Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PLANTS
By:
N. RANGNATH
SCHOOL OF TECHNOLOGY
MARCH 2022
i
Examiners
Supervisors
Chairman
Date:
ii
I N. Rangnath hereby declare that this written submission represents my ideas in my own words
and where others’ idea or words have been included, I have adequately cited and referenced the
original sources. I also declare that I have adhered to all principles of academic honestly and
integrity and have not misrepresented or fabricated or falsified any idea / data / fact / source in my
submission. I understand that any violation of the above will be cause for disciplinary action by
the PANDIT DEENDAYAL ENERGY UNIVERSITY and can also evoke penal action from the
sources which have thus not been properly cited or from whim proper permission has not been
taken when needed.
N. RANGNATH
(MARCH 2022)
CERTIFICATE
Date: 25.03.2022
Associate Professor
4
I would like to acknowledge the kind assistance of the Questionnaire respondents, who agreed to
give up their time to contribute to the research of this project. Without their participation and input,
the questionnaire survey could not have been successfully conducted. I would like to thank all
concerned government and private authorities who are directly or indirectly involved in this
research work.
I would like to thank my friends many others like Dhaval, Yashdeep, Parth and Arpit to help in
completing this journey. I would also like to thank all my classmates for their support during my
tenure. Last but not the least, I would like to take the opportunity of thanking my parents for their
constant support and co-operation.
KWH Kilowatt-hours
LT Low voltage
MU Million Units
MW Megawatts
PV Photo-Voltaic panel
RE Renewable Energy
For any nation’s economy and the socio-political prevailing conditions, the infrastructure and its
growth play a significant role. Global population expansion in hand with the corresponding
industrial requirements adds to increase in pollution levels, which in-turn disrupts the balance
between human and nature. For the sustaining of such infrastructure and smooth functioning of it,
the risk assessment and management become a necessary peril to undergo to minimize accidents
and harmful effects on environment and obviously on the business/profit aspect of it. Even in the
developed countries, many major infrastructure projects eventually suffer due to poor risk
management or poor policies of allocation of funds for such management. Risk management as
such becomes an indispensable field that helps to identify, analyse, mitigate and control risks
associated with project for the parameters like cost, schedule, quality, health, safety and
environmental aspects. In the era of development and growing infrastructure, the challenges in
making, maintaining and managing the same also rises significantly. This makes the disaster/risk
management a very crucial area to study and improve upon as the success of these infrastructure
projects are greatly influenced by the effective management of such risk and challenges and
optimisation of the same.
Renewable energy sector projects like development and implementation of solar power plants are
crucial in the present era to suffice the target for generation of green and clean energy. Just like
any complex infrastructure projects, the solar power projects face risks and uncertainties
throughout its many phases. The risk assessment for projects remains a multi-variable problem as
a lot depends on human expertise. The present work identifies the risks involved in its various
phases and employs two methodologies of risk analysis while comparing between the two. It has
been observed that the TOPSIS approach produces more coherent interpretation than the AHP
approach. This is the first study where TOPSIS approach is employed for the case of risk
assessment of solar parks in India (Rajasthan, Karnataka and Gujarat) and then subsequently
compared with the AHP analysis of the same. It has been inferred that for niche and isolated
projects AHP is more suitable however for more general and multiple source data TOPSIS is the
superior approach. The risk assessment is broken down into 5 phases and it has been observed that
based on the risk indexing of those phases, the project authorities cannot afford to ignore any of
the phases. It is observed that TOPSIS approach has substantial advantages over the conventional
AHP process in terms that it can evaluate the data using fuzzy numbers from various decision
makers or sources. Furthermore, AHP is limited to the study of each solar park separately and
This study further highlights the crucial factors to be considered in terms of maintaining the Solar
panels by periodical cleaning for getting optimum power generation. Solar Photo-Voltaic (PV)
panel cleaning has been a major challenge in renewable energy sector to achieve maximum
efficiency for getting higher returns. Different cleaning systems have been designed to maintain
the efficiency and further studies have been carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness of
cleaning system. This is a discussion about how the crucial variables such as dust, humidity, wind,
dry lands affect the output of the solar PV panels and what kind of technologies (robotic cleaning)
are available in solar PV panel cleaning system to maximising the output by minimising the cost
and impact of the constraints on solar panels. Conventional method of cleaning by deploying
manual labour is not giving effective solutions, as the cost factor is of concern. Here is where the
advances and integration into Internet of Things (IoT) can be employed for cleaning of panels by
deploying robots or automatic technologies to improve the power generations during the plant’s
life span. Solar panels require periodic cleaning in order to have optimum power generation and
consistent efficiency. Most of the plants planned or implemented, lie in North Western parts of
India which are known for dust storms and hence receive frequent dust accumulation on the panels.
The present work reviews all the available options and concludes that robotic cleaning/automatic
cleaning is the effective way for maintenance of the Solar panel in Indian Sub-continent, for
getting optimum power and revenue generation. The economic cost involved with manual
cleaning and the corresponding comparisons with robotic ones shows the clear winner for the case
and the best option being to move with robotic cleaning systems that can be automated and well
controlled remotely using IoT.
Economic feasibility and sustainability are also presented through the evaluation of the life cycle
costing of such solar parks. Life Cycle Costing analysis is employed to evaluate the long-term
benefit of the huge investments in India’s ambitious plan of setting up nearly 100 GW installed
solar power capacity by Dec 2022. Life cycle costing is a methodology used in economic
calculation of all costs incurred during the life span of any project. For Renewable Energy systems,
this shows the cost-effectiveness of being used as an alternative source compared to conventional
power generations. The model is applied to the Photo Voltaic projects in Indian scenario where
all required data has been collected from reliable sources. The exponential increase/growth in
renewable energy (RE) market like solar and wind has led to need for an accurate and precise
10
Keywords: Risk Management, Solar PV, Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), Fuzzy
TOPSIS, Life Cycle Cost Analysis, Social Benefit Cost Analysis, PPP Model Development
11
STUDENT DECLARATION.......................................................................................... 3
CERTIFICATE ............................................................................................................... 4
ACKNOWLEDGMENT ................................................................................................. 5
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS.......................................................................................... 6
ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................... 9
1.5.1 Identification of the risk parameters involved in various phases of the solar project
in India. ..............................................................................................24
1.5.2 Evaluate the risk analysis using both AHP and TOPSIS methods and comparing
between the two the first of its kind in this niche. ................................24
1.5.3 Made the case for the importance of IoT in cleaning and maintenance along with the
cost involved and cost analysis over a period of time along with the corresponding
overheads. ..........................................................................................24
1.5.4 Life cycle costing analysis for various solar parks in India of varying capacities of
1MW to 10 MW and the projection of cash flow and sensitivity analysis. 24
1.5.5 The social benefit cost analysis has been carried out by considering the various
parameters related to Solar Power Plant. .............................................24
1.5.6 Framework for Model Concession Agreement (MCA) and PPP model for the solar
park development in India...................................................................24
12
4.0 A Case Study on Defective Design, Poor Execution and Project Management52
5.0 Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) And Modified Analytical Hierarchy Process
(MAHP) ...................................................................................................... 71
8.1 Necessity for Considering the Project Under Public Private Partnership..... 168
8.2 Salient features of Public Private Partnership (PPP) Model ........................ 168
15
16
Table 4.1 Details of Different Phases in Implementation of Solar Power Park .......................... 59
Table 4.2 Broad Risks Identified under Phase-1 ....................................................................... 59
Table 4.3 Broad Risks Identified under Phase-2 ....................................................................... 59
Table 4.4 Broad Risks Identified under Phase-3 ....................................................................... 60
Table 4.5 Broad Risks Identified under Phase-4 ....................................................................... 60
Table 4.6 Broad Risks Identified under Phase-5 ....................................................................... 61
Table 4.7 Risks Identified under Phase-1 .................................................................................. 61
Table 4.8 RisksIdentifiedunderPhase-2..................................................................................... 63
Table 4.9 RisksIdentifiedunderPhase-3..................................................................................... 65
Table 4.10 Risks Identified under Phase-4 ................................................................................ 67
Table 4.11 Risks Identified under Phase-5 ................................................................................ 70
Table 5.1 Saaty Scale for Risk Rating ...................................................................................... 72
Table 5.2 Risk Severity Scale ................................................................................................... 73
Table 5.3 Sample Computation of Normalised Weights for Risks under Phase-1 ...................... 74
Table 5.4 Sample Calculation of Weights for the Risks (For Row-3) ........................................ 77
Table 5.5 Computation of Normalize Weight for the Risks for all Phases of the Solar Power Plant
................................................................................................................................................ 79
Table 5.6 Summary of Risk Severity of Risk Factors of Solar Power Plant through EVM
Methodology ............................................................................................................................ 81
Table 5.7 Summary of Final Risk Index for Identified Risks of Solar Power Plants .................. 81
Table 5.8 Fuzzy ratings for linguistic variables......................................................................... 86
Table 5.9 Saaty scale for risk rating .......................................................................................... 87
Table 5.10 Scale for risk severity based on difference of FPIS and FNIS .................................. 89
Table 5.11 Scale for risk severity based on closeness coefficient (CC) ..................................... 89
Table 5.12 Alternative ratings by decision makers for phase-5 (operation and maintenance) .... 93
Table 5.13 Alternative ratings by decision makers for phase-5 (operation and maintenance) .... 93
Table 5.14 Criteria weightage by decision makers (1 and 2) for phase-5 (operation and
maintenance) ............................................................................................................................ 94
Table 5.15 Application of fuzzy numbers for alternative A1 for phase-5 (operation and
maintenance) ............................................................................................................................ 95
Table 5.16 Application of fuzzy numbers for alternative A2 for phase-5 (operation and
maintenance) ............................................................................................................................ 96
17
18
19
1.0 Introduction
For any nation’s economy and the socio-political prevailing conditions, the infrastructure and its
growth play a significant role. Global population expansion in hand with the corresponding
industrial requirements adds to an increase in pollution levels, which in turn disrupts the balance
between humans and nature. For the sustaining of such infrastructure and smooth functioning of
it, the risk assessment and management become a necessary peril to undergo to minimize accidents
including harmful effects on the environment and apparently on the business/profit aspect of it.
Infrastructures are a complex system of interconnected, interdependent, adaptive systems that are
directly or indirectly linked to the nation's or people's development. Even in the developed
countries, many major infrastructure projects eventually suffer due to poor risk management or
poor policies of allocation of funds for such management. This leads to a diminished project life
cycle which would prove to be a burden for the economy again in the years to come. Risk
management as such becomes an indispensable field that helps to identify, analyse, mitigate and
control risks associated with the project for the parameters like cost, schedule, quality, health,
safety and environmental aspects (Sarkar and Singh, 2018, 2020).
Complex multidisciplinary infrastructure projects suffer huge risks throughout all the phases of
the project starting from idea and feasibility, design, development, implementation and operation
(Sarkar and Dutta, 2011). If these risks are not addressed by the project authorities and mitigated
by adequate mitigation measures, then the project faces time and cost overrun and finally
collapses. Risk analysis thereby becomes a crucial activity to be carried out by the project
authorities before the feasibility phase of the project. Risk analysis helps to determine the risk
severity which helps in developing risk maps. Based on the risk maps which indicate low, medium,
high, very high and critical risk zones, the mitigation measures can be adopted. Sarkar and Dutta
(2011) carried out risk analysis of a large-scale infrastructure project, such as the construction of
an elevated corridor for metro rail operations through Expected Value Method (EVM) which was
also later implemented by Nicholas (2001). Sarkar and Singh (2020) extended their previous work
by carrying out risk analysis using (FAHP) Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process.
Solar power plant projects just like other infrastructure projects also face risks throughout all the
phases. It is necessary to carry out a detailed risk management for the solar power plant projects.
Risk identification, risk analysis and development of risk mitigation measures are the three basic
steps for carrying out the risk management process (Nicholas, 2001). Risk analysis can be carried
20
The complexity of nature and dynamics of the solar power plant prevents us in knowing at advance
how they would interact or behave in the event of any unforeseen or vulnerable scenarios. The
impact could be catastrophic or horrendous on a relatively large scale. Such issues are dealt with
the approach of risk management analysis with the defined markers or parameters of such systems.
The present study the complexity of nature and dynamics of the solar power plant prevents us in
knowing at advance how they would interact or behave in the event of any unforeseen or
vulnerable scenarios. The impact could be catastrophic or horrendous on a relatively large scale.
Such issues are dealt with the approach of risk management analysis with the defined markers or
parameters of such systems. The present study aims at identifying all the risks associated with all
the phases of the solar power plant starting from feasibility, design, development, implementation
and operation of the solar power plants in India. The risks are evaluated with appropriate risk
analysis tools for computation of their severity. According to the severity of the risks obtained
from the analysis, the corrective and preventive mitigation measures are suggested accordingly.
Furthermore, a suitable Public Private Partnership (PPP) Model has been proposed for the solar
power plants in India. An Internet of Things (IoT) based solar panel maintenance system has also
been proposed. The economic feasibility is assessed using Life cycle costing method. Moreover,
the social benefits are quantified by making comparisons to existing hydel power projects.
21
Objective 1: Identifying and researching the risks and uncertainties associated with different
phases of a solar power plant project.
Objective 2: To create a risk index for quality, environment, and safety of all major activities of
a solar power plant project for safe operation using the Modified Analytical Hierarchy Process
(MAHP).
Objective 3: To carry out risk analysis using Fuzzy TOPSIS method for all major activities of
solar power plant projects under study.
Objective 4: To carry out Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) and Social Benefit Cost Analysis
(SBCA) for finding out the socio-economic feasibility of the solar power plants under study.
Objective 5: To develop and recommend a suitable Public Private Partnership (PPP) Model and
also a suitable Internet of Things (IoT) based solar panel maintenance system for the solar power
plants in India.
22
The scope of this present research work will be restricted to solar power plants in India. Case
studies of the 1 MW solar park of Charanka village, Santalpur taluk, Patan district, Gujarat, 10
MW solar power plant of Andhra Pradesh, 15MW solar power plant of Tamil Nadu and 5MW
solar power plant of Barmer, Rajasthan will be considered. The risks and uncertainties in
development of integrated Solar Park Projects must be identified for all activities pertaining to
Health, Safety, Environment, Quality, Site selection, Investigation, Planning, approvals, design,
resources, finances of Solar Park project. Case study for Solar Park by using EVM to create a risk
index and risk ranking for all major activities / risk categories that have been identified.
1.4 Methodology
Renewable energy sector projects like the development and implementation of solar power plants
are crucial in the present era to suffice the target for the generation of green and clean energy. Just
like any complex infrastructure project, solar power projects face risks and uncertainties
throughout their many phases. The risk assessment for projects remains a multi-variable problem
as a lot depends on human expertise. The present work identifies the risks involved in its various
phases and employs two methodologies of risk analysis while comparing the two. It has been
observed that the TOPSIS approach produces a more coherent interpretation than the AHP
approach. This is the first study where TOPSIS approach is employed for the case of risk
assessment of solar park and then subsequently compared with the AHP analysis of the same. It
has been inferred that for niche and isolated projects AHP is more suitable however for more
general and multiple source data TOPSIS is the superior approach. The risk assessment is broken
down into 5 phases and it has been observed that based on the risk indexing of those phases, the
project authorities cannot afford to ignore any of the phases.
The methodology is primary data research, where the data pertaining to risks associated with the
different activities of the solar power plant has been collected from solar power plants at three
locations in India namely Rajasthan, Gujarat and Karnataka respectively. The identified risks
pertained to the activities with respect to health, safety, environment, quality, site selection,
investigation, planning, approvals, design, resources and maintenance of solar parks.
23
1.5.1 Identification of the risk parameters involved in various phases of the solar project
in India.
The present work identifies the risks involved in its various phases and employs two
methodologies of risk analysis while comparing between the two.
1.5.2 Evaluate the risk analysis using both AHP and TOPSIS methods and comparing
between the two the first of its kind in this niche.
It has been observed that the TOPSIS approach produces a more coherent interpretation
than the AHP approach.
1.5.3 Made the case for the importance of IoT in cleaning and maintenance along with the
cost involved and cost analysis over a period of time along with the corresponding
overheads.
Solar Photo-Voltaic (PV) panel cleaning has been a major challenge in the renewable
energy sector to achieve maximum efficiency for getting higher returns. Different cleaning
systems have been designed to maintain efficiency and further studies have been carried
out to demonstrate the effectiveness of the cleaning system.
1.5.4 Life cycle costing analysis for various solar parks in India of varying capacities of
1MW to 10 MW and the projection of cash flow and sensitivity analysis.
Life Cycle Costing analysis is employed to evaluate the long-term benefits of the huge
investments in India's ambitious plan of setting up nearly 100 GW installed solar power
capacity by Dec 2022. This tool would help in technical and well as socio-economic
feasibility analysis of the future upcoming solar plants in India.
1.5.5 The social benefit cost analysis has been carried out by considering the various
parameters related to Solar Power Plant.
This tool would also help in technical and well as socio-economic feasibility analysis of
the future upcoming solar plants in India.
1.5.6 Framework for Model Concession Agreement (MCA) and PPP model for the solar
park development in India.
The proposed MCA and PPP model would help the policy makers in India to develop
strategies for implementation of upcoming and future solar plants in India.
24
Chapter 1 provides an overview of the research's major features, methods, goals, and
contributions.
Chapter 2 includes an overview of the literature that explains the research's context and
background. In regard to the study goals, the review cites state-of-the-art literature published by
researchers and organisations, as well as best practises and policies.
Chapter 3 gives a summary of the research methodology as well as an explanation of the main
concepts, methodologies, relationships, tools, and procedures employed in each of the research's
major deliverables.
Chapter 4 contains case study descriptions, as well as data acquired through primary and
secondary sources and analysed.
Chapter 5 provides the analysis, result and discussion of the AHP, TOPSIS, FPIS, FNIS.
Chapter 6 provides the details of the Life Cycle Costing (LCC) and thereby the economic viability
and feasibility of such solar parks.
Chapter 7 provides the Social Benefit-Cost Analysis (SBCA) evaluation of sustainable power
generation system in order to ensure the acceptability of such systems in the long run.
Chapter 8 provides details about PPP Model Development and Model Concession Agreement
(MCA) for Solar Power Plants in India.
Chapter 9 provides details of an application Internet of Things (IoT) for maintenance of Solar PV
Panels.
Chapter 10 reflects the conclusion of the study. It also provides the future scope of this research
work.
25
2.0 Introduction
For any nation’s economy and the socio-political prevailing conditions, the infrastructure and its
growth play a significant role. Global population expansion in hand with the corresponding
industrial requirements adds to increase in pollution levels, which in-turn disrupts the balance
between human and nature. For the sustaining of such infrastructure and smooth functioning of it,
the risk assessment and management become a necessary peril to undergo to minimize accidents
and harmful effects on environment and obviously on the business/profit aspect of it (Sarkar and
Dutta, 2011). Infrastructures are a complex set of interconnected, interdependent, adaptive
systems that directly or indirectly index the development of a nation/people (Sarkar and Singh,
2018, 2020).
The nature and dynamics of the complexity of the infrastructures prevent us in knowing at advance
how they would interact or behave in the event of any unforeseen or vulnerable scenarios, the
impact could be catastrophic or horrendous on a relatively large scale. Such issues are dealt with
the approach of risk management analysis ingrained with the defined markers or parameters of
such systems (Sarkar and Singh, 2018, 2020). In the available literature various studies are
available which sheds light to such studies by taking a sample case of a smaller connected
distributive system or in terms of general statistics as a whole.
