DATA PENUM

NO Forecast Measurement Parameter

MA-2 days MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days

1 Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) 476.36 455.76 426.67

2 Mean Square Error (MSE) 277231.82 249911.11 244414.14
3 Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) 14.03% 13.59% 12.60%
 DATA PENUMPANG

Weighted MA-3 days Exp. Smoothing (α = 0.90) Exp. Smoothing (α = 0.95) MA-2 days

439.70 584.55
401.13 398.21
234648.99 230877.04 234597.24 552445.45
13.05% 11.81% 11.72% 14.03%
 DATA BARANG
Weighted MA-2 Weighted MA-3 Exp. Smoothing (α = Exp. Smoothing
MA-3 days
days days 0.85) (α = 0.95)
506.97 609.70 543.18
638.97 664.05
480928.28 540084.85 487854.29 568968.37 613961.47
15.62% 18.64% 16.64% 19.58% 20.39%
Data Arus Penumpang (NIM : 25022100 sehingga XY = 00)

Forecast Using Moving

Hari (ke) Penumpang (total) Forecast Period
MA-2 days

1 3,500
2 3,000
3 3,740
4 4,000 1 3,370
5 3,200 2 3,870
6 3,000 3 3,600
7 3,600 4 3,100
8 3,400 5 3,300
9 3,450 6 3,500
10 4,000 7 3,425
11 4,120 8 3,725
12 3,220 9 4,060
13 3,200 10 3,670
14 2,800 11 3,210

New Forecast New Forecast Error

Hari ke
α = 0.90 α = 0.95 α = 0.90
1
2
3
4 3,493.3 3493.33 506.67
5 3949.3 3974.67 -749.33
6 3274.9 3238.73 -274.93
7 3027.5 3011.94 572.51
8 3542.7 3570.60 -142.75
9 3414.3 3408.53 35.73
10 3446.4 3447.93 553.57
11 3944.6 3972.40 175.36
12 4102.5 4112.62 -882.46
13 3308.2 3264.63 -108.25
14 3210.8 3203.23 -410.82

grafik MOVING AVERAGE (Jumlah Penumpan

4,500

4,000
 grafik MOVING AVERAGE (Jumlah Penumpan
4,500

4,000

Jumlah Penuimpang

3,500

Hari (ke)
3,000

2,500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
 Forecast Using Moving Average E
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

3,413 3,493 3,453 630.00

3,580 3,913 3,747 -670.00
3,647 3,467 3,557 -600.00
3,400 3,067 3,233 500.00
3,267 3,400 3,333 100.00
3,333 3,467 3,400 -50.00
3,483 3,433 3,458 575.00
3,617 3,817 3,717 395.00
3,857 4,080 3,968 -840.00
3,780 3,520 3,650 -470.00
3,513 3,207 3,360 -410.00

New Forecast Error New Forecast Absolute Error New Forecast Error^2
α = 0.95 α = 0.90 α = 0.95 α = 0.90

506.67 506.67 506.67 256,711

-774.67 749.33 774.67 561,500
-238.73 274.93 238.73 75,588
588.06 572.51 588.06 327,764
-170.60 142.75 170.60 20,377
41.47 35.73 41.47 1,276
552.07 553.57 552.07 306,443
147.60 175.36 147.60 30,750
-892.62 882.46 892.62 778,743
-64.63 108.25 64.63 11,717
-403.23 410.82 403.23 168,777

ERAGE (Jumlah Penumpang)

4

2
ERAGE (Jumlah Penumpang)
4

MAD
0
1

-1

-2

-3

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 -4
 Error
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

586.67 506.67 546.67 630.00

-380.00 -713.33 -546.67 670.00
-646.67 -466.67 -556.67 600.00
200.00 533.33 366.67 500.00
133.33 0.00 66.67 100.00
116.67 -16.67 50.00 50.00
516.67 566.67 541.67 575.00
503.33 303.33 403.33 395.00
-636.67 -860.00 -748.33 840.00
-580.00 -320.00 -450.00 470.00
-713.33 -406.67 -560.00 410.00

