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Ecommerce Report
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Introduction
Welcome to the
increased the value of the dollar which, in turn, has put
Global Ecommerce
pressure on central banks around the world to raise rates.
Report for 2022
Complicating matters, this is all happening at a time when,
in one reading of what’s happening in the retail sector, a
phase of rapid evolution driven by digital technologies
is slowing down. It may be that, in the months ahead, we
The Global Ecommerce Report is one of RetailX’s largest see more emphasis on making multichannel retail work
reports of the year. Its aim is to offer a picture of how rather than being fixated on, for example, new channels.
multichannel retail and ecommerce is developing around This is an idea we explore in our overview feature.
the world. It both takes an overview as well as looking at
different regions and countries. In doing so, we contrast Speaking of new channels, elsewhere in the report, we try
and compare the retail cultures of different territories to cut through the hype surrounding the metaverse.
and consider how they intersect with each other. We also take an in-depth look at logistics issues, we
consider where the next generation of tech companies may
2022 was a year when assessments of the overall economic emerge, and we focus on the sustainability agenda and the
outlook changed radically. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine lingering afterlife of the pandemic.
in February was a huge component in this, in that it had
a kind of negative multiplier effect. Economies and Thanks to RetailX’s researchers, designers and editors for
businesses that had already been hit by Covid-19 their efforts. We hope this report offers a combination of
and subsequent supply chain/logistics issues now data-driven insights, fresh ideas and new perspectives.
also had to contend with a spike in energy prices. As Please do get in touch to share your thoughts.
inflation began to bite, central banks raised interest rates.
US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has stated that Ian Jindal
its rates may hit 4.4% by the end of 2023. This rise has CEO, RetailX
Contents
Market context: global ecommerce, 2022 4 Japan 59 South America overview 109
Market overview: International indices 7 South Korea 62 Argentina 111
Global graphics: how different regions compare 9 Vietnam 66 Brazil 113
Happiness Index 12 Chile 116
Partner perspective: ACI Worldwide 14 Europe overview 68 Colombia 118
Partner perspective: Akeneo 16 France 70 Peru 120
Partner perspective: Asendia 18 Germany 72
Partner perspective: Rakuten 20 Italy 74 Global issues introduction 122
Norway 76 Sustainability 123
Introduction to the regions 22 Russia 78 Covid-19 129
Africa overview 23 The United Kingdom 80 Inflation 131
Algeria 25 Logistics 134
Egypt 27 Middle East overview 82 Ecommerce 3.0 142
Ghana 30 Iran 84 The metaverse & VR gaming 145
Kenya 32 Israel 86 Issues to track 152
Morocco 34 Qatar 88
Nigeria 36 Saudi Arabia 90 Index / directory 154
South Africa 40 Turkey 94 Conclusion 159
Tanzania 43 The United Arab Emirates 96
This news arrived around the same time as, in the wake
of Elon Musk buying Twitter for $44bn, the social media
company shed as many as two-thirds of its workers[2]. Over
at Meta, while announcing the loss of more than 10,000
jobs[3], Mark Zuckerberg has said the company over-
©Meta
invested at the start of Covid-19 because he and his
executives expected that online activity, and ecommerce Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg at OC6, demonstrating the VR technologies that he believes are the future of his business
in particular, would continue to grow at an accelerated rate
associated with the pandemic. What are we to make of this slew of news stories? In the As for Twitter, squint and you could say that, in cutting
case of Amazon and Meta, one way to interpret them is costs, it too has prioritised in returning to its founding
“Unfortunately, this did not play out the way I simply to see them as examples of high-profile companies principles – Musk’s vision of a “global town square” where
expected,” he noted. “Not only has online commerce going back to basics at a time when the global economy is Donald J Trump is among those making his opinion known
returned to prior trends but the macroeconomic in a volatile state due to inflation, supply chain issues and seems in keeping with a microblogging site where debate
downturn, increased competition and ads signal loss have the war in Ukraine. has always been robust. In this reading, what some see as
caused our revenue to be much lower than I’d expected. the toxicity of Twitter is built-in.
I got this wrong and I take responsibility for that.”
In other words, move along, nothing much to see here, he can ever turn a profit on Twitter, if that’s even what he’s
just a set of unconnected decisions each taken for trying to do.
understandable commercial reasons.
Yet these are now all business stories that not only played
BUSINESS SUPERSTARS out in relatively more benign economic times, but that
But what if these stories are indicative of wider change also seem to belong to a different era when digital
within the technology sector, change that will inevitably technologies were still novel and tech companies
affect a retail sector that would grind to a halt without chased rapid expansion.
digital technologies? Such an alternative view begins
©AnamaXR
with the idea that each of these companies is a tech By way of contrast, in the 2020s, digital technologies are
behemoth headed by an entrepreneur whose fame woven into our everyday lives in a way that few predicted
AnamXR sees the emerging metaverse as an opportunity to sell virtual fashion items
far exceeds those of mere CEOs. Jeff Bezos, Musk and even 20 years ago. This is why big digital companies are
Zuckerberg are figures whose public utterances make now so often likened to utilities. It’s not just that we shop
news around the world. While this reflects their individual online or watch movies. In both developed and emerging whether certain companies actually need larger-than-life
successes, they also have other things in common. nations, we organise our lives online, consult with doctors, leaders into focus. Sometimes, might it not be better to
participate in meetings from home, interact with the tax appoint someone interested in securing a company’s long-
Each of these three, as with Bill Gates at Microsoft and authorities and even check the time of the next bus. term future through steady growth rather than reimagining
Steve Jobs at Apple before them, made their way at a an existing sector before cashing out with an IPO? Or, to
time when the tech sector was in an expansionary phase Yet as the adverse publicity around Musk’s takeover of put that another way, moving fast and breaking a utility
that began in the late 1980s, and was, with the benefit of Twitter shows, there can be tension when a service may not be the wisest business strategy.
hindsight, only mildly interrupted by the dotcom bust at people think of as a utility becomes associated with
the turn of the millennium. a single person. Entrepreneurship is so often about UNEVEN DISTRIBUTIONS
disruption whereas utilities are about reliability. We don’t Which seems an apposite moment to return to those
Amazon had first-mover advantage when it launched want to worry that a service may not be available to use redundancies at Amazon and Meta. If we read these as
out of a Bellevue, Washington garage in 1994. In 2004, tomorrow because it’s been bought out by the world’s evidence of large tech companies maturing, what does
Facebook filled a social media need nobody knew existed. richest man. that say about the future into which the digitally
Musk has displayed a risk-taking genius for taking the driven retail sector is heading? Even investor TCI Fund
money, as when eBay bought PayPal in 2002, and then None of this is to say that big companies should no longer Management has recently called on Google parent
starting again. That said, it’s currently difficult to see how have charismatic leaders, but it does put the question of company Alphabet to make job cuts and reduce its
spending on long-term projects that might not pay off selling virtual fashion[5]. But is even this scenario really so Or look at retail through the prism of the European Union’s
down the line[4]. alien to retailers? She is, after all, talking about trying to sell General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), legislation
people stuff they will, if the right items are presented in the mirrored elsewhere in the world that’s already proved
One thing it should do is make everyone cautious about right way at the right price, want to buy. hugely challenging to personal data-driven business
the idea of retailers using constant technological change models. Inexorably, GDPR had made consumers more
to endlessly revolutionise the sector. To cite, not for the ANOTHER VIEW aware of the value of the data they share. Again, this isn’t
first time in these reports, William Gibson’s maxim that the That’s not to say that without the metaverse succeeding, technologically driven change, it’s the authorities stepping
future is all around us, it’s just unevenly distributed, we everything will stay the same and retail will become an in to protect citizens using those services that have
can broadly see how retail will probably evolve. established industry moving slowly and sedately into become essential to conducting day-to-day life.
the future. The key point here is more that, since we
More channels, more logistical complications, more work in an industry driven by technology, we have got It’s as if the recent redundancies, economically turbulent
multichannel purchases, more reliance on data, more used to looking at things through the lens of rapid as they are, represent a far more profound shift in the way
subscription models, more mobile, more digital products, technological change, often driven by developments in the world does business. An era of change driven by
more livestreaming. Yet, at the same time, consumers Silicon Valley. But maybe this way of seeing the world has digital tech and philosophically underpinned by ideas
growing more aware of their personal data’s value as become a stale orthodoxy. (This kind of thinking may also, and attitudes associated with Silicon Valley is perhaps
the internet becomes a pervasive, web 3.0 iteration. incidentally, partly explain why Zuckerberg latched onto ending. Without in any way suggesting that consumers will
the idea of us all spending more time online during the cease to look for value and great customer service, or that
Seen in this context, whether it succeeds or not, the pandemic and assumed this situation would endure.) business conditions will somehow become easier, it may
metaverse will be just one more channel. While there are also be that an era of moving more slowly and mending
still many more fortunes to be made in ecommerce, they Take just one of the big issues within retail – sustainability. things lies ahead.
are unlikely to be made by dominating the metaverse but Leaving aside it being caused by industrialisation, from
by working within it to figure out the sweet spots where a retail perspective, this has little to do with technology,
consumers will be rewarded enough to shop there. except in so far as consumers are looking for goods that
have a lower environmental impact. Citizens (consumers
Granted, going shopping in virtual reality may seem seems the wrong word in this context) have a growing [1] www.nytimes.com/2022/11/14/technology/amazon-layoffs.html
strange at first. Irene-Marie Seelig, co-founder and CEO of awareness of how their environment is changing and [2] www.sfchronicle.com/tech/article/Twitter-fires-even-more-sales-staff-as-cuts-17601922.php
[3] www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/nov/09/mark-zuckerberg-meta-to-sack-11000-workers-after-revenue-
“multiverse platform” AnamXR, says that some consumers this is altering their behaviour. Arguably, this will have a collapse-facebook-instagram
[4] www.reuters.com/technology/hedge-fund-tci-says-alphabet-cost-base-too-high-2022-11-15/
now “value their digital persona more than the physical far more profound effect on global retail in the years ahead [5] www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/growth-marketing-and-sales/our-insights/fashion-forward-in-the-metaverse
persona” and sees the metaverse as an opportunity for than any new channel or clever widget.
International indices
EASE OF DOING DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT INCLUSIVE (0-UNHAPPY, CAGR
BUSINESS INDEX INDEX (21PD) AVAILABILITY AFFORDABILITY RELEVANCE READINESS INDEX 10-HAPPY) (2018-2022 %)
AFRICA MIDD
The level of development of different economies is shown ALGERIA 157 120 81 68 86 70 65 71 5.12 20.7 IRAN
in several international indices, which we track as part of EGYPT 114 111 91 49 67 66 47 57 4.29 39.5 ISRA
GHANA 118 101 53 75 57 74 65 73 4.87 31.9 QATA
RetailX research. The indices we currently track are:
KENYA 56 116 75 67 72 18 49 58 4.54 52.3 SAUD
• Ease of Doing Business: “The Doing Business project MOROCCO 53 106 77 48 69 5 77 51 5.06 20.8 TURK
provides objective measures of business regulations and NIGERIA 131 141 68 81 41 57 30 64 4.55 33.1 THE
their enforcement across 190 economies and selected SOUTH AFRICA 84 78 73 44 43 59 21 49 5.19 15.6 NOR
cities at the subnational and regional level.”[1] In September TANZANIA 141 152 99 93 68 82 58 87 3.70 29.6 CANA
2021, the World Bank discontinued updating this research ASIA USA
AUSTRALIA 14 5 17 15 8 35 33 13 7.16 22.1 MEX
following “data irregularities” being “reported internally”.
CHINA 31 45 25 24 30 13 41 22 5.59 7.6 SOU
A new Business Enabling Environment (BEE) index will INDIA 63 100 50 63 13 29 35 50 3.78 28.7 ARGE
follow at some point, but for now we continue to publish INDONESIA 73 88 67 45 74 23 13 46 5.24 43.8 BRAZ
the final Ease of Doing Business Index results. JAPAN 29 14 4 17 18 43 30 20 6.04 19.8 CHIL
SOUTH KOREA 5 2 27 2 37 11 9 2 5.94 14.2 COLO
• E-Government Development Index: “Along with PERU
VIETNAM 70 86 47 43 61 14 51 46 5.49 31.0
an assessment of the website development patterns
EUROPE KEY
in a country, the E-Government Development index FRANCE 32 19 5 9 10 7 29 4 6.69 17.3
incorporates the access characteristics, such as the GERMANY 22 25 2 11 19 44 19 14 7.03 18.4
infrastructure and educational levels, to reflect how a ITALY 58 37 11 32 6 24 28 20 6.47 27.4
country is using information technologies to promote NORWAY 9 13 51 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 7.37 14.2
access and inclusion of its people.”[2] RUSSIA 28 36 20 34 4 25 52 30 5.46 20.0
THE UNITED KINGDOM 8 7 8 16 1 28 8 5 6.94 11.6
• 2IPD: “The Integrated Index for Postal Development KEY: Top quartile Second quartile Third quartile Fourth quartile RetailX 2022
(2IPD) provides the most comprehensive view on
current global postal development. Relying on a unique
combination of postal big data and statistics made
9 nations
10 across these7 indices
29 reflects strong
4 regional
6.69 17.3
11 variations.
19 Advanced
44 economies
19 in Asia,
14 Europe7.03and 18.4
32 North America
6 generally
24 perform
28 more 20
strongly6.47
in the 27.4 This year, for the first time, we have published both CAGR But the reports authors also note: “Many countries ought
N/A indices we
N/A track. In N/A N/A
contrast, developing African7.37
nations 14.2 data and information from the World Happiness Report. to revisit their postal business model and quickly adapt it
34 4
perform relatively25more poorly.
52 30
In the Middle 5.46
East and 20.0 We have ceased to track the Logistics Performance Index to the needs of the next generation of postal customers.” [6]
16 1 28 8 5 6.94 11.6
South America, the picture is more mixed. However, there because it has not been updated since 2018. Key findings in [1] www.doingbusiness.org/en/doingbusiness
RetailX 2022
are nuances here. In terms of CAGR, many African nations the latest 2IPD report include the observation that, overall, [3] https://publicadministration.un.org/egovkb/en-us/About/Overview/-E-Government-Development-Index
[3] www.upu.int/en/Universal-Postal-Union/Activities/Research-Publications/Integrated-Index-for-Postal-
outperform other countries, albeit from a lower base, as “Quality of service has substantially improved since postal Development
[4] https://theinclusiveinternet.eiu.com
their economies develop. services were hit by the waves of the Covid-19 pandemic.” [5] https://worldhappiness.report/ed/2022/
[6] www.upu.int/UPU/media/upu/publications/2IPD2022.pdf
how different
Baby Boomers 7.3bn 7.3bn 7.4bn 7.5bn 7.6bn
Gen X 0.4bn 0.4bn 0.3bn 0.3bn 0.3b
0.3bn
1.3bn 1.3bn 1.2bn 1.2bn 1.2bn
Millennials
Gen Z 1.4bn 1.4bn 1.4bn 1.4bn
5bn 1.4bn
regions compare
Gen Alpha 1.7bn 1.7bn
1.7bn 1.7bn 1.7bn
How will the different regions of the Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
diversity, recognize our common humanity, and marvel at GDP per capita (USD)
advancements in health that have extended lifespans and 40k
Global
dramatically reduced maternal and child mortality rates.” Africa
Asia 30k
Europe
However, these figures also reveal huge challenges. How Middle East 20k
will we feed so many people? Can emerging nations North America
South America 10k
enjoy the same living standards as those enjoyed in
Japan, the USA and the wealthiest parts of Europe? In 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
the years ahead, there will be a tension between growth
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
and sustainability. How will the world’s nations manage Percentage of internet users
this? Evidence that such questions will prove difficult came Global 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
at COP27 with the wrangling over the establishment of Africa
100%
58% 61% 64% 0% 0%
Asia
a Loss and Damage Fund to aid countries hit by climate Europe
disasters,[2] such as the flooding that afflicted Pakistan Middle East
North America 50%
recently following torrential monsoon rains.[3] South America
World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
(thousand USD)
2022 0%
34.17 35.24
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
This stark contrast between two continents reveals say that while richer nations may offer better returns in the
20.76 huge inequalities, but that’s not to say it will always be short term, emerging nations may offer better longer-term
thus. As the success of Asian nations such as Japan and prospects and ultimately a better return on investment.
11.67
8.52 South Korea reminds us, the economies of different
nations can be radically transformed over what are, As to how to determine which nations offer the best
2.42
in historical terms, short timescales. Witness what’s opportunities for such growth, it is perhaps tangentially
Africa Asia Europe Middle North South happened in China and India in recent years. Turning revealing to contrast the Qatar World Cup, which from the
East America America
specifically to global retail, one factor that businesses are off gave the impression of being an event parachuted in for
RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022 likely to need to take into account is potential, which is to the sake of international prestige, with the Indian Premier
Annual population growth per region Ecommerce revenue Index per region League (IPL). The IPL has been built on a scalable mix
2022 2022
of heavy investment, possible because India is now rich
2.0%
300 enough to pay the world’s best players, and organic growth
255 253 251
271
that relies on Indians’ huge enthusiasm for cricket. The IPL
1.5% looks a better long-term bet than football in Qatar.
197
0.9%
Then again, global figures appear to suggest potential
0.9%
0.8% may be evenly spread. It’s striking that the percentage
of internet users who shop online stands at around
50% on every continent except Africa. Offer people the
0.0%
Africa Asia Europe Middle North South
opportunity to shop digitally and they take it. Moreover,
Africa Asia Europe Middle North South
East America America East America America the ecommerce revenue index per region is highest in
Index 2018=100 Africa, suggesting the percentage of online shoppers on the
RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022 Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
continent will catch up with the rest of the world.
Total population per region (millions) Percentage of internet users who Finally, it is fascinating to look at the relative populations
2022 of the regions we track (a figure lower than 9bn because
shop online
4234 2022 we don’t track every nation). Asia has by far and away the
59%
56% 56% largest population, thanks in great part to the numbers
47% who live in China and India. In these two countries, so
43%
many global tensions are dramatised: between growth
and the environment, authoritarianism and democracy,
27%
globalisation and protectionism, tradition and modernity.
1271
All of which at the very least makes these countries a
758
352
520 437 worthwhile study for anyone looking at how global retail –
and indeed the wider global economy – may develop.
Africa Asia Europe Middle North South Africa Asia Europe Middle North South
East America America East America America [1] www.un.org/en/desa/world-population-reach-8-billion-15-november-2022
[2] https://unfccc.int/news/cop27-reaches-breakthrough-agreement-on-new-loss-and-damage-fund-for-vulnerable-
countries
RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022 RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022 [3] www.unicef.org/emergencies/devastating-floods-pakistan-2022
Survey respondents evaluate the quality of their current lives on a scale of 0 (unhappy) to 10 (happy). Source: The World Happiness Report RetailX 2022
Since the payments landscape and customer preferences What are the opportunities that these businesses
Expert insight
are constantly changing, merchants must always be ready should be making the most of and how can both
leading and growing retailers best tackle these?
Payments and
for the unexpected.
Business should look at the growth in demand for new
What challenges do you see for ecommerce and payment methods and be ready ahead of the competition
and brains, it’s crucial that your organisation makes the Not only does this accelerate time-to-market and optimise
Expert insight
process of choosing your brand as easy as possible by product information for existing channels, it also makes it
tapping into the omnichannel nature of retail and showing easier to incorporate new channels.
up on the channels that shoppers are already using.
When a customer knows that they’re going to get the same
Product information But while taking full advantage of this truly global market
can reap massive rewards, it involves time-consuming
experience regardless of where they encounter a brand or
its products, that can serve as a foundation for loyalty. In
How do you think ecommerce and multichannel How can leading and growing brands take advantage
Expert insight
retailers will approach the challenges ahead? of ecommerce and omnichannel opportunities?