In the last few decades, Risk management has become quite a niche research field gathering the
interest of academicians and researchers globally in an attempt to improve the success rate of
Infrastructure projects in terms of timely completion, lower financial implications (within the
budget) and compliance to HSE requirements (Sarkar and Singh, 2018, 2020).In the era of
development and growing infrastructure, the challenges in making, maintaining and managing the
same also rises significantly. This makes the disaster/risk management a very crucial area to study
and improve upon as the success of these infrastructure projects are greatly influenced by the
effective management of such risk and challenges and optimisation of the same (Sarkar and Dutta,
2011). Even in the developed countries, many major infrastructure projects eventually suffer due
to poor risk management or poor policies of allocation of funds for such management. This leads
to diminished project life cycle which would prove to a burden for the economy again in the years
to come. Risk management as a field has become indispensable in identifying, analysing,
mitigating, and controlling risks associated with projects such as cost, schedule, quality, health,
safety, and environmental aspects. In a study of some university organizations, (Cohen et al.,
26
Zarza et al. (2006) created a conceptual design for the first solar power plant to use Direct Steam
Generation in a parabolic-trough solar field (DSG). This plant's solar field was designed with
experience and expertise. In the 5MW facility, a DSG parabolic-trough solar field is coupled to a
27
As solar parks of such kind are still either rare or under development and installation and can be
considered to be in the cocoon phase, not much literature is available on the risk assessment or
risk management or such solar parks yet. As discussed earlier that for other infrastructure projects,
risk management is studied both in detailed in theory and in application. However, these learnings
are not specifically applied to the risk management of solar parks except a few isolated studies
here and there which are discussed later. One such relevant work is by Aragonés-Beltrán et al.
(2010) who studied the Analytic Network Process (ANP) and applied the same to the selection of
photovoltaic (PV) solar power projects. These projects follow a long management and execution
process from plant site selection to plant start-up. As a consequence, there are many risks of time
delays and even of project stoppage. These risk and vulnerabilities are only hurdles in terms of
economic aspect or efficiency consideration. This study identified 50 project execution delay
and/or stoppage risks in order to invest based on risk minimization. The main conclusion of this
study is that unlike the other models used in the literature, the single network model can manage
all the information of the real-world problem and thus it is the decision analysis model. The
strengths and weaknesses of ANP as a multi-criteria decision analysis tool are also described in
their work. In the further works of Aragonés-Beltrán et al. (2014), the criteria for accepting or
rejecting any proposals for such an investment based on risk priorities. Jacobson and Delucchi
(2011) extended the research in all forms of renewable energy, wind water and solar power in their
work. Cost effectiveness studies of solar power can be found in literature (Dominguez et al., 2012;
Nithyanandam and Pitchumani, 2014).
1. Increasing access to power for people who live in areas where the grid does not reach.
2. Meeting rising demand from segments of the population within the grid's reach
Increasing energy efficiency is also a big problem for the country's power sector, which currently
has losses in transmission and distribution of approximately 26%. Solar, wind, bio, and
hydropower are all regarded viable options in this enterprise, both for grid-connected and off-grid
systems (Dominguez et al., 2012). In the future decade, it is expected that RE will account for
20% of worldwide electricity generation (by 2020). RE is diffuse, distributed, and random by
nature, as well as unpredictable due to nature/climate. Because the majority of the world's
population is dispersed, concentrated generation is not always desired or practicable (Sharma,
2011). Man requires energy in the form of heat, light, and motion to achieve the ideal quality of
life. Electricity is also a booster of high education, healthcare, agriculture, and population
management in developing economies with vast scattered populations. Electricity is widely
regarded as the most efficient means of transporting energy from a source to a load. Today's
challenge is not just to produce electricity without harming the environment, but also to efficiently
transfer and use it (Sharma, 2011). Despite major rural electrification programmes, India has over
54,000 villages that are still without electricity. Not only are linked households a small percentage
of the total in most electrified villages, but power is only provided for 4 hours per day on average.
This is unacceptable if the motto is "electricity to all" and all power philosophies are guaranteed
24 hours a day, seven days a week (Nithyanandam and Pitchumani, 2014). Hiteva and Sovacool
(2017) utilized a business model framework to examine how concepts of energy justice, such as
fair cost and benefit distribution, affordability, due process, and more involvement in decision-
making, might be included in energy business model innovations through social innovation. They
29
Hence, harnessing the divine solar energy could be one of the best options in such temperate and
tropical climate in meeting the power requirement by Planning and development of an Integrated
Solar Park in remote areas having un-utilized barren lands/saline mud flats (which are not suitable
for the agricultural activities and having no development activities). But due to remoteness there
could be several other challenges/risks in establishing solar park during the process of feasibility,
land acquisition, DPR, utility diversions, construction activities, transportation of resources,
Power evacuation, operations and maintenance (Ranganath et al., 2021).
For an Integrated solar park, all major activities involved has to be identified with their possible
risks and uncertainties for better planning of projects, as these project endeavour longer economy
recovery compared to conventional power projects, leading to sustainable development and job
creation opportunities (Ranganath et al., 2021).
Furthermore, such projects if implemented as per the vision should reduce the migration of the
people to urban areas, in turn maintaining excellent peace and harmony and optimum utilization
of the available natural resources. Therefore, in the initial planning stage of such major integrated
projects, such as development of integrated Solar Park, it is necessary to identify and grade the
risks involved, assessing risks either qualitatively or quantitatively, choosing the appropriate
method for mitigating the risks, and then monitoring and documenting the same, for which the
current study is being undertaken (Ranganath et al., 2021).
According to Sharma (2011), the government is responsible for developing conventional forms of
energy to meet society's growing energy needs at a reasonable cost. The scarcity of fossil
resources, as well as the environmental issues associated with them, have highlighted the need for
new sustainable energy supply options based on renewable energies. Non-
conventional/alternative/new and renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, and bio-energy,
among others, are also receiving sustained attention. Alternative energy news sources have long
claimed that smart investments in renewable energy can result in fortunes. Solar power is one of
the hottest areas of energy investment right now, but the future of solar technology and solar
energy markets is hotly debated. Sharma (2011) investigates various ways in which solar power
is precisely such an opportunity. Their findings suggest that even with proper incentives, solar
power can be made a rich sector given the solar abundance in Indian context.
India being a developing economy has acute electricity shortages in most of the rural areas. Very
recently, the government was successful to electrify all the villages, providing sufficient power to
the nodes is still a far-fetched dream (Srivastava and Srivastava, 2013). It requires huge capacity
expansions to fulfil the demands of its fast-expanding economy. India must reduce its alliance on
fossil fuels for electrification in order to continue economic growth while reducing greenhouse
gas emissions. In this context, a study by Ansari et al. (2013) aims to develop a structural model
of the barriers to implement solar power installations in India. The literature and subsequent
discussions with experts from academia and industry revealed thirteen relevant barriers to
implementing solar power installations. Contextual relationships among these barriers have been
31
Renewable energy sources and technologies have the potential to assist developing countries such
as India in addressing long-standing energy issues. Solar energy has the potential to be a critical
component of India's goal of increasing energy security, addressing environmental concerns, and
dominating the massive renewable energy industry (Purohit and Purohit, 2010). Solar thermal
electricity (STE), also known as concentrated solar power (CSP), is a new renewable energy
technology that has the potential to be developed as a future alternative for electricity generation
in India. Sharma et al. (2012) provided an overview of the availability, current state, strategies,
points of view, promotion policies, notable accomplishments, and future potential of solar energy
options in India.
Dawn et al. (2016) investigates the current solar energy landscape, strategies, availability, future
potential, policies, and development in India's rapidly growing power sector. The most important
component of infrastructure for economic progress and national welfare is power. To keep the
Indian economy growing, current infrastructure must be developed. India's power sector is one of
the most developed in the world. As a result of the day-to-day increase in electricity demand, the
Indian power sector is experiencing some difficulties in maintaining the balance between power
generation and demand, as well as supply constraints and power shortages. Shifting from
conventional to non-conventional energy sources is no longer an option; it is a requirement for
maintaining the generation-to-demand ratio (Sharma et al., 2012). In India, the importance of solar
energy as a source of energy is not only economic, but also environmental.
Lolla et al. (2015) investigates the feasibility of combining grid-connected wind and solar
resources in India's regional power grids, as well as whether spatiotemporal complementarity
between these resources can reduce grid-scale intermittency. The southern grid has the most
renewable energy potential, according to the MERRA Reanalysis' wind and solar resources,
followed by the western, eastern, and northeaster grids. Only the northern grid can truly take
32
Srivastava and Srivastava (2013) analyse solar energy's future importance in India. Solar energy,
a zero-emission pure renewable resource, offers enormous energy potential that may be captured
using a variety of methods. Solar energy systems are now readily available for both industrial and
home use, with the added benefit of little maintenance. With government tax incentives and
rebates, solar energy might become commercially viable. Solar energy is becoming one of the
most important renewable energy sources in most developed countries (Sharma, 2011). When
constructing building plans, current architectural designs provide for solar cells and accompanying
electronics. The National Solar Mission is a major project of the Indian government and state
governments that aims to promote environmentally friendly growth while also addressing India's
energy security concerns. It will also be a significant contribution by India to the global effort to
address the challenges posed by climate change (Srivastava and Srivastava, 2013). The goal of the
National Solar Mission is to make India a global leader in solar energy by creating the policy
conditions that will allow it to spread as quickly as possible across the country. The Mission's
immediate goal is to focus on creating an enabling environment in the country for both centralised
and decentralised solar technology penetration. According to the National Action Plan on Climate
Change, "India is a tropical country where sunlight is available for more hours each day and in
greater intensity." As a result, solar energy has a lot of future energy potential. It also has the
benefit of allowing for decentralised energy delivery, which empowers people at the grassroots
level” (Srivastava and Srivastava, 2013, Sharma et al.2012).
Yenneti (2016) examines industry opinions of solar electricity and the policies that govern it.
Through the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM), India is making a significant
contribution to global solar energy contributions, and its various states are collaborating with the
national government through specific state solar policies. Gujarat, through the 'Gujarat Solar
Power Policy 2009 (GSPP 2009)’, has been leading the country in solar power generation. The
feed in-tariff based GSPP 2009 is a unique experiment of the state to develop individual solar
projects as well as public-private partnership based large-scale solar parks. Of the about 2700 MW
(in September 2014) installed solar energy capacity in India, Gujarat occupies a share of more
than 900 MW. Through semi-structured in-depth interviews with project developers involved in
the execution of the Charanka solar park in Gujarat, this article investigates industry perspectives
on the GSPP 2009. With a capacity of 216 MW, the Charanka Solar Park is Asia's largest solar
park (as of April 2012). According to the findings, the policy's primary assets are the appealing
33
Purohit and Purohit (2010) make a first attempt at assessing the technical and economic viability
of concentrated solar power (CSP) technology in India to assess the techno-economic viability of
CSP technologies in Indian settings, two projects, PS-10 (based on power tower technology) and
ANDASOL-1 (based on parabolic trough collector technology), were chosen as reference
instances. These two methods have been tested in a number of Indian places. According to early
findings, the utilisation of CSP technology in India makes economic sense for the country's north
western region (particularly in Rajasthan and Gujarat states). Furthermore, internalisation of
secondary benefits of carbon trading under the Kyoto Protocol's clean development framework
increases the financial feasibility of CSP systems in additional places studied in this study. It
should be mentioned that sites with more than 1800 kWh/m2 of yearly direct solar radiation are
best suited for CSP system installation. The acquired results can be utilised as preliminary
indications for identifying niche locations for immediate/short-term solar energy usage for
concentrating solar power generation in India. The Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission
(JNNSM) is part of India's recently announced National Action Plan on Climate Change
(NAPCC), which aims to promote the development and use of solar energy for power generation
and other purposes, with the ultimate goal of making solar competitive with fossil-based energy
options. The plan has specific goals to (a) create an enabling policy framework for the deployment
of 20,000 MW of solar power by 2022; (b) create favourable conditions for solar manufacturing
capability, particularly solar thermal, for indigenous production and market leadership; (c)
promote off-grid applications, with 1000 MW by 2017 and 2000 MW by 2022; (d) achieve 15
million m2 solar thermal collector area by 2017 and 20 million by 2022; and (e) deploy 2 million
m2 solar thermal collector area by The installed capacity of grid-interactive solar power
installations was 6 MW until October.
Chakrabarty and Islam (2011) studies the economic feasibility and eco-efficiency on a smaller
scale in Bangladesh. Six case studies were conducted in certain chosen areas of Chhatakupazila
in Bangladesh where NGOs such as Grameen Shakti and BRAC are delivering and servicing solar
home systems to assess the financial feasibility as well as the eco-efficiency of SHS. The financial
sustainability of the SHS is determined by comparing previous expenditures (before to installing
the SHS) for kerosene, automotive batteries, and other traditional sources. Eco-efficiency is a
financial viability estimate that aims to optimise effectiveness while accounting for environmental
34
Similar studies are also conducted by Mondal and Islam (2011). Geospatial toolkit, NASA SSE
solar radiation data, and HOMER optimization software were used to assess the potential of a
grid-connected solar PV system in Bangladesh. The financial feasibility of solar photovoltaic as
an energy generating source for Bangladesh was also evaluated using RETScreen simulation
software on a planned 1-MW grid-connected solar PV system for 14 different sites in Bangladesh.
In Bangladesh, the technological potential of gird-connected solar PV was predicted to be around
50174 MW. The yearly power generation of the proposed system ranged from 1653 MWh to 1854
MWh, with a mean value of 1729 MWh. Several economic and financial metrics, including the
internal rate of return, net present value, benefit-cost ratio, cost of energy generation, and simple
payback, were determined. All indicators for all sites indicated favourable conditions for the
projected solar PV system development in Bangladesh. The findings also revealed that by
implementing the suggested system in any section of the country, a minimum of 1423 tonnes of
greenhouse gas emissions may be prevented each year.
Bazenand Brown (2009) reviews the advantages and limitations of solar photovoltaic (PV)
systems for energy generation under various physical efficiency limits and financial assistance
programs. Recent increases in utility and fuel costs in poultry production as well as public
awareness of and demand for green power or renewable energy sources have given renewed
interest in alternative energy sources. This study seeks to investigate the impact of alternative
energy programs, grants and other incentives on the feasibility of solar PV systems in several solar
regions within Tennessee’s poultry industry. Preliminary results show that incentives exceeding
current levels before adoption of solar PV systems would be financially beneficial.
There are several economic barriers that prevent potential investors or institutional lenders from
investing in decentralised renewable energy technologies, including high up-front capital costs,
high transaction costs, and a variety of risks (e.g., performance and technical risks, contract risks,
35
Most of the studies made in this non-renewable energy sources have usually solar wind wave etc
clubbed together as a group to study the benefits of these over conventional fossil fuels. The
standalone study for just solar power is not adequate in the literature. Shakya et al. (2005) is one
such standalone solar power study. Researchers investigated the practicality of a stand-alone
hybrid wind–photovoltaic (PV) system with compressed hydrogen gas storage for Cooma
(Australia). A system with (load) and (storage) was studied. Hydrogen is generated in electrolysers
using excess electricity from the system. The system components were selected according to their
availability and cost. The “discounted cash flow" method, with the “levelized energy cost" (LEC)
as a financial indicator was used for analysis. Configurations with PV% of 100, 60, 12 and zero
were analysed. He discovered the lowest LEC of AU $ 2.52/kW for 100 percent PV. The cost of
producing hydrogen from 100 percent PV was AU $692/GJ of hydrogen. Fifty-two percent of the
total project costs were due to the electrolyser. Hence, a reduction in the electrolyser cost would
reduce the cost of the overall system.
In the global context however, many solar power efficiency and feasibility study are found. The
construction of the SEGS facilities in California in the mid-1980s and early 1990s marked a
significant advancement in the commercialization of concentrated solar power technology. They
have demonstrated over the years that parabolic trough power technologies are the most cost-
effective option for commercial scale solar power generating in the world's sunbelt regions.
However, the question must be asked why no additional solar power plants have been build
following the bankruptcy of the developer of the SEGS projects, LUZ International Limited.
Although many people assume the SEGS projects were successful because of the parabolic trough
technology used, in reality, the SEGS projects were built merely because they provided an
appealing prospect for investors. Simply put, no new projects have been established since no one
36
Kebede (2015) explored the viability of grid-connected solar PV power generation in Ethiopia. In
all, 35 locations with a 5 MW PV power plant were examined for their technological potential.
Ethiopia's National Meteorological Agency and NASA's Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy
Dataset are among the data sources used in the study. The applications HOMER and RETScreen
were both used in the study. According to the study, the average PV power plant capacity factor
of the various locations evaluated was 19.8 percent, and the average value for energy exported to
the grid was 8674 MWh/year. In addition, the economic viability of a 5 MW PV grid-connected
power plant in the Addis Abeba region was investigated. Financial data show that the projected
solar PV system is economically viable; nevertheless, without an incentive mechanism, it may not
be compelling enough to commercial investors.
Further scenario analysis revealed that the future feed-in tariff regulation for solar PV power
generation (which has yet to be implemented) may impact the private sector's investment choice.
The suggested system may generate up to 7658 MWh of power and reduce greenhouse gas
emissions by at least 1089 tonnes per year.
Harder and Gibson (2011) investigate the viability of a 10 MW solar power plant in Abu Dhabi,
employing RET Screen modelling software to forecast energy production, financial feasibility,
and GHG emissions reductions. The first results show a large potential for energy production, with
24 GWh created and over 10,000 tonnes of GHG emissions saved per year. The net present value
of the benefits of lowering GHG and air pollution emissions by replacing natural gas with PV
power is predicted to be $47 million, with a wide range of probable values. According to the
findings, the high starting costs and low predicted price for generated power are the primary
reasons why solar systems are not being deployed in Abu Dhabi. To make large-scale PV systems
profitable, a feed-in tariff rate of $ 0.16/kWh is proposed.
37
(a) to study the smart renewable electricity generation for an islanded power system in the
Island of Pantelleria (Mediterranean Sea).
(b) to identify the renewable energy sources and hypothesise the new energetic scenario.
(c) to study the system’s technical performance in both the current and the new scenario
(d) to perform a cost–benefit analysis related to the transition to the new scenario
Tsoutsos et al. (2003) shed light on the Greece predicament. During the summer, the demand for
power skyrockets due to the extensive use of air-conditioning equipment in Greece. This
contributes to an increase in CO2 emissions while also posing major difficulties with the country's
power supply. The use of solar energy (SE) to drive cooling cycles is intriguing since the cooling
load is generally in phase with SE availability. An economic evaluation of two types of solar
cooling systems is made (an absorption and an adsorption system). The analyses indicated that,
because of their high investment cost, these systems would be marginally competitive with
standard cooling systems at present energy prices.
Ilkan et al. (2005) explores the renewable possibility in Northern Cyprus. The average annual
increase in electricity consumption and peak demand in Northern Cyprus (N. Cyprus) during the
past 20 years have been 7.1% and 5.5%, respectively. In recent years, the demand for electricity
has been stretched to its limits in winter. This raised the question of whether renewable energy
resources could be utilized to reduce the level of peak demand. Indeed, Cyprus being a
Mediterranean island, enjoys an abundance of solar energy, and preliminary studies showed that
a considerable potential of wind energy is also available. Utilization of renewable energy for space
heating, water heating, pumping and power generation would increase electrical reserve margins,
raise system load factor, improve load following capabilities, and reduce the need for capacity
expansion. Currently, solar water heating which leads to a saving of at least 72 GWh energy per
annum and a significant reduction in CO2 emission has been extensively used in N. Cyprus. In N.
38
Tudisca et al. (2013) performs the study in Italy. The photovoltaic sector in Italy in recent years
has experienced a rapid growth also in the primary sector, thanks to substantial incentives
guaranteed by energy policies, simultaneous reduction of investment costs and tax benefits. In
order to better understand the growth of the PV industry in Italian primary sector, the aim of this
paper has been to evaluate the economic convenience of four PV systems on farm buildings
located in four different farms of the north-western coast of Sicily and realized during the second
and fourth Italian feed-in schemes. For each feed-in scheme it has been considered a PV plant that
sells the electricity to the grid and another in which the energy generated is consumed entirely by
the farm. The results show a clear convenience to the realization of investments both with the
current market conditions and at the variation of the feed-in tariff or the investment costs. Similar
work is carried out by Cucchiella et al. (2012, 2017). Furthermore, a comparative study is
performed for EU countries by Dusonchet and Telaretti (2015).
