mm
cc, ccmm
l,l,m,m,c,,ccc,,cm mm m
m
and
cand
andand
mand
and
and fffmm
and ffm
fm fm
fm fm
are are
fmareare
areare
the
mare
m the
the
are
are the
the
the the
the
the lower lower
lower
lower lower
lower
lower lower
lower boundary,
boundary,boundary,
boundary,
boundary,
boundary,
boundary,
boundary,
boundary, width
width
width
width
width
width
width
width
width and
andand
and
and and
and
and
and frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency respectively
respectively
respectively
respectively
respectively
respectively of
respectivelyof
of
respectively
respectively of
of
ofof
of
of
the
thethe
the
the
the median
the
the median
median
median
median
median
themedian class,
class,
median
median class,nnnnnn
class,
class,
class,
class,
class,
class, nis
is isis
nis
nis the
the
is the
isis the
the
the
the
the total
total
total
total
total
total
the total number
number
number
number
number
number
total
total of
of
of
number
number
number of
of of
of
of observations
observations
observations
observations
observations
observations
of and
and
and
observations
observations
observations and
and
and
and
and
and FFFF
Fm
F
FFFm–1
mF
mmmm
m m1m
isthe
isis
isisis
111111111
the
is the
isis
the the
the
the
thethe cumulative
cumulative
cumulative
cumulative
cumulative
cumulative
cumulative
cumulative
cumulative
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency
frequency corresponding
corresponding
corresponding
corresponding
corresponding
corresponding
corresponding
corresponding to
to
to to
to
to
to
to lmlm
llm .ml.lm.m.m.. ...
lmlm
Mean for ungrouped data ∑∑∑

xx∑
xxxx ∑∑
∑∑∑
xxxx
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean for
for for
forfor
for
for ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped data
data
data
data
data
data
data xxxxxxxx n nnnn
n nn n
∑∑∑
∑∑ ∑
x∑
ff∑xffxf xfxfxfxxx ∑
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean
Mean forfor
for for
for
for
for
for grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped data
data
data
data
data
data xxxxxxxxx ∑∑f∑∑
data
data
∑ f fff ff ∑∑∑
f∑
ff f
∑
x∑
2∑
2
∑∑ x∑ xxx2x2xx2
2 22 22
∑∑ x∑
datassssssss (((x((xx()(xxx)()x2x))2x2))2)22
22 2
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation forfor
for for
for
for
for
for ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped
ungrouped data
data
data
data
data
data
data
2
nnnnnnnn
(((( ((((
∑ ∑ 222 22
f∑ f∑
22 22
∑∑∑ x∑
xfffx2fx2fxf2xx22x2 ∑∑ ∑ x∑xfffxfxfxfx2x2x22 2
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard
Standard deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation
deviation forfor
for for
for
for
for
for grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped
grouped datassssssss
data
data
data
data
data
data
data
∑∑
ff∑
∑
∑∑
ff∑
∑∑
∑∑∑ f∑
f∑ f∑ff fff
f ∑∑∑∑
∑
ff∑f∑ ∑ fff ff
f
3 x xMedian
skewness33333x3x3x3xxxxMedian
Median
Median
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson
Pearson measure
measure
measure
measure
measure
measure
measure
measure of
ofof
of
ofofskewness
of skewness
skewness
of skewness
skewness
skewness
skewness
Median
Median
Median
Median
s ssssssss
100
100 ss ss ss
Coefficient
Coefficient
Coefficient
Coefficient
Coefficient
Coefficient
Coefficient
Coefficientofof
of
of
of of
of
of variationxxssxxxsxx 100
variation
variation
variation
variation
variation
variation
variation 100 100
100
100
100
100
x
Multiplication
Multiplication
Multiplication
Multiplication
Multiplication
Multiplication
Multiplication
Multiplication rule
rule
rule
rule
rule
rule
rule of
rule
ofof
of
ofof
ofprobability
of probability
probability
probability
probability
probability
probability
probability P (P
(P(P
PPPP (((A(A
AP
A A
(A B
(AAABBBB )B)B)))))) PPPP
B)B P
((PP
P A((A
(P A
(A((A()A
)A )))))) PPPP
)AA P (P(P
P(P (((B(B
BB B
(B )B)))ifif
)()BB )ififif
))ifAifA
Aif
AAA
A and
Aand
and
and
A and
Aand
and
and B
BBBB
and B independent
Bindependent
independent
Bindependent
independent
Bindependent
independent
independent
Addition
Addition
Addition
Addition
Addition
Addition
Addition
Addition rule
rule
rule
rule of
rule
rule
rule
rule ofof
of
ofofprobability
of
of probability
probability
probability
probability
probability
probability
probability P (P
(P(P
PPPP ((A(A
AP
A A
(A ))B)BB))))) PPPP
B
(AAABBBB
B P
((PP
P ((A(A
PA
(A A)()A)AA))))) PPPP
(A P
P(PP
(P ((B(B
(BB B
(B )B))))) PPPP
)()BB P (P
P(P(P((A(A
AA A
(A ))B)BB)))))
B
(AAABBBB
B
Price
Price
Price
Price
Price
Price
Price
Price Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
Quantity
ppp1p1pp1qp1pq11pq01q10qq10q0q00q000 ppp0p0pp0qp0pq00pq10q01qq01q1q11q111
Laspeyres
Laspeyres
Laspeyres
Laspeyres
Laspeyres
Laspeyres
Laspeyres
Laspeyres index
index
index
index
index
index
index
index 100
100
100100
100
100
100
100 100
100
100100
100100
100
100
ppp00pp0qp0pq000pq000qq00q0q000q000 ppp00pp0qp0pq000pq000qq00q0q000q000
ppp11pp1qp1pq111pq1111qq11q1q111q111 ppp11pp1qp1pq111pq1111qq11q1q111q111
Paasche
Paasche
Paasche
Paasche
Paasche
Paasche index
index
index
index
index
Paasche
Paasche index
index
index 100
100
100100
100
100
100
100
100 100
100
100100
100
100
100
100
100
ppp0p0pp0qp0pq000pq01q0q1q01qq111q1111 ppp1p1pp1qp1pq111pq01q10qq10q0q000q000
WI
WI
WIWI
WI
WI
WI
WI
WI
Weighted
Weighted
Weighted
Weighted
Weighted
Weighted
Weighted
Weighted index
index
indexindex
index
index
index
index
W
WW
W
WW
WW
nnnnnnnnnxxxyxxyxyxxyyyxyyy xxxxxxxxx yyyyyyyyy