New Forecast Error^2 New Forecast Error/Actual New Forecast RSFE

α = 0.95 α = 0.90 α = 0.95 α = 0.90

256,711 0.127 0.127 506.67

600,108 0.234 0.242 -242.67
56,994 0.092 0.080 -517.60
345,818 0.159 0.163 54.91
29,103 0.042 0.050 -87.84
1,720 0.010 0.012 -52.12
304,785 0.138 0.138 501.45
21,787 0.043 0.036 676.81
796,770 0.274 0.277 -205.65
4,177 0.034 0.020 -313.90
162,596 0.147 0.144 -724.72

GRAFIK TRACKING SIGNAL (FORECAST JUMLAH PENUMPANG)

4

2
 GRAFIK TRACKING SIGNAL (FORECAST JUMLAH PENUMPANG)
4

1
MAD

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

-1

-2

-3

-4

Upper/Lower Control Limit Exp.Smoothing (α = 0.90) Exp.Smoothing (α = 0.95) Weighted

 Absolute Error
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

586.67 506.67 546.67 396900.00

380.00 713.33 546.67 448900.00
646.67 466.67 556.67 360000.00
200.00 533.33 366.67 250000.00
133.33 0.00 66.67 10000.00
116.67 16.67 50.00 2500.00
516.67 566.67 541.67 330625.00
503.33 303.33 403.33 156025.00
636.67 860.00 748.33 705600.00
580.00 320.00 450.00 220900.00
713.33 406.67 560.00 168100.00

New Forecast RSFE New Forecast Kumulatif Absolute Error New Forecast MAD
α = 0.95 α = 0.90 α = 0.95 α = 0.90

506.67 506.67 506.67 506.67

-268.00 1,256.00 1,281.33 628.00
-506.73 1,530.93 1,520.07 510.31
81.33 2,103.44 2,108.13 525.86
-89.27 2,246.19 2,278.73 449.24
-47.80 2,281.91 2,320.20 380.32
504.28 2,835.49 2,872.27 405.07
651.88 3,010.84 3,019.87 376.36
-240.74 3,893.31 3,912.49 432.59
-305.37 4,001.55 3,977.12 400.16
-708.60 4,412.38 4,380.36 401.13

UMLAH PENUMPANG)
UMLAH PENUMPANG)

8 9 10 11
Forecast Period

moothing (α = 0.95) Weighted MA-2 days

 Error^2
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

344177.78 256711.11 298844.44 0.16

144400.00 508844.44 298844.44 0.21
418177.78 217777.78 309877.78 0.20
40000.00 284444.44 134444.44 0.14
17777.78 0.00 4444.44 0.03
13611.11 277.78 2500.00 0.01
266944.44 321111.11 293402.78 0.14
253344.44 92011.11 162677.78 0.10
405344.44 739600.00 560002.78 0.26
336400.00 102400.00 202500.00 0.15
508844.44 165377.78 313600.00 0.15

New Forecast MAD New Forecast Tracking Signal

α = 0.95 α = 0.90 α = 0.95

506.67 1.000 1.000

640.67 -0.386 -0.418
506.69 -1.014 -1.000
527.03 0.104 0.154
455.75 -0.196 -0.196
386.70 -0.137 -0.124
410.32 1.238 1.229
377.48 1.798 1.727
434.72 -0.475 -0.554
397.71 -0.784 -0.768
398.21 -1.807 -1.779
 Error/Actual
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

0.15 0.13 0.14 630.00

0.12 0.22 0.17 -40.00
0.22 0.16 0.19 -640.00
0.06 0.15 0.10 -140.00
0.04 0.00 0.02 -40.00
0.03 0.00 0.01 -90.00
0.13 0.14 0.14 485.00
0.12 0.07 0.10 880.00
0.20 0.27 0.23 40.00
0.18 0.10 0.14 -430.00
0.25 0.15 0.20 -840.00
 RSFE Kumu
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

586.67 506.67 546.67 630.00

206.67 -206.67 0.00 1300.00
-440.00 -673.33 -556.67 1900.00
-240.00 -140.00 -190.00 2400.00
-106.67 -140.00 -123.33 2500.00
10.00 -156.67 -73.33 2550.00
526.67 410.00 468.33 3125.00
1030.00 713.33 871.67 3520.00
393.33 -146.67 123.33 4360.00
-186.67 -466.67 -326.67 4830.00
-900.00 -873.33 -886.67 5240.00
 Kumulatif Absolute Error
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

