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Talk to our friends and neighbors. And I
think we can use something that we all share,

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which is our anxiety about rising inflation.
We can use that as an opener not to hit him

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over the head with a brick, but to slowly
move the conversation. Well, do you know why

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this is happening? Do you know there's a
thing called the Federal Reserve? Do you know

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there's you know, so I think this is a
positive thing we can take hopefully away

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from today is how to talk about costs in
relation to our foreign policy. But another

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great speaker who's going to talk about cost
on a global scale is our good friend Tom

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Luongo, who has a a blog that I highly
recommend.

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Gold, Goats and Guns.

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I like those three things pretty much. You'll
see him on on Lou Rockwell's website. You'll

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see him on ZeroHedge. He springs up like
mushrooms because he's got very insightful

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analysis and he looks at the bigger picture.
And that's why we really wanted Tom to join

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us and give us the bigger picture. So please
welcome Tom Luongo.

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Well, good morning everyone. Start out with I
haven't done a public speaking gig like this

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since I ran for public office as a
Libertarian in 2002. So if I'm a little

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rusty, it'll take me a minute. So my name is
Tom Luongo and I have a problem. I'm an avid

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board game. Guy I an addict.

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I love boardgames and geopolitics to me.

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Is a big.

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Well, we like to model geopolitics as a game
because it's one of the ways we can

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narratively get a grip on what's happening
out there. And.

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The game that we tend to try and model is
chess.

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We all know how to play chess. Many of us
play Monopoly. Many of us have played. Maybe

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even played risk. But you've never sat down
and played a really heavy duty political

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game. Whenever you get down, whenever you
take a game that's more than two players,

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it's all of a sudden becomes an intensely
political thing. Great game. Designer Richard

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Garfield has always said that any once you
get a third player at the table, it's now all

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of a sudden the political game. It's no
longer a pure game expression. It's no longer

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a pure conflict between one side versus the
other.

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And chess is a very interesting game. And it
was created by the Iranians and perfected by

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the Russians, FYI.

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So I find that I always find that very
interesting when I think about that. The

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Iranians created this brilliant game. But
chess is a goal oriented behavior game,

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right? It's a very specific type of game and
game theory. And game design is a very

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important thing to me because it's what
allows me to do the systemic analysis of

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what's happening around the world. And I've
been playing games my entire life. So when I

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look at chess and I look at the arc of the
game of chess, the goal is, of course,

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capture the king. Right. And so it's just an
existential fight between two groups, black

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and white, whose king is going to get
captured first. And it's a very good metaphor

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for trying to figure out what's going to
happen when these this guy fights that guy.

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But that's all it's good at. It's not good at
anything else. So during Daniel's opening

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remarks today and during Scott's remarks,
Daniel touched on the fact that we don't the

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American foreign policy establishment doesn't
understand Russia. Scott just touched on the

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fact that the that the American foreign
policy establishment also doesn't understand

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the Chinese. So when I sit down to try and
explain geopolitics and I try to look at the

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world and I try to create a narrative that I
can communicate to the world what's going on

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out there. There's all this noise, there's
all these headlines. What does it all mean?

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What is it reduced down to? What's the big
takeaway? Because that's what we all need in

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order to get through our days, because we're
all just really too busy to keep up with all

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this stuff on a daily basis. We have to go
out and do the world. We have to go out and

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do our thing to make enough money in the
world to feed our families and all the rest

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of it. We don't want to spend all day trying
to parse all these disinformation, mail,

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informational headlines that we get on a
daily basis from the British tabloid press,
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from the American press and from everybody
else. Right. So what do we do? We have to we

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can't be too reductionist about things and
distill everything down to a two player game.

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The West versus Russia, the West versus
China. It's because it's not that the better

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way to look at this is the ancient Chinese
game of go. Go is the game that defines

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geopolitics. And worse than go is the fact
that geopolitics actually isn't a two player

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game of go. It's a seven player game of golf.
Now I want you to wrap your brain. If you've

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never heard of. If you don't even know what
go is. I'm going to take a just a minute or

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two to explain so that for the people in the
audience who don't understand what go is, go

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is the original area control game. Right.

