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Deteriorating Ischemic Stroke in 4 Clinical Categories

Classified by the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project


Hideaki Tei, MD; Shinichiro Uchiyama, MD; Kuniko Ohara, MD; Michiko Kobayashi, MD;
Yumiko Uchiyama, MD; Megumi Fukuzawa, MD

Background and Purpose—The aim of this study was to investigate the frequency, possible predictive factors, and
prognosis of deteriorating ischemic stroke in 4 clinical categories according to the classification of the Oxfordshire
Community Stroke Project (OCSP).
Methods—A total of 350 patients with first-ever ischemic stroke who presented within 24 hours of onset were enrolled.
Based on the OCSP criteria, cerebral infarctions were divided into the following 4 clinical categories: total anterior
circulation infarcts (TACI), partial anterior circulation infarcts (PACI), lacunar infarcts (LACI), and posterior circulation
infarcts (POCI). Clinical deterioration was defined as a decrease of ⱖ1 points in the Canadian Neurological Scale (CNS)
(in TACI, PACI, and LACI) or Rankin Scale (RS) (in POCI) during 7 days from the onset. In each clinical category,
deteriorating (D) and nondeteriorating (ND) patients were compared in terms of their background characteristics, risk
factors, vital signs, laboratory data, and cranial CT at the time of hospitalization. The acute-phase mortality and
functional outcome were also compared.
Results—The subjects comprised 86 patients (24.6%) with TACI, 63 (18.0%) with PACI, 141 (40.3%) with LACI, and 60
(17.1%) with POCI. Overall, 90 patients (25.7%) deteriorated. The frequency was very high in TACI (41.9%), followed
by LACI (26.2%) and POCI (21.7%), whereas it was very low in PACI (6.3%). There were some clinical variables that
differed significantly between D and ND groups. In the patients with TACI, early abnormalities of the cranial CT and
significant stenoses in corresponding arteries were more frequent in the D than the ND group. In those with LACI, the
CNS and hematocrit were lower in the D than the ND group. In those with POCI, cerebral atrophy was more severe and
significant stenoses in vertebrobasilar arteries were more frequent in the D than ND group. The mortality of the D groups
of patients with TACI and POCI exceeded 35%, and the functional outcome was worse in the D group than in the ND
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group of patients with TACI, LACI, and POCI.


Conclusions—The frequency of deterioration in acute ischemic stroke significantly differed among the OCSP subgroups,
and deterioration worsened the prognosis. There were some factors that could predict deterioration: early CT findings
in TACI, large-artery atherosclerosis in TACI and POCI, and stroke severity in LACI. Further research to find
sophisticated radiological and chemical markers appears to be needed. (Stroke. 2000;31:2049-2054.)
Key Words: cerebral infarction 䡲 stroke classification 䡲 stroke outcome

N eurological progression or deterioration during the first


hours to days of cerebral infarction is common and
produces serious clinical problems. The frequency of deteri-
infarction. It has been suggested that the mechanism of
worsening and its outcome differ between subgroups with
different symptoms and severity.7
oration varies, ranging from 12% up to 42% among several In 1991, the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project
reports,1 and the underlying mechanism has yet to be unani- (OCSP) proposed 4 easily defined subgroups of cerebral
mously defined.1– 4 infarction.8 These definitions are based solely on presenting
Diagnostic criteria and the time from onset of symptoms to symptoms and signs and have been estimated as easy to
the first evaluation are the major factors of the variation of the apply, having good interobserver reliability, ability to predict
frequency of worsening.1–3,5 Although most studies have the prognosis, and good correspondence to the underlying
enrolled all patients with various degrees of severity into a pattern of vascular origin and cranial CT.9 –11 We have
nonstratified group and analyzed them with respect to dete- recently reported the frequency, possible predictive factors,
rioration or progression,6 different subgroups in symptoms and prognosis of clinical progression in 4 clinical subgroups
and severity apparently exist at onset in patients with cerebral according to the OCSP in 250 patients with acute ischemic

