Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Alexander Saares
Master’s Thesis
2021
Copyright ©2021 Alexander Saares
Author Alexander Saares
Title of thesis Flexible office space platforms: investor’s perspective
Programme Real Estate Economics
Major Real Estate Economics
Thesis supervisor Prof. Seppo Junnila
Thesis advisors Annina Saari, M.Sc.; Ari Käkelä, LL.M.
Date 01.06.2021 Number of pages 51 Language English
Abstract
Nowadays, all sizes of office occupiers demand flexibility from their premises. The global
pandemic has changed the way knowledge workers work. Thus, the enormous office
investment market is changing. Platform-based solutions thrive on several industries. This
study reviews the possibilities flexible office space platforms offer landlords under the
changing market conditions. This study examines flexible office space platforms from
landlord’s perspective through a case study in addition to a literature review. The case study
showcases the economic boundaries under which a flexible office space concept is
profitable to offer through a platform.
Flexible office space platforms usually cover the management of invoicing, user
agreements, and digital infrastructure in exchange for the platform fee. Flexible office space
concept’s cash flow differs in comparison to traditional leasing. Even though flexible office
space produces uncertain cash flow, the potential yield is high. There is dissenting views on
how the presence of flexible office space concept affect the value of the premises and how
the flexible office spaces should be accounted in valuation.
The results of the study suggest that relatively high occupancy is required for the flexible
office spaces to surpass the profitability of traditionally leased spaces. As flexible space
occupiers demand high quality fitments and services, many additional costs are introduced
to asset level if operating flexible space is desired. The costs on top of the increase in
uncertainty of the cash flow make flexible office space operation costly, which landlords
require compensation for. We present that landlords are not going to offer flexible office
spaces widely if the space users are unwilling to pay considerable amount for the flexible
occupancy services.
Keywords commercial real estate, office leasing, flexible office space platform, platform-
based coworking, space-as-a-service
Tekijä Alexander Saares
Työn nimi Joustavan toimistotilan alustat: sijoittajan näkökulma
Koulutusohjelma Real Estate Economics
Pääaine Real Estate Economics
Vastuuopettaja/valvoja Professori Seppo Junnila
Työn ohjaajat DI Anniina Saari, OTM Ari Käkelä
Päivämäärä 01.06.2021 Sivumäärä 51 Kieli Englanti
Tiivistelmä
Nykyään kaikenkokoiset tilankäyttäjät vaativat joustoa toimistotiloiltaan.
Maailmanlaajuinen pandemia on muuttanut tietotyöläisten työskentelytapoja. Täten
valtava toimistosijoitusmarkkinakin muuttuu. Alustapohjaiset ratkaisut ovat menestyneet
monilla markkinoilla. Tämä tutkimus arvioi mahdollisuuksia, mitä joustavan toimistotilan
alustat tarjoavat kiinteistönomistajille muuttuvissa markkinaolosuhteissa. Tutkimus
tarkastelee joustavan toimistotilan alustoja kiinteistönomistajan näkökulmasta
kirjallisuustutkimuksen ja case-tutkimuksen avulla. Case-tutkimus esittelee taloudellisia
reunaehtoja, joiden vallitessa on kannattavaa tarjota joustavaa toimistotilaa alustan kautta.
Alexander Saares
Symbols and abbreviations
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
EUR Euro(s)
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office space phenomena, which reason that a real estate investor must renew their customs to remain
competent within the field.
Time used on commuting can be significant. In 2019, the daily time used on commuting within the
Helsinki Metropolitan Area was almost 60 minutes on average (OSF 2020 p. 2). The daily time used
on commuting can easily exceed 90 minutes in the largest cities in the world, while New Yorkers
spend even as high as 120 minutes on daily commuting on average. Studies suggest that long-duration
commuting has negative impacts on physical and mental health in addition to negative impacts on
working efficiency. Noise, congestion, and weather conditions can impact health as well. (Motamed
& Shirvanimoghaddam 2021 p. 1, 2) Based on these commuting characteristics, utilization of flexible
ways of working that decrease commuting can result in a more efficient workforce and increased
welfare among employees, thus possibly increasing the demand for flexible office space concepts
from the occupiers.
The pandemic forced many office workers to work from home, which has convinced many resistant
employers that many jobs can be successfully carried out from home (Anderson & Kelliher p. 681).
PwC (2021) presents that remote work has been an overwhelming success for both, employees, and
employers. According to the survey conducted in December 2020, over 80% of the surveyed
employers in the United States say that the shift to remote work has been successful (PwC 2021).
Companies are often forced to acquire multiple office locations as they struggle to accommodate all
the talent needed in one, single location (Poleg 2020 p. 95). Poleg (2020 p. 95) asks, if collaboration
between offices is possible for the employees, why do they need to be in the office at all?
Although working from home has been a success, home as a workplace is not primarily designed for
working. Concentration on self-control consumes energy, which impacts negatively on wellbeing.
Issues such as less social interaction, social isolation, poor ergonomics, or missing workplace
facilities tend to emerge. (Motamed & Shirvanimoghaddam 2021 p. 3) Flexible space solutions may
solve most of these issues while maintaining the decrease of commuting effort. Motamed &
Shirvanimoghaddam (2021) present that a local coworking hub within “15–20 min neighborhood”
could solve problematics regarding working in a traditional office or home. For an employee, a local
flexible space concept could bring out the best characteristics from each extreme.
Even though the possibility of having flexibility on working customs seems to be very desirable for
employees, the employing companies make the final decisions regarding workspaces. The employer
must benefit from the implementation of flexible office space solutions to adopt it. Even though the
welfare of employees benefits the employer as well, a hybrid workplace model introduces its
challenges. For example, some managers struggle to manage people working from home, while some
employees feel untrusted and micromanaged (Parker et al. 2020 p. 12).
In addition to a more efficient, healthier workforce, remote working and flexible working habits can
benefit companies financially in other ways as well. Global Workplace Analytics estimates that a
typical employer can save over ten thousand USD per year per person working remotely half of the
time (Motamed & Shirvanimoghaddam 2021 p. 3). Colliers (2020 p. 4) presents that by outsourcing
flexible workspace a company can reduce capital expenses (Colliers 2020).
Antti Tuomela, the managing director of Spacent Ltd., argues that the field of real estate is stuck with
measuring everything with square meters (Puheenaihe 2020). Many can agree as the actual utilization
of a space has many other essential components in addition to acreage. The evolution of flexible
occupying is constantly participating in changing the way we comprehend space within the industry.
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1.2 Objectives
The objective of this study is to understand in which circumstances is it desirable for an investor to
participate in a flexible office space platform in the present or within the next five years. The study
focuses on the investor’s perspective. In this study, the investor is defined as a profit-seeking property
owner.