Omnichannel continues to evolve at a staggering pace –
Keeping up
Becoming an omnichannel retailer and keeping pace with
the latest ideas and technology is both a challenge and a just look at the increasing numbers of players selling on,
major opportunity. Each player needs to think about how or even transforming into, marketplaces. If they are to
with expectations to strike the right balance between D2C, marketplaces and
traditional retail – it won’t be the same for every brand.
make the right decisions, digital and ecommerce directors
need to be very aware of how the landscape is evolving
and what it means for their businesses.
Renaud Marlière, Asendia’s chief business Then comes the challenge of selecting the right third-
development director, discusses the party ecommerce and logistics enabler. Are you a purely Social commerce is already established on platforms
domestic business or do have a need or ambition to sell like Facebook and Instagram but ByteDance’s platforms,
need to move with an ever-changing TikTok and Douyin, are also making strong headway.
cross-border? Do you need support with developing or
digital ecosystem improving webstores, localised checkouts, merchant of
records services or logistics and delivery? Thinking a little further ahead, the metaverse is also going
How are brands and retailers adapting to meet the to have massive implications, although it is still to early
expectations of consumers? What’s needed is a clear idea of what your brand is and to understand exactly what these implications will be, or
Whether today’s consumers are engaging with your brand where it is going. An ecommerce and logistics enabler like even exactly what the metaverse is going to look like.
via a webstore, a marketplace or a bricks-and-mortar shop, ESW can help you establish the digital infrastructure that
they expect the whole process to feel connected, coherent you need for successful online retail.
and simple. They may want to order a product online,
sample it instore, then have it delivered to their home. If you are planning to handle all this in-house, you must
assess which digital solutions will work together. CMS,
My practical advice for retailers is to dedicate resources PIM, OMS, marketplace aggregators, WMS, TMS, RMS…
Asendia is one of the world’s leaders in international
into integrating inventories and ordering systems across there is certainly a lot to consider. Given the complexity of
commerce and mail. Combining the expertise of
your business. A shop assistant should be able to check this digital ecosystem, agile SaaS solutions, such as those
its founding companies, La Poste and Swiss Post,
stock availability throughout your retail network and place provided by Anchanto, can help to optimise the digital
Asendia brings together a wealth of international
an order at the store of the customer’s choosing. In this side of your operation. This can be a great way to get your
and local know-how.
way, you can never under or over-sell. legacy and future omnichannel operations in order.
www.asendia.com
For brands, the combination of supply chain build-up and commerce. The evolution of media – for example, around
Expert insight
waning demand increases the probability that retailers the increased importance of influencers – creates both
challenges and opportunities for advertisers.
Growing your
will use promotions to offload inventory. In this market,
performance channels, such as affiliate marketing, will
benefit advertisers looking for resilience in their ROI. There is a pent-up demand for performance-based,
market share People are becoming more aware of the value of their
walled-garden alternatives. Retailers and publishers
are investing in selling their own audiences and more
during trying times data. How will this impact the ecommerce sector in the businesses are offering turn-key retail media programs
years ahead? via Retail Media as a Service. Additionally, consumer
With recent changes brought about by a combination of segmentation and targeting capabilities using affiliate
Apple, Google, government privacy regulations and overall publisher data – such as our Audience Engine – enhance
Kim Marks, SVP global strategy,
consumer sentiment shifts, brands are testing new digital the use of first-party data in marketing campaigns and
Rakuten Advertising, looks ahead advertising approaches. Advertisers will increasingly be provide new monetisation opportunities for publishers.
at the market trends that she believes forced to rely on alternative forms of measurement and
will shape ecommerce in 2023 targeting, such as those driven by correlation and context. The greatest paradigm shift we’re working through is how
we can better serve end-consumers and our clients in a
Affiliate is uniquely positioned to support post-cookie volatile economic environment. We will continue to search
The ecommerce sector has been buffeted by Covid-19,
strategies given its performance and partnership focus. for new growth opportunities through that lens .
supply chain problems, inflation and geopolitical issues.
What’s your take on the outlook for the year ahead? Most of Rakuten’s top publishers utilise user logins, and
The complex and unpredictable landscape of the last few we have developed a new technology named Audience
years has caused widespread uncertainty – especially with Engine that lets brands harness the untapped power of our
the geopolitical backdrop of 2022. publishers’ vast first-party data. We’ve seen great results
here with our closed beta partners. We are excited about
At Rakuten Advertising, we anticipate inflation will begin the announcements we have planned for early 2023. Rakuten Advertising helps global retailers to outthink
to settle in the first half of 2023, although it’s unlikely it the challenges presented by changing economic
will drop back to the levels of early 2022. We also do not Where are the biggest opportunities for future growth? climates and create strategic advertising campaigns
anticipate central banks to begin decreasing interest rates The acceleration of existing trends in the advertising that outperform expectations, please visit:
within the first half of the year, and in the US we expect the industry complicates investment decisions for many www.rakutenadvertising.com
dollar and the labour market to remain relatively strong. companies. Lines are blurring between content and
The population in Africa is growing by 2% a year. Gen Z 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
and Gen Alpha both have a huge influence on African
societies and economies. The percentage of those online 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
is growing, albeit from a lower base than elsewhere in Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
the world. We should note here that we have revised
the data we use, meaning the figures for percentage of GDP per capita (USD)
internet users/percentage of internet users who shop Africa 20k
online (see overleaf) show as lower than in previous years. Global
Nevertheless, the trend is clear. More and more African
consumers go online every year, often via mobile, and 10k
As we note in our feature on new tech hubs later in this Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
citizens in Africa’s cities typically have access to digital Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
[1] www.worldbank.org/en/country/southafrica/overview Index 2018=100. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
The North African country of Algeria is the largest nation Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
on the continent. Around 90% of its population lives on Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Algeria
Area: 2,381,741 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Algiers Algeria 20k
Currency: Algerian dinar (DZD) Africa
Global
Official language: Arabic, Berber
languages spoken: Algerian Arabic (Darja), French 10k
Nationality: Algerian
Government: Constitutional semi-presidential republic
VAT: 19% | Reduced VAT: 9% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
against the French that displaced 2mn Algerians and killed Percentage of internet users
hundreds of thousands. Despite such a fractious shared Algeria 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
history, ties to France remain strong, with French still Africa
Global 100%
49% 57% 62%
around 60% of budget revenues, 30% of GDP and 88% of Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Egypt. According to datareportal.com[1], the number of Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
As this report went to press, Egypt was preparing to host Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
COP27. Ahead of the event, the Egyptian government said Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN
Egypt
Area: 1,010,408 km2 GDP per capita ($)
Capital: Cairo Egypt 20k
Currency: Egyptian pound (EGP) Africa
Official language: Arabic Global
Other languages spoken: Egyptian Arabic 10k
(most widely spoken), Sa’idi Arabic
Nationality: Egyptian
Government: Unitary semi-presidential republic
0k
VAT: 14% | Reduced VAT: 5% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
fight climate change[2] – the selection of Egypt as hosts is an Percentage of internet users
indication of the country’s geopolitical importance. Egypt
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
46% 57% 71%
Africa 100%
Egypt boasts the second-largest economy in Africa, after Global
internet users also shop online. The equivalent Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
always been the case in recent times. After the revolution Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
Average spending of the ecommerce eshopper ($) Preferred device for online shopping (%)
Egypt, 2017-22 150 Egypt, 2017-22
Total 135 Mobile Desktop
125 139
Beauty, Health, Personal 112
& Household Care 100 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
79 79 80 100%
Beverages 75
Electronics 57
56 63
61 62
56
Fashion 50 50
47 47 47
45 52
5
49
48
82 52
42
49
9
46
6
42
2
41
40
0 80% 38 40 41 41 42 43
Food 30
27 29
28
8 30
27
25 24
2 4 24 19 24 22
Furniture 10 10 11 11 10
Media 5 4 6
5 8 8 8
0 60%
Toys, Hobby & DIY 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 40%
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) 25% 25%
Egypt, 2018-22
140%
Total 120% 122
116
1
Beauty, Health, Personal
& Household Care 100% 12%
80% 82
80
0
Beverages 74
64
69
9
68
8
Electronics 60% 61
1 56
56
55
Fashion 5
53 4
466 3%
43 41
44 42
42
Food 40% 3
32 8
6
5
34 30
6
34
4
22
2
29
28
269
8
6 30
0 24
24
20
0
Furniture 20% 19
1
18
18
17
7
6
12
2 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64
Media
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0% years years years years years
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
Although Ghana’s economy was negatively affected by Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
the Covid-19 pandemic, which triggered the country’s first Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN
Ghana
Area: 238,535 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Accra Ghana 20k
Currency: Ghanaian cedi (GHS) Africa
Official language: English Global
Other languages spoken: Akan languages, Dangme, Ewe, 10k
Ga, Guan, Kasem, Mole-Dagbani languages
Nationality: Ghanaian
Government: Presidential representative democratic republic
0k
VAT: 12.5% | Reduced VAT: 5% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
It could be argued that another of Ghana’s top exports Percentage of internet users
is people, in the form of emigration. Almost 1mn leave Ghana 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
each year, often to seek more favourable economic Africa
100%
43% 53% 57%
to the USA and the UK, with which Ghana has strong links,
50% World Bank data not yet
as well as the shared English language.
available for 2021 and 2022
risen for 50 years and are currently thought to be between Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
sector that is still highly popular and influential. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
With GDP of more than $100bn in 2021[1], Kenya has Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
reached lower-middle income status. After Nigeria and Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN
Exports such as tea and cut flowers help to offset the 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Kenya
Area: 580,367 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Nairobi Kenya 20k
Currency: Kenyan shilling (KES) Africa
Languages: Swahili, English Global
Nationality: Kenyan 10k
Government:
Representative democracy
VAT: 16% | Reduced VAT: 0% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
balance of payments deficit that results from importing Percentage of internet users
machinery, oil and petroleum products, motor vehicles, Kenya 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
iron and steel, resins and plastics. Other sectors are now Africa
100%
19% 22% 29%
there are huge inequalities in wealth. The humanitarian Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
The digital sector is growing in importance in Kenya and Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
seems set to grow its ecommerce market 9.2m 9.2m 9.2m 9.2m 9.1m
0m
4 1m
4.1m 4 7m
4.7m
7 54
5.4m 60
6.0m 6.7m
Despite its modest-sized population (which at 36.9mn is Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
the 11th-largest on the continent), Morocco currently has Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Sea. At its closest point, Morocco is just 13km from Europe. 1.3%
1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
1.1% 1.0% 1.1%
1.0
1.0%
0
1.0% 1.0%
Boasting 22 ports, Morocco is a major player in the
region’s shipping and logistics. Its biggest city, 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Morocco
Area: 710,850 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Rabat Africa
Currency: Moroccan dirham (MAD) Global 20k
Morocco
Official language: Arabic, Berber
Languages: Moroccan Arabic, Hassaniya Arabic, French 10k
Nationality: Moroccan
Government:
Unitary parliamentary semi-constitutional monarchy 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
VAT: 20% | Reduced VAT: 14%
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
Casablanca, also has the largest port in terms of area, while Percentage of internet users
Tanger Med handles the greatest volume of cargo. Africa 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Global 64% 74% 84%
Morocco 100%
A popular tourist destination, Morocco has also been
conspicuously successful in terms of agriculture,
50%
exporting fruit, vegetables and grains. There has even been World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
speculation (led by a spate of popular YouTube videos) that
Morocco will one day be the richest nation on the planet, 0%
a population where over 135mn of its total 217mn are Global 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0%
Nigeria
Area: 923,769 km2 GDP per capita ($)
Capital: Abuja Africa
Currency: Nigerian naira (NGN) Global 20k
Nigeria
Official language: English, Hausa, Igbo, Yoruba
Languages: Fulani, Pidgin English, Nupe, Tiv 10k
Nationality: Nigerian
Government: Federal presidential constitutional republic
VAT: 7.5% | Reduced VAT: 0% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Generally speaking, the northern states are predominantly Percentage of internet users
Muslim – Nigeria has the largest Muslim population in sub- Africa 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Saharan Africa – while the south is mainly Christian. Global
Nigeria 100%
31% 33% 35%
three million.
Percentage of internet users who shop online
Rich in natural resources, Nigeria is Africa’s biggest oil Africa 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
producer, with other lucrative exports including palm oil Global
Nigeria
19% 26% 31% 36% 41%
and cocoa. Culturally, Nigeria is known for its domestic film 100%
Recent years have seen setbacks to economic progress, Ecommerce revenue Index
including the 2014 drop in international oil prices, the Nigeria 350
314
2016 recession[2], the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic, with Africa
Global 300 280
266
30
300
6%
Average spending of the ecommerce eshopper ($)
Nigeria, 2017-22 120
Total 98 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54
100 94 years years years years
Beauty, Health, Personal
82
& Household Care 80 71 70
69 69 68 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
Beverages 63 60 58 62
Electronics 60 55 51 50 55
47 42 47
Fashion 40 35 39
Food 25
19
28
18
31
20
20
26
26
19
9 24
2
20 The oil industry has also been hard hit by rampant theft
Furniture 20 17
16
6 16
6
and illegal refining operations. The near-collapse of the
2
12 4
14
10 10
9 14
4
12
2 13 12
Media 7 8 3 3 4 4
2 3
0
Toys, Hobby & DIY 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Nigerian railway system means transportation is largely
Source: Statista RetailX 2022
dependent on the road network, which often suffers from
Annual revenue for the ecommerce market ($bn) congestion, poor infrastructure and lack of maintenance.
Nigeria, 2017-22 10
Nigeria has over 800 km of coastline and six major
Total 9 ports, including Lagos/Apapa, Tin Can Island and
8 8
Beauty, Health, Personal Calabar, yet all these have been criticised for their high
& Household Care
Beverages
6 5 cost of doing business and operational paralysis.
Electronics 4
Fashion 4 3
3 3
Food
2 2
1
2 2 2 Corruption in general remains a problem for Nigeria.
Furniture 1 1 1 1
Media
1
0
0 1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0 It ranks 154th in the Corruption Perceptions Index, which
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 also links corruption with black market activity and over-
Source: Statista RetailX 2022
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) that online merchants were often able to step in to assist
Nigeria, 2018-22 100% with the distribution of essential goods and services.
90
Total 85
Beauty, Health, Personal 80% 72
71
& Household Care 64
63 61 Amazon reportedly has plans to launch in Nigeria in April
60% 55
54
4
53 53
Beverages
Electronics
48
8
44
44 46
422 46
46
45
5
43
47
49
47
44
44 2023. For now, the biggest player in Nigerian ecommerce
40% 37 3
399 38 37
Fashion 30
34
27
24
4
25 is Jumia, founded in 2012 and sometimes described
Food 22
Furniture 20% 17
196
12
1
10
6
2
0 as “Africa’s answer to Amazon”. With its own logistics
Media
network and payment app, Jumia operates in 13 other
2
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 African countries and has been listed on the New York
Stock Exchange.[5] Online megastore Konga, meanwhile,
Number of ecommerce users (in millions) promises fast delivery from its warehouse network.
Nigeria, 2017-22 100 90.9
Total
Beauty, Health, Personal 80 78.0 Ominichannel retail company PayPorte serves the
& Household Care
60
64.7 women’s fashion market and first won recognition by
52.4
Beverages
Electronics 38.5 40.1
39.0
.0
0
47.9
46.8
41.
41
41.7
1. sponsoring the Nigerian Big Brother TV show in 2017.
40
Fashion
Food
28.8 25.6
25.0 0
32.6
31.5
25
5.7
22
2
21
21.1
5
5
1
33
33.3
33
27.7
27
77
25
25.55
32
32.6
25
30
30.5
24.
24.3
24
4 Konga and PayPorte both allow a number of smaller,
19.7
19.27 19
80
18.4
18 4 19
9
5..3
3 19
92
19.2
18.1
more local businesses some platform space to showcase
20 15.4
14 4
2 13.6
13
36
13.1
13. 17.1
17
7 1 14
4 8 15
15.3
14.43
Furniture 10.7
10.
10
0.7
0.
0
10.0
0.0.7
7
.0
0 7 1 11.0
11
1..4
8.9
8
8.440
9 11.8
11
1..8
11.1
4.3
4 5
.3
4.03
0 6.2
6
5.8
5 2
.8
8
Media
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 their products. Another competitive online store is Kara,
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 which promises delivery in under 24 hours. Kara is well-
regarded as a destination for phones, computers and
regulation.[4] Nigeria has long had a reputation as a centre doing things. An estimated 90% of retail activity is still other electronics and again includes a marketplace
for cybercrime in general and email investment scams in conducted via community markets and small kiosks. section. Also of note is Jiji, a popular destination for online
particular. The country has also suffered long and violent Nigeria’s huge and growing population is giving rise to an shopping classifieds, which ranks among the most widely
terrorist campaigns, notably those pursued by Boko Haram expanding middle class, yet it’s an emerging market where downloaded mobile apps in Nigeria.
and the Islamic State West Africa (ISWA). almost 50% still live in rural areas and the majority of retail
[1] www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2022/03/21/afw-deep-structural-reforms-guided-by-evidence-are-
choices still revolve around food and essentials. urgently-needed-to-lift-millions-of-nigerians-out-of-poverty
There are signs that consumer spending will have [2] www.reuters.com/article/nigeria-gdp-idUSL5N1GD2MJ
[3] www.ifpri.org/blog/russia-ukraine-crisis-presents-threats-nigerias-food-security-potential-opportunities
[4] https://tradingeconomics.com/nigeria/corruption-index
recovered to pre-pandemic levels by early 2023. However, The Covid-19 pandemic aided the rise of ecommerce in [5] www.csis.org/analysis/real-controversy-about-jumia-why-did-it-list-nyse
much of Nigeria retains a distinctly old-world way of Nigeria. The fragmented retail sector was so badly affected
It is perhaps no surprise then that shoppers are spending Percentage of internet users
less online and are focusing on smaller baskets. The Africa 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
average purchase value of R390 was R60 less than the Global
South Africa 100%
62% 68% 70%
average in 2019, according to First National Bank[3].
