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Abstract —The power transformers state analysis based on 10] and Dornenburg method [11] are among the most famous
different DGA approaches is presented in the paper. The DGA methods of dissolved gases analysis. In Russia the nomograms
results interpretation complexity in modern information method [12] is used in procedures guidelines for diagnostics of
analytical systems of the high voltage equipment technical state defects developing in transformers equipment. The 60599 IEC
assessment was revealed. The necessity of information analytical stated in 2007 [5] is used as standard abroad.
systems training and self-training principles was justified.
Applying these principles for new data and formalized expert Herewith it is important to realize that the operation mode,
knowledge extraction will improve estimates quality. meteorological conditions and many other factors influence on
DGA results [8]. For instance, the following operational factors
Keywords — transformer, DGA, Rodgers method, Duval can lead to gases concentration increasing without defects
triangle, nomograms method, Dornenburg method, outliers. occurrence: residual gases concentrations after defect
correction, increase in transformer load, new oil intermixing
I. INTRODUCTION with remaining oil, used oil refilling. etc. The following
operational factors in their turn can lead to gases concentration
Information analytical systems (IAS), intended for data
decreasing: load drop or transformer long-term shutdown, oil
storing, processing and analysis, are one of the most efficient
replacement, degasification and refilling and silica-gel
tool for power systems high voltage equipment state
replacement.
management. The present systems are focused on information
gathering, accumulation, updating and analytical processing, It is also important to realize that sometimes the defect
which serves to decisions quality improvement [1,2]. which can’t be detected by one method, can be detected by
another methods or even only by integral analysis using
The majority of existing systems are focused on the high different methods. It provides the explanation that the common
voltage oil-filled equipment state assessment, as 60-70% of all usage of one method for dissolved gases analysis is not
substation equipment is the oil-filled [3]. It should be recommended. Nowadays due to a great number of different
mentioned that oil is one the most informative and available IAS such as [1,2,3] the DGA results interpretation problem is
objects for high voltage equipment diagnostics [4]. especially acute as far as during the automated patterns
Transformer oil is characterized by high purity and low recognition there is a high risk of erroneous diagnosis.
viscosity. It is used as insulation of transformer components Therefore, the high emphasize is placed on IAS capability of
and nodes under voltage, for cooling, paper insulation self-training and expert data formalization [4].
protection against moisture and also the oil serves as arc-
extinguishing medium [5].
II. DGA RESULTS INTERPRETATION METHODS
Chromatographic analysis of dissolved in oil gases (DGA) A set of special criteria is used for defects detection in oil-
is one of the most efficient method of high voltage oil-filled filled transformers. The most advanced criterion, namely the
electrical equipment preliminary diagnostics, [6] which permits different gases pairs’ concentrations ratio criterion is used in
to detect up to 60-70% of developing defects [7]. The two the paper (in some methods the present criterion is combined
possible defects types can be identified by means of DGA: with the boundary concentrations criterion). Comparison of the
thermal and electrical defects. The majority of these defects characteristic gases pairs’ concentrations with each other
lead to increased emission of one or several gases dissolved in or/and with the boundary conditions is taken as a basis for gas
oil. ratios criterion. The following gases pairs are called
The results interpretation is the most complex problem characteristic: R1 = CH4/H2 (ethane/hydrogen), R2 = C2H2/C2H4
during DGA analysis. Rodgers method [8], Duval triangle [9, (acetylene/ethylene), R3 = C2H2/CH4 (acetylene/methane), R4 =
744
For the whole data set the boundary values exceed is nomograms method the thermal defect was observed in Т1
observed only in two cases: in case of Т1 24.11.2005 and Т2 24.11.2005 transformer measurement at high temperatures and
24.07.2006 transformers oil sampling. In other cases DGA the defect caused by arc was observed in T2 24.07.2006
results didn’t exceed the limits. Gases concentrations and measurement (Fig. 3-4).