Sankari (2019 p. 50, 77) describes coworking hotel as a concept which, by short leases, offers shared
office spaces with added service package. In this study, flexible office space concept is defined
similarly, but the offered spaces do not limit to traditional coworking. Thus, in this study, the flexible
office space concept is a concept that offers different office spaces by short leases with an added
service package. The offered spaces can be but do not limit to e.g., undedicated desks, fixed desks,
private offices of different sizes, and meeting rooms. The service package within the concept
comprises, e.g., coffee, printing, internet, and reception.
In this study, the flexible office space platform denotes a platform-based network of the above-
defined flexible office space concepts.
In this study, traditional leasing denotes the model in which the tenant utilizes the space under an
ordinary lease agreement signed with the landlord with no other contractual parties present.
This study considers the operation of flexible space as real estate, not as a business of its own. Thus,
the occupying models and the platform-based network are viewed in the context of real estate. The
phenomenon is mainly evaluated in the context of Finnish real estate while not limiting to it.
Non-profit concepts are omitted from this study. Elements of, e.g., external operator’s perspective,
user’s perspective, or the platform-based network itself that are irrelevant to the investor are
overridden.
Based on the drivers introduced previously, it is reasonable to suppose that tenants are unwilling to
commit to longer leases the same way as before. Thus, this study is based on the supposition that the
weighted average lease terms of office leases are supposed to shorten during the next five years.
Practically the results of the study attempt to present information on whether participation in a flexible
space office platform offers a suitable solution for a property investor to compete within the new,
supposed market conditions.
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new while the customs of the occupiers continue to change at a high pace, there is a research gap on
the investor’s perspective of flexible office space platforms.
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Picture 1. Stylized research structure of the study.
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2 Literature review
In the first section of the literature review, the fundaments of flexible office spaces and platform-
model are considered separately. The second section broadly covers relevant topics of property
investing in general. The general property investment concepts considered limit to relevant ones
regarding the subject of the study.
The last section of literature review compounds the comprehension of the theoretical fundaments into
a broad idea of flexible office space platforms.
It should be noted that in the context of offices, the terms of coworking, flexible space, and space-as-
a-service are used in different ways in the reviewed literature. The presented terms all broadly denote
some sort of occupancy model other than traditional leasing or owner occupancy, which is disposed
by user or service agreements.
2.1 Traditional coworking
In this chapter, traditional coworking is reviewed. In this study, traditional coworking denotes
utilization of a model where a coworking operator acquires control of space and offers an open space
for end-users by user agreements. In addition to hot desks, e.g., fixed desks, smaller, individual offices
or meeting rooms are typically offered by the coworking operators. In this study, a hot desk denotes
an undedicated desk within a flexible office space.
Coworking concepts appearing on the market vary, although main characteristics remain the same.
Coworking space can be described as a physical, shared space where heterogenous individuals from
different backgrounds work (Sankari 2019). Coworking space offers workers from different
companies to share a workspace to reach flexible occupancy. Sankari (2019 p. 62) presents that in
addition to high accessibility, a coworking space must be an attractive workplace.
The sizes of the coworking spaces vary. According to Coworking Survey Europe, 62% of the
coworking concepts are under 500m2, 20% are between 500m2 and 1000m2 and the rest is over
1000m2 (Deskmag 2020 p. 123). Worldwide, Global Coworking Study 2020 presents that average
space capacity of a coworking space is 83 people while the average space size is around 680m2
(Coworker & CoworkingResources 2020).
The actual utilization of the space can be higher in coworking in comparison to traditional single-
tenant offices. Office properties tend to suffer from underutilization, as most seats of certain offices
remain empty during the evenings and nights or even throughout the day. Fundamentally, the
coworking idea targets to lessen underutilization of the space (Wheaton & Krasikov 2019 p. 2).
High occupancy or high occupancy costs do not necessarily mean high utilization. For example, in
Central London, the average desk utilization percentage is less than 50%, while the annual cost for a
workstation is close to EUR 20 000 (Baum et al. 2020 p. 50). The values show that even a relatively
low increase in utilization could potentially save a significant amount of money. Even though
underutilization of tenants’ premises does not directly affect the investor, the investor might be able
to financially benefit by producing more efficient solutions for the occupiers and end-users.
In some areas, there is a confirmed correlation between vacancy rate and coworking percentage. For
instance, in the United States, the trend seems clear: the lower the city’s vacancy rate is, the higher
the percentage of coworkers of the population is. For example, the vacancy and coworking percent
of Manhattan is around 7% and 1,8%, while the corresponding values of Phoenix are around 20%
and 0,8% (Baum et al. 2020 p. 73). Moreover, the larger the occupancy cost, the larger the absolute
cost savings are, which hypothetically leads to the coworking model being most favorable in cities
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where occupancy costs are higher, resulting in higher absolute savings. Investor aims to have as high
occupancy as possible, as occupancies provide revenue for the investor.
Coworking and multi-tenant concepts offer features which provide efficiency for the users. The
spaces tend to have flexible opening hours and an efficient location in terms of essential places such
as amenities, restaurants, homes, or clients (Sankari 2019 p. 76). Flexibility for the occupiers in
practice result in an opportunity for smaller companies to occupy office space or for larger companies
to expand the working possibilities for their employees.
Coworking concepts typically target small occupiers. According to Coworking Survey Europe, 78%
of the surveyed coworking spaces present that individual customers are targeted with strong focus
and 58% present that companies with under ten employees are targeted on strong focus as well
(Deskmag 2020 p. 128).
Sankari (2019 p. 76) presents that coworking spaces try to create a collaborative atmosphere among
the end-users. Agglomeration benefits of the workplace might also appear in the coworking spaces
as people socialize within the workday, resulting in sharing information and ideas.
Coworking business can be sustainable on many levels. Shared spaces can deliver sustainability as
the equipment is shared (Sankari 2019 p. 76). Because coworking spaces contribute to reaching better
economic and social results, coworking operating can be classified as a conscious business (Orel &
Kubátová 2019). As companies and individuals value sustainability, the image of sustainability linked
to investor’s premises can be considered desirable from the investor’s perspective.
An imbalance between acquired space and active users can make operating coworking space
challenging. Compared to traditional office leasing, the burden of obligations is substantially different
for the end-user in the coworking model (Baum et al. 2020 p. 74). While the landlords offer
traditional, longer leases to coworking operators, the space users appreciate and demand flexibility.
Short termination periods on coworking subscriptions seem to be an industry standard at this point.
Shorter occupancies and harder predictability are fundamentally not ideal for the landlord of a
coworking operator. However, the market participants seem to agree on the arrangement, which has
changed the commercial real estate market (Baum et al. 2020 p. 74).
As office leasing continues to change, the coworking phenomenon has made it possible for space
operators to specialize in coworking and turn it into a commercial product (Chegut & Langen 2019
p. 21). Even if investors could solve the challenges of the changes by simply leasing the space to a
coworking space operating specialist, the new fundamentals of the field of office leasing remain
present. In practice, the change of the fundamentals requires actions from the property investors to
remain competent (Clayton et al. 2019 p. 19).