This ecommerce shift that began as a reaction to the Percentage of internet users who shop online
pandemic carries on as shoppers are drawn in by the Africa
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
convenience and price point of marketplace offerings. Global
South Africa 31% 34% 37% 41% 45%
100%
Convenience topped the reason for shopping online
more. In a recent Deloitte Digital Commerce Survey, 26% 50%
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) high income 39%
South Africa, 2018-22 70%
Total 60% 65
Beauty, Health, Personal
& Household Care 50% medium income 32%
40% 39
37
Beverages 34
34
Electronics 30% 29
29 27
25
23
24
24
23
3
Fashion 19 22
2
21
1
19
9
Food 20% 16 16 1
17
155 16
8
16
6
10
1 0 11
192
111 low income 29%
Furniture 10% 6
8
7
6
5 7
9
8
7
6 6 9
8
6
Media 4 4
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
63.3mn population and older generations much less. 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Population growth has been consistently at around 3% for
the past four years. While its GDP per capita is minuscule,
the potential of such a young population is huge. 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Tanzania
Area: 947,303 km2
GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Dodoma Africa
Global 20k
Currency: Tanzanian shilling (TZS) Tanzania
Official language: Swahili
Other languages spoken: Sukuma, Nyamwezi, Chaga, 10k
Bena, Gogo, Haya, Dholuo, Makonde, Nyaturu
Nationality: Tanzanian
0k
Government: Unitary dominant-party presidential republic 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
VAT: 18% | Reduced VAT: 0%
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
Currently, however, ecommerce is not widely adopted. The Percentage of internet users
share of internet shoppers who shop online still stands Africa 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
at a mere 15% but that figure has more than doubled from Global
Tanzania 100%
19% 20% 22%
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Development will rely on challenges such as these being Ecommerce revenue Index
overcome, as well as a more focused effort by Tanzania Tanzania 350
282
on adopting a standalone ecommerce policy, although Africa 266 300
300 254
Global
the government is already looking at digitalisation. 250
206
195
UNCTAD has recommended a clearer focus on integrating 200
159 175
150 135
ecommerce into national development planning, as well
130
128
8
100 109
100
as engaging more strongly with the private sector. 50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[1] www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/tanzania-ecommerce
Tanzania - eCommerce (trade.gov)
[2] www.tanzaniainvest.com/economy/trade/e-commerce-can-boost-tanzanias-economy-unctad-say Index 2018=100. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
have been due to a combination of the rise in the value of Population growth
the dollar and the effects of the conflict in the Ukraine, will
likely rise to more than $2,000bn in 2023. 1.1%
1.0%
1 0% 1.0%
Asia 1.0%
Global 1.0%
1.0% 1.0%
These are figures that reflect the huge importance of the 0.9%
ecommerce sector in Asia. China, for example, is home to
many of the world’s largest online retailers, including 0.9% 0.9%
Alibaba. Between them, the company’s three main sites, 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Alibaba Taobao, Tmall and Alibaba.com, have hundreds
of millions of users. In addition, these sites offer channels Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
for other retailers to get to market. Innovations in the GDP per capita (USD)
Chinese ecommerce market such as livestreaming are
Asia 20k
often adopted elsewhere and thus help to shape emerging Global
consumer behaviour around the world.
10k
Over recent decades, China has been the workshop of
the world, a centre for manufacturing. However, that is
beginning to change as it too begins to offshore some of 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
this kind of work to emerging countries such as Vietnam.
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
In itself, this change reveals the growing complexities of Percentage of internet users
the Asian market – which, for the purposes of our analysis, Asia 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
56% 59% 62%
we have also taken to include Australasia – a region with Global 100%
countries at very different stages of development. This
helps explain why GDP per capita in the Asian countries 50%
we track is below the equivalent global figure. World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
market. Out of a global population of around 8bn, Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Asia’s population structure – with Gen X, Millennials and Ecommerce revenue Index
Gen Z present in more or less equal numbers – shows 300
Asia
early evidence of societies that are ageing, albeit at very
255
Global 250 227
different rates when you compare, for example, Vietnam 200 175
and Japan. Internet use and ecommerce are growing
168 159
150 135
across the region, with patterns of usage in the most
123
100 109
100
developed countries similar to Western Europe or the USA.
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[1] www.statista.com/outlook/dmo/ecommerce/asia#revenue Index 2018=100.
[2] https://digitalindia.gov.in/content/about-digital-india Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
The country has a healthy GDP per capita of around Population growth
$60k, well above both global and Asian averages.
Australia 1.3%
Experts suggest it won’t be enough to stave off a predicted Asia
1.2% 1.2%
recession, with the Reserve Bank of Australia recently Global
1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
sounding warning bells around higher inflation. As of 1.0%
0%
% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
1.0% 1.0%
November, this was not leading to higher interest rates 0.9%
0.9% 0.9%
as the bank opted to keep a watching brief, although that
may change in the months ahead. 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Australia
Area: 7,741.220 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Canberra Australia 70k
Currency: Australian dollar (AUD) Asia 60k
Global
Official language: English 50k
Nationality: Australian 40k
Government: Federal parliamentary democracy under 30k
20k
a constitutional monarchy
10k
VAT: 10% | Reduced VAT: 0%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
is rising steadily every year, with Australian consumers Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
According to Statista figures, the biggest spend among Percentage of ecommerce eshoppers
e-shoppers is in beauty, health, personal and household Australia, 2017-22
80%
69 72
care, followed by beverages and then electronics. Total
Beauty, Health, Personal
70% 65 67 75 75
60%
& Household Care 50% 43
Australia has infrastructure barriers to ecommerce. Beverages
Electronics 40% 34
33
37
36
40
39
32
42
35
32
30
These can be explained in part by the country’s size Fashion 30% 27 26
6 29
26
6 29
25 27
22
21
20
0 23 24
4
Food 20% 2
20
190
9 17 18 19
9
16
6
15
5 15
(same-day deliveries are always going to be an issue), Furniture 10%
12
82
9
14
10
0 12
11 13 15
5
14
4
Media
but Australia Post, the government postal service, has Toys, Hobby & DIY 0%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
said it was spending $400mn by mid-2022 on new parcel Source: Statista RetailX 2022
80% 35 37 39 40
national coalition, led by Scott Morrison, was seeking a As in so many other countries, the Australian authorities
41 42
fourth successive term in office but lost out to the Labor see digital innovation as crucial in deriving future
60% Party, led by Anthony Albanese, which won a narrow growth, with a 2021 report, for example, highlighting
majority. One effect of Labor’s election win has been the importance of sectors such as artificial intelligence,
40%
65
to put environmental concerns higher up the political robotics and data science.[4]
63 61
20%
60 59 58
agenda, an overdue development in a country that has [1] www.worldfirst.com/au/grow-your-business/online-sellers/ecommerce-trends-statistics-2022
lagged behind similar economies in addressing, or even [2] www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/nov/15/rba-reserve-bank-australia-signals-it-may-pause-further-
interest-rate-rises
0% fully acknowledging, the issue of climate change. [3] https://auspost.com.au/content/dam/auspost_corp/media/documents/ecommerce-industry-report-2022.pdf
[4] www.dfat.gov.au/sites/default/files/business-envoy-april-2021-digital-trade-edition.pdf
Source: Statista RetailX 2022
While China is often seen as a leading proponent of Age groups (year of birth): Silent Gen (1928-1947), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Gen X (1968-1982), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen Z (1998-2012), Gen Alpha (2013-present)
technological innovation, it should be remembered that Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Country
Area: 9,596,961 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Beijing China 20k
Currency: renminbi (CNY) Asia
Global
Official language: Standard Chinese
Other languages spoken: Mandarin, Min, Wu, Yue 10k
Nationality: Chinese
Government: Unitary Marxist-Leninist one-party
socialist republic
0k
VAT: 13% | Reduced VAT: 9% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
Major companies, such as the electrical appliance retailer Percentage of internet users
GOME, adapted to pandemic conditions by taking more of 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
their business online. Other notable ecommerce players Asia
Global 100%
59% 64% 70%
Average spending of the ecommerce eshopper (thousand $) Preferred device for online shopping (%)
China, 2017-22 1.75 China, 2017-22
Total 1.4 Mobile Desktop
1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3
Beauty, Health, Personal 1.2 1.3
& Household Care 1.25 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1.0 1.0 100%
Beverages 1
Electronics 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7
0.75 0
0.7 7 0.6
Fashion 0.6 05
0.5 0.6
6 0.6 0.5 0.6 80%
0.5 0
0.5
.5
5 0 5
0.4
0 4 045 0.5
.5
Food 0.4 0 4
3 0
0.4
0 4 0.4
0.4
0 4
Furniture 0.3
3
0.2
2 0.3
. 03
0.3 0 3
0.3 03
0.3 0.
0.3
0
02
0.23
0.25 0.2 0.2 0.2
0 2 0.2
0 2 02
0.2 0.
0.2 72 75
Media 60% 77 78 79 80
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 40%
25%
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%)
China, 2018-22 60%
20%
18%
Total 50% 47
Beauty, Health, Personal 40% 37 38
& Household Care 29 33 32
30%
Beverages 23 20
Electronics 20% 15 17
7
5
15 5%
13 11 4
13
13 12
10
Fashion 10% 7
5 7 90 7
6
5
4 4 4
3 4
3
Food 0% -3 -1 0 -1
1
Furniture -10 -8 -7
-10% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64
Media
Toys, Hobby & DIY -20% years years years years years
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
of manpower. Numerous logistics couriers such as the Income status split of ecommerce for foreigners with sufficient flexibility to adapt to local
ubiquitous JD ‘delivery guys’ are a familiar sight in China’s eshoppers business practices. In a country where networks
cities, regularly delivering hundreds of parcels a day, with China, 2021 are everything, it is crucial to employ facilitators,
some orders being fulfilled within one hour. JD boasts the especially in terms of language and understanding
world’s largest fleet of delivery drones and is currently high income 32% etiquette. While apps like WeChat can be used to establish
testing other autonomous delivery methods. connections, face-to-face meetings are still important,
along with traditional accessories such as business cards.[5]
Overall, 2022 has seen China retain its place as the world’s medium income 36%
second-largest economy by GDP after the USA. It remains There are also indications that China’s younger generation
by far the global number one for ecommerce, with a – along with its expanding middle class – are perhaps
projected 10-11% increase this year. In recent decades, low income 32% beginning to resist the demanding six-days-a-week
China has undoubtedly become the world’s leading working culture and instead adopt more Westernised
manufacturer (a position previously held by the USA), but attitudes to recreation and leisure. Although still a
it’s also a market that presents lucrative opportunities Source: Statista RetailX 2022
male-dominated society, there are signs that female
entrepreneurs are beginning to break through.
Preferred shopping channel for Gender split of ecommerce eshoppers However, China is also the land of tech surveillance, social
credit and uncompromising Covid-19 lockdowns, with the
ecommerce multichannel shoppers (%) China, 2021
China, 2017-22 female male current regime showing little sign of loosening its grip.
Online Offline [1] www.globaldata.com/media/banking/china-continues-to-lead-global-e-commerce-market-with-over-2-trillion-
sales-in-2022-says-globaldata/
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 [2] www.tmogroup.asia/tmall-global/
100% [3] https://blog.kms-solutions.asia/what-is-super-app-and-why-it-is-taking-over
[4] www.globaldata.com/media/banking/alternative-payments-account-for-almost-three-fourths-of-e-commerce-
27 25 25 28 29 28 payments-in-china/
80% [5] https://aexus.com/doing-business-in-the-apac-region/
48%
52%
60%
40%
73 75 75 72 71 72
20%
0%
Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
India is a market that is seeing rapid ecommerce growth, Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
to the share of internet users who shop online. 52% of Percentage of internet users
India’s internet users are now ecommerce shoppers, India 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
20% 29% 43%
a number that, for the first time, is also higher than the Asia
Global
100%
figures for Asia and globally. However, the percentage of
Indian internet users is much lower than in Asia and globally. 50%
World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
A recent report by Bain & Company[1] suggests that with
190mn online shoppers in 2021, India’s ecommerce market 0%
could, within two years, end up surpassing the US to Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
50
[1] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/india-will-pip-us-to-become-worlds-second-largest- 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
online-shopper-base/articleshow/94801621.cms Index 2018=100.
[2] www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/india-online-marketplace-and-e-commerce Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) high income 34%
India, 2018-22 120%
Total 100% 98
Beauty, Health, Personal
& Household Care 80% medium income 34%
Beverages 60% 57
52 5
50
Electronics 47
7
42
41
43
413
37
39
37
37 40
0
40
42
2 43
43
Fashion 40% 3
32
302
0 36
311 32
32
Food 26
2
266 26
2
26
22
22
8 28
28
6
23
3 28
Furniture 20%
21
16 177 21 19
9 16
18
1
16
6
4
2 low income 32%
11
11
Media
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
global shares since 2019. This is driving strong growth Population growth
in the ecommerce revenue index, which has risen to 427
Indonesia 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
since the 2018 base and is also significantly higher than the Asia 1.1%
1
1%
1.0% 1.0%
Asian and global measures. Global
1.0% 1.0%
1.0% 1
1.0%
1.0%
0 1.0%
0.9%
The country’s GDP is also strong, with an average GDP
growth of more than 5% per annum[1], except during 0.9% 0.9%
Covid-19 in 2020. Projected growth is expected to be 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
above the 5% mark each year for the next five years,
with President Joko Widodo, who has been in power Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
since being elected in July 2014, largely credited for the Percentage of internet users
country’s stability. Indonesia 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Asia 39% 47% 53%
Global 100%
Of the country’s 279mn population, 235mn are aged under
55, with a fairly similar split across the four generations.
This younger population is expected to be one of the 50%
World Bank data not yet
main drivers of ecommerce growth in the short to available for 2021 and 2022
medium term. The country is also set to become one 0%
of the largest digital economies in Southeast Asia[2], with
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
around 40% of the market share in the region.
Percentage of internet users who shop online
Although international players such as JD.com have a Indonesia 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
strong presence, shoppers have embraced more local Asia 100%
34% 43% 50% 57% 64%
Global
ecommerce marketplaces such as Tokopedia and
Shopee, whose market shares are increasing.
50%
increase significantly before staying elevated into next year, 200 153
123
2
168
68
135
3 159 175
100 109
09
driven in part by high commodity prices and fuel prices. 100
0
[1] www.express.co.uk/comment/expresscomment/1689646/brexit-indonesia-cost-of-living-crisis-trading-economy-eu 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[2] https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/indonesia-b2c-e-commerce-markets-101300085.html Index 2018=100.
[3] www.adb.org/news/indonesia-economy-holding-well-2022-faces-headwinds-2023-adb Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
Japan
Area: 377,975 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Tokyo Japan 50k
Currency: Japanese yen (JPY) Asia
Global 40k
Official language: Japanese
Nationality: Japanese 30k
Government: Unitary parliamentary 20k
constitutional monarchy 10k
VAT: 10% | Reduced VAT: 8%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
four percentage points since 2020. This is most likely Percentage of internet users
due the country having a higher proportion of older Japan 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
91% 92% 90%
consumers than in many other markets. Asia
Global
100%
GlobalData’s 2022 Financial Services Consumer Survey Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) Preferred device for online shopping (%)
Japan, 2018-22 70% Japan, 2017-22
Total 59 Mobile Desktop
60%
Beauty, Health, Personal 52
50% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
& Household Care 100%
Beverages 40% 38
35 36
Electronics 32
2 32
32
29
9
30% 28
8 26
Fashion 26
23
22 24
24
24
22 22
22
2
80% 39 43 44 45
18 20 46 47
Food 20% 16 14
18
14 6
18
14
16
14
4
Furniture 11
1
11
101 10
19
10
0 13 12
1 2
10% 70
9
8 8
7 8
7 60%
Media
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 40%
Japan and south of heavily militarised North Korea. South Population growth
Korea is one of the most densely populated countries in 1.1%
South Korea 1.0%
1 0% 1.0%
1 0%
1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
the world, with a population of 51.3mn living in an area of Asia 0.9%
0 9%
0.9% 0.9%
100,370 km2. Around 82% of that population lives in cities. Global
South Korea
Area: 100,370km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Seoul South Korea 40k
Currency: Won (KRW) Asia
Global
Official language: Korean 30k
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
South Korea is one of the few countries to have Percentage of internet users
transformed itself from a low-income economy to a South Korea 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
96% 96% 96%
high-income one, says the World Bank.[3] It is a leading Asia
Global
100%
digital economy, ranked number one on the online
participation index in 2020 and first in the world for 5G 50%
internet speeds. Key industries include the production of World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
semiconductors. Key local businesses include Samsung
and Hyundai alongside local retailers such as Coupang. 0%
com, SSG.com and yes24.com. Tourism, mining and Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) Preferred shopping channel for
South Korea, 2018-22 60% ecommerce multichannel shoppers (%)
Total 50% 50 South Korea, 2017-22
Beauty, Health, Personal 42 43
& Household Care 40% Online Offline
34
33 36 34
Beverages 30
0
Electronics 30% 25 27 100% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Fashion 22 21 21
20% 9
18
8 18
Food 16
14
14 15
145 15 14 22 25 28
10 12
12 11 80% 32
Furniture 10% 10 90 10 8
6
37 37
Media 5 4 5 5
3
4
1
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0% 60%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022
40% 78 75
Number of ecommerce users (in millions)
72 68 63 63
20%
South Korea, 2017-22 45
40 38.2 39.5
Total 36.9 0%
Beauty, Health, Personal 35.0
35 31.2 32.8 32.7
31.
31.2
1. Source: Statista
& Household Care 30.2
28.8
8. RetailX 2022
30 27.1
26.2
.
Beverages 24.2 26.0
25 23.8
8 23.8 22
Electronics 19.8
19.7
21.8
21.6
19.0
21.2 20
20.8
05
19
19.58 20 1
20.88
18
86 9
Gender split of ecommerce eshoppers
Fashion 20 17.0 17.0 17
7
17.6
Food 15.4
14 15.5
15
5.5
45 15 7
15.7 15.6
15 21
12
12.7 7 14 1
14.1
10.9 12.3 13.9
11.6
10.
10.9
0.
Furniture 9.6 98
9.8
9.2 10 8
10.8
10.1 South Korea, 2021
10 8.6
7
7.4 8.1
8.6
1
7.6
6 8.9
8 9
8.4
.4
4
Media ..4
7.0 4
.0
0
Toys, Hobby & DIY 5 female male
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022
the South Korean ecommerce market is growing in line South Korean multichannel shoppers have a preference for
with global averages, it is growing more slowly than the buying offline (63%) rather than online (37%), while online
Asian market as a whole. shoppers heavily prefer buying via mobile devices (69%) 50% 50%
over desktops (31%). Indeed, 71% of online transactions
Shoppers of all ages buy online in this market, with a are via mobile, according to Pymnts.com.[5]
quarter (25%) of ecommerce shoppers aged between 45
[1] www.worldometers.info/world-population/south-korea-population/
and 54, followed by the 35 to 44-year-old age group (23%) [2] www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20210929000712
[3] www.worldbank.org/en/country/korea/overview#1
and those aged between 55 and 64 (21%). [4] https://www.investkorea.org
[5] www.pymnts.com/news/cross-border-commerce/2022/pymnts-intelligence-meeting-the-challenges-of-the-south-
korean-ecommerce-market/
Source: Statista RetailX 2022
Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Ecommerce continues to boom in Vietnam, with more
domestic retailers entering the online retail market for Population growth
the first time. Such an increased appetite to embrace Vietnam 1.0%
1.1% 1.0% 1.0%
1.0%
ecommerce is shown by the fact that the number of Asia
Global
1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
1.0% 0.9%
Vietnamese sellers on Amazon has risen 80%[1] since 0.9%
September 2020. Local traders sold nearly 10mn ‘Made 0.9%
0 9%
0.9%
0.9%
in Vietnam’ products to global buyers via the marketplace 0.8%
between September 2021 and August 2022.
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
The country is expected to have the highest rate of digital Percentage of internet users
economy growth in Southeast Asia between 2022 and Vietnam 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
69% 68% 70%
2025, growing by 31%[2] according to e-Conomy SEA 2022. Asia
Global
100%
That compares to 19% for Indonesia. Eretail’s share of the
total retail sales of goods and services in 2021 was 7%[3], up 50%
27% from 2020. Eretailing spend is expected to grow by World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
20% this year to $16.4bn, compared to $5bn in 2015.