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If if chess is the ultimate game of goal
oriented behavior, I want to achieve the

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specific thing. How am I going to go about
doing so? Go is the game of soft power. That

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was the game of where black places are token
over here and goes, I'm going to I'm going to

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place an aircraft carrier off the coast of
Taiwan. Well, I'm going to respond by putting

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missile systems in Poland. Well, I'm going to
I'm going to pay Bill Wang to build up

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Archegos Capital to have it explode one day
and blow up.

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Jpmorgan's hedge book. Well, I'm going to do
this over here. While I'm going to not

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increase, I'm OPEC and I'm not going to
increase oil production. Right, but. The

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problem with looking at this is that when
when go is played properly with people who

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understand how the game is played, and you
have two people with vastly different

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experiences. And by the way, I'm a miserable
chess player and I'm a miserable go player.

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And the reason is, is I don't have the time
or the patience to actually devote my life to
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the lessons that these games can teach you.
But they are games that can teach you a

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tremendous amount about human behavior and
about the world if you are willing to

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literally devote your life to it. And I know
many those of you who play chess, you know

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exactly what I'm talking about. So go is that
game of trying to place assets in play and

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keep them in play. And there's it's a very
simple game. It's a grid of horizontal and

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vertical lines and black and white stones
that you place at the vertices of the spaces

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on the board. And the here's the main rule
ready. That asset gets sustained play, that

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stone gets to stay in play as long as it can
trace a degree of freedom, an open connection

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to the board. Or to another stone of the same
color.

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The minute those stones, those white stones,
for example, get surrounded by black stones,

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all the white stones get captured and go
away. Now, if you don't think that that's

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what geopolitics is all about, that's what
we're doing on a daily basis. Every one of

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these headlines you see every every specific
piece of information that Daniel talked

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about, Scott talked about. And I'm sure that
Lew and Dr. Paul will talk about are going to

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be moments of that.

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To me, these are all just stones hitting the
table every day. And I'm trying to make sense

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of the pattern of what's what that actually
means, because go is this wonderful game of

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fractal information where you can get sucked
into a knife fight. And this is like people

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like Victoria Nuland and and Anthony Blinken
and John Bolton, they get sucked into these

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these idiotic conflicts over these little
tiny things, thinking they're so terribly

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important. And all they are is this little
teeny portion of the board, and you're
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fighting intensely and killing people,
thousands of people around the world. For

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what? What what purpose? Oh, well, I needed
to take that little piece of territory and

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create a permanent structure that allows you
to to hold on to that little thing there,

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because their need for control is so
unbelievably ingrained into their being that

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that's what they do. But then you take a step
back, you're like, well, that's that doesn't

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mean anything because you're getting
surrounded by all these other things. And in

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the process, that whole formation is going to
get wiped off the board 20 months from now.

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And then it's going to pull back even
further. And so the whole purpose of the game

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go is to slowly but surely place soft power
tokens all the way around the board to create

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a fractal pattern that eventually resolves
very quickly into, Well, I've control this

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portion of the board. You control that
portion of the board. I've got this. We're

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fighting over these five zones in the middle,
and I'm going to win by five. The master

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player. Versus the novice player puts 25 or
30 stones on the table and goes, Oh, that's

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the moment where we're going to lose. So and
you're going to lose because this is in the

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wrong place. And that means that at the end
of this, if we fight it all the way out, I'm

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going to win by about seven. In reality, he's
going to win by about 30 because this is a

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very Asian game about saving face for your
opponent. Right. Again, we don't understand

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China, but we can learn a lot about a
country, a cultures.

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Ideas from the games they play and the games
that they've developed go as a 4000 year old

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game. So I've been saying for over a decade,
since I first started writing for Newsmax a

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decade ago, that geopolitics is a game of go
where the Americans and the West, they don't
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understand how to play this game. And the
Russians and the Chinese are playing go and

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they're putting tokens in play and they don't
care about what happens right here in this

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little moment in Syria. And we have to like
protect the outbreak of my border crossing to

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keep the Iranians from bringing in resupply
to the Syrians in Italy. Like, what are you

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getting involved in that for? We're going to
make a. Commodity based SDR that the European

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Eurasian Economic Union is going to use to as
the phrase settlement currency for all of

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Central Asia. And we've been building that
for the last ten years. Or in December 2016,

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Sergei Lavrov, the Russian foreign minister,
goes to puts together a coalition of

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diplomats to go to Afghanistan, to sit down
in Kabul with the and get all the Taliban

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heads together to lay the groundwork for the
reversal of the of Afghanistan.