Coworking operators tend to offer other flexible office spaces as well. Even though the coworking
concepts differ, the operators usually offer e.g., private office and meeting rooms in addition to
traditional hot desk coworking while still experiencing oneself as a coworking provider. According
to Coworking Survey Europe, 41% of the surveyed coworking concepts answered that their largest
revenue stream comes from renting private offices while 37% of the concepts present that the largest
revenue stream comes from desk memberships (Deskmag 2020 p. 130). A large share of coworking
concepts receive the largest part of their revenue from private offices, signifying the extension of the
term coworking. Concluding, we state that the term coworking is not used in a very consistent manner
across the field, rather in many ways.
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2.2 Flexible office space
Hitherto, the literature review has mainly considered and reviewed traditional coworking. However,
traditional coworking is only a segment of flexible office spaces. Currently it seems that a fair amount
of the spaces considered flexible office spaces in Helsinki Metropolitan Area are traditional
coworking spaces. This chapter broadly introduces flexible office space in general.
Like traditional coworking, other flexible office spaces are offered through user agreements to end-
users. Instead of the target being an undedicated hot desk, the commodity is, e.g., a private office of
some sort, usually for a single person or a smaller team. In terms of flexibility, a hot desk coworking
subscription is one of the most flexible models to occupy office space. Private office solutions are a
little more inflexible in comparison to on-demand services or monthly memberships, as the private
offices are typically signed at least for months. However, we could interpret that everything besides
traditional leasing or owner occupying is flexible office space in the real estate context.
Flexible office space as an institution is increasing its relevancy within occupiers and landlords.
CBRE (2020 p. 2) states that flexible office space is no longer considered a niche sector, rather being
a solution for a broader range of occupiers. Alliances between flexible office space operators and
landlords are emerging in addition to new business models being developed (CBRE 2020 p. 2). JLL
(2020 p. 8) presents that flexible office space has evolved into a spectrum of options that offer, in the
context of real estate, different levels of flexibility, choice, and experience for tenants and investors
alike.
CBRE (2020 p. 36) presents that instead of pure coworking, many flexible office providers offer
private office solutions especially to enterprise tenants demanding more privacy and security. The
reconfigurability of the spaces offer some substitution to limited customizability while occupying
terms are flexible (CBRE 2020 p. 36).
We can argue that someone’s flexibility is someone else’s inflexibility in the context of occupying
space. However, the performance of the market participants on managing the inflexibility is not
identical. Thus, a specialized operator or a landlord can manage the tenure’s inflexibility more
effectively compared to the end-user. Thus, the efficient management of inflexibility is valuable as
then flexibility can be offered to the end-users.
The more flexible the terms are, the more expensive the occupancy is. After all, an investor seeks to
receive the best possible return according to the risk level managed. Changes in tenancy usually result
in costs. As shorter occupancies are viewed as more uncertain in comparison to longer occupancies,
an investor demands compensation for the increase in risk.
It can be argued that flexible office space operators are not commercial office space providers but
rather hospitality providers. The nature of the space providing significantly differ between traditional
leasing and flexible space, as flexible space operators usually provide other services in addition to
desks, e.g., food services and connections, which altogether condense into a more refined user
experience (Baum et al. 2020 p. 74, Clayton et al. 2019 p. 19). An increasing number of hotel
operators are already mixing flexible space such as private offices and coworking within their
premises (Poleg 2020 p. 81), which practically prove the hospitality providing aspect of the business.
In the legal framework, flexible office space is usually not leasing. As stated, flexible office space
operating is considered a part of the entity of real estate, thus being leasing in this study. However,
in the legal framework, agreement on usage of flexible space such as a coworking subscription is not
a lease agreement, rather a user agreement. In Finland, the leasing of commercial premises is subject
to Act on Commercial Leasing (1995/482) (Act on Commercial Leasing (1995/482)). Due to freedom
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of contract and not having a specific law designated to flexible spaces, the user agreements on flexible
spaces are flexible in terms of terms.
Flexible space user agreements are usually offered to businesses as well as directly to consumers. It
should be noted that consumer contracts are subject to various consumer protection rules. In general,
the agreements between entities carrying a trade are subject to industry-specific contractual practices,
rather than specific legislation of the specific activity (Hemmo & Hoppu 2020).
Concluding, Yu et al (2019 p. 452, 454) present that a flexible workspace model can offer companies
cost savings, promote collaboration and innovations, and boost employee satisfaction in addition to
reducing pollution and traffic. An investor can receive financial benefit if it can provide efficient
space solutions to tenants and have a positive image by executing models that are considered
sustainable by the audience.
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Effective management of inflexibility creates value for the space operator. By offering valuable
solutions to occupiers, the space operator can receive excess revenue as the services can be higher in
price.
Poleg (2020 p. 100) emphasizes that the premium paid for the flexible spaces is not only formed by
the risks regarding lease arbitrage. Customers of the flexible space concepts pay for design,
community, and services as well. (Poleg 2020 p. 100)
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network effect is often considered the main characteristic defining the success of the platform. (Han
et al. p. 10–11)
A simple example of the network effect manifests from a telephony system. The more telephones
there are, the more people there are to call with one’s telephone. If the telephone example is
interpreted as a platform, there is only one user type within the platform. The effect creating utility,
in this case, is denoted as the direct network effect. The direct network effect means that the number
of users within the platform positively correlates with the value of the platform. (Han et al. p. 10)
A platform can have more than one type of users, and in fact, many of them do. For example, in
AliExpress, an online marketplace, the users are divided into buyers and sellers. When there is more
than one group of platform users, indirect network effects manifest, which denote value creation
between more than one group (Han et al. p. 10, Danivska & Junnila 2019 p. 3–4).
The indirect network effect in the context of an online marketplace mainly occurs when the buyer
group benefits from large seller group as there is more competition and variety while the seller group
benefits from large buyer group as there are more customers to serve (Han et al. p. 10). The network
effect is the main dynamic that can create value for platform users, thus creating value for the platform
itself.
However, the network effect can be negative as well, and it manifests if the complementary sides of
the platform misalign (Han et al. p. 10–11). In the AliExpress context, this could, for example,
manifest if within a product the variety and competition are too intense, which results in puzzlement
among buyers as there is too much to choose from.
As a successful platform becomes more valuable the more users it has, a natural monopoly is certainly
possible in markets where platform model is favorable. In addition to the scale benefits a powerful
platform can deliver in the demand-side, the basic scale benefits of supply-side manifest on platform
industry. In the previous example of AliExpress, the supply-sided scale benefits could lead, for
example, to having relatively low cost on digital infrastructure management as the managed entity is
massive in size. The management unit cost is lower when there are a million cases to be done instead
of one hundred if supply-sided scale benefits manifest.
2.4 Flexible office space platform
A platform combines broader selection of spaces into a multilocational office network in the flexible
office space platform model. The most important characteristic of the platform model, the network
effect, is present in the flexible office space platform model.
