NOMBRE: FERNANDEZ MEDINA DIANA CAMILA

NRC: 7914

ING. GUSTAVO LEON

CARRERA: CONTABILIDAD Y AUDITORIA

EJERCICIOS

Solución p=0,10 q= 0,90 n=10 x=2

a.- Distribución binomial

𝟏𝟎
𝑷( 𝒙 = 𝟐)𝑪 (𝟎, 𝟏)𝟐 (𝟎, 𝟗)𝟖 = 45 (0,01) (0,4305) = 0,1937 = 19,37%
𝟐

b.- Distribución de Poisson

µ𝐱 𝐞−µ
𝑷(𝐱) =
𝐱!
(𝟏)𝟐 (𝐞)−𝟏 (𝟏) (𝟎, 𝟑𝟔𝟕𝟖𝟖)
𝐏(𝟎 ) = =
𝟐! 𝟐!
P (0) = 0,18394 = 18,39%

Solución p=0,001 µ= np q= 0,999 µ= 2000(0,001) =2 n=2000

a.-
µ𝐱 𝐞−µ
𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟑) =
𝐱!
(𝟐) (𝟐, 𝟕𝟏𝟖𝟐)−𝟐
𝟑
(𝟖) (𝟎, 𝟏𝟑𝟓𝟑𝟒)
𝐏(𝟑) = =
𝟑! 𝟔!
P (0) = 0,18045 = 18,04%
b.- P( x ≥ 2) = ? x= 3,4,5……………………….2000
(𝟐)𝟎 (𝟎,𝟏𝟑𝟓𝟑𝟒) (𝟐)𝟏(𝟎,𝟏𝟑𝟓𝟑𝟒) (𝟐)𝟐 (𝟎,𝟏𝟑𝟓𝟑𝟒)
𝐏(𝐱 ≥ 𝟐)) = 𝟏 − + +
𝟎! 𝟏! 𝟐!
P (x ≥ 2) = 1 – (0,13534 + 0.27068 + 0.27068) = 1- 0,67670
= 0,3233 = 32,33%

Solución p=0,03 µ= np q= 0,97 µ= 0.03 (100) =3 n=100

a.-
(𝟑)𝟎 (𝟐, 𝟕𝟏𝟖𝟐)−𝟑 𝟏 (𝟎, 𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗)
𝐏(𝐱 = 𝟎) = = = 𝟎, 𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗
𝟎! 𝟏!

(𝟑)𝟏 (𝟎,𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗)
b.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟏) = = 𝟎, 𝟏𝟒𝟗𝟑𝟕
𝟏!

(𝟑)𝟐 (𝟎,𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗)
c.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟐) = = 𝟎, 𝟐𝟐𝟒𝟎𝟒
𝟐!

(𝟑)𝟑 (𝟎,𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗)
d.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟑) = = 𝟎, 𝟐𝟐𝟒𝟎𝟒
𝟑!
(𝟑)𝟒 (𝟎,𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗)
e.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟒) = = 𝟎, 𝟏𝟔𝟖𝟎𝟑
𝟒!

(𝟑)𝟓 (𝟎,𝟎𝟒𝟗𝟕𝟗)
f.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟓) = = 𝟎, 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟖𝟐
𝟓!

Solución p=0,00003 µ= 0.00003(200000) =6 n=20000

𝟔𝟎 𝒆−𝟔 𝟏(𝟎,𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗)
a.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟎) = = = 𝟎, 𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗
𝟎! 𝟏

𝟔𝟐 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗)
b.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟐) = = 𝟎, 𝟎𝟒𝟒𝟔𝟐𝟐
𝟏!

𝟔𝟔 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗) 𝟒𝟔,𝟔𝟓𝟔(𝟎,𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗) 𝟏𝟏𝟓,𝟔𝟔

c.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟔) = = = = 0,1606 = 16,06%
𝟔! 𝟕𝟐𝟎 𝟕𝟐𝟎
 𝟔𝟖 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗) 𝟏𝟔𝟕𝟗𝟔𝟏𝟔(𝟎,𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗) 𝟒𝟏𝟔𝟑,𝟕𝟔
d.- 𝑷(𝐱 = 𝟖) = = = = 0,10326 = 10,33%
𝟖! 𝟒𝟎𝟑𝟐𝟎 𝟒𝟎𝟑𝟐𝟎

e.- X= 4,5,6,7,8
𝟔𝟒 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗) 𝟔𝟓 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗) 𝟔𝟔 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗)
𝑷(𝟒 ≤ 𝐱 ≤ 𝟖) = + + +
𝟒! 𝟓! 𝟔!
𝟔𝟕 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗) 𝟖
𝟔 (𝟎,𝟎𝟎𝟐𝟒𝟕𝟗)
+ =
𝟕! 𝟖!

a.-

b.- P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X ≤ 2) = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)] = 0.3233236

P= 2/5000 = 0,0004 n=1000 n.P=µ 1000x0,0004= 0,4

P(X≥2) = 1 – P(X=1) + P(X=0)

(𝟎,𝟒)𝟐 ∗𝒆−𝟎,𝟒 (𝟎,𝟒)𝟎 ∗𝒆−𝟎,𝟒
P(X≥2) = 𝟏 − + = 1- 0,9384 = 0,06157= 6,157%
𝟏! 𝟎!

P=2 n=1 n.P=µ 1x2= 2

(𝟐)𝟑 ∗𝒆−𝟐 (𝟐)𝟐 ∗𝒆−𝟐 (𝟐)𝟏 ∗𝒆−𝟐 (𝟐)𝟎 ∗𝒆−𝟐

a.- P(x≤3) = + + +
𝟑! 𝟐! 𝟏! 𝟎!

P(x≤3) = 0,1804 + 0,2706 + 0,02706 + 0,1353

P(x≤3) = 0,8569 = 85,69%

(𝟐)𝟐 ∗𝒆−𝟐 (𝟐)𝟏 ∗𝒆−𝟐 (𝟐)𝟎 ∗𝒆−𝟐

b.- P(x≤2) = + +
𝟐! 𝟏! 𝟎!
P(x≤3) = 0,2706 + 0,02706 + 0,1353
P(x≤3) = 0,6765 = 67,65%

P= 0,0001 n=10000 n. P=µ 0,0001x10000= 1

(𝟏)𝟑 ∗𝒆−𝟏 (𝟏)𝟐 ∗𝒆−𝟏 (𝟏)𝟏 ∗𝒆−𝟏 (𝟏)𝟎 ∗𝒆−𝟏

P(x≤3) = + + +
𝟑! 𝟐! 𝟏! 𝟎!

P(x≤3) = 0,0613 + 0,1839 + 0,3678 + 0,3678

P(x≤3) = 0,9808 = 98,08%