Product
Product
Product
Product
Product moment
Product
Product moment
moment
moment
moment
moment
Product
Product moment correlation
correlation
correlation
correlation
correlation
correlation
moment
moment correlation
correlation
correlation coefficient
coefficient
coefficient
coefficientrrrrrrrr
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient 2 22 22 ∑∑
∑ ∑ x∑
2
nnnnnnnnxnxx2xxx2xx2x2∑ ∑∑ xx∑ xxx22x2x2222 22n2n nnnnyny2yy2y2y2222y222 yy yyy22y2y2222 222
x nny y y y
66∑∑ 6
6
∑ 6 ∑∑ ∑ ∑
22d
22 22
6d∑ 6 2 2d
6 6 d
rrsrsrrsrsrsrsrsss 111111111 n nn(nnn((n(22nn(n2(2n222n2122 )1111)))1))
22
d dd d d
Spearman’s
Spearman’s
Spearman’s
Spearman’s
Spearman’s rank
Spearman’s
Spearman’s rank
rank
rank
rank
rank
rank
Spearman’s
Spearman’s rank
rank correlation
correlation
correlation
correlation
correlation
correlation
correlation
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient
coefficient nn( (nnn( n 11) )1 )
Least
Least
Least
Least
Least
Least
Least
Least
Least squares
squares
squares
squares
squares
squares
squares
squares
squares regression
regression
regression
regression
regression
regression
regression
regression
regression line
line lineyyyyyyyyy aaaaaaaa bx
line
line
line
line
line
line bx
bxbx
bx
bxbx
bx
bbbbxxxxxxxx
yyyyyyyybbbb
aaaaaaaa n
nnnnnnn nnnnnnnn
nnnnnnnnnxxxyxxxyyxxyyxyyyy xxxxxxxxx yyyyyyyyy
bbbbbbbbb
nnnnnnnnnxxxxx2x2x2xx2222 xxxxxxx2x2x22222
2
22 22 2
222
*P51682A0224*
2222
*P51682A0224*
*S63930A0227*
2222
*P51682A0224*
*P51682A0224*
Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics
One sample z test
x µ p
Mean z Proportion
1
n
Two sample z test
x1 x2
Mean z Proportion
s 21 s 22
n1 n2
n 1 p1 n 2 p2
where p n1 n2
One sample t test
x µ 2
t s where s n 1
n
Independent samples t test
2 2
where s
1 1 2
2
2
Chi squared test
2
Test for 2
1
3
*S63930A0327*
*P51682A0324*
Turn over
Table 1: Normal distribution
A is the area to the left of the given value of z A
O z
z A z A z A z A z A
0.00 0.5000 0.50 0.6915 1.00 0.8413 1.50 0.9332 2.00 0.9772
0.01 0.5040 0.51 0.6950 1.01 0.8438 1.51 0.9345 2.02 0.9783
0.02 0.5080 0.52 0.6985 1.02 0.8461 1.52 0.9357 2.04 0.9793
0.03 0.5120 0.53 0.7019 1.03 0.8485 1.53 0.9370 2.06 0.9803
0.04 0.5160 0.54 0.7054 1.04 0.8508 1.54 0.9382 2.08 0.9812
0.05 0.5199 0.55 0.7088 1.05 0.8531 1.55 0.9394 2.10 0.9821
0.06 0.5239 0.56 0.7123 1.06 0.8554 1.56 0.9406 2.12 0.9830
0.07 0.5279 0.57 0.7157 1.07 0.8577 1.57 0.9418 2.14 0.9838
0.08 0.5319 0.58 0.7190 1.08 0.8599 1.58 0.9429 2.16 0.9846
0.09 0.5359 0.59 0.7224 1.09 0.8621 1.59 0.9441 2.18 0.9854
0.10 0.5398 0.60 0.7257 1.10 0.8643 1.60 0.9452 2.20 0.9861
0.11 0.5438 0.61 0.7291 1.11 0.8665 1.61 0.9463 2.22 0.9868
0.12 0.5478 0.62 0.7324 1.12 0.8686 1.62 0.9474 2.24 0.9875
0.13 0.5517 0.63 0.7357 1.13 0.8708 1.63 0.9484 2.26 0.9881
0.14 0.5557 0.64 0.7389 1.14 0.8729 1.64 0.9495 2.28 0.9887
0.15 0.5596 0.65 0.7422 1.15 0.8749 1.65 0.9505 2.30 0.9893
0.16 0.5636 0.66 0.7454 1.16 0.8770 1.66 0.9515 2.32 0.9898
0.17 0.5675 0.67 0.7486 1.17 0.8790 1.67 0.9525 2.34 0.9904
