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Equity Valuation
Abnormal Earnings 613,833.81 858,818.54
Abnormal ROE 215.40% 257.28%
Free Cash Flow to Equity 618556.30 793406.02
Asset Valuation
Abnormal NOPAT 24498.50 73472.33
Abnormal Operating ROA 10.95% 18.78%
Free cash flow to capital 40802.8787526698 -238323.0225
Discounting Factor 1 2
Equity 113% 128%
Assets 85% 72%
3 4 5
144% 163% 184%
61% 52% 44%
-12,229,849.68
1020858.91 1293721.04 1943384.52
-12,838,093.60
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Cost of capital
Beta 0.963
Risk Free Rate 6.38%
Market Risk Premium 6.85%
Income Statement
Sales 446460 573731.960935004 911709.09438 1276392.7321
NOPAT 56042.967312 63888.9827360215 73472.330146 85227.90297
-Net Interest Expenses after Tax -381.9673123 13172.8858230677 -126362.88048 91798.165295
Net Income 55661 650793.829494093 858818.54404 1453418.8004
482731.73129 747455.58394
482731.73129 747455.58394
965463.46258 1494911.1679
-328257.57728 -448473.35036
0 0
1293721.0399 1943384.5182
965463.46258 1494911.1679
1557199.1332 2335798.6998
100568.9255 119677.02135
196954.54637 134542.00511
1854722.6051 2590017.7263
1854722.6051 2590017.7263
-87049.984331 -264723.85264
-87049.984331 -264723.85264
-98762.164041 -120215.77308
1581860.4724 1940354.2479
100568.9255 119677.02135
-87049.984331 -264723.85264
-87049.984331 -264723.85264
-73531.043158 -409770.68394
11.45% 9.73%
160.26% 160.02%
22.00% 54.84%
26.73% 50.22%
1.77x 1.90x
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Forecasting Assumptions
Or by CAGR:
Financial Year Ended 3/31/2017 3/31/2018 3/31/2019 3/31/2020 3/31/2021 3/31/2022
Sales Growth 13% 6% 3% 18%
NOPAT Margin -1% -9% 1% 12%
After tax interest rate 24% -13% 53% -128%
Beginning net working capital to sales 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.11
Beginning net long term assets to sales 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.30
Beginning net debt to capital -0.13 -0.31 -0.30 -0.35 -0.33
10%
3/31/2023 3/31/2024 3/31/2025 3/31/2026 3/31/2027
29% 59% 40% 22% 50%
14% 15% 16% 18% 19%
20% 70% 40% 60% 30%
0.12 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.32
0.29 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.32
-0.28 0.33 -0.29 -0.34 -0.30
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Liquidity Management Ratios
3 35.00%
30.00%
2.5
25.00%
2 20.00%
(Sales/Average Net Assets)
(Net Debt/Equity)
15.00%
1.5 (NOPAT/Sales)
10.00% or (NOPAT/Average Net Assets)
(Operating ROA-After Tax Interest Cost)
1 =Financial Leverage Gain
5.00%
or (Net income to common/shareholders'
equity)
0.5 0.00%
-5.00%
0
1/1/2017 1/1/2018 1/1/2019 1/1/2020 1/1/2021 1/1/2022 -10.00%
-0.5 -15.00%
3/31/2021 3/31/2022
11.23% 12.55%
2.36 2.44
26.46% 30.65%
26.46% 30.65%
24.65% 31.16%
-0.31 -0.29
-7.67% -9.14%
18.78% 21.51%
18.78% 21.51%
43,834 55,661
-1,310 382
42,524 56,043
1,466 1,411
-3,254 -904
-1,788 507
1 1
-1,310 382
43,834 55,661
- -
43,834 55,661
0.02 -0.01
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Condensed Balance Sheet
Control Line - - -
3/31/2020 3/31/2021 3/31/2022
- - -
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Traditional Profitability Analysis
1.8 0.25
1.6
1.4 0.2
1.2
0.15
1
0.8
0.1
0.6
0.4 0.05
0.2
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6
Asset Turnover (times) Financial Leverage (times) Net Profit Margin (%)
Return on Assets (%) Return on Equity (%)
3/31/2021 3/31/2022
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities 20% 21% 27%