The efficiency of encountering between space owners and potential occupiers is often considered a
challenge in commercial real estate, which the flexible office space platform model targets to ease. It
could be asked that if short-term accommodation benefits from platform-based solutions, why would
not short-term office occupying benefit from it as well, assuming demand for flexible spaces does
exist.
The flexible office space platform model leans strongly towards the idea that scale benefits do exist
on the good. Combining a larger number of spaces into a larger network of spaces results in more
utility per space than a network with lower number of spaces available, resembling the demand-sided
economy of scale. The platform’s management is hypothetically subject to supply-sided economy of
scale as the management costs per unit lower as the amount of managed space increases. By offering
more utility per space unit, the boundary of the profit per space unit can increase. Even though the
platform and space operator or landlord could together capture more surplus from the consumer side
in the model, the surplus division between market participants results from a complex entirety of
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market dynamics. Thus, the revenue division between the platform and space operator or landlord
might not be sufficient for the space operator or landlord to desire participation in the platform model.
The flexible office spaces benefit from a large end-user base by the positive network effect while the
large end-user base benefits from a large variety of different spaces. In the framework of the platform
model reviewed above, a platform creates value by positive network effect (Han et al. p. 10–11). The
flexible space platform can be interpreted as being a matchmaker between space users and spaces.
There are several arrangements on how a flexible office space platform is formed. The legislation,
customs, and markets of different areas differ. In this study, we try to understand and evaluate the
flexible office space platforms especially through the market situation of Finland.
It should be noted that, e.g., a flexible space concept with more than one available location can be
interpreted as a platform-based flexible space network. Even a single location space of coworking
can be viewed as an intermediary, thus being a platform in a way. However, in this study, the flexible
office space platform term is used to describe the product with considerable number of available
locations available under one specific platform, thus making it favorable to have many parties on the
supply side instead of only one.
Currently Spacent offers the largest flexible office space platform across independent flexible spaces
in Finland. Scandic Hotels operate its coworking and flexible space model in the Nordics within their
hotels, which also participates in Spacent’s platform. There is a wide variety of concepts in the world,
and as the trend goes on, different concepts are prone to emerge.
The next few chapters review few specific real-world concepts of flexible office space platforms to
understand what possibilities are available for an investor.
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2.4.6 Flexible office space in the microeconomic framework
This chapter broadly introduces few microeconomic concepts related to flexible office space
platforms that are relevant for the investor.
Specialization
In economics, it is often presented that benefits exist on specialization and an agent should focus on
the activity where it has its comparative advantage. Specialization is required to efficient execution
of many certain tasks. (Pohjola 2015 p. 22–26) As typologized above, the models of platform-based
flexible space providing can be divided based on whether the platform is the space operator or not.
In the platform-as-a-space operator model, the platform must manage the spaces in addition to the
platform. Some synergy benefits might exist if the same party manages the platform and the spaces.
The match-maker platform model is simpler, as the platform only manages the platform as the space
listers manage the spaces. The focus is more limited in comparison to the other model, so there may
be specialization benefits.
The match-maker platform can combine all kinds of spaces with different management models, as
the space lister can be a tenant or the landlord itself. In the specialization framework, one could ask
that is a real estate investor capable of competing as a flexible space operator, as it requires
specialization to execute it efficiently.
The end-user can be indifferent or even unaware of the business model of the supply-side regarding
the platform of flexible office space. Even though the supply-side of the flexible office space platform
could differ by a lot, the demand-side can be somewhat homogenous among the products. Just as in
many other markets, the flexible office space market is complex, leaving space for various production
models to exist simultaneously.
Agency dilemma
The agreement between a space operator and a platform and the agreement between a space operator
and a landlord contain agency dilemma. The agent optimizes their own interest rather than the interest
of the principal. The agent’s incentive to perform well on what is agreed upon can fail from the
principal’s perspective.
Agency dilemma is generally acknowledged in the negotiation of the agreements and the structuration
of the agreements often aims to align the parties’ incentives. A well-structured contract incentivizes
the agent to act in the desired way, e.g., to manage the investor’s premises well.
The management agreement model can help to solve some issues regarding the agency dilemma.
Instead of tenancy, an operator can operate a flexible workspace for the landlord under a management
agreement (Colliers 2020 p. 9). Management agreements place flexible space operators and landlords
on the same side of the table (Colliers 2020 p. 17). If revenue and costs are shared, the interests of
the parties are aligned.
Recurring payments and unlimited plans
Hot desk memberships are usually recurring. E.g., The Spacent coworking membership subscription
is monthly recurring with 30-day termination period (Spacent 2021). Recurring payment as a pricing
model has unique characteristics.
Recurring payment models are argued to be effective for goods that have immediate costs but delayed
benefits (DellaVigna & Malmendier 2006). DellaVigna & Malmendier (2006) found that people tend
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to pay considerably more by having a monthly unlimited plan to the gym in comparison to pay-per-
visit prices.
Recurring payment model seems to be effective on coworking memberships. Even though DellaVigna
& Malmendier (2006) studied the mechanics of recurring payments in the context of health clubs, a
coworking space is a one kind of a good that similarly have immediate cost and delayed benefits.
Consumers usually postpone the cancellation of recurring memberships. Even if a monthly recurring
plan would be economically most effective choice for the consumer at the beginning of the
subscription, the cancellation of underutilized subscription tends to be delayed. DellaVigna &
Malmendier (2006 p. 716) present that less active monthly subscribers that pay a high price per visit
have a longer gap between the last use and the contract termination. Consumers’ overestimation of
efficiency or self-control is suggested as an explanation (DellaVigna & Malmendier 2006 p. 716).
The dynamics of recurring payments and unlimited plans are relevant in the flexible office space
context. Many of the coworking spaces participating the Spacent network offer pay-per-use day
passes for average price of around EUR 20, which can be a suitable price model for less active users.
It should also be noted that the in the usage of unlimited coworking membership the end-user accepts
to carry the risk that the spaces might be full and unusable on certain moments. An investor should
note that the performance of coworking membership model is partly based on these microeconomic
mechanics reviewed in this chapter.
We argue that the dynamics of recurring payments and unlimited plans partly reason the decreases
on the number of active contracts and users between the time points of January 2020 and November
2020. While the average daily user count on coworking concepts fell around 50%, the number of
contracts fell by 25% between the time points (Deskmag 2020 p. 16). During that time frame some
users undoubtedly paid excessive amount compared to their usage even though the subscriptions are
usually very flexible.
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Discounted cash flow (DCF) approach expands the principle of direct capitalization to a series of cash
flows, thus adding approximations of future cash flows into the income-producing component of the
function. It should be noted that both components, the income, and the required rate of return, are
completely market-related as the income of the space is a result of supply and demand. The required
rate of return is a result of complex capital market dynamics. (Mooya 2016 p. 49–50)
Skepticism of the income approach usually regards the fact that it is based mainly on assumptions,
not actual evidence. In many cases, it is troublesome or even impossible to predict parameters, e.g.,
rent or expenses of the next decade, thus resulting in using unreliable values. However, as the income
method is kind of an industry standard, buyers and sellers alike tend to rely on it, resulting in a
somewhat reliable illustration of the market value. The universality in the use of the income method
itself does enhance its credibility. (Mooya 2016 p. 49–50)
In this study, the scenarios of the case study are valuated through the income method.