0.18 0.5714 0.68 0.7517 1.18 0.8810 1.68 0.9535 2.36 0.9909
0.19 0.5753 0.69 0.7549 1.19 0.8830 1.69 0.9545 2.38 0.9913
0.20 0.5793 0.70 0.7580 1.20 0.8849 1.70 0.9554 2.40 0.9918
0.21 0.5832 0.71 0.7611 1.21 0.8869 1.71 0.9564 2.42 0.9922
0.22 0.5871 0.72 0.7642 1.22 0.8888 1.72 0.9573 2.44 0.9927
0.23 0.5910 0.73 0.7673 1.23 0.8907 1.73 0.9582 2.46 0.9931
0.24 0.5948 0.74 0.7704 1.24 0.8925 1.74 0.9591 2.48 0.9934
0.25 0.5987 0.75 0.7734 1.25 0.8944 1.75 0.9599 2.50 0.9938
0.26 0.6026 0.76 0.7764 1.26 0.8962 1.76 0.9608 2.55 0.9946
0.27 0.6064 0.77 0.7794 1.27 0.8980 1.77 0.9616 2.60 0.9953
0.28 0.6103 0.78 0.7823 1.28 0.8997 1.78 0.9625 2.65 0.9960
0.29 0.6141 0.79 0.7852 1.29 0.9015 1.79 0.9633 2.70 0.9965
0.30 0.6179 0.80 0.7881 1.30 0.9032 1.80 0.9641 2.75 0.9970
0.31 0.6217 0.81 0.7910 1.31 0.9049 1.81 0.9649 2.80 0.9974
0.32 0.6255 0.82 0.7939 1.32 0.9066 1.82 0.9656 2.85 0.9978
0.33 0.6293 0.83 0.7967 1.33 0.9082 1.83 0.9664 2.90 0.9981
0.34 0.6331 0.84 0.7995 1.34 0.9099 1.84 0.9671 2.95 0.9984
0.35 0.6368 0.85 0.8023 1.35 0.9115 1.85 0.9678 3.00 0.9987
0.36 0.6406 0.86 0.8051 1.36 0.9131 1.86 0.9686 3.05 0.9989
0.37 0.6443 0.87 0.8078 1.37 0.9147 1.87 0.9693 3.10 0.9990
0.38 0.6480 0.88 0.8106 1.38 0.9162 1.88 0.9699 3.15 0.9992
0.39 0.6517 0.89 0.8133 1.39 0.9177 1.89 0.9706 3.20 0.9993
0.40 0.6554 0.90 0.8159 1.40 0.9192 1.90 0.9713 3.25 0.9994
0.41 0.6591 0.91 0.8186 1.41 0.9207 1.91 0.9719 3.30 0.9995
0.42 0.6628 0.92 0.8212 1.42 0.9222 1.92 0.9726 3.35 0.9996
0.43 0.6664 0.93 0.8238 1.43 0.9236 1.93 0.9732 3.40 0.9997
0.44 0.6700 0.94 0.8264 1.44 0.9251 1.94 0.9738 3.50 0.9998
0.45 0.6736 0.95 0.8289 1.45 0.9265 1.95 0.9744 3.60 0.9998
0.46 0.6772 0.96 0.8315 1.46 0.9279 1.96 0.9750 3.70 0.9999
0.47 0.6808 0.97 0.8340 1.47 0.9292 1.97 0.9756 3.80 0.9999
0.48 0.6844 0.98 0.8365 1.48 0.9306 1.98 0.9761 3.90 1.0000
0.49 0.6879 0.99 0.8389 1.49 0.9319 1.99 0.9767 4.00 1.0000
0.50 0.6915 1.00 0.8413 1.50 0.9332 2.00 0.9772
4
*S63930A0427*
4 Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics
Table 2: t distribution
tA is the value of the t statistic with ν degrees of freedom with area A to the right of it
A
O tA
ν 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
t0.05 6.31 2.92 2.35 2.13 2.02 1.94 1.90 1.86
t0.025 12.71 4.30 3.18 2.78 2.57 2.45 2.37 2.31
t0.01 31.82 6.97 4.54 3.75 3.37 3.14 3.00 2.90
t0.005 63.66 9.93 5.84 4.60 4.03 3.71 3.50 3.36
ν 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
t0.05 1.83 1.81 1.80 1.78 1.77 1.76 1.75 1.75
t0.025 2.26 2.23 2.20 2.18 2.16 2.15 2.13 2.12
t0.01 2.82 2.76 2.72 2.68 2.65 2.62 2.60 2.58
t0.005 3.25 3.17 3.11 3.05 3.01 2.98 2.95 2.92
ν 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
t0.05 1.74 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.72 1.71 1.71
t0.025 2.11 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.08 2.07 2.06
t0.01 2.57 2.55 2.54 2.54 2.53 2.52 2.50 2.49
t0.005 2.90 2.88 2.86 2.86 2.85 2.83 2.81 2.80
Table 3: Chi squared distribution