Accounts Receivable 37% 35% 35%
Inventory 0% 0% 0%
Deffered Taxes - Current Assets 0% 0% 0%
Other Current Assets 5% 3% 2%
Total Current Assets 63% 59% 64%
Liabilities
Short Term Debt 4% 5% 5%
Accounts Payable 9% 9% 9%
Other Current Liabilities 12% 12% 16%
Defferred Taxes - Current Liabilities 0% 0% 0%
Total Current Liabilities 25% 26% 31%
Minority Interest 2% 2% 1%
Shareholders Equity
Preferred Stock 0% 0% 0%
Common Stockholders' Equity 63% 62% 61%
Total Shareholders' Equity 63% 62% 61%
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 100% 100% 100%
Comments:
3/31/2020 3/31/2021 3/31/2022
10% 9% 8%
13% 14% 25%
2% 2% 2%
12% 11% 11%
38% 36% 45%
7% 5% 4%
11% 10% 11%
12% 11% 13%
0% 0% 0%
29% 26% 28%
3% 2% 2%
0% 0% 1%
8% 8% 8%
11% 10% 11%
1% 1% 1%
0% 0% 0%
58% 63% 60%
58% 63% 60%
100% 100% 100%
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Income Statement - Common Size
Comments:
3/31/2021 3/31/2022
100% 100%
14% 16%
0% 0%
86% 84%
68% 66%
5% 4%
14% 15%
1% 2%
0% 0%
0% 0%
0% 0%
0% 0%
1% 0%
0% 0%
0% 0%
16% 17%
4% 4%
0% 0%
12% 12%
86% 84%
11% 13%
20% 20%
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Balance Sheet - Standardized (Currency - INR Millions)
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities ₹ 52,623 ₹ 64,430 ₹ 88,885
Accounts Receivable 96,167 106,961 118,013
Inventory 611 659 752
Deffered Taxes - Current Assets - - -
Other Current Assets 13,864 9,020 8,008
Total Current Assets ₹ 163,265 ₹ 181,070 ₹ 215,658
Liabilities
Short Term Debt ₹ 9,809 ₹ 16,255 ₹ 17,869
Accounts Payable 23,160 26,498 30,812
Other Current Liabilities 30,960 36,414 54,631
Defferred Taxes - Current Liabilities - - -
Total Current Liabilities ₹ 63,929 ₹ 79,167 ₹ 103,312
Shareholders Equity
Preferred Stock ₹ - ₹ - ₹ -
Common Stockholders' Equity 164,372 188,428 202,844
Total Shareholders' Equity ₹ 164,372 ₹ 188,428 ₹ 202,844
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity ₹ 260,665 ₹ 304,372 ₹ 334,469
3/31/2020 3/31/2021 3/31/2022
₹ - ₹ - ₹ -
218,131 248,650 268,857
₹ 218,131 ₹ 248,650 ₹ 268,857
₹ 373,535 ₹ 396,780 ₹ 448,707
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Income Statement - Standardized (Currency: INR)
(Note: The numbers are in millions)
Updated at 20:40:23 3/31/2018 3/31/2019 3/31/2020
Revenue
Sales 307,729 347,421 368,677
Cost of Sales 40,827 45,489 56,461
Change in Stock - - -
Gross Profit 266,902 301,932 312,216
SG&A 218,763 237,352 253,484
Other Operating Expenses 11,439 12,211 15,537
Operating Income 36,700 52,369 43,195
Investment Income 9,627 2,070 5,371
Other income net of other expenses 2,098 33 2,489
Other Income 2,000 33 1,802
Other Expenses 98 - 687
Net Interest Expense 559 960 897
Interest Income 1,455 2,077 2,434
Interest Expense -896 -1,117 -1,537
Minority Interest 136 88 1,356
Pre-Tax Income 49,120 55,520 53,308
Tax Expenses 10,926 12,544 11,604
Unusual Items (After Tax) - - -
Net Income ₹ 38,194 ₹ 42,976 ₹ 41,704
59,833 73,881
9739 8959
4705 6151
1,788 -507
₹ 76,065 ₹ 88,484
Tech Mahindra Ltd
Cash Flow Statement - Standardized (Currency: INR)
(Note: The numbers are in millions)
Updated at 09:41:33 3/31/2018 3/31/2019
0
4,350 3,358 5,994 7,450 8,383
4,812 3,959 6,738 8,262 9,590
181,070 215,658 231,723 252,599 244,557
27,048 26,950 30,153 30,181 30,199
1,088 1,072 1,083 1,100 1,090
45,617 47,084 49,782 53,016 59,357
2,399 2,763 501 1,183 1,651
Dilution Adjustment
Diluted Net Income 37,998
Diluted Weighted Average Shares 891
Diluted EPS Excluding Extraordinary Items 42.66
Diluted EPS Including Extraordinary Items 42.66