Received March 6, 2000; final revision received May 23, 2000; accepted May 30, 2000.
From the Department of Neurology, Toda Central General Hospital, Saitama, Japan (H.T., M.F.); Department of Neurology, Neurological Institute,
Tokyo Women’s Medical University, Tokyo, Japan (S.U., K.O., Y.U.); and Department of Neurology, Teikyo University Hospital, Tokyo, Japan (M.K.).
Correspondence to Hideaki Tei, Department of Neurology, Toda Central General Hospital, 1-19-3 Hon-cho, Toda City, Saitama 3350023, Japan.
© 2000 American Heart Association, Inc.
Stroke is available at http://www.strokeaha.org

2049
2050 Stroke September 2000

stroke.7 In the present study, we added 100 patients and TABLE 1. Frequency of Deterioration in 4 Clinical Categories
analyzed those aspects in deteriorating ischemic stroke. based on OCSP Classification
Category No. D
Subjects and Methods
TACI 86 36 41.9%*
We investigated 350 patients with first-ever acute ischemic stroke
within 24 hours of their symptoms, which lasted until entry, and who PACI 63 4 6.3%†
were admitted to the Department of Neurology, Toda Central LACI 141 37 26.2%
General Hospital, from May 1994 to August 1999. There were 206
POCI 60 13 21.7%
men and 144 women, aged 32 to 92 years (average 67 years). These
patients were prospectively studied. All the patients underwent a Total 350 90 25.7%
cranial CT at the time of entry to rule out cerebral hemorrhage. The *P⬍0.01 compared with PACI and POCI, P⬍0.05 compared with LACI;
entry time was defined as the time when the first CT was performed.
†P⬍0.01 compared with other 3 categories.
According to the definition of OCSP,8 patients were classified into
the following 4 clinical subgroups: total anterior circulation infarcts
(TACI), partial anterior circulation infarcts (PACI), lacunar infarcts and 38 (10.9%) were given argatroban,20 a thrombin inhibitor.
(LACI), and posterior circulation infarcts (POCI) by 1 neurologist Continuous data were presented as mean⫾SD. The Student t test was
(H.T.). Patients whose symptoms were hard to classify into any of 4 used in univariate analysis for continuous variables and the␹2 test for
subgroups (uncertain cases9) were excluded (there were 20 such noncontinuous variables. A level of P⬍0.05 was regarded as
patients during the study period). Each patient was examined daily statistically significant.
by the same neurologist during the first 7 days, and the clinical
deterioration was defined as a decrease of ⱖ1 point in the Canadian Results
Neurological Scale (CNS)5,12,13 in patients with TACI, PACI, and
LACI, or a worsening of ⱖ1 point on the Rankin Scale (RS)13 in
The subjects comprised 86 patients (24.6%) with TACI, 63
patients with POCI during the 7 days compared with the scores at (18.0%) with PACI, 141 (40.3%) with LACI, and 60 (17.1%)
entry. We applied the CNS, which has been used most frequently in with POCI (Table 1). Overall, 90 patients (25.7%) deterio-
the assessment of deteriorating stroke to patients with TACI, PACI, rated. The frequency was very high in TACI (41.9%),
and LACI.1–3,5 Many symptoms such as sensory deficit or ataxia are
systematically neglected in most established neurological scales,14
followed by LACI (26.2%) and POCI (21.7%), while the
and these domains affect most prominently cases of posterior frequency was very low in PACI (n⫽4, 6.3%); these differ-
circulation syndrome. We considered that the RS, which is an ences were statistically significant (Table 1). With respect to
assessment scale of disability, is more suitable for evaluating the antithrombotic therapy during the first week, in the D group,
deterioration in patients with POCI. We followed up each patient
until 2 months later or hospital discharge. Patients who had recurrent
46 patients (51.1%) were treated with anticoagulants, 30
cerebral infarction in another vascular territory during observation (33.3%) with antiplatelet agents, and 14 (15.6%) with ar-
