Professional Documents
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13/02/2016
KURINJI
E - BULLETIN
Issue
No:
AN E-COMPILATION OF BANKING
16/07 ARTICLES
Saturday, August 03, 2013
Bank of India Staff Training College, Chennai Issue No.16/07
Phone: 044-28132731, 28130896, 28133815 e- mail Id: stcchennai@bankofindia.co.in (For Private Circulation Only)
Foreword
Your feedback & comments on its utility are welcomed and will enable us to
improve upon the publication with the above-referred objective in mind.
K. N. Mann,
DGM & Prinicpal
Staff Training College
Chennai
E - Bulletin
(For Private Circulation only)
Index
BANKING & FINANCE.................................................................................................................................... 4
SPEEDY CLEAN-UP TO HIT BANKS’ PROFITS.............................................................................................................. 4
END OF CROP LOAN SUBSIDY LIKELY TO HEIGHTEN DEFAULTS, BANKS SAY........................................................................6
RBI REASSURES BANKS ON LIQUIDITY..................................................................................................................... 7
ECONOMY & POLICY..................................................................................................................................... 8
CSO PEGS 2015-16 GROWTH AT 7.6%................................................................................................................. 8
GST SEEMS FATED FOR FURTHER DELAY; DRAFT BILL NOT IN PLACE...............................................................................9
MISCELLANEOUS........................................................................................................................................ 11
POST OFFICE SMALL SAVINGS COLLECTIONS UP 700%.............................................................................................. 11
BANKS WILL BE RESTORED TO HEALTH: RAGHURAM RAJAN.......................................................................................12
STEADY RISE IN PSB BAD LOANS ALARMING: PANEL................................................................................................ 14
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY..................................................................................................................... 16
VISA DEVELOPER OPENS UP PAYMENTS TECHNOLOGY.............................................................................................. 16
MIND VOICE............................................................................................................................................... 18
WINNERS VERSUS LOSERS:............................................................................................................................... 18
HEALTH...................................................................................................................................................... 20
7 TIPS FOR HEALTHY BONES.............................................................................................................................. 20
LET US LEARN……........................................................................................................................................ 22
RBI has asked lenders to provide more for ‘emerging stress’; it would also
like to see exposures being classified uniformly across a consortium so
that any stress in an account is captured evenly across the system.
Stressed assets — the sum of restructured loans and non-performing
assets — rose to 11.3% in September 2015 from 10.7% last year, RBI data
showed. However, analysts say the stress is far higher if one takes into
consideration exposures that are classified as ‘standard’ but could turn
sub-standard, such as those where a strategic debt restructuring (SDR) is
being considered.
If RBI asks banks to improve their coverage ratios, by say, 70%, it would
lead to an increase in provisions of 0.5-2% of total advances across banks.
Private banks would see an increase in credit costs of 40-50bps, while PSU
banks are under-provided and hence would see their credit cost increase
by 100-200bps.
As such, analysts estimate a proper clean-up could cost the banking sector
anywhere between R50,000-60,000 crore in provisions by March 2017.
Even as the government has said it is committed to capitalising banks — it
has promised R70,000 crore in tranches by FY19 in the Indradhanush
programme — the amount could fall short of the required R1.8 lakh crore
to meet Basel III guidelines. While some part of the balance can be raised
as bonds, it’s hard to see banks being able to raise capital from the capital
market.
But banks are wary that such a move might lead to a surge in short-term
crop loan defaults. With a view to ensuring the availability of agricultural
credit at a reasonable cost, the government introduced an interest
subvention scheme at two per cent for short-term crop loans of up to Rs 3
lakh. Additionally, a three per cent incentive is given for prompt
repayment of loans, lowering the effective cost further.
“The interest subsidy scheme has been in existence for close to a decade
now. It might not be appropriate to withdraw it at one go,” a public sector
bank official said. “We are of the opinion that crop loan subsidy should not
be totally removed. Instead of two per cent and an additional three per
cent, the subsidy can be at a flat four per cent.”
However, data from RBI suggest that by replacing interest subsidy with
crop insurance, the government would be able to use close to Rs 12,500
crore for facilitating the insurance scheme. Between 2006 and 2016, the
interest subvention claims given by the government increased from nearly
Rs 1,000 crore to about Rs 12,500 crore, according to estimates available
with RBI.
One of the reasons cited by RBI for doing away with the short-term crop
loan subsidy is that such a subsidy discriminates against long-term loans
and, therefore, does not incentivise long-term capital formation in
agriculture. Two, the subsidised credit does not always flow to the actual
cultivator, RBI argued. Third, subsidised credit increases the probability
of misuse, RBI said.
