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Knowledge elicitation and mapping in the design of a decision support system for
the evaluation of suppliers’ competencies
Lorella Cannavacciuolo Luca Iandoli Cristina Ponsiglione Giuseppe Zollo
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elicitation and mapping in the design of a decision support system for the evaluation of suppliers’
competencies", VINE, Vol. 45 Iss 4 pp. 530 - 550
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VINE
45,4
Knowledge elicitation and
mapping in the design of a
decision support system for the
530 evaluation of suppliers’
Received 31 January 2015
competencies
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Abstract
Purpose – This paper aims to present a methodology for the mapping and evaluation of suppliers’
competencies and know-how. The authors operationalize the concept of organizational competence
and provide companies with a customized management tool to map suppliers’ critical competencies
for screening strategic from non-strategic suppliers and providing inputs for suppliers’
development.
Design/methodology/approach – Competencies assessment, carried out through a fuzzy
knowledge management system (VINCI), is performed through the aggregation of indicators
related to the control of critical resources, the degree of implementation of critical processes, the
competitive positioning and the financial situation of a supplier. Competencies description and
operationalization are based on the bottom-up elicitation of the subjective knowledge managers
actually use to assess suppliers’ capability. Such subjective knowledge is then validated and
formalized through a top-down approach based on strategic literature.
Findings – The authors tested VINCI on a sample of 38 suppliers of a large company. The results show
that the methodology provides its users with a highly customizable knowledge map and its associated
decision support tool that keeps into account the peculiar strategic needs of the company in the
management of an existing portfolio of suppliers.
Practical implications – VINCI outcomes can be used to perform benchmarking analyses, define
entry criteria and thresholds for suppliers’, identify improvement targets and service levels to be
considered in the definition of supply contracts, supporting the alignment of supplier’s management
with business strategy.
Originality/value – The most important original contribution of this work resides in the
operationalization and measurements of firms’ competencies based on the elicitation of subjective
knowledge that managers use in the actual assessment. A further distinctive feature of this paper
is that the method is applied to small and medium companies, whereas large part of the literature
on core or organizational competencies assessment is focused on large companies.
VINE
Vol. 45 No. 4, 2015 Keywords Decision support, Capability maturity model, Knowledge mapping and elicitation,
pp. 530-550
© Emerald Group Publishing Limited Multi-attribute fuzzy decision-making, Organizational competence
0305-5728
DOI 10.1108/VINE-01-2015-0011 Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction Knowledge
Knowledge-based systems (KBS) have received considerable attention in the elicitation and
development of decision support systems and knowledge management tools in several
fields. A KBS is defined as a computer system designed to emulate human
mapping
problem-solving via a combination of a domain knowledge base and an inference engine
able to perform context, data-driven, heuristic as well as logic reasoning (Chau and
Albermani, 2002). 531
In this work, we present a KBS to assess and manage organizational competencies of
suppliers for manufacturers of large integrated systems, such as companies operating in
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and normative knowledge. In Section 2, we show that this is a distinctive feature of our
work in the wider literature on suppliers’ selection and evaluation. Third, this work
focuses on the issue of how capabilities can be described and assessed in a reliable and
cost-efficient way and suggests a knowledge-based assessment method that keeps into
account the specific strategic and operational needs of the buyer company. A further
distinctive feature of this paper is the application of the capabilities framework to small
and medium companies, whereas large part of the work on core or organizational
competencies has been applied to large companies.
Finally, we offer empirical evidence about the usability and validity of the proposed
approach by reporting the results of a field evaluation carried out in collaboration with
an international company that designs and assembles railway transportation systems.
The buyer company is a leading system integrator sitting at the top of a hierarchical
supply chain in which heterogeneous suppliers are positioned at different layers in
function of their strategic importance (Lane and Boehm, 2008; Esposito and Raffa, 1994).
Most works on suppliers selection focus on (3) and (4), limitedly on (2) and rarely on (1).
Our work intends to contribute mainly to (a) assuming that a useful knowledge base for
the problem definition is given by the subjective knowledge that managers use in the Knowledge
actual evaluation of their suppliers base. Preferred methodological approaches to elicitation and
support qualification and choice in suppliers selection range from multi-attribute
models based on various techniques such as the analytic hierarchy process (Bruno et al.
mapping
2012; Sen et al., 2010) and its analytic network process variant (Gencer and Gurpinar,
2007), linear programming (Hong et al., 2005; Ng, 2008), fuzzy set theory (Sarkar and
Mohapatra, 2006) and more sophisticated computational techniques including genetic 533
algorithms (Ding et al., 2005), or to hybrid approaches combining more than one method
(Wu, 2009; Lin, 2012).