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The Taliban, after the Americans leave,
saying in December of 2016, they put Pakistan

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in charge of the talks. Leaving the Indians
out because at that moment in time, the

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Indians were on our side. And so the Indians
were angry about this. But Sergey Lavrov led

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a coalition and the Pakistanis started the
talks and laid the groundwork for the

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disastrous pullout of Afghanistan five years
ago. I knew this was going to happen because

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they started they laid those stones and they
put those assets in place and they created a

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formation that on a go board can't be taken
can't be taken off the board. The Russians

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have built an economic fortress around their
balance sheet that is impregnable because,

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well, I watched the Russians run their thing.
And as a good Austrian libertarian, I'm like,

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Oh, look at that. They know that trade
surplus selling goods, selling commodity

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goods to the world like we're going to we're
going to get rid of all our dollar

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denominated. Then we're going to make
ourselves impervious to sanctions because the

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West is spending all this time trying to put
assets in play that will give them the

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ability to declare other people persona non
grata in the one area of the world that we

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still have tremendous control over, even
though the slowly but surely the Russians and

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the Chinese and others have been slowly
degrading, looked like fortress. Areas of the

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board that they controlled and that were
impregnable. But in a seven player game of go

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where the China where the Chinese are, the
red tokens and the Indians are the purple

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tokens and the Saudi Arabians are the yellow
tokens all of a sudden are impregnable

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fortresses in a two player game because it's
you go, I go, you go, I go. Now it's you go,

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he goes, he goes, then he goes and then he
goes. All of a sudden, none of those
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formations. Our permanent.

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All of a sudden. None of those formations.
Those. Those the spillers of power. That

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Davos or the European Union or the White
House or whomever you're talking about, ten

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Downing Street, the British Crown. Pick your
pick your your your personal conspiracy group

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of choice club of Rome. This UNESCO's George
Soros. Doesn't matter. Pick them all. Like

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all of their power structures are slowly
degrading because these other players have

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been allowed to have a seat at the table
putting their assets in play, creating soft

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alliances with each other. Because once
you're into a 3 to 5 or six player game now,

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all of a sudden it's, hey, you know, if you
don't attack my stuff over here, I want to

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attack your stuff over there. Yeah, we can do
that. For how long? Five turns. Yeah, that's.

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That's cool. I've been in this. I've been in
games of diplomacy where I've lost

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friendships for years because I set things
like that up and then went into the back room

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and stabbed everybody in the back and won the
game. And then I had people just like, look

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at me going, Dude, like that was cold. Yeah,
but the goal of the game was to win, right?

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That's I thought that was the whole goal of
it. Well, when you look at geopolitics and

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you realize what we're able to do that as men
under a low stakes environment, and this is

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why games are important, because they give us
the opportunity to get all that aggression

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out without actually really hurting anybody,
without any real, actual, honest to God,

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human cost. The problem is we have people who
think that they are invaluable to the world

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who are willing to do that with your lives,
my life, my daughter's life, your your

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children's lives, your grandchildren's lives.
And so that's the world we live in today. And
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they honestly believe that the world would
not function without them. And this is why

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they spend all this time wasting our time
running around, forcing us to put stones on

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the table to defend and get involved in these
idiotic knife fights that are a waste of our

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time. I wish that I didn't do what I do for a
living and I had to go out and get a real job

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producing real something of real, lasting
value. I'd rather be a goat farmer than do

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what I do. And I think many of us in this
room feel that way because we know that it's

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honestly a waste of our human capital to do
this. But we have to figure out ways of

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disseminating the information to allow
somebody else to go out and continue to build

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civilization in the face of those who want to
tear it down. So where are we today? Scott's

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talked about the inflection point. Daniels
talked about the inflection point I was

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listening to there talks going, I hope they
don't cover all of my material. And really I

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it became obvious to me that we are at that
moment in.