relative exceed of the boundary value are presented in Table 1
(exceed are marked by bold font). Herewith the boundary During analysis of gases dissolved in Т2 24.07.2006
concentrations exceed for all cases is rather essential (by two transformer oil performed by ETRA method the defect was
times and more). The results of analysis performed by different characterized as high-power electrical discharges. According to
methods are presented in Table 2. Duval’s triangles analysis method the thermal defect was
detected for Т1 24.11.2005 transformer at temperature above
700 oС and the high-power electrical discharges were detected
TABLE I. CONCENTRATIONS VALUES OF GASES DISSOLVED IN OIL for Т2 24.07.2006 transformer. Rogers ratio method can not
define defect type for T2 24.07.2006. Therefore, carbon oxide
and carbon dioxide concentrations ratio was less than 11,
Т1 / 24.11.2005
Т1 / 15.07.2014
Т2 / 24.07.2006
Т2 / 04.08.2007
Т2 / 29.11.2007
Т1/27.09.2005
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concentrations after defects correction; used oil refilling or oil
intermixing with remaining oil from the oil-expansion vessel or
OLTC tank; external influence or welding on tank; insulation
aging [17,18], metal corrosion [19]; the impact of short-circuit
currents in case of external network failures; etc [20].
In this case the low number of available measurements is
the basic feature of the outliers’ detection problem. For
instance 25 and 31 DGA were performed for analyzed T1 and
T2 transformers respectively over a ten-year period. And not
all the outliers have the clearly pronounced nature.
Considering the factors mentioned above two methods were
chosen for the outliers’ distinguishing: by means of maximum
normalized deviation calculation (statistical method) and by
means of block data diagram plotting.
_
*
of the arithmetic mean value η and standard deviation s ,
with the table value depending on the sample data amount. The
normalized deviation is found as follows:
_
η j −η
ξ +
= , (1)
s*
If the present value is more than the table value, it is the outlier.
B. Block diagram
Block diagram is a powerful and simple tool for data series
statistical properties analysis. In particular, it allows easy and
obvious outliers distinguishing. For this purpose the lower
Q 1 and higher Q 3 quartiles and also the interquartile
Fig. 4. Duval’s triangle for T2 DGA data
interval IQ are calculated, subsequently, the lower L and
The 24.07.2006 measurement was identified as electrical the higher U confidence data boundaries are as follows:
defect by three from seven methods: nomograms method, L = Q 1 − 3 IQ ,
ETRA method and Duval’s triangle (2)
U = Q 3 + 3 IQ . (3)
The 04.08.2007 and 29.11.2007 measurements were Data which falls outside these boundaries is the outlier.
identified only by the Rodgers method as high-temperature
defects.
C. Calculations results
No defects among all transformers measurements were Calculations of the outliers’ detection by all described
identified by the expert estimates method (during the experts methods were performed for available gases concentrations
group survey), and the values with the gases concentrations measurements. The outliers’ detection results are presented in
exceed were identified by the experts as the outliers, which can Tables 3 and 4 for T1 and T2 respectively
have a significant impact on equipment state assessment.
As it is seen from the results, when applying statistical
method, the outliers were detected in all cases, where the
IV. EXPERIMENTAL DATA ANALYSIS
defects were detected by even one of the methods. The outlier
The outliers are the gases concentrations values unsuited without the corresponding defect was also found in one case.
for analysis, which differ markedly from the values obtained
during the previous or further analysis. The use of the outliers TABLE III. OUTLIERS’ DETECTION FOR T1 DATA
for transformer failures detection can result in erroneous
decision. Therefore these measurements should be Gas
Date
rejected [14,15]. CH4 C2H4 H2 CO CO2
The outliers can occur for variety of reasons, connected 27.09.2005 - - Outlier - -
both with the measurements uncertainties [16] during DGA and
external influence on gas-oil ratio, such as: residual gases 24.11.2005 Outlier Outlier - Outlier Outlier
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TABLE IV. OUTLIERS’ DETECTION FOR T2 DATA ACKNOWLEDGMENT
Gas The work was supported by Act 211 Government of the
Date Russian Federation, contract 02.A03.21.0006.
C2H2 C2H4 C2H6 H2 CO
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