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3 Investor’s perspective on flexible office space platforms
In this section, we comprehend the results of the literature review into a qualitative understanding of
flexible office space platforms from investor’s perspective.
The platform model must result in an allocation where every party is better off by participating in the
model rather than sticking to other models in the longer run. If any of the parties find the model
unprofitable, the usage of the model is not justified, thus resulting unused.
The issues of the investor’s perspective can be considered especially relevant in the flexible office
space platform models, as real estate investors are often considered exceptionally conservative.
Investor’s goal is to maximize profit on a certain risk level, thus willingness to adopt a new concept
may be low, especially if its profitability cannot be estimated certainly enough.
Investor is after profit and will require a compensation for additional costs, risks, and inflexibility.
The investor has a lot more to lose compared to end-users in the flexible office space platform model.
The implementation usually requires the investor to modify a physical space and form processes
regarding management to participate in the platform. In turn, the users can have flexible occupancy
with little commitment. The flexible occupancy can be terminated even in a little time as a month,
while pay-per-use services can be terminated immediately.
Many costs of managing property investments derive from tenant changes. Tenant changes result in
vacancies, searching costs, negotiation costs, and tenant incentives such as rent-free periods and
tenant improvements (Puheenaihe 2020). The movement towards flexible office space platforms can
lower this cost bundle, even though the spaces itself tend to require a lot of fitment improvements.
Lowering the costs of leasing is independently something a real estate investor is interested in.
As the solution provided by the platform is valuable for the lister of the space, the platform requires
a compensation. Flexible office space platform models differ, but, e.g., Spacent seems to offer a
relatively easy way to get started with listing a space. Many processes such as invoicing is provided
by Spacent, resulting in an easy-to-adopt solution for the lister of the space (Spacent 2021). Fixed
costs regarding the offering of the space are mostly covered by Spacent, resulting in lower
management effort for the lister of the space.
Flexible office space platform participation may refine the public image of the participants. Building
and construction as a sector account for a massive carbon dioxide emission amount (Spacent 2021).
Flexible office space is considered a more environmentally sustainable choice in comparison to
traditional leasing, as spaces and equipment are shared to some extent. Thus, offering flexible office
space solutions might offer a positive publicity component which relevancy can increase even more
in the future.
27
Table 1. Monthly cost for hot desk, single user. List prices as of 27.1.2021. (UMA Workspace 2021,
MOW 2021, Epicenter 2021, Myyr York 2021, Spacent 2021)
Membership Monthly list price, one user,
from EUR. VAT exclusive.
UMA Teurastamo, Vilhonvuori, Helsinki 285
MOW Mothership, Helsinki center 250
Epicenter, Helsinki center 260
Myyr York, Myyrmäki, Vantaa 90
Spacent 195
Spacent seems to offer the hot desk access less costly to many of the independent coworking spaces
than the spaces themselves. It should be noted that the presented figures are list prices and may not
reflect the actual contracts signed by users at all. In addition, it is unclear whether the Spacent
membership contains the same exact services that the independent memberships do.
As the membership model reviewed in this chapter contains unattainable information such as what
the platform has agreed on with the space hosts of the participating spaces, the fixed subscription
model reviewed in this chapter is not examined further in this study.
28
Qualitatively examined, it can be argued that by offering flexible office premises alongside a lease
within the same building, it is possible to increase the weighted average lease term of the premises.
Tenants could upscale their office premise needs to some extent by utilizing the flexible spaces
offered by the landlord, meaning that staying is more desirable. As flexible spaces are offered within
the building, some prospective tenants could view signing traditional leases more appealing as well.
Based on these arguments, the effects of utilizing a small part of the building in the form of flexible
spaces accessible through the platform could be substantial. Flexibility does not solely mean that
leaving is easy, as easy leaving lowers the barriers to enter as well. In this model, the flexibility
scatters on top of the inflexible, traditional leasing tenants as well. Sometimes even a little flexibility
can be sufficient for the occupiers. By offering enough flexibility and sufficient premises for the
tenants’ needs, the premises could attract new tenants more easily.
Some multitenant office buildings offer reception services of some sort. The management of flexible
spaces in the premises might be subject to synergy benefits if a reception and receptionist already
exist in the premises. By some changes, the receptionist might be able to manage the on-site flexible
spaces, meaning that only a limited amount of excess human capital may be needed. If desired, the
landlord can limit the access to the flexible spaces to certain groups e.g., the tenants of the building.
29
4 Case study
In this section, the investor’s perspective on flexible office space platforms is reviewed through a
case study in more quantitative manner.
30
The fluctuating revenue stream of flexible office space usually comprises of flexible desk
memberships, fixed desk memberships, private offices, and renting other spaces for, e.g., meetings
and events.
For simplicity, the case shall contain three end-products, which are hot desk day pass, private office
per month, and meeting room per hour. Even though lengths of the occupancies and sizes of the rooms
differ in the real-world, the case shall be simplified.
It is supposed that the case concept does not have market power, meaning that the increase in total
flexible space available in the market initiated by the case concept does not affect the equilibrium of
supply and demand of flexible space. The declaration of the above-mentioned is essential, as the
aggregate demand for flexible spaces might be limited with the current number of spaces and their
prices.
4.3 Parameters
In this chapter, the parameters used in the Case modelling are presented. Data is collected from
various sources. However, as this is a case study and the data availability is limited, considerable
number of suppositions are required. The suppositions on each parameter are reasoned. If specific,
the sources are presented.
Rent level, occupancy rate, and capitalization rate are fetched from Datscha.
The prices are VAT exclusive.
Further, the parameters are concluded and presented in more exemplified tables.
4.3.1 Benchmark
First, the benchmark, which is to be compared with the Case, is considered.
Location
The Case is imagined in the sub-market of Vallila in Helsinki, Finland.
Vallila is chosen as it is a clear specific sub-market within Helsinki with sub-prime rent level.
Gross leasable area
The chosen gross leasable area for the Case is 5 000m2.
Rent
The gross rent level of the benchmark is chosen to be EUR 19,5/m 2.
31
Newsec reported that the median rent level of modern office buildings in Vallila is EUR 17,0. A
modern office building denotes office premises built during 1990 and after. The respective value
reported by CBRE is EUR 22,0. The chosen parameter for the rent level is the average of these two
reported values.
Occupancy
The occupancy of the benchmark is 93%.
Newsec and CBRE both reported that the median occupancy of modern office buildings in Vallila is
93%.
Operational costs
The average monthly operational cost of office space of the Case is EUR 5,32/m2.
