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The Law of Diminishing Returns
Stanley L. Brue
This feature addresses the history of economic words and ideas. The hope
is to deepen the workaday dialogue of economists, while perhaps also casting
new light on ongoing questions. If you have suggestions for future topics or
authors, please write to Joseph Persky, c/o Journal of Economic Perspectives,
Department of Economics (M/C 144), The University of Illinois at Chicago,
Box 4348, Chicago, IL 60680.
Introduction
1
In fact, Stigler (1965, p. 166) contends that Malthus was willing to deny diminishing returns
(ambiguously defined) when it was convenient. For example, in arguing for import duties on corn,
Malthus asserted that diminishing returns had not occurred in the 20 years before 1814.
188 Journal of Economic Perspectives
John Bates Clark generalized the law of diminishing returns to all factors
of production. In a paper at the third annual meeting of the American
Economic Association in 1888, he presented a theory of distribution based
squarely on the modern version of the law of diminishing marginal returns. His
underlying assumption was that all other factors and technology remain un-
changed while one homogeneous factor is varied. Thus, if capital, land, and
entrepreneurship are kept constant while units of labor are added, the marginal
and average products of labor will eventually fall, although total output may for
a time continue to rise. Clark clarified that diminishing returns do not result
from declines in the quality of the labor input as more labor is added; all such
units are homogeneous and thus interchangeable.2
Clark (1899 [1956], p. 201) used his modern formulation of the law to
develop his marginal productivity theory of distribution. The law of diminish-
ing returns thereafter became the central explanation for downward-sloping
short-run resource demand curves. Jacob Viner (1931 [1958], pp. 50–78) and
others then developed the contemporary graphical link between the law of
diminishing marginal returns and the firm's marginal cost curves and short-run
product supply curves. Since then, the law of diminishing returns has become
the modern centerpiece for explaining upward-sloping product supply curves.
Since 1H + 200K < 200P, then 2(1/2H + 100K) < 200P or 1/2H +
100K < 100P. Therefore the internal implication of the law is that more
can be produced by one unit of land plus 100 units of capital and labor
than half a unit of land plus 100 units of capital and labor, and this law is
held to be "a self evident truth bordering on a truism." The conclusion is
true, of course, but the "proof" depends on the assumption of diminish-
ing returns.
Along with circular and special-case proofs, none of the economists men-
tioned here marshalled strong empirical evidence to validate their propositions.
Instead they stated the law as an axiom, offered specific examples, or referred
to hypothetical data to demonstrate their point. For example, even though
considerable adverse evidence emerged in the 1830s and 1840s to challenge
the implications of Ricardo's formulation of the law of diminishing returns in
agriculture, the idea persisted (Blaug, 1956, 41–58).3
Menger (1936 [1954]) severely criticized the axiomatic acceptance of the
law of diminishing returns, arguing that the crucial issue for economics is the
empirical question of whether or not the laws of returns are true or false. His
call for direct empirical verification of the law—and through extension, the
rising short-run marginal cost curve—remains valid.4
In his 1949 book Manufacturing Business, Andrews (pp. 82–111) introduced
another complication relating to the law of diminishing returns and its applica-
tions. He argued that manufacturing firms maintain excess capacity so that they
do not lose present customers in times of unexpected demand, have the
capacity to cover for breakdowns of machinery, and take advantage of opportu-
nities to capture new customers in a growing market.5 When excess capacity
exists, the law of diminishing returns may have little relevance for cost curves.
Firms can change short-run output simply by varying the hours of employment
of the "fixed" plant proportionally with the variable inputs. The ratios of the
inputs employed need not change and marginal cost need not rise. This is not
to dispute the short-run law of diminishing returns as contemporarily defined;
rather, it challenges the relevancy of the fixed factor assumption to production
theory.
Alternative Explanations
explanations raise the question of to what extent the law of diminishing returns
is necessary to economics.
For example, the idea of heterogeneous scarce resources can indeed
replace the law of diminishing returns in some applications—for example,
concave production possibilities curves. Heterogeneous resources are not per-
fectly substitutable in alternative uses; therefore producing an additional unit of
one good comes at the increasing opportunity cost of other goods. The notion
of heterogeneous scare resources also substitutes well for the law of diminishing
returns in explaining why nations rarely specialize completely in the produc-
tion of particular goods; as specialization continues, nations must increasingly
use resources that are better suited for producing other goods. In both cases,
changes in the mix of output can generate upward-sloping marginal (opportun-
ity) cost curves, and the law of diminishing returns is not fundamental
Alfred Marshall offered yet another explanation of increasing costs and
upward-sloping supply curves, which did not invoke the law of diminishing
returns. 6 Drawing on ideas expressed earlier by William S. Jevons (1871,
p. 173), Marshall (1890 [1920], p. 339) reasoned that behind monetary costs of
production lie two psychological sacrifices—the irksomeness of working and
the sacrifice of postponing consumption by saving. The worker finds additional
hours of labor each day to be more and more irksome. Hence, the longer is the
work day, other things equal, the greater is the hourly pay required to induce
workers to work the last hour. Even though the earlier hours do not represent
as great a per hour sacrifice, workers generally receive the same wage rate for
all hours worked. Of course, the higher the wage rate, other things such as
productivity equal, the higher the marginal cost of production.
Marshall also recognized that heterogeneous resources may play a role in
explaining upward-sloping supply curves. Firms find it advantageous to in-
crease their work days or employ workers of lesser quality to increase their
output when the market price of their output rises.
Reflections
• I would like to thank Joseph Persky, Norris Peterson, and Joseph Stiglitz for their
helpful comments. Special thanks go to Timothy Taylor who helped pare the length of this
paper and greatly improve its organization.
192 Journal of Economic Perspectives
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