39
Photovoltaic grid-connected systems (PVGCS) are now undergoing rapid market growth. This is
primarily owing to a declining trend in PV costs, as well as various government-sponsored support
programmes in many industrialised countries. However, government bodies and prospective
owners/investors are concerned with how changes in existing economic factors – financial
incentives and main economic parameters of the PVGCS – that configure a given scenario may
affect the profitability of the investment in these systems. Consequently, not only is a mere
estimate of the economic profitability in a specific moment required, but also how this profitability
may vary according to changes in the existing scenario. In order to enlighten decision-makers and
prospective owners/investors of PVGCS, Talavera et al. (2011, 2010) performed a sensitivity
study of the internal rate of return (IRR) to various economic parameters. Three distinct scenarios
have been imagined to reflect the major three geographical PV markets: the Eurozone, the United
States, and Japan. The findings of this study show that yearly loan interest, normalised initial
investment subsidies, normalised annual PV electricity yield, PV electricity unitary price, and
normalised initial investment have the greatest influence on the IRR. A brief and comprehensive
study of the taxes implications is also provided.
A simple framework for the financial performance evaluation of a solar photovoltaic (SPV) water
pump has been presented by Purohit and Kandpal (2005). The unit cost of water delivered by such
a pump has been estimated. The financial benefits to the end user have also been calculated based
on the amount of diesel or electricity saved. The investment in an SPV water pump's Net Present
Value and Internal Rate of Return have also been calculated. The impact of rising fuel prices on
financial performance indices has been assessed, as well as the break-even prices for diesel and
electricity. The impact of financial incentives such as capital subsidies, accelerated depreciation-
40
Jain et al. (2011) summarizes the literature salient point in Indian scenario. Solar power is gaining
importance in the light of discussion about climate change and renewable energy sources. Every
year, most parts of India have 250–300 days of clear, sunny weather. The annual global radiation
varies from 1600 to 2200 kWh/m2, which is comparable to what is received in tropical and
subtropical locations. This study performs simulated scenarios for several sites in India to
determine the technical and economic viability of solar power generation using photovoltaic (PV)
technology. Solar radiation statistics are available on the National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) website, while additional meteorological indicators are available from
the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). The data is loaded into the RETScreen model,
which is then used to execute various simulation scenarios. The feasibility of locations in India
for a 5-MW PV-grid linked power station is explored from both a technological and an
environmental standpoint. A model is conducted for 31 key Indian sites to assess the feasibility of
Solar PV installations at these locations. Financial incentives established in India's national solar
mission were utilised as inputs to the model. The model identifies viability indicators such as
internal rate of return (IRR), net present value (NPV), cost of electricity (CoE), and benefit–cost
(B–C) ratio. The finest sites in India are reported through a comparison of results. Backer and
Clark (2008) give insights into the business case for eco-effective greening of business based on
an evaluation of Royal Dutch Shell's 1997 formation of Shell Renewables as its fifth core business.
They used organizational decision-making theory to help companies to become more
environmentally friendly. After choosing to rationalize, Shell used its energy-industry networks
to create a market for its new eco-effective goods and services. They also suggested that eco-
effective greening might be a business case in the making, with how new green markets are formed
and pursued determining the economic outcome of producing eco-effective products and services.
1. Solar power feasibility, technical hurdles and the likes are widely studied in developed
countries. However, the study in Indian scenario is very limited and thereby, the literature is
not adequately developed on the issue.
41
The present work attempts to address the above-mentioned gaps by conducting thorough research
on it.
42
3.0 Introduction
Renewable energy sector projects like development and implementation of solar power plants are
crucial in the present era to suffice the target for generation of green and clean energy. Just like
any complex infrastructure projects, the solar power projects face risks and uncertainties
throughout its many phases (Ranganath et al., 2019). The risk assessment for projects remains a
multi-variable problem as a lot depends on human expertise. The present work identifies the risks
involved in its various phases and employs two methodologies of risk analysis while comparing
between the two. It has been observed that the TOPSIS approach produces more coherent
interpretation than the AHP approach. This is the first study where TOPSIS approach is employed
for the case of risk assessment of solar park and then subsequently compared with the AHP
analysis of the same. It has been inferred that for niche and isolated projects AHP is more suitable
however for more general and multiple source data TOPSIS is the superior approach. The risk
assessment is broken down into 5 phases and it has been observed that based on the risk indexing
of those phases, the project authorities cannot afford to ignore any of the phases (Ranganath et al.,
2020).
Complex multidisciplinary infrastructure projects suffer huge risks starting from the inception of
the idea to its feasibility, design, development, implementation and operation (Sarkar and Dutta,
2011). If these risks are not properly addressed by the project authorities and mitigated priorly by
adequate mitigation measures, then the project runs the likelihood of collapses due to time and
cost overrun. Risk analysis thereby becomes a crucial activity during all planning and execution
phases of the project to be carried out by project authorities. Risk analysis determines the severity
of the risk in a quantitative manner by formulating risk maps. Based on the scale of risk maps
which indicate low, medium, high, very high and critical risk zones, the corresponding mitigation
measures can be put into place and any quick or long fix/tweak can be performed. Sarkar and
Dutta (2011) enhanced the use of Expected Value Method (EVM) to carry out risk analysis of
elevated corridor for metro rail operations. The same was later implemented by Nicholas (2001).
Sarkar and Singh (2018, 2020) carried out risk analysis and developed risk index through Fuzzy
Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) for application in elevated corridor metro rail project in
India. Risk identification, risk analysis and development of risk mitigation measures are the three
basic steps for carrying out the risk management process (Nicholas, 2001). Risk analysis can be
carried out through various Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) methods. Zadeh (1965)
43
In the risk analysis concept, many techniques exist in order to quantify and assess associated risk
variables into formulating decision making parameters. Another alternative approach is applying
fuzzy logic combined with the Technique for Order Preference by Similarities to Ideal Solution
(TOPSIS) method. In the previous few decades, extensive study has been performed in the area
of Project Risk Management (PRM) (Sarkar and Dutta, 2011; Sarkar and Singh, 2018, 2020).
There is a consensus about risk assessment to be one of the most critical areas in the field of project
management. The construction industry maintains higher stakes as enhanced cost and time delays
can halt the project due to poor planning or risk management. Every phase of the project is subject
to various risk and substantial and adequate treatment is needed for smooth execution and
completion in optimal fashion.
The probabilistic infrastructure risk analysis model was formulated by Ezell et al. (2000a) for
modelling water distributions infrastructure and its system dynamics. Further work of Ezell et al.
(2000b) presents the application part of such risk analysis model by characterizing the water
system along the parameters of function, structure, component, state, and vulnerability, while
keeping in view of other political, temporal and economic perspectives. Expected and extreme
risks are evaluated using probability, while efficient alternatives are generated and presented in a
multi-objective framework. The methodological framework can be easily applied to other critical
infrastructure elements and networks. According to Ezell (2007), vulnerability is a measure of a
system's susceptibility to threat scenarios, and it is a system state that can be quantified using the
Infrastructure Vulnerability Assessment Model (I-VAM). Such a model requires establishing
value functions and weights to various protection parameters of the system. Additionally, the
uncertainty in measurements is taken into account by suitable simulations along with expert’s
feedback depending on the particular field, eventually providing a vulnerability density function
(Ω).
Jannadi and Almishari (2003) carried out risk assessment primarily for construction industry and
concluded that in construction industry things do not always turn as planned and thereby detailed
risk management is must. Williams et al. (1997) suggested in developing methodologies which
can put risk management into practice. Furthermore, Ward and Chapman (2003) claimed that all
the undertaken risk management practices focus on project uncertainty. However, project risks are
44
According to recent construction industry trends, alternative procurement methods such as design-
build, construction management, build-operate-transfer, and privatisation will continue to be
adopted (Songer et al.,1997). As these emerging approaches become more widely used, there is
growing concern regarding their long-term performance and portability. Because of the inherent
risks of implementing new procurement procedures, effective pre-project planning and analytical
methodologies must be investigated. This is especially true for money-dependent infrastructure
like toll roads and highways. Better data for pre-project decision-making and project performance
is provided by improved risk analysis technology. One such risk analysis method is the Monte
Carlo (Songer et al., 1997) for revenue dependent infrastructure projects. Mathematical analysis
is limited for some studies available in the literature due to constraints in data about the overall
reliability of a system. This issue leads to shifting the domain to input set of parameters from
expert knowledge in the field. Thus, a lot of crucial parameters that are identified before they are
put to any mathematical modelling or simulation are provided by the field experts or by
statistically obtained opinion about the inherent parameters. This problem usually continues due
to the lack of hard quantifiable data in most of the cases as shown by Guikema (2009) leading to
the use of probabilistic risk analysis. With the developments in information technology, there lies
an issue with over-abundance of data which might seem the solution as finding needle in a sack
of hay (Guikema, 2009). Some examples of such critical infrastructure systems are electric power
distribution systems, transportation systems, water supply systems, and natural gas supply
systems. One of the unforeseen and unpredictable parameters in the risk assessment of any
infrastructure system comes from natural disasters, the impact and the scale of which is very
unpredictable depending upon the kind of infrastructure in consideration. Other industrial risk and
contingencies can be well designed and streamlined through a well-structured organization and
management system. Sometimes, the terrorist activities due to their unforeseen nature are clubbed
along the natural disasters and are sometimes considered as a separate parameter in the risk
management studies (Apostolakis and Lemon, 2005; Lian andHaimes,2006).
Sarkar and Dutta (2011) argue that one needs to identify the various stages of projects such that,
the entire work of project implementation from concept to commissioning can be divided
appropriately in different phases such that, broad activities can be grouped under each phase and
sub activities may be defined which in turn portray the risk associated for those broad and sub
activities. Same has been employed in the present work where an attempt is made to explore the
relationship between broad and sub activity risks under each phase of project related solar power
plant. Development of questionnaires for risk rating using Saaty Scale, probability of risk
occurrence and impact of risk for assessment of risk severity, risk index, risk ranking is carried
out. For this, three projects located in three different parts of India have been considered. To
achieve the above-mentioned objectives, two research framework has been employed using
Modified Analytic Hierarchy Process (MAHP) and TOPSIS.
As solar parks are still either rare or under development and installation, can be considered to be
in the cocoon phase, not much literature is available on the risk assessment or risk management
or such solar parks yet. As discussed earlier that for other infrastructure projects, risk management
is studied both in detailed in theory and in application. However, these learning are not specifically
applied to the risk management of solar parks except a few isolated studies here and there which
are discussed later. One such relevant work is by Aragonés-Beltrán et al. (2010) dealing with AHP
applied to the selection of photo-voltaic solar power projects. The length of such projects is usually
long from one to other which thereby accentuates the risk and other time delays leading to project
stoppage. These risk and vulnerabilities are only hurdles in terms of economic aspect or efficiency
consideration. This study categorically identified 50 project execution delays. The strengths and
weaknesses of ANP as a multicriteria decision analysis tool are also mentioned in their work. In
the further works of Aragonés-Beltrán et al. (2014), the criteria for accepting or rejecting any
46
3.1 Methodology
The methodology is primary data research, where the data pertaining to risks associated with the
different activities of the solar power plant has been collected from solar power plants at three
locations in India namely Rajasthan, Gujarat and Karnataka respectively. The identified risks
pertained to the activities with respect to health, safety, environment, quality, site selection,
investigation, planning, approvals, design, resources and maintenance of solar parks.
The present work highlights the crucial factors to be observed by the field professionals including
the time planning, design and project execution wherein even the slightest of dilution can lead to
a major disaster. Therefore, it requires utmost attention and care at all levels for ensuring proper
setting up and functioning of power plants in various climatic conditions across India. The present
case study reveals that lack of vigilance by concerned professionals during all the stages of work
right from Investigations, Design and Construction is a major setback to such state-of-the-art
projects. Lack of proper approach and understanding the ground realities has resulted in failure of
foundations of solar panels module mounting structures. Ultimately failures resulted in loss of
power generation, reduction in revenues and in turn incurring additional cost for rectification
works to restore it back. The study carried out at the site has identified the contributing factors for
the failures for the solar plant in Bikaner, Rajasthan. Furthermore, corrective and preventive
designs were suggested and implemented at site. The performance of these designs is found to be
safe after completion of one year of monitoring. The designs were reviewed independently and
accepted.
47
a. Suitable Location
b. Availability of Land at identified location
c. Accessibility to Location
d. Internal Road Network within Plant
e. Arrangement of Structure with foundation for placing Panels
f. Drainage Facility
g. Source of Water for Plant Operation
h. Fire Station
i. Electrical network substation for supply of auxiliary power
j. Developed Office Space for Operation
k. Residential Accommodation for Plant Staff
l. Substation to evacuate power from each sub units in the plant.
m. Medical Assistance
n. Telecom Network
o. Operation and Maintenance Facility
p. Hotels/Guest House Helpline / Assistance for 24/7
q. Provision of Green Belt
It is evident that the infrastructure required for the implementation of a solar plant needs a
thorough study of the area comprising various surveys, investigations, economic design (at the
same time, these designs shall be stable enough for various adverse conditions) and availability of
good construction materials for execution. Apart from this, performance of the project depends on
the quality of materials and construction as obvious for any construction project.
48
• Project Performance: For any project to be commissioned and perform reliably within the
stipulated time, effective project management techniques are required to be in place. There are
simple and effective tools that have proven to be fruitful in the past:
(a) Deployment of qualified and experienced team in handling the projects of multi-
disciplinary nature.
(b) True and accurate survey and investigation of the site
(c) Taking preventive actions during the course of the project with regard to non-
availability of good quality construction materials, timely approvals, local and
administrative issues etc., and advising the project authority to take preventive actions at
appropriate time
(d) Project activities are planned up to the micro level and are executed from part to whole,
thereby avoiding any duplication and repetition. Dedicated and experienced manpower
resources for obtaining necessary approvals / permits well in time.
• Project Integration Management: Project Management Integration is considerably a complex
matter / issue, during the implementation of the Solar Park. The role of individual and team as
a whole and timely advice during the course of the project will help Integration Management
to a great extent. The following narration gives briefly, the management of overall changes,
including controlling various aspects during the project execution.
(a) A thorough scope, including the strategy and relevant papers, must be established and
discussed with project officials. Following ratification of the project document, a thorough
and detailed Master Plan covering all aspects envisioned in the project document will be
created. The project authorities will then examine, agree on, and accept the Master Plan,
which will serve as the foundation for the remaining activities.
(b) All the details pertaining to Topographical Survey Drawing, Geo-technical and
Geological Investigation Report, along with levels for drainage planning for proper
integration with the Master Plan shall be made available.
(c) During construction, as far as possible, deviation/changes shall be avoided by the
Statutory authority and the approving authorities shall be available for inter action,
consultation on 24/7 basis, especially during commissioning stage.
49
51
a. Project Location A State of the Art 5.83 MW (DC) Solar Power Project in Bikaner District,
Rajasthan was developed by an Entrepreneur / Agency who had entrusted the work of entire
project involving engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning including operation
and maintenance to a single Agency (EPC).
b. Project Condition The power plant is in operation since the last three years. However, during
the recent past (June to Oct 2015), due to heavy monsoon rains along with gale/heavy wind
(60 to 90 Kmph), extensive damage to some of the solar panels including the structure has
occurred, resulting in considerable generation loss. Out of the total structures generating 5.83
MW, approximately structures generating 1.05 MW has been damaged extensively and most
of the remaining structures are in the distress conditions. The structure is M.S. supporting
column fixed on a single pile foundation (Khan, 2020). On 19th May and 27th May 2015, the
site witnessed high speed winds. These resulted in structures to be uprooted from their
foundation and were damaged significantly. The purlins and rafters were damaged beyond
repair at certain locations. At certain areas where the purlins and rafters could not be mended,
different ones were used. Identifying the scale of damage, the owner decided to carry out a
detailed investigation into the failure of structures and utilized the structure consultants’
services to carry out the revised design of foundation and support the Module Mounting
Structures. (Fig-3.1)
c. Findings and Solutions for Damage:
1. Field Observations after Damage due to Heavy Rain and Wind:
• Terrain of the project area is flat. In order to provide effective drainage, part of the
project site has been filled up and the ground level is raised. The extent of filling varies
between 0.4 m to 0.6 m from the original ground level.
52
54
55
An independent design check was carried out based on IS 875-3 and the design submitted,
based on which the following inferences are made. As a combined effect of the multiple
discrepancies in the design calculations e.g.: overestimation of force calculations and some
overestimation of the capacity of piles, the final recommended twin pile of 350 mm
diameter with 3500 mm length inside the soil is found to be adequate based on the checks
carried out. It is observed that the Type A foundation design is safe, and the margins of
safety are adequate. Prima facie, it might seem that the margins in bending moment are
significantly higher (a utility ratio of 0.13). However, optimizing the pile foundation for
bending moment by reducing either the diameter or depth of the pile would result in
reduction of its uplift capacity, which would result in failure against uplift as well as affect
its lateral deflections as they are correlated.
2. Review of Type B: Single Pile Preventive Foundation: The design forces and design
calculations for the foundation was reviewed and following are the discussions presented
from Excelsior Engineering Solution Overview of the Design Type B Single Pile:
a. Grade of concrete- M25; grade of reinforcement- Fe500.
b. 450 mm diameter pile; total length of pile in the soil is 3800 mm.
c. Pile cap 750 mm diameter; 300 mm in the soil, 300 mm projected above NGL.
d. Pile reinforcement- 5 nos. 12 mm dia + 1 no. 16 mm dia bars.
e. Pile cap reinforcement- 6 nos. 16 mm dia bars.
f. Anchor bolts- 6 nos. 16 mm dia, 900 mm long 6.8 grade anchor bolts with 700 mm
embedding in the concrete and 100 mm L-bend beyond that.
g. Base plate 350x350x8 mm dimension.
An independent design check based on IS 875-3, IS 456 (200), and IS 2911 part-1 sec-2
and considering the missing criteria from the submitted design, the following can be
concluded: As a combined effect of the multiple discrepancies in the design calculations
e.g. overestimation of force calculations, some overestimation of the capacity of piles, and
some underestimation of the capacity, the final recommended single pile of 450 mm
diameter with 3800 mm length inside the soil is found to be adequate based on the checks
56
Figure 4.1 Photos Indicating the extent of damage witnessed due to heavy wind
57
• A detailed review of the foundation Type A: Twin Pile corrective as per the ASCE and
Several IS codes as indicated, revealed that the designed foundations are safe. The
margins of Safety considered for the design of foundation are adequate for a safe
operational life of the project. The anchor bolts utilized are adequate to withhold as
well as transmit the forces acting on them as per IS-456.
• A detailed review of the foundation Type B: Single Pile Preventive as per the ASCE
and Several IS codes as indicated, revealed that the designed foundations are safe. The
margins of safety considered for the design of foundation are adequate for a safe
operational life of the project. The anchor bolts utilized are adequate to withhold as
well as transmit the forces acting on them as per IS-456.
After the review and in-depth study as mentioned so far, he identified risks were
categorized and grouped into different phases of the solar power plant as shown in Table-
4.1 Further details of each phase with broad categories are depicted in Table-
4.2,4.3,4.4,4.5,4.6
58
59
60
a Operation
b Maintenance
4.1 Summary
The major activities and sub-activities are identified for all phases of solar parks under study in
the Indian scenario and are tabulated. The same activities are later analysed and assessed in terms
of risk management methods in the later chapter.
61
63
65
66
67
68
70
The data analysis of the quantitative output of the qualitative attribute survey for each attribute of
quality, risk assessment can be obtained using Modified Analytical Hierarchy Process (MAHP)
data analysis tool which is a MCDM tool used to obtain ranks and outputs. Initially, a
questionnaire is formulated to obtain the responses pertaining to “Probability of occurrence of
risk" and “Impact" which is filled up by industry experts of a sample space of 120. These values
range from 0 to 1 where 0 indicates nil probability of occurrence of a risk and impact while 1
indicates very high probability of occurrence of a risk and impact. For computational simplicity,
the risk rating values obtained from questionnaire survey have been converted into “Satty Scale"
(1,2,3,4,5) with the help of which pair-wise comparison matrix is constructed to obtain weights of
the sub-group risk factors. Additionally, a level of risk non-singular matrix is created for each item
of the chosen subgroup (elements of row 1 are divided by weights of respective column to that of
row and so on). Probability weight based non-singular matrix is created for each item of the chosen
subgroup.
