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Estimated Date of Delivery

Authors

Kenia I. Edwards1; Petr Itzhak2.

Affiliations
1 Nassau University Medical Center
2 NUMC

Last Update: October 30, 2021.

Definition/Introduction
Determining gestational age is one of the most critical aspects of providing quality prenatal care. Knowing the
gestational age allows the obstetrician to provide care to the mother without compromising maternal or fetal status. It
allows for the correct timing of management, such as administering steroids for fetal lung maturity, starting ASA
therapy with a history of pre-eclampsia in previous pregnancies, starting hydroxyprogesterone caproate (Makena) for
previous preterm deliveries.

Issues of Concern
Clinical History and Physical Exam

An average pregnancy lasts 280 days from the first day of the last menstrual period (LMP) or 266 days after
conception.[1] Historically, an accurate LMP is the best estimator to determine the due date. Naegele’s rule, derived
from a German obstetrician, subtracts 3 months and adds 7 days to calculate the estimated due date (EDD). It is
prudent for the obstetrician to get a detailed menstrual history, including duration, flow, previous menstrual periods,
and hormonal contraceptives. These factors are used to determine the length of her cycles and ovulation period. There
are several fallacies with Naegele’s rule. First, a woman may not accurately recall the first day of her menstrual cycle.
Second, this method assumes a woman’s cycle is exactly 28 days, with ovulation occurring at day 14, however, it does
not consider menstrual cycles with shorter or longer durations. Third, there are small variations in the duration
between fertilization and blastocyst implantation. Last, this method cannot differentiate between menstrual bleeding
and early pregnancy bleeding. Parikh’s formula was created to account for differences in menstrual cycle length.
Parikh’s formula calculates EDD by adding nine months to the start of the last menstrual period, subtracting 21 days,
then add the duration of the previous cycle.

Other clinical methods that can calculate EDD include uterine size by pelvic examination using the over-the-curve
technique. The over-the-curve technique involves using a measuring tape in centimeters from the superior aspect of
the pubic symphysis to over the top of the uterine fundus. Highly trained practitioners can palpate the uterine fundus
as early as 12 weeks, commonly at the symphysis. Clinical landmarks approximate a 20-week size gestation at the
umbilicus, with a 16-week size gestation at the halfway mark between the symphysis and the umbilicus. The over-the-
curve technique is most practical from 16 to 38 weeks with a +/- 3 cm margin of error. Even though this method is
informative, it is subject to error secondary to anatomical and/or structural changes of the uterus. For instance, if a
patient has uterine fibroids, this can decrease the accuracy of this technique. For patients who have had a previous
cesarean, the uterus is generally in a higher position because of pelvic adhesions. Other factors that decrease accuracy
include body habitus, multiple gestations, and a retroverted uterus.

Fetal heart tones are auscultated with the fetoscope at 19-20 weeks. Electronic Doppler device can detect fetal heart
tones as early as 8 to 10 weeks gestation. It is important to understand all the clinical estimators of calculating the due
date have a margin of error of +/- 3 weeks.

Imaging
If a patient cannot recall the first day of her last menstrual period, has irregular cycles, or Naegele’s rule cannot be
used, the next step is ultrasonography. Ultrasonography is best within the first half of the pregnancy. A Transvaginal
(TV) sonogram can identify an intrauterine pregnancy (IUP) approximately 4 weeks after the LMP. An embryo is
usually seen later between 5 to 6 weeks. Mean sac diameter (MSD) can be used early in gestation to estimate the due
date if there is no embryo on the sonogram. To calculate the MSD, the diameter sac measurement must be in the
perpendicular plane, with a mean of three measurements. Calculation of EDD is from MSD by adding 30mm. MSD
increases by 1mm per day during early pregnancy. Given the large margin of error. MSD should not be used for final
due date estimation. Additionally, anembryonic pregnancies can have a measurable MSD.

One should not use MSD if you can calculate the crown-rump length (CRL). CRL dating is the best method from 8
6/7 to 13 6/7 weeks. CRL is the longest straight-line measurement of the embryo from the outer margin of the
cephalic pole to the rump. An accurate CRL includes the mid-sagittal plane, the genital tubercle, and fetal spine in a
straight line with a margin of error +/- 5 to 7 days.[1] An average of three measurements estimates the gestational age
and EDD.

