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Statistics&Probability11 q3 Week8 v4
Statistics&Probability11 q3 Week8 v4
PROBABILITY 11
3rd Quarter
Week 8
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Email Address:
Competencies:
-Illustrates t-distribution
Code: M11/12SP-IIIg-2
-Identifies percentiles using the t-table
Code: M11/12SP-IIIg-5
Learner’s Tasks
Lesson Overview
As long as the sample size (n) is large enough, the sampling distribution of a
statistic (such as a sample mean,̅𝑥 ) will follow a normal distribution, according to the
Central Limit Theorem. As a result, we can compute a 𝑧-score and use the normal
distribution to compare probabilities with the sample mean when we know the
population's standard deviation. However, sample sizes can be small, and we often
don't know the population's standard deviation. To solve this, we will use a different
distribution.
This learning activity sheet was crafted to introduce the 𝑡-distribution and its
properties. A distribution will be used whenever the sample size is small and if we don’t
know the population’s standard deviation 𝜎. Furthermore, this learning activity sheet
will tackle the idea of degrees of freedom and show you how to identify percentiles
under the 𝑡-distribution using the 𝑡 –table.
Student’s 𝒕-distribution
When the sample size is small (i.e. less than 30) and/or the population variance
is unknown, the Student's 𝑡-distribution is used to estimate population parameters. It was
developed by William Sealy Gosset in 1908. He used the pseudonym or pen name
"Student" when he published his paper which describes the distribution. That is why it is
called “Student’s 𝑡-distribution”.
In the previous lessons, you have learned that
𝑥̅ − 𝜇
𝑧=𝜎
⁄ 𝑛
√
where z is the z – score, 𝒙 ̅ is the sample mean, 𝝁 is the population mean, 𝝈 is the
population standard deviation and n is the sample size, have the standard normal
distribution. But usually, the standard deviation for the entire population 𝝈 is unknown,
so you can’t use that in your formula. If that happens, you could do the next best thing,
instead of using the “population” standard deviation you are going to use your
̅−𝝁
𝒙
“sample” standard deviation s, to estimate it. And instead of 𝑧 = 𝝈 , you are going to
⁄ 𝒏
√
1
̅−𝝁
𝒙
have 𝑡 = 𝒔 where s is your sample standard deviation. You must take note of the
⁄ 𝒏
√
change in the formula. The quantity 𝝈 is a constant but you don’t know its value, so you
used s which is a statistic and this statistic s has a sampling distribution and its value
̅−𝝁
𝒙
would vary from sample to sample. And so, the quantity 𝑡 = 𝒔 would no longer have
⁄ 𝒏
√
the standard normal distribution. This quantity is labeled as 𝑡 because it has a 𝑡 -
distribution. When you are sampling from a normally distributed population, the quantity
̅−𝝁
𝒙
𝒕= 𝒔
⁄ 𝒏
√
has the 𝑡-distribution with n – 1 degrees of freedom. Note that the number of degrees
of freedom is one less than the sample size. So, if the sample size n is 25, the number of
degrees of freedom is 24. Similarly, at t-distribution having 16 degrees of freedom, the
sample size is 17.
Properties of t-distribution
1. The t-distribution is symmetrical about 0.
That is, if you draw a section from the
curve's peak to the horizontal axis' 0
point, the curve is divided into two equal
sections or areas. On the horizontal axis,
the 𝑡-scores would be split as well, with
half of the 𝑡-scores being positive and
half being negative.
2. The 𝒕-distribution is bell-shaped like the normal distribution but has heavier tails.
3. The mean, median, and mode of the 𝒕-distribution are all equal to zero.
𝑣
4. The variance is always greater than 1. It is equal to where v is the number of
𝑣−2
degrees of freedom. As the number of degrees of freedom increases and approaches
infinity, the variance approaches 1.
5. As the degrees of freedom increase, the 𝒕-distribution curve looks more and more
like the normal distribution. With infinite degrees of freedom, 𝑡-distribution is the same
as the normal distribution.
Standard Normal
Distribution 5 df
2 df
1 df
2
6. The standard deviation of the 𝒕-distribution varies with the sample size. The standard
deviation of a 𝑡 - distribution is greater than 1 unlike that of a normal distribution which
is equal to 1.