This process is repeated for all the three solar parks under study in this case with the Saaty scales
for each of the phases in terms of broad activities and sub activities separately. Another constraint
to this process is that it cannot differentiate between the better solar park or can make any
quantitative assertion among the case studies.
71
Risk Cost (RC) = Corrective Cost (CC) * Risk likelihood or Probability of occurrence (Li) (5.2)
Risk Time (RT) = Corrective Time (CT) * Risk likelihood or Probability of occurrence (Li) (5.3)
In order to estimate the risk index and risk ranking, normalised weights have been estimated based
on the total weights calculated for each phase. These normalized weights have been multiplied
with risk severity to estimate the risk index which is denoted as:
Below is Table 5.1 which highlights the Satty Scale Risk Rating and Table 5.2 highlights the risk
severity scale used for this research work.
i Equal Importance 1
72
Description Values
Low 0.00-0.10
Medium 0.11-0.20
High 0.21-0.30
Very High 0.31-0.50
Critical 0.51-0.70
Very Critical 0.70-1.00
Table 5.3 represents the sample computation of the normalized weights for the risk under Phase
1.
73
C-1 C-2 C-3 C-4 C-5 C-6 C-7 C-8 C-9 C-10 C-11 C-12 C-13 C-14 C-15
Weights Normalised
Row-1 a b c d e f g h i j k
(W) Weights (Wn)
Saaty
Row-2 4 3 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 5
Scale
Row-3 a 4 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25 0.95 0.08
Row-4 b 3 1.33 1.00 1.33 1.33 1.67 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.33 1.67 1.27 0.11
Row-5 c 4 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25 0.95 0.08
Row-6 d 4 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25 0.95 0.08
Row-7 e 5 0.80 0.60 0.80 0.80 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.80 1.00 0.76 0.07
Row-8 f 4 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25 0.95 0.08
Row-9 g 3 1.33 1.00 1.33 1.33 1.67 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.33 1.67 1.27 0.11
Row-10 h 3 1.33 1.00 1.33 1.33 1.67 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.33 1.67 1.27 0.11
74
Row-12 j 4 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25 0.95 0.08
Row-13 k 5 0.80 0.60 0.80 0.80 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.80 1.00 0.76 0.07
75
Table 5.4 represents the sample calculation of the weights for the risks of Row 3 under Phase 1
of the solar power project.
76
C-1 C-2 C-3 C-4 C-5 C-6 C-7 C-8 C-9 C-10 C-11 C-12 C-13 C-14 C-15
Normalised
Weights
Row-1 a b c d e f g h i j k Weights
(W)
(Wn)
Saaty
Row-2 4 3 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 5
Scale
Average
of
4/4 = 3/4 = 4/4= 4/4 = 5/ 4 = 4/4 = 3/4 = 3/4 = 3/4 = 4/4 = 5/ 4 = Values 0.95/11.39
Row-3 a 4
1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.00 1.25 (C-3 to = 0.08
C-13) =
0.95
77
The computation of normalized weights for the risks of all phases of solar power plant is
presented in Table 5.5.
78
Nor
Nor
mali Norm Norm Norma
malis
sed alised alised lised
Activity Weights Activity Weights Activity Weights Activity Weights ed Activity Weight
Wei Weig Weig Weigh
No (W) No (W) No (W) No (W) Weig No s (W)
ghts hts hts ts
hts
(Wn (Wn) (Wn) (Wn)
(Wn)
)
a 0.95 0.08 a 1.05 0.09 a 1.38 0.17 a 1.25 0.15 a 1.00 0.50
b 1.27 0.11 b 1.39 0.12 b 1.03 0.13 b 1.25 0.15 b 1.00 0.50
c 0.95 0.08 c 0.84 0.07 c 1.03 0.13 c 0.94 0.11 2.00 1.00
79
Nor
Nor
mali Norm Norm Norma
malis
sed alised alised lised
Activity Weights Activity Weights Activity Weights Activity Weights ed Activity Weight
Wei Weig Weig Weigh
No (W) No (W) No (W) No (W) Weig No s (W)
ghts hts hts ts
hts
(Wn (Wn) (Wn) (Wn)
(Wn)
)
80
Table 5.6 Summary of Risk Severity of Risk Factors of Solar Power Plant through EVM
Methodology
Table 5.7 Summary of Final Risk Index for Identified Risks of Solar Power Plants
81
Identification of risk in any infrastructure project will help in addressing impact likely to
happen on the project in terms of safety, environmental disaster besides financial loss. This
will also help the managers and decision makers forewarn any uncertainties likely to occur
which will have impact on budget and time. If the same logic is applied to a solar power
plant, the risk will be linked to fire hazards, loss of life besides substantial power
generation loss leading to major financial implications. Identification of risk will be the
responsibility of the top management especially Senior Managers by virtue of their
experience and exposure. They understand each and every activity and stages involved in
implementation of projects which are the best suited and they prepare check list to verify
at each and every level and also for applying QA and QC. This action will minimize the
risk factor to a great extent. The present study has confirmed that due to lack of managerial
co-ordination and deployment of skilled people at each stage has led to major impact on
the projects. Hence identification of the risk and managing the same by taking appropriate
action by manager at each level is of paramount important in successful timely
implementation of project.
Harnessing the divine solar energy is of paramount importance in the present context of
global warming and also to limit dependency on fossil fuel. In this regard several steps
have been taken across the globe and India is making all-out efforts to become the Mecca
of renewable energy. In this regard the study that has carried out by identifying nearly 308
risks in implementation of solar parks, both medium and large scale, has helped in
identifying the core areas where the policy makers, developers and other stakeholders need
to focus.
The studies on the risk assessment for different locations of Solar Power Plant projects
have revealed the following outcomes;
82
Project in Gujarat
Highest risk is observed in Phase-4 i.e. Vendor selection, procurement, construction and
commissioning Stage of the project on both Broad Activities as well as Sub Activities.
Project in Karnataka
Highest risk is observed in Phase-2 i.e. Survey, investigation, master plan and concept
report Stage of the project based on Sub Activities and Phase-1 i.e. Feasibility study based
on Broad Activities.
It is evident from the detailed analysis of risks that no compromise shall be done on at the
time of identification of the site and investigation. Any compromise will have major impact
on the project. For any infrastructure project, the primary activity is to identify the site and
conduct all necessary survey, investigation, master plan and concept report when compared
with any other phase of work. Similarly, even in the present study the above results
indicates that, out of the three projects two projects indicates the Phase of “Survey,
Investigation, Master Plan and Concept Report” is only representing High Risk Index
which needs proper attention to minimize further complexity during the further phases of
the project.
From the study it is noted that, Phase-2 of Implementation of Solar Power Plants includes
major activities like Topographic Survey, Geotechnical Investigations, Land Acquisition,
Environmental Risks, Data Analysis and Interpretation, Master plan preparation etc. In the
event proper examination of the above factors if not considered this will add complexity
to the project in terms of Risks.
The limitation of the present work is about the number of risks under certain phases of
broad and sub activities and risk management for all the risks. Further, for future research
the risk analysis with additional risks if any may be considered using Fuzzy TOPSIS and
Fuzzy Preference relations for all major activities of a Solar Park.
83
The definitions of Fuzzy TOPSIS have been adapted from sources. These definitions are
presented as follows:
84
Definition 2: A triangular fuzzy number is denoted by the triplet ā = (a1, a2, a3). The
triangular fuzzy number 𝓊𝑎 (𝑥) membership function (x).
A fuzzy set ā, membership function 𝜇ā that maps each element x in X to a real number in
the interval [0, 1]. A triangular fuzzy number is represented ā = (𝑎1, 𝑎2, 𝑎3)
𝑎1and 𝑎3are the lower and upper bounds of the available area for the evaluation data.
(5.8)
85
Let ā = (a1, a2, a3) and b = (b1, b2, b3) be two triangular fuzzy numbers. The distance
1
𝑑 (𝑎, 𝑏) = √3 [(𝑎1 − 𝑏1)2 + (𝑎2 − 𝑏2)2 + (𝑎3 − 𝑏3)2 (5.9)
Conversion scales are used to convert language words to fuzzy numbers. Typically, a scale
of 1 to 9 is used to rate the criteria and options. The intervals are designed so that the fuzzy
triangular numbers used for the five linguistic ratings have a uniform representation from
1 to 9. Table 5.8 displays the fuzzy ratings for the language factors. The Satty scale for risk
86
1 Equal importance 1
The methodology for Fuzzy TOPSIS is explained below through the following steps:
Step 1:
Step 2:
Step 3:
Step 4:
Providing aggregated alternative and criteria weightage and formulation of fuzzy decision
matrix:
wj1= min {wj k1}, wj2=1/K ∑ wj k2, wj3= max {wj k3} (5.11)
87
Fuzzy multi criteria Group Decision Making (GDM) and carrying out process of
normalizing:
As working on various criteria for decision making has been carried out, two vital criteria
on which the complex infrastructure depends are benefit criteria and cost criteria. The aim
is to maximize benefit and minimize the cost. A fuzzy multi criteria GDM problem which
can be concisely expressed in matrix format as:
Step 6:
Computation of Fuzzy Positive Ideal Solution (FPIS)and Fuzzy Negative Ideal Solution
(FNIS) to be done as follows:
Select the maximum value from each row as p+ and select the minimum value from each
row as p-.
Step 7:
The distance of each weighted alternative can be computed from the following equations:
𝑑𝑖=∑𝑛𝑗=1(𝑝𝑖𝑗,−) (5.16)
88
Here alternative A1 is chosen as cost criteria which need to be kept minimum and
alternative A2 is kept as the benefit criteria which need to be kept maximum. The following
scales are chosen by the authors based on their past experience for the FPIS, FNIS and
closeness coefficient (CC) for computation of the risk severity.
Table 5.10 Scale for risk severity based on difference of FPIS and FNIS
1 000-030 Low
2 031-110 Moderate
3 111-230 High
5 401-1000 Critical
Table 5.11 Scale for risk severity based on closeness coefficient (CC)
[ CC1(A1) – CC2(A2)]
2 0.201-0.250 Moderate
89
5 0.601-0.999 Critical
According to Table 5.10, which represents the scale for risk severity based on the
difference of the FPIS and FNIS values, based on the past experience of the authors the
scale has been chosen. If the difference of FPIS and FNIS of the alternatives A1 which is
the cost criteria and alternative A2 which is the benefit criteria, is ranging from values
“000-030” then the risk severity is “low”. If the values are ranging from “031-110”, “111-
230”, “231-400” and “401-1000” then the risk severities are considered to be “moderate”,
“high”, “very high” and “critical” respectively. According to table 4, which represents the
scale for risk severity based on closeness coefficient (CC), the value of the difference of
CC of alternative A1 and A2, if the value is ranging from “0.000-0.2000” then the risk
severity is considered to be “low”. Similarly, if the values range from “0.201-0.250”,
“0.251-0.460”, “0.401-0.600”, “0.601-0.999” then the risk severity is considered to be
“moderate”, “high”, “very high” and “critical” respectively. After analysis of the risks by
fuzzy TOPSIS, the final decision about the risk severities for each identified activity need
to be taken based on the values obtained through FPIS, FNIS and CC computations. FPIS,
FNIS gives some idea about the risk severities, thus the action taken would be indicative
but CC computations gives more accurate values for risk severities, and thus the action
taken based on CC values appear to be more confirmatory. Thereby, it is advisable to
decide the recommendations and mitigation measures based on both the values.
Three case studies of solar plants of Rajasthan, Gujarat and Karnataka are considered for
this study.
90
A solar power plant project was implemented at Gajner Village, Kolayat Tehsil, Bikaner
District, Rajasthan. The capacity of Power Generation of this project is about 5.83 MW.
Project has been spread over an area of 30 Acres. The project was commissioned in the
year 2012-13. Project belongs to a private company.
The project under consideration in Karnataka is based on solar power plants proposed by
four businesses, namely KEPL, MEPL, SEPL, and SAPL at Gaddikere Village near Hagar
Bommanahalli, Bellary Dist., Karnataka. This project's power generation capacity is
around 12.1 MW (11.0 MW on AC side and 12.1 MW on DC side). The total area included
by all three survey numbers comes to 57.21 acres. In the fiscal year 2016-17, the project
was commissioned.
The details of the identified risks under Phase1 (Feasibility study), Phase 2 (Survey,
investigation, master plan and concept report, Phase 3(Detailed design and specifications
- civil, structural, electrical, scada and transmission line), Phase 4 (Vendor selection,
procurement, construction and commissioning) and Phase 5 (Operation and maintenance
of solar plants) are given in Appendix 1.
The data gathered from the questionnaire survey was analysed using the fuzzy TOPSIS
approach. The fuzzy TOPSIS approach may be used to assess many options against the
chosen criteria. The TOPSIS approach scales quantitative criteria using their own actual
numbers and for representation of geographical data imprecision, and human cognition
91
There are a number of multiple criteria strategies available to help with choosing in
multiple-criteria situations. One of these is the TOPSIS technique, which ranks alternatives
based on their relative resemblance to the ideal solution, avoiding the problem where both
positive and negative ideal solutions have the same similarity index. The TOPSIS method
is a valuable and practical strategy for ranking and selecting options. The TOPSIS model,
which is based on the idea of fuzzy sets, expresses the rating of each alternative in
triangular or trapezoidal fuzzy numbers, the weight of each criterion in fuzzy or crisp
values, and multiple normalizations are utilised. The TOPSIS technique selects the optimal
option that is closest to the Fuzzy Positive Ideal Solution (FPIS) and farthest from the
Fuzzy Negative Ideal Solution (FNIS). The best performance values for each choice
comprise an FPIS, whereas the lowest performance values comprise a FNIS. Here, the
relevant steps of Fuzzy TOPSIS are presented below:
Here, as a sample analysis for one phase of the project, like the phase 5 which is the
operation and maintenance phase, two alternatives such as A1 and A2 have been chosen.
Also, two decision makers namely DM1 and DM2 have also been considered. Alternative
A1 is chosen as the cost criteria of the project which need to be kept minimum and
alternative A2 is chosen as the benefit criteria delivered by the project which needs to be
kept maximum. The two major decision makers of the project are DM1 who is the client
and DM2 who is the principal implementer of the project. Now, decision makers rate the
alternatives as shown below. Table 5.12 and Table 5.13 represent the alternative ratings
for A1 and A2 respectively.
92
Sr
Risk description Alternative A1
No.
DM1 DM2
Reduction in power generation due to
1 9 3
variation in solar energy
2 Fire hazards 9 3
3 Robbery of equipment 5 7
4 Unskilled operational staff 7 7
Delay in supply of materials for
5 9 5
maintenance
6 Poor maintenance by operating staff 9 9
7 Scarcity of water 7 3
Delay in attending the break-down in
8 7 3
operation
Table 5.13 Alternative ratings by decision makers for phase-5 (operation and
maintenance)
93
The next step is determination of criteria weightage by the decision makers. This is
highlighted through Table 5.14.
Table 5.14 Criteria weightage by decision makers (1 and 2) for phase-5 (operation and
maintenance)
Criteria
Sr No. Risk description
Weightage
A1 A2
2 Fire hazards 7 7
3 Robbery of equipment 7 7
7 Scarcity of water 3 9
94
The next step is to apply fuzzy numbers. The fuzzy numbers are triangular fuzzy numbers
for decision makers 1 and 2. The application of fuzzy numbers to the maintenance and
operation phase of the project is presented through Table 5.15 and 5.16
Table 5.15 Application of fuzzy numbers for alternative A1 for phase-5 (operation and
maintenance)
Fuzzy Number A1
95
Fuzzy Number A2
Sr
Risk description DM1 DM2
No.
The next step is computation of fuzzy number criteria for alternatives A1 and A2. Table
5.17 represents the fuzzy number criteria weightage for alternative A1 and A2.
96
Sr
Risk description A1 A2
No.
The aggregated alternative and criteria weightage fuzzy decision matrix is then computed.
The aggregated alternative and criterion weightage fuzzy decision matrix is shown in Table
5.18.
97
Aggregated fuzzy
decision matrix for
alternatives
Sr
Risk description A1 A2
No.
(e) Fuzzy multi criteria Group Decision Making (GDM) and process of normalizing
The next stage is to use fuzzy multi-criteria Group Decision Making (GDM) and the
normalising procedure. The normalised aggregated fuzzy decision matrix for alternatives
A1 and A2 is shown in Table 5.19. The weighted normalised fuzzy decision matrix is
shown in Table 5.20.
98
Normalized Matrix
Sr
Risk description A1 A2
No.
99
Sr
Risk description A1 A2
No.
FPIS can be computed by equation (5.13) and FNIS can be computed by equation (5.14).
Select the maximum value from each row as p+ and select the minimum value from each
row as p-.
Table 5.21 and 5.22 represents FPIS and FNIS for the identified risks of the operation and
maintenance phase of the solar power plant under study.
100
FPIS
Sr
Risk description A1 A2
No.
Table 5.22 FNIS for identified risks for phase-5 (operation and maintenance)
FNIS
Sr.
Risk description A1 A2
No
101
The distance of each weighted alternative is computed from equation (5.18) and (5.19).
1
𝑑 (𝑎, 𝑏) = √ [(𝑎1 − 𝑏1)2 + (𝑎2 − 𝑏2)2 + (𝑎3 − 𝑏3)2 ]
3
𝒅1+= 39.05
𝒅2+= 59.11
𝒅1-= 58.63
𝒅2-= 29.46
The closeness coefficients of each alternative A1, A2 are computed from equation (5.20).
102
Here the closeness coefficient (CC1) for alternative A1 which is the cost criteria, which
should be aimed to be kept minimum. For project like solar power plants the initial
investment is high and the expenses for operation and maintenance is also quite high.
Thereby the values for CC1 need to be kept as low as possible. The other alternative A2 is
the benefit criteria, for which the closeness coefficient (CC2) should be as maximum as
possible. According to the analysis, for operation and maintenance phase, CC1(A1) is
0.548 which is quite high and thereby the risk severity appears to be high. The value of
CC2 (A2) is 0.286 which is quite low and thereby the risk severity appears to be high.
In the similar manner FPIS and FNIS of all the phases (one to five) of the solar power
plants under study have been computed. The FPIS and FNIS of all the phases are presented
in Table 5.23.
Table 5.23 FPIS and FNIS values of all the phases of the solar power plant project
Risk severity
Value of total of
FPIS (A1+A2) =
575.7 which is
FPIS – FNIS =
575.7-
474.2=101.5
103
, FPIS (A1+A2) =
concept FPIS-FNIS =
report) 296.23
Phase 3
(Detaile
d
design
Value of total of
and
FPIS (A1+A2) =
specific
645.91 which is
ations -
much greater than
civil,
the value of total
structur 418.8 318.7
227.1 50.6 of FNIS (A1 + Very high
al, 1 1
A2) = 369.31
electric
al, FPIS-FNIS =
scada 276.60
and
transmi
ssion
line)
104
(Vendo
Value of total of
r
FPIS (A1+A2) =
selectio
1246.97 which is
n,
much greater than
procure
the value of total
ment, 354.7 892.2 818.7 158.9
of FNIS (A1 + Very high
constru 6 1 2 5
A2) = 997.67
ction
and FPIS-FNIS =
commis 249.30
sioning
)
Value of total of
FPIS (A1+A2) =
121.89 which is
Phase 5 slightly greater
(Operat than the value of
ion and 48.3 73.59 58.63 29.46 total of FNIS (A1 Moderate
mainten + A2) = 88.09
ance)
FPIS-FNIS =
33.80
105
The risk severities of the different phases of the project can also be verified through the
computation of CC. The values of CC for alternative A1 and A2 as computed by equation
(5.20) is presented in table 5.24.