586.67 506.67 546.67 630.00

966.67 1220.00 1093.33 650.00
1613.33 1686.67 1650.00 633.33
1813.33 2220.00 2016.67 600.00
1946.67 2220.00 2083.33 500.00
2063.33 2236.67 2133.33 425.00
2580.00 2803.33 2675.00 446.43
3083.33 3106.67 3078.33 440.00
3720.00 3966.67 3826.67 484.44
4300.00 4286.67 4276.67 483.00
5013.33 4693.33 4836.67 476.36
 MAD
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

586.67 506.67 546.67 1.00

483.33 610.00 546.67 -0.06
537.78 562.22 550.00 -1.01
453.33 555.00 504.17 -0.23
389.33 444.00 416.67 -0.08
343.89 372.78 355.56 -0.21
368.57 400.48 382.14 1.09
385.42 388.33 384.79 2.00
413.33 440.74 425.19 0.08
430.00 428.67 427.67 -0.89
455.76 426.67 439.70 -1.76
 Tracking Signal
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days

1.00 1.00 1.00 4 -4

0.43 -0.34 0.00 4 -4
-0.82 -1.20 -1.01 4 -4
-0.53 -0.25 -0.38 4 -4
-0.27 -0.32 -0.30 4 -4
0.03 -0.42 -0.21 4 -4
1.43 1.02 1.23 4 -4
2.67 1.84 2.27 4 -4
0.95 -0.33 0.29 4 -4
-0.43 -1.09 -0.76 4 -4
-1.97 -2.05 -2.02 4 -4
 Demand Penumpang

Average 2 Weeks Average

Hari (ke) Minggu-I Minggu-II
Demand Seasonal Index

1 3,500 3,400 3,450 1.00

2 3,000 3,450 3,225 0.94
3 3,740 4,000 3,870 1.12
4 4,000 4,120 4,060 1.18
5 3,200 3,220 3,210 0.93
6 3,000 3,200 3,100 0.90
7 3,600 2,800 3,200 0.93
Total AVG Demand 3,445

Hari (ke) Actual Demand Seasonal Index Deseasonalized

Demand
1 3,500 1.00 3,495
2 3,000 0.94 3,205
3 3,740 1.12 3,329
4 4,000 1.18 3,394
5 3,200 0.93 3,434
6 3,000 0.90 3,334
7 3,600 0.93 3,876
8 3,400 1.00 3,395
9 3,450 0.94 3,685
10 4,000 1.12 3,561
11 4,120 1.18 3,496
12 3,220 0.93 3,456
13 3,200 0.90 3,556
14 2,800 0.93 3,014
 Deseasonalized Chart (Data Penumpang)
4,300
4,100

Jumlah Penumpang
3,462.16 3,900
3,700
3,500
3,300
3,100
2,900
2,700
2,500
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1
Hari (ke)

Actual Demand Deseasonalized Demand

t (Data Penumpang)

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
ari (ke)

Deseasonalized Demand
Data Arus Penumpang (NIM : 25022100 sehingga XY = 00)

Forecast Using Moving

Hari (ke) Demand Barang (ton) Forecast Period
MA-2 days

1 3,000
2 3,000
3 2,500
4 2,000 1 2,750
5 2,600 2 2,250
6 4,200 3 2,300
7 3,100 4 3,400
8 3,000 5 3,650
9 3,890 6 3,050
10 3,210 7 3,445
11 4,000 8 3,550
12 3,310 9 3,605
13 3,300 10 3,655
14 3,000 11 3,305

New Forecast New Forecast Error

Hari ke
α = 0.85 α = 0.95 α = 0.85
1
2
3
4 2,666.7 2666.67 -666.67
5 2100.0 2033.33 500.00
6 2525.0 2571.67 1675.00
7 3948.8 4118.58 -848.75
8 3227.3 3150.93 -227.31
9 3034.1 3007.55 855.90
10 3761.6 3845.88 -551.61
11 3292.7 3241.79 707.26
12 3893.9 3962.09 -583.91
13 3397.6 3342.60 -97.59
14 3314.6 3302.13 -314.64

grafik MOVING AVERAGE (Jumlah barang)