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Because the way I see the board right now.
Metaphorically speaking. Is that a game? Two

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player game goes should end eventually will
produce stable structures that if the other

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players play into the other person's area
those captured the stones and it'll just

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perpetuate itself. And all you're doing is
raising everybody's score, but you're not

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changing the outcome of the game. Black's
going to win or White's going to win or

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whatever. In that big seven player game I'm
talking about. This can go on forever.

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Geopolitics doesn't end. The king is never
captured. The territory is never fully ever

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locked down because the world doesn't end.
There's that great line at the end of Alan

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Moore's watchmen when Ozymandias looks at Dr.
Manhattan, who he's just beaten God. And he
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says, In the end, in the end, I did the right
thing that night. Jon, Jon Osterman, Dr.

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Manhattan and Dr. Manhattan, the man who can
literally see all of time as a tapestry says,

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No, Adrian, nothing ever ends. This is the
problem, the hubris of the people that we're

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dealing with on a day to day basis. I wanted
to give a high level talk today because I

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knew that other people would do a much better
job of digging into the details. I wanted to

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00:16:06,850 --> 00:16:14,470
remind everybody that the best way to look at
this is you have to I mean, I'm shaking doing

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00:16:14,470 --> 00:16:19,780
this talk this morning because I'm so
unbelievably. Worried for the future. I

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00:16:19,780 --> 00:16:24,880
believe we've reached that point where the
game board is a morass of all of these

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different tokens of different colors, and if
the next person puts that stone on the table.

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That it's going to start breaking down all
the metastable structures and the whole board

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00:16:35,030 --> 00:16:41,570
is going to just implode and it's going to
create a cascade effect that is catastrophic.

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00:16:42,100 --> 00:16:49,100
Unless said earlier, I've had many a board
gaming experience over the last 40 years

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00:16:49,550 --> 00:16:55,610
literally playing some of the. Greatest
political board games ever made where I've

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00:16:55,610 --> 00:17:01,970
looked at my looked at the board, everybody's
and I go, you, you and you back room. Now we

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00:17:01,970 --> 00:17:06,490
need to talk. Welcome to the back room
huddle.

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Talk to me. You know, if the if this guy does
this and I do that, we can we can get

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00:17:11,380 --> 00:17:15,850
together and we can form a soft alliance and
we can win. If not, he's going to win in two

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00:17:15,850 --> 00:17:22,650
terms, and we have to stop him. Well, the
Global South, the green stones of the

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00:17:22,650 --> 00:17:28,150
Iranians, the purple stones of the Indians.
The Yellow Stones of the Saudi Arabians. Are

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00:17:28,150 --> 00:17:34,150
no longer acting as independents. They're no
longer being bribed by the West to act

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00:17:34,150 --> 00:17:39,580
independently, to screw up the plans of the
red Chinese and the black Russians by the

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00:17:39,580 --> 00:17:47,140
white hats of the West. I've chosen my
colours very carefully. And they're looking

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00:17:47,140 --> 00:17:54,020
at the situation as it stands right now and
they're saying, you know what? All we have to

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00:17:54,020 --> 00:18:01,520
do is say no. All those different colored
zones are all black. Now reassess the board

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00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:06,290
and then go back to the first rule of go.
Stones get to stay on the board as long as

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00:18:06,290 --> 00:18:12,150
they are not completely surrounded by stones
of another colour. And all those white stones

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00:18:12,150 --> 00:18:15,900
and all those power, all those pillars of
power that Davos thinks they have and that

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00:18:15,900 --> 00:18:19,710
Brussels thinks they have, and that George
Soros thinks he has and the Federal Reserve

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00:18:19,710 --> 00:18:24,360
thinks it has, and blah, blah, blah, blah.
And they're all looking at it going, Oh!

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00:18:25,270 --> 00:18:32,550
Because all the stones just off the board.
And you're left with unassailable. Formations

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00:18:32,550 --> 00:18:38,210
and captured territory. And this is what
Daniel pointed out and what Scott both
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00:18:38,210 --> 00:18:42,940
pointed out. The people, unfortunately.