“The interest subvention schemes give some kind of relief to the borrower
Saturday, February 13, 2016 Page 6 of 22
Bank of India Staff Training College, Chennai Issue No.16/07
Phone: 044-28132731, 28130896, 28133815 e- mail Id: stcchennai@bankofindia.co.in (For Private Circulation Only)
in the form of monetary benefit,” a United Bank of India official said. “In
a year when there is no crop failure, the farmer might see the withdrawal
of the subsidy as an additional burden. Thus, there are chances of
increased defaults in the short term.”
In addition, the central bank eased the norms for liquidity coverage ratio
(LCR) and has allowed banks to use 8 per cent of government securities
they hold as compared to 5 per cent earlier, in their LCR computation.
Banks are allowed to borrow funds from the marginal standing facility
window, the rate of which is 100 bps higher than repo rate, to meet LCR
norms.
Powered by a sharp rise in manufacturing and gains from benign crude oil
prices, the Indian economy is expected to grow 7.6 per cent in 2015-16,
the Central Statistics Office (CSO) has said.
This estimate is well above the 7.2 per cent GDP growth clocked in 2014-
15. It is also higher than the 7-7.5 per cent growth range projected by
the Finance Ministry for the current fiscal.
Thanks to the benign global crude oil prices and the Centre’s decision to
prune subsidy payouts, the overall subsidy bill is expected to decline this
fiscal, thereby improving the GDP numbers.
For 2015-16, the Gross Value Added (at basic prices) is estimated to grow
7.3 per cent as against 7.1 per cent in 2014-15.
The sectors which are likely to register growth rate of over 7 per cent
are ‘financial, real estate and professional services’, ‘trade, hotels,
transport, communication and services related to Broadcasting’ and
manufacturing.
The growth in ‘agriculture, forestry and fishing’ and ‘mining and quarrying’
is estimated to be 1.1 per cent and 6.9 per cent, respectively.
Meanwhile, the CSO has pegged the third-quarter GDP growth at 7.3 per
cent, higher than 6.6 per cent recorded in Q3 last year. Q1 (April-June)
GDP growth for the current fiscal has been revised up, to 7.6 per cent,
from 7 per cent estimated earlier.
Govt’s take
GST seems fated for further delay; draft Bill not in place
The rollout of the country’s most significant indirect tax reform is almost
certain to be further delayed, with the government easing up on the draft
of the enabling model legislation to usher in a Goods and Services Tax.
While the Constitution Amendment Bill for the GST will be listed for
consideration and passage by the Rajya Sabha in the Budget Session of
Parliament, which starts on February 23, the groundwork for it is not fully
in place.
A highly placed source said that “the model legislation that has to be
passed by the Centre and the States has not been given full shape.”
Discussions with the States on the modalities of the GST structure have
not yet been held, the source added. The government was hoping to put
out the drafts of the enabling legislation – Central GST, State GST, and
Inter-State GST – for public discussion by the end of December, but that
hasn’t come about.
Jaitley’s deadline of April 1, 2016 for the GST bill’s passage will almost
surely not be met, although he had recently expressed the hope that the
“Looking at the present scenario, it looks like the GST will not see light
before April 1, 2017,” said Bimal Jain, Chairman, Indirect Tax Committee
of the PHD Chamber of Commerce.
Also, the Centre is yet to formally provide the report on the possible GST
rates drawn up by a panel headed by Chief Economic Adviser Arvind
Subramanian.
MISCELLANEOUS
Till November last year, the collection of small savings through post
offices stood at Rs 21,041 crore, compared to Rs 2,360 crore till
November 2014, according to data available at National Savings Institute.
Add to this the small savings collection by banks (in the forms of public
provident fund (PPF), senior citizens' savings scheme and Sukanya
Samridhi accounts), and the figure rises to Rs 49,051 crore. The PPF
collection data of the previous year is unavailable, making it not possible to
compare.
Banks are already pitching for parity in interest rates of small savings, as
it is seen as a hindrance in smooth transmission of the impact of earlier
interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India.
"There is a huge gap between the small savings and bank interest rate. It
is long-pending demand of the banks that there should be some parity
between the two,'' said Charan Singh, executive director, UCO Bank.
At present, bank fixed deposit earns between seven and 7.5 per cent
interest rate on an average of a five-year tenure. In contrast, the
interest rates on small savings hover between 8.4 per cent and 9.2 per
cent across different schemes.
Gross post office small savings collection saw nearly a 40 per cent increase
in collection between November 2014 and November 2015 to Rs 2,15,803
crore.
West Bengal remained the top state in terms of small savings collection,
with total net collections a Rs 3,974 crore till November 2015, against Rs
1,381 crore till November 2014, showing a rise of 188 per cent. After
West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh accounts for highest collections in small
savings at Rs 3120 crore net collections till November 2015, an increase of
185 per cent in November 2014.
Rajan was speaking on the rationale of AQR which was partly seen as a
factor that contributed to weak public sector bank results leading to the
fall in their share prices.