7. The total area under a 𝒕-distribution curve is 1 or 100%.
Illustrative Example 1
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3. Make a concluding statement.
Hence, the 95th percentile of a 𝑡 -distribution with 6 degrees of freedom is 1.943.
Illustrative Example 2
Problem: Find the 5th percentile of a 𝑡-distribution with 6 degrees of freedom.
Solution:
Step 2. Look for the 𝑡-value with an area to the right of 0.95 under a 𝑡-distribution with 6
degrees of freedom using the 𝑡-table. (See attached right-tailed t-table)
Illustrative Example 3
Problem: What is the area to the right of 2.4 under a 𝑡-distribution with 7 degrees of
freedom?
Solution: Remember how you find 𝑡-values using the given areas under the 𝑡-distribution
curve in the previous example? In this case, though, you'll be doing the opposite
because you'll be given a 𝑡-value and asked to find the region to the right of the 𝑡-
distribution with 7 degrees of freedom.
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Step 1: Plot in a 𝑡-distribution and draw what
you are looking for.
So, using the table you found that the area to the right of 2.4 under the 𝑡-
distribution with 7 degrees of freedom lies somewhere between 0.02 and 0.025.
Note: If you need an exact value, you'll need software that can quickly calculate the
area under the 𝑡-distribution curve given a 𝑡-value and the number of degrees of
freedom. Using such software, you can determine that the area is 0.02373 to five
decimal places.
Additional Example
What if you needed to use the 𝒕-table to find the area to the left of 2.4?
Since the area under the entire curve is 1, the area to the left of 2.4 is equal to 1
minus the area to the right of 2.4. So, based on the table the area to the left of 2.4 under
the t-distribution with 7 degrees of freedom must lie somewhere between 0.98 and 0.975
(1 – 0.02 = 0.98 and 1 – 0.025 = 0.975). But since you already knew that the area to the
right of 2.4 is 0.02373, you could find the exact area to the left of 2.4 to five decimal
places as 1 minus 0.02373 or 0.97627
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Activity 1 – Distribution Dilemma
Direction: Tell whether each of the following statements describes a 𝒕-distribution, a
normal distribution, or both. Write your answers on a separate sheet of paper.
_______________1. The variance is equal to 1.
_______________2. The probability distribution curve is bell-shaped.
_______________3. The probability distribution curve is symmetrical about zero.
_______________4. The standard deviation is equal to 1.
_______________5. The shape of the distribution curve depends on the degrees of
freedom.
_______________6. It has the total area under its curve equal to 1 or 100%.
_______________7. It has lower peak and heavier tails.
_______________8. Sample size is small and population variance is unknown.
_______________9. It has tails that are asymptotic to the horizontal axis.
_______________10. Its mean, median, and mode are equal to 0.
1. Find the values of 𝑡 for which the area on the right tail of the 𝑡-distribution is 0.05 and
the number of degrees of freedom is equal to:
a. 15 b. 28 c. 100
3. Find the 90th percentile of the 𝑡-distribution if the sample size is 25.
1. Do you think that the 𝑡-distribution is a versatile distribution? Explain your answer.
2. Cite some real-life studies where 𝑡-distribution is useful and what makes it important
in such a particular study?
Formative Test
Let us see how far you have learned from our lesson.
Direction: Choose the letter of the best answer. Write the chosen letter on a separate
sheet of paper.
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2. What is the difference between the normal distribution and the t-distribution?
A. The 𝑡 – distribution has a lower peak.
B. The 𝑡 – distribution is centered at 0.
C. The 𝑡 – distribution is symmetric in the middle.
D. The 𝑡 – distribution has tails that asymptotic to the horizontal axis.
3. To what percentile of the 𝑡 -distribution does 1.397 belong if the sample size is 9?
A. 90th B. 95th C. 97th D. 99th
5. What is the 95th percentile of the 𝑡 -distribution when the sample size is 23?
A. 1.721 B. 1.717 C. 1.699 D. 1.547
Answer Key
Activity 1 Activity 2
Activity 3
References
Belecina, Rene R., Baccay,Elisa S. and Mateo, Efren B. “Statistics And Probability”.
Manila: Rex Book Store, Inc. (RBSI), 2016.
PIVOT 4A Learner’s Material. Statistics and Probability. First Edition. Department of
Education - Region 4A CALABARZON
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