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period were excluded. Standard blood and coagulation tests were gatroban; in the ND group, 101 patients (38.8%) were treated
performed in all patients. Patients underwent cardiac and large-artery with anticoagulants, 118 (45.4%) with antiplatelet agents, and
investigations as follows: 12-lead ECG in all patients (100%),
transthoracic echocardiography in 340 patients (97.1%), 24-hour
24 (9.2%) with argatroban. In the D group, 13 patients were
Holter ECG in 108 (30.9%), 3-D MR angiography (phase contrast, treated with 2 categories of antithrombotic agent. There were
extracranial, and intracranial) in 279 (79.7%), conventional angiog- no significant differences in the antithrombotic treatments
raphy in 3 (0.9%), and carotid ultrasonography (B-mode) together during the first week between the D and ND groups of each
with 3-D CT angiography (intracranial) in 31 patients (8.7%).
In each clinical subgroup, deteriorating (D) and nondeteriorating
clinical category.
(ND) patients were compared in terms of the following variables: D versus ND group comparisons were not performed for
background characteristics (age, gender, time from onset, CNS or RS the PACI group because the number of patients in the D
at entry, antithrombotic therapy before onset); vital signs at entry group was too small (4 versus 59).
(systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, body temperature);
risk factors (hypertension [past use of antihypertensive agents or
Table 2 describes background characteristics and risk
blood pressure of ⬎160/90 mm Hg at least twice before onset], factors in each D and ND group of the 4 clinical categories.
diabetes mellitus [use of insulin or oral hypoglycemic agents, fasting The only difference between D and ND groups was the CNS
blood glucose ⱖ140 mg/dL, or random blood glucose ⱖ200 mg/dL], score at entry in LACI, which was more severe in D group.
current cigarette smoking, transient ischemic attack); laboratory data
No other differences were detected between D and ND groups
(C-reactive protein, blood glucose, glycosylated hemoglobin, hemat-
ocrit, fibrinogen, total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipopro- of TACI, LACI, and POCI in the background characteristics
tein; cranial CT at entry (early abnormality15 [early infarction, early or risk factors.
parenchymatous signs], leukoaraiosis score [according to the method Table 3 shows the comparisons of laboratory data, cranial
of van Swieten et al16], atrophy [mean of the bifrontal, bicaudate, and
CT, cardiac, and large-vessel evaluation in the D and ND
biparietal indices17], silent infarctions [patchy, low-density areas that
are sharply demarcated from the surrounding tissue, irrelevant to the groups of each subclassification. Among TACI patients, early
current symptoms]; cardiac evaluation (ⱖ1mm depression of ST abnormalities of the cranial CT and significant stenoses on
segment on ECG, potential cardiac sources of embolism18); large- corresponding arteries were more frequent in the D group
artery disease (ⱖ50% stenosis or occlusion of the corresponding
than in the ND group. In the LACI patients, a difference was
artery); and prognosis (acute-phase mortality [within 1 month], RS at
discharge or 2 months from the onset (patients who died were observed only in hematocrit, which was lower in the D group
excluded). than in the ND group. In POCI patients, cerebral atrophy was
The following antithrombotic agents were administered during the more severe and significant stenoses in vertebrobasilar arter-
first 7 days from entry: 147 patients (42.0%) were given anticoagu-
ies were more frequent in the D group than in the ND group.
lants (low-molecular-weight heparin, warfarin, or unfractionated
heparin), 148 (42.3%) were given antiplatelet agents (aspirin, ticlo- Other variables were not different among the D and ND
pidine, or sodium ozagrel, a thromboxane A2 synthetase inhibitor19), groups of patients with TACI, LACI, and POCI.
Tei et al Deteriorating Ischemic Stroke in 4 OCSP Categories 2051