Ho et al. (2010) provide an in-depth review and analysis of a large set of multi-criteria
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ratings can be obtained through the involvement of experts belonging to the buyer firm
(Ha and Krishnan, 2008; Punniyamoorthy et al., 2011). Internal methods, however, suffer
from transparency issues because companies are not usually available to disclose this
information; besides, evaluations can be based on very idiosyncratic knowledge or
history that make it hard to check for its validity, let alone to adapt the same method to
other organizations.
All of the above approaches suffer from shortcomings that we attribute to an
overfocus on measurability. As measures must be objective by definition, the main
challenge is how to define objective evaluation criteria that can be translated in metrics.
We argue that without a deep analysis of the subjective knowledge and theories in use
that managers actually employ to identify what a good supplier is for a specific buyer
and for a peculiar purchasing situation, the risk is to build precise but irrelevant metrics
that do not really capture what the buyer company needs to perform the assessment. In
other words, we claim that the priority for the buyer is not the development of more
accurate metrics but a better understanding of what must be evaluated and why.
Unfortunately, although there is an abundance of methods for the former, companies are
often left without a structured method for the construction of the evaluation model.
The decision support system that we present in this work offers tools and functionalities
to assess suppliers’ capabilities and manage suppliers’ portfolio based on competencies 535
model that are built in a bottom-up fashion, i.e. starting from the elicitation and mapping
of knowledge that is routinely used in suppliers’ selection and evaluation by a given
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buyer company. Before moving to the detailed description of the tool implementation,
we anticipate some of its distinctive features to the light of the literature review
presented above:
• Organizational competencies are elicited directly by independent analysts and
through the involvement of managers both form the buyer and the supplier
companies through the bottom-up identification of competencies descriptors and
assessment scales based on objective and qualitative indicators, inspired to the
maturity concept as defined in the capability maturity model (CMM; www.sei.
cmu.edu/cmmi). While the description of the competencies still remains
subjective, our method provides several ways to both structure and systematize
such subjectivity and to support evaluators in the formulation of an informed
judgment in the assessment phase.
• The competencies models are validated on the base of the well-known concept of
organizational competencies (Prahalad and Hamel, 1990) and assuming
complementariness between the competence-based view and the models of
strategic analysis based on competitive position (Spanos and Lioukas, 2001). The
evaluation model explicitly considers indicators related to the competitive
position of suppliers that are generally lacking in other performance review
systems. By linking bottom-up suppliers’ competencies model more tightly to
theoretical concepts and models developed in the strategic management
literature, the subjective knowledge is reframed in terms of robust and
well-known theoretical frameworks and tools.
• The evaluation model includes qualitative and quantitative measures. Qualitative
judgments are modeled through fuzzy representation, and a fuzzy aggregation
algorithm is used to combine qualitative and quantitative measures. Although the
use of fuzzy logic in multi-criteria decision-making is certainly not new, we apply
some original mechanisms to facilitate both the expression of judgment and its
mathematical representation, including a new type of visual scale and a method to
code experts’ judgment into fuzzy sets.
• We couple competencies assessment with competitive financial evaluation and
consider these dimensions as orthogonal in the short term for spotting
misalignments between a supplier’s competitive potential and its financial
position.
• The development of a decision support system for portfolio management and
suppliers’ evaluation is a further distinctive characteristic of this work compared
to other papers that present only evaluation methodologies.
VINE 3. Methodological approach
45,4 The evaluation of suppliers is based on the evaluation of the financial reliability of firms
and on the assessment of their organizational competencies. The two evaluations are
combined in a portfolio matrix (Figure 1).
The need to consider the financial situation of the supplier emerged clearly during the
filed analysis. As a matter of fact, it makes no sense to engage into the assessment of any
536 type of operational or strategic indicators if a supplier is not financially healthy,
especially in an industry in which stocks and real assets condition in a significant way
the financial future of a company. The financial assessment was based on the analysis
of companies’ financial statements of three years (2007-2009-2010). Such information is
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publicly available for limited liability and public companies in the country in which the
research has been carried out. Credit scores have been updated with a positive or
negative outlook based on the most recent financial data and trends as determined by
experienced consultants. The competitiveness score is determined through the
aggregation of non-financial data related to competencies and competitive positioning
of the supplier and collected through company visits and interviews. The aggregation
methodology, performed through a fuzzy multi-attribute technique described in the
following, computes a single, normalized value that is placed on the vertical axis of the
portfolio matrix.