KTI (2020) reported that 4,70/m2 was the average monthly operational cost for office space in Finland
in 2019.
A cost of EUR 0,62/m2 is added as a cost of reception within the building. The value is calculated by
dividing EUR 3 100 monthly cost with the leasable area.
The cost of EUR 3 100 comprises a gross salary of EUR 2 250, employing fees of EUR 450 and EUR
250 of other costs. The price of employment reflects the cost of the service to some extent, meaning
that the value is suitable enough in this context even though it would be outsourced by the Case.
This operational cost related to the building is constant across the compared items. Changes in it does
not change the absolute value differences. Thus, more in-depth estimation is not necessary.
Fit-out costs
The rent and operational costs contain a basic level of tenant fit-outs. For simplicity reasons, the fit-
out costs are constant.
Capitalization rate
The capitalization rate of the benchmark is 6,40%.
Newsec reported that the median capitalization rate in modern office buildings in Vallila is 6,80%.
The respective value reported by CBRE is 6,00%. The chosen parameter for the capitalization rate is
the average of these two reported values.
Table 2. Numerical parameters for the benchmark.
Gross monthly Monthly
GLA Occupancy Capitalization rate
rent operational cost
5 000m2 EUR 19,5/m2 93% EUR 5,32/m2 6,40%
32
The acreage of the case space shall be 900m 2. The case space is around few hundred square meters
larger than the average coworking concept found on the world.
Benchmark space
Based on the benchmark parameters, the 900m2 space would have a monthly net operating income of
EUR 11 534.
Table 3. Net operating income of the space if leased traditionally. Monthly NOI is rounded to zero
decimals.
Name of Gross monthly Monthly operational
GLA Occupancy Monthly NOI
the value rent cost
Value 900m2 EUR 19,5/m2 EUR 5,32/m2 93% EUR 11 534
Formula A Rb Cb Ob Nb = ARbOb - ACb
33
Coffee, tea, and water
All-inclusive contract for two beverage machines for a headcount of 50 is estimated at monthly EUR
800. Typical rents for coffee machines range from weekly EUR 10 to EUR 100.
Table 4. Case specific operational costs.
Cost Monthly
Printing EUR 800
Internet EUR 300
Electricity EUR 250
Cleaning EUR 2 400
Coffee, tea, and water EUR 800
Total, Co EUR 4 550
These case specific monthly operational costs are further denoted by Co.
Fit-out costs
The fit-out costs introduced to the Case are additional fit out costs on top of the constant fit-outs
appearing on the benchmark space.
100% private offices
The fit-out improvements for the private office space are valued at EUR 170 000. The fit-outs are
paid monthly during 8 years with interest of 1% per annum.
With the above parameters, the constant payment loan monthly installment is EUR 2 763. The sum
is rounded to zero decimals. This monthly cost for fit-outs is further denoted by Cf.
The average tenant improvements for coworking concepts reported around the world are around USD
100 000 to USD 130 000. The case space is hundreds of square meters larger than the average
coworking space found on the market while in Finland the construction costs are high. Thus, a safe
estimate of EUR 170 000 is reasonable.
100% hot desks
The fit-out costs for more open hot desk space are estimated at half of the private office costs, as
considerably less structures are installed to the open space. Thus, the constant payment loan monthly
installment is EUR 1 381. The sum is rounded up to zero decimals. This monthly cost for hot desk
fit-outs is further denoted by Cf/2.
Platform fee
The platform fee shall be fixed 12%. The fee is reduced from the revenue created by the Case.
A typical fixed fee of such platforms on the market is 10 to 15 percent. The models for fees can be
more complex in the real-world. For simplicity, a fixed fee for the Case is chosen.
34
Pure hot desk scenario
Coworking Study 2020 presents that average space capacity of a coworking spaces is 83 people, while
the average space size is around 680m2 (Coworker & CoworkingResources 2020). By dividing the
average space size by average capacity, around 8,2m2 per user is acquired.
The case shall have a lounge and corridor allocation of 150m 2.
By dividing the average space with 8,2m2, A capacity of around 110 is received. However, the average
capacity calculation comprises the lounge and corridor area. If the 150m 2 lounge and corridor area is
valued out, the average space per hot desk which yields the capacity of 110 is 6,8m2 on the remaining
750m2.
To be safe, we allocate 7m2 per hot desk on the 750m2 remaining space, resulting in capacity of 107.
The number for capacity is rounded to zero decimals.
As the occupancy of hot desks is based on day passes, the occupancy percentage excludes weekends.
The absolute daily occupancy including weekends is the reported occupancy multiplied by 5/7. The
occupancy percentages are rounded to two decimals.
The platform fee of 12% is accounted in the calculations.
Day pass prices average to around EUR 20 (VAT 0%) in the Helsinki Metropolitan Area.
Table 5. Break-even point for the pure hot desk scenario with defined cost level. The total costs are
rounded to zero decimals.
Name of the value Value Formula
Monthly NOI if leased traditionally EUR 11 534 Nb
100% hot desk case costs excluding platform fee EUR 10 719 Ch = ACb+Co+Cf/2
Break-even point revenue EUR 22 253 Nb+Ch
Break-even point revenue per m2 incl. costs excl. platform fee EUR 24,73 (Nb+Ch)/A
Break-even point revenue per m2 incl. costs incl. platform fee EUR 28,10 ((Nb+Ch)/A)/(1-0,12)
The break-even revenue is the sum of the NOI of the benchmark and the case concepts costs which
exclude the platform fee. To reach EUR 24,73 revenue per m 2 after the platform fee, the total
underlying revenue paid by the users must be around EUR 28,10 per m2.
Table 6. Combinations to break-even with defined cost level by only hot desks. Occupancy is rounded
to two decimals. Absolute occupancy is rounded to zero decimals.
Day pass price, EUR 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Occupancy excl.
73,43 68,84 64,79 61,19 57,97 55,07 52,45 50,06 47,89
weekends, %
Occupancy out of
107 desks on office 79 74 69 65 62 59 56 54 51
hours
35
Combinations to break-even, 100% hot desks
80%
Occupancy excl. weekends, %
75%
70%
65%
60%
55%
50%
45%
40%
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Day pass price, EUR
Picture 3. Combinations to break-even with defined cost level by only hot desks.
In the break-even calculations, the NOI of the Benchmark space equals the NOI of the concept spaces.
The equilibrium is found by changing the occupancy of the concept space. E.g., to reach break-even
revenue of EUR 22 253 after the platform fee with a day pass price of EUR 19, around 57,97% of the
hot desk capacity must be sold on weekdays.
Pure private office scenario
The only type of private office is defined to be 12,5m 2. The space can fit 1 to 3 persons.
The case shall have a lounge and corridor allocation of 150m 2.
The 750m2 space fits 60 private offices. The offices are priced on monthly basis, thus there is no need
to exclude weekends from the occupancy.
The platform fee of 12% is accounted in the calculations.