TABLE 2. Background Characteristics and Risk Factors in D and ND Groups, by OCSP Category
TACI LACI POCI

D ND PACI D ND D ND
(n⫽36) (n⫽50) (n⫽63) (n⫽37) (n⫽104) (n⫽13) (n⫽47)
Age 72.7 (13.4) 71.3 (9.8) 68.0 (10.5) 64.8 (10.3) 64.7 (11.6) 64.9 (9.5) 64.0 (13.0)
Gender, m⬊f 21⬊15 22⬊28 37⬊26 17⬊20 65⬊39 10⬊3 34⬊13
Time from onset, h 6.4 (6.8) 3.9 (3.9) 9.3 (8.5) 12.8 (8.2) 11.9 (8.8) 9.8 (7.8) 9.6 (8.2)
CNS or RS at entry 5.5 (5.3) 4.8 (1.5) 8.5 (1.4) 9.0 (1.0) 9.4 (1.0)* 3.5 (0.6) 3.0 (1.0)
Preantithrombotic therapy, % 11.1 18.0 19.0 5.4 8.7 15.4 12.8
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg 167.7 (39.3) 158.4 (27.4) 153.6 (25.5) 165.1 (19.6) 167.1 (27.7) 177.8 (20.0) 164.3 (36.3)
Diastolic blood pressure, mm Hg 91.1 (17.8) 88.5 (17.4) 83.0 (16.3) 92.5 (15.5) 93.6 (16.5) 95.2 (12.6) 89.7 (21.5)
Body temperature, °C 36.0 (0.9) 36.3 (0.7) 36.4 (0.7) 36.2 (0.6) 36.3 (0.5) 36.3 (0.6) 36.3 (0.6)
Hypertension, % 61.1 48.0 42.9 56.8 66.3 61.5 63.8
Diabetes mellitus, % 19.4 10.0 17.5 21.6 19.2 38.5 14.9
Current smoker, % 33.3 32.0 41.3 43.2 51.9 46.2 51.1
Transient ischemic attack, % 31.6 30.0 30.1 13.5 14.4 30.8 10.6
Values in parentheses are SD.
*P⬍0.05.

Table 4 shows the prognosis in D and ND groups of the 4 The main factor for this difference appears to be the time
clinical categories. The mortality of the D group of patients from the onset of symptoms to the first evaluation. Worsening
with TACI and POCI exceeded 35%, and the functional of the neurological deficits are probably more frequently
outcome was worse in the D group than in the ND group of detected when the patients are assessed earlier.2 Recent
patients with TACI, LACI, and POCI. studies that used 24 hours from onset as the inclusion
criterion reported that the worsening rate was from 27.0% to
Discussion 33.6%,6,21–24 values that are comparable with our results.
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The frequency of deterioration in acute ischemic stroke Another factor might be the diagnostic criteria of deteriora-
differs among several reports, ranging from 12% up to 42%.1 tion. Although most studies have applied established neuro-

TABLE 3. Comparisons of Laboratory Data, Cranial CT, Cardiac, and Large-Vessel Evaluation in D and ND Groups, by OCSP Category
TACI LACI POCI