He said there are two ways to deal with stressed loans: to apply ‘band-aids’
to keep the loan current, and hope that time and growth will set the
project back on track or to put the stressed project back on track rather
than simply applying band aids. “This may require deep surgery,” he
asserted.
The governor said that loan classification is merely good accounting and it
reflects the true value of the loan. It is accompanied by provisioning,
which ensures the bank sets aside a buffer to absorb likely losses, he
added stating if the losses do not materialise, the bank can write back
provisioning to profits.
Rajan also asserted that the very reason why the central bank does not
believe in cleaning the bank balance sheets in one go is because a number
of loans can be regularised, or stabilized when weak but regular, through
the right collective actions. “Our teams are working with the banks to
ensure that they (banks) are all broadly on the same page in terms of
recognition and provisioning, even though each one has flexibility on
individual cases,” he said.
Rajan also pointed out that the central bank has been in constant
discussions with the government, including the highest level, regarding the
matter of AQR and said that the finance minister has indicated of
providing support to the public sector banks with capital infusions as
needed.
“Our estimate is that the government support that has been indicated will
suffice,” he added.
On the capital front, the governor stressed that claims made by financial
analysts about the size of the stressed asset problem verges on scare-
mongering. “Our projections are that any breach of minimum core capital
requirements by a small minority of public sector banks, in the absence of
any recapitalisation, will be small,” he added. Rajan said what the
government has already explicitly committed is enough to take care of all
reasonable scenarios and the central bank will provide whatever liquidity is
needed by any bank although it does not forsee any liquidity risk. “The
market turmoil will pass. The clean-up will get done, and Indian banks will
be restored to health,” Rajan indicated.
According to the panel’s report, which was adopted, the gross NPAs of
scheduled commercial banks, especially public sector banks, have increased
in recent years.
In September 2015, the total GNPAs of PSBs stood at ₹297, 571 crore
while the gross advances for the same period were at ₹46,49,843 crore,
meaning that the GNPA ratio was 6.15 per cent. This, according to the
report, is a steady increase.
In September 2014, the GNPAs were at ₹240,986 crore and the gross
advances were ₹45,57,053 crore. The ratio was 5.29 per cent. The latest
GNPA figures of the private banks were not available with the panel.
“NPAs have risen to 3.84 per cent as on March 2013, 4.72 per cent as on
March 2014, 5.29 per cent as on September 2014 and further to 5.64 per
cent (provisional) as on December 2014 in respect of SCBs due to
sluggishness in the domestic growth during the recent past, slowdown in
recovery in the global economy and continuing uncertainty in the global
markets leading to lower exports of various products like textiles,
RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan told the panel in 2014 that all the optimistic
projections about growth came down substantially both in the world and
domestically and it was one reason for the problems.
Rajan’s take
“NPAs are more focused in the public sector banking system. That is not
necessarily only because the public sector banking system has made more
mistakes than the private sector system. The private sector system did
not go into some of these large projects like infrastructure. Moreover, the
private sector system also knows how to get out before the public sector
system,” Rajan was quoted as saying in the report.
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
“Visa’s new Developer platform will help simplify the delivery of easy
access payment solutions for our clients and we are excited about its
potential to increase our speed to market in some areas,” says Alison
James, vice president, Cards Technology, CIBC.
Visa’s vision for its global developer engagement program includes the
creation of a marketplace that enables thousands of financial institutions,
millions of merchants and technology companies to collaborate, share and
search for innovative digital commerce applications and services.
Source: www.bankingtech.com
MIND VOICE
Losers follow the philosophy, "Do it to others before they do it to you ."
HEALTH
It’s a fact of life: As you age, your bones become thinner and lose their
density. Over time, you become more prone to injury.
Fortunately, you can take steps to halt the “thinning” of your bones, called
osteopenia, and prevent osteoporosis.
The daily allowance recommended for calcium is 1,000 mg a day during your
20s, 30s and 40s. But your need rises as you age. Check with your doctor
before starting supplements to find out what amount is right for you. For
example, after menopause, most women need 1000 to 1,500 mg a day
unless they take hormone therapy. Your body only absorbs 500 mg of
calcium at a time, so spread your consumption out over the course of the
day.
To boost your bone strength, try exercise that “loads” or compresses your
bones. Running, jogging, high-impact aerobics, repetitive stair climbing,
dancing, tennis and basketball are best for building bones. But if you have
osteopenia, osteoporosis or arthritis, try walking or using an elliptical or
other machine. Be sure to clear any exercise plans with your doctor first.
Bad news for bad habits: Loss of bone mineral density is associated with
tobacco use and excessive alcohol consumption
Doctors can get a quick and painless “snapshot” of bone health using a
simple X-ray test called DXA. This test measures bone mineral density and
helps determine risks of osteoporosis and fracture. It is recommended for
women within two years of menopause. Earlier tests are recommended for
men and women with certain diseases and for those taking medications
that increase risk.
LET US LEARN……..