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Who've designed this system and led us to
this moment. Some of whom are the vandals of

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00:18:49,900 --> 00:18:53,770
the Biden administration. I don't believe in
at all that these people are incompetent. I

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00:18:53,770 --> 00:19:03,620
think they're hyper competent at being
vandals. Who have a in their mind a right and

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00:19:03,620 --> 00:19:09,420
are entitled to rule the world. If you listen
to their speeches at Davos this year, it was

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00:19:09,420 --> 00:19:14,430
very clear. I've never seen George Soros give
a talk and look so scared. Did anybody else

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00:19:14,430 --> 00:19:16,170
notice this? I did.

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00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:21,870
I've watched a lot of George Soros speeches.
They make me sick to my stomach. It's like

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00:19:21,870 --> 00:19:26,940
showing up for jury duty and having to stand
around and be be surrounded by authoritarians

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00:19:26,940 --> 00:19:32,410
all day. Literally makes me ill physically.
Watching George Soros makes me physically

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00:19:32,410 --> 00:19:38,900
ill. But this year, there was a little bit of
hope because he was scared. Because he could
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see what's going to happen. And if we don't
go along with their P.R. campaign, which is

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00:19:44,150 --> 00:19:49,790
with 100 or 100 days of this war, was nothing
more than a P.R. campaign to bring the the

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00:19:49,790 --> 00:19:55,190
West, the Germans, the Americans, the Brits
into the great plucky Ukrainian narrative to

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00:19:55,190 --> 00:20:00,690
fight the evil Russians. And that PR campaign
has failed.

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00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:07,240
And they know it. And they sacrifice
thousands of Ukrainian lives. So thousands of

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brave men and women in the Ukrainian armed
forces. To put Zelinski on tour like he's. I

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00:20:13,710 --> 00:20:22,050
don't know, frickin Shakira. How pathetic is
that, that we live in this world.

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00:20:22,980 --> 00:20:30,330
And so now right now and you can see it since
this invasion of Ukraine began and it's an

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00:20:30,330 --> 00:20:35,410
invasion. I make no bones about it. The
Russians are. The Russians are not in the

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00:20:35,410 --> 00:20:42,180
moral right here. War is never moral. It's
never right. But it's either that or.

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00:20:42,890 --> 00:20:51,170
They capture the king, they lose the the they
lose the bored and the very evil euro global

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00:20:51,170 --> 00:20:56,090
commies at the World Economic Forum and the
White House and the neo cons and all these

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00:20:56,090 --> 00:21:01,310
evil people, they're going to run the table
on us and they're going to flip the entire

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00:21:01,310 --> 00:21:03,620
board white in their minds.

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00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:09,680
Or are we going to let them happen to happen?
So the Global South has all been they've been

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00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:14,840
yelled at. Don't go in the back room. Don't
talk to each other. You go talk to each

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00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:17,330
other. We're going to sanction you. We're
going to take you out of Swift. We're going

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00:21:17,330 --> 00:21:20,690
to we're going to do this to you. Oh, by the
way, if everybody doesn't understand this,

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00:21:20,690 --> 00:21:24,680
Erdogan in Turkey, he has a special player
power that nobody else has on his turn. He

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00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:28,160
gets his place either a black stone or a
white stone, depending on what you know,

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00:21:28,250 --> 00:21:32,840
depending on whether it's at any given
Thursday. That guy is awesome. From a game
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00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:37,190
theory perspective, Erdogan is like one of
the greatest games players of all time. He's

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00:21:37,190 --> 00:21:42,350
a lunatic and a freak and he's horrible as a
human being. I'm like horrified. But, you

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00:21:42,350 --> 00:21:47,660
know, the game player in me is going, Dude,
well done. Like, seriously, you play the

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00:21:47,660 --> 00:21:53,960
game. Well, I have to, you know, golf clap.
Here is what it is. And we can see that

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00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:59,630
moment and everybody's saying the same thing.
Don't go in the backroom, don't cut the deal,

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00:22:00,020 --> 00:22:05,310
because if you do, we're going to do this to
you. And no one is finally scared. Of going

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00:22:05,310 --> 00:22:13,470
in the back room. Because they understand
that if they don't do this now. They're going

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00:22:13,470 --> 00:22:18,470
to lose everything. The European Union just
put out their sixth package of sanctions the

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other day. Great fanfare.