D ND PACI D ND D ND
(n⫽36) (n⫽50) (n⫽63) (n⫽37) (n⫽104) (n⫽13) (n⫽47)
C-reactive protein, mg/dL 1.3 (2.1) 0.7 (1.3) 0.8 (2.4) 0.6 (1.9) 0.5 (1.7) 1.8 (3.8) 0.9 (2.5)
Blood glucose, mg/dL 163.9 (79.0) 136.0 (38.0) 137.9 (66.6) 146.3 (70.0) 136.8 (69.8) 181.4 (79.5) 134.5 (43.4)
HbA1c, % 5.9 (1.5) 5.5 (1.0) 6.2 (2.0) 6.4 (2.4) 6.7 (5.5) 6.0 (1.6) 5.5 (1.3)
Hematocrit, % 39.9 (4.7) 40.3 (4.5) 41.5 (4.7) 40.0 (4.3) 41.8 (4.0)* 41.0 (7.0) 41.8 (4.6)
Fibrinogen, mg/dL 388.6 (124.9) 346.1 (99.4) 331.6 (85.5) 325.9 (93.1) 307.3 (76.8) 364.5 (108.7) 333.9 (76.6)
Total cholesterol, mg/dL 180.4 (45.0) 189.3 (40.4) 190.1 (36.0) 216.0 (40.9) 200.8 (40.0) 200.7 (52.3) 200.8 (39.9)
Triglyceride, mg/dL 109.9 (60.1) 97.4 (50.4) 118.0 (62.9) 122.6 (66.4) 126.2 (75.1) 135.9 (45.5) 121.0 (47.7)
HDL, mg/dL 52.6 (16.5) 51.3 (13.0) 48.5 (15.1) 52.6 (15.2) 50.6 (13.9) 53.7 (17.7) 49.1 (16.7)
ST depression on ECG, % 30.6 30.0 11.1 13.5 11.5 7.7 21.3
Cardioembolic source, % 50.0 66.0 42.9 2.7 5.8 15.4 23.4
Cranial CT, %
Early abnormality 86.1† 18.4 57.1 37.8 44.2 30.8 34.0
Leukoaraiosis 1.2 (1.1) 1.3 (1.1) 0.9 (1.1) 1.5 (1.3) 1.1 (1.1) 0.8 (1.0) 1.0 (1.2)
Atrophy 0.34 (0.03) 0.33 (0.03) 0.33 (0.03) 0.33 (0.04) 0.33 (0.03) 0.36 (0.02)* 0.33 (0.03)
Silent infarction 27.8 26.0 17.5 32.4 34.6 23.1 27.7
Significant stenosis on (n⫽19) (n⫽43) (n⫽62) (n⫽36) (n⫽101) (n⫽7) (n⫽45)
corresponding artery, % 68.4* 34.9 51.6 41.7 38.6 71.4* 31.1
Values in parentheses are SD. HbA1c indicates glycosylated hemoglobin; HDL, high-density lipoprotein.
*P⬍0.05; †P⬍0.01.
2052 Stroke September 2000

TABLE 4. Prognosis for D and ND Groups, by OCSP Category


TACI LACI POCI

D ND PACI D ND D ND
(n⫽36) (n⫽50) (n⫽63) (n⫽37) (n⫽104) (n⫽13) (n⫽47)
Acute phase mortality, % 47.2* 0.0 1.6 2.7 0.0 38.5* 0.0
Rankin Scale score at 2 months 4.7 (1.0)* 3.9 (1.2) 1.9 (0.9) 2.7 (1.1)† 1.8 (0.9) 2.8 (1.0)* 1.7 (1.0)
Values in parentheses are SD.
*P⬍0.01; †P⬍0.05.