Table 7. Break-even point for the pure private office scenario with defined cost level. The total costs
are rounded to zero decimals.
Name of the value Value Formula
Monthly NOI if leased traditionally EUR 11 534 Nb
100% private office case costs excluding platform fee EUR 12 101 Cp = ACb+Co+Cf
Break-even point revenue EUR 23 634 Nb+Cp
Break-even point revenue per m2 incl. costs excl. platform fee EUR 26,26 (Nb+Cp)/A
Break-even point revenue per m2 incl. costs incl. platform fee EUR 29,84 ((Nb+Cp)/A)/(1-0,12)
Table 8. Combinations to break-even with defined cost level by only private offices. Occupancy is
rounded to two decimals. Absolute occupancy is rounded to zero decimals.
Monthly private
600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1 000
office price, EUR
Occupancy, % 74,60 68,87 63,95 59,68 55,95 52,66 49,74 47,12 44,76
Occupancy out of
45 41 38 36 34 32 30 28 27
60 private offices
36
Combinations to break-even, 100% private offices
100%
90%
Occupancy, %
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000
Price per month, EUR
Picture 4. Combinations to break-even with defined cost level by only private offices.
In the break-even calculations, the NOI of the Benchmark space equals the NOI of the concept spaces.
The equilibrium is found by changing the occupancy of the concept space. E.g., by pricing the private
offices at EUR 900 monthly, occupancy of around 49,74% is required to reach the break-even revenue
of EUR 23 634.
4.4.1 Parameters
Space allocation
Based on the combination calculations conducted above, the occupancy required for hot desks to
produce positive net operating income seem high. Thus, the final Case shall have smaller amount of
hot desk space. 200m2 of hot desk area is formed with a capacity of around 29 hot desks.
Private offices form most of the final Case. 500m 2 of private offices is allocated, resulting in 40
private offices with acreage of 12,5m2.
In the final Case, the meeting room allocation is derived from the average headcount present on the
case during office hours. If there traditionally is one meeting room for every 10 to 25 employees, 4
meeting rooms should cover the meeting room demand in the final Case. The meeting rooms shall be
12,5m2 and fit from 2 to 8 persons.
The rest of the space is lounge and corridor.
37
Table 9. Space allocation for the final Case.
Space Acreage
Lounge and corridors 150m2
Hot desks 200m2
Private offices 500m2
Meeting rooms 50m2
Total 900m2
Costs
The costs for the final Case are the same as in the 100% private office space scenario. Even though
the hot desk area requires less fitments, the meeting rooms require premium components and
materials. Thus, EUR 170 000 of fit out costs are reasonable for the final Case.
The total monthly costs for the final Case are EUR 12 101. This total monthly cost for the final Case
is denoted by Cp. The monthly total cost of the final Case is around EUR 13,45/m2.
The platform fee of 12% is accounted in the revenue calculation.
Base pricing
The average hot desk day pass price is around EUR 20 in Helsinki metropolitan area, while the lowest
prices are around EUR 15 while the highest are over EUR 30. A safe EUR 18 to fit in the lower end
is chosen for the case.
The data for private office prices is very limited, and they mostly seem to be negotiated separately
for each occupier. The case style private office prices start from EUR 700 in Helsinki. However, the
pricing range is broad, and EUR 700 can be considered very low. The chosen base price for private
office month is EUR 750 for the Final case, which is certainly still low for a workspace that can fit
even three people.
Case style, medium sized meeting rooms appear on the market from EUR 20 to EUR 40. The
minimum is chosen for the case base price for the meeting room hour.
Table 10. Base pricing for the final Case.
Product Price
Hot desk day pass EUR 18
Private office month EUR 750
Meeting room hour EUR 20
Base occupancy
The break-even occupancy for the hot desks would be around 60% with the price of EUR 18 on the
pure scenario reviewed above. If weekends are included, the occupancy percentage is around 39%.
The market reports present variable numbers on the occupancy of hot desk spaces. We present that
60% office hours occupancy is high for a hot desk space. A lower estimate of 55% occupancy
excluding weekends is chosen for the base occupancy.
38
Successful private office concepts have reported occupancy percentages of well over 70%. However,
the data is critical thus often undisclosed and unavailable. Base occupancy for the private offices is
chosen to be 60% to be on the lower side.
The estimation of meeting room occupancy is very demanding. A safe 2 hours per day corresponding
2,8 hours per day excluding weekends is chosen.
Table 11. Base occupancy for the final Case
Space Occupancy
Hot desks 55% excl. weekends/39,29% incl. weekends
Private offices 60%
2,8 hours daily excl. weekends/
Meeting room hour
2 hours daily incl. weekends
Parameters exemplified
Table 12. Variables of the final Case space. The occupancy and capacity of hot desks are rounded to
two decimals.
Product Hot desk day pass Private office month Meeting room hour
Price Ph = EUR 18 Pp = EUR 750 Pm = EUR 20
Base occupancy, incl. Oh = 39,29% Op = 60% Om = 2
weekends
Available units Uh = 28,57 Up = 40 Um = 4
4.4.2 Results
The traditionally leased benchmark is the same as in pure scenarios, resulting in monthly net operating
income of EUR 11 534. All the net operating income numbers are rounded to zero decimals in the
tables.
39
Table 13. Monthly net operating income of the final Case space and calculation formulae.
Monthly revenue, the Case concept Formula
Hot desks 6 061 € Rh = 30PhOhUh
Private offices 18 000 € Rp = PpOpUp
Meeting rooms 4 800 € Rm = 30PmOmUm
Total case revenue incl. platform fee 25 398 € Rtotal = (Rh+Rp+Rm)*(1-0,12)
Monthly costs, the Case concept
Operational costs 4 788 € ACb
Case specific operational costs 4 550 € Co
Fit-out costs 2 763 € Cf
Case total costs 12 101 € Cp = ACb+Co+Cf
Monthly NOI
Monthly NOI, case space 13 297 € Ncs = Rtotal-Cp
Monthly NOI, benchmark space 11 534 € Nb
E.g., the monthly revenue of the meeting rooms is calculated by multiplying the price, base
occupancy, available units, and 30. The sum of the revenue is multiplied by (1-0,12) to account the
12% platform fee.
In the sensitivity analysis, the net operating income of the final Case is compared to traditionally
leased space of the same acreage. In the comparison, the NOI of the benchmark is subtracted from
the NOI of the Case space. The NOI for the Case space after, e.g., 10% change in occupancy and 5%
decrease in price is calculated as Ncs = (1,1 * 0,95) * Rtotal - Cp.
Small percentage changes in prices and occupancies of the spaces influence the net operating income
greatly.
40
4.5 Valuation of the final Case
This chapter showcases the asset level value changes if the final Case is implemented on the premises
of the asset. While the previous section covered only the 900m 2 space dedicated for the case, this
chapter reviews the whole asset.
4.5.1 Valuation
First, we valuate the Benchmark asset and the final Case asset.