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We are going to cut off 90% of our imports of
Russian oil by the end of the year or by 2024

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or by 2030 or whatever it is. It doesn't
really matter. At the same time, you could

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00:22:36,610 --> 00:22:40,030
find a headline saying the Biden
administration called up Mohammed bin Salman,

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00:22:40,030 --> 00:22:45,430
the crown prince in Saudi Arabia, and say you
need to pump more oil. Like, really, how dumb

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00:22:45,430 --> 00:22:50,800
are the Arabs? They can't hear this. Like, we
hate oil and we want the world to get off of

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00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:52,120
oil by 2030.

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00:22:53,070 --> 00:22:57,780
But we also want you to sell us more oil so
we can take the Russian oil off the market

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00:22:58,290 --> 00:23:01,300
like. No.

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00:23:02,410 --> 00:23:03,910
How about no?

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00:23:03,910 --> 00:23:05,620
And how about no?

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00:23:06,070 --> 00:23:11,050
And how about a whole lot of no? Yeah, well,
they haven't done it, and that's the thing.

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And they're not going to do it because OPEC
is stronger now than it ever has been. And

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00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:19,390
you know why OPEC stronger now than it ever
has been, because the Russians over the last

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00:23:19,390 --> 00:23:24,010
eight years have solidified their control
over OPEC by giving everybody what they want

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00:23:24,010 --> 00:23:28,090
and explaining to them that if you don't band
together now, these people are going to

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00:23:28,090 --> 00:23:35,220
destroy you. It's kind of like Lawrence of
Arabia in reverse. Right.

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00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:42,550
Uniting the Arab tribes to fight the British,
not fight for the British. It's fascinating.

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00:23:42,670 --> 00:23:46,710
I love watching this play out. And I hope
that.

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00:23:47,980 --> 00:23:53,260
But the thing that bothers me more than
anything else is that that conference in the

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00:23:53,260 --> 00:24:00,050
back room is happening right now. It's going
on. The Russians have engaged in brilliant

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00:24:00,050 --> 00:24:04,520
levels of diplomacy. We don't have diplomacy.
We have anti diplomacy. We have Michael

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00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:11,270
McFaul literally says we lie like the first
rule of diplomacy is diplomats don't lie.

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00:24:11,980 --> 00:24:18,000
It's. Once that meeting happens and all
those.
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00:24:19,580 --> 00:24:24,980
Stones go from yellow and green and red and
blue and whatever the black and all those

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00:24:24,980 --> 00:24:28,880
formations fall apart. And the global
financial crisis starts here in the West,

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00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:35,190
which is on the table. What's the response
from the people who think they're entitled to

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00:24:35,190 --> 00:24:40,560
rule the world? It's not pretty.

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00:24:41,750 --> 00:24:46,880
These people honestly believe it's time to
take the colonies back. I've been saying for

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00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:50,720
years that China is not the enemy. The
Russians aren't the enemy. Europe is the

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00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,590
enemy. To the United States.

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00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:59,470
They selected Joe Biden and put these vandals
in charge. They selected the Greens to run

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00:24:59,470 --> 00:25:06,700
Germany. They selected Mario Draghi, the
former head of the ECB, to run a technocratic

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00:25:06,700 --> 00:25:11,590
caretaker government in Italy. They're the
ones that try to overthrow Viktor Orban in

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00:25:11,590 --> 00:25:16,300
Hungary. They are the ones that started that
fomented a color a failed color revolution in
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00:25:16,300 --> 00:25:20,170
Belarus, Kazakhstan, this place, that place,
everywhere else. These are the people.

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00:25:20,170 --> 00:25:22,930
They're right in front of you. They're
staring you in the face every day, telling

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00:25:22,930 --> 00:25:28,240
you what they're going to do. And they want
their colonies back. They want the U.S. back.

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00:25:29,230 --> 00:25:38,530
They never wanted to lose the US in the first
place. So what are they willing to do? The

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00:25:38,530 --> 00:25:45,690
foot, the gameboard. And I just scare
everybody in the room. Thank you very much.

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