χ²A is the value of the χ² statistic with ν degrees of freedom with area A to the right of it
A
O χ 2A
ν 1 2 3 4 5 6
χ 0.05
2
3.84 5.99 7.81 9.49 11.07 12.59
χ20.01 6.63 9.21 11.34 13.28 15.09 16.81
ν 7 8 9 10 11 12
χ 0.05
2
14.07 15.51 16.92 18.31 19.68 21.03
χ20.01 18.48 20.09 21.67 23.21 24.73 26.22
5
*S63930A0527*
Turn over
BLANK PAGE
6
*S63930A0627*
Answer ALL questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided.
1 Drake Foods sells chocolate biscuits in packets. The weight of biscuits in a packet
follows a normal distribution, with a mean of 301 grams and a standard deviation of
4 grams.
(a) Calculate the probability that the weight of biscuits in a packet selected at
random is less than 300 grams.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(b) Calculate the weight of biscuits that 95% of packets exceed.

(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
7
*S63930A0727*
Turn over
Drake Foods also sells chocolate biscuits in boxes. Each box contains 6 packets.
(c) Calculate the standard deviation of the weight of biscuits in a box.
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
In the years 2017 and 2018, random samples of customers of a supermarket were
selected to identify the proportion who had purchased Drake chocolate biscuits.
In 2017, out of 80 customers selected, 22 had purchased Drake chocolate biscuits.
In 2018, out of 100 customers selected, 23 had purchased Drake chocolate biscuits.
(d) Calculate the proportions of customers purchasing Drake chocolate biscuits for
(i) 2017 and 2018 separately
(1)
2017
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2018
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) 2017 and 2018 combined.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
8
*S63930A0827*
(e) (i) Test, at the 5% significance level, whether the proportion of customers
purchasing Drake chocolate biscuits has significantly changed between 2017
and 2018
State your hypotheses clearly.
(5)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State, what the test in (e) (i) shows.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(Total for Question 1 = 16 marks)
9
*S63930A0927*
Turn over
2 The table below lists five groups of a Retail Price Index, together with their weights
and price indices for 2018
Price index 2018

Group Weight Wxl
(based on 2005)
Food 160 126.8
Luxury goods 85 145.5
Housing 420 115.2
Personal goods 90 123.3
Travel and leisure 245 125.1
(a) State what the price index for housing shows relative to the other price indices.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(b) (i) Calculate the weighted price index for 2018 (based on 2005) for all groups
shown.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State the overall percentage increase in prices between 2005 and 2018
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
*S63930A01027*
(c) Explain the reason why the weighted price index for 2018 (based on 2005) for all
groups except ‘Luxury goods’ is lower than your answer in (b) (i).
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Nelson Technology is a company that makes equipment for laptops. The company
wants to investigate the relationship between its annual percentage wage increases,
y, and the nation’s retail price increases, x.
Annual data is collected over 14 years. Analysis of the data using an appropriate
software package gave a product moment correlation coefficient of 0.523
(d) Interpret the value of the product moment correlation coefficient in this context.
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
11
*S63930A01127*
Turn over
(e) (i) Test, at the 5% significance level, whether the product moment correlation
coefficient is significantly different from zero.
(5)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State what the test in (e) (i) shows.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
12
*S63930A01227*
(f ) Give two reasons why the following statement may not be true:
‘An increase in the Index of Retail Prices causes an increase in wages’.
(2)
Reason 1
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Reason 2
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
13
*S63930A01327*
Turn over
3 Welling Motors, a manufacturer of car engines, wants to investigate whether a new
engine reduces fuel consumption. For this investigation, 12 cars, were tested over a
given journey.
The amount of fuel used by the 12 cars was first measured with the old engine. The
same 12 cars were then measured with the new engine fitted. The new engines and
the old engines are all the same size.
(a) Give one reason why a paired comparison test should be used to analyse these
results rather than an independent sample t-test.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The differences in fuel consumption (fuel consumption with the old engine minus
fuel consumption with the new engine) were obtained for each of the 12 cars. These
results are summarised in the table below.
Differences in fuel consumption
Mean (ml) 7.4
Standard deviation (ml) 12.5
(b) (i) Test, at the 5% significance level, whether fitting the new engine significantly
reduces mean fuel consumption.
(5)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
14
*S63930A01427*
(ii) State what your test in (b) (i) shows.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(c) (i) Define both a Type I error and a Type II error.

(2)
Type I error
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Type II error
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) Give a reason why a Type I error might have occurred when carrying out the
test in (b) (i).
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
15
*S63930A01527*
Turn over
A random sample of cars displayed in car salesrooms showed that 24 out of 80
inspected were already fitted with the new engine.
(d) Calculate a 99% confidence interval estimate for the proportion of all cars
displayed in car salesrooms fitted with the new engine.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Welling Motors wants an estimate for the proportion of all cars displayed in car
salesrooms fitted with the new engine to be within 3%.
(e) Using the sample information, estimate the minimum sample size required to
achieve this level of accuracy with 95% confidence.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
16
*S63930A01627*
4 Columbus Newsagents opens from Wednesday to Sunday each week. It adds a
new magazine aimed at young people to its range of publications. Sales of the new
magazine over the first three weeks are given in the table below.
Sales Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
Week 1 90 75 120 150 130
Week 2 110 100 125 175 150
Week 3 125 110 140 200 170
(a) Complete the table below by calculating values of a suitable moving average for
the information in the table above.
(3)
Week Day Sales Add in 5s Moving average
Wednesday 90
Thursday 75
1 Friday 120 565 113
Saturday 150 585 117
Sunday 130 610 122
Wednesday 110 615 123
Thursday 100 640 128
2 Friday 125 660 132
Saturday 175 675 135
Sunday 150 685 137
Wednesday 125 700 140
Thursday 110 ...............................
3 Friday 140 ...............................
Saturday 200
Sunday 170
17
*S63930A01727*
Turn over
(b) Give one reason why moving averages are used to analyse time-series data.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The daily factors for each of the five days, assuming a multiplicative model, are given
in the table below.
Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
0.89 0.77 0.98 1.28 1.08
(c) Using the table of daily factors, state which of the five days tends to have the
lowest sales.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The equation of the least squares regression line for the moving average sales on
time is
y = 103 + 3.46x
where y represents the moving average sales and x represents time, increasing by
1 each day that the newsagents is open, and starting at x = 1 for Wednesday of Week 1
(d) (i) Calculate an estimate of sales of the new magazine for Sunday of Week 5
(4)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
18
*S63930A01827*
(ii) Give one reason why the estimate found in (d) (i) may not be reliable.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The owner of Columbus Newsagents wants to carry out a survey to find out what
young students think about the new magazine. Approximately 25% are school
students, 40% are college students, and the remainder are university students.
It is decided to take a quota sample of 60 young students.
(e) (i) Describe how a quota sample can be carried out.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) Give one disadvantage of using quota sampling.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(iii) Give two advantages for Columbus Newsagents of taking a quota sample
rather than a simple random sample.
(2)
Advantage 1:
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Advantage 2:
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
19
*S63930A01927*
Turn over
5 Asia Building Suppliers (ABS) sells bags of sand to the building industry. Management
at ABS find out that the average earnings for the building sector is $440 per week,
and decide that this is not significantly different from the average earnings of their
own employees.
The company’s employees do not agree with management and carry out a survey
based on a random sample of 50 ABS employees. Analysis of the results from this
survey gives average earnings of $435 per week with a standard deviation of $17.80
(a) (i) Test, at the 5% significance level, whether the sample mean is significantly
different from the average earnings for all employees in the building sector.
(5)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) State what the test in (a) (i) shows.