Table 15. Valuation of the benchmark asset, 100% traditional leasing.
Valuation, the Benchmark asset Formula
NOI 768 900 € Nba = (5000 * (RbOb - Cb)) * 12
Capitalization rate 6,40 % 6,40%
Value 12 014 063 € Nba / 6,40%
In Table 17, the value of the final Case asset is compared to the benchmark asset with different case
performances. The value of the Benchmark asset is subtracted from the value of the final Case asset.
The changes alter the Ncs component, which is the net operating income of the final Case space.
E.g., a -5% change in revenue and a 5% change in costs is calculated as
Ncs = 0,95 * Rtotal - 1,05 * (Co+Cf) - ACb. Co denotes case specific operational costs and Cf denotes
the fit-outs costs. The operational costs of the building (ACb) remain unchanged.
41
Table 18. Sensitivity analysis on changes in occupancy and capitalization rate of the final Case asset.
In Table 18, the value of the final Case asset is compared to the benchmark asset. The value of the
Benchmark asset is subtracted from the value of the final Case asset. The change in occupancy alter
the Ncs component, which is the net operating income of the final Case space. The changes in
capitalization rate only affect the final Case asset.
E.g., a 15% change in revenue changes the NOI of the Case space to Ncs = 1,15 * Rtotal – Cp. If then
the capitalization rate changes to, e.g., 6,30%, the final Case asset is valuated with the capitalization
rate of 6,30% in the table. The capitalization rate of the benchmark asset remains at 6,40%.
Lower occupancy comparison
Next, a comparison between lower occupancy benchmark and the final Case is conducted. Instead of
93%, the occupancy of the traditionally leased spaces on the benchmark and the final Case is 88%.
The lower occupancy is reasonable to consider, as an investor might not want to implement a flexible
office space concept to a high occupancy property. The final Case asset’s traditionally leased part
also has the lower occupancy of 88%.
Table 19. Valuation of lower occupancy Benchmark asset, 100% traditional leasing.
Valuation, lower occupancy Benchmark asset Formula
NOI 710 400 € Nlba = 5000 * (Rb*0,88 - Cb) * 12
Capitalization rate 6,40 % 6,40%
Value 11 100 000 € Nlba / 6,40%
Table 20. Lower occupancy on traditionally leased spaces of the final Case asset.
Valuation, the final Case asset, lower occu- Formula
pancy on traditionally leased spaces
NOI 742 091 € Nlca = ((5 000 - 900) * (Rb*0,88 - Cb) + Ncs) * 12
Capitalization rate 6,40 % 6,40%
Value 11 595 168 € Nlca / 6,40%
42
Table 21. Sensitivity analysis on changes in occupancy and capitalization rate, lower occupancy on
traditionally leased spaces.
Table 22. Sensitivity analysis on changes in occupancy and capitalization rate, lower occupancy on
traditionally leased spaces.
The logic of calculation remains the same as in Tables 17 and 18. The only difference is that the
traditionally leased spaces only reach 88% occupancy on the Benchmark asset and on the final Case
asset. The lower occupancy makes the case perform relatively better.
Table 23 showcases the required performance of the final Case space to break-even if the
capitalization rate of the asset changes. As the implementation of the final Case space is defined to
43
account for the change in the asset’s capitalization rate, the change in value must be compensated by
the cash flow produced by the final Case space.
To receive the break-even value for the final Case space, the value of the traditionally leased 4 100m2
is subtracted from the benchmark’s value of EUR 12 014 063. The value is then multiplied by the
altered capitalization rate and divided by 12 to receive the monthly NOI requirement for the final
Case space.
To receive the required rent level per m2 incl. the platform fee, the monthly specific costs of the final
Case space is added on top of the NOI requirement for the case and then the value is divided by 900
after which the value is divided by (1-0,12). The final Case space monthly cost is EUR 12 101.
The last row displays the difference of the required rent/m2 and the traditional rent of EUR 19,50/m2.
If the overall capitalization rate of the asset rises to, e.g., 6,60% from 6,40%, the final Case space
must produce around EUR 2002 more monthly NOI to compensate the decrease in the value of the
traditionally leased spaces. If the platform fee is accounted, the EUR 2002 rise in NOI results in the
requirement of EUR 32,37/m2 in rent. Thus, the premium over the traditional rent of EUR 19,50/m 2
is EUR 12,87/m2.
45
5 Discussion and conclusions
In this chapter, we discuss the study and present conclusions.
The literature review suggests that the demand for flexible office space increases. Unlike in the past,
larger office occupiers are also interested in flexible office space services. The office investment
market is changing as space operators are introducing more services to office spaces, making office
assets more operationally intensive in general. As the cash flow produced by a flexible office space
concept is uncertain, the valuation of such spaces is considered a challenge within commercial real
estate. Flexible office spaces are also presumably used as a complement to traditional leases.
An investor should add a part of an asset to a flexible office space platform if the investor is certain
enough that the flexible office space reaches relatively high occupancy. However, as the underlying
product is a flexible office space concept, the investor cannot be very certain of the occupancy of the
spaces in the longer run.
The typologized match-maker platform offers a relatively low threshold way to participate in the
flexible office space markets as invoicing, user agreement management, and digital infrastructure is
carried out by the platform. A flexible office space offered through the platform may be desirable to
implement to premises of which tenants are interested in utilizing flexible office space as a
complementary service on top of their tenancy. By offering flexibility through a flexible office space
concept, some prospective or current tenants might be willing to commit to longer term tenancies
within the premises.
The case study suggests that the operation of flexible office space introduces a substantial amount of
additional costs to the asset. Poleg (2020 p. 100) presents, that in addition to the lease arbitrage
premium, the flexible space users pay for other elements of the space such as design and services.
The final Case space must achieve over EUR 10/m 2 higher rent to break-even with traditionally leased
space due to the higher total costs. However, the required rent to compensate the increase in risk on
top of the additional costs of the flexible office space increases the price even more.
The case study results suggest that relatively high occupancy is required for a flexible space concept
to become a profitable business. The higher the prices, the lower the required occupancy to break-
even is. However, the price competition among flexible office space concepts seems harsh, suggesting
that a competitive price is necessary. The flexible office space concepts are unlikely to thrive if the
occupancy is random, meaning that active users and demand is required for the concepts to exist.
The results of the study were expected.
5.3 Conclusions
This study examined flexible office space platforms from investor’s perspective through a literature
review and a case study. The case study modeled the requirements under which offering flexible
office space is profitable through a platform.
We present that the occupiers seeking flexible occupancy must be willing to pay a considerable
premium for the flexible occupancy. The flexible office space concept offered through a platform
results in significant costs through additional operational costs, fit-out costs, and the platform fee. In
addition to the costs, an investor must consider the change in the predictability of the cash flow
produced by the flexible space concept compared to traditional leasing. The landlords are not going
to offer flexible occupancy services more widely if occupiers struggle to pay the correct price for the
whole service.
47
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