0%
This rate of growth is being fuelled by the Vietnamese Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Despite such high ecommerce adoption, there are still Ecommerce revenue Index
challenges. For instance, cash on delivery payments for Vietnam 350
digital transactions still account for 11%[5] of the total Asia
Global
300 295
256 255
spend, so online payments still need to improve. 250 227
2
200 190 175
168
6 159
[1] https://e.vnexpress.net/news/industries/number-of-vietnamese-sellers-on-amazon-up-80-over-past-year-4530366.
html 150 134
123
12
23
2 135
[2] https://e.vnexpress.net/news/business/data-speaks/vietnam-digital-economy-growth-expected-to-be-highest-in- 100 109
0
southeast-asia-4530127.html 100
[3] https://en.vietnamplus.vn/eretailing-to-grow-20-this-year/239588.vnp
[4] https://e.vnexpress.net/news/business/data-speaks/vietnam-tops-region-in-online-cross-border-purchase- 50
volume-4486706.html 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[5] https://en.vietnamplus.vn/more-favourable-mechanisms-needed-to-attract-firms-engagement-in- Index 2018=100.
ecommerce/243022.vnp Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
to both Covid-19 and global events due Gen Alpha 158.7m 158.6m 158.2m 157.7m 157.2m
to stable governance and high incomes 146.6m 146.9m 147.3m 147.7m 148.2m
119.7m 120.1m 120.1m 120.1m 120.2m
48.9m 57.1m 65.1m 72.8m 80.4m
0m
While we should not underestimate Europe being a Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millenials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
continent of uneven development and one that still has Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Against this macroeconomic backdrop and with Europe Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
early to roll out vaccines against Covid-19, as 2021 ticked GDP per capita (USD)
over into 2022, it at first seemed likely that the retail story 40k
Europe
of the year would be one of recovery. Instead, when Russia Global
invaded Ukraine, a new crisis beckoned. 30k
20k
Countries dependent on Russian energy supplies, notably
Germany, had to balance the day-to-day considerations 10k
invasion by Russian forces, more than 7mn Ukrainian Percentage of internet users
refugees have been recorded across Europe, with Poland Europe 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
alone having taken in 1.4mn people.[1] While this has put a Global 100%
80% 83% 85%
At least nine out of every ten European citizens goes Percentage of internet users who shop online
online. Of these, 59% shop online and, while the upsurge Europe 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
in ecommerce due to the pandemic has not remained, as Global 100%
46% 51% 54% 56% 59%
France
Area: 549,087 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Paris France 50k
Currency: euro (EUR) Europe
40k
Global
Official language: French
30k
Nationality: French
Government: Semi-presidential republic 20k
VAT: 20% | Reduced VAT: 5.5% 10k
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
spending. The authorities have intervened, for example, Percentage of internet users
to cushion consumers from energy price rises linked to the France 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
82% 83% 84%
war in Ukraine and will continue to do so through 2023.[2] Europe
Global
100%
forecast for 2.6% GDP growth in 2022 he also warned of Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
The German economy is the largest in the European Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Union and made a good recovery from the global Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
challenges of Covid-19 and Brexit. GDP per capita is high Population growth
($49.6k), well above global, EU and eurozone averages. In 1.1%
Germany 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
2020, Germany’s population declined for the first time Europe
1.0%
crisis. Businesses and householders are being asked to 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Germany
Area: 357,580 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Berlin Germany 60k
Currency: euro (EUR) Europe 50k
Global
Official language: German 40k
Other languages spoken: Danish, Frisian, Sorbian, Romani 30k
Nationality: German 20k
Government: Federal parliamentary republic
10k
VAT: 19% | Reduced VAT: 7%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
ration usage and it is difficult to see when, if ever, the Percentage of internet users
Nord Stream 2 pipeline from Russia will once again bring Germany 2018
87%
2019
88%
2020
89%
2021 2022
unusually gloomy. With its energy-intensive industries Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Italy
Area: 302,070 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Rome Italy 40k
Currency: euro (EUR) Europe
Global 30k
Official language: Italian
Nationality: Italian 20k
Government: Parliamentary republic
VAT: 22% | Reduced VAT: 4% 10k
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
away from its recent reliance on supplies from Russia.[2] Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Whatever its electoral volatility, economic challenges and Percentage of internet users who shop online
the perennial problems caused by a pronounced north- Italy 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
48% 52% 55% 59% 61%
south divide, Italy is a major European market. Italy is Europe
Global
100%
[1] www.bancaditalia.it/media/notizia/financial-stability-report-no-1-2022/ 50
[2] www.reuters.com/business/energy/new-italian-govt-aims-double-national-gas-production-2022-10-27/ 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[3] www.statista.com/statistics/1080527/high-school-students-learning-foreign-languages-in-italy/ Index 2018=100.
[4] https://capital.com/italy-recession-growth-inflation-gas-dependence-consumer-spending Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista
ecommerce as it looks forward to a Gen Alpha 1.1m 1.1m 1.1m 1.1m 1.1m
2m 1.1m 1.1m
digitally enabled, post-carbon future 1.1m 1.1m 1.1m
1.0m 1.0m 1.0m 1.0m 1.0m
0.4m 0.4m 0.5m 0.6m 0.6m
0m
Norway is one of Europe’s richest nations, with a GDP per Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
capita of a $76k. This is down to its energy wealth. In the Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
1960s, oil was found in Norwegian waters under the North Population growth
Sea and the country has also benefited from its natural
Norway 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
gas reserves. In 1990, the government established the Europe 1.0%
0.8% 0.8%
Government Pension Fund Global, also known as the Oil Global 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Norway
Area: 625,221 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Oslo Norway 80k
Currency: Norwegian krone (NOK) Europe
Global 60k
Languages: Bokmal Norwegian,
Nynorsk Norwegian 40k
Nationality: Norwegian
Government: Parliamentary constitutional monarchy 20k
VAT: 25% | Reduced VAT: 15%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
In the years ahead, Norway’s wealth may be needed as Percentage of internet users
the global economy shifts to a post-carbon age. This Norway 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
96% 98% 97%
massive transition to a greener economy is a big issue in Europe
Global
100%
which opposes further oil and gas exploration, left talks. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
something of an international pariah, Gen Alpha 30.6m 30.5m 30.2m 29.9m 29.6m
31.4m 31.5m
yet its ecommerce continues to grow 31.4m 31.3m 31.3m
22.9m 23.0m 23.0m 22.9m 22.8m
11.3m 13.1m 14.9m 16.6m 18.4m
0m
The invasion of neighbouring Ukraine, which Russia Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
embarked upon in February 2022 has, for all the wrong Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Russia
Area: 7,098,246 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Moscow Russia 40k
Currency: Russian ruble (RUB) Europe
Global 30k
Official language: Russian
Other languages spoken: varies by region 20k
Nationality: Russian
Government: Federal semi-presidential 10k
constitutional republic
VAT: 20% | Reduced VAT: 16.67% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
In Russia’s favour is the sheer size of its territory and Percentage of internet users
population (145.8mn, the world’s ninth-largest), along with Russia 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
80% 82% 85%
the rich diversity of the resources it can draw on, including Europe
Global
100%
ecommerce as an element of everyday life. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
This year, it may be difficult to get accurate figures, Percentage of internet users who shop online
allowing for elements of propaganda. However, Russia Russia 2018
38%
2019
40%
2020
43%
2021
45%
2022
46%
itself claims that ecommerce has increased in 2022.[1] Europe
Global
100%
external and self-inflicted, the UK Gen Alpha 13.2m 13.2m 13.2m 13.2m 13.2m
25m 13.7m 13.8m
remains a wealthy country 13.4m 13.5m 13.6m
11.6m 11.7m 11.7m 11.8m 11.8m
4.8m 5.6m 6.4m 7.2m 8.0m
0m
Prior to the Brexit referendum of 2016, the UK was widely Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
regarded as a stable and pragmatic country, albeit Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
United Kingdom
Area: 243,610 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: London United Kingdom 50k
Currency: pound sterling (GBP) Europe
40k
Global
Official language: English
30k
Other languages spoken: Scots, Scottish Gaelic, Welsh
Nationality: English 20k
Government: Parliamentary constitutional monarchy 10k
VAT: 20% | Reduced VAT: 5%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
In less extraordinary times, the country might have been Percentage of internet users
better placed to withstand such a shock. But Brexit United kingdom 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
90% 92% 94%
arrived in the wake of years of austerity and was Europe
Global
100%
This idea has been officially rejected and causes apoplexy Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
change a constant factor in this region 85.2m 85.1m 84.9m 84.9m 84.9m
38 8
38.8m 45.2m 51.6m 58.2m 64.9m
0m
The Middle East is a region of diverse languages, cultures Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
and religions. The first impressions are of a rich region Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
in which GDP per capita is above the global average. Population growth
However, look at individual countries and it soon becomes 1.8%
clear that wealth is the Middle East is unevenly distributed. Middle East
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
While those nations that have energy reserves are most Global 1.5%
foster economic and political ties under the flag of the Gulf GDP per capita (USD)
Cooperation Council. Other countries are more insular, 30k
Middle East
while some, such as Iran and Iraq, are antagonistic towards Global
each other. Countries such as Syria and Yemen, neither 20k
of which we look at in detail here, have endured brutal
conflicts in recent years. 10k
and government control restrict internet usage in Iran, Percentage of internet users
a country where ongoing protests against women having Middle East 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
79% 83% 87%
to wear the hijab have shown signs of becoming a threat to Global 100%
Overall, the Middle East has a young population, with Ecommerce revenue Index
high numbers of Gen Z consumers and Millennials. The 300
Middle East
internet usage across the region is relatively high and Global 250
253
East, GDP per capita is rising yet remains below that 1.3%
1.2% 1.2%
of the region as a whole, at least in part because large 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
sections of the world regard its regime with such suspicion
that it is subject to US, UN and EU trade sanctions. In 2022, 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Iran
Area: 1,745,150 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Tehran Iran 20k
Currency: Iranian rial (IRR) Middle East
Global
Official language: Persian Farsi
Nationality: Iranian 10k
Government: Theocratic republic
VAT: 9% | Reduced VAT: 0%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Iran’s GDP stands at $12.1k against a global figure of $13.2k Percentage of internet users
and a Middle East figure of $19k. Iran 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Middle East 70% 77% 84%
100%
Global
While Iran has a larger proportion of the population
using the internet than its neighbours, this has not 50%
translated through to ecommerce. In 2020, 84% of the World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
population used the internet but just 47% of these users
shopped online. By 2022, the proportion shopping online 0%
had risen to 56% – the average for the region as a whole. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
While ecommerce is growing faster in Iran than in Percentage of internet users who shop online
other countries in the region, the country has a very Iran 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
34% 42% 47% 52% 56%
closed market, with 94% of traffic to Iranian websites Middle East
Global
100%
originating domestically. Even some companies that
could, in theory, trade freely are wary of entering Iran.
50%
This extends to US tech companies that in September
2022 were told by the US Treasury Department they could
trade with Iran if it would increase internet access for 0%
Iran’s population.[1] Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
The recent disturbances that followed Mahsa Amini’s death Ecommerce revenue Index
seem set to be followed by further political upheaval and Country 500
Middle East
one way the authorities have reacted to these protests Global 400 389
The establishment of Israel in 1948 took place against a Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
backdrop of civil war between the Jewish and Muslim
populations of British-administered Mandatory Palestine. Population growth
To a greater or lesser extent ever since, Israel’s relations Israel
1.8%
1.7%
1.7%
with its immediate neighbours, including those living in Middle East
Global
1.6% 1.6%
1.6%
1 6% 1.6%
1.5%
the de jure sovereign state of Palestine, have been tense.
1.1% 1.0%
Despite existing for long periods on a quasi-war footing, 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Israel
Area: 20,770 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Jerusalem Israel 60k
Currency: New shekel (ILS) Middle East 50k
Global
Official language: Hebrew 40k
Other languages spoken: Arabic 30k
Nationality: Israeli 20k
Government: Unitary parliamentary republic 10k
VAT: 17% | Reduced VAT: 7.5% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
the government changes regularly as coalitions form and Percentage of internet users
dissolve, most recently with the comeback of Benjamin Israel 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Netanyahu[1] – and an advanced economy. Middle East 100%
83% 86% 90%
Global
Qatar is one of the smallest countries in the Middle East Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
but it holds the position of being the richest in terms of
GDP per capita. It also ranks in the top ten globally. The Population growth
majority of this wealth relates to oil and gas, the revenue Qatar 2.1%
1.8%
from which makes up around 85% of the country’s export Middle East
Global
1.8%
1.7% 1.7%
1 6%
1.6% 1.7% 1.7%
1 6%
1.6%
earnings and 60% of GDP. Qatar has the world’s third- 1.5%
Qatar
Area: 11,490 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Doha Qatar 60k
Currency: Qatari rial (QAR) Middle East 50k
Global
Official language: Arabic 40k
Other languages spoken: English 30k
Nationality: Qatari 20k
Government: 10k
Absolute monarchy 0k
VAT: 0% | Reduced VAT: 0% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Most of Qatar’s population has access to the internet Percentage of internet users
and goes online regularly. This has been helped in Qatar 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
recent years by government initiatives to improve digital Middle East
100%
99% 99% 99%
Global
infrastructure, to strengthen the regulatory framework
and to promote ecommerce.
50%
World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
Qatar’s National Vision aims to see the county
becoming “an advanced society capable of sustaining 0%
its development and providing a high standard of Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
living for its people”. This modernisation programme
includes expanding the use of digital services within Percentage of internet users who shop online
government agencies and public bodies as well as in Qatar 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
49% 62% 64% 68% 71%
these bodies’ dealings with the country’s citizens. Middle East
Global
100%
Iranian fan.[1] 50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[1] https://inews.co.uk/sport/football/world-cup-security-staff-mahsa-amini-iran-shirt-woman-wales-1993684 Index 2018=100.
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
incomes from its huge oil reserves 7.6m 7.6m 7.5m 7.5m 7.5m
3 6m
3.6m
6 42
4.2m 4.8m 5.3m 5.9m
0m
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia occupies the majority of Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
the Arabian Peninsula. At more than 2mn km2, it is the
largest country in the Middle East. It has a population of Population growth
around 5mn, less than half that of Turkey or Iran, the most Saudi Arabia 1.8%
1.7%
1.7%
1 7%
populous neighbours highlighted in this report. It is one of Middle East
Global
1.6%
1.6%
1 6% 1.6%
1.5%
1.5%
the least-densely populated countries of the Middle East. 1.4%
1.1%
Saudi Arabia is governed as an absolute monarchy 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Saudi Arabia
Area: 2,149,690 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Riyadh Saudi Arabia 30k
Currency: Saudi riyal (SR) Middle East
Global
Official language: Arabic 20k
Other languages spoken: English
Nationality: Saudi 10k
Government: Unitary Islamic absolute monarchy
VAT: 15% | Reduced VAT: 0% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
son, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, as Percentage of internet users
Prime Minister in 2022. Saudi Arabia 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Middle East 93% 95% 97%
100%
Global
A large part of the country’s economy is based on fossil
fuels. In 2016, Saudi Arabia announced plans to diversify
50%
its economy in a bid to move away from its dependence World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
on the fluctuating prices of oil and gas. Saudi Arabia’s
Vision 2030 is aimed at unlocking growth and investment 0%
opportunities, increasing its citizens’ quality of life, while Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
also trying to change how the country appears on the
world stage.[1] However, it is worth noting disquiet over Percentage of internet users who shop online
the country’s human rights record. Saudi Arabia 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Middle East 48% 56% 56% 60% 61%
100%
Global
Vision 2030 emphasises the country’s location at
the heart of the Arab and Islamic worlds as well as
50%
its ability to connect Africa, Asia and Europe. Supply
chain and tourism initiatives are being presented as
opportunities for international businesses and consumers. 0%
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
eshoppers
Furniture 100 80
63 73
55 69 73 76
63 73
58
8
42
42 44 49
46
6 51
4
40
0 39
9 39
9
Media 11
81 12
9 12
9 15
9 6
10
0 10
0
0
Toys, Hobby & DIY 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Saudi Arabia, 2021
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 31%
28%
Annual revenue for the ecommerce market (bn USD)
Saudi Arabia, 2017-22 14 20%
Total 12 11.7
Beauty, Health, Personal 9.9 13%
10
& Household Care 8.3
Beverages 8 7.0 8%
Electronics 6 5.7
Fashion 4.4 3.9
Food 4 3.2
3.0
. 3.5
3 5
2.2
270 2.7
2 2.4
Furniture 1
18 1.7
1 1.8
18 2.0
2 1.3
1.13
1 1.4
4 09
0.9 1.1 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64
Media 0 3
1 0.1
0 4
2 0.2
0 5 02
0.7
0 7 0.1
01 3 0.3
0
0.1
0.
0 3
2
1
0.0
0..0
.0 0.0
0 0.0
0 0.0
.0 years years years years years
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) Preferred shopping channel for
Saudi Arabia, 2018-22 50%
45%
46 ecommerce multichannel shoppers (%)
41
Total 40%
40
0 Saudi Arabia, 2017-22
Beauty, Health, Personal 35 34
3
35% 32 31
1 31 Online Offline
& Household Care 30
30 29
29
30% 27 26
6
Beverages 4
24 255
4 2
244 23 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
25% 22
22 23 23 22
21
21 100%
Electronics 20
2 18 9
19 3 4 5 6 7 8
20% 18
1
178
7 17 17 17
Fashion 155 16
15% 11
Food 10%
10 10 9 80%
Furniture 6 6
Media 5%
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0% 60%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
RetailX 2022 97 96 95 94 93 92
40%
Saudi Arabia is becoming a hub for innovation in city a model for nature preservation and enhanced human
planning, technology and artificial intelligence. liveability. ” With a growing online economy and 97% of 43%
The Line, which is a mirrored, 200m wide, 170km long, the population using the internet, new digital initiatives
zero-carbon settlement, currently under early stages of in Saudi Arabia have the opportunity to showcase new 57%
construction, is planned to become home to 9mn people.[2] forms of digital innovation. These will be needed if the
country is to transition from an economy reliant on its
HRH Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has noted of energy reserves.
the project: “The city’s vertically layered communities will
[1] www.vision2030.gov.sa
challenge the traditional flat, horizontal cities and create [2] www.neom.com/en-us/regions/theline Source: Statista RetailX 2022
0m
8 1m
8.1m 9 4m
9.4m 10 7m
10.7m
7 11 9
11.9m 13 2
13.2m
Turkey stands at the crossroads between Europe and Asia. Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
It has a population of 85.6mn, 77% of whom are online.
51% of these consumers shop online, up from just 39% Population growth
in 2019. The pandemic accelerated ecommerce uptake, Turkey
1.8%
1.7%
1.6%
particularly among older demographics. There’s plenty of Middle East
Global 1.5%
1.6% 1.5%
potential for growth online, with existing players jostling 1.3%
for position and innovative pureplays disrupting existing 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0%
1.0% 1.0%
categories. In 2021, online orders rose by 46% year- 0.8%
0.6%
over-year to nearly 3.35bn.[1]
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Turkey
Area: 785,350 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Ankara Turkey 20k
Currency: Turkish lira (TRY) Middle East
Global
Official language: Turkish
Other languages spoken: Kurdish 10k
Nationality: Turkish
Government: Presidential republic
VAT: 18% | Reduced VAT: 1% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
In 2022, ecommerce accounts for 18% of retail sales, Percentage of internet users
with much of this dominated by local marketplaces Turkey 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
such as Trendyol, Hepsiburada, Sahibinden, N11 Middle East 100% 71% 74% 77%
Global
and CicekSepeti. These major players are competing
to become the “ultimate super app,” according to Mine
50%
Ozmen, co-founder of commerce platform Rierino. World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[1] www.dailysabah.com/business/economy/pandemic-driven-shift-lifts-turkish-e-commerce- Index 2018=100.
volume-to-2587b Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
The Gulf state of United Arab Emirates is one of the richest Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
countries in the Middle East, with an economy built on
energy reserves. In recent years, the UAE has diversified Population growth
and built up an international reputation, with Dubai United Arab Emirates 1.8%
1.7%
becoming a centre for tourism and trade. Middle East
Global
1.6%
1.6%
1.5%
1.5%
1.4%
The Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) is a special 1.2%
1.1%
economic zone and financial hub for the Middle East, Africa
1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
1.0% 1.0%
0.9%
and South Asia. It is home to an internationally recognised,
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
independent regulator and a proven judicial system with Percentage of internet users
an English common law framework. It offers companies United Arab Emirates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
100% ownership without a local partner.[1] Dubai attracts Middle East 100%
98% 99% 100%
Global
VCs, trade shows, retailers and social influencers.