4,800

4,300
 grafik MOVING AVERAGE (Jumlah barang)
4,800

4,300

Jumlah Penuimpang
3,800

3,300

2,800
Hari (ke)

2,300

1,800
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
 Forecast Using Moving Average E
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

2,833 2,667 2,750 -750.00

2,500 2,167 2,333 350.00
2,367 2,400 2,383 1900.00
2,933 3,667 3,300 -300.00
3,300 3,467 3,383 -650.00
3,433 3,033 3,233 840.00
3,330 3,593 3,462 -235.00
3,367 3,437 3,402 450.00
3,700 3,737 3,718 -295.00
3,507 3,540 3,523 -355.00
3,537 3,303 3,420 -305.00

New Forecast Error New Forecast Absolute Error New Forecast Error^2
α = 0.95 α = 0.85 α = 0.95 α = 0.85

-666.67 666.67 666.67 444,444

566.67 500.00 566.67 250,000
1628.33 1,675.00 1,628.33 2,805,625
-1018.58 848.75 1,018.58 720,377
-150.93 227.31 150.93 51,671
882.45 855.90 882.45 732,570
-635.88 551.61 635.88 304,279
758.21 707.26 758.21 500,214
-652.09 583.91 652.09 340,952
-42.60 97.59 42.60 9,523
-302.13 314.64 302.13 98,997

AVERAGE (Jumlah barang)

4

2
AVERAGE (Jumlah barang)
4

MAD
0
1

-1

-2

-3

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 -4
 Error
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

-833.33 -666.67 -750.00 750.00

100.00 433.33 266.67 350.00
1833.33 1800.00 1816.67 1900.00
166.67 -566.67 -200.00 300.00
-300.00 -466.67 -383.33 650.00
456.67 856.67 656.67 840.00
-120.00 -383.33 -251.67 235.00
633.33 563.33 598.33 450.00
-390.00 -426.67 -408.33 295.00
-206.67 -240.00 -223.33 355.00
-536.67 -303.33 -420.00 305.00

New Forecast Error^2 New Forecast Error/Actual New Forecast RSFE

α = 0.95 α = 0.85 α = 0.95 α = 0.85

444,444 0.333 0.333 -666.67

321,111 0.192 0.218 -166.67
2,651,469 0.399 0.388 1508.33
1,037,512 0.274 0.329 659.58
22,780 0.076 0.050 432.27
778,724 0.220 0.227 1288.17
404,340 0.172 0.198 736.56
574,877 0.177 0.190 1443.82
425,221 0.176 0.197 859.91
1,815 0.030 0.013 762.32
91,283 0.105 0.101 447.68

GRAFIK TRACKING SIGNAL (FORECAST JUMLAH BARANG)

4

2
 GRAFIK TRACKING SIGNAL (FORECAST JUMLAH BARANG)
4

1
MAD

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

-1

-2

-3

-4

MA-2 days Upper/Lower Control Limit Exp.Smoothing (α = 0.90) Exp.Smoothing (α

 Absolute Error
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

833.33 666.67 750.00 562500.00

100.00 433.33 266.67 122500.00
1833.33 1800.00 1816.67 3610000.00
166.67 566.67 200.00 90000.00
300.00 466.67 383.33 422500.00
456.67 856.67 656.67 705600.00
120.00 383.33 251.67 55225.00
633.33 563.33 598.33 202500.00
390.00 426.67 408.33 87025.00
206.67 240.00 223.33 126025.00
536.67 303.33 420.00 93025.00

New Forecast RSFE New Forecast Kumulatif Absolute Error New Forecast MAD
α = 0.95 α = 0.85 α = 0.95 α = 0.85

-666.67 666.67 666.67 666.67

-100.00 1,166.67 1,233.33 583.33
1528.33 2,841.67 2,861.67 947.22
509.75 3,690.42 3,880.25 922.60
358.82 3,917.73 4,031.18 783.55
1241.27 4,773.63 4,913.63 795.61
605.40 5,325.25 5,549.51 760.75
1363.60 6,032.50 6,307.72 754.06
711.51 6,616.42 6,959.81 735.16
668.91 6,714.00 7,002.41 671.40
366.78 7,028.64 7,304.54 638.97

JUMLAH BARANG)
JUMLAH BARANG)