Figure 1.
The portfolio matrix
Knowledge
elicitation and
mapping
537
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Figure 2.
Data collection and
analysis flowchart
evaluation of small firms’ competitiveness). For each company, the teams, composed by
two or three analysts, collected more than 120 indicators, 70 per cent of which refer to
non-financial information. After the data collection was completed, the teams produced
38 suppliers’ reports, one aggregated report and an executive report for the buyer
company. All the data and the final reports were stored in a centralized database, one of
the components of the VINCI platform.
• Production: ability to produce the required outputs given volume, time and costs
constraints.
• Marketing: ability to increase the company market share through promotion and
sales, and to analyze and understand customers’ needs as well as the
characteristics of the competition.
• Strategic planning: ability to develop and implement strategic plans that are
coherent with the company mission.
We are aware that the maturity scale represents an extremely simplified attempt of
CMM implementation, but this level of simplification is functional for the application of
the maturity concept to the assessment of small and medium companies that quite often
lack internal complexity, resources and structure to afford full CMM implementation.
Behavioral scales are used for simpler processes or tasks for which the description of
desirable behavior is straightforward and more appropriate than maturity scales.
Behavioral scales are inspired to those used to assess individual competencies as
applied by Spencer and Spencer (2008). They are used to describe intensity levels in the
displaying of desired behaviors to be associated with the levels in the scale. For example,
for the task related to the competence “organizational learning and knowledge
management”, it would be unrealistic to assume that small supplier companies possess
an R&D unit or use a formal system to manage this type of task, it makes more sense to
identify a set of simple, desirable behavior levels including: establishing personal
contacts and occasional partnerships (Level 1), establishing and managing contacts and
medium-term partnerships on a regular basis (e.g. internships for graduate students)
(Level 2), exhibiting a consistent track record of collaboration based on R&D projects
(Level 3).
Both maturity and behavioral scales display ten levels grouped in four anchors,
where 1 ⫽ absent, 2-4 ⫽ aware, 5-7 ⫽ executed and 8-10 ⫽ managed. This structure
allows evaluators to express nuances in their assessment, as they can select a range of
values in the scale rather than a specific value. To express his/her judgment, the analyst
marked a specific box on the scale or selected an appropriate range to signal uncertainty
or variability in the behavior. The judgment is based on the evaluator’s subjective
perception, but it is constrained by the structure of the scale. Besides, evaluators are
required to report evidence to support their judgment in the section “evidence/facts” (e.g.
events, references, concrete examples offered by the interviewees, etc.) appearing below
the scale for each item.
A limited number of items are evaluated directly by the buyer company, mainly in
the section on engineering and new product development. These questions require the
buyer to express its degree of satisfaction for each item in terms of misalignment
between expected and actual behavior.
VINE 3.3 Items aggregation
45,4 The evaluations collected by the analysts are aggregated through a fuzzy
multi-attribute algorithm to compute a synthetic indicator related to all the assessed
competencies, reported on the x-axis of the portfolio matrix. Fuzzy multi-criteria
operators support the aggregation of quantitative and qualitative information as well as
keep into account the qualitative uncertainty expressed by the analysts through the
540 maturity or behavioral scales. The algorithm has been successfully tested and used in
previous studies (Iandoli et al., 2009) and in real-world management applications,
including customer satisfaction analysis (Cannavacciuolo et al., 1999) and personnel
evaluation (Capaldo et al., 2006). In the following, we report a compact description of the
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aggregation procedure and redirect the readers to the references quoted above for more
detail.
The aggregation is performed in three steps:
(1) The evaluations reported by the analysts are modeled through fuzzy verbal
scales (3) and so mapped into partially overlapping fuzzy sets.
(2) Fuzzy sets are mapped on a couple of truth values through the dual truth value
(DTV) model (Cannavacciuolo et al., 1996).
(3) Couples are aggregated through fuzzy multi-criteria operators – OWA, ordered
weighted average (Yager, 1992).