50%
Millennials make up the largest proportion of the UAE’s World Bank data not yet
available for 2021 and 2022
citizens. With a GDP per capita of close to $40k, many
enjoy a high-spending lifestyle. Everyone is able to access 0%
the internet and 69% of consumers shop online. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Dubai has become synonymous with social media Percentage of internet users who shop online
influencers in the fashion and beauty sectors. Some United Arab Emirates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
60% 65% 67% 69% 69%
influencers have founded beauty brands in their own right, Middle East
Global
100%
launching products for the global market or with ranges
of more inclusive colour cosmetics for women of Middle
50%
Eastern heritage, or items certified as halal.[2]
Strategy, which aims to make the city a major hub for the
214
200 175 175
65
global metaverse community.[3] 150
165
135
159
123
119
19
100 09
109
[1] https://internetretailing.net/reports/retailx-country-reports/the-middle-east-2021-ecommerce- 100
country-report/
[2] https://internetretailing.net/reports/retailx-sector-reports/middle-east-beauty-2022- 50
ecommerce-region-report/ 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[3] www.arabianbusiness.com/industries/technology/new-strategy-unveiled-at-dubai-metaverse- Index 2018=100.
assembly-to-place-emirate-as-major-hub Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
If ecommerce can be said to have a spiritual home, it surely Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
has to be North America – and in particular Silicon Valley. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
It’s really not too much of an exaggeration to say that Population growth
innovations in digital technologies in California have 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
driven the spread of ecommerce around the world. North America
Whether that will continue to be the case is another matter. Global 0.8%
hoping to secure sales. Larger US companies also heavily GDP per capita (USD)
influence the ecommerce markets in foreign territories. 40k
In Israel, for example, many consumers choose to shop at North America
Amazon.com, despite shipping costs and potential issues Global 30k
strengths of the three nations covered by the North Percentage of internet users
American Free Trade Area, it helps to contrast the GDP North America 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
72% 75% 76%
figures in Canada and the USA, respectively $51.1k and Global 100%
By area, Canada is the second-largest country in the world Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
after Russia[1], yet it’s sparsely populated, with a total Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Canada
Area: 9,984,670 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Ottowa Canada 60k
Currency: Canadian dollar (CAD) North America
50k
Global
Official Languages: English, French 40k
Other languages spoken: Mandarin, Punjabi, Cantonese 30k
Nationality: Canadian
20k
Government: Federal parliamentary
constitutional monarchy 10k
above both the North America and global measures. 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Mexico
Area: 1,972,550 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Mexico City Mexico 40k
Currency: Mexican peso (MXN) North America
Global 30k
Official language: Spanish
Other languages spoken: Amerindian languages 20k
Nationality: Mexican
Government: Federal presidential constitutional republic 10k
VAT: 16% | Reduced VAT: 8%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
Between 2020 and 2021, the number of ecommerce Percentage of internet users
shoppers rose 11% to 57.5mn[1], with the domestic Mexico 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
65% 70% 72%
ecommerce market worth $19.7bn in 2021, up 27% on North America
Global
100%
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
The United States of America (USA) is the second-largest Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
ecommerce market in the world, after China. Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Population growth
It is bordered to the north by Canada, with which it also has
USA 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
a further northern border between Canada and Alaska, and North America
1.0%
healthcare, real estate and manufacturing. 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
USA
Area: 9,831,510 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Washington DC USA 80k
Currency: US dollar (USD) North America
Global 60k
Official language: English
Other languages spoken: Spanish, indigenous languages 40k
Government:
Constitutional federal republic 20k
VAT: The US is the only major economy with
a ‘sales and use tax’ | Reduced VAT: 0% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
Nine out of ten people in the US the internet, according Percentage of internet users
to World Bank figures, with 74% shopping online, and USA 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
88% 89% 90%
ecommerce revenues have almost doubled since 2018. North America
Global
100%
quarter of 2022, according to Digital Commerce 360.[2] Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) Preferred shopping channel for
USA, 2018-22 50%
45% 44 44 ecommerce multichannel shoppers (%)
Total
40% 40
39 USA, 2017-22
Beauty, Health, Personal
35% 3
33
3
31 Online Offline
& Household Care 30% 29
28
28
Beverages 25% 25
25 25 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
22 22 23
Electronics 100%
20% 16
6 16 17
7
Fashion 15
14
14 5
15
4 15 15
14
1 14 15 16
15% 1
11
14
4 11 14
12
2 20 23 25
Food
10% 191
100 90
10
8 80%
Furniture 7 5 6 7
5
5% 4
Media
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0% 60%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
market where leaders also include Walmart, eBay, Apple season. It has become a date with particular significance
and Home Depot. Buy online, pick up in store (BOPIS) for online shoppers. Younger shoppers are among those
gained popularity as a fulfilment method during the most likely to have used social media for inspiration when 49% 51%
pandemic as shoppers opted for kerbside pick-up options. buying holiday gifts, says Parcelmonitor, citing Statista,
Shoppers are most likely to have returned clothing especially among GenZ (84%) and millennials (81%). [5]
orders (26%) in the last year, according to Statista.[4] [1] www.census.gov/newsroom/stories/older-americans-month.html
[2] www.digitalcommerce360.com/article/quarterly-online-sales/
[3] www.mckinsey.com/industries/retail/our-insights/retails-need-for-speed-unlocking-value-in-omnichannel-delivery
Black Friday hails from the USA, where it marks the day [4] www.statista.com/forecasts/997235/returns-of-online-purchases-by-category-in-the-us
[5] www.parcelmonitor.com/insights/planning-for-peak-season-2022-ecommerce-shopping-trends-in-the-united-
after Thanksgiving as the start of the festive shopping states
Source: Statista RetailX 2022
70.2m 69.3m
Gen X
71.9m 71.1m
20.0m
20.0 18.6m
18.6 17.1m
72.7m
22.3m
22.3 21.2m
21.2
The is huge potential for growth in Millennials
Gen Z 84.1m
South America, but the logistics of 85.2m 85.0m 84.8m 84.4m
Gen Alpha 250m
102.7m 102.5m 102.4m 102.4m
ecommerce remain an issue
103.0m
100.9m 100.7m 100.6m 100.4m
39 1m
39.1m 45 4m
45.4m 51 7m
51.7m
7 58 0m
58.0m
0 64 2
64.2m
101.2m
101.
0m
Around the world, the pandemic led to a surge in Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
the number of consumers using ecommerce. Yet as Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
had been unable to leave their homes for long periods Global 1.0%
Nevertheless, the fillip given to ecommerce was real. 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
not unrelated to the severity of Covid outbreaks on the GDP per capita (USD)
continent, notably in Brazil where there have been more 20k
than 680,000 Covid-related deaths. As Professor Pedro South America
Hallal, the leader of the country’s largest Covid study, Global
noted in July 2021, “Everything that you should not do, 10k
Brazil has done.”[1]
as Buenos Aires and Rio, vast areas are comparatively Percentage of internet users
inaccessible: much of the Amazon, communities in the 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Andes and chilly Patagonia. This is reflected in the South America
Global
100% 65% 69% 74%
are higher than the global and Latin American totals. Global
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
0.9%
According to the Argentine Chamber of Information and 0.9%
0.9%
0
0.9
0.9%
0. 9
Communications (CICOMRA)[1], nine out of ten people have
a mobile phone and access the internet through it. 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Argentina
Area: 2,780,400 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Buenos Aires Argentina 20k
Currency: Argentine peso (ARS) South America
Global
Official language: Spanish
Other languages spoken: Italian, English, German, French, 10k
indigenous Mapudungun and Quechua
Nationality: Argentinian
Government: Presidential republic
VAT: 21% | Reduced VAT: 10.5% 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
Argentina is the home of Mercado Libre, the biggest Ecommerce revenue Index
marketplace in the Latin American region, with Argentina Argentina 350
making up 22% of the company’s net revenue. The South America
Global 300
300
27
271
company’s co-founder, chairman, president and CEO 250
252
235
already the largest in the region 47.3m 47.3m 47.3m 47.3m 47.2m
17.6m
17 6m 20.4m
20 4
4m 23 2
23.2m 26.1m
26 1 28.8m
0m
Pre-pandemic, Brazil was the largest ecommerce and Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
multichannel market in South America. Its evolution Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
during the pandemic saw it retail sector further hone its Population growth
operations. In 2021, online sales more than doubled 1.0% 1.0%
1.0%
0 1.0% 1.0%
Country 1.1%
1
1%
1.1%
1 1%
when compared to 2019 and were also 30% up on the 1.0%
0
South America
previous year[1]. Mcommerce has also grown strongly, and Global
0.9%
Brazil is the region’s leader here too. 0.8%
0.8%
0.7%
0.7%
Approaching 90% of the population are internet users, 0.6%
but ecommerce adoption is lower with just over half 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Brazil
Area: 8,515,770 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Brasilia Brazil 20k
Currency: Brazilian real (BRL) South America
Global
Official language: Portuguese
Other languages spoken: 10k
Spanish, German, Italian, Japanese, English
Nationality: Brazilian
Government:
Federal presidential republic 0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
VAT: 12% | Reduced VAT: 7%
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
(53%) of internet users shopping online, up from 41% in Percentage of internet users
2018. Brazilian ecommerce shoppers tend to be younger Brazil 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
70% 73% 81%
with just under half (49%) of Brazilian ecommerce South America
Global
100%
Average spending of the ecommerce eshopper ($) Preferred device for online shopping (%)
Brazil, 2017-22 450 Brazil, 2017-22
400 397 Mobile Desktop
Total 359
Beauty, Health, Personal 350
305 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
& Household Care 300
250 245 244 249 234 100%
Beverages 201 220
200 199 186 182 179
Electronics 176
Fashion 135 27 31
150 1144 109 125
119
119 131 11
110
1 80% 37
Food 89
848
4 8
844 1055 91
87 100
0
94 98 43 46 48
100 82
812 80
80
76
6
Furniture 50 44 42 40 45 48 49
Media 13
73 13
7 13
7 15
9 16
6
10
0 16
6
10
0
0 60%
Toys, Hobby & DIY 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 40%
73 69
Annual revenue for the ecommerce market ($bn)
63 57 54 52
20%
Brazil, 2017-22 60
Total 50 49.2 0%
Beauty, Health, Personal 41.1
& Household Care 40 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
32.0
Beverages 30
Electronics 21.3 23.8
20 19.4 20.0
Fashion 16.4
Food
Furniture
10 7.8 8.6
9
9.7
4.8
4.33
12.9
5
5.07
0 7
6.2
4
4.41
6..4
.2
2
4
8.9
7
7.4 4
4...8
4.8
4 8
Age distribution of ecommerce eshoppers
36 34
3.4 3
3.88 3
3.2
.22 3.
3.7
3 .7
7
Media 0
3.0
.0
0.1
0.
0 6
3
5
.1
1 0.1
0 4
5
..1
1 0.1
0 6
..1
1 2..7
0.2
0 7
7
2 2
0.3
0.38 0.3
0.3 8 Brazil, 2021
Toys, Hobby & DIY 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 29%
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 26%
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) 20%
Brazil, 2018-22 80% 16%
73
Total 70%
Beauty, Health, Personal 62
60%
& Household Care 9%
50%
Beverages 40% 35
5
Electronics
30% 34
30
0
9 29
28
8
7
Fashion 25
25 26
25
5 25
22
Food 20%
22 22
20
0
18
8
122 13
3
2
1
11 13 15
5
13
3
Furniture 10
180
9 10
10 8
10% 5 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64
Media
Toys, Hobby & DIY 0% years years years years years
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: Statista RetailX 2022 Source: Statista RetailX 2022
shoppers are high-income earners. In other countries 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Chile
Area: 756,700 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Santiago Chile 20k
Currency: Unidad de Fomento (CLF) South America
Global
Official language: Spanish
Other languages spoken: English 10k
Nationality: Chilean
Government: Presidential republic
VAT: 19% | Reduced VAT: N/A
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
in South America, the split between low, medium and Percentage of internet users
higher income earners is more evenly distributed. In part, Chile 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
84% 86% 88%
this links back to uneven distributions of wealth that have South America
Global
100%
In 2021,Chilean authorities published the Electronic Percentage of internet users who shop online
Commerce Regulation.[1] This is aimed at strengthening the Chile 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
50% 55% 58% 62% 66%
transparency of information provided to consumers via South America
Global
100%
50
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[1] www.dlapiper.cl/en/2021/09/24/alerta-legal-nuevo-reglamento-de-comercio-electronico/ Index 2018=100.
[2] www.diarioelpulso.cl/2019/06/19/serem Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
who struggle to get goods to customers 12.2m 12.2m 12.3m 12.2m 12.2m
4 5m
4.5m 5 2m
5.2m
2 59
5.9m 6.7m 7.4m
0m
Greater accessibility online is helping to speed up the Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
adoption of ecommerce in Colombia. The country’s Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
0.5%
At $5.7k, GDP per capita is below the South American
average American average. This figure is a reflection of 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Colombia
Area: 1,141,750 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Bogota Columbia 20k
Currency: Colombian peso (COP) South America
Global
Official language: Spanish
Nationality: Colombian 10k
Government: Presidential republic
VAT: 19% | Reduced VAT: 5%
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
the country’s troubled history. While Colombia is far more Percentage of internet users
stable than in years gone by, when drug cartels and guerilla Columbia 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
64% 65% 69%
groups exerted a malign influence, there are still vast South America
Global
100%
[1] www.gov.uk/foreign-travel-advice/colombia 50
[2] www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/colombia-ecommerce 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[3] www.melonn.com/que-hacemos Index 2018=100.
[4] https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/02/colombian-e-commerce-enablement-startup-melonn-raises-20m Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
0m
3 3m
3.3m 3 9m
3.9m 4 4m
4.4m
4 50
5.0m 5.6m
After a 2020 peak, which saw ecommerce grow by 50% Age groups (year of birth): Gen Alpha (2013-present), Gen Z (1998-2012), Millennials (1983-1997), Gen X (1968-1982), Baby Boomers (1948-1967), Silent Gen (1928-1947)
during the pandemic compared to the previous year[1], Source: RetailX, drawing on data from UN RetailX 2022
Peru’s use of ecommerce has settled down, although the Population growth
sector is still growing steadily. The pandemic is reported
Country 1.7% 1.6%
to have seen a quadrupling of businesses selling online South America
during 2020. Overall, ecommerce in Peru is forecast to see Global 1.4%
users. Of these consumers, 48% also shop online, a figure 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Peru
Area: 1,285,220 km2 GDP per capita (USD)
Capital: Lima Peru 20k
Currency: Nuevo sol (PEN) South America
Global
Languages: Spanish, Quechua, Aymara
Nationality: Peruvian 10k
Government: Presidential republic
VAT: 18% | Reduced VAT: N/A
0k
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from IMF RetailX 2022
that has been growing by 4% or more per year since Percentage of internet users
2018. The number of consumers shopping online has Peru 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
55% 60% 65%
nearly doubled since 2017, when it stood at 25%, and South America
Global
100%
Source: RetailX, drawing on data from the World Bank RetailX 2022
50
[1] www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/peru-ecommerce 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
[2] www.ecommercedb.com/en/markets/pe/all Index 2018=100.
[3] www.capece.org.pe/ Source: RetailX, drawing on data from Statista RetailX 2022
Global issues
Over the following pages, we look in more
depth at some of the strategic issues that
will be on the agenda for retailers in the
months and years ahead
Section contents
Sustainability 123
Covid-19 129
Inflation 131 We also consider the return of inflation to the global ahead, before turning our attention to the metaverse. Is it
Logistics 134 economy. How will retailers cope with this development? being over-hyped or is this the future of online retail?
Ecommerce 3.0 142 We focus on logistics, so disrupted by the pandemic and, Finally, we round up issues that, while they may not have
The metaverse & gamification 145 latterly, the war in Ukraine. We next focus in some of the an immediate impact on the bottom line, are certainly
Issues to track 152 digital innovation centres that may shape retail in the years worth tracking by boards and senior managers.
Consumer and business concerns about the environment Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes)
Africa, 2000-18
are growing. Brands and retailers that operate on a
Tanzania 1500000
global level are feeling the pressures of geopolitical and Nigeria
social changes, as well as the impact of environmental
Algeria
Ghana 1000000
devastation brought about by the changing climate. Kenya
Egypt
South Africa 500000
Morocco
Current projections put parts of the world at serious risk of Africa
increased heavy rains, such as the ones causing the recent 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
deadly floods in Pakistan and South Africa. Yet elsewhere, Source: The World Bank RetailX 2022
Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) on record, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
Europe, 2000-18
believes there’s a 50:50 chance of the annual average
7500000
Russia
France
global temperature temporarily reaching 1.5°C above pre-
Italy 5000000 industrial levels for at least one of the next five years.
United Kingdom
Norway
Germany
Europe
2500000 1.5°C is the all-important temperature rise to which
governments and companies are tying plans in order
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 to restrict CO2 levels. The Intergovernmental Panel on
Source: The World Bank RetailX 2022 Climate Change says that climate-related risks for natural
and human systems are higher for a global warming of
Carbon dioxide emissions (Mton) 1.5°C more than present.
Middle East, 2000-18
United Arab Emirates 3000
Turkey The WMO believes that there is a 93% likelihood of at
Saudi Arabia
Israel 2000 least one year between 2022 and 2026 becoming the
Iran warmest on record, dislodging 2016 from the top ranking.
Qatar
Middle East 1000 The chance of the five-year average for 2022-2026 being
higher than the last five years (2017-2021) is also 93%,
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 according to the Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update,
Source: The World Bank RetailX 2022 which is produced by the UK’s Met Office, the WMO lead
centre for such predictions.
Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes)
North America, 2000-18
Dr Leon Hermanson of the Met Office led the report. He
7500000
Mexico
USA
said: “Our latest climate predictions show that continued
Canada
5000000 global temperature rise will continue, with an even
North America
chance that one of the years between 2022 and 2026 will
2500000 exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. A single year
of exceedance above 1.5°C does not mean we have
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 breached the iconic threshold of the Paris Agreement
Source: The World Bank RetailX 2022 but it does reveal that we are edging ever-closer to
0 UAE 44%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
USA 42%
Source: The World Bank RetailX 2022
Italy 38%
a situation where 1.5°C could be exceeded for an Accelerating progress, particularly in terms of finance, was
Spain 35%
extended period.” a key theme for COP27, held in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, in
November 2022. It is hoped that this summit will be the UK 33%
COP27 PRESIDENT CALLS FOR ACTION turning point to the international community working Switzerland 33%
Factors such as these will have been front of mind when for the common good of our shared planet.
world leaders, NGOs and businesses met at the global Austria 32%
environmental conference, COP27. While 2022’s COP26 Against this backdrop, Egypt is urging countries to Germany 32%
was heralded as a success, Alok Sharma, UK President upgrade their nationally determined contributions (NDCs)
Denmark 31%
of COP26, closed the summit by proclaiming the 1.5°C in accordance with the Paris Agreement and raise the
target had been kept alive but “its pulse is weak and it ambition of their climate action to include support and Sweden 30%
will only survive if we keep our promises and translate finance for developing countries reducing emissions France 29%
commitments into rapid action.” and adapting to the negative impacts of climate change.