8 9 10 11
Forecast Period

(α = 0.90) Exp.Smoothing (α = 0.95)

 Error^2
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

694444.44 444444.44 562500.00 0.38

10000.00 187777.78 71111.11 0.13
3361111.11 3240000.00 3300277.78 0.45
27777.78 321111.11 40000.00 0.10
90000.00 217777.78 146944.44 0.22
208544.44 733877.78 431211.11 0.22
14400.00 146944.44 63336.11 0.07
401111.11 317344.44 358002.78 0.11
152100.00 182044.44 166736.11 0.09
42711.11 57600.00 49877.78 0.11
288011.11 92011.11 176400.00 0.10

New Forecast MAD New Forecast Tracking Signal

α = 0.95 α = 0.85 α = 0.95

666.67 -1.000 -1.000

616.67 -0.286 -0.162
953.89 1.592 1.602
970.06 0.715 0.525
806.24 0.552 0.445
818.94 1.619 1.516
792.79 0.968 0.764
788.46 1.915 1.729
773.31 1.170 0.920
700.24 1.135 0.955
664.05 0.701 0.552
 Error/Actual
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

0.42 0.33 0.38 -750.00

0.04 0.17 0.10 -400.00
0.44 0.43 0.43 1500.00
0.05 0.18 0.06 1200.00
0.10 0.16 0.13 550.00
0.12 0.22 0.17 1390.00
0.04 0.12 0.08 1155.00
0.16 0.14 0.15 1605.00
0.12 0.13 0.12 1310.00
0.06 0.07 0.07 955.00
0.18 0.10 0.14 650.00
 RSFE Kumu
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

833.33 666.67 750.00 750.00

933.33 1100.00 1016.67 1100.00
2766.67 2900.00 2833.33 3000.00
2933.33 2333.33 2633.33 3300.00
2633.33 1866.67 2250.00 3950.00
3090.00 2723.33 2906.67 4790.00
2970.00 2340.00 2655.00 5025.00
3603.33 2903.33 3253.33 5475.00
3213.33 2476.67 2845.00 5770.00
3006.67 2236.67 2621.67 6125.00
2470.00 1933.33 2201.67 6430.00
 Kumulatif Absolute Error
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

833.33 666.67 750.00 750.00

933.33 1100.00 1016.67 550.00
2766.67 2900.00 2833.33 1000.00
2933.33 3466.67 3033.33 825.00
3233.33 3933.33 3416.67 790.00
3690.00 4790.00 4073.33 798.33
3810.00 5173.33 4325.00 717.86
4443.33 5736.67 4923.33 684.38
4833.33 6163.33 5331.67 641.11
5040.00 6403.33 5555.00 612.50
5576.67 6706.67 5975.00 584.55
 MAD
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days MA-2 days

833.33 666.67 750.00 -1.00

466.67 550.00 508.33 -0.73
922.22 966.67 944.44 1.50
733.33 866.67 758.33 1.45
646.67 786.67 683.33 0.70
615.00 798.33 678.89 1.74
544.29 739.05 617.86 1.61
555.42 717.08 615.42 2.35
537.04 684.81 592.41 2.04
504.00 640.33 555.50 1.56
506.97 609.70 543.18 1.11
 Tracking Signal
MA-3 days Weighted MA-2 days Weighted MA-3 days

1.00 1.00 1.00 4 -4

2.00 2.00 2.00 4 -4
3.00 3.00 3.00 4 -4
4.00 2.69 3.47 4 -4
4.07 2.37 3.29 4 -4
5.02 3.41 4.28 4 -4
5.46 3.17 4.30 4 -4
6.49 4.05 5.29 4 -4
5.98 3.62 4.80 4 -4
5.97 3.49 4.72 4 -4
4.87 3.17 4.05 4 -4
 Demand Penumpang

Average 2 Weeks Average

Hari (ke) Minggu-I Minggu-II
Demand Seasonal Index

1 3,000 3,000 3,000 0.95

2 3,000 3,890 3,445 1.09
3 2,500 3,210 2,855 0.91
4 2,000 4,000 3,000 0.95
5 2,600 3,310 2,955 0.94
6 4,200 3,300 3,750 1.19
7 3,100 3,000 3,050 0.97
Total AVG Demand 3,151