Where mv(u) is the membership function representing V, and mLOW(u) ⫽ 1-u and
mHIGH(u) ⫽ u with u 僆 [0, 1] are two fuzzy antonyms representing, respectively, the sets
“absolutely low” and “absolutely high”. In the DTV model, the values a and b can be
interpreted, respectively, as the degree of truth of the following propositions:
Figure 3.
Representing
judgments on fuzzy
verbal scales
P1. V is an absolutely negative evaluation”, “V is an absolutely positive evaluation. Knowledge
As each judgment is mapped on a couple of truth values, the model tries to capture the elicitation and
intrinsic ambiguity of verbal evaluations by quantifying the amount of negative and mapping
positive sentiment embedded in a same opinion. It is easy to verify that the larger is the
range selected by an evaluator, the closer are the values because the judgment is more
ambiguous. Conversely, the more fine grained an evaluation is, the more the two values
tend to be the logical complement of each other; if the cardinality of the term set tends to 541
infinite, a tends to its negation a= ⫽ 1 – b.
To transform a fuzzy set V into a single numerical value vc, V has to be defuzzified.
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There is no unique way to defuzzify a fuzzy set, and the choice of the type of
defuzzification is generally contingent to the specific application. In our case, we
defuzzify the truth couple (a, b) through the following transformation:
vc ⫽ (1 – a ⫹ b)/2 (2)
F:V1, …, Vn ⫽ ⬎V (3)
Where (x1, x2, x3 …., xn) ⑀ Rn and yi is the largest i-th xi. Yager (1992) proves that any
OWA operator can be compensative to a given degree. In particular, it can be proven
that:
In other words, the lower bound for any OWA operator aggregation is the logical AND,
whereas the upper bound is the logical OR. Moreover, Yager shows that the weights wi
can be computed through a fuzzy quantifier Q(r) with r 僆 [0,1]:
Wi ⫽ Q ( ni ) ⫺ Q( i ⫺n 1 ) (7)
VINE Where i ⫽ 1, .., n and n is the number of criteria. According to this formulation, the
45,4 weight can be interpreted as the incremental satisfaction deriving from satisfying one
more criterion. Besides, the value of F(x1, x2, x3 …., xn) corresponds to the degree of truth
of the proposition “Q criteria are satisfied” by X. Consequently, by assigning a semantic
to Q, one can actually establish an aggregation criterion; for instance, if Q is the fuzzy
quantifier Most, F(x1, x2, x3 …., xn) would represent the degree of truth of the proposition
542 “most criteria are satisfied by X”.
To apply OWA operators to verbal evaluations represented through truth couples,
we define an ordering relationship as follows: given two couples V1 ⫽ (a1, b1) and V2 ⫽
(a2, b2):
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V 1 ⬎ V2 ⇔ 兵a1 ⬍ a2
b1 ⬎ b2
Where V ⫽ (V1 …, Vn), V’ is the ordered vector, W is the weighting vector associated to
the operator F, (a=1 …, a=n) and (b=1 …, b=n) are the left and right values of the couples (ai,
bi) ordered, respectively, in the increasing and in the decreasing sense, and (a, b) is the
truth couple corresponding to the aggregated judgment.
4. Field evaluations
The pilot project to experiment VINCI methodology has produced two typologies of
results:
(1) the test of the VINCI platform
(2) the assessment of the suppliers’ sample analyzed in the case study.
The platform developed in the pilot project is an application able to manage and
visualize single and aggregate evaluations of suppliers’ portfolio. The managers of
buyer firms can use VINCI outcomes to perform benchmarking analyses, define entry
criteria and thresholds for suppliers’, identify improvement targets and service levels to
be considered in the definition of supply contracts.
The evaluation system produces analytical reports for each supplier. Such reports
contain the following:
• a detailed analysis of the financial statements of the firm;
• the competence profile and the values of indicators;
• qualitative comments of the analysts;
• a set of suggestions related to possible improvement actions, identified during the
field research and ranked in terms of priority.
in which the most critical quadrants are those in which there is a misalignment between
the financial and the competence performance.
In detail, the results obtained for our sample are as follows:
(1) Many firms have a medium to low credit score. This negative financial result is
also influenced by the general economic crisis that was happening at the time of
the data collection as well as too long time needed to cash their credits. The delay
is in part due to negotiation power asymmetry between small suppliers and a
large customer.
(2) About one-third of the firms in the sample lie in the North-West quadrant (good
financial state, poor competencies score). We identified several reasons that
induced firms to do not implement competencies’ development strategies:
• Economic uncertainty/volatility.