Netherlands 26%
Sharma’s sentiment was seconded by the UN Climate Meetings before COP27, under Egypt’s Minister of Foreign Australia 26%
Change secretariat. Its 2021 annual report marked the Affairs, Sameh Shoukry, hoped the event would “build on
Norway 24%
outcomes of COP26 as having signalled “a shift from the outcomes from Glasgow and discussions during the
negotiations and setting targets to implementing actions first semester of 2022, recognising the new headwinds and Japan 17%
and raising ambition further.” tailwinds that the overall geopolitical situation in the world
presents for global climate cooperation.” Source: Simon-Kucher & Partners, Global Sustainability Study 2021 RetailX 2022
Average sustainability premium Current purchasing behaviour, workers. While a small number have shifted their lifestyles
consumers are willing to pay by generation 2021 around their ethical stance in the last five years, the
Selected countries, 2021 Does not affect my purchasing behaviour majority of consumers have made either a “moderate”
Does not directly affect my purchasing behaviour, but aware if sustainable
For certain categories, I only buy sustainable alternatives
or “significant” change to how and what they buy.
USA 37% I always choose sustainable alternatives when available
I only buy sustainable alternatives, if not possible I will not buy Millennials are the most likely to have made changes
UAE 37%
Baby Boomers 1%
1 23% 34% 24% 18% to how they shop and the importance they place
Denmark 34% on sustainability as a purchasing criterion. Given
Brazil 28%
Gen X 3% 26% 33% 23% 15% the opportunity, 33% of millennials will choose a
Millennials 4%
sustainable option of a product over one that’s not.
UK 25% 29% 33% 21% 13%
GenZ, which has grown up with sustainability front
Norway 25% Gen Z 4% 24% 35% 22% 15% of mind, is becoming a driving force in sustainable
China 24%
consumption. In Germany, this group accounts for the
Source: Simon-Kucher & Partners, Global Sustainability Study 2021 RetailX 2022
largest share of the sustainable fashion market.
Sweden 22%
TAKING RESPONSIBILITY FOR CHANGE “Sustainability used to be pretty niche from a
Australia 22%
Consumers don’t feel that governments should be working consumer standpoint and very Europe-centric,” says
France 21% on climate change alone. A third of consumers in Asia Chip Bergh, President and CEO of Levi Strauss. “Now
Netherlands 18%
believe that they can make as much of a difference as it’s truly global and cuts across generations. The young
national governments, according to a study by strategy consumer in particular is really focused on this. If you ask
Germany 18%
marketing consultancy, Simon-Kucher & Partners. a teenager today, they will very likely say climate change is
Spain 17% Consumers in Europe have more faith in their own actions top of mind in terms of their concerns.”
than those of political actors while in North America,
Japan 17%
consumers believe for-profit companies can have the most Overall, 41% of consumers in Brazil say that sustainability
Austria 17% impact (25%), compared to consumer action (23%). is an extremely important factor when shopping. A similar
Switzerland 16% percentage of consumers in China say that it’s “slightly
Consumers around the world have concerns about important”, with 30% believing sustainability to be an
Italy 16%
sustainability that extends beyond weather patterns to extremely important part of their purchasing criterion. UAE,
RetailX 2022
care for the oceans, animal habitats and the welfare of with its high proportion of young, educated consumers and
Source: Simon-Kucher & Partners, Global Sustainability Study 2021
Current purchasing behaviour those with high incomes, has over a third of consumers their ecommerce sites. Research conducted by RetailX[1]
Selected countries, 2021 (35%) saying sustainability is “extremely important”. finds that the majority of the world’s leading brands and
Does not affect my purchasing behaviour
Does not directly affect my purchasing behaviour, but aware if sustainable retailers online include messaging about sustainability on
For certain categories, I only buy sustainable alternatives Consumers are also willing to pay extra for products their consumer-facing ecommerce sites but very few go so
I always choose sustainable alternatives when available
I only buy sustainable alternatives, if not possible I will not buy
that are sustainable. While consumers in China are more far as to link to plans and policies from their homepage.
willing to pay a premium, it is shoppers in the USA who
China 6% 45% 18% 17% 13% are willing to pay the most. 52% of consumers in China The RetailX investigation into the Global Elite 250, those
Brazil 3% 43% 31% 16% 7% will pay a premium, compared to 42% in the US, who are brands and retailers that are market leaders in the RetailX
also willing to pay up to 37% extra. Dimensions in multiple countries and regions around the
Italy 5% 35% 37% 17% 6%
world, shows that just 10% of these companies link to
UAE 3% 32% 29% 25% 10% Japanese consumers are the least-likely to worry about full corporate social responsibility or sustainability
Austria 3% 30% 36% 21% 11% the impact of their purchases and, as such, only policies from their ecommerce site homepages. 48%
17% say they would pay extra, according to Simon- of the 250 retailers outline their sustainability goals and
Spain 3% 29% 40% 18% 9%
Kucher & Partners. Italians, who are among the most commitments on their websites in a way that consumers
Germany 3% 28% 38% 18% 13%
environmentally conscious shoppers, will pay up to 16% can access, with 44% sharing their plans on how they plan
Switzerland 2% 27% 39% 18% 14% extra for a product that has less impact on the planet. on meeting their sustainability goals.
USA 6% 22% 29% 22% 20%
With their stance of being proactive about sustainability, What is interesting to see in the investigations into the
France 2% 25% 37% 19% 16%
consumers will look for information about a product RetailX Global Elite 250 is the increasing number of
Sweden 2% 23% 38% 26% 11% before purchasing and investigate the brand that companies sharing details of how products are made,
UK 3% 21% 35% 27% 14% produced it. This is true of 16% of consumers in China the impact they have on the environment and working
and in the US who “very often” look for information about conditions across the supply chain. As the Levi Strauss
Australia 2 19%
2% 39% 23% 17%
lifestyle brands’ sustainability practices. A further 40% in CEO told delegates at the World Retail Congress: “It is no
Denmark 3%
% 18% 24% 29% 26%
the US say they do this “somewhat often”. secret that the apparel industry is a bad guy when it comes
Japan 0%2
21% 10% 38% 30% to planet Earth. A lot of our products end up in landfill and
Norway 1%
113
13% 39% 24% 23%
COMMUNICATING THE JOURNEY that’s not good. We also use a lot of chemicals, we use a lot
This behaviour is highlighted not just in how brands of water, all of these are putting stress on the planet.”
Netherlands
and retailers behave but also in the ways they are
2%
212
12% 43% 28% 15%
Source: Simon-Kucher & Partners, Global Sustainability Study 2021 RetailX 2022 presenting sustainability information to consumers on
Importance of sustainability as Actors for positive change, according Bergh explained that the global jeans company is working
a purchase criterion to consumers “flat out” to reduce its environmental footprint, using
Selected countries, 2021 Selected countries, 2021 fibres such as hemp that are more sustainable as well as
Not important at all Others looking for ways to reduce water usage. “Sustainability
Slightly unimportant Non-profit organisations
Neutral National political actors has been a strategic issue for us,” he said. “We weave it
Slightly important International political actors
For-profit companies
into everything we do. We drive our innovation programme
Extremely important
Civil society around sustainability.”
China 30% 43% 22% 4%
1%
% Brazil 55% 17% 8% 10% 8%2%
%
Brazil 41% 31% 22% 4%3
3%
% The past year has seen a huge increase in the number
Italy 38% 18% 26% 8% 8%2%
%
of brands providing proof of their actions and gaining
UAE 35% 37% 21% 5%2% Japan 36% 29% 4% 24% 3%
3%
certification in a bid to validate sustainability ambitions
Italy 30% 38% 25% 4%3
3%
% Austria 34% 22% 23% 11% 7%2%
% and avoid complaints of greenwashing. In 2021, B Lab,
Spain 29% 36% 26% 6%3
3%
% Switzerland 33% 22% 28% 8% 7%2%
% which certifies companies as B Corporations for putting
UK 25% 37% 27% 7% 4
4%
% Spain 33% 19% 29% 11% 6%1%
% people, the planet and profit on equal standing when
France 22% 39% 28% 6% 5%
5 Germany 29% 27% 22% 9% 10% 4%
4
making business decisions, received more than 6,000
USA 28% 33% 26% 7% 6%
6
applications for certification from businesses around the
Denmark 28% 13% 27% 23% 6%3%
world. This is a 38% increase over 2018. The total number
Germany 24% 34% 29% 7% 6%
6 Sweden 26% 21% 28% 16% 5%3%
of companies certified for the first time rose by 18%.
Austria 26% 31% 29% 7% 7% France 26% 24% 29% 11% 7%3%
[1] https://internetretailing.net/sustainable-ecommerce/sustainability-report-2022/
Australia 19% 38% 30% 7% 6%
6 China 26% 19% 17% 35% 3%
1%
%
Sweden 23% 34% 30% 8% 5%
5 Norway 25% 17% 29% 18% 8% 3%
Denmark 22% 33% 32% 8% 6% USA 23% 25% 14% 17% 16% 4%
Netherlands 17% 35% 32% 9% 7% Netherlands 23% 34% 23% 13% 5%3%
Source: Simon-Kucher & Partners, Global Sustainability Study 2021 RetailX 2022 Source: Simon-Kucher & Partners, Global Sustainability Study 2021 RetailX 2022
Covid-19 and
ecommerce
After years of slowly attracting people
to shop online, ecommerce became a
vital lifeline overnight due to Covid-19
lockdowns. Paul Skeldon wonders this
global pandemic has forever changed
the world of retail
©www.shutterstock.com
the end is in sight.” So said Tedros Ghebreyesus, director
general of the World Health Organisation (WHO) in late
summer 2022. For retail, though, is the pandemic
actually over? And if so, what state has it been left in?
Even when lockdowns weren’t in force, fears around crowds kept many shoppers out of high street stores
There are two factors at play when it comes to looking at
how the pandemic has impacted retailers. Firstly, has it to or not. This caused online shopping rates to rocket. By October 2022, the proportion of online sales was back
changed how they do business and how shoppers shop? According to the UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS), by down to 24% – in line with the slow, almost flat, growth of
Secondly, might Covid-19 return in a different form, forcing May 2020, online accounted for 32.8% of all shopping, ecommerce seen in 2019.
shoppers and retailers to once again adapt? compared to around 20% pre-pandemic. By January
2021, it hit just shy of 40%. Undoubtedly, ecommerce is growing, yet it appears that as
CHANGING SHOPPING HABITS the pandemic subsides and we learn to live with Covid-19,
In the early months of the pandemic, lockdowns forced However, talk of ecommerce now being the only retail it remains just one part of the consumer retail journey, just
shoppers to embrace ecommerce, whether they wanted game in town seems to have been greatly exaggerated. as the death of the high street remains an exaggeration.
This picture appears to be global. According to figures EMBRACING HYBRID RETAIL WHERE COVID-19 GOES NEXT
from the IMF, the average online share of total spending This doesn’t mean that ecommerce is slipping. Instead, The other factor that may yet see all this change again
worldwide rose sharply from 10.3% in 2019 to 14.9% at the what’s changed is consumers being more inclined to use is where Covid-19 goes next. While heavily vaccinated
peak of the pandemic, but then fell to 12.2% in 2021. digital channels as part of their overall shopping journey. countries seem to be bouncing back strongly, there is the
ever-present threat that the virus will mutate enough to
Although the latest online share of spending is higher A study by Mood Media of over 12,000 shoppers across make this vaccine protection irrelevant, plunging the world
than before the pandemic started, it’s only 0.6 the UK, US, France, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands and back into a more rerstricted, even locked-down state.
percentage points (pp) above the growth trend for China, found that 30% of UK consumers are shopping
ecommerce had the crisis not happened. in-store more often now than two years ago. This is one factor that no one can predict. It appears that
Omicron is a more transmissible yet milder variant, so
However, there are exceptions. According to the IMF’s However, a separate study of 3,000 European shoppers by we are heading towards endemic status, where Covid-19
figures, ecommerce increased more in economies with messaging company Sinch discovered that 73% want to becomes more like a seasonal cold or flu. However, since
a higher pre-pandemic share of online retail, exacerbating visit a store and then make a final purchase on their any future mutation could be more contagious yet also
the digital divide across economies. mobile phones, often from within the store itself. deadlier, all countries must remain vigilant.
For example, Singapore, Canada and the UK had high Until this feared event, the growth of ecommerce
shares to begin with and together saw the largest continues to slow, physical retail continues to see some
growth in ecommerce during the pandemic. On the expansion and shoppers continue to explore new, hybrid
other hand, Brazil and Thailand, which both had low online ways to shop.
share pre-Covid-19, experienced less acceleration.
©www.shutterstock.com
predicted pre-pandemic, now it sits at just 0.3pp above.
There is an ever-present threat that Covid-19 might never go away, forcing us all to live with it
Inflation
As geopolitical events continue to rock the
world, ecommerce is taking a double hit
from rising operating costs and budget-
conscious consumers thinking twice
before hitting the ‘buy’ button
©www.shutterstock.com
lower-earners, who are understandably restricting their
spending to food and energy.
cut their spending as a result. Consumers everywhere are Indexed Consumer Price Index
cutting discretionary spend to cope and focusing instead Africa, July 2021-22
160
on spending on the essentials such as food and fuel. Algeria
Egypt
137 141
Ghana 140 133
128
8 126 128
The survey shows that more than half (58%) of global Kenya 121
120 122 124
120 116 117 1
117
7
115 118 118
115 11
119
Morocco 1100 111 112
1100 114
112 1144 110 113
3
112
2 114 110
0 11
114
14
11
1114
108 108
8 1
108
08
8 10
1099 109
09 109 108
8 10
1099
consumers are very concerned about the rising cost of Nigeria 107
1044 107
105
05
104 108
1
107
1058
07
7
5
4 107
7 107
1047
4 107
107
0
1057
6
5 108
1058
5
4 106
6 107
07
7
106
6 108
8
106
6 108
8
107 107 10
07
1
103
03
0
1013
01 04
103
103
2
101
01
1 10
103
1022 104
04
4
103
03
3
102 103 103
10
03 10
103
033 1
104
4
South Africa 100
living, with Japanese respondents the most concerned Tanzania 85 86 86 87 88 89 90
Index January 2021=100. Source: Diverse National Institutes of Statistics RetailX 2022
Traditionally, the ecommerce industry has avoided many
of the impacts of inflation since its overhead costs have Indexed Consumer Price Index
been lower than physical stores. This has meant that Europe, July 2021-22
France 112
consumers have always looked online for cheaper Germany 110 109 110 111 110
11
111
10
109 109 109 111 111
prices, casting their search net worldwide. Italy 108
08 8
108 108
108 108 107
Norway 107 107
106 7
106 106
066 106
Russia 106 105 105 105 105 105
5
104 4 104 10
104
However, the supply chain impact of the pandemic, the 104 103 104
04
4 104
04 03
104 103
03 103 10
103
1 03 103
102 103 103 103
1 3
102
02 10
102
102
102
02
2 102
Ukraine war and rising oil prices increasing transport 102 102
10
02
02
101
100
and distribution costs are all taking their toll. According 2021-07 2021-08 2021-09 2021-10 2021-11 2021-12 2022-01 2022-02 2022-03 2022-04 2022-05 2022-06 2022-07
to Statista, Amazon’s median price increased by 11% Index January 2021=100. Source: Diverse National Institutes of Statistics RetailX 2022
in beauty and 7% in electronics in August 2022 on the Indexed Consumer Price Index
previous 12 months[5]. Middle East, July 2021-22
Iran 200
176 182 195
Israel 2
172 190
172 172
For ecommerce shoppers, this means a greater focus on Qatar
175
156
164 165
149 147
the deals and offers that can be found online. In Chile[6], for Saudi Arabia
Turkey
150
124 127 130 135
134
4 137 142
120
example, when inflation was at 2.9% in the first quarter of United Arab Emirates 125 115
109
0
09
102
02
0
199
1002
0
110
1
102
02
100
0
111
1
103
03
102
2
100
00
0
114
10
1
1
103
03
03
1012
118
18
105
05
0
05
10
103
3
2
101 105
5
103
03
2
101
1 104
103
03
101 104
3
101 104
04
102
2 106
105
102
02 106
102
0 106
103
03
0 107
10
102
02
0 7
6
2
2021, just over a third (37%) of digital shoppers felt that price 100
saying that they are not willing to buy new products 102
2021-07 2021-08 2021-09 2021-10 2021-11 2021-12 2022-01 2022-02 2022-03 2022-04 2022-05 2022-06 2022-07
when they can repair what they already own. Index January 2021=100. Source: Diverse National Institutes of Statistics RetailX 2022
It’s hoped that we’ve seen the worst, though. According to Indexed Consumer Price Index
the IMF[8], global inflation is expected to rise from 4.7% in South America, July 2021-22
2021 to 8.8% by the end of 2022 but then to decline to 6.5% Argentina
Brazil
225
200
200 190 215
in 2023 and to 4.1% by 2024. Chile
Colombia 175 171
181
153 160
Peru 141 147
[1] www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices
150 133 138
125 128
[2] https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi 125 113 115
5 115
5
113
112
2 116
114
4
113
3 116
115
6
114
4
112
[3] www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/articles/globalinflation/1970to2022 105
5 105
4 107
4
104 108
8
105
104 109
9
106
06
6
104
4 110
106
6
105 110
0
108
8
107
7
106 111
108
08
107
10 9
8 110
1100
08 112
2
109 110 111
102 102
[4] www.ey.com/en_gl/news/2022/11/ey-future-consumer-index-consumers-opt-for-caution-this-holiday-season-to- 100
cope-with-rising-cost-of-living-and-environmental-concerns-new-data-finds
[5] Impact of inflation on e-commerce - statistics & facts | Statista 75
[6] www.statista.com/statistics/1338133/price-importance-online-shopping-inflation-chile/
2021-07 2021-08 2021-09 2021-10 2021-11 2021-12 2022-01 2022-02 2022-03 2022-04 2022-05 2022-06 2022-07
[7] www.ey.com/en_gl/consumer-products-retail/five-types-of-consumer-that-you-need-to-understand#1
[8] www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2022/10/11/world-economic-outlook-october-2022 Index January 2021=100. Source: Diverse National Institutes of Statistics RetailX 2022
Logistics
Getting products into warehouses then
out to customers has been a difficult
challenge due to ever-changing
geopolitical events. Could technology
play a part in changing behaviours?
©Shutterstock
which rocked the global supply chain networks in ways never
seen before. Whole operations were shut down for weeks,
or even months, while aftershocks to the system are still
Following years of Covid-19 disruption, retailers are now facing supply chain problems caused by geopolitics events, so are looking for smart solutions
being felt and, in some areas such as China, lockdowns
remain a reality. With new Covid-19 outbreaks in the East, However, some argue that the supply chain crisis has Retailers large and small will need to be innovative if they
there has been renewed strain on global supply chains created an opportunity for the ecommerce industry, since want to survive the pending recession. However, many
compounded, of course, by recent geopolitics developments. it has created a “sense of urgency”[2]. Some businesses want to do more than survive – they want to expand
have transformed bricks-and-mortar stores into micro- and grow their reach internationally. Such businesses
The Russia-Ukraine conflict, tensions between China and fulfilment centres, while others are now looking closer need to understand how easy, or difficult, it is to get
Taiwan and an economic slowdown are all negatively to home for manufacturing partners in order to avoid the products to customers on different continents.
impacting supply chains across multiple sectors[1]. Prices are stalling global supply chain. Others, Amazon included, [1] https://deliveryx.net/geopolitical-tensions-increasing-supply-chain-disruption-says-smart-cube/
continuing to rise across numerous industries, mainly due have even taken control of their own global distribution [2] www.forbes.com/sites/theyec/2021/11/12/how-the-global-supply-chain-crisis-is-creating-opportunities
to shortages and restricted access to critical supply routes. in order to ensure that they can deliver.