Hari (ke) Actual Demand Seasonal Index Deseasonalized

Demand
1 3,000 0.95 3,151
2 3,000 1.09 2,744
3 2,500 0.91 2,759
4 2,000 0.95 2,100
5 2,600 0.94 2,772
6 4,200 1.19 3,529
7 3,100 0.97 3,202
8 3,000 0.95 3,151
9 3,890 1.09 3,558
10 3,210 0.91 3,542
11 4,000 0.95 4,201
12 3,310 0.94 3,529
13 3,300 1.19 2,773
14 3,000 0.97 3,099
 Deseasonalized Chart (Data Penumpang)
4,600
4,200

Jumlah Penumpang
3,291.77 3,800
3,400
3,000
2,600
2,200
1,800
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1
Hari (ke)

Actual Demand Deseasonalized Demand

t (Data Penumpang)

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
ari (ke)

Deseasonalized Demand
 Average 2
Average 2 Weeks Demand Weeks
Hari (ke) Kapal Demand 〖 (𝑿− 𝑿 ̅) 〗 ^𝟐 (𝑿− 𝑿 ̅)(𝒀− 𝒀 ̅) 〖 (𝒀− 𝒀 ̅) 〗 ^𝟐
(X) Penumpang
(Y)

1 3,000 3,450 22,715 -753.57

2 3,445 3,225 86,604 -64742.86
3 2,855 3,870 87,447 -125678.57
4 3,000 4,060 22,715 -92689.29
5 2,955 3,210 38,304 45992.86
6 3,750 3,100 359,143 -206753.57
7 3,050.0 3,200.0 10,143.4 24,675.0
MEAN (Ʃ) 3,150.7 3,445.0 627,071.4 (419,950.0)

b1 : -0.67
b2 : 5457.83
SST : 841550.00
SSE : 626447.52
SSR : 347378.90
r^2 : 0.41
r : 0.64
MSE : 125289.50
s : 353.96
MSR : 49625.56
F (calculated) : 0.40

F distribution for α =0.05 6.61

〖 (𝒀− 𝒀 ̅) 〗 ^𝟐 Ŷ 〖 (𝒀− 𝒀 ̂) 〗 ^𝟐〖 (𝒀 ̂−¯𝒀) 〗 ^𝟐

25 3,449 1.61 13.92

48,400 3,151 5,518.37 86,604.08
180,625 3,546 105,081.30 10,168.21
378,225 3,449 373,649.82 13.92
55,225 3,479 72,289.73 1,147.01
119,025 2,946 23,575.87 248,546.46
60,025.0 3,415.2 46,330.8 885.3
841,550.0 23,434.6 626,447.5 347,378.9

SCATTER DIAGRAM (PENUMPANG - BARANG)

4,300
4,100
3,900
Dmand Penumpang

3,700
3,500
3,300
3,100
2,900
2,700
2,500
2,500 2,700 2,900 3,100 3,300 3,500 3,700 3,900
Demand Barang
 BARANG)

3,500 3,700 3,900

Jumlah Kapal beroperasi 3 unit (1 stand by)
Jumlah trip per hari 11 trip
Kapasitas penumpang per kapal 375 orang
Kapasitas barang per kapal 415 barang

Hari Penumpang Rata-rata penumpang per trip

(ke) (total) dalam satu kapal

1 3,500 106
2 3,000 91
3 3,740 113
4 4,000 121
5 3,200 97
6 3,000 91
7 3,600 109
8 3,400 103
9 3,450 105
10 4,000 121
11 4,120 125
12 3,220 98
13 3,200 97
14 2,800 85
 Rata-rata
Barang berat barang Estimasi kursi
Estimasi kursi
Hari (ke) (Total per trip kosong per
kosong per trip
Ton) dalam satu trip
kapal
269 1 3,000 91 324
284 2 3,000 91 324
262 3 2,500 76 339
254 4 2,000 61 354
278 5 2,600 79 336
284 6 4,200 127 288
266 7 3,100 94 321
272 8 3,000 91 324
270 9 3,890 118 297
254 10 3,210 97 318
250 11 4,000 121 294
277 12 3,310 100 315
278 13 3,300 100 315
290 14 3,000 91 324