• Limited vision and lack of clear growth strategies, also due to small size and
dominance of family businesses.
Figure 4.
Example of outputs
available in the
suppliers’ reports
VINE
45,4
544
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Figure 5.
The portfolio matrix
(each circle is
associated to a
supplier in the
sample)
and will be the objective of future work. At the moment, an analysis of validity of the
questionnaire has been conducted with positive preliminary results. In terms of face
validity, the results were presented and discussed both with the buyer company and
with the suppliers involved in the analysis, obtaining very positive feedback about the
ability of our methodology to produce a rich and informative representation of the state
of the things.
5. Conclusions
The objective of this work was to present a decision support system for the evaluation
and development of the suppliers’ portfolio for large companies that design and
assemble technologically complex products or systems. The platform aims to support
the buyer company in rationalizing its supplier base, so as to select only a limited
number of strategic suppliers to whom to delegate the management of lower-level
suppliers, according to a leading system integrator perspective. The system was
constructed in a bottom-up fashion, by validating and re-using subjective knowledge
actually used by managers to evaluate suppliers in their regular business practice. This
approach allowed us to build a highly customized and customizable KBS that
adequately reflect strategic and operational needs of the buyer company in the specific
business environment in which it operates.
The empirical test of the platform, carried out on a sample of 38 suppliers of a large
company working in the field of mass transportation and producing the same subclass
of goods, allowed us to test the validity of the approach and its usability in a real context
of use, in particular in terms of providing its users with a structured, efficient and “good
enough” method to evaluate organizational competencies.
Different versions of the proposed method have been tested by some of the
authors in the past in other domains, including the assessment of individual
competencies. The adaptation to the case of organizational competencies required to
revise the method with respect to the different theoretical concepts that are used to
describe organizational competencies. Following the same approach, the
computational engine described in this work could be adapted to other domains in
which there is the need to combine objective and subjective knowledge into compact
indicators. There are many applications in which this need is particularly felt. A
case in point is the development of recommendation systems to support
decision-making in online applications, e.g. in e-commerce, in which objective data
based on collaborative filtering are combined with preferences expressed by
individual decision-makers, on line buyers in this case.
The test also allowed us to spot opportunities for improvements, in particular in
terms of additional efficiency. One of the future developments of this research is a test on
VINE a larger scale. With a bigger data base, it might be possible to reduce the amount of
45,4 information to be collected by eliminating redundancy, identify as many reliable
indicators as possible that do not require the involvement of an expert for their
assessment and identify patterns and relationships among variables to support
knowledge discovery and construction of better evaluation models.
A further limitation of the work regards its applications to different cases and
546 contexts. The methodology has been designed in a specific case and tailored to the needs
of a particular company. The adaptation to other domains requires a contextualization
of the questionnaire. However, we expect that the methodological structure and the
theoretical assumptions are general enough to make the adjustment a relatively easy
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task.
In future work, the authors intend to explore in depth and on a statistical basis the
relationship between performance and skills. The available data at the moment do not
allow making such an analysis, as the performances measured in this research are only
of financial nature. Furthermore, it was not possible to have access to operational
performance indicators, due to the lack of historical data from the suppliers and the
buyer. Other studies in the literature, however, have shown that there is a causal
relationship between competence and performance, also at the organizational level.
However, for practical purposes, a buyer firm is certainly interested to assess what
competencies have the greatest impact in specific cases with reference to a particular set
of performance drivers. Consequently, the platform should provide an additional
module to enable such analysis on the database of its suppliers.
More broadly, the platform could be enhanced through the addition of data
mining modules that can provide management with both aggregated information
and insights about key indicators, relationships between indicators, clusters of
suppliers based on competencies profiles, trends and projections aimed at
identifying the trajectory of development of competencies with and without
improvement actions. For instance, data mining techniques could be used over
larger databases to identify distinctive profiles of best performing suppliers based
on the way they combine competencies into specific mixes. It could also be possible
to find out which are the competencies that have a larger impact on performance.
Finally, using historical data, data mining could help to identify the patterns of
development of critical skills to find out whether such development can be ascribed
to specific development actions (e.g. a training program) and/or whether there are
skills that are developed together because of synergic effects that support leaning
processes happening in contiguous or connected skills. More broadly, our method,
by supporting the systematic accumulation of performance and skills data for a
large number of suppliers, can enable the development of more analytic and
evidence based decision-making in the management of articulated and systemic
supply chains.
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