106
Risk severity
Difference
CC1 CC2 (low/moderat
Phase CC1(A1) –
(A1) (A2) e/high/very
CC2(A2)
high/critical)
Phase 1 (Feasibility
0.591 0.306 0.285 High
studies)
Phase 2
(Survey, investigation,
master plan and concept 0.593 0.137 0.456 High
report)
Phase 3
107
(Vendor selection,
procurement, construction 0.698 0.151 0.547 Very high
and commissioning)
For phase 1, CC1 for alternative (A1) is 0.591 and CC2 for alternative (A2) is 0.306. The
difference of CC1(A1) and CC2(A2) is 0.285. According to risk rating scale for CC as per
table 5.24, the risk severity for phase 1 is “high”. According to the analysis of FPIS and
FINS (table 12) the risk severity was found to be “moderate”. Thus, it can be concluded
that the risk severity of phase 1 ranges from “moderate to high”. For phase 2, CC1(A1) is
0.593 and CC2(A2) is 0.137. The difference of CC1(A1) and CC2(A2) is 0.456. According
to risk rating scale for CC as per table 5.11, the risk severity for phase 2 is “high”.
According to the analysis of FPIS and FINS (table 5.23) the risk severity was found to be
“very high”. Thus, it has been observed that the risk severity of phase 2 ranges from “high
to very high”. For phase 3, the CC1 (A1) is 0.583 and CC2(A2)-is 0. 108.The difference
of CC1(A1) and CC2(A2) is 0.475. According to risk rating scale for CC the risk severity
for phase 3 is “very high”. This exactly matches with the analysis of FPIS and FINS (table
5.23). The risk severity was found to be “very high”. For phase 4 CC1(A1) is 0.698 and
CC2(A2) is 0. 151.The difference of CC1(A1) and CC2(A2) is 0.547. According to risk
rating scale for CC the risk severity for phase 4 is “very high”. This exactly matches with
the analysis of FPIS and FINS (table 5.23). The risk severity was found to be “very high”.
Finally for phase 5, CC1(A1) is 0.548 and CC2(A2) is 0.286. The difference of CC1(A1)
and CC2(A2) is 0.262. According to risk rating scale for CC the risk severity for phase 5
is “high”. According to the FPIS and FNIS analysis (table 12), the risk severity was found
108
The corrective and preventive measures of the identified risks are presented in tables 5.25,
5.26, 5.27, 5.28 and 5.29.
Table 5.25 Corrective and preventive measures for the risks of phase 1 (Feasibility
studies).
(i) Hire
technically sound
consultant for
(i)Frequent
drafting terms (ii)
meeting of
Draft detailed and
stakeholders to
Letter of unambiguous LOI
decide the final
1 Intent Very high by a sound
terms (ii)Clear
(LOI) consultant (iii)
communication
Roles and
between
responsibilities of
stakeholders.
all stakeholders
must be clear and
for all the phases.
109
(i)Delay should
be avoided but
if it occurs then
all stakeholders
should
understand the
(i) Prior
Acceptance importance of
communication of
and kick of time and
availability of
meeting discussion
stakeholders from
and should be quick
client, contractor,
2 finalization High and decision
consultant or any
of the scope making should
other should be
and be fast.
done and date of
deliverable (ii)Multiple
meeting should be
s. meetings in
fixed.
short time
interval can be
decided to
achieve quick
decision
making.
There are no
Risks in corrective
110
111
sound proof
consultant to
check the
details
collected.
(i) Different
method of data (i) Hire a
collection can technically sound
Collection
5 Critical be identified by consultant for
of data
research and feasibility to avoid
should be any wrong details.
adopted.
112
113
Proper research
should be carried
out before
finalizing rates.
(i) Ensure
correct
Presentatio (i) Appoint a
information of
9 n and High sound technical
the project is
discussion consultant.
presented and
discussed.
114
(i) It can be
made more
accessible
Resource but the cost (i) Plan and appoint
mobilization of the project technically qualified
and could resources within
1 Very high
establishing increase short timeframe.
camp and which has to Planning should be
site office. be kept in done in detail.
mind. Also, it
varies based
on site.
115
(i) Extremely
difficult to
correct. It can
be done (i) Revenue system
through should be finalized
Land
frequent prior to start of the
4 acquisition Very high
meetings and project.
risks
identifying
problems and
coming at a
mutual
solution.
116
(i)Continuou
s negotiation
Resettlemen
and (i) Change the
t and
6 Very high discussion location of the
rehabilitatio
with the project.
n risks
affected
parties
(i) Different
methodology
can be
adopted to
complete
investigation (i) Points for
117
can be
appointed for
review as
third party.
(i) Standards
can be set
again or
amendments
can be done
and
meetings.
(ii)Repeat the
procedure
again if any
118
mistakes
occur.
Table 5.27 Corrective and preventive measures for the risks of phase 3 (Detailed design
and specifications - civil, structural, electrical, scada and transmission line)
Severity
Sr Corrective
(low/mediu Preventive
Risk Description Mitigation
No. m/high/v.hig Measure Mitigation Measure
h/critical)
(i) Issue
revised master (i) Appoint a
plan with technically sound
Revision in proper consultant. (ii)
1 High
master plan comments for Monitor and interact
necessary with stakeholders to
corrections avoid any changes.
incorporated.
119
h/critical)
(i) Supervisor
should monitor
the work
(i) Engineer with
properly. (ii)
ample amount of
Replacement
experience should be
of team
in charge.
members or
Risk in DPR
2 Very high providing them (ii) Proper planning
preparation
point of in hierarchical level
contact. of powers and
(iii)Look out reporting protocol.
for the changes
that can be
done in design
to save cost.
(i) Appoint a
(i)Verify the
technically sound
data and
team of engineers for
designs at site
Design of civil ensuring cost
3 Very high and modify the
works effective design by
proposal if
consultant with
found
relevant experience
incorrect.
in solar works.
120
h/critical)
(i) Appoint a
technically sound
consultant. (ii)
Preparation and (i) Verify the
Appointing a
submission of DDPR with
qualified team
Draft Detailed scope of work
6 Critical person having
Project Report and
adequate knowledge
(DDPR) including specifications
of all the components
tender documents finalised.
and material cost as
per prevailing
market condition.
121
h/critical)
(i) Review of
Approval of (i) Proof
documents by Team
7 DDPRand Tender Critical consultant can
Leader and senior
documents be appointed.
technical persons.
(i) Review of
(i) Review of final
Submission of incorporated
DPR pertaining to
8 Final DPR and Very high comments by
discussions and
tender documents client and proof
comments on DDPR.
consultant.
Table 5.28 Corrective and preventive measures for the risks of phase 4 (Vendor selection,
procurement, construction and commissioning)
Severity
Sr Corrective Preventive
Risk Description (low/mediu Mitigation Mitigation
No. m/high/v.hig Measure Measure
h/critical)
(i) Appoint a
technically sound
Invitation of tender (i)Issue
1 High consultant having
and award of work corrigendum
experience in
relevant works
122
(i)Appoint a
technically sound
consultant having
experience in
(i)Rectify the
relevant works and
Acceptance and mistakes if any
whole team should
kick of meeting and in the scope of
3 Very high have full knowledge
finalization of the work and issue
about the project. (ii)
scope addendum for
Plan for mobilisation
the work.
of team and
machineries for start
of construction
activities.
123
124
(i) Random
checks shall be
made and if
Mechanical and (i)Appoint a
found faults,
7 electrical works and Very high technically sound
the same shall
quality electric consultant
be rectified at
the cost of
contractor.
(i) Introduce
effective safety (i) Proper safety
measures to be measures shall be
8 Safety Critical followed ensured as part of
during project HSE compliance and
implementatio reviewed by PMC
n.
125
(i) Different
factors
decreasing
power
generation
(i) Cleaning
should be
technique should
determined and
be planned
Reduction in mitigated
carefully as dust
power accordingly.
accumulation on
1 generation due Critical For example, if
solar panels is a
to variation in the temperature
major risk which
solar energy becomes too
reduces the power
high which
generation
affects the
capacity.
material
properties of
the panels, then
it can be
controlled.
126
susceptible to fire
in the plant.
(ii) Collect
(i) Enhance
information about
security to
Robbery of such cases. (ii)
3 Very high sensitive
equipment Appropriate
locations along
security can be
the boundary.
planned.
(i) Material
supply can be
made faster by
Delay in (i) Appropriate
different
supply of schedule should be
5 High methods such
materials for prepared and
as Just in Time
maintenance updated regularly.
(JIT) and other
models but it
can cost higher.
127
(i) Alternative
technologies
(i) Site selection
can be adopted
Scarcity of should be planned
7 Very high like use of
water for project
scrubbers to
lifecycle.
clean solar
panels etc.
(i) Instrumentation
and control should
be established
(i) No which would notify
corrective any breakdown
Delay in measures. anywhere in the
attending the Operation and plant. (ii)
8 Very high
break-down in maintenance Operation and
operation team should maintenance team
avoid any such should be prepared
delays. for any such
breakdown and
they should plan
accordingly.
After careful scrutiny of the results from AHP and TOPSIS analysis the following
conclusions are drawn. TOPSIS has substantial advantages over the conventional AHP
process in terms that it can evaluate the data using fuzzy numbers from various decision
makers or sources. In this case, TOPSIS approach combines the input of the solar parks
from Rajasthan, Gujarat and Karnataka and combines them with the same activities and
128
It is evident from the above analysis that in Fuzzy TOPSIS method, data for the project
will be collected from people who are critically involved in project implementation at multi
levels. Besides the questionnaire will be responded by multiple people who are involved
during the project implementation cycle and also responsible for timely completion in-
spite of several challenges. Hence this has more accurate and decisive making outcome
helping the management to ensure either the risks are totally mitigated or reduced to
minimum severity. Further, key management team can also act in taking preventive
measures for managing the risks since corrective measures will have major impact in terms
of economics besides fatal accidents. In view of these, the authors strongly believe that
whenever projects of are of similar nature with multidisciplinary components, adopting
Fuzzy TOPSIS MCDM will help in mitigating the major risks, thus ensuring the
enhancement of probability of successful completion of the project within stipulated time
and cost frame.
129
6.0 Introduction
As of June 30th, 2020, India's installed solar capacity was 35,739 MW. From April 2019
through March 2020, solar power output was 50.1 TWh, or 3.6 percent of total generation
(1,391 TWh). The cost of setting up 1 GW of Solar Power Plant will be about Rs. 5000
Crores. The exponential growth in Renewable energy (RE) market like solar and wind,
leading to the need for an accurate and precise economic feasibility evaluation of these
technologies, is a cause of concern to the Project Investors, the developers as well as the
decision makers. It is required to consider the cost of all the works involved in such projects
right from the feasibility stage till completion including the safe disposal phases or what it
was called life cycle costing (LCC). LCC is a methodology used in economic calculation
of the entire cost incurred during the life span of any project. For Renewable Energy (RE-
Solar) systems, LCC is a good methodology, which shows the cost-effectiveness of using
RE as an alternative source compared to conventional power generations. LCC model is
applied to the Photo-Voltaic (PV) projects in Indian scenario since the projects planned are
of gigantic scale and hence this exercise will help for decision makers to take appropriate
decision while approving such projects.
Harnessing of Solar energy has been increasing exponentially during last decade in view
of government favourable policies to promote RE. Further, the drastically fallen prices of
PV module in the last few years (Fig-5.1) has made the field attractive to the investors. In
addition, the automated innovations in manufacturing processes and metallization
solutions also contributes to the current fall in prices. PV cells manufacturing costs have
sharply declined from more than Rs. 68/Wp at 2010 to approximately less than 21/Wp
nowadays and expected to go further down in the coming times. The decline in the cost of
the PV module and the increase in the commissioning of the Solar PV plants during the
previous decade (2010-2020) are shown in Fig 6.1 and 6.2 respectively.
131
132
1 2010 68 161
2 2011 60 461
3 2012 48 1205
4 2013 41 2319
5 2014 37 2632
6 2015 32 3744
7 2016 30 6763
8 2017 28 12289
9 2018 24 21651
10 2019 21 28181
11 2020 21 34627
Figure 6.3 Year wise Module price and Installed capacity – Indian scenario
133
The Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) is a phrase that summarises the cost of solar power
generated over a period of time, generally the system's guaranteed life. By purchasing
solar, you are effectively constructing a hedge against growing utility prices by securing
a fixed per kWh rate at a known cost.
The levelized cost of electricity is the average income per unit of electricity generated
necessary to recoup the expenses of constructing and operating a producing facility over
an anticipated financial life and duty cycle. The levelized cost of energy (LCOE) is
frequently quoted as a concise summary estimate of the overall competitiveness of
various producing technologies. (US Energy Information Administration, Feb2020).
Capital costs, fuel expenses (no fuel costs in the case of RE), constant and variable
operations and maintenance (OM) costs, financing costs, and an anticipated utilisation
rate for each plant type are key inputs for calculating LCOE. The relevance of each of
these elements varies depending on the technology. LCOE varies approximately in
proportion to the expected capital cost of the technology for systems with no fuel costs
and relatively minor variable OM costs, such as solar and wind power producing
technologies. For technologies with high fuel prices, both fuel cost and capital cost
estimations have a considerable impact on LCOE.
Where LCOE is the Levelised Cost of Energy; LCC comprises of (i) Cost of Project
conceptualization / Feasibility / Detailed project activities / Statutory compliances /
Project financing / Costing for Pre project activities (C-Ppa), (ii) Cost of selection and
finalization of the correct technology (PV panels) and cost towards procurement of the
same (C-Panel), (iii) Cost of AC and DC electrical side including transmission,
evacuation, inverters and associated related costs (C-Elec.), (iv)Cost of civil, mechanical
design including mounting structure costing (C-Civil and Mounting), (v) Cost of all the
peripeheral works, testing and commissioning (C-Pw and Com), (vi) Operation and
maintenance costing (C-OM) and (vii) Cost of safe disposal of the PV panels after their
life span (C-PDis).Since LCC is a decision making tool to forecast the future cost of a
134
The Life Cycle Energy (LCE) produced has been computed through equation (6.2).
LCC is a good methodology, especially for the RE system, which shows the benefits of
using RE as an alternative source compared to fuel incurred costs. The LCE produced
can thus be computed annually, discounted with r discount rate as shown in equation 6.2.
AEPx(1−dfi)
Life Cycle Energy (LCE) = ∑ni=0 (1−r)i
(6.2)
Where AEP is the Expected Annual Energy produced, in line with the estimated life of
the project, “r” represents the interest rate,“i” represents the economic life of the facility
or system. With the system, life progresses, its output power yield will be degraded with
a factor “df” in order to get a better energy harvest forecasting.
Life Cycle Costing Analysis (LCCA) Model for Solar PV: Indian Scenario
Life Cycle Costing model developed for Indian scenario of solar PV generation
systemare distributed into seven cost centres as presented in equation 6.3.
135
Project conceptualization is an important event in any project since the idea of going
ahead with the project, including investment, will be decided and firmed up subjected to
economic validity of the project, availability of the land free from encumbrances,
statutory compliances, including required approvals from various authorities.
Any misadventure at this time will have a serious impact on the overall project completion
schedule resulting in an exponential increase in the project cost, and in some of the cases,
projects get abondonded. A thorough investigation at this juncture with respect to all the
“do’s” and “dont’s” of the project activities, including firming up of preliminary costing,
considering the overall project requirement, will ensure the investors’ confidence. All the
expenses involved under this category have been termed as cost towards Panels and should
be accounted for in the project cost CPpa.
2. Cost of selection and finalization of the right technology (PV panels) and cost
towards procurement of the same (CPanel):
Selection of the right kind of technology, including vendors, capable of meeting the project
timelines, having excellent track record regarding their performance including proven
technology with competitive price plays a vital role. In most cases, failure on the part of
selecting the right technology for the given environment and other climatic conditions will
lead to generation loss and also degradation of the panels much before the expected life
span. Research has to be done while selecting the appropriate technology, including the
supplier with all the warranties, so as to ensure that in the event any setback occurs, the
supplier should be able to make up good not only by replacing the panels and also taking
care of the generation losses. All the expenses involved under this category should be
accounted for in the project costC Panel.
136
The power generated from the panels will be DC, and this will be required to be converted
to AC with the help of an inverter for further transmission to the grid or to the consumer
point. They are working out detailed costs with respect to the inverter, electrical installation
on both AC and DC side, transmission line along with facilities at the power plant and
receiving station, monitoring system to detect any issues with the panels.All the expenses
involved under this category should be accounted for in the project costCElect.
Detailed design for civil and mechanical has to be carried out after study with regard to
soil parameters, foundation, wind, earth quake, flooding etc. There are several incidents
wherein the entire solar PV plant has been washed away due to floods or blown off due to
wind in view of the poor designs and construction without QA and QC. Hence required
precautions have to be taken at the time of investigation, design, construction and
commissioning followed by proper supervision, including the QA and QC.All the expenses
involved under this category should be accounted for in the project costCCivil and Mounting.
5. Cost of all the peripeheral works, testing and commissioning (C Pw and Com):
Every solar plant requires space all around for carrying out routine inspections, O and M,
besides protecting the plant from theft. Hence required accessibility to all the panels,
including the facility planned with proper entrance, security, building for fixing and
commissioning of inverters etc., to be catered while working out the detailed costing.
Third-party inspection at the time of testing and commissioning of the plant is equally
important for ensuring that there will not be any fire hazards or any other such challenges
at the time of commissioning of the plant. All the expenses involved under this category
should be accounted for in the project costCPw and Com.
6. Costing for safe disposal of the panels after their life span (C PDis):
The dark side of any solar PV plant is the safe disposals of the panels on completion of the
estimated life span, which normally is considered as 25 to 30 years. While manufacturing
137
Life cycle costing of PV modules is totally dependent on the quality of data or the input.
Higher the accuracy of the data, the output will be more realistic and implementable. As
reiterated infigure 1, the cost of the PV is decreasing in the last decade. In view of this in
the present study, the data and information have been collected from the main developers
or implementing agency through a questionnaire with regard to various parameters or
activities involved in the entire life cycle of the solar project. The only issue in the entire
data system is the disposal of solar PV panels. Consequent to completion of life span
(normally 25 to 30 years), it has been reported by all the developers that the panels have
to be safely disposed of, for which a certain amount has to be earmarked while working
out the life cycle cost.
The data and information with regard to solar projects implemented in Gujarat, Rajasthan,
Karnataka and Tamilnadu during the previous decade (2010 to 2020). The details of data
and information with respect to various states are furnished in table 2 and table 3. Figure
4 represents the LCC percentages for the 3.3 MW solar power plant of Karnataka, India.
Figure 5 represents LCC percentages for the 1 MW solar power plant of Charanka, India.
Figure 6 represents the LCC percentages for the 10 MW solar power plant of Andhra
Pradesh, India. Figure 7 represents LCC percentages for the 15 MW solar power plant of
Tamil Nadu, India. Figure 8 represents LCC percentages for the 5 MW solar power plant
of New Delhi, India and Figure 9 represents LCC percentages for the 5 MW solar power
plant of Barmer, Rajasthan, India.
138
Barme
Charan
Sr r, Tamiln Andhra New Karnat
Description ka,
No. Rajast adu Pradesh Delhi aka
Gujarat
han
15
1 MW 5 MW 10 MW 10 MW 3.3 MW
MW
Costing (INR Million)
Pre project
1 7.5 28.5 44.0 2.5 20.5 2.5
Costing
Selection and
procurement
2 75.5 200.0 562.5 320.0 450.0 115.5
Costing of
PV panels.
AC and DC
Electrical,
Inverter,
Installation,
3 Transmission 260.0 137.5 227.5 140.3 103.0 32.86
, evacuation,
including
related works
costing.
Civil,
Mechanical
design
4 including 17.5 87.5 157.5 159.3 306.0 31.64
mounting
structure
costing.
139
140
AC and DC
Electrical,
Civil,
Inverter,
Mechanical Peripheral
Commissi Installation,
Pre- PV Design works, Testing
oning Transmission,
project panels including and
Year Evacuation,
Mounting Commissioning
including
Structure.
Related
Works.