(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
20
*S63930A02027*
The Human Resources (HR) department suggest that the test should be carried out
at the 1% significance level and should investigate whether the sample mean is
significantly lower than the average earnings for all employees in the building sector.
(b) Explain what effect, if any, this will have on your conclusions reached in (a) (ii).
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
The HR manager at ABS decides to ask a subset of the 50 employees about the
company pay-scheme. The 50 employees are listed in alphabetical order and
numbered from 01 to 50
(c) Select a simple random sample of 10 employees from the 50 that were initially
chosen.
Use the following extract from a table of random numbers. Start from the left and
read along the row from left to right.
(3)
18224 38521 95824 85722 39044 59886 21643 81542
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
21
*S63930A02127*
Turn over
In the company, about half the employees are male and half are female. In the sample
selected there are eight males and two females.
(d) Give one reason why this simple random sample does not guarantee a more
representative sample of males and females.
(1)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
To monitor the weight of sand filled into each 5-kilogram (kg) bag, the company
takes a sample of size 8 regularly to check the weight of the bags.
The weight of each bag is set to be normally distributed with a mean of 5.1 kg and
standard deviation of 0.05 kg.
(e) Calculate upper and lower warning (95%) and action (99.8%) limits for the mean
weight for samples of size 8
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
22
*S63930A02227*
Samples, each of size 8, are taken over a 7-hour period with the mean weights, in kg,
recorded below.
Hour 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Sample mean weight, kg 5.086 5.093 5.097 5.103 5.126 5.133 5.161
(f ) Give the two reasons why the manufacturing process should be stopped.
(2)
1 . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
2 . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........................................................................................................................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
23
*S63930A02327*
Turn over
6 Hannibal Supermarkets receive fruit from three main suppliers (Exton, Ford and Wye).
They record the number of deliveries that are of poor quality and of good quality.
The observed frequencies are given in the table below.
Poor quality Good quality

Supplier
deliveries deliveries
Exton 30 70
Ford 12 70
Wye 8 40
A test is to be carried out to identify whether the data provides evidence of an

association between supplier and the quality of a delivery. The table below shows
some of the contributions to a chi-squared (c2) test statistic.
Poor quality Good quality

Supplier
deliveries deliveries
Exton 3.14 0.87
Ford 1.90 ...............................
Wye 0.57 0.16
(a) Calculate the missing contribution to a chi-squared (c2) test statistic.

(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
24
*S63930A02427*
(b) (i) Carry out a chi-squared (c2) test, at the 5% significance level, to determine
whether there is an association between the supplier and the quality of the
delivery.
(4)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) Interpret what the chi-squared (c2) test shows about the quality of deliveries
for the three suppliers.
(2)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
25
*S63930A02527*
Turn over
The Quality Assurance Manager at Hannibal Supermarkets claims that the company
should not deal with companies in which the percentage of poor quality deliveries is
greater than 20%.
(c) Explain which of the suppliers Hannibal Supermarkets should not use.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
26
*S63930A02627*
Hannibal Supermarkets needs their orders to be delivered within 24 hours. They
recorded the time (in hours) for a random sample of 50 deliveries.
The sample mean delivery time was 25.8 hours, and the sample standard deviation
was 6.2 hours.
(d) (i) Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the population mean delivery time.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
(ii) Using the confidence interval in (d) (i), explain whether a z-test, at the 5%
significance level, would support the hypothesis that the population mean
delivery time is 24 hours.
(3)
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .................................... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............................................................................................................................................ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
TOTAL FOR PAPER = 100 MARKS
27
*S63930A02727*
Mark Scheme
Sample Assessment
Pearson LCCI
Business Statistics Level 3 (ASE20109)

General Marking Guidance
• All candidates must receive the same treatment. Examiners must mark the first
candidate in exactly the same way as they mark the last.
• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be rewarded for what
they have shown they can do rather than penalised for omissions.
• Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not according to their
perception of where the grade boundaries may lie.
• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark scheme should be used
appropriately.
• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded. Examiners should
always award full marks if deserved, i.e. if the answer matches the mark scheme.
Examiners should also be prepared to award zero marks if the candidate’s
response is not worthy of credit according to the mark scheme.
• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the principles by
which marks will be awarded and exemplification may be limited.
• When examiners are in doubt regarding the application of the mark scheme to a
candidate’s response, the team leader must be consulted.
• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced it with an
alternative response.
• For calculation questions full marks can be awarded where correct answer is seen
with no workings shown.
• For calculation questions where own figure rule is permitted, marks for accuracy
should only be awarded where appropriate method is shown.
Types of mark
o M marks: method marks

o A marks: accuracy marks dependent on method marks
o B marks: accuracy marks independent of method
Abbreviations
o cao – correct answer only
o ft – follow through
o awrt – anything which rounds to
o oe – or equivalent
No working
If no working is shown then correct answers normally score full marks.
If no working is shown then incorrect (even though nearly correct) answers score no marks.
With working
If there is a wrong answer indicated on the answer line, always check the working in the body
of the script (and on any diagrams), and award any marks appropriate from the mark
scheme.
Any case of suspected misread loses A marks on that part, but can gain the M marks.
If there is a choice of methods shown, then no marks should be awarded, unless the answer
on the answer line makes clear the method that has been used.
If there is no answer on the answer line, then check the working for an obvious answer.
Follow through (Own figure) marks

Follow through marks which involve a single-stage calculation can be awarded without
working since you can check the answer yourself, but if ambiguous do not award.
Follow through marks which involve more than one stage of calculation can only be awarded
on sight of the relevant working, even if it appears obvious that there is only one way you
could get the answer given.
Ignoring subsequent work

It is appropriate to ignore subsequent work when the additional work does not change the
answer in a way that is inappropriate for the question, e.g. incorrect cancelling of a fraction
that would otherwise be correct.
It is not appropriate to ignore subsequent work when the additional work essentially makes
the answer incorrect, e.g. algebra.