2,175 507 0
0
0 -1,488 -730 0
0 687 -223 0
Dividend (Payments)
-1,830 -2,646
-12 -28
7,185 3,282
5,343 608
8,523 -28,951
9,199 -895
-6,195 9,785
4,108 5,718
-14,146 -23,137
1,489 -37,480
80,938 52,853
-6,660 -9,584
-6,660 -9,584
-11,340 -46,613
0 725
935 1,231
245,234 277,403
-285,388 -219,638
2,718 1,291
-47,841 14,399
-54,501 4,815
-1,101 -924
-1,101 -924
-17,594 -39,813
-17,594 -39,813
0
0
569 868
569 868
-7,665 -2,030
-4,170 -5,388
-4,078 -4,767
-11,743 -6,797
-29,869 -46,666
169 -17
-3,263 10,985
30,167 26,904
26,904 37,889
1,789 1,231
14,146 23,137
Standard Heads for Recasting Financial Statements
Return -
Tech
Mahindra Return -
Date Closing Price NIFTY 50 Ltd NIFTY 50
Jul-22 1048.65 17158.25 6.19% 8.37%
Jun-22 985.66 15780.25 -16.57% -4.97%
May-22 1163.33 16584.55 -6.46% -3.08%
Apr-22 1240.95 17102.55 -17.48% -2.10%
Mar-22 1477.95 17464.75 6.15% 3.92%
Feb-22 1389.79 16793.9 -4.78% -3.20%
Jan-22 1457.80 17339.85 -19.12% -0.08%
Dec-21 1764.88 17354.05 14.98% 2.16%
Nov-21 1519.35 16983.2 5.20% -3.97%
Oct-21 1442.31 17671.65 6.81% 0.30%
Sep-21 1347.40 17618.15 -4.74% 2.80%
Aug-21 1412.84 17132.2 17.97% 8.33%
Jul-21 1180.46 15763.05 11.22% 0.26%
Jun-21 1055.14 15721.5 6.97% 0.89%
May-21 984.06 15582.8 6.18% 6.30%
Apr-21 925.06 14631.1 -3.18% -0.41%
Mar-21 954.97 14690.7 7.60% 1.11%
Feb-21 885.04 14529.15 -4.53% 6.35%
Jan-21 926.03 13634.6 -1.22% -2.51%
Dec-20 937.39 13981.75 10.43% 7.52%
Nov-20 844.59 12968.95 7.52% 10.79%
Oct-20 783.38 11642.4 4.57% 3.45%
Sep-20 748.40 11247.55 6.62% -1.24%
Aug-20 700.42 11387.5 8.35% 2.80%
Jul-20 644.32 11073.45 22.67% 7.22%
Jun-20 513.64 10302.1 2.41% 7.26%
May-20 501.40 9580.3 -2.94% -2.88%
Apr-20 516.34 9859.9 -3.46% 13.70%
Mar-20 534.53 8597.75 -27.49% -26.46%
Feb-20 703.64 11201.75 -6.78% -6.57%
Jan-20 752.98 11962.1 4.40% -1.71%
Dec-19 720.56 12168.45 0.11% 0.93%
Nov-19 719.75 12056.05 2.99% 1.49%
Oct-19 698.53 11877.45 3.37% 3.45%
Sep-19 675.38 11474.45 2.96% 4.01%
Aug-19 655.67 11023.25
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.623907514483909
R Square 0.389260586629489
Adjusted R Square 0.370753331678868
Standard Error 0.0822925064993929
Observations 35
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.14243575 0.142436 21.03286 6.2108378E-05
Residual 33 0.22347787 0.006772
Total 34 0.36591362
Standard
Coefficients Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 0.00124670239801914 0.01416085 0.088039 0.930378 -0.0275637724
X Variable 1 0.962705306094123 0.20991533 4.58616 6.211E-05 0.53562935906
Tech Mahindra Ltd Vs NIFTY 50
Aug 2019 - July 2022
30.00%
20.00%
0.00%
-30.00% -25.00% -20.00% -15.00% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
-30.00%
Upper Lower Upper
95% 95.0% 95.0%
0.030057 -0.027564 0.030057
1.389781 0.535629 1.389781
Ten year
growth -12%
Cost of equity
(using Gordon) -10%
Total Cash
Dividends Paid,
Discrete
Outstanding (INR)
Date Closing Price Shares In the last 11 FY Dividends per share
### 1764.880675 970530621 39813000000 41.0218896122805
### 937.39239 967357158 17594000000 18.1876981572922
### 720.558374 965240899 24917000000 25.8142812077423
### 683.552129 980903588 14907000000 15.1972122259176
### 476.449493 979030120 9438000000 9.64015284841288
### 462.129069 973123893 12392000000 12.7342469845204
### 487.218534 966802372 5547000000 5.73747040827492
### 605.590735 239979616 5496000000 22.9019451385404
### 429.135715 233152160 1359000000 5.82881153663771
### 217.679229 127828165 593000000 4.63904023029666
### 133.958244 127362561 591000000 4.6402961385175