For second-trimester sonography, between 14 0/7 weeks and on, CRL is no longer the most accurate form of
measurement. Instead, fetal biometrics including, biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC), abdominal
circumference (AC), and femur length (FL), estimate gestational age and EDD.[2][3]

The BPD measurement criteria include; an oval head shape instead of a round head shape, midline structures
should be centered, measured at the level of the thalamus and cavum septum pellucidum, should not include top
orbits. The BPD measurement is from the outer edge of the proximal skull to the inner edge of the distal skull.
The HC measurement criteria should include all those required for the BPD and is measured around the outer
perimeter of the skull. The AC measurement criteria include; the abdomen should be round, not oval-shaped or
squashed, true transverse image, images of ribs should be symmetrical on both sides, measured at the umbilical level
vein joins the portal sinus, calipers should go all the way to the skin surface. The FL measurement criteria include;
perpendicular to the direction of insonate, ends should be sharply visible, and measurement should exclude epiphyses.

An official EDD is established after calculating the first-trimester sonogram EDD date and then using the LMP. If the
LMP and first trimester EDD are within 7 days of each other, the LMP estimates the due date. The margin of error
is reduced depending on when (i.e., how early) the sonogram occurred. If the sonogram was before 8 6/7 weeks and
LMP is within 5 days, then the LMP estimates the due date; otherwise, use the sonographic EDD. If a sonogram took
place after 14 0/7 weeks and if the EDD is within 14 days of the LMP, then the LMP estimates due date. If the
sonogram did not happen until the third trimester, then EDD can be calculated by LMP if the LMP is within 21 days.
The American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology (ACOG) deems dating sonograms dated after 22 weeks
suboptimal for GA measurement; this is because before 22 weeks GA, fetal biometry parameters are accurate within
+/- 7days to the CRL in the first trimester. After this range, variation in fetal size growth makes this less precise. If
multiple sonograms exist, the EDD from the earliest sonogram detecting GA becomes the EDD.

Multi-fetal Gestations

The same rules, as discussed above, apply to twins or higher-order gestations. If there is size discordance between the
twins, the larger twin is used to calculate the EDD.

Assisted or artificial conception

The due date is determined by dates of ovulation, egg retrieval, insemination, cleavage stage, or blastocyst transfer.
Assisted reproductive technology (ART) uses the principle of Naegle's rule as the foundation for estimating the due
date. If fresh in vitro fertilization (IVF) is done, EDD is calculated by adding 266 days to egg retrieval/fertilization. If
using a frozen embryo (day 3), EDD is 263 days from the date of embryo transfer to account for three days of embryo
culture. If a day 5 blastocyst is implanted, add 261 days to this date to calculate EDD.

Clinical Significance
The determination of gestational age is vital to providing quality prenatal care.
 1. Knowing the gestational age allows appropriate care to the mother without compromising maternal or fetal
status.

2. Knowing the gestation age allows for the correct timing of management, such as administering steroids for fetal
lung maturity, starting ASA therapy with a history of pre-eclampsia in previous pregnancies, and starting
Makena for previous preterm deliveries.

Nursing, Allied Health, and Interprofessional Team Interventions

Establishing correct EDD is paramount in coordinating care between healthcare professionals that include a nurse,
laboratory technologists, a pharmacist, and various physicians in different specialties. This will allow timely
laboratory testing since most of the pregnancy tests are time-sensitive.

Having accurate birth dating might decrease maternal/fetal morbidity and or mortality through timely consulting with
experts in the field of maternal-fetal medicine, obstetrics/gynecology, oncology, or genetics. For example, fetal
genetic abnormalities can be detected in a timely fashion providing the mother with sufficient time to make a lifetime
decision.

Review Questions
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References
1. Committee Opinion No 700: Methods for Estimating the Due Date. Obstet Gynecol. 2017 May;129(5):e150-e154.
[PubMed: 28426621]
2. Kessler J, Johnsen SL, Ebbing C, Karlsen HO, Rasmussen S, Kiserud T. Estimated date of delivery based on
second trimester fetal head circumference: A population-based validation of 21 451 deliveries. Acta Obstet
Gynecol Scand. 2019 Jan;98(1):101-105. [PubMed: 30168856]
3. Naidu K, Fredlund KL. StatPearls [Internet]. StatPearls Publishing; Treasure Island (FL): Aug 2, 2021.
Gestational Age Assessment. [PubMed: 30252256]

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