Mohamed Helmy.

PMP , PSP , PMI-SP *

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Delay Analysts Techniques

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Prospective Vs Retrospective Delay Analysis

Techniques

s Mohamed Helmy. PMP , PSP , PMI-SP

Projects Control Manager
Published Nov 25, 2020
+ Follow

Prospective Analysis:

The word “prospective” is defined as “likely to come about: expected to happen”.

Accordingly, a prospective analysis is one prepared in advance of delaying events or
change work, to model what is likely to happen because of the subject event(s).
American Association of Cost Engineers Recommended Practice AACE-RP 29R-03
 Mohamed Helmy. PMP , PSP , PMI-SP *

prospective analysis consists of the analyst’s best estimate of future events. Prospective
analysis occurs while the project is still underway and may not evolve into a forensic
context...”

The prospective analysis should be submitted timely in accordance with the contract
requirements, presumably with a written narrative explaining the issue in question, a
listing and explanation of the activity(ies), durations, and logic used to develop the
fragnet, the reasoning of the logical relationships tying this work into the un-impacted
schedule, and a calculation of the impact (the difference between the completion date of
the un-impacted schedule vs. the impacted schedule.) This narrative may also include, if
required, a discussion of the contractor’s resources in support of the activity

Time Impact Analysis (TIA) and Impacted As Planned , both are known to be
prospective delay analysis techniques which are commonly used whilst the project is
still ongoing. This can help assess the impact a delaying event will have on the future
completion date.

Retrospective Analysis:

The word Retrospective is defined as “o/or relating to the past or something that
happened in the past.” Thus, a retrospective analysis is one prepared after the
delaying event(s) or change work has been performed, such that the actual sequence,
timing, and resources of the work related to the subject event(s) is known. AACE RP
29R-03 defines Retrospective analyses as: “Retrospective analyses are performed
after the delay event has occurred and the impacts are known. The timing may
be soon after the delay event but prior to the completion of the overall project, or
after the completion of the entire project... In other words, even forward-looking
 Mohamed Helmy. PMP , PSP , PMI-SP *

The key, as emphasized in the RP 29R-03 definition above, is a retrospective analysis is

performed with the “full benefit of hindsight.” A Retrospective analysis, in general
terms, is a method of analysis in which, after the delaying event has occurred, an “as-
built” fragment is inserted into a planned baseline schedule. This is a similar procedure,
and has similar flaws, to the hypothetical “impacted as-planned (IAP)” analysis that
courts and boards of contract appeal have rejected as an inappropriate forensic schedule
methodology.

A Windows Analysis (or an As Planned vs. As-Built) can be a more reliable forensic
retrospective delay analysis tool, as it deals with the critical and near-critical path
activities without the need to model individual delay events, of which there are many on
a typical project. Furthermore, a windows or as planned vs. as-built analysis “allows the
analyst to determine which delay impacts are concurrent, which are staggered, and
which are near critical versus precisely critical with less subjectivity than if only
projected dates were used.”

As “O Management” we always go extra mile studying and well understanding each

case we are working on to ensure we select the best Delay analysis technique for it.

If you have a case that you would like to discuss please feel free to Contact us on
Contactus@Omanagement.co or Over the Phone +974 4007 8463

You may visit our website www.Omanagement.co to witness our successful cases and
our success partners

© 21 • 11 Comments

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in Mohamed Helmy. PMP , PSP , PMI-SP *

LiKe Kepiy

Mohamed Helmy. PMP, PSP , PMI-SP 2y

Sherif Fakhr El-deen Sharabia Thanks allot Eng.Sherif for your highly appreciated feed­
back , actually we have applied such method in two claims and it worked efficiently,
there are different factors that drive the method selection , the time frame for the
analysis completion , the final result aiming to reach (time and cost or time only) and
most importantly the accuracy of the program and its updates, if the updates are con­
sistent and accurate the ABBF result will be very similar to Window analysis / time slice.

Thanks allot Eng.Sherif for your comment

Like Reply

r> Sherif Fakhr El-deen Sharabia 2y

/ Mohamed Helmy. PMP , PSP , PMI-SP , you know Mohamed although it needs more
time but i prefer to use it it is easily eliminate the delay of one party and study the im­
pact of the other party, which is more reasonable and logical, it is only need more ex­
perience to analysis and assess the delay on the critical path. Try it and you will like it.
Good Luck
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