Sing

Arab Cot
NO. YEAR D Pt
1 2007 $0.60 $8.64
2 2008 $0.30 $8.86
3 2010 $0.95 $5.21
4 2011 $0.20 $3.42
5 2012 $0.10 $2.89
6 2013 $0.20 $4.48
7 2014 $0.09 $5.07
8 2016 $0.10 $3.06
9 2017 $0.20 $4.98
10 2018 $0.30 $6.60
11 2019 $0.10 $1.73

Estimated Returns (Simple Average) (2023) = sum of Actual return / no. of periods
Estimated Returns (Wieghted Average) (2020) = Sum (Actuar return x Prob.)
Estimated Risk Standard Diviation (SA) Sigm = sqrt((sum (AR-ER)^2)/n-1))
Estimated Risk Standard Diviation (WA) Sigm = sqrt((sum (AR-ER)^2)x prob))
CV = Sigma / ER
Required Rate of Return = ER +(Erx sigma)

ACGS
 SA WA
ER 43% 31%
SIGMA 101.7% 94%
CV 237% 303%
RRR 87% 60%
 Single Investement
Arab Cotton Ginning (ACGC)
Pt-1 AR= D+(Pt-Pt-1)/Pt-1 ER (AR-ER)^2 Probability
$8.84 5% 43% 0.148 0.01

$3.77 143% 43% 1.001 0.02

$4.90 26% 43% 0.030 0.05

$2.34 55% 43% 0.014 0.09

$4.89 -39% 43% 0.669 0.08

$4.82 -3% 43% 0.210 0.12

$3.81 35% 43% 0.006 0.13

$5.31 -40% 43% 0.696 0.14

$6.39 -19% 43% 0.383 0.13

$1.77 290% 43% 6.095 0.09

$1.52 20% 43% 0.051 0.14

al return / no. of periods 43% 101.7% 1.00

uar return x Prob.)

AR-ER)^2)/n-1))
m (AR-ER)^2)x prob))

ACGS
350%
300%
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
350%
300%
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
-50%
-100%

AR= D+(Pt-Pt-1)/Pt-1 ER
 AR*Prob. ER (AR-ER)^2)*Prob
0% 0% 0.0000205
3% 0% 0.0408813
1% 0% 0.0033061
5% 0% 0.0269297
-3% 0% 0.0120776
0% 0% 0.0001012
5% 0% 0.0163215
-6% 0% 0.0229518
-2% 0% 0.0046614
26% 0% 0.7560155
3% 0% 0.0058232

31% 94%

ACGS
5 6 7 8 9 10 11

(Pt-Pt-1)/Pt-1 ER