Transcription errors occur when candidates present a correct answer in working, and write it
incorrectly on the answer line; mark the correct answer.
Probability
Probability answers must be given as fractions, percentages or decimals. If a candidate
gives a decimal equivalent to a probability, this should be written to at least 2 decimal
places (unless tenths).
Incorrect notation should lose the accuracy marks, but be awarded any implied method
marks.
If a probability answer is given on the answer line using both incorrect and correct
notation, award the marks.
If a probability fraction is given then cancelled incorrectly, ignore the incorrectly

cancelled answer.
Linear equations
Full marks can be gained if the solution alone is given on the answer line, or otherwise
unambiguously indicated in working (without contradiction elsewhere). Where the
correct solution only is shown substituted, but not identified as the solution, the accuracy
mark is lost but any method marks can be awarded.
Parts of questions
Unless allowed by the mark scheme, the marks allocated to one part of the question CANNOT
be awarded in another.

Sample Assessment Material
Certificate in Business Statistics Level 3 – Mark Scheme
Question Answer (A02) 3 Mark

Number
1 (a) Award marks as indicated
M1 for evidence of
Prob(X <300) = Prob(Z<{(300 – 301)/4} standardising
= Prob(Z< – 0.25) A1 for -0.25
= 1 – 0.5987 = 0.401 A1 for awrt 0.401
(3 marks)

number
1 (b) Award marks as indicated
Z = 1.645 (or 1.64 or 1.65) B1 use of 1.64 oe

Required weight = 301 – 1.645 × 4 M1
= 294.4g (awrt 294g) A1
(3 marks)

number
1 (c) Award marks as indicated
M1 (or variance = 6 x 42
Standard deviation of a box = 4 × √6 = 96)
= 9.8g A1
(2 marks)

number
1 (d) (i) Award marks as indicated
For 2017 p1 = 22/80 oe B1 (for both)

For 2018 p2 = 23/100 oe
(1 mark)

number

1 (d) (ii) Award marks as indicated
For the years combined

p = (22 + 23)/(80 + 100) = 45/180 oe B1
(1 mark)
Question Answer (A02) 3 (A03) 2 Mark

number
1 (e) (i) Award marks as indicated
Null hypothesis/H0: There is no significant change in the

proportion of customers purchasing Drake chocolate B1
biscuits. (Allow 𝜋𝜋𝜋𝜋1 = 𝜋𝜋𝜋𝜋2)
Alternative hypothesis/H1: There is a significant change in
the proportion of customers purchasing Drake chocolate
biscuits. (Allow 𝜋𝜋𝜋𝜋1 ≠ 𝜋𝜋𝜋𝜋2)
critical z = 1.96 B1
p1 − p2
z=
1 1
p(1 − p)  + 
 n 1 n2 
0.275 − 0.23
�{0.25 × 0.75}�1�80 + 1�100� M1
= 0.693
A1
Accept the null hypothesis (at the 5% significance level).
B1ft from z
value
(5 marks)

number
1 (e) (ii) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a
maximum of 1 mark
There is no evidence to suggest that there has been a B1ft (must be in

significant change in the proportion of customers context and ft
purchasing Drake chocolate biscuits between 2017 from
and 2018. Accept/Reject)
(1 mark)
Total for Question 1 = 16 marks

number
2 (a) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a maximum
of 1 mark
(Housing has the lowest price index out of the five groups
indicating that) price of housing has risen less (over the B1
period 2005 to 2018) than products in other groups.
(1 mark)

number
2 (b) (i) Award marks as indicated
Group Weight Price index 2018 Wxl

(based on 2005)
Food 160 126.8 20 288.0
Luxury goods 85 145.5 12 367.5
Housing 420 115.2 48 384.0
Personal goods 90 123.3 11 097.0
Travel & leisure 245 125.1 30 649.5 B1 ∑W = 1000
M1 for ∑WI
Total 1000 122 876
A1 for awrt
122.8
Index = 122786/1000 = 122.8
(3 marks)

number
2 (b) (ii) Award marks as indicated
Percentage price increase = 22.8% B1ft from 122.8

(1 mark)

number
2 (c) Award 1 mark for the identification of the reason (1)
with a linked justification (1), up to a maximum of 2 B1 B1
marks.
Luxury goods expenditure has the highest price index/all (2 marks)

other groups are lower (1), so the weighted average of the
other groups will therefore be lower (1).

number
2 (d) Award 1 mark for the interpretation (1) with a linked
justification (1), up to a maximum of 2 marks.
• There is moderate/weak positive correlation (1) between

annual percentage wage increases and the increase in
retail prices (1) B1 B1 must be
• There is a moderate/weak tendency (1) for wages to in context
increase when retail prices increase (1).
(2 marks)

number
2 (e)(i) Award marks as indicated
Null hypothesis/H0: No significant correlation between wage

increases and retail price increases. (Allow 𝜌𝜌𝜌𝜌 =0) B1
Alternative hypothesis/H1: There is significant correlation
between wage increases and retail price increases. (Allow 𝜌𝜌𝜌𝜌 ≠ 0)
(Degrees of freedom (n - 2) =12)

critical t = 2.18 (5% test) B1 for 2.18
Calculated t = r√(n-2)
√(1-r² )
= (0.523)(√12) M1
√(1 - 0.2735)
t = 2.13 (Accept 2.12-2.14) A1
Accept the null hypothesis (at the 5% significance level). B1ft from t
value
(5 marks)

number
2 (e)(ii) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a
maximum of 1 mark B1ft (must be in
context and ft from
There is little evidence of a significant correlation Accept/Reject)
between wage increases and retail price increases.
(1 mark)

number
2 (f) Award 1 mark for the reason (1) with a linked
justification (1), up to a maximum of 2 marks. B1 B1
Award one mark for each correct reason, up to a

maximum of two marks.
• Correlation does not imply causation/some other factor

might influence both variables (1)
• The test (in 2(e)(i)) does not show significant
correlation (1)
(2 marks)

number
3 (a) Award 1 mark for a correct reason up to a maximum
of 1. B1
• data is naturally paired (1)