©Zipline
create a good customer experience and grow loyalty [3] www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/09/why-africa-youth-key-development-potential
[4] www.logupdateafrica.com/latest-news/growth-on-the-horizon-for-african-e-commerce-and-logistics-
among consumers. Investing in physical and digital in-2022-1344797 Zipline has made nearly 450,000 commercial deliveries using drones
ASIA
The pandemic resulted in a ‘new normal’ across Asia of
social isolation, working from home and online shopping
becoming the standard. As more people subsequently
remained indoors over fears of the virus returning,
consumers have turned to ecommerce for their
everyday essential purchases, as well as retail and
technology orders. It’s therefore not surprising that the
revenue from the ecommerce market in Asia is projected
to reach $2.093bn this year[5].
The sheer size of the ecommerce market has resulted
in a very competitive logistics sector, with worldwide
players wanting in on the action. DHL Express, FedEx
and Best Express have all made strategic investments
to establish logistics networks, build new distribution
centres or create smart warehouses across Asia.
©FedEx
It is now expected that Asia will account for 57% of
the growth of the global ecommerce logistics market FedEx has been growing its AsiaOne network for over 20 years
by 2025[6]. Logistics firms have realised that Asia will
likely be the single-most-important addition to their Due to the dense nature of many Asian cities, warehouses According to JLL data, three major multi-storey projects
business portfolios. are going up rather than out, with multi-storey in Shanghai are running at 100% occupancy. With such
facilities becoming increasingly popular with a success rate, and the growing demand for ecommerce
This, in turn, has resulted in a race for warehouse space.
developers. “These types of facilities appeal to logistics warehouse space globally, multi-storey facilities are certain
“There’s a land grab for space among all the carriers
companies because they offer practical business solutions, to be a growing trend – and not only in Asia.
that’s not going to end soon” notes Paul Good, owner
especially for retail and ecommerce companies,” says [5] www.statista.com/outlook/dmo/ecommerce/asia
of GL Terminal in Jakarta, Indonesia[7]. [6] www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/asia-pacific/asia-the-highway-of-value-for-global-logistics
Stuart Ross, JLL China’s head of industrial. [7] https://glginsights.com/articles/e-commerce-logistics-challenges-in-southeast-asia/
EUROPE
The UK, France and Germany are Europe’s largest
ecommerce markets and between them, in 2021, they
totalled €477bn in ecommerce revenue[8]. UK retail
businesses alone receiving £2.8bn worth of website
orders from EU-based customers in 2019, according
to the Office for National Statistics.
This was, of course, prior to Brexit. Experts in the
industry are now seeing the negative impacts of the
UK leaving the EU. The ending of VAT exemption on low-
value goods, increased paperwork requirements and rules
of origin issues have all taken a toll on ecommerce logistics.
“For ecommerce sellers, Brexit basically means more
bureaucracy and tax,” says Richard Asquith, global
vice-president of Indirect Tax at Avalara. Commercial
©Shutterstock
property consultancy Knight Frank describes Brexit as
creating “competitive challenges for UK ecommerce
retailers selling to the EU and vice versa.” It predicts Queues stretched for ten kilometres (six miles) west of Dover in early 2022
tariffs and taxes will result in higher prices for cross-
border ecommerce transactions. Such hurdles are already putting businesses off exporting think more about manufacturing and shipping bases closer
between the UK and EU. German logistics firm Codept has to home. While Brexit may slow cross-border trade, it does
Furthermore, delivery delays caused by the additional
reported the UK’s total exports to the EU fell by 40.7%, provide an opportunity for domestic ecommerce to grow
paperwork, border checks and stricter regulations are
while imports from the EU declined by 28.8% when in the long-term.
causing headaches for e-tailers. A recent survey by
comparing January 2021 to December 2020 figures[10].
fulfilment firm Shipbob found that UK brands saw
post-Brexit red tape on EU shipments as a key risk The additional charges, admin and delays will drive [8] www.statista.com/statistics/1113005/market-size-of-e-commerce-in-europe-by-country/
[9] https://deliveryx.net/shipping-costs-biggest-growth-risk-survey-finds/
to their growth[9]. many shoppers to stay local, in turn driving retailers to [10] www.codept.de/blog/brexit-impact-ecommerce-logistics
MIDDLE EAST
The importance of shopping malls and the in-person
experience in the Middle East had slowed the uptake of
ecommerce in the continent for many years. Yet during
the pandemic, consumers did move online in a shift that
now seems unlikely to revert to the previous norm.
Growing wealth combined with digital-savvy shoppers
across the region now provide an opportunity for
e-tailers, especially those selling luxury goods. “The
Middle East represents a big opportunity for luxury
©Dario Ciraulo/Unsplash
brands,” says Herve Ballantyne, consumer and
industrial products leader, Deloitte (Middle East).
The continent ranks 9th in the luxury goods market,
with leather goods and shoes being key sellers and
accessories topping the Middle East market share for More than 80 million people visit the Dubai Mall annually
luxury items.
shores of the Arabian Gulf, and on the Arabian Peninsula and free shipping methods, have largely persuaded many
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) alone features the market’s – has enabled it to become a global logistics hub. The buyers to purchase products from outside the region.
greatest segment, with a market volume of $553mn in 2020. UAE can therefore act as a connection between the
The UAE has become the heart of the luxury segment in Well-developed logistics infrastructure across the
growing economies of Africa and Southeast Asia with the
the Middle East, with a major share of population (almost continent is also helping to sustain the growing
established markets of Northern America and Europe.
90%) residing in the urban areas and increased per capita ecommerce demand, with ease of obtaining licences and
income. Dubai and Abu Dhabi comprise of more than 50% A large chunk of online shoppers in the Middle East better warehousing facilities providing high investment
of the country’s entire population. have also begun accepting cross-border products. potential. Deloitte concluded the region’s ecommerce
Online shoppers in the UAE made 58% of their market looks poised for strong growth.
Furthermore, the geographical significance of the online purchases from overseas vendors in 2016[11].
UAE – located between Oman and Saudi Arabia, on the Improvements in gateway security, along with reliable [11] https://www2.deloitte.com/xe/en/pages/about-deloitte/articles/we-are-25/e-commerce.html
NORTH AMERICA
The North America ecommerce retail market is
anticipated to grow at a significant CAGR of 11.7%
between 2022 and 2028[12], with high internet and
smartphone usage in the region driving growth.
It is also predicted that it will overtake Asia Pacific’s
current dominance in the market by 2026[13]. This will
no doubt be achieved through the region’s technological
advancements and the development of infrastructure
in major economies such as the US and Canada.
Wide connectivity, not just online but also the continent’s
infrastructure of roadways and railways, is behind this
prosperity. The railways of the US and Canada form
one of the major railway networks across the region,
providing a critical logistics network.
©Shutterstock
However, the high cost of logistics could put a spanner
in the works. Costs of ecommerce logistics in the
US increased from around $117bn in 2017 to
approximately $196.2bn in 2020[14].The cost of reverse The Port of Vancouver facilitates trade to 170 world economies
logistics in major countries of North America is also in air freight costs is putting pressure on an already to technology to ensure continued success, just as the
a concern for ecommerce companies. In 2021, retail stressed supply chain. consumers of North America have turned to using their
merchandise returned in the United States accounted mobiles to shop.
for $761bn, a big increase from $428bn reported in While rising shipping costs and further supply chain
[12] www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220908005919/en/North-America-e-Commerce-Logistics-Market-Report-
the previous year. Additionally, the Federal Reserve disruption will impact on the North American logistics 2022-2028-High-Internet-and-Smartphone-Penetration-Driving-11.7-Growth---ResearchAndMarkets.com
[13] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-e-commerce-logistics-market-113000176.html
Bank of New York stressed earlier this year, in its latest sector, retailers, brand and delivery companies will turn [14] www.technavio.com/report/e-commerce-logistics-market-industry-analysis
[15] https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2022/05/global-supply-chain-pressure-index-may-2022-update/
SOUTH AMERICA
National Geographic describes South America as a inland locations. And that is before considering the final
continent of extremes, home to the world’s largest river mile, a timely first delivery attempt being very important in
(the Amazon) as well as the world’s driest place (the the ecommerce sector.
Atacama Desert). There are similarly extreme hurdles Could collection solutions offer a solution? In the first half
to overcome for the ecommerce and logistics industries of 2022, Brazil ranked top in the region, with around
in the region. 5% of parcels delivered to collection points. While this
Many of the twelve sovereign states have their own may seem small, when compared to Argentina at just 1.5%,
currencies, taxation and customs authorities, which it hints at the developing collection movement in Brazil[16].
can cause problems. In addition to customs taxes, If other South American countries looked at parcel
tariffs and fees, it can take up to a month for certain locker networks, some of the continent’s logistics
goods to be cleared through customs, especially in headaches could be avoided.
Brazil and Argentina. Despite the obstacles, like all continents, the pandemic
The requirement by a number of destination countries saw many shoppers turn to ecommerce who are unlikely
– among them Peru – that any package being delivered to ever turn back. This has led to significant jumps in
features the recipient’s tax ID number is a further ecommerce sales. Argentina was the fastest-growing
hindrance. Brazil also requires a World Customs with a retail ecommerce increase rate of 79%, while
Organization Harmonized System (HS) code for the Brazil’s ecommerce growth rate was 35%[17].
merchandise being shipped.
Such red tape can lead to delays, inventory build-
ups, rising costs and, ultimately, customers waiting
longer for their products to arrive. Once through
©Shutterstock
customs, there is then the issue of infrastructure. Roads
remain the primary means of transportation yet 60% are [16] www.parcelmonitor.com/insights/e-commerce-logistics-race-in-latin-america-h1-2022
[17] https://futureofsourcing.com/data-is-key-to-latin-american-e-commerce-logistics
unpaved, hampering the speed of delivery by truck to
Parcel lockers and pick-up stations are growing in popularity across Brazil
Governments across the globe have regarded creating their The city of Shenzhen has grown at an equally blistering BENGALURU (BANGALORE), INDIA
own tech hubs as a vehicle for inward investment that, pace, rising from a population of 30,000 in 1979 to 13mn Back in the day, India’s undisputed tech capital of Indiait
if successful, can at some point generate export revenue by 2020. This enormous workforce has kept pace with was the outsourcing capital of the world and the unseen
when sold abroad. It’s both the entrepreneurial spirit and increasingly sophisticated manufacturing processes, power behind many leading Western companies. As the
the end product of Silicon Valley being emulated. attracting many tech giants to the area to tap into such outsourcing model has matured, Bengaluru has used
localised innovation. these links with Western tech giants to create its own
Ecommerce, in particular, has created much of the thriving R&D centre, birthing many of India’s – and the
impetus for this raft of ‘The Silicon Valley of…’ with The city also has a staggering number of venture world’s – latest unicorns and ‘soonicorns’, those companies
the boom in online retail during the pandemic, along capital firms attracted by so many innovative startups. worth more than $100mn and likely to become $1bn
with associated payments, marketing, social media, According to CrunchBase, there are 236 VCs in the city. By unicorns. Indeed, Bengaluru is now the startup capital
marketplaces, logistics, cloud tech and SaaS, being ripe comparison, CrunchBase lists 707 servicing Silicon Valley. of the world, with 14 unicorns based there, including
targets for innovation. Flipkart and ride-sharing app, Ola.
In ecommerce, Tencent – originally a video games
So where are these emerging tech centres and what do developer, now a multinational tech and media company – According to CrunchBase, the city has 53 venture
they offer their local markets? Equally interestingly, what owns WeChat, an instant messaging, social media, mobile capitalists actively investing and has spawned a raft of
can the original Silicon Valley learn from these young payment and ecommerce-led ‘super-app’. Tencent owns innovative apps, particularly around new models of online
upstarts and imitators? the closest thing to a Silicon Valley campus, only theirs buying. These include OnceAgain, a pre-owned fashion
is arranged vertically in twin beach-front towers. site; Spoyl, an influencer-led fashion ecommerce platform
SHENZHEN, CHINA that is taking India by storm; BuyHatke, an online shopping
China’s Shenzhen is widely known as the “Hardware This has prompted an explosion of interest in ecommerce price comparison site; and Mesh, a product rental site.
capital of the world” and it’s where factories churn out startups, with a raft of new companies extending
iPhones along with many other high-end gadgets. It is ecommerce and mobile commerce tech development to The city has created many other apps and ecommerce
also synonymous with rapid development and a can-do service the Chinese ecommerce market both within and tech companies, from those that offer technical integration
attitude, with ‘Shenzhen Speed’ coming to define the outside China. There is a growing number of ecommerce and headless commerce, right through to job-hunting
region’s impressive tech capabilities. When, for example, and ‘super-app’ developers spread across the city. sites to leverage the growing and increasingly mobile tech
Steve Jobs told manufacturers a month before launch that workforce in India.
the iPhone was to have a glass screen, Shenzhen Speed
made it happen. This raft of devs and investors, along with the city’s
general air of innovation, make this a place that Western
companies are returning to in order to outsource their companies from China, which are using Lagos as the dev centred on mobility and connectivity for ecommerce,
work, only this time it’s development and R&D very much base for expansion across African ecommerce. while Breezeup focuses on natural, close to consumer
on the terms of the Bengalurians themselves. product recommendations.
Compared to Shenzhen and Bengaluru, there are more
LAGOS, NIGERIA modest numbers of VCs in Lagos – CrunchBase lists 34. Yet Such is the level of growth in these two German markets
Lagos is home to Nigeria’s largest ecommerce company, the city does have its own Silicon Valley of sorts in the that investors see them as hotbeds for unicorns. According
Jumia. While ecommerce has come late to Africa, it has form of the Co-creation Hub (CC-HUB). Based around to a 2020 Dealroom study, there are 11 unicorns in
now exploded across the continent, with many domestic the University of Lagos and the Yaba College of Technology Berlin and nine in Munich, placing them second and
innovators looking to replicate the success of Amazon, in the Yaba district of the city, this areas has been dubbed third in Europe behind only London, which has 45. The
Asos and more in their local regions. Nigeria is perhaps the ‘Yabacon Valley’. two German cities have a potential 29 and ten further
preeminent African country for this innovation. ‘soonicorns’ in the offing.
BERLIN AND MUNICH, GERMANY
Until recently, Lagos’ tech development sector was Two of the fastest-growing tech hubs in the world can be While these two German ‘Silicon Valleys’ largely service
driven by fintech as a way to safely move money around found in Berlin and Munich in Germany. As of 2021, there the expanding domestic ecommerce market, they are
the country and use smartphones to serve a population were just under 2,000 verified startups in Berlin, 200 of seen as fertile ground for acquiring developers and for
largely without access to traditional banks. Now that such which were formed in 2020 alone. These include hand- establishing tech outposts by both European and further-
fintech is largely in place and working well, innovators in picked grocery delivery firms Gorillas and Flink, e-bike flung companies.
Lagos are turning to the next logical step – ecommerce. rental company Dance, and SellerX, which buys up
businesses selling on Amazon.de and scales them for
While Jumia currently dominates this space, there are new markets.
also many startups centred around Lagos that are pushing
services such as delivery carrier aggregation (Terminal), AI While Munich lags behind Berlin in terms of startup
for ecommerce firms (ShareCube), and mobile commerce action, it is catching up fast. Customer-facing ecommerce
(HauteApp and Farmz2U). Web design companies and newbies coming out of the Bavarian city include Jaimie
payment players are also springing up which, in turn, Jacobs, with its customisable women’s shoes and
are attracting talent from the more mature fintech dev Glamloop’s high-end fashion. Many of the ecommerce
sector towards ecommerce and mobile app startups. startups in and around Munich are focused on ecommerce
The city has recently attracted the attention of numerous tech. Parser.run, for example, focuses on data, Unu is
©Meta
from a multichannel retail perspective.
The Meta Quest 2 is Meta’s own stand-alone VR headset with hand-held controllers that currently sells for £400
metaverse learn that they can believe they’re standing inside a virtual
world. In a high-tech iteration of the Victorian era’s
Launched by a Kickstarter campaign in 2012, the Oculus
Rift headset used smartphone flat screens, motion
from VR gaming?
stereoscopic viewers, a screen in front of each eye shows sensors and off-the-shelf processing power to create an
a slightly differing images of the same computer-generated incredible VR experience straight out of the box. Just
scene. The brain then merges them and interprets the two years later, Facebook bought the company for $2bn,
scene as a single, 3D view. with the likes of PlayStation, Microsoft quickly joining the
Video gamers have had VR headsets for VR party with their own headset and gaming offerings.
Tilt switches and accelerometers – the same smartphone
a full decade now. Cam Winstanley asks components that count steps and maintain the orientation VR GAMING TODAY
whether metaverse ecommerce can learn of the screen – detect head movement so that as the Video games have been more profitable than Hollywood
anything from their experiences user looks up, down or around, their view adjusts for many years. For comparison, Avatar’s $2.85bn box-
correspondingly. Finally, headphones create stereo sound office receipts make it the biggest-grossing film of all time,
Facebook’s 2021 rebranding as Meta may have pushed from point sources, so, for example, users can hear a yet Grand Theft Auto V, the 2013 console smash, has made
virtual reality (VR) into the mainstream yet it’s been a sci-fi virtual river off to their right even before they turn to face it. over $7.5bn, while the largely PC-based World of Warcraft
concept for decades and a hands-on reality since 2012, has, to date, banked $11.3bn[1].
when the game-changing Rift headset was released. The Yet such a virtual reality is far easier to describe that it is to
global gaming industry has always been a test-bed for, and create. A 1935 sci-fi short story, Pygmalion’s Spectacles, By comparison, even the biggest VR games have notched
driver of, digital innovation but even after a decade in the describes VR glasses almost identically to William up only modest sales and even smaller profits. VR’s
mainstream, VR gaming remains a surprisingly niche Gibson’s 1993 cyberpunk novel, Virtual Light. But while number one game, the pop music/sword slashing combo
pastime. Let’s find out why by looking at the factors that warehouse-sized, computer-powered training simulators Beat Saber, generated sales of $97mm in 2021[2] but due
have limited its popularity . Let’s also see how these same for aviation became widespread from the 1960s onwards, to high production costs, its Czechia-base developer saw
issues – including hard-to-overcome physiological ones VR headsets have always struggled against the profits of under $3m. The second-best selling VR game,
– could limit Mark Zuckerberg’s dream of the metaverse limitations of size and processing power. Cathode ray Valve’s Half Life: Alyx, scored 93/100 on Metacritic and won
becoming the main way to immersively navigate Web 3.0. tube TV screens were always too bulky, hot and heavy to fit Best VR/AR at the 2020 Game Awards. While it’s made
into headsets, while the computers capable of generating $74mn since release in March 2020, that’s just a fraction
smooth, real-time 3D environments stubbornly remained of the £720mn that Valve made selling 12mn copies of its
too large and expensive for home use. non-VR prequel, Half-Life 2.
©Valve Corporation
There’s one final reason though and it’s the big one.
Remember how we said that VR works by tricking the
user’s senses? The downside is that by doing so, VR
makes a lot of its users sick. By ‘a lot’ we mean at least While many VR experiences are simplified to encourage casual use, Half-Life: Alyx throws players into a tense, demanding and immersive top-tier video game
10% of everyone. By ‘sick’, we mean actually nauseated.
Sometimes for hours after the event.
resulting in less neck strain and face sweat. Headsets now technology might never be able to solve entirely. The big
even work tirelessly to protect the user from bruised problem is that human brains are just too good.