141
Figure 6.5. Life cycle costing percentages for 1 MW solar power plant of Charanka, India
142
Figure 6.7 Life cycle costing percentages for 15 MW solar power plant of Tamil Nadu,
India
143
Figure 6.9 Life cycle costing percentages for 5 MW solar power plant of Barmer,
Rajasthan, India
144
Cash flow has been worked out based on the initial investment cost envisaged for all the
projects based on the plant capacity. Summary of the cost and other details are presented
below, which have been financial cash flow analysis for different sensitivity scenarios.
Table 6.4 highlights the summary of the initial investment costs and other associated
costs of the six solar power plants of India under study. This comprises the tariff, PV
panel costs and Bill of Procurement (BOP) costs.
Table 6.4 Summary of the initial investment cost and other costs for the solar power
plants of India understudy
Barmer,
Sr Charanka Tamil Andhra New Karnat
Rajasth
No. , Gujarat Nadu Pradesh Delhi aka
an
Project
1 1 2 3 4 5 6
No.
Tariff
2 (INR / 15.00 8.00 7.05 7.05 8.05 8.40
KWH)
PV Cost
3 (INR 7.55 4.00 3.75 3.20 4.50 3.50
Cr./MW)
Bill of
Procurem
4 ent (BOP) 5.50 5.74 3.49 3.44 6.20 2.68
Cost (INR
Cr./MW)
5 Total MW 1 5 15 10 10 3
1st PV
Panel
6 0.50 2.50 7.50 5.00 5.00 1.65
Module
Commissi
145
2nd PV
Panel
Module
7 Commissi 0.50 2.50 7.50 5.00 5.00 1.65
oning
Capacity
(MW)
Table 6.5 represents the sensitivity analysis for the four cases of the Chankara solar power
plant of 1MW in Gujarat. It has been observed that 25 years project IRR for case 1 is
17.1%, for case 2 is 14%, for case 3 is 13.4% and for case 4 is 10.7%. The project payback
period for case 1 is 6.49 years, case 2 is 7.54 years, case 3 is 7.77 years, and case 4 is 9.12
years.The results of sensitivity analysis reveal that the plant is techo-economically viable.
Figure 10 represents the cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for case 1 for the solar
power plant of Charanka, Gujarat. Figure 6.11 represents a cash flow diagram for
sensitivity analysis for case-2 of the Charanka solar power plant of Gujarat.Figure 6.12
represents the cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for case-3 of the Charanka solar
power plant of Gujarat. Figure 6.13 represents the cash flow diagram for sensitivity
analysis for case-4 of the Charanka solar power plant of Gujarat.
146
147
₹ 10.00
₹-
₹ -10.00
₹ -20.00
₹ -30.00
2022
2031
2040
2021
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
Year
Figure 6.10 Cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for Case-1 Charanka, Gujarat
(1MW)
According to figure 6.10, which represents the cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis
for case 1 for solar power plant of Charanka, Gujarat, the cash revenue from the power
sales it goes on increasing from year 2029 up to 2046. The other associated costs like
operation and maintenance (O and M) costs, insurance costs, etc. are within the range
which the project authorities can afford. Thus, from the LCC computation, it has been
observed that the project is techno-economically viable.
148
₹ 10.00
₹-
₹ -10.00
₹ -20.00
₹ -30.00
2043
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2044
2045
2046
Year
Figure 6.11 Cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for Case-2 Charanka, Gujarat
(1MW)
Figure 6.11 represents the cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for case-2 of the
Charanka solar power plant of Gujarat. According to figure 5, the cash flow diagram for
the sensitivity analysis shows that the revenue from the power sales starts increasing from
year 2029 and then goes on steep increase up to year 2046. The other associated costs
related to operations and maintenance and insurance costs remain constant within an
affordable range from year 2021 to 2046. Thereby this indicates that the project for case 2
is techno-economically viable.
149
₹ 30.00
Project Cost (Rs. Cr.)
Project Net Cash Flow (Rs. Cr.)
₹ 20.00
Project Cumulative Net Cashflow (Rs. Cr.)
₹ 10.00
₹-
₹ -10.00
₹ -20.00
₹ -30.00
2038
2043
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2039
2040
2041
2042
2044
2045
2046
Year
Figure 6.12 Cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for Case-3 Charanka, Gujarat
(1MW)
Figure 6.12 represents cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for case-3 of the Charanka
solar power plant of Gujarat. It has been observed that the revenue from the power sales
starts increasing from year 2028 and then continuously increases up to year 2046. The
associated costs are bit less in the initial years of 2021 and 2022 but then remain constant
up to year 2046.Thus this plant also is techno-economically viable.
150
₹-
₹ -10.00
₹ -20.00
₹ -30.00
2023
2033
2043
2046
2021
2022
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2044
2045
Year
Figure 6.13. Cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for Case-4 Charanka, Gujarat
(1MW)
Figure 6.13 represents cash flow diagram for sensitivity analysis for case-4 of the Charanka
solar power plant of Gujarat.It has been observed that the revenue from the power sales
starts increasing from year 2029 and then continuously increases up to year 2046. The
associated costs are bit less in the initial years of 2021 and 2022 but then remain constant
up to year 2046.Thus this plant also is techno-economically viable.
Table 6.6 represents the sensitivity analysis for the four cases of the Barmer, Rajasthan
solar plant 5 MW in India. According to table 6 it has been observed that 25 years project
IRR for for case 1 is 9.9%, for case 2 is 7.6%, for case 3 is 7.2% and for case 4 is 5.1%.
The project payback period for case 1 is 9.61 years, case 2 is 11.43 years, case 3 is 11.86
years and case 4 is 14.31 years.The results of sensitivity analysis reveal that the plant is
techo-economically viable.
151
Table 6.6 represents thesensitivity analysis results for the four cases of the Tamilnadu solar
plant 15MW in India. Table 6.7 represents the sensitivity analysis results for the four cases
of the Tamilnadu solar plant 15MW in India.According to table 6.7, it has been observed
that 25 years project IRR for case 1 is 13%, for case 2 is 10.4%, for case 3 is 9.9% and for
case 4 is 7.6%. The project payback period for case 1 is 7.95 years, case 2 is 9.32 years,
case 3 is 9.66 years, and case 4 is 11.48 years.The results of sensitivity analysis reveal that
the plant is techo-economically viable.
152
Financial
Case-1 Case-2 Case-3 Case-4
Indicators/Sensitivity Cases
Table 6.8 represents the sensitivity analysis results for the four cases of the New Delhi
solar plant 10MW in India,According to table 8 it has been observed that 25 years project
IRR for for case 1 is 8.5%, for case 2 is 6.3%, for case 3 is 5.8% and for case 4 is 3.8%.
The project payback period for case 1 is 10.69 years, case 2 is 12.80 years, case 3 is 13.31
years, and case 4 is 16.20 years.The results of sensitivity analysis reveal that the plant is to
a certain extent techo-economically viable, and attempts need to be made to increase the
IRR and reduce the project payback period.
153
PV Cost (INR
4.50 5.18 4.50 5.18
Cr./MW)
BOP Cost (INR
6.20 7.13 6.20 7.13
Cr./MW)
Table 6.9 represents the sensitivity analysis results for the four cases of the Karnataka solar
plant 3.3 MW in India.According to table 8 it has been observed that 25 years project IRR
for case 1 is 20.9%, for case 2 is 17.4%, for case 3 is 16.6% and for case 4 is 13.6%. The
project payback period for case 1 is 5.56 years, case 2 is 6.41 years, case 3 is 6.62 years
and case 4 is 7.69 years. The results of sensitivity analysis reveal that the plant is very
much techo-economically viable.
154
Financial
Indicators/Sensitivity Case-1 Case-2 Case-3 Case-4
Cases
PV Cost (INR
3.50 4.03 3.50 4.03
Cr./MW)
155
In the present study, costing has been worked out for the projects executed in the states of
Gujarat, Rajasthan, New Delhi, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu states of
India. Data has been compiled for the projects in the east, west, north and south of India.
The investment costing considered includes pre-project expenses, PV panels, electrical AC
and DC, civil and mechanical installation and peripheral works. The cost towards disposal
of the PV panels has also been considered. In all the cases, PV panel investment is the
highest, and the pre-project or the peripheral expenses are the lowest. In some cases, like
Andhra Pradesh, the land was owned by the developer. The solar projects which are
considered for evaluation of life cycle cost analysis are located in different geographic
locations of India. The major cost component in solar project is the supply of solar panels
and any change in the cost of solar panel procurement will have direct impact on the project
cost. Incidentally, the graph presented in the paper shows the decline in the solar panel cost
over a period of a decade starting from 2010 to 2020 for procurement of solar panels in
Indian scenario. The solar projects have been executed starting from 2010-11 to as late as
2017-18. During this period the cost of solar panels have drastically reduced from INR 68
/ Wp to INR 21 / Wp. Since this component is being the major item of the solar project,
there is a substantial reduction in the project cost. This is also reflected in PPA rates signed
by project authorities which is varying from INR 15/KWh to INR 7.05/KWh.
According to the objectives of this research which is to compute a LCCA model for the
solar power plants in India, it has been observed that feasibility and economic viability
of solar power plants are quite high but there needs to be awareness campaigns and policy
incentives for promotion of sustainable and renewable energy like solar energy. The cash
flow analysis for all the six cases confirms that project payback depends on initial
investment and Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) rate. The payback is generally less
than eight years which is less than 30 % of the project life cycle of 25 years.The results
of this research are comparable with the past researches in India carried out by Kumar
(2015, 2016); Ranganath et al. (2020); Raina and Sinha (2019); Sahu (2016) and Sharma
et al.(2012). The studies carried out by the stated authors also communicates about the
techno-economic feasibility of the solar powern plants in India and encourages and
promotes the use of solar energy in Indian subcontinent. However, this study may not be
considered with the past studies outside Indian subcontinent as the geographical
156
The novelty and unique contribution of this research lies in communicating the concerned
authorities and policy makers of India about the techno-economic feasibility of the solar
plants in India which is adequately supported by the results and findings of this study.
Also this is an unique study for LCCA where the disposal cost of the solar PV pannels
has also been considered.
Validation of Data
The data and information furnished by the various project implementing authorities or
developers have also been validated by interacting with many suppliers in order to ensure
the data is realistic, with regard to costing of PV model, costing of inverters, costing of
civil structures including mounting etc. has been verified. The data and information
furnished by the developers are found to be realistic and can be considered for evaluation
of LCC of the project. However regarding the disposal of the PV model, not much
validation could be done except a confirmation from respective developers.
Conclusions
The exponential increase and growth in Renewable Energy (RE) markets like solar and
wind have led to the need for an accurate and precise evaluation ofthe economic
feasibility of these technologies. This is a cause of concern to the project investors,
developers and decision-makers. It is required to consider the cost of all the works
involved in such projects right from the feasibility stage till completion of the project and
also at safe disposal phases. Hence LCC is an excellent approach and methodology,
especially for a RE system which shows the benefits of using RE as an alternative source
compared to fuel incurred costs(due to fluctuations) in the present scenario in view of
global warming. LCC model forsolar PV generation system has been developedfor an
Indian scenario based on the data and information collected through extensive
questionnaire by interacting with developers,investors and also contractors. The unique
feature of the current study has been consideration of the solar PV pannel disposal costs.
It has been observed that for 25 years PV lifetime, the operation and maintenance
contribution and safe disposal of the PV panels to LCC is a mere 32.45%, and the average
157
158
7.0 Introduction
Covid Pandemic and subsequent developments in the international policy and decision
making is moving towards India centric development. This will be leading to major
industrial growth, rapid Urbanization and subsequent infrastructural developments,
requiring continuous and un-interrupted quality power supply and energy needs are
increasing exponentially. In the present scenario, use of fossil fuels or non-renewable
sources for energy generation will have adverse effect on environment and mankind as a
whole besides setting up such power plants takes substantial time and cost will also be
exorbitant. Hence, tapping freely available abundant divine solar energy, a non-
conventional energy source is one such endeavour to mitigate the process of climate
change. Realising the need for non-conventional energy and also to mitigate the threats of
159
While India is moving firmly and steadily in harnessing the divine solar energy on a
massive scale, but there are several challenges in maintaining such plants for ensuring
optimum generation in line with the projection for making such projects economically
viable. Solar PV energy is derived from solar radiation; however, for monocrystalline solar
PV panels under STC, only 15-18% of solar radiation is utilised to generate power. This
efficiency varies owing to numerous aspects such as: lower irradiance; greater temperature;
regardless of this, solar radiation is not captured due to the deposition of foreign particles
such as dust, bird excrement, snow, and many more. Cleaning solar PV panels has been a
difficulty in the renewable energy business in order to attain optimal efficiency.
7.1 SBCA
The Social Benefit Cost Analysis (SCBA) is a method of evaluating a project based on its
social rather than economic success. In almost all the project economic performance is
worked out since the investors will be having a major stake. Hence, in projects where
public interest or their hard-earned tax is being used for the implementation of the Projects.
It is necessary to assess the potential impacts on social quality of life rather than economic
quality of life. To conduct a scientific and systematic social cost benefit analysis of
projects, it is necessary to weigh each project's pros and cons to society as a whole, which
includes costs such as environmental damage, ecological imbalance, undesirable practises,
human services used, monopoly costs, adverse effect on society, and so on. Social
advantages, on the other side, include environmental improvements, increased availability
of products and services, job creation, poverty reduction, and activity that contributes to
the welfare of society (Natarajan and Nalini, 2015). When a project has a significant social
impact, a social cost-benefit analysis is necessary, which is often performed by the
government POLLOCK (2005). A significant advantage of a social cost benefit analysis is
that it allows investors to analyse several project alternatives in a systematic and unified
manner.
The construction of new solar power facilities is undeniably dependent on the importation
of very volatile fossil resources. As a result, it is vital to address the energy problem by
160
161
162
1. The solar plant component: The solar plant component comprises of Mechanical
structures, solar panels, array junction box, inverters, copper cables connecting the
solar panels to array junction boxes and the copper/ aluminium cables connecting array
junction boxes to Inverters. This is basically the component where electricity is
generated. The electricity generated is in Low voltage (LT).
2. Evacuation system component: Evacuation is either in the form of LT or High Voltage
(HT) depending on the capacity of the solar plant. In the case of evacuation in LT, the
evacuation system component consists of LT panel, meter and cable connecting the LT
panel to the metering panel and where the evacuation is in HT, consists of LT panel,
LT cable connecting the LT panel to the Transformer, Transformer, HT cable
connecting the transformer to Ring main unit (RMU), RMU, metering panel and the
HT cable connecting the RMU to the metering panel. Typically, 1 MW of Solar Power
project will generate 1.6 MU/year on average considering 300 sunny days for the entire
year. This translates into 4384 KWh per day (average).
Because the cost of photovoltaic electrical generation has decreased, the use of grid-
connected solar PV modules is rapidly increasing. Photovoltaic is undeniably becoming a
good, economical, and low-carbon technological breakthrough capable of properly using
sustainable energy from the Sun not only in the current context, but also significantly in
the next years.
163
1. Land Required for setting up of 1 MW Hydro-Electric Power Plant and Solar Power
Plant.
2. Cost of Land per Hectare for Hydro-Electric Power Plant and Solar Power Plant.
3. Number of Power Units Generated by Hydro-Electric Power Plant in 24 Hours
4. Number of Power Units Generated by Solar Power Plant in 8 Hours
5. Plant Load Factor for Hydro-Electric Power Plant and Solar Power Plant
6. Unit Rate for Power Generated by Hydro-Electric Power Plant
7. Unit Rate for Power Generated by Solar Power Plant
8. Cost of Setting up of 1 MW Solar Power Plant
164
It is to be noted that, the benefit-cost analysis has been carried out considering details from
some of the project as reference.
Hydro-Power Plant can work for 24 Hours a day. However solar power plant will produce
electricity only for maximum of 7 to 9 hours with an average duration of 8 hours per day.
Therefore, for comparison purpose, the power generation by hydro-electric power plant
has been considered for 8 hours only. The plant load factor of 60% has been adopted for
hydro-electric power plant and for that of solar power plant is 95%.
7.5 Summary
Covid Pandemic and subsequent developments in the international policy and decision
making is moving towards India centric development. This will be leading to major
industrial growth, rapid Urbanization and subsequent infrastructural developments,
requiring continuous and uninterrupted quality power supply and energy needs are
increasing exponentially. In the present scenario, use of fossil fuels or non-renewable
sources for energy generation will have adverse effect on environment and mankind as a
whole besides setting up such power plants takes substantial time and cost will also be
exorbitant. Hence, tapping freely available abundant divine solar energy, a non-
conventional energy source is one such endeavour to mitigate the process of climate
change. The research, which compares the societal costs of solar and hydro, firmly
endorses harnessing solar energy as the best option. The Social Cost Benefit Analysis
calculates the social costs and benefits of a certain project. Solar power has several
advantages, including carbon credits, renewable energy certificates, job creation, rural
electrification, reducing global warming, and ensuring general growth. According to this
analysis, the social benefit of solar electricity outweighs the social cost.
165
The following table summarizes the comparison of the solar plant Capacities. Tariff, Cost,
Return on Investment and the Payback period,
Table 8.1 Summary Comparison of the Solar Plant Capacities, Tariff, Cost, Return on
Investment and the Payback period of the Solar Power Plant
Financial
Charanka, Barmer, New
Indicators / Tamilnadu Karnataka
Gujarat Rajasthan Delhi
Location
Power
Generation 1.00 5.00 15.00 10.00 3.30
Capacity, MW
Tariff (Rs. /
15.00 8.00 7.05 8.05 8.40
KWH)
PV Cost (Rs.
7.55 4.00 3.75 4.50 3.50
Cr./MW)
BOP Cost (Rs.
5.50 5.74 3.49 6.20 2.68
Cr./MW)
25 Yr. Equity
0.45 0.29 0.26 0.23 0.50
IRR
15 Yr. Equity
0.45 0.28 0.24 0.21 0.50
IRR
Equity Payback
3.15 4.58 5.34 6.09 2.94
(Yrs)
25 Yr. Equity
5.18 10.22 25.56 16.50 10.30
NPV (Rs. Cr.)
15 Yr. Equity
3.58 6.23 14.52 8.66 7.24
NPV (Rs. Cr.)
166
Figure 8.1 Projected Payback Period of the Various Solar Power Plants of India
Figure 8.2 Projected Cash Flow Diagram for Implementation Solar Power Plants of India
in PPP Mode
167
The Master Concessionaire Agreement covering all the aspects mentioned above has been
developed for taking up the implementation of Solar Projects under PPP mode in Indian
scenario has been developed and the same is furnished in Appendix 3.
169
9.1 Introduction
The Government of India is strongly committed to the 2030 Agenda, including the SDGs
being one of the signatories with the UN. In order to reduce its reliance on fossil fuels,
mitigate the negative impacts of greenhouse gas emissions, and fulfil the country's
expanding energy demands, India has embarked on an ambitious plan to build over 100
GW of installed solar power capacity by December 2022. The country's solar installed
capacity was 35,739 MW as of June 30th, 2020. From April 2019 through March 2020,
solar power generation was 50.1 TWh, accounting for 3.6 percent of total generation (1,391
TWh). The cost of constructing a 1 GW solar power plant is around Rs. 5000 crores. Solar
power facilities for utility-scale and distributed electricity generation are quickly
expanding. Cost reductions driven by technological advances, by increase in scale of
manufacturing, by easy financing and government subsidies have brought solar power
within reach of grid parity in an increasing number of markets within a span of a decade.
Continued advancements and further cost reductions will expand these opportunities,
170
Figure 9.1 Dust accumulation causes on solar panels and the relationship Maghami et al.
(2016)
Technically dust layer on the Solar panel can reduce up to 40% of potential peak power
generation Siddiqui and Bajpai (2012) (Fig-8.2. Many Installations may see up to 20%
reduction in peak power generation and up to 8% on estimated annual energy generation
due to soil and dust settlement, when solar panels are not cleaned consistently as per
172
173
Table-30 list the typical efforts and expenses for cleaning solar panels of a 5MW farm for
both manual and automatic systems. It is clear that enormous cost and resources are
required for manual cleaning (about 6 times per MW more than the automatic) and thus,
not being very practical or economically viable.