• using the same cars (1).
Accept any other appropriate responses (1 mark)

number
3 (b) (i) Award marks as indicated
H0: The new engine does not reduce fuel consumption

(Allow µd = 0) B1
H1: The new engine does reduce fuel consumption (Allow µd >
0)
(Degrees of freedom is n-1=11) B1

Critical value = 1.80
M1
Test statistic t = (7.4-0)/(12.5/√12) (allow use of n – 1) A1
= 2.05 (allow 1.96 if n – 1 is used)
B1ft from z
Reject the null hypothesis (at the 5% significance level). value
(5 marks)

number
3 (b) (ii) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a
context and ft
There is (significant) evidence that the new engine does from
reduce fuel consumption. Accept/Reject)
(1 mark)

number
3 (c) (i) Award 1 mark for correct response to each error type
up to a maximum of 2 mark
A Type I error is an error of rejecting the null hypothesis B1

when it is actually true. (1)
A Type II error is an error of accepting the null B1

hypothesis when it is actually false (1)
(2 marks)

number
3 (c) (ii) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a maximum
of 1 mark
In (b) (i) the null hypothesis was rejected (1) (so only a B1ft
Type I error could occur)
(1 mark)

number
3 (d) Award marks as indicated
p = 0.3 B1 use of 0.3

99% confidence interval is
0.3 ± 2.58 √{0.3 × 0.7/80} (allow 2.6, 2.575) M1
= (0.168, 0.432) (allow 0.166-0.169 and 0.431-0.434) A1
(3 marks)

number
3 (e) Award marks as indicated
1.96 √{0.3 × 0.7/n} < 0.03 M1 forming a correct

inequality
n > {1.96/0.03}2 × {0.3 × 0.7} M1 making n the subject
n > 896.4 so n = 897 (allow 896) A1

(3 marks)

number
Week Day Sales Add in 5s Moving Average Moving

averages
Wednesday 125 700 140 M1
Thursday 110 725 145 A1 (one correct)
A1 (both correct)
3 Friday 140 745 149
Saturday 200
Sunday 170
(3 marks)
Question Answer (AO1) 1 Mark

number
4 (b)
Award 1 mark for each correct reason up to a B1
maximum of 1 mark.
• They help to remove any seasonal influence (1)

• They help to remove any daily variations (1)
• They show the general trend of the data (1).
• They can be used to smooth erratic data (1).

number
4 (c) Award 1 mark for correct response
Thursday B1
(1 mark)

number
4(d) (i) Award marks as indicated
Sunday week 5 is x = 25
Forecasted trend y = 103 + 3.46 × 25 M1 (for 103 + 3.46×25)
= 189.5 A1
Actual forecast = 189.5 × 1.08 M1 (× 1.08)
= 204.7 (accept 204 to 205) A1
(4 marks)

number
4(d) (ii) Award 1 mark for each correct reason up to a
maximum of 1 mark. B1
• we are predicting into the future

• extrapolation
• economic conditions might change
• sales pattern might change.

number
4 (e)(i)
Sample 15 school students, 24 college students (1) B1
and 21 university students (1), B1
at convenience (1). B1
Accept any other appropriate responses (3 marks)

number
4 (e)(ii) Award 1 mark for each disadvantage, up to a
maximum of 1 mark. B1
• lack of randomisation may result in a biased sample (1)

• it is untypical of the population as a whole (1)
• it prevents further statistical analysis (1).
(1 mark)

number
4 (e)(iii) Award 1 mark for each advantage, up to a
maximum of 2 marks. B1 B1
• no sample frame is needed (1)

• it is unlikely the store would have a sample frame of
its customers (1)
• it would reduce costs/time (1)
• the process of randomisation is not required (1).
Accept any other appropriate responses

(2 marks)

number
5(a)(i) Award marks as indicated
H0: The mean earnings of ABS is $440 (Allow 𝜇𝜇𝜇𝜇=440)

H1: The mean earnings of ABS is not $440 (Allow 𝜇𝜇𝜇𝜇 ≠440) B1
Critical values = ± 1.96 B1
x−µ
T= = (435 – 440)/(17.8/√50) M1
s/ n
= 1.99 (Allow 1.98 to 2.00) A1
Reject H0 B1ft from T value

(5 marks)

number
5(a)(ii) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a
context and ft from
The average earnings at ABS is (significantly) different Accept/Reject)
to the average earnings of all employees in the
building sector. (1 mark)

number
5(b) Award 1 mark for the effect (1) with a linked

justification (1), up to a maximum of 2 marks. B1 B1ft ft from
T value
The critical value is (now) 2.33 (1), so the average earnings
at ABS is not (significantly) lower (than that of the building
sector) (1).
(2 marks)

number
5(c) Award marks as indicated
At least eight consecutive 2-digit numbers from the data B1

provided between 01 and 50
10 different consecutive 2-digit numbers from the data B1
provided between 01 and 50
18 22 43 21 48 39 04 45 38 15 B1
(3 marks)

number
5(d) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a maximum of 1
mark
• a random sample can generate any 10 customers (out of B1

the 50) (1)
• there is no control over which gender is chosen (1)
• the subset may not represent the population/company (1)
(1 mark)

number
5(e) Award marks as indicated
Warning limits = 5.1 ± 1.96 × 0.05/√8 M1

= (5.065, 5.135) (allow 5.06, 5.14) A1
Action limits = 5.1 ± 3.10 × 0.05/√8
= (5.045, 5.155) (allow 5.04, 5.16) A1
(Use of 2 and 3 instead of
1.96, 3.10 gets 2 marks)
(3 marks)

number
5(f) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a maximum of
2 mark
Sample 7 is outside the (upper) action limit (1) B1