THE DIZZYING WORLD OF VIRTUAL REALITY
shins by letting wearers define a ‘safe space’ within a
Iterative redesigns and improving technology have
room, then employing outward-looking cameras to ensure There’s an evolutionary survival imperative to spotting when
mitigated many of the issues around VR headsets. Some
they don’t stray. Yet ticking off such problems has merely something’s ‘not quite right’, whether that’s an unexpected
headsets now accommodate spectacles, for example,
pushed the biggest issue to the front and it’s one that hand tremor warning of oncoming disease or a moving
while all are lighter and cooler than older versions,
ward off car sickness by looking at the road ahead instead anywhere from 40% to 70%,” with common symptoms
of their phone. Yet since VR cocoons the user in a virtual being headaches, dizziness, nausea and fatigue that
world, the only way to ‘watch the road’ is to stop playing. can last up to four hours after gaming sessions. Informal
polls on games blogs put rates among regular gamers far
Specific triggers to VR sickness can often be addressed lower at around 15%, with 40% experiencing no symptoms
by reducing the mismatch of sensations between the at all. This suggests that VR sickness might affect
virtual and real worlds. For example, many users were newcomers more than regular players, who perhaps
struck down by early VR games by pointing at something simply learn get over it.
©Beat Games
but not seeing their hands inside the game view. The
solution? To track hand movements using external ECOMMERCE, THE METAVERSE AND YOU
controllers or cameras, then replicate them in-game. Mark Zuckerberg has pinned the future of Facebook so
Best Saber plays to the many strengths of VR by letting players crouch, duck and slash away
closely to the metaverse that he’s rebranded the company
with virtual swords to destroy music-times blocks, all from a safe, stationary position
Similarly, while looking around in VR rarely causes as Meta. If you watch only Meta’s promotional material,
sickness because it’s intuitively controlled by actual you could be forgiven for believing that the internet
shadow warning of an imminent saber-toothed tiger attack.
head movements, controlling in-game walking with will soon only exist within virtual spaces, with every
So while VR has got good at fooling the eyes and ears of
a hand-held joystick makes many users feel they’re online purchase, Zoom call and social media interaction
a user, the brain’s not getting caught out any time soon.
constantly on the brink of falling flat on their faces. via VR goggles. While we’re not here to trash that vision,
It recognises when something’s ‘not quite right’ most of the
we are here to offer a reality check before you and your
time and when it does so, it howls in protest. Due to this phenomena, gamers have fewer problems with business pivots towards a VR-only future.
flight simulators since, just like their virtual ‘other’ strapped
Motion sickness occurs when your eyes see a static cabin
inside the cockpit, they are also sitting down. It’s also why So let’s assume that Intel’s head of accelerated computer
but your inner ear detects the ship’s pitch and roll. Or
many current VR games opt to have players ‘teleport’ from systems and graphics[5] was being excessively gloomy
when, as a car passenger, you try to read your texts on a
one static location to the next rather than walk between when he said that the metaverse’s “…persistent and
winding road. It’s the same deal with ‘VR sickness’ when
them, since this significantly reduces discomfort. immersive computing, at scale and accessible by billions
a computer simulation displays motion that a user’s brain
of humans in real-time, will require a 1,000-times increase
knows isn’t really happening. How widespread a problem is VR sickness? A University in computational efficiency from today’s state of the art.”
of Minnesota kinesiologist told inside science.org[4] that, And let’s assume that Meta’s $15bn R&D spend on the
Many can quell sea sickness by going on deck so the sight
“with contemporary commercially available VR systems, metaverse alone (compared to Apple’s $4bn budget for all
of the moving sea swell matches the motion. Most can
the incidence of motion sickness after only 15 minutes is product research) has gone into producing some usable
©EagleDynamics
the metaverse, ubiquitous VR would be a literal headache
for businesses. It’s easy for shoppers to browse webstores
all night long on a screen, yet all-but the most dedicated
VR gamer are fatigued by headsets after an hour. While Digital Combat Simulator is designed to run on the desktop screen of a high-end gaming PC, adding a VR headset immerses the ‘pilot’ in an incredibly realistic world
and computer screens seems to be a more user-friendly a full decade, it’s hard to see it ever gaining public
Which raises the existential question – what is the option than an expensive additional headset. favour. Viewed as a Venn diagram, the circles of ‘regular
metaverse for? If Web 3.0 is destined to become the ecommerce users’ and ‘dedicated VR headset users’ seem
single online ‘third place’ for users to meet, mingle, shop Everyone agrees that the metaverse is coming in unlikely to ever touch, let alone overlap.
and interact, that doesn’t automatically have to be in some form or other, not least because Mark Zuckerberg
VR. Indeed, once you start to consider search, view and has willed it so. But when a user base as dedicated as
[1] https://vgsales.fandom.com/wiki/List_of_highest-grossing_video_games
[2] www.roadtovr.com/beat-saber-100m-revenue-2021/
interaction use cases, a combination of current and video gamers has largely ignored VR technology for
[3] www.statista.com/topics/2532/virtual-reality-vr/#topicHeader__wrapper
[4] www.looper.com/215435/the-real-reason-vr-makes-some-people-sick/
They look dorky, they are quite heavy, they are isolating
and, for 10% of users, they can be disorientating. These are
all reasons why we aren’t already all wearing virtual reality
headsets and immersing ourselves in the virtual world.
That and the fact that, unless you’re a purist, you don’t
even need a VR headset to get into that virtual world.
©Roblox
there right in front of me now. She’s not wearing a headset.
Nor are any of her friends. They are all playing together in
Roblox on their iPads, phones and laptops. The experience Is the online shared space of Roblox, where users can explore and interact via their smartphones, a more practical VR experience than one viewed through VR headsets?
is semi-immersive – Catie is certainly engrossed – yet WHAT IS VR REALLY? she does on her iPad, not in a headset. What she
there is no need for specialist equipment. Virtual reality already has a pretty solid definition: “VR is experiences isn’t reality. It isn’t the internet through a
the simulated experience that employs pose tracking and browser, nor is it augmented reality that overlays stuff on
This little vignette playing out in my living room 3D near-eye displays to give the user an immersive feel of the real world. What she and her friends are using is a
demonstrates two things. Firstly, that the metaverse is a virtual world”. This definition needs to change, though. sort of democratised, low-fi version of VR.
already here and the consumers of tomorrow, our kids, In reality, if you’ll pardon the pun, VR is increasingly
love it. Secondly, the VR tech sitting behind it doesn’t have becoming any sort of simulacrum of reality generated And that is all you need. While expensive VR headsets
to be different to the gadgetry any 11-year-old already has. by computer. My daughter certainly sees it as something can deliver a mind-bending, vomit-inducing experience,
No, not the defined way they look at VR in the purist world, This will change how we interact with the web and it will
but a more popularist, consumer-led view of VR. change what we think of as VR, which will become that
thing we do on our phones when we want to visit the
WHY DOES THIS MATTER? virtual shopping mall.
It matters because VR, which is an immersive experience
of a virtual world for individuals, is slowly becoming This will also bring AR –augmented reality –to bear on
conflated and confused with the metaverse – and the the real world, creating an amalgam of VR and AR as the
metaverse has the potential to radically change how we interface to the internet. That is what the metaverse
interact with the internet. really is: an on-ramp to accessing the web in a more
realistic, but totally virtual, way.
Unlike VR, the metaverse doesn’t really have a proper
definition. It is a sort of virtual world, or worlds, where you Literally ‘virtual’ ‘reality’.
can interact with other users and do – and buy – stuff. You
©Roblox
create a version of yourself – an ‘avatar’ – and meet other
A generation raised on Roblox is likely to want interactions such as ecommerce to be comparable avatars as well as interact with brands and games.
anyone wanting to deliver VR to ‘the kids’ needs none of All virtually.
that. And if you want VR to take off, then it has to get
Yes, you could do that with a headset, sick bag clutched
away from the ‘nerdy gamer’ vibe.
in your real right hand, or you could do what my daughter
In effect, what this ‘VR lite’ offers is a new way to interact does and just get on with buying stuff and playing and
with the internet. Looking over her shoulder at what interacting with friends on her screen.
Catie is doing, it does kind of make the browser-based
No, Roblox isn’t the pinnacle of VR, nor of the metaverse for
experience seem antediluvian. I mean, why am I typing
that matter, but it’s the start. As the metaverse becomes
when I could be pointing and clicking a virtual finger?
more refined – and the graphics get better – Catie and
If you consider these ‘flat’ VR experiences as VR, as I do, her friends, who by then will be young consumers keen
then Roblox alone, which is enticing 47mn individuals to spend their pocket money, will expect their shopping
a day to use VR, has nailed it – certainly into Gen Alpha’s experiences and other interactions with online entities to
minds. This, like all the other sim-like games, I argue, is VR. be more like Roblox.
Issues to track
We consider some of the areas that may
turn out to be strategically important in
2023 and beyond
©www.deeleyfreed.co.uk
offer some input here.
reputational damage. We cover the metaverse in detail retailers to look long and hard at their retail footprints. PRIVACY MATTERS
elsewhere. Work-life balance in the post-pandemic age can Although, as the CEO of RetailX has dryly observed, we may Implemented on 25 May 2018, the effects of the European
be filed under things we’re working out as we go along. yet end up building shopping centres to cater for those Union’s General Data Protection Regulation have arguably
moving into high-density, inner-city developments. been under-reported, perhaps because GDPR was not the
In short, these are all areas where retailers will likely Year Zero that many expected. Rather, as companies have
monitor developments, and we would also add in four DON’T GET CAUGHT IN THE MIDDLE grappled with its implications, a slow realisation that
other areas too (in addition of course to sustainability, also We would argue it is not enough for multichannel retailers data-driven retail may need to change has been coming
dealt with in detail elsewhere). to think about how many shops to keep open and where to the fore. In late 2021, the French data protection
to locate these stores. It’s also important to ask what’s authority, CNIL, fined Google €150mn because it was too
THE CHANGING FACE OF TOWN AND CITY CENTRES the point of stores? At the risk of sounding like a retail difficult for users to refuse to allow cookies when accessing
In July 2022, plans were announced to demolish The fundamentalist, we either go shopping for essentials, for google.fr and youtube.com.[3]
Galleries shopping centre in the centre of Bristol.[1] In example, the day-to-day business of buying food or for fun,
some respects, this was hardly surprising. The gravitational to buy clothes, books or hobby items. You could argue that such fines are a price of doing
centre of retail in Bristol shifted in September 2008 with the business. However, that’s an argument that’s easier to
opening of Cabot Circus, a state-of-the-art new shopping As consumers, we want different experiences from these make when economies are booming, which is certainly not
centre where House of Fraser was the anchor store. Across kinds of shopping. At the supermarket, we want items to true at the moment. Arguably more seriously, such stories
the road from this vast new development, the Quakers be competitively priced. Or maybe we will just go online damage consumer confidence.
Friars area welcomed a new branch of Harvey Nichols. to buy these items. At a book or record store, by way of
contrast, we want special events, expert staff who can VIRTUAL CURRENCY WOES
Owners LaSalle Investment Management and the city make recommendations and a sense of theatre. Even if The recent collapse of FTX may not directly affect many
council want to replace The Galleries with a mix of flats, we buy online from these retailers, we very likely want to retailers, but it does serve as a warning over the dangers
offices, a hotel and bars as well as shops. The idea is to look forward to picking up items in person. of accepting inadequately regulated cryptocurrencies.[4]
replace an increasingly tired-looking part of the city centre Looking further ahead, though, an interesting question is
with a mixed-use development that better reflects the One way to read the fact that the UK lost 83% of its whether such problems will lead to more oversight of the
way people want to live in the city. Increasingly, this kind department stores in the wake of the collapse of BHS[2] is sector, which means that in turn more people will actually
of redevelopment scenario will be played out across to say these are retailers that got caught in the middle. No use cryptocurrencies.
the world as the continuing rise of multichannel retail longer exciting places to visit, they didn’t offer sufficient
[1] www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/galleries-demolished-replaced-huge-new-7282673
changes how we live in use town and city centres. It is value for money either. Boards making decisions about [2] www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58331168
[3] www.cnil.fr/en/cookies-google-fined-150-million-euros
yet another reason, if any were needed, for multichannel retail footprints may be well advised to remember this. [4] www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/nov/21/crypto-exchange-ftx-creditors-cryptocurrency
Figures Algeria
Population structure, by age group
Population growth
25
25
Percentage of internet users
Percentage of internet users who shop online
Ecommerce revenue Index
33
33
33
GDP per capita ($) 25
Percentage of internet users 26 Morocco
Figures Percentage of internet users who shop online 26 Population structure, by age group 34
Population structure, by age group 9 Ecommerce revenue Index 26 Population growth 34
Population growth 9 GDP per capita ($) 34
GDP per capita ($) 9 Egypt Percentage of internet users 35
Percentage of internet users 10 Population structure, by age group 27 Percentage of internet users who shop online 35
Percentage of internet users who shop online 10 Population growth 27 Ecommerce revenue Index 35
GDP per capita per region ($1,000) 10 GDP per capita (USD) 27
Annual population growth per region 11 Percentage of internet users 28 Nigeria
Total population per region (millions) 11 Percentage of internet users who shop online 28 Population structure, by age group 36
Ecommerce revenue Index per region 11 Ecommerce revenue Index 28 Population growth 36
Percentage of internet users who shop online 11 Average spending of the ecommerce shopper ($) 29 GDP per capita ($) 36
Annual revenue for the ecommerce market ($bn) 29 Percentage of internet users 37
Happiness Index Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) 29 Percentage of internet users who shop online 37
Happiness Index: Africa, 2017-21 12 Preferred device for online shopping (%) 29 Ecommerce revenue Index 37
Happiness Index: Asia, 2017-21 12 Age distribution of ecommerce e-shoppers 29 Percentage of ecommerce e-shoppers 38
Happiness Index: Europe, 2017-21 12 Average spending of the ecommerce ($) 38
Happiness Index: Middle East, 2017-21 13 Ghana Annual revenue for the ecommerce market ($bn) 38
Happiness Index: North America, 2017-21 13 Population structure, by age group 30 Age distribution of ecommerce eshoppers 38
Happiness Index: South America, 2017-21 13 Population growth 30 Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) 39
GDP per capita ($) 30 Number of ecommerce users (in millions) 39
Africa Percentage of internet users 31
Population structure, by age group 23 Percentage of internet users who shop online 31 South Africa
Population growth 23 Ecommerce revenue Index 31 Population structure, by age group 40
GDP per capita ($) 23 Population growth 40
Percentage of internet users 24 Kenya GDP per capita ($) 40
Percentage of internet users who shop online 24 Population structure, by age group 32 Percentage of internet users 41
Ecommerce revenue Index 24 Population growth 32 Percentage of internet users who shop online 41
GDP per capita ($) 32 Ecommerce revenue Index 41
Saudi Arabia North America Percentage of internet users who shop online 106
Population structure, by age group 90 Population structure, by age group 98 Ecommerce revenue Index 106
Population growth 90 Population growth 98 Percentage of ecommerce eshoppers 107
GDP per capita ($) 90 GDP per capita ($) 98 Average spending of the ecommerce eshoppers ($1,000) 107
Percentage of internet users 91 Percentage of internet users 99 Annual revenue for the ecommerce market ($bn) 107
Percentage of internet users who shop online 91 Percentage of internet users who shop online 99 Preferred device for online shopping (%) 107
Ecommerce revenue Index 91 Ecommerce revenue Index 99 Preferred payment type for online shopping (%) 107
Percentage of ecommerce eshoppers 92 Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) 108
Average spending of the ecommerce eshoppers ($) 92 Canada Number of ecommerce users (in millions) 108
Annual revenue for the ecommerce market ($bn) 92 Population structure, by age group 100 Preferred shopping channel for ecommerce
Preferred device for online shopping (%) 92 Population growth 100 multichannel shoppers (%) 108
Age distribution of ecommerce eshoppers 92 GDP per capita ($) 100 Gender split of ecommerce eshoppers 108
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) 93 Percentage of internet users 101
Number of ecommerce users (in millions) 93 Percentage of internet users who shop online 101 South America
Preferred shopping channel for ecommerce multichannel shoppers (%) 93 Ecommerce revenue Index 101 Population structure, by age group 109
Gender split of ecommerce eshoppers 93 Percentage of ecommerce eshoppers 102 Population growth 109
Average spending of the ecommerce eshoppers ($1,000) 102 GDP per capita ($) 109
Turkey Preferred device for online shopping 102 Percentage of internet users 110
Population structure, by age group 94 Age distribution of ecommerce eshoppers 102 Percentage of internet users who shop online 110
Population growth 94 Ecommerce revenue Index 110
GDP per capita ($) 94 Mexico
Percentage of internet users 95 Population structure, by age group 103 Argentina
Percentage of internet users who shop online 95 Population growth 103 Population structure, by age group 111
Ecommerce revenue Index 95 GDP per capita ($) 103 Population growth 111
Percentage of internet users 104 GDP per capita ($) 111
United Arab Emirates Percentage of internet users who shop online 104 Percentage of internet users 112
Population structure, by age group 96 Ecommerce revenue Index 104 Percentage of internet users who shop online 112
Population growth 96 Ecommerce revenue Index 112
GDP per capita ($) 96 United States of America
Percentage of internet users 97 Population structure, by age group 105
Percentage of internet users who shop online 97 Population growth 105
Ecommerce revenue Index 97 GDP per capita ($) 105
Percentage of internet users 106
Brazil Peru
Population structure by age group 113 Population structure by age group 120
Population growth 113 Population growth 120
GDP per capita (USD) 113 GDP per capita (USD) 120
Percentage of internet users 114 Percentage of internet users 121
Percentage of internet users who shop online 114 Percentage of internet users who shop online 121
Ecommerce revenue Index 114 Ecommerce revenue Index 121
Average spending of the ecommerce shopper ($) 115
Annual revenue for the ecommerce market ($bn) 115 Sustainability
Annual change in revenue for the online ecommerce market (%) 115 Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) Global, 2000-18 123
Preferred device for online shopping (%) 115 Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) Africa, 2000-18 123
Age distribution of ecommerce e-shoppers 115 Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) Asia, 2000-18 123
Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) Europe, 2000-18 124
Chile Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) Middle East, 2000-18 124
Population structure by age group 116 Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) North America, 2000-18 124
Population growth 116 Carbon dioxide emissions (kilotonnes) South America, 2000-18 125
GDP per capita (USD) 116 Consumers willing to pay a sustainability premium 125
Percentage of internet users 117 Average sustainability premium consumers are willing to pay 126
Percentage of internet users who shop online 117 Current purchasing behaviour, by generation 2021 126
Ecommerce revenue Index 117 Current purchasing behaviour 127
Importance of sustainability as a purchase criterion 128
Colombia Actors for positive change, according to consumers 128
Population structure by age group 118
Population growth 118 Inflation
GDP per capita (USD) 118 Indexed Consumer Price Index Africa, 2021-22 132
Percentage of internet users 119 Indexed Consumer Price Index Asia, 2021-22 132
Percentage of internet users who shop online 119 Indexed Consumer Price Index Europe, 2021-22 132
Ecommerce revenue Index 119 Indexed Consumer Price Index Middle East, 2021-22 133
Indexed Consumer Price Index North America, 2021-22 133
Indexed Consumer Price Index South America, 2021-22 133
Conclusion
We hope that you have found our research and analysis to be of interest and RESEARCH: This report may not be stored in a retrieval
Researcher Anna Segarra Fas system, distributed or sold in whole or in part
commercial value. We would be very pleased to hear from you with questions, without the publisher’s express permission.
For questions about our research and to send feedback,
suggestions or comments, and in particular we would like to hear about any please email Anna via: research@retailx.net Fair quotation is encouraged, with a link to the
areas you think we should include in the 2023 report. Please get in touch via: Director of Research Martin Shaw report’s URL on RetailX.net. All charts and figures
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