logical scales such as the CNS, the National Institutes of ⱕ7, whereas those with dense severity would be scored ⬎7.
Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), or the Scandinavian Neurolog- The intermediate frequency of worsening of LACI between
ical Scale,5 some studies did not use these scales.1,14 We TACI and PACI in our study is consistent with the suggestion
applied the CNS and RS because of the reasons detailed in the of DeGraba et al.6
Subjects and Methods section. With respect to the comparison of the D and ND groups in
Except for a few studies, any patients with various degrees each category, early abnormalities of the cranial CT were
of severity have been enrolled into a nonstratified group and more frequent in the D group than in the ND group of patients
analyzed in the studies of deteriorating or progressing stroke.6 with TACI. It has been reported that early abnormalities on
We sought to analyze the deteriorating ischemic stroke by CT, such as hypodensity, hyperdense middle cerebral artery
subdividing patients into 4 groups according to the criteria of sign, or mass effect are important predictors of deteriora-
the OCSP. Yamamoto et al14 analyzed the clinical worsening tion.1,3–5,29 –31 Given that it was the case only in TACI group,
in cerebral infarction resulting from different causes (ie, it could be speculated that edema (cytotoxic and vasogenic) is
cardioembolic, large-artery atherosclerosis, small-artery dis- the important mechanism of clinical deterioration in TACI.5
ease, or other causes), whereas the precise diagnosis of these Another difference between the D and ND groups in TACI
subtypes is very difficult in the early phase.11,18 Therefore, we patients was that the significant stenosis of the large artery
analyzed deteriorating ischemic stroke by the symptomatic was more frequent in the former group. Thrombus propaga-
subgroups of the OCSP criteria. tion or insufficient collateral blood supply might be another
The frequency of deterioration was very high in TACI, important mechanism in the worsening of TACI.4,5 However,
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followed by LACI, and then POCI, whereas it was very low because not all the patients in our study could undergo
in PACI. We previously reported11 that the mechanism of large-artery evaluation, this speculation must be reevaluated
infarction in PACI was either cardioembolic or large-artery in future studies.
atherosclerosis in equal numbers, whereas in TACI ⬎60% of Except for the difference in the CNS score at entry,
cases were caused by cardioembolism and only 20% caused hematocrit was significantly lower in the D than the ND
by large-artery atherosclerosis. It has been suggested that the group of LACI patients. This was an unexpected result. There
thrombus from the heart is generally larger than that from the has been no such report previously in the study of deterio-
large vessel.25,26 The low frequency of deterioration in PACI rating stroke. Because mean hematocrit was 40.0⫾4.3 in the
could be explained by relatively small emboli from the heart D group and 41.8⫾4.0 in the ND group, which were both
or from the large artery. Favorable short-term prognosis in within normal range, it is hard to find the significance of this
PACI patients was described by the first report of the OCSP,8 difference in LACI patients. There were no other variables
and Pinto at al27 also reported a low frequency of worsening that significantly differed between the D and ND groups of
in PACI (4%). However, Dahl et al28 reported that, among the patients with LACI. The mechanism of worsening in LACI
4 OCSP groups, the progression was most frequent in the patients is unclear. Nakamura et al24 recently analyzed
PACI group. Further studies are warranted. It has been progressive motor deficits in 92 patients with lacunar infarc-
suggested that the early progression and final outcome were tion within 24 hours of onset in the internal capsule or the
dependent on the initial stroke severity.6,13,29 DeGraba et al6 corona radiata. They found that the frequency of progression
recently reported that only14.8% of patients with the NIHSS was 27%, similar to our finding, and that the blood glucose
score of ⱕ7 experienced progression, whereas 65.9% of was higher, the motor deficits at entry were more severe, and
patients with an NIHSS score of ⬎7 experienced progression. the lesion volume on CT was larger in the progressing group
According to the NIHSS, the majority of patients with TACI than in stable group; some of these results are consistent but
would be scored ⬎7 and the majority of those with PACI others are inconsistent with our results. Because the fre-
would be scored ⱕ7. The high frequency of worsening in quency of significant stenosis of large artery did not differ
TACI and the low frequency of worsening in PACI in our between the D and ND groups, the macrovascular mechanism
results were consistent with those reported by DeGraba et al.6 in deterioration in LACI is unlikely, although a microvascular
The fact that the CNS at entry was significantly lower in mechanism4 or branch atheromatous disease32,33 may play an
the D than in the ND group of patients with LACI again important role in the LACI patients.
implies the importance of initial stroke severity as a determi- In the patients with POCI, cerebral atrophy was more
nant of the worsening in acute ischemic stroke. According to severe and significant stenosis in vertebrobasilar arteries was
the NIHSS, LACI patients with mild severity would be scored more frequent in the D than in the ND group. These results
Tei et al Deteriorating Ischemic Stroke in 4 OCSP Categories 2053

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