All seven values are increasing (1) B1
(2 marks)

number
Expected value - (180x82)/230 = 64.17 M1

Contribution - (70-64.17)2/64.17 M1
= 0.53 A1 (awrt 0.53)
(3 marks)

number
6 (b)(i) Award marks as indicated
Null hypothesis/H0: There is no association between the

supplier and the quality of the delivery.
Alternative hypothesis/H1: There is an association B1
between the supplier and the quality of the delivery.
Degrees of freedom (r-1)(c -1) = (3-1)(2-1) = 2
Critical chi-squared (χ2) 5.99 B1
(χ2)calc = 7.17 B1
Reject the Null hypothesis at the 5% level B1ft from (χ2)calc

(4 marks)

number
6 (b)(ii) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a
context and ft from
There is a (significant) association between the supplier Accept/Reject)
and the quality of the delivery (1). Therefore there is
(significant) evidence that the quality of deliveries differs B1ft from b(iii)
between the three suppliers (1).
(2 marks)

number
6 (c) Award marks as indicated
Percentage of poor deliveries:

Exton 30%
Ford 14.6% M1
Wye 16.7% A1
The percentage of poor quality deliveries from Exton (is

unacceptable because it) is greater than 20%. (oe) B1(ft)
(Ford and Wye do satisfy the requirement)

(3 marks)

number
6 (d)(i) Award marks as indicated
Standard error = 6.2/√50 = 0.8768 M1
95% confidence interval 25.8 ± 1.96 × 0.8768 M1

(24.08, 27.52) A1
(3 marks)

number
6 (d)(ii) Award 1 mark for correct response up to a maximum
of 2 mark
The value of 24 lies outside the 95% confidence interval. B1ft from conf
interval
We would reject the null hypothesis at the 5% significance B1ft from conf
level. interval
There is evidence that the mean delivery time is B1

(significantly) higher than (or different to) 24 hours.
(3 marks)

July 2019
For information about Pearson Qualifications, including Pearson Edexcel,

BTEC and LCCI qualifications visit qualifications.pearson.com
Edexcel and BTEC are registered trademarks of Pearson Education Limited
Pearson Education Limited. Registered in England and Wales No. 872828

Registered Office: 80 Strand, London WC2R 0RL.
VAT Reg No GB 278 537121

Lcci l3 Certificate in Business Statistics Sam

Uploaded by

Document Information

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Lcci l3 Certificate in Business Statistics Sam

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

L3

SAMPLE ASSESSMENT MATERIALS

For further information, please visit our qualifications website at qualifications.pearson.com.

LCCI Level 3 Cert in Business Statistics 1

Time: 3 hours Paper Reference ASE20109

Certificate in Business Statistics

Centre Code Candidate Number

Pearson LCCI Level 3 Certificate in Business Statistics 1

Mean for ungrouped data ∑∑∑

nnnnnnnnnxxxyxxyxyxxyyyxyyy xxxxxxxxx yyyyyyyyy

Two sample z test

One sample t test

Independent samples t test

t0.025 12.71 4.30 3.18 2.78 2.57 2.45 2.37 2.31

t0.01 31.82 6.97 4.54 3.75 3.37 3.14 3.00 2.90

t0.005 63.66 9.93 5.84 4.60 4.03 3.71 3.50 3.36

t0.025 2.26 2.23 2.20 2.18 2.16 2.15 2.13 2.12

t0.01 2.82 2.76 2.72 2.68 2.65 2.62 2.60 2.58

t0.005 3.25 3.17 3.11 3.05 3.01 2.98 2.95 2.92

t0.025 2.11 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.08 2.07 2.06

t0.01 2.57 2.55 2.54 2.54 2.53 2.52 2.50 2.49

t0.005 2.90 2.88 2.86 2.86 2.85 2.83 2.81 2.80

Table 3: Chi squared distribution

χ20.01 6.63 9.21 11.34 13.28 15.09 16.81

χ20.01 18.48 20.09 21.67 23.21 24.73 26.22

(b) Calculate the weight of biscuits that 95% of packets exceed.

(ii) 2017 and 2018 combined.

(ii) State, what the test in (e) (i) shows.

(Total for Question 1 = 16 marks)

Price index 2018

Food 160 126.8

Luxury goods 85 145.5

Housing 420 115.2

Personal goods 90 123.3

Travel and leisure 245 125.1

(ii) State what the test in (e) (i) shows.

(Total for Question 2 = 17 marks)

Differences in fuel consumption

Mean (ml) 7.4

Standard deviation (ml) 12.5

(c) (i) Define both a Type I error and a Type II error.

(Total for Question 3 = 16 marks)

Sales Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday

Week 1 90 75 120 150 130

Week 2 110 100 125 175 150

Week 3 125 110 140 200 170

Week Day Sales Add in 5s Moving average

1 Friday 120 565 113

Saturday 150 585 117

Sunday 130 610 122

Wednesday 110 615 123

Thursday 100 640 128

2 Friday 125 660 132

Saturday 175 675 135

Sunday 150 685 137

Wednesday 125 700 140

Thursday 110 ...............................

3 Friday 140 ...............................

Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday

0.89 0.77 0.98 1.28 1.08

(ii) Give one disadvantage of using quota sampling.

(Total for Question 4 = 16 marks)

(ii) State what the test in (a) (i) shows.

18224 38521 95824 85722 39044 59886 21643 81542