174
Details Details
No. Description
(Manual) (Automatic/IoT)
Solar plant Installed
1 5 MW 5 MW
capacity
No. of Solar panels
2 14,300 panels 14,300 panels
(350Wp)
3 Surface area of Solar panels 28,500 Sq.m 28,500 Sq.m
Water requirement
4 1.5liter/panel/per cleaning 21,500 Liters Nil
cycle
No. of cleaning cycles per
5 2 2
month
Total water requirement per
5.15 Lakh
6 annum considering cleaning Nil
liters
every fortnightly
Cost of water, con- Rs.31 lakhs
7 Nil
sideredRs.6 per liter yearly
Manpower/labor
8 8-12 persons 2
Required for cleaning.
Time required to 3 days-working
9 clean the 5MW so-lar farm for for 6 hours a 1.5days
each cycle day
Labour cost per annum only for
10 Rs.3.5 lakhs 0.384lakhs
panel cleaning
Total yearly expenses for
solar panel cleaning for 5MW
11 Rs.35 Lakhs, Rs.6.92 Lakhs
farm considering other
miscellaneous costs.
Approx. yearly expense/MW
12 Rs7 lakhs 1.384 lakhs
for solar panel cleaning
175
However, on the other hand automatic robotized solar panel cleaners have great techno-
commercial advantages. Most automatic cleaners are priced in range of Rs. 2-5 lakhs
(depending on features, manufacturer and service support provided). A single robotic
cleaner is sufficient for up to 2 MW installation, so that each cycle of solar panel cleaning
can be completed within max 2 days.
Fig-9.3 shows the cost comparison of various components for both manual and automatic
cleaning processes. It is seen that both the labour cost and water cost are substantially high
for manual cleaning. Furthermore, in the remote areas the availability of water is a major
issue. So, apart from the cost angle even the availability is a big constraint. It is to be noted
that the miscellaneous expense of automatic cleaning includes the cost of the cleaner
(5lakhs) which is a onetime expense and the corresponding year onwards, the amount 6.92
lakhs fall down even more for a 5MW plant. Similar inference can also be made from Fig-
9.4 where water cost constitutes a big percentage in manual cleaning whereas the
miscellaneous portion is significant in the automatic cleaning in which most are onetime
expenses. The labour and water and utility cost every year constitutes the running expense
which is 5-6 times lower for the IoT approach.
Semi-automatic and automatic solar panel cleaning in India is shown in Fig-9.5 and 9.6
respectively.
9.3 Summary
One of the crucial challenges of solar plants is operation and maintenance, especially the
cleaning part which has components like requirement of water and manual labour. Solar
panels require periodic cleaning in order to have optimum power generation and consistent
efficiency. Most of the plants planned or implemented, lie in North Western parts of India
which are known for dust storms and hence receive frequent dust accumulation on the
panels. The author has reviewed all the available options and is of the opinion that robotic
176
30
20
10
Total cost
Water cost
Miscellaneous cost
Labor cost
Figure 9.3 cost comparisons of various components for manual and automatic cleaning
Manual cleaning labor water
miscellaneous
labor
Automatic cleaning
water
miscellaneous
178
179
Furthermore, AHP is limited to the study of each solar park separately and there exist no
way to interpret one with respect to another. As it can be seen the results of AHP of each
solar parks are shown separately and the most critical case varies case to case which may
not be the true representation of the actual problem under consideration. Moreover, for
standalone projects or niche markets of study AHP is better suited in the absence of other
related projects that can provide the same range of identifiable parameters across the board.
Phase-3 shows the maximum risk in terms of both the broad and sub activities for TOPSIS
approach. However, the lowest risk belongs to Phase-1 for both the broad and sub-
activities. This can be justified as the execution phase and the operation and maintenance
phases have the maximum number of uncertainties. The comparisons between the two
approaches show that they differ in their conclusions by a substantial margin.
Detailed analysis of the identified risks for all the five phases of the integrated solar power
plant project in India through Fuzzy TOPSIS methodology has revealed that all the phases
have chances of risks. Fuzzy Positive Ideal Solution (FPIS) and Fuzzy Negative Ideal
180
It is evident from the above analysis that in Fuzzy TOPSIS method, data for the project
will be collected from people who are critically involved in project implementation at multi
levels. Besides the questionnaire will be responded by multiple people who are involved
during the project implementation cycle and also responsible for timely completion in-
spite of several challenges. Hence this has more accurate and decisive making outcome
181
The Social Cost Benefit Analysis calculates the social costs and benefits of a certain
project. Solar power has several advantages, including carbon credits, renewable energy
certificates, job creation, rural electrification, reducing global warming, and ensuring
general growth. According to this analysis, the social benefit of solar electricity outweighs
the social cost.
183
184
Ansari, Md., Kharb, R., Luthra, S., Shimmi, S.L. and Chatterji, S. (2013), “Analysis of
barriers to implement solar power installations in India using interpretive structural
modeling technique”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 27, pp. 163–174.
Backer L and Clark, T.S. (2008) “Eco-Effective Greening Decisions and Rationalizations:
The Case of Shell Renewables. Organization & Environment”. Vol. 21(3), pp.227-244.
185
Burkhardt, John., Heath, G. and Turchi, C. (2011), “Life cycle assessment of a parabolic
trough concentrating solar power plant and the impacts of key design alternatives”,
Environmental Science and Technology, Vol. 45, pp. 2457–2464.
Chakrabarty, S. and Islam, T. (2011), “Financial viability and eco-efficiency of the solar
home systems (shs) in Bangladesh”, Energy, Vol. 36, pp. 4821–4827.
Cosentino, V., Favuzza, S., Graditi, G., Ippolito, Mariano., Massaro, F., Sanseverino, E.
and Zizzo, G. (2012), “Smart renewable generation for an islanded system. technical and
economic issues of future scenarios”, Energy, Vol. 39, pp. 196–204.
Cucchiella, F., D’adamo, I. and Gastaldi, M. (2012), “Modeling optimal investments with
portfolio analysis in electricity markets”, Energy Education Science and Technology Part
A: Energy Science and Research, Vol. 30, pp. 673–692.
Cucchiella, F., Gastaldi, M. and Trosini, M. (2017), “Investments and cleaner energy
production: A portfolio analysis in the Italian electricity market”, Journal of Cleaner
Production. Vol. 142, pp. 121–132.
Dawn, S., Tiwari, Prashant., Goswami, A. and Mishra, M. (2016), “Recent developments
of solar energy in India: perspectives, strategies and future goals”, Renewable and
Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 62, pp. 215–235.
Dominguez, R., Baringo, L. and Conejo, A. (2012), “Optimal offering strategy for a
concentrating solar power plant”, Applied Energy, Vol. 98, pp. 316–325.
186
Ezell, B., Farr, J. and Wiese, I. (2000), “Infrastructure risk analysis model”, Journal of
infrastructure systems, Vol. 6, pp. 114–117.
Ezell, B., Farr, J. and Wiese, I. (2000), “Infrastructure risk analysis of municipal water
distribution system”, Journal of Infrastructure Systems, Vol. 6, pp. 118–122.
Guikema, S. (2009), “Natural disaster risk analysis for critical infrastructure systems: An
approach based on statistical learning theory”, Reliability Engineering and System Safety,
Vol. 94, pp. 855–860.
Harder, E. and Gibson, J. (2011), “The costs and benefits of large scale solar photovoltaic
power production in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates”, Renewable Energy, Vol.36, pp.
Hiteva, R. and Sovacool, B. (2017). “Harnessing social innovation for energy justice: A
business model perspective”, Energy Policy, Vol. 107, pp. 631-639.
Hwang, C.L., Lai, Y.J. and Liu, T.Y. (1993), “A new approach for multiple objective
decision making”, Computers and operations research, Vol. 20, pp. 889–899.
Jacobson, M. and Delucchi, M. (2011), “Providing all global energy with wind, water, and
solar power, part i: Technologies, energy resources, quantities and areas of infrastructure,
and materials”, Energy Policy, Vol. 39, pp. 1154–1169.
187
Li, H.L. (1987), “Solving discrete multicriteria decision problems based on logic-based
decision support systems”, Decision Support Systems, Vol. 3, pp. 101–119.
Lolla, S., Roy, S.and Chowdhury, S. (2015), “Wind and solar energy resources in India”,
Energy Procedia, Vol. 76, pp. 187–192.
Macauley, D., Ramasaar, V., Hefforn, R.J., Sovacool, B.K., Mebratu, D. & Mundaca, L.
(2019) “Energy justice in the transition to low carbon energy systems: Exploring key
themes in interdisciplinary research”, Applied Energy, Vol. 233(34), pp. 916-921.
Maghami, M., Hizam, H., Gomes, C., Radzi, M., Rezadad, M. and Hajighorbani, S. (2016),
“Power loss due to soiling on solar panel: A review”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy
Reviews, Vol. 59, pp. 1307–1316.
Mondal, M. and Islam, A. (2011), “Potential and viability of grid connected solar pv
system in Bangladesh”, Renewable Energy, Vol. 36, pp. 1869–1874.
Natarajan, P. and Nalini, G. (2015), “Social cost benefit analysis of solar power projects”,
Prabandhan: Indian Journal of Management, Vol. 8, pp. 36–42.
Nicholas, J. (2007), “Project management for business and technology: Principles and
practice", Routledge, Taylor and Francis, London and New York
188
Ranganath, N. and Sarkar, D. (2021), “Life cycle costing analysis of solar photo voltaic
generation system in Indian scenario”, International Journal of Sustainable Engineering.
pp. 1–16.
Ranganath, N., Sarkar, D., Kachuwaha, S., Mathad, V. and Ghosh, S. (2019), “Role of
professional vigilance in design and construction - a case study of solar projects”, In
Frontiers in Geotechnical Engineering, pp. 441–453.
Ranganath, N., Sarkar, Debasis., Patel, P. and Patel, S. (2020), “Application of fuzzy
Topsis method for risk evaluation in development and implementation of solar park in
India”, International Journal of Construction Management. pp. 1–11.
Saaty, T. (1988), “What is the analytic hierarchy process?” In Mathematical models for
decision support, pp. 109–121.
Sahu, B. (2016), “Solar energy developments, policies and future prospectus in the state
of Odisha, India”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 61, pp. 526–536.
Sarkar, D. and Dutta, G. (2011), “A framework of project risk management for the
underground corridor construction of metro rail”, International Journal of Construction
Project Management, Vol. 4, pp. 21–38.
Sarkar, D. and Singh, M. (2018), “Development of risk index for mass rapid transit system
project in western India through application of fuzzy analytical hierarchy process
(FAHP)”, International Journal of Construction Management, pp. 1–12.
189
Serpella, A., Ferrada, X., Howard, R. and Rubio, L. (2014), “Risk management in
construction projects: a knowledge-based approach”, Procedia-Social and Behavioural
Sciences, Vol. 119, pp. 653–662.
Shakya, B., Aye, L. and Musgrave, P. (2005), “Technical feasibility and financial analysis
of hybrid wind–photovoltaic system with hydrogen storage for cooma”, International
Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 30, pp. 9–20.
Sharma, N., Tiwari, P. and Sood, Y. (2012), “Solar energy in India: Strategies, policies,
perspectives and future potential”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 16,
pp. 933–941.
Shrimali, G. and Rohra, S. (2012), “India’s solar mission: A review”, Renewable and
Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 16, pp. 6317–6332.
Shukla, P., Biswas, D., Nag, T., Yajnik, A., Heller, T. and Victor, D. (2004), “Impact of
power sector reforms on technology, efficiency and emissions: Case study of Gujarat,
India”, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development Working Paper, pp. 1-46.
Songer, A., Diekmann, J. and Pecsok, R. (1997), “Risk analysis for revenue dependent
infrastructure projects”, Construction Management and Economics, Vol. 15, pp. 377–382.
Sovacool, B.K. (2013). Energy and Ethics: Justice and the Global Energy Challenge,
Basington, Palgrave Macmillan.
190
Talavera, Dl., Muñoz-Cerón, E., De La Casa, J., Ortega, Mj. and Almonacid, G. (2011),
“Energy and economic analysis for large-scale integration of small photovoltaic systems
in buildings: The case of a public location in southern Spain”, Renewable and Sustainable
Energy Reviews, Vol. 15, pp. 4310–4319.
Talavera, Dl., Nofuentes, G. and Aguilera, J. (2010), “The internal rate of return of
photovoltaic grid-connected systems: A comprehensive sensitivity analysis”, Renewable
energy, Vol. 35, pp. 101–111.
Tsoutsos, T., Anagnostou, J., Pritchard, C., Karagiorgas,M. and Agoris, D.(2003),“Solar
cooling technologies in Greece. An economic viability analysis”, Applied Thermal
Engineering, Vol. 23, pp. 1427–1439.
Tudisca, S.,Anna T., Sgroi, F., Testa, R. and Squatrito, R.(2013),“Economic analysis of pv
systems on buildings in Sicilian farms”, Renewable and sustainable energy reviews, Vol.
28, pp. 691–701.
Voetsch, R., Cioffi, D. and Anbari, F. (2004), “Project risk management practices and their
association with reported project success”, In Proceedings of 6th IRNOP Project Research
Conference, Turku, Finland, pp. 680–697.
Ward, S. and Chapman, C. (2003), “Transforming project risk management into project
uncertainty management”, International journal of project management, Vol. 21, pp. 97–
105.
Williams, R., Walker, J. and Dorofee, A. (1997), “Putting risk management into practice”,
IEEE software, Vol. 14, pp. 75–82.
Yenneti, K. (2016), “Industry perceptions on feed in tariff (fit) based solar power policies–
a case of Gujarat, India”, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 57, pp. 988–
998.
Zadeh, L. (1965), “Fuzzy sets”, Information and control, Vol. 8, pp. 338–353.
191
192
A2
10
11
Review by non-technical
39 (7,9,9) (5,7,9)
professional
Delay in review and forwarding the
40 (3,5,7) (3,5,7)
observations
41 Delay in approval of DFR (3,5,7) (3,5,7)
Delay in Receiving
42 Comments/Observation of Draft (7,9,9) (7,9,9)
DFR
Delay in Attending the
43 Comments/Observation of Draft (5,7,9) (5,7,9)
DFR
Delay in Submission of Final
44 (7,9,9) (7,9,9)
Feasibility Report
12
13
14
15
16
17
19
20
21
22
1.9 FUZZY MULTI CRITERIA GROUP DECISION MAKING (GDM) AND PROCESS
OF NORMALIZING: NORMALIZED AGGREGATED FUZZY DECISION MATRIX
FOR ALTERNATIVE A1 AND A2
24
25
27
Delay in Receiving
42 (5.46,9,9) (0.77,1.17,1.8)
Comments/Observation of Draft DFR
Delay in Attending the
43 (2.8,7.12,9) (0.55,1.04,1.8)
Comments/Observation of Draft DFR
28
FPIS
29
30
31
FNIS
No Activities with Risks A1 A2
a Letter of Intent (LOI) 5.79 4.89
1 Delay in Issue of LOI 5.79 4.89
2 Wrong Details of Contract 5.79 4.89
Delay in responding to Wrong details by
3
Client 5.45 1.58
Acceptance and Kick of Meeting and
b Finalization of the Scope and
Deliverables. 2.29 4.01
4 Delay in Acceptance of LOI 5.46 3.89
5 Delay in conducting Kick of Meeting 2.29 4.01
Improper objectives Scope and
6
Deliverables finalisation 2.29 4.01
c Risks in Site location 6.32 0.78
7 Proximity to International border 6.32 0.78
8 Proximity to wild life sanctuary 7.24 0.64
9 Presence of forest land 6.32 0.78
10 Proximity to eco sensitive zone 5.79 4.89
Proximity to Historical monuments, Place
11
of worship etc. 6.32 0.78
Presence of sensitive lands within the
12
project boundary 6.32 0.78
13 Highly undulating and rocky terrain. 5.45 1.58
14 Presence of low laying area. 5.46 3.89
d Reconnaissance Survey of Site 5.79 4.89
Identification of Different Site for
15
Reconnaissance 6.32 0.78
32
33
34
1 2 3 4 5
32
33
1 2 3 4 5
34
e. Collection of Data
35
1 2 3 4 5
Delay in Submission of IR
36
37
1 2 3 4 5
38
j. Approval of DFR
39
1 2 3 4 5
40
1. The XXX, with its office located at ZZZ, YYY, City: Pin code: (here in after referred to as
the “Authority” which expression shall, unless repugnant to the context or meaning thereof,
include its administrators, successors and assigns) of One Part;
AND
2. (.... LIMITED),1. a company incorporated under the provisions of the [Companies Act,
1956] and having its registered office at......, (hereinafter referred to as the
"Concessionaire," which expression shall, unless repugnant to the context or meaning
thereof, include its successors, permitted assigns, and substitutes) of the Other Part.
Whereas
A. The XXX has decided to construct a solar project of ....MW, (hereinafter referred to as solar
project) on PPP basis.
B. The Authority had accordingly invited proposals by its [Notice/ Request for Qualification
No.*** dated ***] (the “Request for Qualification" or “RFQ") for short listing of bidders
for construction, operation and maintenance of the solar project on DBFOT basis and had
short-listed certain bidders including, inter alia, the selected bidder/ consortium comprising
......., .......and ......(collectively the “Consortium") with ...... as its lead member (the “Lead
Member”).
C. The Authority had prescribed the technical and commercial terms and conditions, and
invited bids (the “Request for Proposals” or “RFP”) from the bidders short-listed pursuant
to the RFQ for undertaking the Project.
D. The Authority had approved the bid of the preferred bidder/Consortium after evaluating the
proposals received. and issued its Letter of Award No. . . . . . . . dated . . . . . . . . . .
(Hereinafter called the “LOA”) to the winning bidder/Consortium, necessitating, among
other things, the completion of this Concession Agreement within 45 (forty-five) days of
its issuance.
E. A. The selected bidder/ Consortium has since promoted and incorporated the
Concessionaire as a limited liability company under the Companies Act 2013, and has
requested that the Authority accept the Concessionaire as the entity that will undertake and
perform the selected bidder/ Consortium's obligations and rights under the LOA, including
41
3.1.1 Definitions
Unless the context otherwise requires, words and expressions beginning with capital letters and
defined in this Agreement have the meaning ascribed to them herein, and words and
expressions defined in the Schedules and used therein have the meaning ascribed to them in
the Schedules.
3.1.2 Interpretations
In this Agreement, unless the context otherwise requires
42
43
44
The rule of construction, if any, that a contract should be read against the parties who drafted
and prepared it does not apply here.
Unless otherwise defined or construed in this Agreement, any term or expression used herein
shall have its usual English meaning, and the General Clauses Act 1897 shall not apply.
i.e., The agreement in (a) preceding shall take precedence over the agreements and papers in
(b) preceding. In the event of inconsistencies or contradictions within this Agreement, the
following shall apply, subject to the terms of the preceding article:
45
3.3.4 Survival
The expiry or termination of this Agreement shall not affect any accrued rights, obligations
and liabilities of the Parties their heirs and successors under this Agreement, including the right
to receive penalty as per the terms of this Agreement, nor shall it affect the survival of any
continuing obligations for which this Agreement provides, either expressly or by necessary
implication, which are to survive after the Expiry Date or termination including those under
Article 14 (Force Majeure), Article 16 (Events of Default and Termination), Article 18
(Liability and Indemnification), Article 19 (Governing Law and Dispute Resolution), Article
21 (Miscellaneous Provisions), and other Articles and Schedules of this Agreement that
expressly or by their nature survive the Term or termination of this Agreement will continue to
apply and survive any such expiration or termination.
47
3.4.3
Developer shall make all reasonable endeavours to satisfy the Conditions Precedent within the
time stipulated and CLIENT shall provide to the Developer all the reasonable cooperation as
may be required to the Developer for satisfying the Conditions Precedent.
48
The developer shall notify CLIENT shall be notified in writing by the Developer at least once
a month on the progress made in meeting the Conditions Precedent. When any of the
Conditions Precedent are met, the Developer shall quickly notify the CLIENT.
a. Executed Power Purchase Agreement with BESCOM for supply of the energy produced
from the Project; and
b. Granted to the Developer right of way to the Project Site for implementation of the Project
as per the terms of this Agreement;
49
a. design, finance, supply materials, construct, erect, test, commission, grid synchronization
and complete the Project for the Contracted Capacity in accordance with the Applicable
Law, Grid Code, the terms and conditions of this Agreement and Prudent Utility Practices;
b. observe, fulfil, comply with and perform all its obligations set out in this Agreement or
arising hereunder;
c. In performing its responsibilities under this Agreement, it must comply with all Applicable
Laws and acquire all necessary Consents, Clearances, and Permits (including renewals as
needed), as well as keep all Applicable Permits in full force and effect during the Term of
this Agreement;
d. commence supply of power no later than the Scheduled Commissioning Date and continue
the supply throughout the term of the Agreement;
e. Evacuate the power at the Delivery Point as per the Power Purchase Agreement.
50
The Developer shall provide transportation at the Project Site for the officials from CLIENT/its
authorised representative/Third Party Consultant.
3.5.1
The Developer shall provide at its own cost, the office space to accommodate at least 10
persons of the Third-Party Consultant.
3.5.2
The Developer must fulfil its commitments in line with industry standards and in a reasonable
and cautious manner.
3.5.3
Notwithstanding any provision in this Agreement, the Developer shall indemnify and make
good the damages paid by CLIENT under the Power Purchase Agreement due to any delay or
51
3.5.4
Developer would be permitted to use the part of Project Site for accommodating its labourers
working for the Project, however, the Developer shall ensure that the activities of such
labourers does not cause or result in any unhygienic or unhealthy conditions in and around the
Project Site or results in polluting the canal water, and the Developer shall be liable to make
all arrangement for proper management of the solid waste and waste water generated by such
labourers.
3.5.5
Developer would be permitted to use the part of Project Site for the purpose of storing of the
materials required for the purpose of Project. However, the Developer shall be responsible for
the safety and security of the materials so stored by them.
3.5.6
Save and except as expressly permitted by this Agreement, Developer shall neither assign,
transfer or sublet or create any lien or Encumbrance on this Agreement, or the rights hereby
granted or on the whole or any part of the Project nor transfer or part possession thereof,
3.5.7
The Developer shall, at its own cost and expense, in addition to and not in derogation of its
obligations elsewhere set out in this Agreement:
52
53
Or
c. In case the Selected Bidder is a single entity, the Selected Bidder shall hold at least 51%
of subscribed and paid-up equity share capital of the Developer, until third anniversary
of the Commercial Operations Date of the Project. This condition is applicable only in
case the single business entity incorporates an SPV to execute the Project Development
and implement Agreement.
54
CLIENT, at any time during a term of the Agreement, shall not be obliged to make any
additional payment for any additional energy produced by the Developer beyond 1.664
MU/MWac (in case of fixed axis without tracking) and 2.1 MU/MWac (in case of tracking)
or the limit indicated in the PPA, whichever is lower.
55
In case of extension occurring due to reasons specified in clause 3.7.1(a), any of the dates
specified therein can be extended, subject to the condition that the Scheduled Commissioning
Date would not be extended by more than 6(six) months. In case of extension due to reasons
specified in Article 3.7.1(b) and (c), and if such Force Majeure Event continues even after a
maximum period of 3(three) months, any of the Parties may choose to terminate the Agreement
as per the provisions of Article 16. If the Parties have not agreed, within 30 (thirty) days after
the affected Party’s performance has ceased to be affected by the relevant circumstance, on the
time period by which the Scheduled Commissioning Date or the Expiry Date should be
deferred by, any Party may raise the Dispute to be resolved in accordance with Article 19. As
a result of such extension, the Scheduled Commissioning Date and the Expiry Date newly
determined shall be deemed to be the Scheduled Commissioning Date and the Expiry Date for
the purposes of this Agreement.
a. For the delay up to one month an amount equivalent to 20% of the Performance
Security.
b. For the delay of more than one (1) month and upto two months an amount equivalent
to 40% of the total Performance Security.
c. For the delay of more than two and up to three months an amount equivalent to 40% of
the Performance Security.
56
The maximum time period allowed for achievement of Commercial Operation Date with
payment of Liquidated Damages shall be limited to 15 (fifteen) months from the Appointed
Date. In case, the achievement of COD is delayed beyond 15 months from the Appointed Date,
it shall be considered as Developer’s Event of Default and provisions of Article 16 shall apply.
3.6.2
CLIENT agrees to provide support to the Developer and undertake to observe, comply with
and perform, subject to and in accordance with the provisions of this Agreement and the
Applicable Laws, the following:
a. provide right of way over the Project Site to the Developer during the Agreement
Period;
b. Provide reasonable support and assistance to the Developer in obtaining Applicable
Permits necessary from any government bodies for the implementation and operation
of the Project, upon writing request from the Developer and subject to the Developer
complying with Applicable Laws;
58
a. it is duly organised, validly existing and in good standing under the laws of India;
b. It has full capacity and authority to execute, deliver, and perform its duties under this
Agreement, as well as to complete the transactions contemplated by it;
c. It has taken all required corporate and other actions to authorise the execution, delivery,
and performance of this Agreement under Applicable Laws and its constitutional
documents;
d. It has the necessary financial resources and capacity to carry out the Project;
e. This Agreement is its legal, legitimate, and binding obligation, which can be enforced
against it in line with its conditions;
f. the execution, delivery and performance of this Agreement will not conflict with, result in
the breach of, constitute a default under or accelerate performance required by any of the
terms of the Developer’s Memorandum and Articles of Association or any Applicable Laws
or any covenant, agreement, understanding, decree or order to which it is a party or by
which it or any of its properties or assets are bound or affected;
g. there are no actions, suits, proceedings or investigations pending or to the Developer’s
knowledge threatened against it at law or in equity before any court or before any other
judicial, quasi-judicial or other authority, the outcome of which may constitute Developer
Event of Default or which individually or in the aggregate may result in Material Adverse
Effect;
59
The Developer further recognises and accepts the risk of insufficiency, mistake, or error in or
pertaining to any of the things listed above, and certifies that CLIENT is not accountable in
any way to the Developer for the same.
a. Client has complete capacity and authority to engage into this Agreement, and has taken
all required steps to authorise the Agreement's execution, delivery, and performance.; and
b. Client's lawful, legitimate, and binding duty under this Agreement is enforceable against it
in line with its provisions.
60
The Developer shall provide at least forty (40) days advanced preliminary written notice and
at least twenty (20) days advanced final written notice to CLIENT of the date for synchronizing
power and shall co-ordinate on behalf of CLIENT with DISTRIBUTION COMPANY,
HESCOM/KPTCL of the date on which it intends to synchronize the Project to the Grid
System.
3.8.2
Subject to above Clause 3.8.1, the Project shall be synchronized by the Developer with the Grid
System when it meets all the connection conditions prescribed in applicable Grid Code then in
effect and otherwise meets all other Indian legal requirements for synchronization to the Grid
System.
3.8.3
The synchronization equipment and any upgradation devices as specified in the PPA shall be
installed by the Developer at the Delivery Point at its own cost. The Developer shall
synchronize its system with the Grid System only after the approval of synchronization scheme
is granted by the head of the concerned sub-station/Grid System and checking/verification is
made by the concerned authorities of the Grid System.
3.8.4
The Developer shall achieve COD within Scheduled Commissioning Date. Upon achieving
COD and submission of as-built drawings, the Third-Party Consultant shall issue completion
certificate (“Completion Certificate”).
3.8.5
The Developer shall immediately after each synchronization/tripping of generator, inform the
sub-station of the Grid System to which the Project is electrically connected in accordance with
applicable Grid Code.
61
3.10.1 Meters
ABT meters, metering cubicles, CTs and PTs meter and all accessories meeting the relevant
IEC and BIS standards shall be installed by the Developer at plant end and Delivery Point.
Meter testing, meter calibration and meter reading and all matters incidental thereto, the
Developer and CLIENT shall follow and be bound by the Applicable Laws including Central
Electricity Authority (Installation and Operation of Meters) Regulations, 2006, the Grid Code,
as amended and revised from time to time.
The Developer shall bear all costs including taxes pertaining to installation, testing, calibration,
maintenance, renewal and repair of generation meter at plant, main meter and check meter at
the Delivery Point.
62
The Developer shall affect and maintain or cause to be affected and maintained, at its own cost
and expense, throughout the Term of this Agreement, Insurances against such risks, with such
deductibles and with such endorsements and co-insured(s), which the Prudent Utility Practices
would ordinarily merit maintenance of and as required under the Financing Agreements.
3.11.2
The Developer shall obtain and maintain, at its own cost and expense, the following insurances
during the development of the Project Facilities, including but not limited to the following;
3.11.3
The Developer shall obtain and maintain, at its own cost and expense, the following insurances
during the operation of the Project Facilities, including but not limited to the following;
3.11.4
The Developer shall insure against any damages that may be caused to the canal top at the
project site because of undertaking of the project during the term of this Agreement.
63
If the Developer shall fail to effect and keep in force all insurances for which it is responsible
pursuant hereto, CLIENT shall have the option to either keep in force any such insurances, and
pay such premium and recover the costs thereof from the Developer, or in the event of
computation of a Termination Payment, treat an amount equal to the insurance cover as deemed
to have been received by the Developer.
The Developer shall be entitled to receive the Tariff of Rs. . . . . . . / kWh of energy exported
by it to the Grid System in accordance with the terms of this Agreement during the period
between COD and the Expiry Date. Payment under this clause shall be subject to the Developer
meeting the Operational Standards as specified in clause 3.2.2.
3.12.2
If the Tariff fixed for the energy supplied by CLIENT to DISTRIBUTION COMPANY under
the PPA is revised at any point of time during the term of this Agreement, then in such cases,
the Tariff payable to the Developer under Clause 3.12.1 shall also be revised in the same
64
3.12.3
Sharing of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Benefits the Project shall be compatible to
CDM claims and all such CDM claims shall be reported to CLIENT periodically by the
Developer. The profits of carbon credits from authorised CDM projects will be divided among
the parties as follows:
a. The Developer is entitled to 100% of the total profits of CDM benefits accrued in the first
year following the Commercial Operation Date;
b. In the second year following the Commercial Operation Date, the Developer shall give 10%
share in the gross proceeds of the CDM benefit to CLIENT and the share of benefit to
CLIENT shall be progressively increased by 10% every year thereafter till it reaches 50%,
where after the proceeds shall be shared in equal proportion between the Parties.
3.13.1 General
On achievement of COD and thereon commencement of supply of power, CLIENT shall raise
invoice against DISTRIBUTION COMPANY as per the terms of Power Purchase Agreement.
Upon receipt of payment from DISTRIBUTION COMPANY, CLIENT shall pay to the
Developer the monthly Tariff Payments, on or before the Due Date, in accordance with Article
12. All Tariff Payments by CLIENT shall be in Indian Rupees.
65
The Developer shall open a bank account at . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. [Insert name of place] (the
“Developer’s Designated Account") for all Tariff Payments (including Supplementary Bills)
to be made by CLIENT to the Developer, and notify CLIENT of the details of such account at
least 90 (ninety) days before the dispatch of the first monthly bill.
66
If the Developer agrees to the claim raised in the Bill Dispute Notice issued pursuant to Article
3.13.4, the Developer shall revise such Bill and present along with the next Monthly Bill. In
such a case excess amount shall be refunded along with such interest as may be received by
CLIENT, if any, from DISTRIBUTION COMPANY under the Power Purchase Agreement. If
the Developer does not agree to the claim raised in the Bill Dispute Notice issued pursuant to
Article 3.13.4, it shall, within fifteen (15) days of receiving the Bill Dispute Notice, furnish a
notice (the “Bill Disagreement Notice") to the CLIENT providing:
Upon receipt of the Bill Disagreement Notice by the CLIENT under Clause 3.13.4, authorized
representative(s) or a director of the board of directors/ member of board of the CLIENT and
Developer shall meet and make best endeavours to amicably resolve such dispute within fifteen
(15) days of receipt of the Bill Disagreement Notice. If the Parties do not amicably resolve the
Dispute within fifteen (15) days of receipt of Bill Disagreement Notice pursuant to Article
3.13.4, the matter shall be referred to Dispute resolution in accordance with Article 19. For the
avoidance of doubt, it is clarified that despite a Dispute regarding an Invoice, CLIENT shall,
without prejudice to its right to Dispute, be under an obligation to make payment of 95% of the
Disputed Amount in the Monthly Bill. If any disputed bill which is the subject matter under
this Agreement is also a subject matter for dispute under the PPA Agreement, then all the
necessary assistance to deal with such dispute by CLIENT with DISTRIBUTION COMPANY
shall be provided by the Developer and the Developer shall abide by the outcome of such
settlement made under the Power Purchase Agreement.
67
CLIENT shall remit all amounts due under a Supplementary Bill raised by the Developer to
the Developer’s Designated Account by the Due Date.
68
a. Unavailability, late delivery, or price variations for the Power Project's plant, machinery,
equipment, materials, replacement parts, or consumables;
b. Any Contractor, subcontractor, or their agents' failure to perform on time;
69
70
71
a. The Developer has failed to achieve the COD beyond 90 (ninety) days of Scheduled
Commissioning Date for Project for any reason whatsoever;
b. The condition relating to equity lock-in period specified in Clause 3.5.2 of this Agreement
is not complied with;
c. The Developer fails to refill or deliver new Performance Security within a Cure Period of
30 (thirty) days after the Performance Security has been encashed and allocated in line with
Clause 3.4.5(b);
d. The Developer has illegally rejected this Agreement or has otherwise said that he does not
wish to be bound by it;
e. The Developer has materially breached any of its commitments under this Agreement, and
such substantial breach has not been remedied by the Developer within thirty (30) days of
CLIENT's initial notification of such breach.
f. The Developer has been in significant violation of any of its commitments under this
Agreement for more than 60 days and has not repaired the situation;
72
i. until Termination the Parties shall, to the fullest extent possible, discharge their respective
obligations so as to maintain the continued operation of the Project Facilities,
ii. the termination payment, if any, payable by CLIENT in accordance with the following
Clause 3.16.4 is paid to the Developer on the Termination Date, and
iii. the Project Facilities are handed over to CLIENT by the Developer on the Termination
Date free from any Encumbrance along with any payment that may be due by the Developer
to CLIENT.
i. access the Project Facilities as soon as possible and take possession and management
of them;
ii. prohibit the Developer and any person claiming through or under the
iii. Developers are prohibited from entering or engaging with Project Facilities;
75
76
i. carrying out works/jobs listed under Clause 3.17.1(d), which have not been carried out by
the Developer,
ii. purchase of items, which have not been handed back to CLIENT along with the Project
Facilities in terms of Clause 3.17.1(e), and
iii. any outstanding dues, which may have accrued in respect of the Project during the
Agreement Period, duly discharge and release to the Developer the Handback Guarantee
within 2 months from the Expiry Date.
3.18.1 Indemnity
CLIENT shall be indemnified, defended, and held blameless by the Developer:
a. any and all third-party claims against CLIENT for any loss or damage to a third-property,
party's or death or injury to a third-party, arising out of the Developer's breach of any of its
obligations under this Agreement.; and
b. any and all losses, damages, costs and expenses including legal costs, fines, penalties and
interest actually suffered or incurred by CLIENT from third party claims arising by reason
of a breach by the Developer of any of its obligations under this Agreement, (provided that
this Article 18 shall not apply to such breaches by the Developer, for which specific
remedies have been provided for under this Agreement)
CLIENT shall indemnify, defend and hold the Developer harmless against:
a. any and all third-party claims against the Developer, for any loss of or damage to property
of such third party, or death or injury to such third party, arising out of a breach by CLIENT
of any of their obligations under this Agreement; and
b. any and all losses, damages, costs and expenses including legal costs, fines, penalties and
interest (“Indemnifiable Losses") actually suffered or incurred by the Developer from third
party claims arising by reason of a breach by CLIENT of any of its obligations.
a. When the indemnified party is entitled to indemnification from the indemnifying party
under Article 3.18.1(a) or 3.18.2(a), the indemnified party must promptly inform the
indemnifying party of the claim for which it is entitled to indemnification. The Indemnified
Party must give notification as soon as reasonably possible after becoming aware of the
claim. Within thirty (30) days of receiving the foregoing notification, the indemnifying
party must settle the indemnity claim. Providing, however, that:
i. the Parties choose to refer the dispute before the Arbitrator in accordance with Article
19; and
78
An indemnifying party may, at its own expense, take over the defence of any proceedings
brought against the Indemnified Party if it acknowledges its obligation to indemnify the
Indemnified Party, gives the Indemnified Party prompt notice of its intention to take over the
defence, and hires independent legal counsel at its own expense who is reasonably satisfactory
to the Indemnified Party.
80
3.20.1 Assignments
The Parties, as well as their respective successors and allowed assignee, are bound by and
benefit from this Agreement. This Agreement may not be transferred by any party except with
the mutual permission of the parties, which must be documented in writing.
i. Provided that, such consent shall not be withheld if CLIENT seeks to transfer to any
transferee all of its rights and obligations under this Agreement.
ii. Provided further that any successor(s) or permitted assign(s) identified after mutual
agreement between the Parties may be required to execute a new agreement on the same
terms and conditions as are included in this Agreement.
Developer shall not (save as permitted pursuant to Clause 3.20) establish or permit the
existence of any Encumbrance, or otherwise transfer or dispose of all or any of its rights and
benefits under this Agreement to which the Developer is a party, except with CLIENT's prior
written agreement, which CLIENT shall be able to reject without assigning any reason.
81
3.21.3 Confidentiality
The Parties undertake to hold in confidence this Agreement and not to disclose the terms and
conditions of the transaction contemplated hereby to third parties, except:
3.21.5 Waiver
Waiver by any Party of any default by the other Party in the observance and execution of any
term of or responsibilities under this Agreement, including partial or conditional waiver.:
a. shall not operate or be considered as a waiver of any other or future breach of this
Agreement's terms or responsibilities.;
b. shall not be effective until signed by a fully authorised representative of the Party in
writing.; and
c. shall not in any way affect the legality or enforceability of this Agreement.
Neither a Party's failure to insist on the performance of the terms, conditions, and provisions
of this Agreement or any obligation hereunder on any occasion, nor any time or other
indulgence granted to the other Party, shall be treated or deemed as a waiver of such breach,
acceptance of any variation, or relinquishment of any such right hereunder.
83
a. not relieve the Developer or CLIENT, as the case may be, of any responsibilities under this
Agreement that expressly or implicitly survive the termination of this Agreement.; and
b. Not relieve either Party of any obligations or liabilities for loss or damage to the other Party
arising out of, or caused by, acts or omissions of such Party prior to the effectiveness of
such Termination or arising out of such Termination, except as expressly provided in any
provision of this Agreement expressly limiting the liability of either Party.
All obligations that survive Termination will only be valid for 3 (three) years from the date of
Termination.
3.21.9 Severability
If for any reason whatever, any provision of this Agreement is or becomes invalid, illegal or
unenforceable or is declared by any court of competent jurisdiction or any other instrumentality
to be invalid, illegal or unenforceable, the validity, legality or enforceability of the remaining
provisions shall not be affected in any manner, and the Parties will negotiate in good faith with
a view to agreeing to one or more provisions which may be substituted for such invalid,
unenforceable or illegal provisions, as nearly as is practicable to such invalid, illegal or
unenforceable provision. Failure to agree upon any such provisions shall not be subject to the
Dispute Resolution Procedure set forth under this Agreement or otherwise.
84
3.21.13 Notices
Any notice or other communication to be delivered by either Party to the other under or in
connection with the matters contemplated by this Agreement must be in writing and shall be
signed by both Parties.:
85
3.21.14 Language
All notices required to be given by one Party to the other Party and all other communications,
Documentation and proceedings which are in any way relevant to this Agreement shall be in
writing and in English language.
3.21.15 Counterparts
This Agreement may be completed in two counterparts, each of which shall constitute an
original of this Agreement when written and delivered.
86